Maxwell Week 2 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Aug 13

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
30.35	AAAAAAA	Rockdale County	62.4%	-5	Alcovy	AAAAAA
29.43	AAAAAA	Houston County	89.5%	-21	Central (Macon)	AAA
28.73	AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	83.1%	-16	Shaw	AAAA
11.73	AAAA	Hardaway	93.2%	-26	Kendrick	AAA
10.56	AAA	Rutland	60.4%	-4	Hawkinsville	A
9.68	A	Johnson County	74.6%	-11	East Laurens	AA

Aug 24

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
71.91	AAAAAAA	Tift County	51.5%	-1	Valdosta	AAAAAA
71.86	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	66.6%	-7	South Forsyth	AAAAAAA
68.91	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	65.7%	-7	Etowah	AAAAAAA
65.85	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	70.2%	-9	Westminster (Atlanta)	AAA
64.77	AAAA	Burke County	52.8%	-1	Ware County	AAAAA
63.49	AAAAAAA	Milton	81.8%	-15	Alpharetta	AAAAAA
62.60	AAAAAAA	Walton	91.2%	-23	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
61.31	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	87.1%	-19	Dacula	AAAAAA
60.84	AAAA	Marist	80.8%	-15	Lovett	AAA
59.36	AAAAAAA	Woodstock	63.5%	-6	Creekview	AAAAAA
58.51	AAAAA	Carrollton	68.2%	-8	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
56.85	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	87.5%	-20	Pace Academy	AAA
56.41	AAAAAA	Lanier	57.3%	-3	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
56.06	AAAAAAA	Mountain View	72.9%	-10	Hughes	AAAAAA
55.71	AAAAAAA	Newton	81.1%	-15	Eastside	AAAA
55.70	AAAAAA	Douglas County	60.4%	-4	Eagle's Landing	AAAAA
55.22	AAAA	Troup	51.3%	-1	Ridgeland	AAAA
54.10	AAAAAA	Stephenson	68.3%	-8	Southwest DeKalb	AAAAA
54.01	AAAAA	Bainbridge	69.0%	-8	Cairo	AAAA
53.79	AAAAA	Stockbridge	92.0%	-24	Arabia Mountain	AAAAA
53.63	AA	Fitzgerald	72.2%	-10	Irwin County	A
53.41	AAAAA	Warner Robins	91.5%	-24	Locust Grove	AAAAA
53.39	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	89.5%	-21	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
52.95	AAA	Crisp County	56.6%	-3	West Laurens	AAAA
52.68	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	55.7%	-3	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
52.56	AAAA	Sandy Creek	71.4%	-9	Whitewater	AAAAA
52.13	AAAA	Oconee County	57.8%	-3	Clarke Central	AAAAA
51.93	AAAAAA	Alexander	73.5%	-10	Cedartown	AAAA
51.08	AAAAAA	Northgate	71.3%	-9	Newnan	AAAAAAA
49.32	AA	Thomasville	77.8%	-13	Thomas County Central	AAAAA
48.32	AAAAAAA	Roswell	92.4%	-25	Campbell	AAAAAAA
48.19	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	93.7%	-27	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
47.31	AAAAA	Paulding County	51.3%	-1	Kennesaw Mountain	AAAAAAA
46.58	AAAAAA	Gainesville	57.2%	-3	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
46.20	AAAAAA	Harrison	94.1%	-27	Hiram	AAAAA
46.04	AAAA	Chapel Hill	69.3%	-8	Ola	AAAAA
45.52	AA	Washington County	55.3%	-2	Jefferson County	AA
44.60	AAAAAAA	Wheeler	77.7%	-13	Sprayberry	AAAAAA
42.51	AAAAA	Loganville	59.7%	-4	Monroe Area	AAA
42.02	AAA	Liberty County	75.8%	-12	Bradwell Institute	AAAAAA
41.53	AAA	Westside (Macon)	71.3%	-9	Harris County	AAAAA
41.07	AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	57.2%	-3	Cedar Shoals	AAAAA
39.98	AAAAAA	Coffee	97.3%	-34	Salem	AAAA
39.76	AAAAA	East Paulding	82.3%	-15	Upson-Lee	AAAA
39.60	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	68.6%	-8	Mundy's Mill	AAAAAA
39.15	AAA	Jenkins	50.6%	-1	South Effingham	AAAAA
39.07	AAAAA	Dutchtown	92.5%	-25	Creekside	AAAAAA
39.05	AAAAA	Buford	99.4%	-40	Jonesboro	AAAAA
38.87	AAAAAAA	Lassiter	90.4%	-22	Pope	AAAAAA
38.15	AAAAAA	Drew	66.2%	-7	Riverdale	AAAAA
37.95	AA	Screven County	85.7%	-18	Southeast Bulloch	AAA
37.85	AAAAAA	Tri-Cities	61.8%	-5	Douglass	AA
37.84	AAAA	Mary Persons	94.6%	-28	Jackson	AAA
36.84	AAAAA	Jones County	94.7%	-28	Baldwin	AAAA
36.71	AAA	Cook	73.8%	-11	Turner County	A
36.56	AA	Rockmart	84.1%	-17	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
36.53	AAA	Pierce County	71.3%	-9	Bacon County	AA
36.48	AAAAAAA	Lambert	79.4%	-14	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
36.18	AAAAA	Veterans	79.1%	-13	Bleckley County	AA
36.04	AAAAA	Villa Rica	69.3%	-8	M.L. King	AAAAAA
35.95	AAAAAAA	McEachern	99.0%	-39	South Cobb	AAAAAA
35.80	AA	Elbert County	76.5%	-12	Washington-Wilkes	A
35.48	AA	Vidalia	81.8%	-15	Appling County	AAA
35.30	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	97.0%	-33	South Paulding	AAAAAA
35.13	AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	70.4%	-9	Ringgold	AAA
34.70	AAAAA	Banneker	83.4%	-16	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
34.27	AAA	Adairsville	54.4%	-2	Cass	AAAAA
34.10	AAAA	Howard	71.4%	-9	First Presbyterian	A
34.01	AAAAA	Riverwood	78.2%	-13	McIntosh	AAAAA
33.56	AAAAA	Statesboro	53.6%	-2	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
33.49	AAA	Pike County	74.1%	-11	Fayette County	AAAAA
32.77	AAA	North Hall	70.3%	-9	Jackson County	AAA
32.37	AA	Rabun County	90.4%	-22	North Murray	AAA
32.32	AAAA	Stephens County	81.8%	-15	Hart County	AAA
32.30	A	Wesleyan	80.5%	-14	Chattooga	AA
32.24	A	Stratford Academy	78.0%	-13	Savannah Country Day	A
31.14	A	Commerce	80.8%	-15	Athens Christian	A
31.04	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	85.4%	-18	Spencer	AA
30.69	AAAAAA	Northview	63.0%	-6	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
30.27	AAAA	Woodward Academy	94.1%	-27	Grady	AAAAA
30.09	AAAAAA	Habersham Central	59.7%	-4	Madison County	AAAA
29.66	AAA	East Hall	51.4%	-1	Union County	AA
28.51	AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	92.9%	-26	Duluth	AAAAAAA
27.97	A	Darlington	88.4%	-20	Coosa	AA
27.57	AAAAA	Miller Grove	62.5%	-5	Decatur	AAAAA
26.94	AAAA	Perry	89.7%	-22	Northeast	AA
26.88	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	97.3%	-34	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
26.74	AAA	Dawson County	88.1%	-20	Chestatee	AAAA
26.62	A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	59.1%	-4	Luella	AAAA
26.42	A	Holy Innocents	68.4%	-8	Hebron Christian Academy	A
26.39	A	Mount Pisgah Christian	58.0%	-4	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	A
26.34	AAAAA	Walnut Grove	51.9%	-1	George Walton Academy	A
26.30	A	Dooly County	76.2%	-12	Worth County	AAA
25.40	AAAAA	Lithonia	63.4%	-6	Redan	AAA
25.29	A	Charlton County	83.0%	-16	Brantley County	AAA
24.46	AAAA	St. Pius X	97.0%	-33	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
24.36	A	Prince Avenue Christian	93.7%	-27	Whitefield Academy	A
24.23	AA	Jeff Davis	78.1%	-13	Windsor Forest	AAA
23.61	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	99.4%	-40	Washington	AA
23.37	AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	87.1%	-19	Therrell	AA
23.35	AAAAAAA	Shiloh	92.2%	-25	Discovery	AAAAAAA
23.34	AA	Berrien	66.3%	-7	Atkinson County	A
23.28	AAAA	Americus-Sumter	92.6%	-25	Dougherty	AAAA
23.27	AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	92.0%	-24	North Clayton	AAAA
23.17	AA	Bremen	94.3%	-28	Bowdon	A
22.25	AAAAA	Union Grove	81.6%	-15	Henry County	AAAA
22.02	A	Aquinas	88.0%	-20	Harlem	AA
21.47	A	Mount Paran Christian	95.6%	-30	Our Lady of Mercy	A
21.26	AAAA	White County	91.1%	-23	Lumpkin County	AAA
20.58	AAAAA	Columbia	79.5%	-14	Towers	AAA
20.26	AAAAAA	New Manchester	87.7%	-20	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
19.83	AAAA	North Oconee	79.5%	-14	Apalachee	AAAAAA
18.28	A	Claxton	69.5%	-8	Bryan County	AA
17.98	AAAAA	New Hampstead	93.7%	-27	Beach	AAA
17.72	AAA	Franklin County	70.1%	-9	Banks County	AA
16.63	A	Marion County	89.4%	-21	Chattahoochee County	A
16.04	AAAAAA	Morrow	81.4%	-15	Forest Park	AAAAAA
14.60	AAAA	Cross Creek	58.6%	-4	Butler	AA
14.57	AAA	Morgan County	91.4%	-24	Greene County	A
13.52	AAA	Savannah	82.1%	-15	Hephzibah	AA
13.05	A	Gordon Lee	57.1%	-3	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
12.85	A	Wilkinson County	60.0%	-4	Wilcox County	A
11.66	AA	South Atlanta	81.5%	-15	Druid Hills	AAAA
10.58	AAA	Fannin County	54.3%	-2	LaFayette	AAAA
10.42	AAAAA	Wayne County	99.0%	-39	Long County	AAA
9.64	AA	Toombs County	97.1%	-33	Hancock Central	A
9.32	AA	Metter	86.2%	-18	Islands	AAA
8.98	AA	Temple	80.5%	-14	Putnam County	AA
8.53	A	Mount de Sales	74.6%	-11	Landmark Christian	A
8.47	AAA	Sonoraville	92.5%	-25	Model	AA
8.30	AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	79.6%	-14	Osborne	AAAAAA
7.95	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	100.0%	-42	Chamblee	AAAAA
7.58	A	St. Francis	59.8%	-4	North Cobb Christian	A
7.03	A	Strong Rock Christian	73.0%	-10	Lakeview Academy	A
6.93	AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	87.3%	-19	Murray County	AAA
6.71	A	Telfair County	92.9%	-25	Wheeler County	A
5.35	A	Montgomery County	66.9%	-7	Lanier County	A
2.79	AAAA	Richmond Academy	93.5%	-26	Westside (Augusta)	AA
1.49	A	Riverside Military Academy	53.8%	-2	King's Ridge Christian	A
0.94	A	Treutlen	57.0%	-3	Portal	A
0.70	A	Fellowship Christian	97.6%	-35	Pinecrest Academy	A
0.70	AAA	Monroe	97.4%	-34	Terrell County	A
0.43	AA	Social Circle	54.4%	-2	Stone Mountain	AAA
-1.03	AAAA	West Hall	98.0%	-36	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAAA
-1.61	A	Pelham	98.1%	-36	Randolph-Clay	A
-3.38	AA	Lamar County	95.6%	-30	Greenville	A
-4.46	AAAA	Denmark	81.5%	-15	Cherokee Bluff	AAA
-6.07	A	Christian Heritage	84.6%	-17	Gordon Central	AA
-6.13	A	Schley County	93.8%	-27	Calhoun County	A
-9.50	AAAAAA	Effingham County	99.9%	-42	Groves	AAA
-13.59	A	Calvary Day	99.8%	-41	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
-16.49	A	Georgia Military College	82.9%	-16	Oglethorpe County	AA
-18.44	AAAAA	North Springs	99.1%	-40	Clarkston	AAAAA
-25.72	A	Crawford County	88.7%	-21	Pacelli	A
-29.41	A	Stewart County	62.7%	-5	Glascock County	A
-53.92	AAAAAAA	Berkmar	99.3%	-40	Cross Keys	AAAAA

Aug 25

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
75.85	AAAAAAA	Grayson	88.2%	-20	Tucker	AAAAAA
71.00	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	63.8%	-6	Peach County	AAA
48.77	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	57.8%	-3	Spalding	AAAA
41.54	AA	Dublin	69.5%	-8	Tattnall Square	A
37.04	AA	Hapeville Charter	97.3%	-34	River Ridge	AAAAAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 2 projections

Aug 13

Aug 24

Aug 25

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