Sports
Maxwell Week 3 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 1
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.41 | AAA | Monroe | 73.1% | 10 | Thomasville | AA |
| 33.61 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 64.7% | 6 | Spencer | AA |
| 14.52 | AAAAAA | North Atlanta | 79.1% | 13 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| 11.59 | AAA | Pierce County | 97.4% | 34 | Beach | AAA |
| 8.02 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 85.4% | 18 | Murray County | AAA |
| -9.58 | A - Public | Chattahoochee County | 89.1% | 21 | Baconton Charter | A - Public |
Sep 2
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.44 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 57.1% | 3 | Grayson | AAAAAAA |
| 75.98 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 88.9% | 21 | Dacula | AAAAAA |
| 72.32 | AAAAAAA | Brookwood | 55.5% | 3 | South Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 71.69 | AAAAAAA | Parkview | 53.4% | 2 | Lowndes | AAAAAAA |
| 70.48 | AAAAAAA | Hillgrove | 56.9% | 3 | North Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 68.34 | AAAAAAA | Peachtree Ridge | 77.3% | 12 | Mays | AAAAAA |
| 68.03 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 57.3% | 3 | Allatoona | AAAAAA |
| 67.24 | AAAA | Cartersville | 80.5% | 14 | Calhoun | AAA |
| 67.02 | AA | Benedictine | 65.2% | 7 | St. Pius X | AAAA |
| 66.57 | AAAAA | Ware County | 53.0% | 2 | Coffee | AAAAAA |
| 66.06 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 64.8% | 6 | Harrison | AAAAAA |
| 64.92 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 95.2% | 29 | Tucker | AAAAAA |
| 62.56 | AAAAAAA | Westlake | 65.2% | 7 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 61.04 | AAAA | Jefferson | 66.5% | 7 | Thomson | AAAA |
| 60.38 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 96.0% | 31 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 59.61 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 68.6% | 8 | Carver (Atlanta) | AAAAA |
| 59.12 | AAAAA | Kell | 81.0% | 15 | Lassiter | AAAAAAA |
| 57.13 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 54.4% | 2 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 56.80 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 60.0% | 4 | Starr's Mill | AAAAA |
| 56.01 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 69.3% | 8 | Lambert | AAAAAAA |
| 55.73 | AAAAAA | Creekside | 72.9% | 10 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
| 55.20 | AAAAAA | Creekview | 63.2% | 6 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 55.12 | AAAAAAA | North Paulding | 81.1% | 15 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 54.02 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 50.8% | 1 | Cairo | AAAA |
| 51.24 | AA | Brooks County | 68.5% | 8 | Clinch County | A - Public |
| 48.83 | AAA | Peach County | 62.4% | 5 | Warner Robins | AAAAA |
| 48.46 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 96.1% | 31 | Wayne County | AAAAA |
| 48.37 | AAAAAA | South Paulding | 70.7% | 9 | Hiram | AAAAA |
| 48.24 | AAAAA | Griffin | 74.9% | 11 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 48.22 | AAAAA | Rome | 73.5% | 10 | Drew | AAAAAA |
| 47.76 | AAAAAA | Brunswick | 61.7% | 5 | Cook | AAA |
| 46.90 | AAAA | Stephens County | 50.6% | 1 | Rabun County | AA |
| 46.25 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 87.9% | 20 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
| 46.14 | AAAA | West Laurens | 74.3% | 11 | Dodge County | AA |
| 46.13 | AAAAAA | Gainesville | 75.6% | 11 | Clarke Central | AAAAA |
| 45.59 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 91.3% | 23 | Northwest Whitfield | AAAA |
| 45.52 | AAAA | Burke County | 76.4% | 12 | Washington County | AA |
| 45.24 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 89.2% | 21 | Riverdale | AAAAA |
| 45.10 | A - Public | Irwin County | 50.6% | 1 | Macon County | A - Public |
| 43.63 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 68.5% | 8 | Sequoyah | AAAAAA |
| 42.98 | AAA | Liberty County | 66.1% | 7 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 42.46 | AAAA | Spalding | 64.7% | 6 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 41.75 | AAAAAA | M.L. King | 50.4% | 1 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 41.74 | AAAAAA | Houston County | 95.1% | 29 | Eagle's Landing | AAAAA |
| 41.51 | AAA | Jackson | 54.5% | 2 | Lamar County | AA |
| 41.37 | AAAAA | Loganville | 71.5% | 9 | North Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 41.23 | AAA | Worth County | 67.1% | 7 | Veterans | AAAAA |
| 41.19 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 51.2% | 1 | Darlington | A - Private |
| 41.10 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 96.1% | 31 | Westside (Macon) | AAA |
| 40.83 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 65.3% | 7 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 40.69 | AAAAAA | New Manchester | 63.7% | 6 | Heard County | AA |
| 40.68 | AA | Laney | 51.9% | 1 | Evans | AAAAAA |
| 40.14 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 82.1% | 15 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 39.54 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 73.1% | 10 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 39.48 | AAAAAA | Northview | 73.0% | 10 | Winder-Barrow | AAAAAA |
| 37.50 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 97.5% | 35 | Hardaway | AAAA |
| 37.49 | A - Private | Landmark Christian | 64.5% | 6 | Stratford Academy | A - Private |
| 36.73 | AAAAAA | Grovetown | 53.2% | 2 | Lincoln County | A - Public |
| 36.32 | AAAA | Eastside | 84.4% | 17 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
| 35.79 | AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 82.6% | 16 | Redan | AAA |
| 35.05 | AAA | Crisp County | 73.2% | 10 | Turner County | A - Public |
| 34.78 | AA | Model | 69.7% | 9 | Adairsville | AAA |
| 34.43 | AAAA | Troup | 55.0% | 2 | Bowdon | A - Public |
| 34.32 | AAAA | Upson-Lee | 83.7% | 16 | Columbus | AAAA |
| 34.11 | AAAAA | South Effingham | 82.1% | 15 | Jenkins | AAA |
| 33.97 | AAAAA | Decatur | 54.4% | 2 | Cedar Shoals | AAAAA |
| 33.55 | AAAAA | Ola | 73.1% | 10 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAAA |
| 33.45 | A - Public | Manchester | 65.7% | 7 | Southwest | AA |
| 33.00 | AAAAAAA | Walton | 95.8% | 30 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 32.99 | AAA | Appling County | 76.1% | 12 | Charlton County | A - Public |
| 32.79 | AAAA | Central (Carrollton) | 73.1% | 10 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 32.46 | AA | Elbert County | 91.6% | 24 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 32.34 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 73.7% | 10 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 31.92 | AAA | Pace Academy | 94.4% | 28 | Hapeville Charter | AA |
| 31.19 | AAAAA | Lithonia | 50.2% | 0 | Luella | AAAA |
| 31.10 | AAAA | North Oconee | 60.3% | 4 | Morgan County | AAA |
| 30.95 | AAAA | Pickens | 86.2% | 18 | Pepperell | AA |
| 30.94 | A - Public | Washington-Wilkes | 53.0% | 2 | West Hall | AAAA |
| 30.83 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 79.4% | 14 | Brantley County | AAA |
| 30.36 | A - Private | First Presbyterian | 57.4% | 3 | Brookstone | A - Private |
| 29.70 | AAA | Dawson County | 66.2% | 7 | Chattooga | AA |
| 29.44 | AAAAAAA | Forsyth Central | 63.3% | 6 | River Ridge | AAAAAA |
| 28.19 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 73.2% | 10 | Howard | AAAA |
| 28.04 | AAAA | Americus-Sumter | 57.1% | 3 | Dooly County | A - Public |
| 27.95 | AAA | Lovett | 96.8% | 33 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 27.82 | A - Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 94.6% | 28 | Athens Christian | A - Private |
| 27.56 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 61.8% | 5 | White County | AAAA |
| 27.19 | AA | Dublin | 78.0% | 13 | Wilkinson County | A - Public |
| 27.18 | AAAAA | Cass | 91.6% | 24 | Sonoraville | AAA |
| 26.74 | AAAAA | Flowery Branch | 83.3% | 16 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 26.44 | AAAA | Salem | 83.3% | 16 | Therrell | AA |
| 26.44 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 91.0% | 23 | Holy Innocents | A - Private |
| 25.87 | AAA | Ringgold | 63.9% | 6 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 25.66 | AAAAAAA | Duluth | 68.5% | 8 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
| 25.36 | AAA | Southeast Bulloch | 69.7% | 9 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAAA |
| 24.94 | AAAAA | Fayette County | 81.6% | 15 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 24.38 | A - Private | Mount Paran Christian | 82.4% | 16 | Bremen | AAA |
| 24.29 | AAAA | Oconee County | 93.3% | 26 | Walnut Grove | AAAAA |
| 24.04 | AA | Early County | 89.2% | 21 | Seminole County | A - Public |
| 23.33 | AAAA | Cedartown | 71.1% | 9 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| 23.27 | AAAA | Chapel Hill | 82.1% | 15 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 23.09 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 97.2% | 34 | Washington | AA |
| 22.86 | AA | Bacon County | 67.1% | 7 | Telfair County | A - Public |
| 22.32 | AAA | Jackson County | 58.6% | 4 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 21.40 | AAAA | Shaw | 84.1% | 17 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 21.27 | A - Private | Pinecrest Academy | 80.7% | 14 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
| 20.90 | A - Public | Trion | 81.8% | 15 | Dade County | AA |
| 20.62 | AAA | North Murray | 70.3% | 9 | Coosa | AA |
| 20.47 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 99.1% | 40 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
| 20.04 | AA | Northeast | 63.2% | 6 | Rutland | AAA |
| 19.50 | AAAAAAA | Mountain View | 97.6% | 35 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| 19.15 | AA | Berrien | 59.4% | 4 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 18.77 | AAAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 93.7% | 27 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 18.22 | AAAAA | Chamblee | 54.8% | 2 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| 16.81 | AAAAA | Woodland (Cartersville) | 51.9% | 1 | Rockmart | AA |
| 16.30 | AA | Bleckley County | 61.5% | 5 | Treutlen | A - Public |
| 15.14 | AA | Douglass | 75.7% | 12 | South Atlanta | AA |
| 14.97 | AAA | Pike County | 50.0% | 0 | Monticello | AA |
| 14.63 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 97.0% | 33 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 14.09 | AAAAA | Union Grove | 86.7% | 19 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 13.72 | AAAAAA | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 87.1% | 19 | Morrow | AAAAA |
| 13.57 | A - Public | Commerce | 94.0% | 27 | Hebron Christian Academy | A - Private |
| 13.01 | A - Public | Taylor County | 58.1% | 4 | Greenville | A - Public |
| 11.71 | AAA | Long County | 50.5% | 1 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 10.25 | A - Public | Gordon Lee | 85.0% | 17 | LaFayette | AAAA |
| 10.09 | A - Public | Warren County | 56.8% | 3 | Harlem | AA |
| 9.95 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 78.5% | 13 | Josey | AA |
| 9.63 | A - Private | Walker | 62.6% | 5 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A - Private |
| 9.56 | A - Public | Greene County | 88.1% | 20 | Putnam County | AA |
| 9.19 | AA | Metter | 87.1% | 19 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| 9.17 | A - Public | Hawkinsville | 87.1% | 19 | Wilcox County | A - Public |
| 9.09 | A - Public | Claxton | 59.4% | 4 | Savannah | AAA |
| 8.15 | AA | Banks County | 71.6% | 9 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
| 7.55 | AAAA | Westover | 96.7% | 32 | Albany | AA |
| 5.71 | A - Public | Pelham | 90.4% | 22 | Terrell County | A - Public |
| 5.65 | AAAA | Cross Creek | 79.2% | 14 | Glenn Hills | AA |
| 4.93 | A - Private | Savannah Country Day | 75.0% | 11 | Lanier County | A - Public |
| 4.43 | A - Public | Emanuel County Institute | 98.2% | 37 | Portal | A - Public |
| 4.12 | AAAAA | Locust Grove | 99.3% | 40 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 2.96 | AAA | Monroe Area | 91.8% | 24 | Social Circle | AA |
| 2.80 | A - Private | King's Ridge Christian | 68.9% | 8 | Strong Rock Christian | A - Private |
| 2.38 | A - Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 96.7% | 32 | Whitefield Academy | A - Private |
| 1.90 | A - Public | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 96.3% | 31 | Haralson County | AAA |
| 1.46 | AA | Temple | 69.3% | 8 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| 0.37 | A - Private | George Walton Academy | 88.6% | 21 | Towns County | A - Public |
| -0.50 | A - Public | Jenkins County | 83.2% | 16 | Wheeler County | A - Public |
| -1.86 | AA | East Laurens | 73.5% | 10 | Montgomery County | A - Public |
| -2.41 | AA | Westside (Augusta) | 77.8% | 13 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -4.02 | A - Private | Athens Academy | 96.3% | 32 | Lakeview Academy | A - Private |
| -4.06 | AAAAA | New Hampstead | 83.0% | 16 | Islands | AAA |
| -5.09 | AAA | Stone Mountain | 70.6% | 9 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -5.72 | A - Private | St. Francis | 86.2% | 18 | North Cobb Christian | A - Private |
| -6.80 | A - Public | Johnson County | 96.2% | 31 | Groves | AAA |
| -7.32 | AA | Bryan County | 97.6% | 35 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
| -7.84 | A - Public | Randolph-Clay | 86.2% | 18 | Calhoun County | A - Public |
| -7.92 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 94.6% | 28 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -14.40 | A - Private | Riverside Military Academy | 87.6% | 20 | Providence Christian | A - Private |
| -20.40 | A - Public | Crawford County | 96.6% | 32 | Glascock County | A - Other |
| -24.97 | A - Other | Georgia Military College | 95.9% | 31 | Fulton Leadership Academy | A - Public |
| -28.66 | AAA | McNair | 98.9% | 39 | Cross Keys | AAAAA |
| -32.28 | A - Public | Mitchell County | 99.5% | 41 | Stewart County | A - Public |
Sep 3
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.14 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 77.1% | 12 | Lovejoy | AAAAAA |
| 47.46 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 76.8% | 12 | Douglas County | AAAAAA |
| 44.43 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 67.9% | 8 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| 8.87 | AAAAA | North Springs | 52.5% | 1 | Towers | AAA |
