Prep Zone

Atlanta high school sports news from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Maxwell Week 4 Summary: Blessed Trinity blasts Benedictine, but rankings hold steady

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results:

- Blessed Trinity, the second highest rated team in Class AAAA, dismantled Class AA’s top rated team, Benedictine, 38-7 to move within just about a point of Cartersville.  This has been the latest move the Titans have made in a steady effort to catch the Purple Hurricanes, who started the season rated nearly two touchdowns better than anyone else in Class AAAA.

- Meanwhile Benedictine, who started the season a touchdown better than anyone in Class AA, now has three teams within that range, including Calhoun, the defending state champion, at less than a half-point behind.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

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As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 33.15%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 623 of 648 total games including 0 tie(s) (96.14%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.26 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.30

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Colquitt County4-095.791Lee County4-081.92
2Grayson2-192.322Coffee4-074.68
3North Gwinnett2-190.373Glynn Academy2-172.34
4Archer2-183.284Tucker1-271.70
5Parkview2-082.145Harrison4-068.80
6McEachern2-181.806Creekview4-067.47
7Walton3-081.377Valdosta2-267.09
8Lowndes3-178.978Mays1-265.85
9Milton3-078.869Northside (Warner Robins)2-265.80
10Mill Creek2-276.4610Allatoona1-262.38
11Brookwood3-175.3811Sequoyah3-062.31
12Tift County3-174.0812Alpharetta1-161.42
13Hillgrove3-073.8613Douglas County2-161.13
14North Cobb3-072.6414Brunswick1-258.51
15South Forsyth3-171.9615Dacula1-257.23
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Rome3-089.761Cartersville3-085.96
2Buford2-186.142Blessed Trinity4-084.72
3Warner Robins3-075.013Marist3-075.32
4Stockbridge3-074.544Mary Persons4-068.09
5Jones County4-069.975St. Pius X3-165.63
6Carrollton3-065.476Troup3-064.52
7Ware County3-165.257Flowery Branch3-061.37
8Kell2-165.108Eastside3-060.83
9Dutchtown4-065.029Burke County1-260.26
10Wayne County3-063.0610Chapel Hill3-059.63
11Griffin2-161.5311Woodward Academy1-256.55
12Clarke Central3-158.2212Thomson1-256.18
13Southwest DeKalb4-056.5513Sandy Creek2-155.15
14Bainbridge2-255.0014Ridgeland1-255.01
15Veterans4-054.2615Oconee County3-153.85
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Benedictine1-172.701Hapeville Charter2-073.25
2Calhoun3-072.232Thomasville3-162.39
3Cedar Grove3-171.683Callaway3-059.29
4Peach County2-169.374Rabun County2-157.53
5Greater Atlanta Christian1-263.845Brooks County2-157.00
6Westminster (Atlanta)2-261.456Rockmart3-056.71
7Monroe Area4-058.447Dodge County3-055.55
8Jefferson2-156.758Bremen3-055.33
9Pace Academy2-255.479Fitzgerald3-152.31
10Lovett1-354.2110Washington County3-050.98
11Dawson County3-048.6511Vidalia3-050.02
12North Hall3-047.1712Dublin3-048.88
13Liberty County2-146.7513Heard County1-245.94
14Crisp County1-346.7014Douglass3-042.51
15Westside (Macon)2-244.6115Swainsboro2-141.78
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Clinch County3-059.981Eagle's Landing Christian2-164.08
2Irwin County3-058.302Prince Avenue Christian4-053.08
3Mount Zion (Carroll)3-043.473Athens Academy3-052.74
4Commerce3-042.884Mount Paran Christian1-147.49
5Marion County3-037.405Darlington3-045.81
6Dooly County1-237.036Calvary Day2-043.82
7Manchester2-136.837George Walton Academy3-041.22
8Lincoln County2-135.218Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)3-040.82
9Pelham3-035.099Aquinas3-039.97
10Emanuel County Institute0-334.1510Fellowship Christian3-038.32
11Turner County2-134.1411Savannah Christian2-137.38
12Charlton County2-134.1212Savannah Country Day3-036.20
13Mitchell County2-132.7013Wesleyan0-335.38
14Trion3-032.5314Mount Vernon Presbyterian2-130.87
15Macon County0-231.7215Stratford Academy1-230.43

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA4-095.7969.2414
2 [2]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA2-192.3271.7210
3 [3]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA2-190.3773.018
4 [1]Rome7 - AAAAA3-089.7658.5647
5 [2]Buford8 - AAAAA2-186.1458.6546
6 [1]Cartersville5 - AAAA3-085.9633.16249
7 [2]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA4-084.7266.8218
8 [4]Archer8 - AAAAAAA2-183.2877.014
9 [5]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA2-082.1471.5911
10 [1]Lee County1 - AAAAAA4-081.9244.09143
11 [6]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA2-181.8068.9915
12 [7]Walton4 - AAAAAAA3-081.3760.0642
13 [8]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA3-178.9744.27139
14 [9]Milton5 - AAAAAAA3-078.8673.009
15 [10]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA2-276.4674.526
16 [11]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA3-175.3862.4229
17 [3]Marist7 - AAAA3-075.3257.8352
18 [3]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA3-075.0154.5071
19 [2]Coffee1 - AAAAAA4-074.6853.6677
20 [4]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA3-074.5448.65105
21 [12]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-174.0854.1372
22 [13]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA3-073.8653.4781
23 [1]Hapeville Charter6 - AA2-073.2541.04173
24 [1]Benedictine3 - AAA1-172.7073.147
25 [14]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA3-072.6455.8765
26 [3]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-172.346.98391
27 [2]Calhoun6 - AAA3-072.2331.82262
28 [15]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-171.9661.0936
29 [16]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-271.9577.653
30 [17]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA1-371.7481.771
31 [4]Tucker4 - AAAAAA1-271.7078.582
32 [3]Cedar Grove5 - AAA3-171.6857.0757
33 [18]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA3-071.2851.4992
34 [5]Jones County4 - AAAAA4-069.9745.91127
35 [19]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA3-169.6454.0473
36 [4]Peach County4 - AAA2-169.3765.1023
37 [5]Harrison6 - AAAAAA4-068.8042.89158
38 [4]Mary Persons2 - AAAA4-068.0940.04183
39 [6]Creekview6 - AAAAAA4-067.4745.64131
40 [7]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA2-267.0960.1940
41 [20]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA3-166.8060.4637
42 [21]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-066.4641.77167
43 [8]Mays5 - AAAAAA1-265.8560.3439
44 [9]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA2-265.8057.5353
45 [5]St. Pius X8 - AAAA3-165.6347.12119
46 [6]Carrollton7 - AAAAA3-065.4744.01145
47 [7]Ware County2 - AAAAA3-165.2560.4038
48 [8]Kell7 - AAAAA2-165.1063.2427
49 [9]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA4-065.0247.45117
50 [22]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA3-064.8238.94197
51 [6]Troup5 - AAAA3-064.5243.66148
52 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A2-164.0840.59178
53 [5]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA1-263.8456.5360
54 [10]Wayne County2 - AAAAA3-063.0629.61281
55 [23]Newton8 - AAAAAAA2-162.5149.25100
56 [2]Thomasville1 - AA3-162.3962.0231
57 [10]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA1-262.3865.9921
58 [11]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA3-062.3141.51170
59 [24]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA2-261.8258.6944
60 [11]Griffin3 - AAAAA2-161.5351.9589
61 [6]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA2-261.4565.4122
62 [12]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA1-161.4264.7024
63 [7]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA3-061.3743.79147
64 [13]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA2-161.1353.9274
65 [8]Eastside4 - AAAA3-060.8349.08102
66 [25]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-360.4675.715
67 [9]Burke County3 - AAAA1-260.2657.0756
68 [26]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-260.1668.7216
69 [1]Clinch County2 - A3-059.9839.69186
70 [10]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA3-059.6349.6796
71 [3]Callaway5 - AA3-059.29-9.53416
72 [27]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-359.2570.4612
73 [14]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA1-258.5150.6195
74 [7]Monroe Area8 - AAA4-058.4437.92207
75 [28]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-258.4161.8933
76 [2]Irwin County2 - A3-058.3044.25140
77 [12]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA3-158.2255.1767
78 [4]Rabun County8 - AA2-157.5344.13142
79 [15]Dacula8 - AAAAAA1-257.2362.3730
80 [5]Brooks County1 - AA2-157.0049.6697
81 [29]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA1-256.8257.9251
82 [8]Jefferson8 - AAA2-156.7545.19133
83 [6]Rockmart7 - AA3-056.7142.55161
84 [13]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA4-056.5537.73210
85 [11]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA1-256.5560.0941
86 [12]Thomson3 - AAAA1-256.1851.6091
87 [30]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-355.6570.0713
88 [16]Dalton6 - AAAAAA2-155.6544.45137
89 [7]Dodge County3 - AA3-055.5541.83166
90 [31]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA2-255.5253.8875
91 [32]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA3-055.4843.39151
92 [9]Pace Academy5 - AAA2-255.4753.5080
93 [8]Bremen5 - AA3-055.3345.29132
94 [13]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA2-155.1540.89174
95 [14]Ridgeland6 - AAAA1-255.0163.9325
96 [14]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA2-255.0044.25141
97 [15]Veterans1 - AAAAA4-054.2640.86175
98 [10]Lovett5 - AAA1-354.2163.4626
99 [17]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA2-154.1237.37214
100 [15]Oconee County8 - AAAA3-153.8548.31108
101 [33]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-253.8358.6645
102 [2]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A4-053.0826.15304
103 [18]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-253.0558.0450
104 [3]Athens Academy8 - A3-052.7428.60286
105 [16]Cairo1 - AAAA1-252.6552.9087
106 [9]Fitzgerald1 - AA3-152.3140.36179
107 [17]Cedartown5 - AAAA1-252.0252.3788
108 [19]Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-351.3366.3220
109 [16]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-351.0966.3519
110 [10]Washington County3 - AA3-050.9835.30231
111 [20]Centennial7 - AAAAAA1-250.9559.7043
112 [21]Northgate5 - AAAAAA1-250.7456.4661
113 [17]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA2-150.6945.78129
114 [18]West Laurens2 - AAAA2-150.6640.03184
115 [34]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-150.6542.65160
116 [35]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-050.6032.12259
117 [22]Lanier8 - AAAAAA1-250.5453.2384
118 [23]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA3-150.5325.51308
119 [36]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-250.5057.0954
120 [18]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA2-250.3453.5279
121 [19]Banneker6 - AAAAA2-150.2248.25109
122 [19]Perry2 - AAAA4-050.1439.00194
123 [11]Vidalia2 - AA3-050.0232.30257
124 [37]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA2-149.1443.47150
125 [38]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-148.9142.92157
126 [12]Dublin3 - AA3-048.8834.58238
127 [20]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA1-248.8146.51122
128 [11]Dawson County7 - AAA3-048.6530.62269
129 [39]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA2-248.2451.7590
130 [21]Hiram7 - AAAAA2-148.1545.13134
131 [20]Howard2 - AAAA3-147.7336.96218
132 [4]Mount Paran Christian6 - A1-147.4936.98217
133 [12]North Hall7 - AAA3-047.1729.10284
134 [21]Spalding2 - AAAA2-247.0846.43124
135 [22]East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-247.0154.9969
136 [23]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA2-246.9156.7759
137 [24]Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-246.7737.43213
138 [13]Liberty County2 - AAA2-146.7539.24189
139 [25]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA1-246.7353.7176
140 [14]Crisp County1 - AAA1-346.7058.2149
141 [26]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA2-146.7040.67177
142 [22]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA4-046.6029.56282
143 [27]Alexander5 - AAAAAA1-246.2046.89120
144 [24]Ola4 - AAAAA1-346.1656.9158
145 [13]Heard County5 - AA1-245.9455.9564
146 [40]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-245.8863.1328
147 [5]Darlington6 - A3-045.8129.88277
148 [25]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA2-245.3242.49162
149 [23]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-245.1647.66116
150 [24]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA3-045.1332.77252
151 [15]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA2-244.6143.03155
152 [26]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA0-344.5156.4062
153 [25]Pickens6 - AAAA3-044.2323.07323
154 [6]Calvary Day3 - A2-043.822.49402
155 [26]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA1-243.5848.05112
156 [28]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA2-143.5429.81279
157 [3]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A3-043.4720.82338
158 [16]Pierce County2 - AAA4-043.3911.41372
159 [27]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA2-143.1827.03295
160 [29]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-343.1554.9070
161 [28]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA2-143.1028.87285
162 [30]Creekside5 - AAAAAA1-243.0757.0955
163 [29]Loganville8 - AAAAA2-143.0240.33181
164 [30]Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-142.9443.36152
165 [4]Commerce8 - A3-042.8826.89296
166 [14]Douglass6 - AA3-042.5125.08310
167 [31]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-342.3948.91103
168 [17]Jenkins3 - AAA2-142.2632.02260
169 [18]Pike County4 - AAA3-042.140.64406
170 [31]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA1-242.1255.1768
171 [32]Riverwood6 - AAAAA2-142.0534.58239
172 [15]Swainsboro2 - AA2-141.7836.94219
173 [41]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-341.5358.2448
174 [16]Jefferson County4 - AA1-241.2437.81209
175 [7]George Walton Academy8 - A3-041.2229.99276
176 [32]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA1-241.1453.1086
177 [8]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A3-040.8230.64268
178 [33]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-240.7147.74115
179 [27]Stephens County8 - AAAA2-240.5741.59169
180 [28]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA2-140.152.24404
181 [29]Columbus1 - AAAA2-140.1139.07193
182 [34]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA3-040.0026.30301
183 [9]Aquinas7 - A3-039.9721.83327
184 [17]Early County1 - AA3-139.6335.85227
185 [33]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-139.2132.70253
186 [35]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA2-139.2033.58245
187 [36]Riverdale3 - AAAAA3-139.1734.73235
188 [30]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-139.0333.75242
189 [19]Appling County2 - AAA1-238.9946.44123
190 [37]Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-338.9753.2085
191 [34]Pope7 - AAAAAA0-338.8461.4134
192 [31]Baldwin3 - AAAA0-438.7761.9232
193 [35]Northview7 - AAAAAA2-138.5934.34240
194 [18]Elbert County8 - AA2-138.5030.33271
195 [36]Evans3 - AAAAAA0-438.4348.39107
196 [10]Fellowship Christian6 - A3-038.3220.40342
197 [32]Hardaway1 - AAAA2-138.1826.41300
198 [37]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-237.9648.02113
199 [38]Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-337.9655.9663
200 [38]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA1-237.9042.41164
201 [5]Marion County4 - A3-037.4011.82370
202 [11]Savannah Christian3 - A2-137.3838.97196
203 [19]Southwest3 - AA2-137.3735.31230
204 [20]North Murray6 - AAA2-137.3133.73243
205 [21]Jackson4 - AAA1-237.2148.19111
206 [22]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA3-037.1924.94313
207 [39]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA3-137.1231.94261
208 [6]Dooly County4 - A1-237.0346.70121
209 [23]Cook1 - AAA2-236.9838.40201
210 [33]North Oconee8 - AAAA3-136.9829.79280
211 [7]Manchester4 - A2-136.8324.64316
212 [20]Bleckley County3 - AA2-136.5731.26267
213 [21]Chattooga7 - AA2-136.4330.18274
214 [42]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-236.4238.10203
215 [22]Screven County4 - AA1-236.2936.85220
216 [12]Savannah Country Day3 - A3-036.2013.66364
217 [23]Northeast3 - AA1-236.0543.01156
218 [40]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-235.9640.79176
219 [41]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA1-335.8748.52106
220 [34]Salem4 - AAAA1-235.8146.35125
221 [35]LaGrange5 - AAAA1-235.7045.68130
222 [39]Harris County1 - AAAAA0-435.6749.4699
223 [36]Denmark7 - AAAA3-035.6121.17333
224 [24]Pepperell7 - AA1-235.4638.87198
225 [13]Wesleyan5 - A0-335.3847.31118
226 [42]Drew4 - AAAAAA0-335.3453.3782
227 [43]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-435.3161.2735
228 [8]Lincoln County7 - A2-135.2129.36283
229 [44]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-335.1355.8466
230 [40]Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-135.1026.28302
231 [9]Pelham1 - A3-035.09-7.15414
232 [25]Union County8 - AA3-034.9012.69367
233 [45]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-434.8466.8517
234 [41]South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-234.2937.29215
235 [10]Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-334.1544.43138
236 [11]Turner County2 - A2-134.1426.52298
237 [12]Charlton County2 - A2-134.1227.37290
238 [37]West Hall7 - AAAA1-333.9343.09154
239 [26]Hephzibah4 - AA2-133.9033.93241
240 [27]Berrien1 - AA3-133.6627.28291
241 [43]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA2-133.0924.19319
242 [38]White County7 - AAAA1-232.8133.04250
243 [13]Mitchell County1 - A2-132.7024.48318
244 [14]Trion6 - A3-032.539.41382
245 [44]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA1-332.4638.03204
246 [24]Adairsville6 - AAA2-132.3423.04324
247 [42]Columbia5 - AAAAA1-332.3350.7994
248 [46]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-332.2753.2983
249 [39]Westover1 - AAAA1-232.2634.69237
250 [25]Ringgold6 - AAA1-232.0537.91208
251 [15]Macon County4 - A0-231.7236.23223
252 [28]Metter2 - AA3-031.4921.41331
253 [47]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-231.2346.18126
254 [29]Washington6 - AA2-231.2032.46256
255 [45]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-331.1544.06144
256 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA2-231.1434.93233
257 [30]Jeff Davis2 - AA4-031.0315.09359
258 [14]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A2-130.8727.12293
259 [16]Telfair County2 - A2-130.7818.44352
260 [40]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-230.4837.98205
261 [15]Stratford Academy7 - A1-230.4333.27247
262 [43]Cass7 - AAAAA1-230.4234.71236
263 [48]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-230.3848.23110
264 [44]Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-030.318.62384
265 [17]Claxton3 - A3-030.2021.47330
266 [26]Hart County8 - AAA1-330.1537.49212
267 [16]Whitefield Academy6 - A2-130.1020.88337
268 [27]Morgan County8 - AAA1-330.0936.73222
269 [45]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA1-230.0142.43163
270 [31]Harlem4 - AA2-129.8823.96321
271 [49]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-129.7529.84278
272 [50]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-329.5143.22153
273 [41]Luella4 - AAAA1-229.1144.79136
274 [42]Hampton4 - AAAA1-229.0237.49211
275 [28]Sonoraville6 - AAA1-228.8045.80128
276 [51]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA2-128.5125.78306
277 [32]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-228.3342.69159
278 [17]Hebron Christian Academy8 - A1-228.2241.64168
279 [18]Tattnall Square7 - A1-328.0636.13224
280 [52]Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-328.0449.13101
281 [53]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA0-327.7550.8093
282 [46]Decatur6 - AAAAA1-227.6035.05232
283 [29]Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-327.4944.91135
284 [43]Madison County8 - AAAA1-327.0633.31246
285 [33]Spencer5 - AA0-426.9038.39202
286 [30]East Hall7 - AAA1-326.7439.23190
287 [54]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-326.6043.84146
288 [47]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-226.5524.97312
289 [55]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-226.4739.16191
290 [18]Schley County4 - A2-126.0921.62328
291 [44]Shaw1 - AAAA2-125.8220.23344
292 [48]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-225.6728.45287
293 [34]South Atlanta6 - AA2-125.5910.48376
294 [49]McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-325.5731.81263
295 [31]Windsor Forest3 - AAA2-125.4521.11334
296 [35]Toombs County2 - AA2-225.1920.50341
297 [32]Monroe1 - AAA2-225.1819.52348
298 [47]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-225.0432.86251
299 [33]Tattnall County2 - AAA0-324.9639.28188
300 [19]Mount de Sales7 - A3-024.7314.10363
301 [50]Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-324.6336.06226
302 [56]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA1-324.5235.45228
303 [36]Coosa7 - AA0-324.2540.32182
304 [37]Lamar County5 - AA2-124.19-3.65412
305 [20]Holy Innocents5 - A2-124.0817.93353
306 [38]Laney4 - AA2-124.0720.57340
307 [19]McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-223.9449.6598
308 [45]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-323.8530.56270
309 [34]Jackson County8 - AAA2-223.5622.24326
310 [35]Franklin County8 - AAA1-223.5031.80264
311 [20]Taylor County4 - A1-223.4624.87314
312 [46]North Clayton4 - AAAA0-322.9953.6178
313 [21]Brookstone4 - A1-122.974.48398
314 [21]Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-322.7732.49255
315 [22]Pinecrest Academy6 - A1-222.7126.26303
316 [36]Worth County1 - AAA0-421.3243.63149
317 [22]Wilcox County2 - A2-121.2017.59354
318 [51]Grady6 - AAAAA0-321.0136.83221
319 [23]Johnson County3 - A2-020.779.55380
320 [24]Atkinson County2 - A2-120.7418.81350
321 [47]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA2-120.495.96394
322 [25]Greene County7 - A1-120.3821.39332
323 [39]McNair6 - AA2-119.8424.58317
324 [40]Butler4 - AA2-119.5921.08336
325 [37]Savannah3 - AAA0-319.5038.73200
326 [41]Bacon County2 - AA0-419.4639.94185
327 [48]Chestatee7 - AAAA0-319.3142.09165
328 [42]Therrell6 - AA1-219.0141.33171
329 [23]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A1-318.7324.00320
330 [26]Hancock Central7 - A2-118.6814.38362
331 [24]North Cobb Christian6 - A3-018.4410.87374
332 [27]Jenkins County3 - A1-218.3420.34343
333 [25]Christian Heritage6 - A3-018.144.02399
334 [49]Henry County4 - AAAA0-317.8736.11225
335 [26]Athens Christian8 - A2-217.6419.51349
336 [52]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-117.62-2.32411
337 [50]Dougherty1 - AAAA0-317.1748.01114
338 [27]First Presbyterian7 - A0-316.6831.50266
339 [43]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA1-316.2627.10294
340 [38]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA2-115.959.44381
341 [39]Redan5 - AAA0-415.8230.19273
342 [28]Miller County1 - A1-115.8015.04360
343 [40]Brantley County2 - AAA0-315.7630.02275
344 [51]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-215.7015.54357
345 [28]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-315.6737.92206
346 [44]Bryan County2 - AA1-215.3525.08311
347 [45]Temple5 - AA1-215.2719.53347
348 [41]Islands3 - AAA0-314.4638.79199
349 [52]LaFayette6 - AAAA3-114.129.83378
350 [29]Bowdon6 - A0-313.9134.74234
351 [42]Haralson County6 - AAA2-013.45-2.26410
352 [43]Beach3 - AAA0-313.0938.99195
353 [46]Banks County8 - AA1-212.8414.80361
354 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-312.7439.10192
355 [47]Putnam County8 - AA1-212.6923.57322
356 [29]Strong Rock Christian5 - A1-212.5226.56297
357 [30]Chattahoochee County1 - A1-212.4925.66307
358 [48]East Laurens3 - AA1-311.7925.87305
359 [49]Monticello8 - AA1-211.5518.54351
360 [53]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-111.395.84395
361 [50]Model7 - AA0-310.9827.43289
362 [31]Hawkinsville4 - A1-210.5321.09335
363 [44]Lumpkin County7 - AAA2-210.148.24386
364 [30]St. Francis6 - A1-210.0011.28373
365 [32]Wilkinson County7 - A0-39.9939.58187
366 [31]Walker6 - A0-39.7524.65315
367 [33]Montgomery County3 - A1-29.6012.76366
368 [34]Seminole County1 - A2-19.522.44403
369 [45]Towers5 - AAA0-49.4326.44299
370 [46]Kendrick4 - AAA1-38.7021.48329
371 [53]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA3-17.96-0.18407
372 [54]Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-37.8341.27172
373 [51]Glenn Hills4 - AA0-37.7525.21309
374 [35]Towns County8 - A2-17.5233.61244
375 [32]Landmark Christian5 - A1-27.3011.78371
376 [36]Warren County7 - A2-17.301.35405
377 [47]Long County2 - AAA0-36.1837.07216
378 [48]Fannin County7 - AAA1-26.1612.02369
379 [52]Jordan5 - AA0-35.7820.09345
380 [53]Social Circle8 - AA2-05.30-29.47421
381 [49]Rutland4 - AAA0-34.5027.26292
382 [37]Gordon Lee6 - A1-24.2410.57375
383 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-44.0940.34180
384 [38]Portal3 - A1-22.577.94388
385 [54]Dade County7 - AA0-32.5519.68346
386 [55]Armuchee7 - AA1-22.3315.13358
387 [33]Riverside Military Academy8 - A1-21.685.69396
388 [56]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-21.1735.33229
389 [50]Murray County6 - AAA0-31.0212.60368
390 [39]Wheeler County3 - A1-20.927.99387
391 [40]Lanier County2 - A0-3-2.168.30385
392 [34]Georgia Military College7 - A3-0-2.31-32.82422
393 [57]Josey4 - AA0-2-2.4517.19356
394 [41]Greenville4 - A0-2-2.4633.17248
395 [42]Calhoun County1 - A1-2-2.587.23389
396 [43]Terrell County1 - A0-3-2.6317.25355
397 [35]Providence Christian8 - A2-1-2.84-6.79413
398 [36]Lakeview Academy8 - A0-3-3.369.96377
399 [44]Treutlen3 - A2-1-3.40-18.88418
400 [58]Gordon Central7 - AA1-2-4.247.21390
401 [51]Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-4-5.3532.55254
402 [48]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA1-2-6.2413.60365
403 [52]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-2-6.8730.30272
404 [53]East Jackson8 - AAA1-2-6.983.21400
405 [54]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-4-7.1132.13258
406 [37]King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-2-8.33-0.58408
407 [45]Crawford County4 - A2-1-8.65-20.12419
408 [38]Pacelli4 - A1-2-8.919.61379
409 [55]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-3-12.0531.56265
410 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-3-14.6448.84104
411 [46]Baconton Charter1 - A1-2-15.646.04393
412 [47]Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-3-16.3522.36325
413 [54]Gilmer6 - AAAA0-4-16.512.81401
414 [48]Twiggs County7 - A0-3-17.898.63383
415 [59]Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-3-18.59-0.88409
416 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-4-18.6520.71339
417 [49]Stewart County1 - A2-1-19.24-20.44420
418 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-3-22.6327.79288
419 [1]Glascock County7 - A†0-4-32.10-7.16415
420 [2]Pataula Charter1 - A†1-2-49.14-16.94417
421 [3]ACE Charter7 - A†1-3-50.344.70397
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-4-53.596.74392

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA90.0879.04
28 - AAAAAAA84.8761.15
33 - AAAAAAA81.6369.62
46 - AAAAAAA81.3556.64
51 - AAAAAA79.7067.91
67 - AAAAAAA78.1956.84
77 - AAAAA76.6249.53
84 - AAAAAAA76.5162.05
97 - AAAA76.4146.24
105 - AAAA75.3954.38
115 - AAAAAAA74.0757.11
128 - AAAAA72.1542.50
134 - AAAAA71.7853.11
146 - AAAAAA70.0350.71
151 - AAAAA67.8553.78
162 - AAAAAA66.9853.95
175 - AAA66.0542.09
182 - AAAAAAA65.9554.82
195 - AAAAAA63.6546.12
202 - AAAA63.4650.98
212 - AAAAA63.2049.41
221 - AA61.0849.24
234 - AAAAAA60.8437.12
248 - AAAA59.3644.30
253 - AAAA58.4045.17
264 - AAA57.4833.54
276 - AA57.4229.07
287 - AAAAAA56.7339.46
293 - AAAAA56.4740.50
308 - AAAAAA56.3744.01
313 - AAA56.0821.27
326 - AAA55.3823.81
333 - AA55.2740.70
342 - A55.2231.85
357 - AAA55.2127.65
365 - AA55.2032.71
374 - AAAA54.7431.35
388 - AAA53.8030.91
391 - AAAA52.7737.47
405 - A51.7127.40
418 - A51.2023.52
 8-Div A - A52.1335.59
 8-Div B - A34.1413.62
426 - AAAAA50.1534.16
435 - AAAAA49.8433.80
446 - AAAA48.6827.73
456 - A47.8622.88
 6-Div A - A43.1124.73
 6-Div B - A41.4621.22
468 - AA46.1618.39
472 - AA45.8930.27
487 - AA45.7419.14
492 - AAA45.6030.00
503 - AAAAAA44.7334.48
513 - A43.1021.75
 3-Div A - A43.3330.39
 3-Div B - A28.5013.15
521 - AAA42.8832.33
534 - A40.5617.71
 4-Div B - A35.7121.68
 4-Div A - A34.7611.29
544 - AA40.5522.06
557 - A39.0619.23
 7-Div B - A36.2120.50
 7-Div A - A30.4317.76
561 - A29.593.73

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
08/24ShilohDiscovery0 - 316.5865.9%0.353
08/24Eagle's Landing ChristianPace Academy16 - 177.3167.5%0.400
08/31Southeast WhitfieldCoahulla Creek9 - 633.8596.7%0.403
08/17ArcherMilton19 - 214.4260.9%0.441
09/07Emanuel County InstituteMetter13 - 143.9659.8%0.450
08/31Liberty CountyStatesboro6 - 232.5256.3%0.451
08/24Greater Atlanta ChristianWestminster (Atlanta)21 - 223.6959.1%0.454
08/24East PauldingUpson-Lee16 - 213.1557.8%0.454
09/07ManchesterNortheast6 - 192.0855.2%0.463
08/17ChattoogaAdairsville20 - 212.7856.9%0.466
08/18Rabun CountyBremen10 - 132.2055.5%0.471
08/24TemplePutnam County7 - 281.2853.2%0.474
08/24NewtonEastside20 - 271.6854.2%0.475
08/17North ForsythCherokee16 - 181.9754.9%0.476
08/17JeffersonOconee County13 - 201.6054.0%0.476

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
93.9409/21Colquitt CountyGrayson - 2.1755.4%
85.2610/12GraysonArcher - 10.3473.8%
84.6509/21BufordArcher - 1.5553.9%
84.4309/14North GwinnettWalton - 7.7068.4%
84.3608/18Colquitt CountyMcEachern41 - 713.9980.2%
80.5908/17ArcherMilton19 - 214.4260.9%
80.4910/26Colquitt CountyLowndes - 18.1286.0%
80.0608/31ParkviewLowndes39 - 274.4761.0%
79.9809/21ParkviewMilton - 4.5761.2%
78.3208/18WaltonMill Creek48 - 274.9162.0%
78.2810/05North GwinnettMill Creek - 15.2182.1%
78.2709/07ArcherMill Creek42 - 08.1269.3%
78.0210/19ParkviewBrookwood - 5.4663.3%
77.8608/18North GwinnettBrookwood37 - 215.0081.8%
77.6709/14Colquitt CountyWarner Robins - 19.4887.5%

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