Sports

Maxwell Week 7 Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Oct 1, 2014

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 2

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
37.12 AAAAA Harris County 93.0% 26 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
19.86 AAAA Crisp County 87.1% 19 Albany AAAA

Oct 3

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
89.86 AAAAAA Colquitt County 73.6% 10 Lowndes AAAAAA
81.59 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 74.1% 11 Norcross AAAAAA
80.80 AAAAAA Camden County 71.0% 9 Valdosta AAAAAA
78.71 AAAAAA North Cobb 55.6% 3 Hillgrove AAAAAA
74.56 AAAAAA Milton 67.6% 8 Etowah AAAAAA
73.78 AAAAA Creekside 63.7% 6 Mays AAAAA
73.23 AAAAAA Dacula 79.6% 14 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
69.52 AAAAAA Grayson 88.8% 21 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
69.43 AAAAAA McEachern 86.6% 19 Marietta AAAAAA
65.28 AAAAAA Tucker 81.8% 15 Newton AAAAAA
64.88 AAAAAA Woodstock 70.1% 9 Cherokee AAAAAA
64.24 AAAAAA Tift County 71.0% 9 Lee County AAAAAA
61.13 AAAAA South Paulding 62.9% 6 New Manchester AAAAA
61.10 AAAAA Allatoona 82.8% 16 Alexander AAAAA
59.82 AAAAAA East Coweta 80.0% 14 Westlake AAAAAA
59.73 AAAAAA Brookwood 53.8% 2 Shiloh AAAAAA
59.27 AAA Jefferson 71.3% 9 Elbert County AAA
59.24 AAAA St. Pius X 56.9% 3 Columbia AAAA
59.21 AAA Calhoun 88.4% 20 Adairsville AAA
58.81 AAAAAA Harrison 61.5% 5 North Paulding AAAAAA
57.00 AAAAA Jones County 83.3% 16 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAA
56.17 AAAAAA Roswell 91.1% 23 Wheeler AAAAAA
54.71 AA Benedictine 73.5% 10 Wayne County AAAA
54.46 AA Fitzgerald 69.3% 8 Thomasville AA
54.39 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 63.4% 6 Tri-Cities AAAAA
54.27 AAAAAA Newnan 71.0% 9 Douglas County AAAAAA
53.88 AAAAAA Lovejoy 91.8% 24 Rockdale County AAAAAA
53.80 AAAA Burke County 75.3% 11 Thomson AAAA
53.30 AAAAA Stephenson 83.3% 16 Miller Grove AAAAA
52.97 AAAAA Gainesville 92.1% 24 Salem AAAAA
52.63 AAAAA Evans 60.0% 4 Warner Robins AAAAA
52.09 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 61.5% 5 M. L. King AAAAA
52.05 AAAA Thomas County Central 85.9% 18 Monroe AAAA
51.71 AAAAA Richmond Hill 59.1% 4 Effingham County AAAAA
51.06 AAAA West Laurens 54.4% 2 Upson-Lee AAAA
50.95 AAA Washington County 96.0% 31 Laney AAA
50.90 AAAA Gilmer 58.0% 4 Ridgeland AAAA
50.45 AAAAA Stockbridge 78.0% 13 Dutchtown AAAAA
49.95 AAAAAA Collins Hill 94.6% 28 Mountain View AAAAAA
48.74 AAAAA Dalton 87.3% 19 Creekview AAAAA
48.71 AAAAA Drew 64.4% 6 Starr's Mill AAAAA
48.45 A Charlton County 53.5% 2 Irwin County A
47.06 AAAAAA Archer 95.9% 31 Berkmar AAAAAA
46.81 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 96.7% 33 Duluth AAAAAA
46.58 AAAAA East Paulding 89.5% 21 Paulding County AAAAA
46.54 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 57.0% 3 Pickens AAAA
46.44 AAAAA Flowery Branch 69.6% 9 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
46.26 AAAAA Riverwood 58.4% 4 Sprayberry AAAAA
45.09 AAAAAA South Cobb 85.4% 18 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
44.63 AAAAAA Walton 95.8% 30 Pope AAAAAA
44.41 AAAAA McIntosh 51.9% 1 Northgate AAAAA
43.41 AAAA Baldwin 61.2% 5 Veterans AAAA
43.32 AAAAA Brunswick 88.5% 20 South Effingham AAAAA
43.15 AAAAA Ola 57.7% 3 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
42.74 A Marion County 71.8% 10 Pacelli A
42.55 AAAAA Luella 84.8% 17 Union Grove AAAAA
42.29 AAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 71.5% 9 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
42.25 AA Jefferson County 65.3% 7 Dublin AA
42.20 AAAA Bainbridge 82.8% 16 Americus-Sumter AAAA
42.17 AAA Westside (Macon) 92.5% 25 Jackson AAA
42.03 AAAA North Oconee 87.4% 19 North Hall AAAA
41.97 AAAAA Coffee 96.7% 33 Statesboro AAAAA
41.87 AA Model 54.2% 2 Darlington AA
41.41 AAAA White County 67.6% 8 Madison County AAAA
40.51 AAAAA Dunwoody 55.8% 3 Druid Hills AAAAA
39.62 AAAAAA Hughes 98.3% 37 Campbell AAAAAA
38.73 AAAA Marist 98.0% 36 Lithonia AAAA
38.69 A Hawkinsville 80.0% 14 Greenville A
38.26 AAAAA Hiram 83.9% 17 Lithia Springs AAAAA
38.08 AA Early County 56.5% 3 Seminole County AA
37.74 AAAA Buford 99.7% 41 Chestatee AAAA
37.22 AAAA Perry 67.5% 8 Howard AAAA
36.07 AA Brooks County 94.5% 28 Berrien AA
35.52 AAAAAA Kennesaw Mountain 80.3% 14 Osborne AAAAAA
35.48 AAA Cook 75.3% 11 Tattnall County AAA
35.24 A Stratford Academy 54.9% 2 First Presbyterian A
35.06 AAAAA Rome 75.0% 11 River Ridge AAAAA
34.76 AAAA Stephens County 86.3% 18 Monroe Area AAAA
34.41 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 98.7% 38 Richmond Academy AAAAA
33.03 AAAAAA Alcovy 56.6% 3 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
32.89 A Commerce 59.6% 4 Prince Avenue Christian A
32.33 AAAAA Loganville 82.7% 16 Apalachee AAAAA
32.18 AAAAA LaGrange 82.3% 16 Columbus AAAAA
32.17 AAA Oconee County 50.1% 0 Jackson County AAA
32.05 AAA Dodge County 86.6% 19 Toombs County AAA
31.93 AAAAA Glynn Academy 96.4% 32 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
31.68 A Clinch County 68.8% 8 Atkinson County A
31.63 AAAAA Villa Rica 83.2% 16 Chapel Hill AAAAA
31.52 AAAAA Cass 80.4% 14 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
31.35 A Telfair County 52.2% 1 Wilcox County A
30.26 AA Bowdon 83.8% 17 Manchester AA
29.61 A Mount Pisgah Christian 82.2% 15 St. Francis A
27.96 AAA Spencer 50.8% 1 Southwest AAA
27.77 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 95.4% 30 Morrow AAAAA
27.32 AAA Lumpkin County 53.1% 2 Franklin County AAA
26.78 AAA East Hall 50.8% 1 Dawson County AAA
26.51 AAAA Riverdale 69.3% 8 Pike County AAAA
26.37 AAA Peach County 97.8% 35 Central (Macon) AAA
26.17 A Trion 57.3% 3 Christian Heritage A
25.54 AAA Pierce County 89.9% 22 Brantley County AAA
24.90 AAAA Arabia Mountain 93.1% 26 Stone Mountain AAAA
24.81 A Aquinas 93.6% 27 Hancock Central A
24.48 A Landmark Christian 90.8% 23 Rockmart AAA
23.86 A Pinecrest Academy 70.0% 9 Whitefield Academy A
23.39 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 70.4% 9 LaFayette AAAA
21.82 AAAA Cartersville 99.3% 40 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
21.78 A Tattnall Square 89.3% 21 Wilkinson County A
21.51 AA Heard County 79.3% 14 Chattahoochee County AA
20.98 A Brookstone 84.9% 17 Taylor County A
20.94 AAA Southeast Bulloch 56.2% 3 Beach AAA
20.74 AA Wesleyan 87.2% 19 Hapeville AA
20.46 A Calvary Day 92.6% 25 Jenkins County A
20.41 AAAAAA Mill Creek 99.6% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
19.78 AAA Rutland 77.5% 13 Jordan AAA
19.77 AA Vidalia 98.2% 37 Long County AA
19.64 AAA Banks County 50.7% 1 Fannin County AAA
18.92 A Claxton 84.0% 17 Portal A
18.88 AA Swainsboro 81.9% 15 East Laurens AA
17.82 AAAA Chamblee 88.8% 21 Redan AAAA
17.45 AA Coosa 86.6% 19 Chattooga AA
17.44 AAAA Whitewater 99.0% 39 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
16.83 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 68.2% 8 Walker A
16.77 AAA Glenn Hills 73.5% 10 Butler AAA
16.58 AAA Johnson (Savannah) 65.4% 7 Savannah AAA
16.47 AAAAA Shaw 92.3% 25 Hardaway AAAAA
16.22 AA Washington-Wilkes 97.0% 33 Greene County AA
16.11 AAAAA Cambridge 97.5% 34 North Atlanta AAAAA
15.70 AAAAA Kell 99.6% 41 North Springs AAAAA
15.37 A Calhoun County 80.2% 14 Terrell County A
15.17 A Our Lady of Mercy 88.5% 20 Haralson County AAA
14.22 A Turner County 77.7% 13 Lanier County A
12.54 A Strong Rock Christian 57.1% 3 Riverside Military Academy AA
12.40 A Miller County 61.4% 5 Randolph-Clay A
11.01 AAA North Murray 77.0% 12 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
10.57 A Schley County 73.7% 11 Central (Talbotton) A
10.51 A King's Ridge Christian 64.3% 6 Fellowship Christian A
8.96 AAAA Eagle's Landing 98.3% 37 Hampton AAAA
8.43 A Johnson County 92.5% 25 Montgomery County A
6.94 AAA Westside (Augusta) 91.5% 24 Josey AAA
5.20 A Treutlen 65.4% 7 Wheeler County A
4.70 AAA Sonoraville 93.6% 27 Gordon Central AAA
4.06 A Lincoln County 95.3% 29 Warren County A
3.67 AA Monticello 93.5% 26 Crawford County AA
3.35 AAA Morgan County 94.8% 29 East Jackson AAA
1.81 A Mount de Sales 93.2% 26 Twiggs County A
1.40 AA Union County 96.4% 32 Oglethorpe County AA
1.05 AA Gordon Lee 82.9% 16 Armuchee AA
-0.38 AA Screven County 99.1% 40 Harlem AA
-0.72 AA Bremen 96.6% 32 Temple AA
-3.10 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 99.9% 42 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
-3.91 A Athens Academy 94.4% 28 Towns County A
-4.99 A Hebron Christian Academy 89.1% 21 Lakeview Academy A
-8.29 AAA Murray County 54.8% 2 Coahulla Creek AAA
-8.48 AAAA New Hampstead 60.6% 5 Glascock County A
-14.48 AA Rabun County 99.3% 40 Social Circle AA
-18.05 AAA Hephzibah 96.4% 32 North Cobb Christian A
-31.64 A Athens Christian 99.7% 41 Providence Christian A

Oct 4

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
27.09 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 88.3% 20 Holy Innocents AA
23.60 AAAA Worth County 89.9% 22 Dougherty AAAA
-1.14 AAA Jenkins 98.8% 39 Islands AAA
-12.71 A Baconton 61.1% 5 Stewart County A

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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