Maxwell Week 6 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Sep 20

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
33.95	AAA	Jackson	79.1%	13	Central (Macon)	AAA
33.85	AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	70.0%	9	M.L. King	AAAAAA
23.59	AAAAA	Riverdale	85.1%	18	McIntosh	AAAAA
-48.73	A	ACE Charter	63.9%	6	Pataula Charter	A

Sep 21

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
91.85	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	64.9%	6	Grayson	AAAAAAA
84.32	AAAAAAA	Archer	54.8%	2	Buford	AAAAA
76.96	AAAAAAA	Parkview	71.6%	9	Milton	AAAAAAA
71.63	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	67.7%	8	South Forsyth	AAAAAAA
70.04	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	75.9%	12	Valdosta	AAAAAA
67.30	AAAAA	Warner Robins	72.0%	10	Northside (Warner Robins)	AAAAAA
64.71	AAAAA	Ware County	53.1%	2	Glynn Academy	AAAAAA
63.86	AAAAAAA	Westlake	64.7%	6	Newton	AAAAAAA
62.25	AAAAAAA	Roswell	84.5%	17	Wheeler	AAAAAAA
59.29	AAAA	Troup	76.9%	12	Chapel Hill	AAAA
58.31	AAAAAA	Harrison	69.5%	8	Dalton	AAAAAA
56.32	AAAAAAA	McEachern	92.8%	25	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
55.90	AAA	Cedar Grove	87.0%	19	Lovett	AAA
55.00	AAAAA	Carrollton	80.1%	14	East Paulding	AAAAA
53.89	AAAAAAA	Norcross	85.9%	18	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
53.37	AAAA	Burke County	73.0%	10	Effingham County	AAAAAA
53.12	AAAA	Cartersville	95.5%	30	Cedartown	AAAA
52.50	AAAAAAA	Walton	96.8%	33	Newnan	AAAAAAA
52.44	AAAAA	Bainbridge	60.5%	5	Crisp County	AAA
52.26	AA	Brooks County	60.9%	5	Thomas County Central	AAAAA
51.92	AAAAAA	Douglas County	74.5%	11	Hughes	AAAAAA
51.43	AAAAAA	Lanier	50.2%	0	Lambert	AAAAAAA
51.30	AAAAA	Veterans	64.3%	6	Perry	AAAA
51.26	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	90.1%	22	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
48.69	AAAAAAA	Woodstock	73.6%	10	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
48.32	AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	73.7%	11	Liberty County	AAA
48.25	AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	56.6%	3	Oconee County	AAAA
48.12	AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	59.8%	4	Lassiter	AAAAAAA
47.69	AAAAAA	Allatoona	82.2%	15	Sprayberry	AAAAAA
44.99	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	92.3%	25	Campbell	AAAAAAA
44.96	AAAAA	Jonesboro	52.2%	1	Starr's Mill	AAAAA
44.53	AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	77.9%	13	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAAA
44.18	AAAA	West Laurens	78.6%	13	Statesboro	AAAAA
43.99	AAAA	Flowery Branch	84.7%	17	Gainesville	AAAAAA
43.96	AAAAAA	Brunswick	80.9%	15	New Hampstead	AAAAA
43.61	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	52.9%	2	Stephens County	AAAA
43.15	AAAAAAA	Mountain View	91.5%	24	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
42.67	AAAAA	Hiram	68.7%	8	Woodland (Cartersville)	AAAAA
42.52	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	55.2%	2	Columbus	AAAA
42.49	A	Mount Paran Christian	70.8%	9	Fellowship Christian	A
41.65	AAAA	St. Pius X	95.7%	30	Loganville	AAAAA
41.08	AAAAA	Wayne County	95.1%	29	Appling County	AAA
41.02	AA	Dodge County	87.8%	20	Southwest	AA
40.90	AAAAA	Banneker	81.1%	15	Maynard Jackson	AAAAA
39.97	AAAAAA	Johns Creek	71.7%	9	Northview	AAAAAA
39.61	AAAA	Americus-Sumter	66.2%	7	Hardaway	AAAA
39.47	AAAAA	Griffin	82.6%	16	Whitewater	AAAAA
37.71	AAAAA	Villa Rica	64.9%	6	Paulding County	AAAAA
37.43	AAAA	Cairo	83.5%	16	Westover	AAAA
37.36	A	Darlington	72.3%	10	Mount Zion (Carroll)	A
37.29	AAAAAA	Northgate	79.5%	14	South Paulding	AAAAAA
37.04	AAAA	Thomson	86.1%	18	Grovetown	AAAAAA
35.59	AAA	Pierce County	67.5%	8	South Effingham	AAAAA
35.44	AAAAA	Harris County	57.7%	3	Northside (Columbus)	AAAA
35.41	AAAAAA	Dacula	92.8%	25	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
35.37	AA	Thomasville	94.4%	28	Cook	AAA
35.25	A	Marion County	69.6%	9	Manchester	A
34.66	A	Charlton County	58.3%	4	Turner County	A
34.42	AAAAAA	Tucker	95.9%	31	Drew	AAAAAA
34.10	AAAAAA	Alexander	81.2%	15	New Manchester	AAAAAA
33.57	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	99.5%	41	West Hall	AAAA
33.29	AA	Jefferson County	71.3%	9	Harlem	AA
33.25	AAAAAA	Creekside	81.2%	15	Tri-Cities	AAAAAA
33.00	AAAA	Marist	97.4%	34	White County	AAAA
32.76	AAAAA	Stockbridge	98.3%	37	Columbia	AAAAA
32.62	AAAAAA	Cambridge	63.0%	6	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
32.38	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	96.4%	32	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	A
32.06	AAAA	LaGrange	59.0%	4	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
31.73	A	Commerce	78.2%	13	Madison County	AAAA
31.25	AA	Bleckley County	55.8%	3	Northeast	AA
31.18	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	98.9%	39	Duluth	AAAAAAA
31.17	AAAAAAA	Shiloh	67.5%	8	Lithonia	AAAAA
30.55	AAAAAA	Pope	72.4%	10	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
30.27	AAAA	North Oconee	71.4%	9	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
30.15	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	82.5%	16	North Springs	AAAAA
30.06	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	87.3%	19	Morrow	AAAAAA
29.87	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	99.6%	41	Discovery	AAAAAAA
29.76	A	Irwin County	96.2%	31	Telfair County	A
29.27	AAAA	Baldwin	76.8%	12	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
28.98	A	Dooly County	73.7%	11	Schley County	A
28.56	AAA	North Murray	71.3%	9	Adairsville	AAA
27.90	A	Wesleyan	71.0%	9	Holy Innocents	A
27.79	AAA	Jenkins	84.0%	17	Windsor Forest	AAA
27.67	AAAAA	Rome	99.7%	41	Cass	AAAAA
27.65	AAA	Monroe Area	95.6%	30	Morgan County	AAA
27.36	AA	South Atlanta	50.5%	1	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
27.31	AA	Heard County	90.5%	22	Spencer	AA
27.01	AAA	Calhoun	98.8%	38	Ringgold	AAA
26.98	AAA	Hart County	61.0%	5	Jackson County	AAA
26.33	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	98.3%	37	East Hall	AAA
26.07	A	Stratford Academy	59.5%	4	Mount de Sales	A
25.67	AA	Screven County	76.4%	12	Laney	AA
25.29	AAAAA	Decatur	50.0%	0	Grady	AAAAA
24.76	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	97.2%	34	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
24.20	AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	93.1%	26	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
24.05	A	Macon County	75.8%	12	Taylor County	A
23.48	A	Emanuel County Institute	80.1%	14	Jenkins County	A
22.91	A	Clinch County	96.1%	31	Wilcox County	A
22.63	AA	Metter	79.6%	14	Toombs County	AA
22.26	AA	Pepperell	78.2%	13	Coosa	AA
22.22	AAAA	Denmark	82.6%	16	Chestatee	AAAA
21.99	AA	Jeff Davis	74.6%	11	Bacon County	AA
21.88	AAAA	Ridgeland	97.3%	34	Heritage (Ringgold)	AAAA
21.87	AAA	Haralson County	59.4%	4	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
19.08	AA	Douglass	93.7%	27	Therrell	AA
18.88	A	Hebron Christian Academy	77.3%	12	Athens Christian	A
18.68	A	Washington-Wilkes	66.3%	7	Hancock Central	A
18.53	AAA	Monroe	69.1%	8	Dougherty	AAAA
18.41	AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	50.8%	1	LaFayette	AAAA
18.05	A	North Cobb Christian	70.8%	9	Bowdon	A
17.87	AAA	Benedictine	99.6%	41	Savannah	AAA
17.35	AA	Berrien	87.3%	19	Brantley County	AAA
17.19	AAAAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	71.9%	10	Forest Park	AAAAAA
16.79	AA	Hapeville Charter	99.7%	41	McNair	AA
16.18	A	Pelham	89.7%	22	Miller County	A
15.76	A	Calvary Day	94.9%	29	McIntosh County Academy	A
14.60	AA	Callaway	98.4%	37	Temple	AA
14.56	A	Pinecrest Academy	71.2%	9	Walker	A
14.54	AAAAA	Riverwood	92.9%	25	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
14.16	AA	Vidalia	97.1%	34	Bryan County	AA
13.69	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	91.6%	24	Beach	AAA
13.49	AAA	Pace Academy	98.5%	38	Redan	AAA
13.02	A	Strong Rock Christian	64.5%	6	Our Lady of Mercy	A
12.72	AA	Rabun County	98.8%	39	Monticello	AA
12.63	AA	Union County	92.0%	24	Putnam County	AA
12.51	AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	99.2%	40	Towers	AAA
12.27	A	Whitefield Academy	90.7%	23	St. Francis	A
10.71	AA	Dublin	97.8%	35	East Laurens	AA
10.13	AA	Hephzibah	90.8%	23	Glenn Hills	AA
10.04	A	Chattahoochee County	65.7%	7	Seminole County	A
9.28	AAA	Dawson County	98.5%	38	Lumpkin County	AAA
8.19	A	Athens Academy	98.8%	39	Towns County	A
7.13	AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	94.9%	29	Long County	AAA
6.45	A	Trion	89.7%	22	Gordon Lee	A
5.99	A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	94.5%	28	Landmark Christian	A
5.92	AAAAAA	Coffee	99.9%	42	Chamblee	AAAAA
5.40	AAAAAA	South Cobb	95.5%	30	Osborne	AAAAAA
5.39	AAA	Peach County	99.8%	41	Kendrick	AAA
5.35	A	Lincoln County	95.0%	29	Warren County	A
5.34	A	Brookstone	89.6%	21	Greenville	A
5.27	AA	Model	73.8%	11	Armuchee	AA
3.95	AAA	Westside (Macon)	98.3%	37	Rutland	AAA
3.45	A	Prince Avenue Christian	99.3%	40	Riverside Military Academy	A
3.10	AA	Elbert County	97.1%	33	Social Circle	AA
2.78	AA	Chattooga	96.4%	32	Gordon Central	AA
1.47	AA	Rockmart	99.6%	41	Dade County	AA
-0.36	AA	Lamar County	92.3%	25	Jordan	AA
-0.77	A	Greene County	88.0%	20	Georgia Military College	A
-1.26	A	Johnson County	89.9%	22	Treutlen	A
-1.34	A	Atkinson County	92.4%	25	Lanier County	A
-1.64	AA	Westside (Augusta)	68.1%	8	Josey	AA
-1.65	A	George Walton Academy	98.4%	37	Lakeview Academy	A
-2.26	AAA	Sonoraville	95.5%	30	Murray County	AAA
-3.74	A	Calhoun County	52.9%	1	Terrell County	A
-5.61	AAA	North Hall	99.5%	41	Cherokee Bluff	AAA
-6.80	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	100.0%	42	Berkmar	AAAAAAA
-8.27	A	Mount Pisgah Christian	95.5%	30	King's Ridge Christian	A
-8.47	AAA	Jefferson	99.9%	41	East Jackson	AAA
-8.85	A	Hawkinsville	88.9%	21	Crawford County	A
-13.36	AAA	Islands	94.1%	27	Groves	AAA
-15.25	AAAA	Pickens	99.7%	41	Gilmer	AAAA
-15.33	A	Pacelli	70.6%	9	Central (Talbotton)	A
-19.13	A	Mitchell County	99.4%	40	Stewart County	A
-19.56	AA	Banks County	97.2%	34	Oglethorpe County	AA
-20.12	A	Tattnall Square	99.0%	39	Twiggs County	A
-20.86	AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	99.6%	41	Clarkston	AAAAA
-52.86	AA	Bremen	100.0%	42	Cross Keys	AAAAA

Sep 22

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
21.24	AA	Washington	80.0%	14	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 6 projections

Sep 20

Sep 21

Sep 22

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