Sports
Maxwell Week 4 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 10
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.21 | AAAA | Westover | 85.9% | 18 | Northside (Columbus) | AAAAA |
| 27.44 | AAAAA | Columbus | 62.3% | 5 | Manchester | AA |
| 21.46 | AAAAA | Luella | 90.1% | 22 | Forest Park | AAAAA |
| 16.76 | AAA | Toombs County | 80.7% | 14 | Beach | AAA |
| -5.26 | AA | Groves | 81.4% | 15 | Windsor Forest | AAAA |
Sep 11
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.54 | AAAAAA | Grayson | 54.5% | 2 | Archer | AAAAAA |
| 78.05 | AAAAAA | McEachern | 86.1% | 18 | Peachtree Ridge | AAAAAA |
| 77.85 | AAAAAA | Walton | 58.2% | 4 | Etowah | AAAAAA |
| 73.83 | AAAAAA | Roswell | 50.1% | 0 | Lassiter | AAAAAA |
| 73.37 | AAAAA | Ware County | 52.5% | 1 | Coffee | AAAAA |
| 72.18 | AAAAAA | Roswell | 58.9% | 4 | Milton | AAAAAA |
| 68.63 | AAAAAA | Hillgrove | 59.7% | 4 | Lovejoy | AAAAAA |
| 67.96 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 57.8% | 3 | Newnan | AAAAAA |
| 67.78 | AAAAA | East Paulding | 56.0% | 3 | South Paulding | AAAAA |
| 66.86 | AAAAAA | Westlake | 66.5% | 7 | Newton | AAAAAA |
| 65.76 | AAAAAA | Brookwood | 54.6% | 2 | Parkview | AAAAAA |
| 64.02 | AAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 56.3% | 3 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAA |
| 61.48 | AAAA | West Laurens | 61.0% | 5 | Westside (Macon) | AAA |
| 59.84 | AAAA | Cartersville | 84.6% | 17 | North Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 59.32 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 56.9% | 3 | Starr's Mill | AAAAA |
| 58.87 | AAAA | Thomson | 53.4% | 2 | Hart County | AAA |
| 58.27 | AAA | Elbert County | 54.1% | 2 | Westminster (Atlanta) | AAA |
| 58.25 | AAAAAA | East Coweta | 78.5% | 13 | Whitewater | AAAA |
| 56.08 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 85.6% | 18 | Lovett | AA |
| 56.00 | AAAAAA | Marietta | 51.1% | 1 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 55.31 | AAAAA | Kell | 83.0% | 16 | Sequoyah | AAAAA |
| 55.06 | AAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 93.0% | 26 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAA |
| 54.13 | AAA | Blessed Trinity | 90.5% | 23 | Creekview | AAAAA |
| 53.43 | AAAAAA | Camden County | 93.9% | 27 | Brunswick | AAAAA |
| 51.10 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 93.9% | 27 | Thomasville | AA |
| 50.84 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 79.8% | 14 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 50.79 | AAAA | Jonesboro | 78.9% | 13 | Eagle's Landing | AAAA |
| 50.76 | AAAAA | Rome | 57.7% | 3 | Cambridge | AAAAA |
| 50.30 | AAAAAA | Tift County | 92.5% | 25 | Baldwin | AAAA |
| 49.74 | AAAA | Bainbridge | 76.5% | 12 | Monroe | AAAA |
| 49.54 | AAAA | Griffin | 81.2% | 15 | Eastside | AAAA |
| 48.79 | AAAAA | South Effingham | 52.1% | 1 | Effingham County | AAAAA |
| 48.71 | AAAAA | New Manchester | 80.7% | 14 | Villa Rica | AAAAA |
| 48.15 | AAAA | Marist | 92.2% | 24 | Arabia Mountain | AAAA |
| 47.98 | AAAAA | Hiram | 55.9% | 3 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 47.49 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 87.2% | 19 | Lamar County | AA |
| 47.15 | AAA | Cook | 69.4% | 8 | Pierce County | AAA |
| 46.16 | AAAAAA | Woodstock | 68.7% | 8 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 46.04 | AAAAAA | Northview | 61.6% | 5 | North Forsyth | AAAAAA |
| 45.92 | AAAAA | Northgate | 80.4% | 14 | Woodland (Stockbridge) | AAAAA |
| 45.61 | AAAAA | Lanier | 85.0% | 17 | Flowery Branch | AAAAA |
| 45.52 | AAAAA | Gainesville | 92.4% | 25 | Winder-Barrow | AAAAA |
| 45.37 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 95.8% | 31 | Berkmar | AAAAAA |
| 45.31 | AAAAAA | Douglas County | 68.7% | 8 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAA |
| 44.97 | AAAAAA | Lambert | 74.9% | 11 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 44.39 | AAA | Adairsville | 58.6% | 4 | Ringgold | AAA |
| 44.34 | AAAAA | Forsyth Central | 55.8% | 3 | Cass | AAAAA |
| 44.30 | A | Charlton County | 58.3% | 4 | Bacon County | AA |
| 43.81 | AAA | Washington County | 85.9% | 18 | Veterans | AAAA |
| 43.64 | AAAAA | Harris County | 72.9% | 10 | Troup | AAAA |
| 43.51 | AA | Rabun County | 62.4% | 5 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 42.87 | AAA | West Hall | 60.4% | 5 | North Hall | AAAA |
| 42.67 | AAAA | Thomas County Central | 85.0% | 17 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
| 42.14 | AAAA | St. Pius X | 92.0% | 24 | Lithonia | AAAA |
| 41.79 | AA | Benedictine | 97.2% | 34 | Liberty County | AAAA |
| 41.60 | AAAA | Worth County | 65.3% | 7 | Crisp County | AAAA |
| 40.46 | AAA | Jefferson | 94.1% | 27 | Commerce | A |
| 40.33 | AA | Pace Academy | 83.5% | 16 | White County | AAAA |
| 38.65 | AA | Macon County | 84.2% | 17 | Perry | AAAA |
| 38.49 | A | Eagle's Landing Christian | 88.7% | 21 | Mount Pisgah Christian | A |
| 38.43 | AAAAAA | West Forsyth | 90.7% | 23 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 38.03 | AAAAA | Evans | 81.4% | 15 | Grovetown | AAAAA |
| 37.88 | AAAAA | Mundy's Mill | 93.3% | 26 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 37.52 | A | Marion County | 84.3% | 17 | Dooly County | A |
| 37.33 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 55.1% | 2 | Ola | AAAAA |
| 37.28 | AAAAAA | North Cobb | 96.9% | 33 | Monroe Area | AAAA |
| 36.44 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 84.5% | 17 | Dunwoody | AAAAA |
| 35.71 | AAAAA | Clarke Central | 83.2% | 16 | Cedar Shoals | AAAAA |
| 35.55 | AAAAA | Stephenson | 96.2% | 31 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 35.30 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 97.9% | 36 | Johns Creek | AAAAAA |
| 35.26 | AAAAA | Alexander | 94.7% | 28 | Chapel Hill | AAAAA |
| 35.17 | AAAAA | Loganville | 86.1% | 18 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAA |
| 34.91 | AAA | Washington | 56.5% | 3 | Maynard Jackson | AAA |
| 34.86 | A | Aquinas | 75.3% | 11 | Our Lady of Mercy | A |
| 34.08 | AAAAAA | Lowndes | 97.5% | 35 | Rockdale County | AAAAAA |
| 33.96 | AAAA | Howard | 78.5% | 13 | Rutland | AAA |
| 33.69 | AA | Bowdon | 51.6% | 1 | Cedartown | AAA |
| 33.30 | AAAAA | Houston County | 95.7% | 30 | Richmond Academy | AAAAA |
| 32.86 | AAA | Appling County | 74.8% | 11 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 32.59 | AA | Jefferson County | 80.3% | 14 | Washington-Wilkes | AA |
| 32.15 | A | Lincoln County | 76.4% | 12 | Westside (Augusta) | AAA |
| 31.28 | A | Clinch County | 87.6% | 20 | Berrien | AA |
| 31.13 | AAA | Dawson County | 68.2% | 8 | Heritage (Ringgold) | AAAA |
| 30.32 | AAAA | Spalding | 88.0% | 20 | Walnut Grove | AAAA |
| 28.87 | A | Johnson County | 59.7% | 4 | Wilkinson County | A |
| 28.70 | AAAAA | Sprayberry | 92.0% | 24 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 28.31 | AAAAA | Drew | 94.1% | 27 | North Clayton | AAA |
| 28.11 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 51.8% | 1 | Dade County | AA |
| 28.10 | AAAA | Henry County | 57.7% | 3 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAA |
| 27.95 | AAA | Pepperell | 76.1% | 12 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 27.93 | AAAAA | Creekside | 99.4% | 40 | Druid Hills | AAAAA |
| 27.92 | AA | Greene County | 51.1% | 1 | Morgan County | AAA |
| 27.75 | AAAAA | Richmond Hill | 87.4% | 19 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAA |
| 26.93 | AAA | Decatur | 88.3% | 20 | Towers | AAA |
| 26.28 | AA | Seminole County | 73.4% | 10 | Mitchell County | A |
| 26.25 | AA | Coosa | 55.0% | 2 | Rockmart | AAA |
| 26.25 | AAAAA | Dalton | 97.5% | 35 | North Atlanta | AAAAA |
| 25.96 | AAAAA | Salem | 91.4% | 24 | Apalachee | AAAAA |
| 25.90 | AAAAA | Jones County | 96.4% | 32 | Greenbrier | AAAAA |
| 25.74 | AAAAA | Allatoona | 98.9% | 39 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 25.64 | AAAAAA | Campbell | 81.4% | 15 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | AAAAAA |
| 25.51 | AAA | Oconee County | 83.2% | 16 | Putnam County | AA |
| 25.25 | AAA | Southeast Bulloch | 65.6% | 7 | Bryan County | AA |
| 25.17 | AAAA | Locust Grove | 92.6% | 25 | Pike County | AAAA |
| 24.99 | A | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 72.5% | 10 | Whitefield Academy | A |
| 24.87 | AA | Model | 82.8% | 16 | Bremen | AA |
| 24.64 | A | First Presbyterian | 68.5% | 8 | Monticello | AA |
| 24.20 | AA | Chattooga | 69.5% | 8 | Fellowship Christian | A |
| 23.40 | AAA | Peach County | 96.2% | 31 | Southwest | AAA |
| 23.35 | AA | B.E.S.T. Academy | 79.1% | 13 | Therrell | AAA |
| 22.95 | AAAAAA | South Forsyth | 97.0% | 33 | Habersham Central | AAAAAA |
| 22.90 | AAAA | Upson-Lee | 91.9% | 24 | Northeast | AA |
| 22.84 | AAAAA | Warner Robins | 98.6% | 38 | Cross Creek | AAAAA |
| 22.77 | A | Christian Heritage | 61.6% | 5 | Gordon Lee | AA |
| 22.70 | AAA | Jackson | 88.6% | 21 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 22.59 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 81.4% | 15 | Jordan | AAA |
| 22.59 | A | Savannah Christian | 87.0% | 19 | Savannah Country Day | A |
| 22.37 | A | Pinecrest Academy | 75.8% | 12 | Walker | A |
| 21.84 | AAA | Lumpkin County | 62.1% | 5 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAA |
| 20.17 | A | Telfair County | 60.6% | 5 | Treutlen | A |
| 19.23 | AAAAA | River Ridge | 67.0% | 7 | North Springs | AAAAA |
| 18.96 | AA | Metter | 82.8% | 16 | Long County | AA |
| 18.78 | A | Prince Avenue Christian | 95.7% | 30 | George Walton Academy | A |
| 18.41 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 99.5% | 41 | Morrow | AAAAA |
| 18.30 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 96.4% | 32 | Southeast Whitfield | AAAA |
| 18.16 | AAA | Sonoraville | 83.7% | 16 | North Murray | AAA |
| 17.71 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 99.0% | 39 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 17.47 | A | Hawkinsville | 90.9% | 23 | Taylor County | A |
| 17.43 | AAA | Central (Carrollton) | 97.8% | 35 | Hardaway | AAAAA |
| 16.14 | AA | Darlington | 93.8% | 27 | King's Ridge Christian | A |
| 15.48 | AA | East Laurens | 56.2% | 3 | Jenkins County | A |
| 14.99 | A | Hancock Central | 59.7% | 4 | Josey | AAA |
| 14.23 | AAA | Douglass | 60.6% | 5 | McNair | AAA |
| 14.04 | AA | Pelham | 88.1% | 20 | Miller County | A |
| 13.45 | A | Mount de Sales | 74.9% | 11 | Georgia Military College | A |
| 13.41 | A | Trion | 86.4% | 19 | LaFayette | AAAA |
| 13.13 | AAA | Laney | 98.3% | 37 | Albany | AAAA |
| 12.46 | AAAA | Columbia | 96.7% | 32 | Stone Mountain | AAAA |
| 12.39 | A | Turner County | 93.4% | 26 | Randolph-Clay | A |
| 11.43 | AAA | Banks County | 80.1% | 14 | East Jackson | AAA |
| 10.88 | AA | Hapeville | 90.0% | 22 | Riverside Military Academy | AA |
| 10.72 | A | Pacelli | 95.3% | 29 | Central (Talbotton) | A |
| 8.76 | A | Emanuel County Institute | 96.0% | 31 | Portal | A |
| 8.45 | A | Wilcox County | 85.5% | 18 | Calhoun County | A |
| 7.74 | AAA | Dodge County | 98.7% | 38 | Savannah | AAA |
| 7.01 | AA | Heard County | 97.1% | 34 | South Atlanta | AAA |
| 6.86 | A | Warren County | 51.9% | 1 | Harlem | AA |
| 6.81 | AAAA | New Hampstead | 74.5% | 11 | Islands | AAA |
| 5.24 | AAAA | Riverdale | 95.0% | 29 | Hampton | AAAA |
| 3.97 | A | Greenville | 92.3% | 25 | Schley County | A |
| 2.20 | A | Atkinson County | 78.3% | 13 | Baconton | A |
| 2.11 | AA | Dublin | 99.2% | 40 | Twiggs County | A |
| 1.68 | A | Athens Academy | 93.4% | 26 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| 0.45 | A | Tattnall Square | 97.9% | 36 | Strong Rock Christian | A |
| -0.85 | AAA | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 68.5% | 8 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -0.97 | AA | Temple | 63.8% | 6 | Social Circle | AA |
| -1.98 | AA | Jeff Davis | 91.5% | 24 | Montgomery County | A |
| -3.30 | AAAAAA | Meadowcreek | 96.7% | 33 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -5.52 | AAA | Fannin County | 94.9% | 29 | Armuchee | AA |
| -8.08 | AAA | Calhoun | 100.0% | 42 | Gordon Central | AAA |
| -8.45 | A | Lakeview Academy | 84.9% | 17 | Towns County | A |
| -11.76 | AAA | Hephzibah | 91.5% | 24 | Glascock County | A |
| -20.81 | AA | Crawford County | 94.1% | 27 | Stewart County | A |
Sep 12
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.18 | AAAA | Grady | 92.7% | 25 | Redan | AAAA |
| 29.23 | AAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 70.4% | 9 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
| -1.97 | A | Wheeler County | 59.1% | 4 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A |
| -4.42 | AA | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 81.0% | 15 | North Cobb Christian | A |
