Maxwell Week 12 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Nov 1

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
27.22	AAAA	Westover	60.1%	4	Hardaway	AAAA
20.17	AAAAAA	Greenbrier	67.8%	8	Alcovy	AAAAAA
12.36	AAA	Windsor Forest	74.2%	11	Islands	AAA

Nov 2

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
74.03	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	96.1%	31	Lowndes	AAAAAAA
69.96	AAAAAAA	Tift County	68.5%	8	Camden County	AAAAAAA
68.87	AAAA	Cartersville	60.4%	5	Troup	AAAA
62.95	AAAAAAA	McEachern	79.9%	14	North Paulding	AAAAAAA
59.57	AAAAA	Jones County	75.3%	11	Stockbridge	AAAAA
58.72	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	92.5%	25	North Cobb	AAAAAAA
58.45	AA	Dublin	56.2%	3	Washington County	AA
57.95	AAAAAA	Creekview	72.1%	10	Harrison	AAAAAA
56.76	AAAAA	Warner Robins	91.7%	24	Veterans	AAAAA
56.13	AAAAAA	Lee County	96.2%	31	Coffee	AAAAAA
55.05	AAAAAA	Allatoona	73.3%	10	Sequoyah	AAAAAA
54.06	AAAAA	Wayne County	63.0%	6	Ware County	AAAAA
50.60	AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	56.6%	3	South Forsyth	AAAAAAA
49.15	AAAA	Mary Persons	96.7%	32	Howard	AAAA
48.32	AAAAAAA	East Coweta	62.4%	5	Newnan	AAAAAAA
48.10	AAAAA	Dutchtown	93.6%	26	Locust Grove	AAAAA
48.04	AAAAA	Bainbridge	60.2%	4	Thomas County Central	AAAAA
47.85	AAA	Peach County	90.0%	22	Westside (Macon)	AAA
47.35	AAAAAAA	Roswell	89.2%	21	Etowah	AAAAAAA
46.91	AA	Bremen	63.1%	6	Heard County	AA
46.87	AAAA	Chapel Hill	57.4%	3	Cedartown	AAAA
46.67	AAA	Dawson County	58.4%	4	North Hall	AAA
45.28	AAAA	West Laurens	55.0%	2	Perry	AAAA
44.77	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	88.3%	20	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
43.55	AA	Thomasville	69.2%	8	Early County	AA
42.97	AAAAAAA	Walton	93.2%	26	Woodstock	AAAAAAA
42.47	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	65.6%	7	Bradwell Institute	AAAAAA
42.30	AAAAAAA	Wheeler	65.9%	7	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
42.28	AAAAAAA	Marietta	96.8%	33	Kennesaw Mountain	AAAAAAA
41.51	AAAAA	Buford	93.1%	26	Clarke Central	AAAAA
41.38	AAAAAAA	Parkview	98.6%	38	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
41.29	AAAAAA	Stephenson	56.6%	3	Tucker	AAAAAA
41.09	AAA	Pierce County	79.3%	14	Liberty County	AAA
40.96	AA	Rabun County	73.0%	10	Union County	AA
39.28	AAAAAAA	Grayson	99.2%	40	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
38.94	AAAAAA	Mays	55.3%	2	Northgate	AAAAAA
38.57	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	92.1%	24	Houston County	AAAAAA
38.47	AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	85.8%	18	Lovett	AAA
37.89	AAAA	St. Pius X	94.7%	28	Stephens County	AAAA
37.66	AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	68.8%	8	Effingham County	AAAAAA
37.56	AAAAAAA	Norcross	88.1%	20	Meadowcreek	AAAAAAA
37.20	A	Athens Academy	86.3%	18	Commerce	A
37.18	AAAAAAA	Milton	96.1%	31	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
36.78	AAAAA	East Paulding	82.6%	16	Villa Rica	AAAAA
36.65	AAAA	Richmond Academy	63.7%	6	Thomson	AAAA
36.40	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	60.1%	4	Fellowship Christian	A
35.40	AAAAA	Carrollton	89.8%	22	Hiram	AAAAA
34.47	A	George Walton Academy	72.3%	10	Hebron Christian Academy	A
34.35	AA	Brooks County	90.4%	22	Berrien	AA
34.19	AAAAA	New Hampstead	50.2%	0	Statesboro	AAAAA
33.98	A	Marion County	73.5%	10	Schley County	A
32.62	AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	69.8%	9	Lambert	AAAAAAA
32.46	AAAAAAA	Westlake	96.6%	32	Campbell	AAAAAAA
32.01	A	Pelham	83.7%	17	Mitchell County	A
31.58	A	North Cobb Christian	62.7%	5	Mount Paran Christian	A
30.56	AAAA	Flowery Branch	91.9%	24	Denmark	AAAA
30.42	AAAAA	Riverwood	70.8%	9	Maynard Jackson	AAAAA
30.29	AAAAAA	Douglas County	86.2%	18	Alexander	AAAAAA
29.94	AAAAAA	Lanier	80.6%	14	Gainesville	AAAAAA
29.74	AAAAA	Griffin	78.7%	13	Riverdale	AAAAA
29.55	AAAAA	Union Grove	71.4%	9	Woodland (Stockbridge)	AAAAA
29.48	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	98.9%	39	White County	AAAA
29.39	AAAA	Upson-Lee	94.1%	27	Spalding	AAAA
29.36	AAAAAAA	Cherokee	88.2%	20	Lassiter	AAAAAAA
29.15	AAAAAA	Grovetown	62.1%	5	Evans	AAAAAA
28.81	A	Irwin County	98.4%	37	Turner County	A
28.23	AAA	Calhoun	97.7%	35	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
27.89	AA	Southwest	53.0%	2	Bleckley County	AA
27.74	A	Savannah Christian	83.1%	16	Emanuel County Institute	A
27.68	AAAAAA	Dacula	93.3%	26	Winder-Barrow	AAAAAA
27.50	AAAAAA	Habersham Central	75.3%	11	Apalachee	AAAAAA
27.48	AAAA	Sandy Creek	94.1%	27	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
27.05	AAAA	Columbus	64.6%	6	Northside (Columbus)	AAAA
26.64	AA	Chattooga	54.5%	2	Pepperell	AA
26.20	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	86.4%	19	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
26.15	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	83.6%	16	Americus-Sumter	AAAA
25.95	A	Wesleyan	57.4%	3	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	A
25.61	AAAAAA	Centennial	90.6%	23	Northview	AAAAAA
25.23	AAA	Hart County	55.8%	3	Morgan County	AAA
24.73	AAAAA	Kell	97.3%	34	Woodland (Cartersville)	AAAAA
24.46	AAAAAA	Creekside	91.0%	23	South Paulding	AAAAAA
24.45	AAAA	Oconee County	85.1%	18	Madison County	AAAA
24.06	A	Darlington	72.2%	10	Whitefield Academy	A
23.79	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	82.1%	15	Cambridge	AAAAAA
23.42	AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	54.4%	2	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAAA
23.38	AAAAAAA	Mountain View	95.5%	30	Duluth	AAAAAAA
22.92	AA	Jeff Davis	52.0%	1	Metter	AA
22.60	AAAAAAA	Newton	92.5%	25	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
22.58	AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	62.3%	5	Ola	AAAAA
22.03	AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	68.4%	8	Heritage (Ringgold)	AAAA
21.98	AA	Swainsboro	93.8%	27	Toombs County	AA
21.56	A	Prince Avenue Christian	94.4%	28	Riverside Military Academy	A
21.39	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	71.2%	9	Lithonia	AAAAA
21.22	AA	Jefferson County	90.8%	23	Screven County	AA
20.79	AAAAAAA	Archer	99.6%	41	Shiloh	AAAAAAA
20.45	A	Clinch County	98.0%	36	Telfair County	A
20.43	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	60.9%	5	Decatur	AAAAA
20.24	AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	77.4%	13	Drew	AAAAAA
19.76	AAAAA	Loganville	80.2%	14	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAAA
18.99	A	Brookstone	51.4%	1	Dooly County	A
18.59	AAAAAAA	Discovery	60.7%	5	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
18.50	AAA	Monroe Area	98.7%	38	Franklin County	AAA
18.38	A	Wilcox County	65.3%	7	Atkinson County	A
18.26	AAAAA	Cass	63.0%	6	Paulding County	AAAAA
18.16	AAA	North Murray	69.9%	9	Sonoraville	AAA
17.73	A	Mount de Sales	55.8%	3	Hancock Central	A
17.66	AAAA	LaGrange	80.9%	15	Shaw	AAAA
17.30	AAA	Crisp County	97.2%	34	Monroe	AAA
16.55	AAAAAA	Tri-Cities	70.1%	9	New Manchester	AAAAAA
16.45	A	Claxton	51.1%	1	Montgomery County	A
16.33	AAAA	Baldwin	96.2%	31	Cross Creek	AAAA
16.33	AAAA	Eastside	96.7%	33	Hampton	AAAA
16.22	AAAAAA	Sprayberry	88.5%	20	River Ridge	AAAAAA
16.15	A	Greene County	75.2%	11	Tattnall Square	A
16.08	A	Macon County	61.7%	5	Manchester	A
16.07	AA	Vidalia	94.2%	27	Bacon County	AA
13.19	AAA	Appling County	95.2%	29	Tattnall County	AAA
12.58	A	Trion	82.0%	15	Pinecrest Academy	A
11.76	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	87.7%	20	Forest Park	AAAAAA
11.75	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	95.7%	30	Columbia	AAAAA
11.50	AAAAA	Whitewater	52.3%	1	McIntosh	AAAAA
10.92	A	Calvary Day	91.4%	24	Jenkins County	A
9.39	AA	Elbert County	91.6%	24	Banks County	AA
8.79	AAAA	Woodward Academy	91.7%	24	Luella	AAAA
8.41	AAA	Cook	87.8%	20	Worth County	AAA
8.40	A	St. Francis	59.9%	4	Gordon Lee	A
8.17	A	Aquinas	86.7%	19	Stratford Academy	A
7.89	A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	88.0%	20	Strong Rock Christian	A
7.16	A	Christian Heritage	90.0%	22	Mount Pisgah Christian	A
7.02	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	99.2%	40	Fannin County	AAA
7.00	AA	Coosa	70.6%	9	Gordon Central	AA
5.84	AA	Hapeville Charter	99.5%	41	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
5.35	AAAA	West Hall	92.6%	25	Chestatee	AAAA
4.70	AA	Butler	85.9%	18	Glenn Hills	AA
4.55	AAAA	Ridgeland	98.8%	39	Southeast Whitfield	AAAA
3.69	AAAAA	Banneker	98.9%	39	Grady	AAAAA
3.32	AAAA	Cairo	98.7%	38	Dougherty	AAAA
3.20	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	97.5%	34	Fayette County	AAAAA
2.01	A	Miller County	53.4%	2	Seminole County	A
1.22	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	99.6%	41	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
0.95	AA	Rockmart	99.8%	41	Model	AA
0.92	A	Johnson County	61.8%	5	McIntosh County Academy	A
-0.21	A	Bowdon	69.0%	8	King's Ridge Christian	A
-0.87	A	Washington-Wilkes	77.5%	13	First Presbyterian	A
-0.95	AAA	Ringgold	93.7%	27	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-0.97	AA	Northeast	94.6%	28	East Laurens	AA
-1.31	AAA	East Hall	65.2%	7	Lumpkin County	AAA
-2.25	AAAAA	North Springs	84.5%	17	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
-2.65	AA	South Atlanta	90.4%	22	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA
-4.02	AA	Lamar County	79.9%	14	Temple	AA
-4.07	AA	Monticello	87.5%	20	Social Circle	AA
-4.36	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	99.5%	41	Landmark Christian	A
-5.06	AAAA	Salem	97.5%	35	North Clayton	AAAA
-6.20	AA	Spencer	93.1%	26	Jordan	AA
-6.41	AA	Harlem	96.7%	32	Westside (Augusta)	AA
-6.55	A	Athens Christian	73.8%	11	Lakeview Academy	A
-6.72	A	Taylor County	88.4%	20	Pacelli	A
-7.42	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	98.0%	36	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
-7.70	A	Greenville	54.0%	2	Hawkinsville	A
-7.99	A	Providence Christian	87.5%	20	Towns County	A
-8.16	AA	Therrell	83.2%	16	McNair	AA
-8.34	A	Warren County	80.9%	15	Wilkinson County	A
-9.49	AA	Dade County	65.5%	7	Armuchee	AA
-9.63	A	Charlton County	98.9%	39	Lanier County	A
-10.72	AAA	Brantley County	89.0%	21	Long County	AAA
-11.47	AAAAA	Miller Grove	91.3%	23	Chamblee	AAAAA
-11.91	AAA	Cedar Grove	100.0%	42	Stone Mountain	AAA
-13.16	AA	Laney	91.9%	24	Josey	AA
-13.27	A	Georgia Military College	50.5%	1	Walker	A
-14.09	AAAAAA	Dalton	99.7%	41	Osborne	AAAAAA
-16.07	AAAA	Henry County	96.3%	32	Druid Hills	AAAA
-18.56	AAA	Haralson County	99.1%	39	Murray County	AAA
-18.61	AAA	Pike County	99.1%	40	Kendrick	AAA
-19.20	A	Savannah Country Day	97.2%	34	Treutlen	A
-19.47	AAAA	LaFayette	96.9%	33	Gilmer	AAAA
-19.60	A	Holy Innocents	97.4%	34	Our Lady of Mercy	A
-19.88	A	Calhoun County	69.8%	9	Baconton Charter	A
-23.56	AAA	Jackson County	97.5%	35	East Jackson	AAA
-23.73	AAA	Jackson	99.8%	41	Rutland	AAA
-24.04	AAA	Beach	96.5%	32	Savannah	AAA
-26.25	AAA	Redan	73.6%	10	Towers	AAA
-29.53	AA	Putnam County	96.1%	31	Oglethorpe County	AA
-30.36	A	Chattahoochee County	98.7%	38	Stewart County	A
-33.02	A	Portal	92.9%	25	Wheeler County	A
-33.73	AA	Douglass	99.9%	42	Clarkston	AAAAA
-35.35	A	Lincoln County	98.3%	37	Twiggs County	A
-37.06	A	Crawford County	82.2%	15	Central (Talbotton)	A
-54.18	A	Terrell County	98.9%	39	Randolph-Clay	A

Nov 3

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
27.55	AAA	Benedictine	93.5%	26	Jenkins	AAA
14.75	AAAAAA	Morrow	55.8%	3	M.L. King	AAAAAA
11.02	AAAAAA	Johns Creek	98.6%	38	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
10.72	AAAAAA	North Atlanta	77.4%	12	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 12 projections

Nov 1

Nov 2

Nov 3

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