Sports
Maxwell Week 2 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the probability of the favorite winning the game, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rate is calculated as the expected value of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information.
Aug 28
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.91 | Houston County | 57.1% | 3 | Veterans |
| 40.73 | Drew | 68.1% | 8 | Fayette County |
| 31.75 | Kendrick | 51.8% | 1 | Northside (Columbus) |
| 24.96 | Spalding | 64.2% | 6 | Forest Park |
Aug 29
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.59 | Gainesville | 55.9% | 3 | Grayson |
| 77.52 | Archer | 50.1% | 0 | Peachtree Ridge |
| 76.66 | Creekside | 56.1% | 3 | Hughes |
| 75.81 | North Gwinnett | 87.4% | 19 | North Cobb |
| 74.87 | Kell | 74.7% | 11 | Lassiter |
| 74.81 | Valdosta | 69.6% | 8 | Thomas County Central |
| 72.87 | Norcross | 91.5% | 24 | Brookwood |
| 72.72 | Mill Creek | 70.6% | 9 | West Forsyth |
| 71.81 | Alpharetta | 52.2% | 1 | Milton |
| 70.81 | Walton | 72.1% | 10 | Marietta |
| 69.99 | Carrollton | 65.2% | 7 | Newnan |
| 67.18 | St. Pius X | 59.9% | 4 | Blessed Trinity |
| 66.37 | North Paulding | 68.6% | 8 | East Paulding |
| 64.52 | Collins Hill | 75.4% | 11 | Central Gwinnett |
| 63.54 | Brunswick | 54.3% | 2 | Glynn Academy |
| 62.80 | Washington County | 86.0% | 18 | Thomson |
| 61.77 | Calhoun | 84.9% | 17 | Dalton |
| 61.60 | Harrison | 60.5% | 5 | Wheeler |
| 60.26 | Greater Atlanta Christian | 71.8% | 10 | North Oconee |
| 58.20 | Warner Robins | 81.6% | 15 | Peach County |
| 58.05 | Lovett | 87.2% | 19 | Westminster (Atlanta) |
| 57.74 | Cherokee | 60.5% | 5 | North Forsyth |
| 57.50 | Clarke Central | 62.8% | 5 | Hart County |
| 57.17 | Hillgrove | 95.2% | 29 | Shiloh |
| 56.24 | Allatoona | 86.3% | 19 | Villa Rica |
| 55.73 | Tift County | 77.1% | 12 | Cook |
| 55.57 | Lovejoy | 94.8% | 29 | Mundy's Mill |
| 55.57 | Etowah | 87.8% | 20 | Sequoyah |
| 54.44 | Roswell | 60.9% | 5 | Centennial |
| 54.30 | Cedar Grove | 66.3% | 7 | Southwest DeKalb |
| 53.60 | East Coweta | 78.7% | 13 | Arabia Mountain |
| 53.60 | Flowery Branch | 84.0% | 17 | Chestatee |
| 53.27 | Parkview | 84.1% | 17 | Mountain View |
| 52.54 | Sandy Creek | 97.4% | 34 | Jonesboro |
| 52.50 | Troup | 63.0% | 6 | LaGrange |
| 51.81 | Luella | 59.0% | 4 | McIntosh |
| 51.75 | Stockbridge | 81.3% | 15 | Eagle's Landing Christian |
| 51.75 | Woodstock | 73.3% | 10 | Johns Creek |
| 51.07 | Wayne County | 65.5% | 7 | Appling County |
| 50.94 | Cairo | 73.6% | 10 | Thomasville |
| 50.52 | Whitewater | 87.7% | 20 | Starr's Mill |
| 50.44 | Westlake | 69.9% | 9 | Banneker |
| 50.23 | Vidalia | 61.4% | 5 | West Laurens |
| 50.13 | Alcovy | 55.6% | 3 | Eastside |
| 49.80 | Woodward Academy | 84.7% | 17 | Decatur |
| 49.56 | Union Grove | 63.4% | 6 | Eagle's Landing |
| 48.97 | Monroe Area | 87.7% | 20 | Loganville |
| 48.65 | Elbert County | 67.1% | 7 | Cedar Shoals |
| 48.32 | Aquinas | 65.5% | 7 | Prince Avenue Christian |
| 48.10 | Buford | 99.0% | 39 | Berkmar |
| 48.06 | South Cobb | 79.0% | 13 | Pope |
| 47.50 | Burke County | 94.7% | 28 | Jefferson County |
| 47.06 | Bainbridge | 77.0% | 12 | Early County |
| 46.99 | Miller Grove | 54.1% | 2 | Pebblebrook |
| 46.95 | Camden County | 98.4% | 37 | Dutchtown |
| 46.86 | Washington-Wilkes | 75.5% | 11 | Lincoln County |
| 46.61 | Alexander | 68.5% | 8 | Douglas County |
| 46.02 | Duluth | 67.8% | 8 | Northview |
| 45.88 | Cedartown | 56.1% | 3 | Hiram |
| 45.10 | Lee County | 88.4% | 20 | Crisp County |
| 44.29 | Northgate | 76.2% | 12 | Shaw |
| 43.87 | Adairsville | 60.9% | 5 | Woodland (Cartersville) |
| 43.57 | Brooks County | 89.3% | 21 | Clinch County |
| 43.31 | Rockdale County | 70.8% | 9 | Salem |
| 43.29 | Cartersville | 90.2% | 22 | Cass |
| 43.03 | Sprayberry | 54.0% | 2 | Kennesaw Mountain |
| 42.90 | White County | 76.9% | 12 | Pickens |
| 42.14 | Jones County | 79.3% | 14 | Morgan County |
| 41.87 | Savannah Christian | 59.3% | 4 | McIntosh County Academy |
| 40.77 | Dooly County | 53.5% | 2 | Wilcox County |
| 40.66 | Cambridge | 51.5% | 1 | Chapel Hill |
| 40.65 | Lamar County | 86.8% | 19 | Pike County |
| 40.17 | Westside (Macon) | 86.7% | 19 | Rutland |
| 39.27 | Campbell | 76.3% | 12 | Stone Mountain |
| 38.63 | Locust Grove | 60.6% | 5 | Ola |
| 37.92 | Bremen | 50.1% | 0 | Darlington |
| 37.60 | Dublin | 64.8% | 6 | Johnson County |
| 37.20 | Bleckley County | 68.6% | 8 | Hawkinsville |
| 37.02 | Americus-Sumter | 61.5% | 5 | Macon County |
| 36.87 | Riverdale | 71.5% | 9 | North Clayton |
| 36.39 | Apalachee | 54.1% | 2 | Woodland (Stockbridge) |
| 36.12 | Paulding County | 56.4% | 3 | Pepperell |
| 34.88 | Wesleyan | 56.2% | 3 | East Hall |
| 34.86 | Emanuel County Institute | 63.9% | 6 | Swainsboro |
| 34.63 | Riverwood | 83.4% | 16 | Holy Innocents |
| 34.00 | Chamblee | 80.6% | 14 | Druid Hills |
| 33.30 | Dawson County | 72.5% | 10 | Forsyth Central |
| 33.24 | Liberty County | 76.9% | 12 | Bradwell Institute |
| 33.22 | Landmark Christian | 79.3% | 14 | Lithia Springs |
| 32.92 | Madison County | 50.5% | 1 | Jackson County |
| 32.92 | Metter | 66.6% | 7 | Claxton |
| 32.76 | Callaway | 96.3% | 31 | B.E.S.T. Academy |
| 32.63 | Mary Persons | 94.3% | 28 | Jackson |
| 32.44 | Our Lady of Mercy | 67.5% | 8 | Pace Academy |
| 31.56 | Jefferson | 96.8% | 33 | Winder-Barrow |
| 30.68 | Johnson (Savannah) | 59.2% | 4 | Toombs County |
| 29.33 | Pierce County | 87.9% | 20 | Southeast Bulloch |
| 28.83 | Mays | 96.2% | 31 | Glenn Hills |
| 28.47 | First Presbyterian | 68.1% | 8 | Howard |
| 28.44 | Mitchell County | 56.9% | 3 | Albany |
| 28.25 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | 70.0% | 9 | Osborne |
| 27.32 | Rabun County | 60.2% | 4 | Habersham Central |
| 26.42 | Mount Paran Christian | 92.6% | 25 | Whitefield Academy |
| 25.49 | Richmond Academy | 83.2% | 16 | Westside (Augusta) |
| 25.39 | Rockmart | 73.4% | 10 | North Murray |
| 25.34 | Carver (Columbus) | 98.5% | 38 | Spencer |
| 25.28 | Griffin | 99.7% | 41 | Henry County |
| 25.08 | Marion County | 91.8% | 24 | Miller County |
| 24.91 | Irwin County | 89.6% | 22 | Berrien |
| 24.54 | Model | 77.6% | 13 | Sonoraville |
| 24.27 | Wilkinson County | 78.4% | 13 | Central (Macon) |
| 23.78 | Athens Academy | 78.1% | 13 | Athens Christian |
| 23.11 | Stephens County | 94.0% | 27 | Franklin County |
| 22.11 | Baldwin | 93.7% | 27 | Hancock Central |
| 22.09 | Gilmer | 95.2% | 29 | Fannin County |
| 21.70 | Stratford Academy | 89.1% | 21 | Savannah Country Day |
| 21.37 | McNair | 56.8% | 3 | Redan |
| 20.78 | Mount de Sales | 72.4% | 10 | Pacelli |
| 19.82 | Taylor County | 82.3% | 16 | East Laurens |
| 19.54 | Newton | 98.6% | 38 | Meadowcreek |
| 19.31 | Haralson County | 56.2% | 3 | Greenville |
| 18.92 | Coffee | 99.5% | 41 | Savannah |
| 18.43 | Ridgeland | 89.1% | 21 | Chattooga |
| 18.19 | Tattnall County | 82.3% | 15 | Long County |
| 17.70 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 52.0% | 1 | Gordon Lee |
| 16.45 | Commerce | 85.2% | 18 | Banks County |
| 16.19 | Monticello | 61.0% | 5 | Walnut Grove |
| 16.10 | West Hall | 91.5% | 24 | Johnson (Gainesville) |
| 16.02 | Maynard Jackson | 86.3% | 18 | Therrell |
| 15.67 | Morrow | 73.3% | 10 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) |
| 15.43 | Pinecrest Academy | 65.8% | 7 | North Springs |
| 15.39 | Putnam County | 79.5% | 14 | Greene County |
| 15.22 | Ringgold | 98.6% | 38 | Heritage (Ringgold) |
| 15.08 | Monroe | 96.6% | 32 | Terrell County |
| 14.50 | Northeast | 93.4% | 26 | Southwest |
| 14.21 | Fellowship Christian | 57.6% | 3 | Riverside Military Academy |
| 13.44 | Douglass | 58.8% | 4 | South Atlanta |
| 13.37 | Atkinson County | 50.8% | 1 | Jeff Davis |
| 13.34 | Treutlen | 62.2% | 5 | Jenkins County |
| 13.19 | Tattnall Square | 93.6% | 27 | Georgia Military College |
| 12.56 | Cross Creek | 56.8% | 3 | Hephzibah |
| 12.21 | Telfair County | 70.4% | 9 | Wheeler County |
| 11.97 | Beach | 80.4% | 14 | Windsor Forest |
| 11.46 | Lithonia | 94.8% | 28 | Clarkston |
| 9.75 | Hardaway | 94.2% | 27 | Chattahoochee County |
| 9.68 | Bacon County | 92.4% | 25 | Lanier County |
| 9.14 | Dodge County | 97.5% | 34 | Brantley County |
| 8.09 | Oconee County | 87.2% | 19 | Oglethorpe County |
| 7.85 | Dougherty | 85.6% | 18 | Calhoun County |
| 7.84 | Grovetown | 94.7% | 28 | Harlem |
| 7.06 | George Walton Academy | 96.6% | 32 | Hapeville |
| 4.34 | Portal | 79.4% | 14 | Josey |
| 3.28 | Trion | 95.5% | 30 | Armuchee |
| 2.93 | Lakeview Academy | 56.0% | 3 | East Jackson |
| 1.39 | Groves | 81.4% | 15 | Islands |
| -1.67 | Union County | 92.6% | 25 | Towns County |
| -5.12 | LaFayette | 94.2% | 28 | Gordon Central |
| -6.76 | Glascock County | 57.7% | 3 | Warren County |
| -7.62 | North Atlanta | 94.1% | 27 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate |
| -7.77 | Hebron Christian Academy | 79.2% | 14 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian |
| -10.95 | Pelham | 97.6% | 35 | Baconton |
| -13.35 | Crawford County | 80.9% | 15 | Central (Talbotton) |
| -14.90 | Southeast Whitfield | 99.0% | 39 | Murray County |
| -15.29 | Strong Rock Christian | 94.7% | 28 | Social Circle |
| -24.98 | Cross Keys | 62.4% | 5 | North Cobb Christian |
| -28.59 | St. Francis | 96.6% | 32 | Providence Christian |
Aug 30
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.44 | Fitzgerald | 57.5% | 3 | Heard County |
| 46.24 | Carver (Atlanta) | 71.5% | 9 | Washington |
| 40.34 | Charlton County | 61.5% | 5 | Manchester |
| 34.14 | South Effingham | 71.7% | 9 | Jenkins |
