Sports

Maxwell Week 2 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Aug 27, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Aug 27

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
52.50 AAAAA Houston County 80.3% 14 Veterans AAAA
39.53 AAA Callaway 77.3% 12 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
36.10 AAAA Howard 68.0% 8 First Presbyterian A
30.76 AAAAA Northside (Columbus) 59.9% 4 Kendrick AAA
29.10 AAA Adairsville 93.0% 26 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
22.74 AAAA Spalding 83.5% 16 Forest Park AAAAA
18.25 AAAAA Hardaway 65.6% 7 Chattahoochee County AA
17.04 AAAA Dougherty 57.6% 3 Calhoun County A
6.09 AAAAA North Atlanta 84.9% 17 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA

Aug 28

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
80.15 AAAAAA Archer 74.4% 11 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAA
78.00 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 66.8% 7 North Cobb AAAAAA
77.64 AAAAAA Grayson 70.0% 9 Gainesville AAAAA
72.73 AAAAAA Milton 73.8% 11 Alpharetta AAAAAA
72.08 AAAAA Kell 69.8% 9 Lassiter AAAAAA
72.06 AAA Blessed Trinity 64.9% 6 St. Pius X AAAA
71.58 AAAAA Creekside 64.7% 6 Hughes AAAAAA
69.47 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 54.1% 2 Collins Hill AAAAAA
69.25 AAAAAA Norcross 85.1% 17 Brookwood AAAAAA
65.67 AAAAAA Valdosta 78.9% 13 Thomas County Central AAAA
65.57 AAAAA East Paulding 53.0% 2 North Paulding AAAAAA
64.10 AAA Calhoun 89.2% 21 Dalton AAAAA
63.22 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 69.3% 8 North Oconee AAAA
63.01 AAAAAA Walton 84.3% 17 Marietta AAAAAA
62.70 AAA Peach County 50.5% 1 Warner Robins AAAAA
61.00 AAAAAA Harrison 68.5% 8 Wheeler AAAAAA
60.83 AAAAA Glynn Academy 58.9% 4 Brunswick AAAAA
60.33 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 65.4% 7 Lovett AA
60.26 AA Vidalia 51.5% 1 West Laurens AAAA
60.20 AAAAA Stockbridge 81.0% 15 Eagle's Landing Christian A
59.94 AAAAAA Etowah 83.6% 16 Sequoyah AAAAA
59.71 AAAAAA Hillgrove 85.8% 18 Shiloh AAAAAA
59.70 AAAAAA Newnan 55.5% 3 Carrollton AAAA
59.18 AAAAAA Lovejoy 89.6% 22 Mundy's Mill AAAAA
58.16 AAAAAA Mill Creek 94.8% 28 West Forsyth AAAAAA
56.72 AAA Washington County 92.0% 24 Thomson AAAA
55.57 AAAAAA Tift County 89.8% 22 Cook AAA
54.46 AAA Hart County 75.7% 12 Clarke Central AAAAA
54.24 AAAA Cairo 64.1% 6 Thomasville AA
53.46 AAAA Troup 50.0% 0 LaGrange AAAAA
52.18 AAAAA Alexander 77.1% 12 Douglas County AAAAAA
51.65 AAAA Wayne County 63.8% 6 Appling County AAA
51.61 AAAA Whitewater 86.1% 18 Starr's Mill AAAAA
50.14 AAAAA Sprayberry 58.6% 4 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
49.77 AAAA Columbia 54.5% 2 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
49.59 AAAAAA Roswell 91.8% 24 Centennial AAAAAA
48.72 AAAAAA Parkview 87.4% 19 Mountain View AAAAAA
48.01 AAAA White County 50.4% 1 Pickens AAAA
47.89 AAAAA Allatoona 92.0% 24 Villa Rica AAAAA
47.30 AAAAA Northgate 66.5% 7 Shaw AAAAA
47.29 AAAAAA Rockdale County 54.7% 2 Salem AAAAA
47.19 AAAAAA Camden County 97.3% 34 Dutchtown AAAAA
47.06 AAAAA Drew 65.7% 7 Fayette County AAAA
46.54 AA Brooks County 77.8% 13 Clinch County A
46.45 AAAA Woodward Academy 90.1% 22 Decatur AAA
46.37 AAAAAA South Cobb 76.9% 12 Pope AAAAAA
46.36 AAAA Cartersville 91.8% 24 Cass AAAAA
46.22 AAAA Eagle's Landing 57.5% 3 Union Grove AAAAA
45.79 AAAAAA East Coweta 91.9% 24 Arabia Mountain AAAA
45.68 AAAAAA Northview 55.2% 2 Duluth AAAAAA
44.70 A Hawkinsville 59.8% 4 Bleckley County AA
44.12 AAAA Bainbridge 77.6% 13 Early County AA
43.59 AAAA Buford 99.6% 41 Berkmar AAAAAA
43.49 AAAAA McIntosh 56.5% 3 Luella AAAAA
42.79 AAAA Sandy Creek 98.3% 37 Jonesboro AAAA
42.47 A Aquinas 80.8% 15 Prince Avenue Christian A
42.22 AAAAA South Effingham 60.0% 4 Jenkins AAA
41.76 AAAA Monroe Area 59.7% 4 Loganville AAAAA
41.01 AA Pace Academy 75.3% 11 Our Lady of Mercy A
40.79 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 83.4% 16 Washington AAA
40.39 AAAAA Miller Grove 67.0% 7 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
40.24 AAAA Locust Grove 50.1% 0 Ola AAAAA
39.93 AA Washington-Wilkes 72.7% 10 Lincoln County A
39.58 AAA Jefferson 96.1% 31 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
39.48 AAAAA Hiram 86.7% 19 Cedartown AAA
39.39 AAAA Mary Persons 92.9% 25 Jackson AAA
38.96 AAA Elbert County 88.5% 20 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
38.76 AAAAAA Cherokee 91.6% 24 North Forsyth AAAAAA
38.56 AAAA Burke County 93.8% 27 Jefferson County AA
38.50 AAAAAA Lee County 98.0% 36 Crisp County AAAA
38.23 AAAAAA Westlake 94.6% 28 Banneker AAAAA
37.86 A Landmark Christian 70.4% 9 Lithia Springs AAAAA
37.25 AAAAA Jones County 93.5% 26 Morgan County AAA
36.92 AAAAAA Woodstock 91.4% 24 Johns Creek AAAAAA
36.57 AA Wesleyan 52.9% 2 East Hall AAA
36.44 AA Swainsboro 50.5% 1 Emanuel County Institute A
35.68 A Dooly County 70.5% 9 Wilcox County A
35.57 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 71.0% 9 Apalachee AAAAA
35.17 AAAA Eastside 80.0% 14 Alcovy AAAAAA
35.09 AA Macon County 81.0% 15 Americus-Sumter AAAA
34.83 AAA Pierce County 86.9% 19 Southeast Bulloch AAA
34.71 AAAAA Forsyth Central 60.4% 5 Dawson County AAA
34.42 A Claxton 53.3% 2 Metter AA
34.29 AAA Dodge County 86.1% 18 Brantley County AAA
33.98 AA Darlington 78.5% 13 Bremen AA
33.46 AAAAA Paulding County 81.3% 15 Pepperell AAA
33.11 AA Dublin 85.8% 18 Johnson County A
32.88 AAAAA Cambridge 88.1% 20 Chapel Hill AAAAA
32.41 AA Lamar County 79.6% 14 Pike County AAAA
32.37 AAAAA Druid Hills 59.7% 4 Chamblee AAAA
31.75 AAA Ringgold 76.9% 12 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
31.63 AAA Westside (Macon) 93.6% 27 Rutland AAA
31.58 AAAAA Flowery Branch 92.4% 25 Chestatee AAAA
31.58 A Irwin County 88.7% 21 Berrien AA
31.35 AAAA Riverdale 58.2% 4 North Clayton AAA
30.51 AAAA Griffin 98.3% 37 Henry County AAAA
29.96 AAA Jackson County 56.7% 3 Madison County AAAA
29.09 AA Model 79.9% 14 Sonoraville AAA
28.89 A Savannah Christian 81.4% 15 McIntosh County Academy AA
28.84 AA Rabun County 79.2% 14 Habersham Central AAAAAA
28.76 AAAAA Riverwood 90.2% 22 Holy Innocents AA
28.28 A Pacelli 65.4% 7 Mount de Sales A
27.83 AAAA Liberty County 84.0% 17 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
27.68 AAAAA Richmond Academy 88.4% 20 Westside (Augusta) AAA
27.29 AAA Central (Macon) 54.6% 2 Wilkinson County A
26.21 AAA Rockmart 50.9% 1 North Murray AAA
26.05 A Stratford Academy 79.4% 14 Savannah Country Day A
25.89 AA Monticello 59.4% 4 Walnut Grove AAAA
25.82 AAA West Hall 90.4% 22 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
25.50 A Pinecrest Academy 56.9% 3 North Springs AAAAA
25.31 A Commerce 76.5% 12 Banks County AAA
25.26 AAAA Gilmer 91.7% 24 Fannin County AAA
23.73 AAA Toombs County 52.3% 1 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
23.68 AAAA Redan 65.1% 6 McNair AAA
23.30 AAAAA Morrow 54.9% 2 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
23.14 AAAAAA Osborne 55.3% 2 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
23.05 AAAA Baldwin 94.4% 28 Hancock Central A
22.83 A Mitchell County 63.7% 6 Albany AAAA
22.71 A Athens Christian 78.8% 13 Athens Academy A
22.53 AAAA Stephens County 96.5% 32 Franklin County AAA
22.02 A Mount Paran Christian 97.7% 35 Whitefield Academy A
20.37 AAAA Ridgeland 87.7% 20 Chattooga AA
20.29 AA Northeast 78.3% 13 Southwest AAA
20.23 AAA Maynard Jackson 87.1% 19 Therrell AAA
19.27 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 99.0% 39 Spencer AAA
19.12 AA Putnam County 52.9% 2 Greene County AA
18.23 AAA Tattnall County 82.1% 15 Long County AA
18.23 A Atkinson County 58.0% 4 Jeff Davis AA
18.13 A George Walton Academy 78.4% 13 Hapeville AA
16.88 A Fellowship Christian 53.1% 2 Riverside Military Academy AA
16.82 AAAAA Cross Creek 66.9% 7 Hephzibah AAA
16.18 A Tattnall Square 92.4% 25 Georgia Military College A
14.87 AAAAAA Campbell 93.4% 26 Stone Mountain AAAA
12.97 A Taylor County 81.8% 15 East Laurens AA
12.54 A Greenville 89.5% 21 Haralson County AAA
12.36 AAAAA Grovetown 91.6% 24 Harlem AA
11.57 AA Gordon Lee 50.2% 0 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
11.57 A Marion County 98.8% 39 Miller County A
10.17 A Jenkins County 86.1% 18 Treutlen A
9.96 A Portal 68.0% 8 Josey AAA
6.93 AAAAA Coffee 99.9% 42 Savannah AAA
5.98 A Telfair County 87.1% 19 Wheeler County A
5.52 A Lakeview Academy 57.2% 3 East Jackson AAA
3.94 AAA Oconee County 96.2% 31 Oglethorpe County AA
3.63 A Central (Talbotton) 53.7% 2 Crawford County AA
2.81 AAAAA Ware County 100.0% 42 Hampton AAAA
1.93 AA Bacon County 97.9% 36 Lanier County A
-1.66 A Trion 96.8% 33 Armuchee AA
-2.13 AAA Beach 88.4% 20 Windsor Forest AAAA
-2.21 AAAA LaFayette 91.2% 23 Gordon Central AAA
-3.23 AAAA Lithonia 98.8% 39 Clarkston AAAAA
-4.90 AA Union County 97.7% 35 Towns County A
-5.22 AA Groves 94.5% 28 Islands AAA
-6.31 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 98.2% 37 Murray County AAA
-6.95 A Warren County 70.0% 9 Glascock County A
-8.98 A Strong Rock Christian 87.3% 19 Social Circle AA
-14.34 AA Pelham 99.1% 39 Baconton A
-18.26 A North Cobb Christian 71.1% 9 Cross Keys AAAA
-25.26 A St. Francis 99.3% 40 Providence Christian A

Aug 29

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
47.67 AA Fitzgerald 85.2% 18 Heard County AA
29.39 A Charlton County 87.0% 19 Manchester AA
15.60 AAAAA Mays 99.7% 41 Glenn Hills AAA
13.54 AAAA Monroe 97.5% 35 Terrell County A
13.31 AAA Douglass 51.2% 1 South Atlanta AAA
12.31 AAAAAA Newton 99.6% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
-4.24 A Hebron Christian Academy 81.0% 15 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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