Sports

Maxwell Week 5 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Sept 17, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 17

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
60.82 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 88.9% 21 Jones County AAAAA
55.66 AAAA Eastside 50.6% 1 Jonesboro AAAA
50.44 AAAAA Harris County 62.9% 6 Callaway AAA
34.49 A Marion County 89.5% 21 Columbus AAAAA
21.40 AAA Southwest 61.1% 5 Jordan AAA
18.45 AAAAA Northgate 98.4% 37 Morrow AAAAA
11.05 AAA Therrell 73.6% 10 South Atlanta AAA
3.92 AAAA Griffin 99.3% 40 Hampton AAAA

Sep 18

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
73.06 AAAAAA Grayson 88.0% 20 Parkview AAAAAA
71.87 AAAAAA Lowndes 54.0% 2 Newton AAAAAA
70.71 AAAAA Creekside 74.0% 11 Stephenson AAAAA
69.58 AAAAA South Paulding 57.1% 3 Allatoona AAAAA
67.93 AAAAA Coffee 59.1% 4 Glynn Academy AAAAA
67.84 AAAAAA North Cobb 64.0% 6 Harrison AAAAAA
66.80 AAAAAA Walton 86.4% 19 Wheeler AAAAAA
66.71 AAAAAA McEachern 91.1% 23 Lovejoy AAAAAA
65.30 AAAAAA Dacula 78.7% 13 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
65.23 AAAAA Houston County 51.6% 1 Warner Robins AAAAA
62.92 AAAAAA Lassiter 75.7% 12 Milton AAAAAA
62.74 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 90.7% 23 Collins Hill AAAAAA
59.74 AAAA Bainbridge 57.7% 3 Thomas County Central AAAA
59.72 AAAAAA Etowah 83.2% 16 Woodstock AAAAAA
58.45 AAAAAA Alpharetta 67.2% 7 Lambert AAAAAA
58.26 AAAAAA Camden County 89.1% 21 Wayne County AAAA
57.10 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 76.6% 12 Shiloh AAAAAA
56.20 A Eagle's Landing Christian 59.6% 4 Whitewater AAAA
54.72 AAAAA Rome 56.5% 3 Creekview AAAAA
54.27 AAA Elbert County 73.2% 10 Laney AAA
53.25 AAAA Mary Persons 76.6% 12 LaGrange AAAAA
51.93 AAAA Eagle's Landing 64.2% 6 Spalding AAAA
51.90 AAAAA Dalton 79.0% 13 Cass AAAAA
51.57 AAAA Burke County 71.5% 9 Washington County AAA
51.34 AA Fitzgerald 82.7% 16 Macon County AA
51.22 AAAA Carrollton 67.0% 7 North Hall AAAA
50.03 AAAAAA Northview 57.2% 3 Johns Creek AAAAAA
49.99 AAAAA Brunswick 65.9% 7 Effingham County AAAAA
49.96 AAAAAA North Paulding 68.1% 8 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
49.63 AAAAAA Norcross 96.4% 32 Mountain View AAAAAA
48.81 AAAAA Salem 50.1% 0 Clarke Central AAAAA
48.45 AA Thomasville 52.4% 1 Baldwin AAAA
48.37 AAAAAA Valdosta 95.0% 29 Veterans AAAA
48.33 AAAAAA Brookwood 82.1% 15 Berkmar AAAAAA
48.09 AAAA Cairo 69.8% 9 Westover AAAA
47.52 AAAAA Loganville 69.2% 8 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
47.34 A Clinch County 61.5% 5 Irwin County A
46.33 AAAAA South Effingham 69.4% 8 Statesboro AAAAA
45.66 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 75.8% 12 Evans AAAAA
45.23 AAA Pierce County 66.7% 7 Jenkins AAA
45.14 AA Brooks County 68.1% 8 Perry AAAA
44.34 AAAA Monroe 60.6% 5 Liberty County AAAA
44.25 AAAAA Dutchtown 82.6% 16 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
44.07 AAAA North Oconee 78.9% 13 West Hall AAA
43.75 AA Dublin 63.6% 6 Bleckley County AA
43.50 AAAAAA Cherokee 85.7% 18 Pope AAAAAA
43.41 AAAAAA South Forsyth 82.8% 16 North Forsyth AAAAAA
43.17 AA Lamar County 63.2% 6 Ola AAAAA
42.92 AAAA Grady 70.1% 9 Lithonia AAAA
42.50 AAAAA Ware County 97.3% 34 Richmond Hill AAAAA
42.38 AA Benedictine 96.8% 33 Bacon County AA
42.27 AAAAAA Mill Creek 98.9% 39 Duluth AAAAAA
42.19 AAAAA Tri-Cities 80.4% 14 Union Grove AAAAA
41.80 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 89.5% 21 Troup AAAA
41.62 AAAAA Kell 94.4% 28 Forsyth Central AAAAA
39.92 AAA Westside (Macon) 92.6% 25 Central (Macon) AAA
39.06 AA Darlington 61.5% 5 Bowdon AA
38.85 AAAA Buford 99.1% 40 White County AAAA
38.07 AAAAA Hiram 68.1% 8 Chapel Hill AAAAA
37.95 AAAAAA Centennial 67.0% 7 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
37.68 AA Lovett 83.6% 16 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
37.01 A Aquinas 75.8% 12 Stratford Academy A
36.93 AAA Central (Carrollton) 88.5% 20 Fayette County AAAA
36.27 AAAAA Miller Grove 80.3% 14 Banneker AAAAA
35.98 AAAA Columbia 77.7% 13 Redan AAAA
34.94 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 94.9% 29 McIntosh AAAAA
34.84 AAA Dodge County 85.8% 18 Southeast Bulloch AAA
34.82 AAA Pepperell 69.5% 8 Chattooga AA
34.72 AAAAA Flowery Branch 78.5% 13 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
33.75 AAAAA Stockbridge 97.7% 35 Rockdale County AAAAAA
33.43 AAAA Arabia Mountain 83.0% 16 Chamblee AAAA
32.92 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 98.2% 37 Hapeville AA
32.85 AAA Peach County 91.9% 24 Spencer AAA
32.73 AAAAA Lanier 94.8% 29 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
32.31 AAAA Thomson 95.4% 30 Washington-Wilkes AA
31.89 A Pinecrest Academy 61.0% 5 Trion A
31.32 AAAA Upson-Lee 85.3% 18 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
31.31 AAA Jackson County 74.2% 11 East Hall AAA
30.53 AA Pace Academy 91.3% 23 Holy Innocents AA
30.53 AAAAAA Colquitt County 99.9% 42 Pelham AA
30.35 AA Heard County 78.7% 13 Cedartown AAA
30.35 A Emanuel County Institute 76.5% 12 Claxton A
30.34 AAAAA Dunwoody 62.7% 5 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
30.22 A Commerce 76.9% 12 Athens Academy A
30.18 A Pacelli 79.1% 13 Greenville A
30.10 A Calvary Day 87.3% 19 Johnson County A
30.05 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 99.5% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
29.17 AAA Oconee County 61.4% 5 Greene County AA
28.99 AAA Decatur 85.2% 18 North Clayton AAA
28.89 AAAA Riverdale 68.8% 8 Walnut Grove AAAA
28.57 A Our Lady of Mercy 52.5% 1 Lumpkin County AAA
28.11 A Hawkinsville 79.0% 13 Brookstone A
28.02 A Turner County 76.0% 12 Telfair County A
27.53 AAAA Henry County 69.9% 9 Pike County AAAA
27.46 AA Union County 72.6% 10 Fannin County AAA
27.01 AAAAA Richmond Academy 67.6% 8 Greenbrier AAAAA
26.31 AAAA Crisp County 76.2% 12 Dougherty AAAA
26.17 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 84.1% 17 Dade County AA
25.62 AAAAA Grovetown 87.5% 20 Cross Creek AAAAA
25.33 AAAAAA West Forsyth 95.8% 30 Habersham Central AAAAAA
24.80 AAAAA Riverwood 91.2% 23 North Atlanta AAAAA
24.53 AAAA Locust Grove 93.8% 27 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
24.10 A Christian Heritage 66.5% 7 Fellowship Christian A
23.64 AAAAA Gainesville 99.0% 39 Apalachee AAAAA
23.57 AAAAAA Tift County 99.4% 40 Alcovy AAAAAA
23.45 AAA Appling County 88.8% 21 Beach AAA
23.22 AAAAA Shaw 85.1% 17 Northeast AA
23.20 AA Manchester 57.9% 3 Mitchell County A
23.10 AA Bremen 50.6% 1 Rockmart AAA
23.02 AA Vidalia 95.8% 30 McIntosh County Academy AA
22.39 AAAAA Sprayberry 96.4% 32 North Springs AAAAA
22.30 AAA Rutland 73.7% 11 Kendrick AAA
22.08 A Prince Avenue Christian 94.9% 29 Athens Christian A
21.40 A Tattnall Square 84.1% 17 Hancock Central A
21.04 AAA Morgan County 83.5% 16 Monticello AA
20.78 AAA Cedar Grove 98.7% 38 Douglass AAA
20.68 AAAAA Sequoyah 95.9% 31 River Ridge AAAAA
19.58 AA Jeff Davis 60.6% 5 Long County AA
19.54 AAAAA Starr's Mill 98.4% 37 Forest Park AAAAA
19.51 A Whitefield Academy 55.0% 2 Walker A
18.91 AAAAAA Lee County 99.5% 41 Terrell County A
18.66 AAAA Pickens 95.3% 29 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
17.04 AAA Brantley County 85.5% 18 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
16.70 A Charlton County 96.9% 33 Atkinson County A
16.68 AAA Calhoun 99.8% 41 North Murray AAA
15.70 AA Seminole County 90.1% 22 Miller County A
15.68 A Savannah Christian 92.9% 26 Treutlen A
15.26 A Mount Paran Christian 98.2% 37 King's Ridge Christian A
14.12 AAAA Americus-Sumter 93.4% 26 Albany AAAA
14.02 AAA Tattnall County 87.8% 20 Savannah AAA
13.60 A Wilkinson County 89.0% 21 Warren County A
12.05 AA Jefferson County 96.7% 33 Glenn Hills AAA
11.82 AAA Hephzibah 50.3% 0 New Hampstead AAAA
11.75 A Landmark Christian 96.4% 32 Josey AAA
11.35 A Dooly County 92.2% 24 Central (Talbotton) A
10.74 AAA Washington 95.1% 29 McNair AAA
9.82 A First Presbyterian 92.3% 25 Georgia Military College A
9.13 AA Swainsboro 94.9% 29 Butler AAA
8.95 AAAA Marist 99.8% 41 Stone Mountain AAAA
8.82 AA Rabun County 98.5% 38 Riverside Military Academy AA
8.61 AA Chattahoochee County 68.7% 8 Crawford County AA
7.84 AAA Franklin County 87.1% 19 East Jackson AAA
7.01 A Jenkins County 65.3% 7 Wheeler County A
6.33 A Mount de Sales 87.8% 20 Strong Rock Christian A
5.44 AA Early County 97.8% 35 Calhoun County A
5.03 A Taylor County 80.6% 14 Schley County A
4.78 A Wilcox County 89.5% 21 Lanier County A
4.61 A Lincoln County 98.2% 37 Twiggs County A
3.88 AA Putnam County 93.9% 27 Social Circle AA
2.41 AAA Banks County 90.8% 23 North Cobb Christian A
1.89 AAA Haralson County 79.0% 13 Temple AA
1.68 AA Screven County 97.9% 36 Windsor Forest AAAA
0.43 AAA Cook 99.0% 39 Islands AAA
0.15 AA Wesleyan 99.1% 40 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
-0.20 AA Bryan County 91.1% 23 Groves AA
-0.63 AAA Hart County 99.6% 41 Oglethorpe County AA
-0.91 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 97.3% 34 St. Francis A
-0.98 AAA Sonoraville 96.3% 32 Coahulla Creek AAA
-2.07 A Hebron Christian Academy 82.8% 16 Towns County A
-2.58 A Savannah Country Day 91.9% 24 Montgomery County A
-2.86 AAA Murray County 86.9% 19 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-3.89 AAAA Woodward Academy 100.0% 42 Clarkston AAAAA
-6.63 AAA Ringgold 98.9% 39 Gordon Central AAA
-11.73 AA Harlem 86.7% 19 Glascock County A
-21.34 A Mount Vernon Presbyterian 87.5% 19 Cross Keys AAAA
-22.46 AA East Laurens 98.5% 38 Stewart County A
-26.74 A George Walton Academy 98.9% 39 Providence Christian A

Sep 19

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
56.41 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 60.4% 5 M. L. King AAAAA
50.65 AAAAA Mays 92.3% 25 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
30.53 AAA Blessed Trinity 98.9% 39 Maynard Jackson AAA
26.14 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 94.9% 29 Towers AAA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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