Sports

Maxwell Round One Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Nov 12, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Nov 13

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
73.81 AAAAAA McEachern 70.4% 9 Lowndes AAAAAA
67.26 AAAAAA Archer 93.0% 26 Etowah AAAAAA
67.09 AAAAA Glynn Academy 55.4% 2 Jones County AAAAA
66.99 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 55.9% 3 Ware County AAAAA
65.12 AAAAAA South Forsyth 52.6% 1 Norcross AAAAAA
63.38 AAAAAA Walton 82.2% 15 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
59.47 AAAAAA Roswell 96.7% 32 Parkview AAAAAA
58.89 AAAAAA Valdosta 79.5% 14 North Cobb AAAAAA
58.51 AAAAAA Collins Hill 55.2% 2 Lambert AAAAAA
58.50 AAAAA Lanier 68.3% 8 East Paulding AAAAA
58.27 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 57.8% 3 Drew AAAAA
57.41 AAAAA Houston County 84.4% 17 South Effingham AAAAA
57.07 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 94.3% 28 West Forsyth AAAAAA
56.11 AAAAA Dalton 59.9% 4 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
55.60 AAAAAA Camden County 94.0% 27 Hillgrove AAAAAA
54.95 AAAAA Coffee 84.4% 17 Warner Robins AAAAA
54.89 AAAA Locust Grove 51.1% 1 Worth County AAAA
53.53 AAAAA Mays 93.4% 26 Creekview AAAAA
53.38 AAAAAA Newton 76.9% 12 East Coweta AAAAAA
53.20 AAAAA Creekside 83.8% 17 Kell AAAAA
53.18 AAAAAA Tucker 66.6% 7 Hughes AAAAAA
53.01 AAAA Burke County 53.2% 2 West Laurens AAAA
52.98 AAAAAA Grayson 98.8% 39 Wheeler AAAAAA
52.83 AAAA Liberty County 60.6% 5 Upson-Lee AAAA
52.53 AAAAA Stephenson 97.2% 34 Rome AAAAA
52.51 AAAAAA Newnan 64.3% 6 Lovejoy AAAAAA
51.37 AAAAA Alexander 59.7% 4 Gainesville AAAAA
50.33 AAAAA South Paulding 74.8% 11 Loganville AAAAA
49.96 AAAA Spalding 68.9% 8 Cairo AAAA
49.85 AAAAA Starr's Mill 83.7% 16 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
47.60 AAAA Jonesboro 83.4% 16 Thomas County Central AAAA
47.42 AAAAAA Colquitt County 99.4% 40 North Paulding AAAAAA
46.65 AAAA Mary Persons 87.7% 20 Wayne County AAAA
45.57 AAAA Thomson 89.0% 21 Veterans AAAA
45.24 AAAA Bainbridge 91.7% 24 Griffin AAAA
44.92 AAA Callaway 55.4% 2 Hart County AAA
44.67 AAAAAA Mill Creek 99.0% 39 Northview AAAAAA
44.27 AAAA Carrollton 58.4% 4 Stephens County AAAA
42.93 AAA Elbert County 63.6% 6 Central (Carrollton) AAA
42.32 AAA Blessed Trinity 90.2% 22 Cook AAA
41.80 AA Darlington 57.6% 3 Pace Academy AA
41.50 AAAAA Stockbridge 96.7% 32 Columbus AAAAA
40.80 AAA Westside (Macon) 72.1% 10 Laney AAA
40.68 AAAAA Allatoona 94.2% 27 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
39.75 AA Lamar County 52.0% 1 Early County AA
39.47 AAA Cedar Grove 87.5% 19 Pierce County AAA
39.42 AA Wesleyan 65.3% 7 Model AA
38.24 AAAAA Northgate 96.9% 33 Shaw AAAAA
37.09 AAA Southeast Bulloch 60.1% 4 Westminster (Atlanta) AAA
36.55 AAAA Sandy Creek 94.2% 27 North Hall AAAA
34.55 AAAA Marist 87.9% 20 Pickens AAAA
34.48 AAAA Grady 59.6% 4 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
33.86 AAA Spencer 85.3% 18 Washington County AAA
33.11 AA Vidalia 68.8% 8 Swainsboro AA
33.09 AA Fitzgerald 93.0% 26 Putnam County AA
31.15 AAA Jefferson 94.2% 27 Pepperell AAA
31.04 AA Lovett 79.8% 14 Chattooga AA
29.72 AAAA Buford 97.7% 35 Fayette County AAAA
29.54 AAAA Woodward Academy 98.8% 39 North Oconee AAAA
27.86 AAAA Cartersville 98.4% 37 Columbia AAAA
27.58 AA Benedictine 98.6% 38 Metter AA
27.25 AAA Sonoraville 57.0% 3 East Hall AAA
26.57 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 97.7% 35 Dade County AA
26.41 AA Macon County 89.0% 21 Pelham AA
24.56 AAAA St. Pius X 96.3% 31 Ridgeland AAAA
24.12 AA Heard County 81.0% 15 Greene County AA
24.02 AA Union County 78.1% 13 Bowdon AA
23.75 AA Jefferson County 95.1% 29 McIntosh County Academy AA
23.36 AA Screven County 91.5% 24 Bryan County AA
23.32 AAA Adairsville 89.0% 21 Franklin County AAA
23.03 AA Manchester 71.7% 9 Washington-Wilkes AA
22.74 AAA Dawson County 62.0% 5 Ringgold AAA
19.46 AAAAAA Westlake 98.1% 37 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
19.22 AAA Dodge County 96.8% 33 Maynard Jackson AAA
18.14 AAA Oconee County 95.3% 30 Cedartown AAA
16.93 AAA Calhoun 99.5% 41 West Hall AAA
14.38 AA Brooks County 98.2% 37 Northeast AA
14.06 AA Rabun County 97.8% 36 Bremen AA
9.75 AAA Peach County 98.9% 39 Josey AAA
1.37 AAA Jackson 99.5% 41 Butler AAA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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