Maxwell Week 12 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Nov 2

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
22.77	AAAAA	Griffin	94.9%	29	Riverdale	AAAAA
22.69	AA	Callaway	95.3%	29	Jordan	AA
5.82	AAA	Westside (Macon)	97.9%	36	Kendrick	AAA
4.04	AAA	Pike County	97.0%	33	Rutland	AAA

Nov 3

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
70.48	AAAAAA	Coffee	59.5%	4	Lee County	AAAAAA
70.44	AAAAAAA	McEachern	63.9%	6	Hillgrove	AAAAAAA
64.55	AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	80.5%	14	West Forsyth	AAAAAAA
63.01	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	58.2%	4	Marietta	AAAAAAA
61.93	AAAA	Cartersville	95.2%	29	Troup	AAAA
61.12	AAAAAAA	Walton	94.4%	28	Woodstock	AAAAAAA
60.40	AAAAA	Jones County	76.9%	12	Dutchtown	AAAAA
60.05	AAAAA	Warner Robins	85.8%	18	Bainbridge	AAAAA
59.24	AAAAAAA	Lassiter	65.1%	6	Etowah	AAAAAAA
56.30	AAAAAA	Dalton	55.1%	2	Allatoona	AAAAAA
55.66	AAAAAA	Tucker	77.9%	13	Stephenson	AAAAAA
55.29	AAAAA	Buford	96.3%	32	Flowery Branch	AAAAA
54.31	AAAAAAA	Tift County	95.4%	30	Camden County	AAAAAAA
53.96	AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	76.2%	12	Effingham County	AAAAAA
53.17	AAAAAAA	Parkview	89.6%	21	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
53.11	AAAAAA	Douglas County	63.6%	6	Alexander	AAAAAA
52.85	AAAAAAA	Norcross	84.2%	17	Meadowcreek	AAAAAAA
52.26	AAAAAAA	Grayson	97.4%	34	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
50.85	AA	Screven County	59.8%	4	Jefferson County	AA
50.20	AAAAAAA	Milton	89.7%	22	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
50.02	AA	Thomasville	88.7%	21	Fitzgerald	AA
49.91	AAAA	Cedartown	83.9%	17	Chapel Hill	AAAA
48.86	AAAAAA	Mays	90.3%	22	Northgate	AAAAAA
48.68	AAAAAA	Evans	61.8%	5	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAAA
48.57	AAAA	Marist	88.4%	20	White County	AAAA
48.40	AAAAAA	Valdosta	80.8%	15	Houston County	AAAAAA
48.31	A-Private	Athens Academy	72.5%	10	Prince Avenue Christian	A-Private
47.85	AAAAAAA	Westlake	79.1%	13	Campbell	AAAAAAA
47.44	AAAAAA	Dacula	71.8%	10	Winder-Barrow	AAAAAA
47.37	A-Public	Manchester	50.6%	1	Macon County	A-Public
47.19	AAAAAA	Harrison	87.7%	20	Creekview	AAAAAA
47.07	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	82.7%	16	Kennesaw Mountain	AAAAAAA
45.97	AAAAAAA	East Coweta	58.0%	4	Newnan	AAAAAAA
43.95	AAAAA	East Paulding	62.1%	5	Paulding County	AAAAA
43.11	AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	81.8%	15	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
42.98	AA	Toombs County	82.1%	15	Swainsboro	AA
42.94	AAAAAA	Gainesville	50.8%	1	Lanier	AAAAAA
42.87	AAAA	Jefferson	80.6%	14	Oconee County	AAAA
42.45	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	88.1%	20	West Hall	AAAA
41.84	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	82.0%	15	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
41.09	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	94.4%	28	Bradwell Institute	AAAAAA
41.03	AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	63.8%	6	Locust Grove	AAAAA
40.83	AAAAA	Whitewater	68.3%	8	McIntosh	AAAAA
40.80	A-Private	Mount Paran Christian	70.7%	9	Mount Zion (Carroll)	A-Public
40.28	AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	83.4%	16	Pickens	AAAA
40.13	AAAA	Mary Persons	87.3%	19	Howard	AAAA
39.24	AAAAA	Kell	85.5%	18	Hiram	AAAAA
39.09	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	97.8%	35	Dawson County	AAA
38.52	AA	Benedictine	98.1%	36	Jeff Davis	AA
38.10	AAAA	Spalding	59.7%	4	Upson-Lee	AAAA
37.43	AAAAAA	New Manchester	57.4%	3	Tri-Cities	AAAAAA
37.28	AAAAA	Ware County	85.3%	18	New Hampstead	AAAAA
37.03	AA	Bleckley County	56.4%	3	Southwest	AA
36.51	AA	Washington County	65.9%	7	Dublin	AA
36.31	A-Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	52.8%	1	Trion	A-Public
35.68	AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	86.4%	19	Wheeler	AAAAAAA
35.46	AAAA	Sandy Creek	81.1%	15	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
35.24	AAAAA	Thomas County Central	56.7%	3	Harris County	AAAAA
34.66	AAAA	West Laurens	87.7%	20	Perry	AAAA
34.57	AAAAA	Rome	98.7%	38	Woodland (Cartersville)	AAAAA
34.56	AAAAAA	Jonesboro	56.3%	3	Drew	AAAAAA
34.46	AAAAAA	South Cobb	52.3%	1	River Ridge	AAAAAA
33.84	AAAAA	Ola	83.2%	16	Hampton	AAAAA
33.46	AAAAAA	Grovetown	75.9%	12	Lakeside (Evans)	AAAAAA
33.31	AAAAA	Stockbridge	98.9%	39	Union Grove	AAAAA
33.31	AAAAAAA	Archer	99.4%	41	Shiloh	AAAAAAA
33.19	A-Public	Commerce	61.9%	5	George Walton Academy	A-Private
33.12	AAAA	Ridgeland	98.0%	36	Southeast Whitfield	AAAA
32.66	A-Public	Emanuel County Institute	50.8%	1	Calvary Day	A-Private
32.55	AAA	Cook	75.6%	11	Monroe	AAA
32.53	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	93.6%	26	Fayette County	AAAAA
32.46	AAAA	Americus-Sumter	90.0%	22	Carver (Columbus)	AAAA
32.16	AAA	Bremen	85.8%	18	Ringgold	AAA
32.05	AA	Heard County	93.2%	26	Spencer	AA
31.76	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	90.3%	22	Sprayberry	AAAAAA
31.73	AAAA	St. Pius X	90.8%	23	Madison County	AAAA
31.52	A-Public	Clinch County	89.0%	21	Telfair County	A-Public
31.50	A-Private	Stratford Academy	83.7%	16	Aquinas	A-Private
31.48	AAAAA	Wayne County	96.1%	31	Statesboro	AAAAA
31.32	AA	Brooks County	96.3%	31	Berrien	AA
30.98	A-Public	Marion County	68.5%	8	Schley County	A-Public
30.93	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	70.9%	9	Columbia	AAAAA
30.43	AAAAAA	Greenbrier	52.4%	1	Alcovy	AAAAAA
30.33	AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	80.3%	14	Westover	AAAA
29.89	AAAA	Stephens County	74.9%	11	North Oconee	AAAA
29.75	A-Public	Irwin County	92.1%	24	Turner County	A-Public
29.50	AAA	Liberty County	76.3%	12	Pierce County	AAA
29.49	A-Private	First Presbyterian	56.9%	3	Lincoln County	A-Public
29.37	AAAAAAA	Lambert	77.2%	12	Forsyth Central	AAAAAAA
29.29	A-Private	Tattnall Square	64.5%	6	Washington-Wilkes	A-Public
29.05	AAA	North Murray	66.1%	7	Sonoraville	AAA
28.10	A-Private	Darlington	75.5%	11	Whitefield Academy	A-Private
28.04	AAAAAA	Pope	65.6%	7	Northview	AAAAAA
27.83	AA	Pepperell	83.8%	17	Chattooga	AA
27.39	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	98.8%	39	Duluth	AAAAAAA
26.88	AAAA	Cairo	90.1%	22	Columbus	AAAA
26.51	AAAAAAA	Newton	98.8%	39	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
26.49	AAA	Peach County	98.8%	39	Jackson	AAA
26.42	AAAAAA	Cambridge	73.0%	10	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
26.37	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	92.3%	25	Decatur	AAAAA
26.28	AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	87.8%	20	Riverwood	AAAAA
26.08	AAA	Morgan County	84.4%	17	Jackson County	AAA
25.01	AAA	Pace Academy	89.4%	21	Towers	AAA
24.85	AAAAAA	M.L. King	67.4%	7	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
24.52	AAAAA	Banneker	89.4%	21	Grady	AAAAA
23.67	AAAAAAA	Roswell	96.4%	32	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
23.41	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	77.6%	13	Windsor Forest	AAA
23.32	A-Public	Taylor County	72.8%	10	Brookstone	A-Private
23.02	AAAA	Thomson	97.9%	36	Richmond Academy	AAAA
22.88	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	89.4%	21	Lithonia	AAAAA
22.16	AAAAA	Carrollton	96.2%	31	Cass	AAAAA
21.76	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	84.8%	17	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
21.57	AAA	Adairsville	78.3%	13	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
20.69	AAAAA	North Springs	78.0%	13	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
20.58	AA	Temple	67.9%	8	Lamar County	AA
20.46	AAA	Appling County	73.3%	10	Tattnall County	AAA
19.78	AA	Bacon County	91.1%	23	Metter	AA
19.65	A-Public	Jenkins County	53.0%	2	Savannah Christian	A-Private
19.52	A-Private	Hebron Christian Academy	73.1%	10	Athens Christian	A-Private
19.48	A-Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	78.6%	13	Strong Rock Christian	A-Private
19.26	AAA	Jenkins	94.6%	28	Beach	AAA
18.23	A-Public	Mitchell County	58.1%	4	Pelham	A-Public
18.22	A-Private	Our Lady of Mercy	70.3%	9	Holy Innocents	A-Private
17.83	AA	Washington	65.9%	7	Therrell	AA
17.79	AAAAAA	Creekside	50.8%	1	South Paulding	AAAAAA
17.44	A-Private	Walker	63.3%	6	North Cobb Christian	A-Private
17.43	AAA	Monroe Area	93.1%	26	Franklin County	AAA
17.10	AAA	Cedar Grove	99.5%	41	Redan	AAA
16.96	A-Private	Savannah Country Day	74.9%	11	Montgomery County	A-Public
16.66	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	99.9%	41	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
15.92	AAAAAA	Habersham Central	80.6%	14	Apalachee	AAAAAA
15.08	AAAA	Hardaway	90.8%	23	Shaw	AAAA
14.72	AAAA	Burke County	99.5%	41	Hephzibah	AAAA
14.45	AA	Hapeville Charter	99.4%	41	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA
14.31	AA	Elbert County	89.7%	22	Banks County	AA
13.64	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	99.9%	42	Discovery	AAAAAAA
12.03	AAA	Calhoun	99.6%	41	Murray County	AAA
11.82	AAAA	Henry County	64.8%	6	Luella	AAAA
11.43	AAA	Union County	70.9%	9	Lumpkin County	AAA
9.73	AA	Glenn Hills	78.3%	13	Butler	AA
8.63	A-Private	Fellowship Christian	85.7%	18	Bowdon	A-Public
8.23	A-Public	Wilcox County	73.9%	11	Atkinson County	A-Public
8.18	A-Private	St. Francis	61.7%	5	Gordon Lee	A-Public
8.03	A-Public	McIntosh County Academy	50.9%	1	Johnson County	A-Public
5.62	AAA	Lovett	98.5%	38	McNair	AAA
5.11	A-Private	Lakeview Academy	57.9%	3	Riverside Military Academy	A-Private
4.30	AA	Vidalia	98.7%	38	Bryan County	AA
3.96	A-Public	Miller County	60.5%	5	Seminole County	A-Public
3.87	AA	Dade County	73.2%	10	Armuchee	AA
3.86	AAA	Crisp County	99.6%	41	Worth County	AAA
3.05	AA	Coosa	96.0%	31	Gordon Central	AA
2.97	AAA	East Hall	93.7%	27	Fannin County	AAA
2.85	A-Private	Mount de Sales	90.9%	23	Hancock Central	A-Public
2.73	AAAA	Baldwin	97.7%	35	Cross Creek	AAAA
2.63	A-Public	Wilkinson County	66.6%	7	Greene County	A-Public
2.43	AAA	Long County	51.1%	1	Brantley County	AAA
0.82	A-Public	Towns County	87.9%	20	Providence Christian	A-Private
0.77	AAAAA	Miller Grove	89.5%	21	Chamblee	AAAAA
0.69	AA	Northeast	94.9%	29	East Laurens	AA
0.01	AA	Rockmart	99.4%	40	Model	AA
-0.27	A-Private	Christian Heritage	54.6%	2	King's Ridge Christian	A-Private
-1.35	A-Public	Claxton	75.9%	12	Wheeler County	A-Public
-1.56	AA	Harlem	92.9%	25	Westside (Augusta)	AA
-3.13	AA	Rabun County	99.9%	42	Monticello	AA
-3.63	A-Public	Charlton County	98.7%	38	Lanier County	A-Public
-4.98	AAAA	Salem	96.8%	33	Druid Hills	AAAA
-6.22	AA	Putnam County	82.2%	15	Social Circle	AA
-8.05	AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	99.4%	41	Stone Mountain	AAA
-8.07	A-Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	100.0%	42	Landmark Christian	A-Private
-8.27	A-Public	Dooly County	98.2%	37	Greenville	A-Public
-8.94	AA	Laney	89.0%	21	Josey	AA
-9.98	A-Public	Portal	66.5%	7	Treutlen	A-Public
-10.31	AAA	Haralson County	84.6%	17	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-10.44	AAAAAA	Brunswick	100.0%	42	Osborne	AAAAAA
-11.29	AAA	Hart County	98.5%	37	East Jackson	AAA
-15.38	A-Public	Twiggs County	67.7%	8	Warren County	A-Public
-17.62	A-Public	Calhoun County	51.2%	1	Baconton Charter	A-Public
-18.29	AAAA	LaFayette	92.6%	25	Gilmer	AAAA
-18.42	AAA	Islands	92.6%	25	Groves	AAA
-18.60	A-Public	Central (Talbotton)	58.9%	4	Crawford County	A-Public
-20.24	A-Public	Terrell County	66.6%	7	Randolph-Clay	A-Public
-23.54	AAA	Savannah	98.9%	39	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
-24.99	AAAAA	Loganville	99.6%	41	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAAA
-30.33	A-Private	Pinecrest Academy	93.0%	26	Oglethorpe County	AA
-34.75	A-Public	Chattahoochee County	99.0%	39	Stewart County	A-Public
-41.78	A-Public	Hawkinsville	99.0%	39	Pacelli	A-Private
-46.73	A-Other	Glascock County	65.6%	7	Pataula Charter	A-Other