Sports
Maxwell Week 3 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 3
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.60 | AAAAA | LaGrange | 88.7% | 21 | Spalding | AAAA |
| 25.85 | AAA | Rutland | 67.6% | 8 | Northeast | AA |
| 23.13 | AAAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 82.7% | 16 | Spencer | AAA |
| -2.16 | AAA | Savannah | 78.6% | 13 | Windsor Forest | AAAA |
Sep 4
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.55 | AAAA | Buford | 61.2% | 5 | McEachern | AAAAAA |
| 83.44 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 52.7% | 1 | Mill Creek | AAAAAA |
| 77.34 | AAAAAA | Walton | 51.7% | 1 | Lassiter | AAAAAA |
| 75.78 | AAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 78.0% | 13 | Hillgrove | AAAAAA |
| 73.38 | AAAAAA | Norcross | 81.5% | 15 | Milton | AAAAAA |
| 72.28 | AAAA | Cartersville | 50.6% | 1 | North Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 71.56 | AAAAAA | Camden County | 68.2% | 8 | Glynn Academy | AAAAA |
| 68.69 | AAAA | St. Pius X | 56.8% | 3 | Woodward Academy | AAAA |
| 67.44 | AAAAAA | Grayson | 91.3% | 23 | Hughes | AAAAAA |
| 65.19 | AAAAAA | East Coweta | 50.6% | 1 | Harrison | AAAAAA |
| 65.08 | AAAAAA | Etowah | 78.6% | 13 | Cherokee | AAAAAA |
| 64.00 | AAAAA | Allatoona | 64.3% | 6 | North Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 63.88 | AAAAA | Creekside | 83.9% | 17 | Carver (Columbus) | AAAAA |
| 63.31 | AAAAAA | Collins Hill | 68.9% | 8 | South Gwinnett | AAAAAA |
| 63.19 | AAAAAA | Westlake | 64.0% | 6 | Shiloh | AAAAAA |
| 62.94 | AAA | Washington County | 71.2% | 9 | Mary Persons | AAAA |
| 62.66 | AAAAAA | Central Gwinnett | 75.5% | 11 | Mundy's Mill | AAAAA |
| 61.94 | AAAA | Griffin | 72.1% | 10 | Burke County | AAAA |
| 61.51 | AAAAA | Mays | 79.0% | 13 | M. L. King | AAAAA |
| 61.31 | AAAAAA | Newnan | 50.8% | 1 | Marietta | AAAAAA |
| 61.05 | AA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 81.9% | 15 | Eagle's Landing Christian | A |
| 59.08 | AAAA | Marist | 84.4% | 17 | Lovett | AA |
| 58.73 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 88.6% | 21 | West Forsyth | AAAAAA |
| 57.90 | AAAAAA | Newton | 72.6% | 10 | Rome | AAAAA |
| 57.25 | AAAAAA | Wheeler | 52.5% | 1 | Woodstock | AAAAAA |
| 56.81 | AAA | Calhoun | 92.2% | 25 | Carrollton | AAAA |
| 56.35 | AAAAA | New Manchester | 51.8% | 1 | Hiram | AAAAA |
| 56.10 | AAAAAA | Lowndes | 87.9% | 20 | Drew | AAAAA |
| 55.35 | AAAAA | Harris County | 53.7% | 2 | Westside (Macon) | AAA |
| 55.34 | AAAA | Cairo | 68.4% | 8 | Bainbridge | AAAA |
| 54.32 | AAAAA | Lanier | 69.4% | 8 | Clarke Central | AAAAA |
| 53.62 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 57.4% | 3 | Grady | AAAA |
| 53.34 | AAA | Elbert County | 72.8% | 10 | Stephens County | AAAA |
| 53.26 | AAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 95.0% | 29 | Evans | AAAAA |
| 53.22 | AAA | Blessed Trinity | 92.8% | 25 | Sequoyah | AAAAA |
| 52.23 | AAAA | Jonesboro | 73.0% | 10 | Westover | AAAA |
| 51.52 | AAAAA | South Paulding | 83.0% | 16 | Villa Rica | AAAAA |
| 51.31 | AAAAA | Tri-Cities | 56.7% | 3 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
| 50.60 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 93.0% | 26 | Dutchtown | AAAAA |
| 50.28 | AA | Fitzgerald | 81.0% | 15 | Irwin County | A |
| 49.43 | AAAAA | Northgate | 72.7% | 10 | Troup | AAAA |
| 49.21 | AAAAA | Creekview | 51.5% | 1 | Riverwood | AAAAA |
| 48.66 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 92.8% | 25 | Worth County | AAAA |
| 48.63 | AA | Pace Academy | 70.3% | 9 | Landmark Christian | A |
| 48.52 | AAAAA | Flowery Branch | 61.8% | 5 | Loganville | AAAAA |
| 48.16 | AAAAAA | South Forsyth | 69.3% | 8 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 47.39 | AAAA | Wayne County | 79.6% | 14 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 47.36 | AAAAA | Alexander | 85.5% | 18 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 47.10 | AAAA | Veterans | 53.3% | 2 | Macon County | AA |
| 46.86 | AAAA | West Laurens | 85.0% | 17 | Bleckley County | AA |
| 46.76 | AAA | Callaway | 60.3% | 4 | Heard County | AA |
| 45.69 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 91.6% | 24 | Laney | AAA |
| 45.62 | AAAAAA | Kennesaw Mountain | 61.1% | 5 | Mountain View | AAAAAA |
| 44.83 | AAAAA | Salem | 65.1% | 6 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAA |
| 43.84 | AAAA | Locust Grove | 52.1% | 1 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 43.01 | AAAAAA | Tift County | 96.4% | 32 | Luella | AAAAA |
| 42.90 | AAA | Jefferson | 93.2% | 26 | North Hall | AAAA |
| 42.87 | A | Mount Pisgah Christian | 57.3% | 3 | Rabun County | AA |
| 41.37 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 73.7% | 10 | Cedartown | AAA |
| 41.22 | AAA | Pierce County | 75.9% | 12 | Bacon County | AA |
| 40.92 | AAA | Appling County | 71.4% | 9 | Jenkins | AAA |
| 39.59 | AAAAAA | Chattahoochee | 65.6% | 7 | North Forsyth | AAAAAA |
| 39.40 | AA | Wesleyan | 69.5% | 8 | Stratford Academy | A |
| 38.48 | AAA | Decatur | 62.5% | 5 | Maynard Jackson | AAA |
| 38.44 | AAAAAA | Colquitt County | 99.8% | 41 | Crisp County | AAAA |
| 37.88 | AAAAAA | Lambert | 86.5% | 19 | Johns Creek | AAAAAA |
| 37.86 | AAAA | White County | 76.4% | 12 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 37.39 | AA | Seminole County | 58.3% | 4 | Pacelli | A |
| 36.83 | AAAAA | Starr's Mill | 93.0% | 26 | Fayette County | AAAA |
| 36.32 | AAAAA | Shaw | 68.3% | 8 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
| 35.91 | AAA | Central (Carrollton) | 91.9% | 24 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 35.75 | AAAAA | South Effingham | 77.9% | 13 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |
| 35.55 | AAA | Peach County | 91.4% | 24 | Perry | AAAA |
| 35.37 | AA | Metter | 67.1% | 7 | Emanuel County Institute | A |
| 35.21 | AAA | West Hall | 74.6% | 11 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 34.88 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 98.9% | 39 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 34.79 | AAA | Westside (Augusta) | 54.9% | 2 | Screven County | AA |
| 34.76 | AAAA | Howard | 77.7% | 13 | Central (Macon) | AAA |
| 34.35 | AAAAA | Cass | 70.0% | 9 | Coosa | AA |
| 34.33 | AAAAA | Lakeside (Evans) | 90.2% | 22 | Richmond Academy | AAAAA |
| 34.07 | AAAA | Thomas County Central | 93.5% | 26 | Riverdale | AAAA |
| 33.72 | AAAA | Whitewater | 92.8% | 25 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 33.55 | AAA | Cook | 89.4% | 21 | Berrien | AA |
| 32.43 | AAAA | Chamblee | 67.7% | 8 | Dunwoody | AAAAA |
| 31.99 | AAAA | Pickens | 86.0% | 18 | East Hall | AAA |
| 31.93 | AA | Model | 64.1% | 6 | Christian Heritage | A |
| 31.92 | AAAAA | Forsyth Central | 79.9% | 14 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 31.01 | AAAA | Walnut Grove | 50.3% | 0 | Monroe Area | AAAA |
| 30.75 | AAAAA | Winder-Barrow | 78.2% | 13 | Apalachee | AAAAA |
| 30.61 | AAAA | Lithonia | 76.5% | 12 | Towers | AAA |
| 30.48 | AAAAA | Lithia Springs | 53.6% | 2 | Chapel Hill | AAAAA |
| 30.05 | AA | Bowdon | 85.1% | 18 | Pepperell | AAA |
| 29.38 | AAA | Rockmart | 64.8% | 6 | Sonoraville | AAA |
| 29.13 | A | Mount Paran Christian | 94.3% | 28 | North Clayton | AAA |
| 28.98 | AAAA | Baldwin | 91.1% | 23 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
| 28.96 | A | Dooly County | 87.7% | 20 | Turner County | A |
| 28.96 | A | Hawkinsville | 81.6% | 15 | Wilcox County | A |
| 28.35 | AA | Pelham | 52.6% | 1 | Mitchell County | A |
| 28.17 | AA | Union County | 57.3% | 3 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 28.05 | A | Calvary Day | 90.2% | 22 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAA |
| 27.98 | A | Claxton | 54.1% | 2 | Bryan County | AA |
| 27.83 | AAAAAA | Duluth | 80.4% | 14 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | AAAAAA |
| 27.52 | AAAA | Gilmer | 89.7% | 22 | Dawson County | AAA |
| 27.42 | A | Johnson County | 58.9% | 4 | Telfair County | A |
| 27.14 | AA | Bremen | 64.7% | 6 | Hapeville | AA |
| 26.54 | AAAA | Upson-Lee | 89.4% | 21 | Pike County | AAAA |
| 26.47 | AAAAA | Warner Robins | 98.2% | 37 | Greenbrier | AAAAA |
| 26.47 | AA | Vidalia | 96.0% | 31 | Toombs County | AAA |
| 25.52 | AAA | Hart County | 97.0% | 33 | Franklin County | AAA |
| 25.44 | AAA | Oconee County | 82.4% | 16 | Athens Christian | A |
| 25.13 | AAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 71.0% | 9 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 24.87 | AA | Washington-Wilkes | 80.5% | 14 | Wilkinson County | A |
| 24.85 | AAAA | Eagle's Landing | 93.2% | 26 | Southwest | AAA |
| 24.70 | A | Brookstone | 76.6% | 12 | Columbus | AAAAA |
| 24.49 | AAAAA | Jones County | 96.8% | 33 | Cross Creek | AAAAA |
| 24.20 | AAAAAA | Northview | 93.0% | 26 | Habersham Central | AAAAAA |
| 24.19 | AAAA | Liberty County | 88.1% | 20 | McIntosh County Academy | AA |
| 23.98 | AAAAA | Ola | 77.5% | 13 | Morrow | AAAAA |
| 22.15 | AAA | Jackson | 90.7% | 23 | Monticello | AA |
| 21.86 | AA | Greene County | 60.9% | 5 | Hancock Central | A |
| 21.36 | AAAA | Eastside | 94.5% | 28 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 20.76 | AAAAA | River Ridge | 82.0% | 15 | North Atlanta | AAAAA |
| 20.60 | AA | Chattooga | 78.1% | 13 | North Murray | AAA |
| 20.08 | AAAAA | Richmond Hill | 93.1% | 26 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| 20.04 | AAAA | Johnson (Gainesville) | 61.1% | 5 | Banks County | AAA |
| 18.06 | AA | Manchester | 75.6% | 11 | Taylor County | A |
| 17.93 | AAAA | Dougherty | 63.9% | 6 | Randolph-Clay | A |
| 17.82 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 95.3% | 29 | Forest Park | AAAAA |
| 17.64 | A | Walker | 55.9% | 3 | King's Ridge Christian | A |
| 17.58 | AAA | Tattnall County | 80.8% | 14 | Beach | AAA |
| 17.46 | A | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 82.4% | 16 | Haralson County | AAA |
| 17.33 | AAAA | LaFayette | 57.7% | 3 | Gordon Lee | AA |
| 17.30 | AAA | Fannin County | 69.2% | 8 | Murray County | AAA |
| 17.20 | AAA | Therrell | 52.0% | 1 | McNair | AAA |
| 16.44 | AAAAA | Hardaway | 70.0% | 9 | Jordan | AAA |
| 15.90 | AAAA | Albany | 54.4% | 2 | Terrell County | A |
| 15.04 | AAA | Morgan County | 92.9% | 25 | Putnam County | AA |
| 13.68 | AAAAAA | Rockdale County | 95.7% | 30 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAA |
| 13.31 | A | Commerce | 92.6% | 25 | Hebron Christian Academy | A |
| 13.01 | AA | Early County | 95.4% | 30 | Miller County | A |
| 12.93 | AA | Chattahoochee County | 54.1% | 2 | Calhoun County | A |
| 12.88 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 99.9% | 41 | Stone Mountain | AAAA |
| 12.14 | AAA | Butler | 58.4% | 4 | Josey | AAA |
| 12.03 | A | Treutlen | 72.4% | 10 | Portal | A |
| 10.73 | AAAA | New Hampstead | 59.2% | 4 | Groves | AA |
| 6.93 | A | Our Lady of Mercy | 93.5% | 26 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| 3.75 | A | St. Francis | 87.9% | 20 | Lakeview Academy | A |
| 3.55 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 99.9% | 41 | Hampton | AAAA |
| 3.48 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 93.5% | 26 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| 2.88 | AA | East Laurens | 87.4% | 19 | Twiggs County | A |
| 2.13 | A | Tattnall Square | 98.4% | 37 | Warren County | A |
| 1.63 | A | Lanier County | 61.8% | 5 | Wheeler County | A |
| 1.28 | AA | Crawford County | 51.0% | 1 | Montgomery County | A |
| -0.49 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 85.4% | 18 | Gordon Central | AAA |
| -0.72 | A | Prince Avenue Christian | 99.5% | 41 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -2.97 | AAAAA | Druid Hills | 96.7% | 32 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -6.94 | AA | Jeff Davis | 95.7% | 30 | North Cobb Christian | A |
| -8.51 | AA | Armuchee | 76.8% | 12 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -8.67 | A | Towns County | 71.2% | 9 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A |
| -12.13 | A | Schley County | 97.9% | 36 | Baconton | A |
| -12.46 | A | Georgia Military College | 92.2% | 24 | Glascock County | A |
| -19.97 | AA | Temple | 92.4% | 25 | Stewart County | A |
| -24.82 | AAA | Douglass | 98.5% | 38 | Cross Keys | AAAA |
| -25.24 | A | Whitefield Academy | 99.2% | 40 | Providence Christian | A |
Sep 5
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.78 | AAAAA | Houston County | 94.4% | 28 | Grovetown | AAAAA |
| 17.82 | AA | Holy Innocents | 80.9% | 15 | George Walton Academy | A |
| 6.03 | AAA | Brantley County | 93.6% | 27 | Islands | AAA |
