Maxwell Week 1 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Aug 16

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
64.77	AAAAA	Rome	94.4%	28	Marietta	AAAAAAA
59.47	AAA	Calhoun	82.2%	15	Ridgeland	AAAA
39.09	AAAAA	Jones County	94.8%	29	Howard	AAAA
17.27	AAAA	Shaw	69.2%	8	Kendrick	AAA

Aug 17

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
80.61	AAAAA	Buford	71.8%	10	Tucker	AAAAAA
73.06	AAAAAAA	Archer	79.2%	14	Milton	AAAAAAA
72.01	AAAAAAA	Tift County	70.1%	9	Warner Robins	AAAAA
69.77	AAAA	Cartersville	87.6%	20	Allatoona	AAAAAA
69.20	AAAAAAA	Parkview	71.1%	9	Mountain View	AAAAAAA
67.83	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	64.6%	6	Woodstock	AAAAAAA
66.14	AAAAAA	Harrison	52.6%	1	Lassiter	AAAAAAA
64.31	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	77.7%	13	St. Pius X	AAAA
63.44	AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	55.2%	2	Camden County	AAAAAAA
63.22	AAAAAA	Coffee	82.1%	15	Brunswick	AAAAAA
61.20	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	82.1%	15	Douglas County	AAAAAA
60.57	AAAA	Woodward Academy	65.2%	7	Westminster (Atlanta)	AAA
60.03	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	83.6%	16	Lovett	AAA
59.76	AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	54.7%	2	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
58.68	AAAAAA	Hughes	62.8%	6	Dutchtown	AAAAA
57.85	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	86.0%	18	Centennial	AAAAAA
55.66	AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	56.5%	3	Lanier	AAAAAA
55.59	AA	Thomasville	51.6%	1	Cairo	AAAA
53.66	AAAAAA	Effingham County	67.6%	8	Evans	AAAAAA
52.75	AAAA	Mary Persons	81.7%	15	Gainesville	AAAAAA
52.20	AAAAA	Griffin	69.9%	9	Spalding	AAAA
50.40	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	72.4%	10	Arabia Mountain	AAAAA
50.05	AAA	Crisp County	69.1%	8	Americus-Sumter	AAAA
50.01	AAAAAAA	Lambert	65.0%	6	Wheeler	AAAAAAA
49.90	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	90.2%	22	Paulding County	AAAAA
49.70	AAAA	Cedartown	72.1%	10	Rockmart	AA
49.43	AAA	Jefferson	83.6%	16	Oconee County	AAAA
49.37	AAAAA	Ola	59.4%	4	Eastside	AAAA
48.90	AAAAAAA	Newnan	68.0%	8	Chapel Hill	AAAA
48.19	AAAAAA	Creekview	75.0%	11	Cambridge	AAAAAA
47.74	AAAAA	Clarke Central	58.2%	4	Winder-Barrow	AAAAAA
47.64	AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	72.4%	10	Southwest DeKalb	AAAAA
46.75	AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	74.1%	11	Grovetown	AAAAAA
46.56	A	Wesleyan	59.5%	4	Meadowcreek	AAAAAAA
45.45	AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	67.9%	8	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
44.16	AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	94.2%	27	Sprayberry	AAAAAA
43.78	A	Emanuel County Institute	67.6%	8	Dublin	AA
43.76	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	77.8%	13	Banneker	AAAAA
43.30	AA	Dodge County	76.4%	12	Bradwell Institute	AAAAAA
43.01	AAAAA	Villa Rica	61.0%	5	Campbell	AAAAAAA
42.98	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	98.9%	39	Drew	AAAAAA
42.96	AA	Pepperell	64.6%	6	Darlington	A
42.56	AAA	Pace Academy	79.5%	14	New Manchester	AAAAAA
42.43	AAAAA	Locust Grove	73.3%	10	Jackson	AAA
42.41	AA	Washington County	50.9%	1	Baldwin	AAAA
42.02	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	64.2%	6	Harris County	AAAAA
41.85	AA	Jefferson County	78.8%	13	Swainsboro	AA
41.30	AAAA	West Hall	62.1%	5	Commerce	A
41.02	AAAA	Upson-Lee	66.9%	7	Veterans	AAAAA
40.63	AAAAA	Loganville	60.9%	5	Morgan County	AAA
40.04	AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	80.1%	14	South Cobb	AAAAAA
39.94	AAAAAA	Houston County	91.4%	23	Perry	AAAA
39.74	AAAAAA	Valdosta	97.3%	34	Maynard Jackson	AAAAA
39.10	AA	Fitzgerald	89.7%	22	Bacon County	AA
38.85	AAA	Westside (Macon)	76.8%	12	Southwest	AA
38.04	AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	65.5%	7	Riverwood	AAAAA
37.94	AAA	Cook	72.0%	10	Westover	AAAA
37.89	A	Athens Academy	81.2%	15	Savannah Christian	A
37.47	AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	79.3%	14	Salem	AAAA
37.23	AAA	Dawson County	72.0%	10	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
37.05	AAAAAAA	Etowah	95.9%	31	River Ridge	AAAAAA
36.83	AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	88.4%	20	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
36.51	AAAA	Flowery Branch	84.0%	17	East Hall	AAA
35.99	A	Manchester	78.6%	13	Taylor County	A
35.74	AAA	Jenkins	80.0%	14	New Hampstead	AAAAA
35.42	AA	Elbert County	75.5%	11	Hart County	AAA
34.93	AA	Heard County	90.3%	22	LaGrange	AAAA
34.47	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	53.2%	2	Madison County	AAAA
33.73	AA	Spencer	62.8%	5	Columbus	AAAA
33.70	AAAAA	McIntosh	63.7%	6	Mundy's Mill	AAAAAA
33.19	AAAAAA	Stephenson	94.3%	28	Columbia	AAAAA
33.17	AAAAA	North Springs	51.5%	1	Fellowship Christian	A
32.96	AAA	North Hall	64.2%	6	Chestatee	AAAA
32.54	AAAAAAA	Shiloh	82.2%	15	Duluth	AAAAAAA
32.42	AAA	Adairsville	64.0%	6	Chattooga	AA
31.62	AAA	Pierce County	75.2%	11	McIntosh County Academy	A
31.40	AAAAAA	Dalton	97.0%	33	Ringgold	AAA
31.15	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	80.9%	15	Lamar County	AA
30.93	A	Irwin County	90.7%	23	Berrien	AA
30.29	A	Trion	58.4%	4	Coosa	AA
30.19	AA	Brooks County	96.9%	33	Mitchell County	A
30.02	AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	59.1%	4	Southeast Whitfield	AAAA
29.48	A	Macon County	91.0%	23	Pelham	A
29.34	AAAAA	Grady	78.6%	13	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
29.15	AAAAA	Fayette County	76.8%	12	Hampton	AAAA
28.79	AAAAA	Riverdale	61.5%	5	North Clayton	AAAA
28.68	A	Turner County	71.1%	9	Worth County	AAA
28.55	AAAAAAA	Newton	98.3%	37	Alcovy	AAAAAA
28.37	AAAAA	Jonesboro	83.0%	16	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
28.34	A	Tattnall Square	68.6%	8	Our Lady of Mercy	A
28.32	AA	Douglass	74.2%	11	Washington	AA
28.24	AAAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	50.7%	1	Decatur	AAAAA
28.18	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	99.2%	40	Morrow	AAAAAA
27.88	A	Marion County	71.7%	10	Schley County	A
27.75	A	Aquinas	81.0%	15	Laney	AA
27.47	AAAAA	Miller Grove	54.9%	2	Redan	AAA
26.64	AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	76.3%	12	South Atlanta	AA
26.06	AA	Northeast	54.3%	2	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	A
25.78	A	Prince Avenue Christian	93.9%	27	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	A
25.76	AAAAA	Thomas County Central	91.7%	24	Early County	AA
25.15	A	Mount Pisgah Christian	83.6%	16	Holy Innocents	A
24.60	AAAA	Stephens County	91.5%	24	Franklin County	AAA
23.02	AAAAAA	Lee County	99.6%	41	Dougherty	AAAA
22.79	AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	78.1%	13	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA
22.75	A	Walker	53.0%	2	Athens Christian	A
22.66	A	Clinch County	96.1%	31	Hebron Christian Academy	A
22.22	AAA	Monroe	82.9%	16	Jordan	AA
22.22	AAA	Jackson County	65.7%	7	Banks County	AA
22.18	AAA	Monroe Area	86.4%	19	Apalachee	AAAAAA
20.70	AAAAAA	Dacula	98.6%	38	Discovery	AAAAAAA
18.72	AA	Jeff Davis	81.8%	15	Glenn Hills	AA
18.70	A	Jenkins County	63.6%	6	Windsor Forest	AAA
16.94	A	Montgomery County	57.8%	3	Atkinson County	A
16.64	AAA	Tattnall County	82.7%	16	Claxton	A
15.76	AAA	Towers	80.7%	14	McNair	AA
15.72	AAAA	Richmond Academy	82.1%	15	Hephzibah	AA
13.46	AAAAA	Lithonia	88.9%	21	Forest Park	AAAAAA
13.32	AA	Dade County	53.2%	2	Gordon Lee	A
13.16	AA	Bleckley County	89.2%	21	Hawkinsville	A
13.05	AAAAA	Bainbridge	99.2%	40	Seminole County	A
10.74	AAAAA	South Effingham	95.6%	30	Long County	AAA
10.65	AA	Model	75.7%	12	LaFayette	AAAA
10.56	AAAA	North Oconee	88.3%	20	Putnam County	AA
10.52	AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	92.6%	25	Chamblee	AAAAA
10.11	A	Mount de Sales	74.8%	11	Monticello	AA
9.25	AAAA	West Laurens	98.6%	38	East Laurens	AA
8.22	AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	97.8%	35	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
7.62	A	Chattahoochee County	67.5%	8	Terrell County	A
6.81	AA	Therrell	85.4%	18	Osborne	AAAAAA
6.27	AAAA	Cross Creek	75.2%	11	Josey	AA
5.55	A	Christian Heritage	53.6%	2	Riverside Military Academy	A
4.06	AAA	Murray County	75.7%	12	Armuchee	AA
3.39	AAA	Lumpkin County	83.7%	16	East Jackson	AAA
1.96	A	Portal	62.1%	5	Warren County	A
-0.22	AAAA	Pickens	98.5%	38	Stone Mountain	AAA
-4.08	AAA	Haralson County	83.2%	16	Gordon Central	AA
-5.19	AAA	Fannin County	85.1%	18	Gilmer	AAAA
-8.43	AA	Toombs County	99.6%	41	Twiggs County	A
-9.30	AAA	Pike County	99.5%	41	Central (Talbotton)	A
-11.09	AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	67.3%	7	Oglethorpe County	AA
-16.11	AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	99.7%	41	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-17.98	AAAA	Druid Hills	95.1%	29	Clarkston	AAAAA
-28.00	A	Georgia Military College	92.8%	25	Glascock County	A
-29.83	A	Landmark Christian	98.9%	39	Pacelli	A
-45.14	A	Baconton Charter	95.2%	29	Pataula Charter	A
-53.95	A	Providence Christian	99.3%	40	Cross Keys	AAAAA
-56.60	A	Treutlen	99.8%	41	ACE Charter	A

Aug 18

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
88.01	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	65.8%	7	McEachern	AAAAAAA
80.45	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	65.0%	6	Brookwood	AAAAAAA
80.33	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	67.4%	7	Walton	AAAAAAA
75.24	AAAAAAA	Norcross	51.0%	1	Mays	AAAAAA
66.16	AAA	Benedictine	83.4%	16	Burke County	AAAA
59.95	AAAAA	Kell	60.8%	5	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
41.39	AA	Rabun County	95.0%	29	Bremen	AA
38.98	AAAAAAA	Westlake	95.0%	29	Creekside	AAAAAA
-3.61	A	Whitefield Academy	93.8%	27	Cherokee Bluff	AAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 1 projections

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 18

More Stories

Ranking the 100 greatest Georgia high school football finals of all-time

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Gwinnett honors officer killed in the line of duty

Are you a Bad Bunny or a Kid Rock American? In U.S., be free to choose.

Wildman’s sister gets Civil War shop, ending fight over late owner’s estate