Sports

Maxwell Week 7 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 1, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 1

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
27.83 AAA Spencer 62.0% 5 Southwest AAA
23.91 AAAA Riverdale 71.2% 9 Pike County AAAA
15.05 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 98.8% 39 Morrow AAAAA

Oct 2

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
81.26 AAAAAA Roswell 58.2% 4 Walton AAAAAA
79.36 AAAAAA Colquitt County 89.8% 22 Lowndes AAAAAA
75.97 AAAAAA Valdosta 54.0% 2 Camden County AAAAAA
74.65 AAAAAA Norcross 73.3% 10 North Gwinnett AAAAAA
73.91 AAAAAA Tift County 50.0% 0 Lee County AAAAAA
73.72 AAAAA Mays 60.2% 4 Creekside AAAAA
69.79 AAAAAA Dacula 69.2% 8 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
69.71 AAAAAA Tucker 75.7% 12 Newton AAAAAA
67.72 AAAAAA North Cobb 62.9% 6 Hillgrove AAAAAA
65.76 AAAAAA East Coweta 65.5% 7 Westlake AAAAAA
64.43 AAAAA Allatoona 76.8% 12 Alexander AAAAA
63.27 AAA Jefferson 64.0% 6 Elbert County AAA
62.50 AAAAAA Grayson 95.9% 31 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
61.29 AAAAAA Wheeler 67.6% 8 Cherokee AAAAAA
61.23 AAAAAA Harrison 59.4% 4 North Paulding AAAAAA
59.67 AAAAAA Lassiter 64.3% 6 Woodstock AAAAAA
59.46 AAAA Thomson 54.3% 2 Burke County AAAA
59.02 AAAAA South Paulding 77.5% 13 New Manchester AAAAA
58.62 AAAAA Creekview 62.1% 5 Dalton AAAAA
57.22 AAAAA Drew 53.6% 2 Starr's Mill AAAAA
56.66 AAAAAA Brookwood 75.4% 11 Shiloh AAAAAA
56.46 AAAAAA McEachern 96.3% 32 Marietta AAAAAA
56.22 AAAAA East Paulding 80.7% 14 Paulding County AAAAA
54.49 AAAAA Jones County 73.6% 10 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAA
54.05 AAAA West Laurens 63.7% 6 Upson-Lee AAAA
53.61 AAAA Spalding 65.4% 7 Griffin AAAA
52.88 AAAAA Sprayberry 55.7% 3 Riverwood AAAAA
52.75 AAAAAA Collins Hill 84.4% 17 Mountain View AAAAAA
52.45 AA Benedictine 92.7% 25 Wayne County AAAA
52.32 AAAAA Stockbridge 89.4% 21 Dutchtown AAAAA
51.95 AAA Calhoun 92.7% 25 Adairsville AAA
51.55 AAAAA Gainesville 87.5% 19 Salem AAAAA
51.44 AAAA Thomas County Central 65.3% 7 Monroe AAAA
49.50 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 77.7% 13 Tri-Cities AAAAA
49.20 AAAAA M. L. King 56.9% 3 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
49.14 AAAA St. Pius X 86.6% 19 Columbia AAAA
48.77 AAAAA Stephenson 94.9% 29 Miller Grove AAAAA
48.12 AAAAA Winder-Barrow 54.5% 2 Flowery Branch AAAAA
47.74 AAAA Baldwin 54.8% 2 Veterans AAAA
47.70 A Irwin County 59.0% 4 Charlton County A
47.50 AAAAA South Effingham 76.1% 12 Brunswick AAAAA
47.31 AAA Westside (Macon) 82.3% 16 Jackson AAA
46.91 AAAAAA Newnan 87.9% 20 Douglas County AAAAAA
46.51 AAAAA LaGrange 71.2% 9 Columbus AAAAA
46.49 AAA Laney 50.1% 0 Washington County AAA
46.45 AAAAA Coffee 93.3% 26 Statesboro AAAAA
46.16 AAA Peach County 74.0% 11 Central (Macon) AAA
44.97 AA Fitzgerald 92.1% 24 Thomasville AA
43.97 AA Jefferson County 61.6% 5 Dublin AA
43.64 AAAA Howard 64.1% 6 Perry AAAA
43.33 AAAAAA Archer 99.0% 39 Berkmar AAAAAA
43.25 AA Darlington 60.3% 4 Model AA
43.15 AAAAA Effingham County 80.0% 14 Richmond Hill AAAAA
42.92 AAAA North Oconee 80.9% 15 North Hall AAAA
42.71 AAAA Stephens County 76.4% 12 Monroe Area AAAA
42.06 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 98.5% 38 Duluth AAAAAA
41.99 AAAA Marist 95.4% 30 Lithonia AAAA
41.53 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 75.2% 11 Ola AAAAA
41.39 AAAAA Warner Robins 89.9% 22 Evans AAAAA
41.32 AA Wesleyan 81.8% 15 Hapeville AA
40.90 AAAAAA South Cobb 76.9% 12 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
40.55 AAAAAA Etowah 95.9% 31 Pope AAAAAA
40.16 AAAA Bainbridge 93.0% 26 Americus-Sumter AAAA
39.10 AAAAA Villa Rica 69.7% 9 Chapel Hill AAAAA
38.75 A Prince Avenue Christian 82.8% 16 Commerce A
38.36 AAA Jackson County 65.7% 7 Oconee County AAA
38.17 A Marion County 73.3% 10 Pacelli A
38.12 AAAAA Luella 56.6% 3 Union Grove AAAAA
37.63 AAA Pierce County 81.5% 15 Brantley County AAA
35.72 AAAAA Harris County 82.7% 16 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
35.43 AAA Cook 78.8% 13 Tattnall County AAA
35.34 AAAA Pickens 81.4% 15 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
35.30 AAAA Cartersville 98.5% 38 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
34.88 AAAAA Northgate 96.3% 32 McIntosh AAAAA
34.83 AAA East Hall 50.7% 1 Dawson County AAA
34.28 AA Brooks County 88.6% 21 Berrien AA
34.06 AAAA Ridgeland 54.9% 2 Gilmer AAAA
33.73 AAAAAA Lovejoy 93.2% 26 Rockdale County AAAAAA
33.59 A Stratford Academy 58.6% 4 First Presbyterian A
33.58 AAAAAA Hughes 95.9% 31 Campbell AAAAAA
33.20 AA Bowdon 57.3% 3 Manchester AA
33.07 AA Chattooga 54.8% 2 Coosa AA
32.80 A Christian Heritage 52.7% 1 Trion A
32.59 AAAA Redan 61.1% 5 Chamblee AAAA
31.95 AAAAAA Mill Creek 99.7% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
30.97 AA Early County 83.3% 16 Seminole County AA
30.77 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 67.2% 7 Holy Innocents AA
30.24 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 54.4% 2 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
30.24 A Greenville 52.3% 1 Hawkinsville A
29.78 AAAAA Glynn Academy 96.6% 32 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
29.62 AA Washington-Wilkes 59.4% 4 Greene County AA
29.38 AAAAA Cass 94.1% 27 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
28.98 AAAAA Hiram 83.8% 17 Lithia Springs AAAAA
28.82 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 99.4% 40 Richmond Academy AAAAA
28.51 AAA Franklin County 51.3% 1 Lumpkin County AAA
27.00 AAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 69.6% 8 Alcovy AAAAAA
26.95 A Wilkinson County 75.3% 11 Tattnall Square A
26.19 AAAAA Loganville 95.2% 29 Apalachee AAAAA
25.47 AAAAA Houston County 99.0% 39 Cross Creek AAAAA
25.17 AA Vidalia 82.1% 15 Long County AA
24.23 AA Swainsboro 60.4% 5 East Laurens AA
23.86 AAAAA Cambridge 95.6% 30 North Atlanta AAAAA
23.81 A Landmark Christian 90.1% 22 Rockmart AAA
23.60 A Aquinas 91.0% 23 Hancock Central A
23.58 AAAA White County 84.9% 17 Madison County AAAA
23.38 AAAA Whitewater 94.2% 28 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
23.33 AAA Southeast Bulloch 76.3% 12 Beach AAA
22.78 AAAA Worth County 96.6% 32 Dougherty AAAA
22.74 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 74.8% 11 Walker A
22.44 AAA Fannin County 53.4% 2 Banks County AAA
22.31 AAAAAA Kennesaw Mountain 92.5% 25 Osborne AAAAAA
21.90 AAAAA Kell 97.6% 35 North Springs AAAAA
21.59 AAAA Buford 99.8% 41 Chestatee AAAA
20.90 A Telfair County 74.2% 11 Wilcox County A
20.81 A Clinch County 94.3% 28 Atkinson County A
20.51 AAA Dodge County 95.6% 30 Toombs County AAA
20.35 AAA Rutland 64.5% 6 Jordan AAA
20.23 A Brookstone 84.5% 17 Taylor County A
19.12 A Pinecrest Academy 87.6% 20 Whitefield Academy A
18.40 AAA Westside (Augusta) 51.8% 1 Josey AAA
17.81 AAAAA Rome 97.6% 35 River Ridge AAAAA
17.48 AA Screven County 86.2% 18 Harlem AA
17.02 A Twiggs County 57.1% 3 Mount de Sales A
16.94 A Miller County 68.5% 8 Randolph-Clay A
16.83 A Fellowship Christian 68.6% 8 King's Ridge Christian A
15.99 AAAAA Shaw 89.0% 21 Hardaway AAAAA
14.92 A Treutlen 68.1% 8 Wheeler County A
14.04 AAA Butler 59.1% 4 Glenn Hills AAA
13.75 A Lincoln County 96.6% 32 Warren County A
13.45 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 78.6% 13 LaFayette AAAA
12.83 A Claxton 73.1% 10 Portal A
12.27 AAA Johnson (Savannah) 56.5% 3 Savannah AAA
11.95 AAAA Crisp County 94.2% 27 Albany AAAA
11.94 AA Bremen 84.2% 17 Temple AA
11.05 AA Monticello 75.6% 12 Crawford County AA
10.31 A Our Lady of Mercy 82.8% 16 Haralson County AAA
9.72 AA Rabun County 98.6% 38 Social Circle AA
9.26 A Calvary Day 98.3% 37 Jenkins County A
8.28 A Strong Rock Christian 58.5% 4 Riverside Military Academy AA
7.64 AA Heard County 96.1% 31 Chattahoochee County AA
5.80 AAA Morgan County 95.6% 30 East Jackson AAA
4.89 A Mount Pisgah Christian 95.3% 30 St. Francis A
3.98 AAA Hephzibah 58.9% 4 North Cobb Christian A
3.54 AA Gordon Lee 85.4% 18 Armuchee AA
3.20 AAAA Eagle's Landing 99.3% 40 Hampton AAAA
3.16 A Terrell County 84.3% 17 Calhoun County A
2.35 AA Union County 97.0% 33 Oglethorpe County AA
1.68 AAA Jenkins 98.6% 38 Islands AAA
1.53 A Central (Talbotton) 74.6% 11 Schley County A
1.18 A Turner County 99.3% 40 Lanier County A
0.71 A Hebron Christian Academy 82.0% 15 Lakeview Academy A
-1.09 AAA Murray County 81.6% 15 Coahulla Creek AAA
-3.01 A Johnson County 95.8% 30 Montgomery County A
-3.63 AAA Sonoraville 97.5% 35 Gordon Central AAA
-5.24 A Athens Academy 98.6% 38 Towns County A
-10.83 AAA North Murray 95.2% 29 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-14.88 AAAA New Hampstead 96.6% 32 Glascock County A
-18.00 A Baconton 85.2% 18 Stewart County A
-22.19 A Athens Christian 99.0% 39 Providence Christian A

Oct 3

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
29.88 AAAAA Druid Hills 71.5% 9 Dunwoody AAAAA
8.68 AAAA Arabia Mountain 98.5% 38 Stone Mountain AAAA
1.09 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 99.9% 42 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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