The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2014 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.
Interesting results after Week Two:
- Region 1-AAAAAA went 6-0 to push four of its six teams into the Class AAAAAA top eight and pull away from Region 7-AAAAAA in the Competitive Ratings. Valdosta's 31-0 victory over Brookwood in Week 1 is impressive compared to the Norcross 21-10 victory over the Broncos in Week 2.
- Similarly, games between Region 1-AAAAAA foes dominate the best matchups of the season the as Norcross-North Gwinnett game losses some luster after North Cobb's 36-29 defeat of North Gwinnett.
- North Cobb's victory also raises Northside Warner Robins into the all-class top 10. The Eagles dropped North Cobb 38-20 in Week 1.
As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.
The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 56.6%.
For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 259 of 270 total games including 4 ties (96.67%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 11.11 points.
The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
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Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings
Home Advantage: -0.29
Regions
Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.
Least Likely Results
These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.
Highest Rated Matchups
These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.
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