Maxwell playoff projections after Week 5

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 25, 2019

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2019 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-1	91.31	999,606	3.79	757,311	534,014	390,965	247,535	3.04
Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	5-0	90.18	999,627	3.65	733,408	501,972	356,086	208,969	3.79
Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	4-0	88.98	999,961	3.69	835,790	461,625	312,588	182,715	4.47
North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	3-1	84.68	999,674	3.45	773,971	477,261	209,514	97,862	9.22
McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	85.57	999,013	3.11	640,498	414,736	188,910	92,726	9.78
Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	3-1	82.35	999,087	2.98	689,222	290,827	150,598	57,007	16.54
Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	3-1	80.37	998,838	2.93	644,470	329,768	116,278	40,184	23.89
Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	2-2	79.24	999,786	2.79	481,277	264,147	92,531	29,157	33.30
Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	2-1	78.22	999,763	2.40	293,305	135,180	59,142	17,110	57.45
Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	77.58	988,584	2.00	315,510	146,213	43,693	12,594	78.40
Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	75.00	984,369	1.69	216,248	87,403	22,373	5,398	184.25
Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	72.78	972,333	1.60	176,852	64,789	13,462	2,623	380.24
Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	2-1	70.67	991,144	2.17	255,225	77,048	14,794	2,478	402.55
Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-2	68.46	986,290	2.02	197,405	50,259	7,923	1,201	831.64
South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	66.49	993,229	1.82	129,559	31,131	3,981	521	1,918.39
North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	68.23	878,179	1.14	76,904	19,912	3,130	481	2,078.00
Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	66.00	990,260	1.76	123,576	19,837	3,607	410	2,438.02
Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	65.99	961,305	1.33	116,927	20,806	2,947	361	2,769.08
Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	64.32	947,769	1.23	87,271	13,231	1,690	165	6,059.61
Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	0-4	64.01	990,306	1.62	65,766	12,095	1,626	157	6,368.43
East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	1-3	62.52	977,929	1.58	76,335	9,480	1,221	115	8,694.65
Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	61.89	951,239	1.59	79,739	11,457	1,081	86	11,626.91
West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-2	60.41	970,927	1.46	47,323	7,196	578	41	24,389.24
North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	62.65	514,335	0.59	18,471	3,058	305	40	24,999.00
Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	3-1	60.41	835,231	1.00	43,536	5,663	410	29	34,481.76
Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	57.04	869,844	1.27	34,894	3,101	218	14	71,427.57
Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-4	59.32	228,057	0.27	6,847	1,099	67	7	142,856.14
Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	55.06	943,842	1.21	17,305	1,733	86	4	249,999.00
Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	4-0	54.33	639,896	0.70	12,010	1,056	36	4	249,999.00
South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	2-2	56.33	689,776	0.78	18,729	1,839	88	3	333,332.33
North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	51.82	862,189	1.02	6,840	505	27	1	999,999.00
Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	51.59	819,838	1.00	11,413	698	19	1	999,999.00
Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	0-4	50.10	882,629	1.01	6,305	401	13	1	999,999.00
Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	49.09	745,063	0.87	6,610	368	12	-	-
Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	43.64	412,661	0.45	1,483	44	1	-	-
Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-0	44.96	242,014	0.25	883	40	-	-	-
Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	0-4	41.71	167,280	0.19	512	5	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	41.52	79,893	0.08	120	1	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	34.30	181,039	0.19	55	1	-	-	-
Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-4	30.12	55,277	0.06	18	1	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	2-1	34.94	140,131	0.14	35	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	0-4	34.67	47,037	0.05	32	-	-	-	-
Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	33.13	15,554	0.02	5	-	-	-	-
Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-4	27.76	39,325	0.04	4	-	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-4	34.48	3,538	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	25.71	3,893	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-4	8.70	1,535	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-0	5.85	905	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	At large	Out
1 - AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	484,971	422,212	84,128	-	8,295	394
1 - AAAAAAA	Lowndes	472,117	423,787	92,033	-	11,690	373
1 - AAAAAAA	Camden County	40,022	138,961	624,049	-	169,301	27,667
1 - AAAAAAA	Tift County	2,890	15,040	199,790	-	10,337	771,943
2 - AAAAAAA	Westlake	520,558	322,225	112,072	35,087	318	9,740
2 - AAAAAAA	East Coweta	368,199	378,651	168,709	62,267	103	22,071
2 - AAAAAAA	Newnan	67,442	156,447	320,372	275,134	443	180,162
2 - AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	33,854	102,316	272,689	336,046	158	254,937
2 - AAAAAAA	Wheeler	9,812	38,927	114,978	248,938	6	587,339
2 - AAAAAAA	Campbell	135	1,434	11,180	42,528	-	944,723
3 - AAAAAAA	McEachern	590,208	263,683	100,510	36,876	7,736	987
3 - AAAAAAA	Marietta	226,773	327,092	251,597	134,737	48,385	11,416
3 - AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	131,511	260,504	329,721	192,255	70,378	15,631
3 - AAAAAAA	North Paulding	41,421	106,325	210,246	350,799	169,388	121,821
3 - AAAAAAA	North Cobb	10,087	42,376	107,504	282,239	72,129	485,665
3 - AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	-	20	422	3,094	2	996,462
4 - AAAAAAA	Roswell	479,516	303,475	149,003	59,113	37	8,856
4 - AAAAAAA	Walton	334,476	350,006	206,978	94,117	713	13,710
4 - AAAAAAA	Cherokee	133,135	223,378	347,800	234,857	12,069	48,761
4 - AAAAAAA	Etowah	51,736	115,269	262,775	440,049	15	130,156
4 - AAAAAAA	Woodstock	1,019	6,761	27,051	132,449	-	832,720
4 - AAAAAAA	Lassiter	118	1,111	6,393	39,415	-	952,963
5 - AAAAAAA	Milton	761,388	191,705	39,115	7,503	75	214
5 - AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	154,044	462,309	280,905	94,087	1,884	6,771
5 - AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	72,025	263,272	419,269	216,337	24	29,073
5 - AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	12,413	79,972	241,014	525,199	3,591	137,811
5 - AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	123	2,428	15,592	121,975	13	859,869
5 - AAAAAAA	Lambert	7	314	4,105	34,899	-	960,675
6 - AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	569,840	342,321	69,618	17,659	236	326
6 - AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	370,310	447,518	136,717	43,195	1,098	1,162
6 - AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	35,522	118,802	404,734	398,786	3,461	38,695
6 - AAAAAAA	Mountain View	24,281	90,329	378,725	452,315	2,119	52,231
6 - AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	45	960	8,791	70,091	6	920,107
6 - AAAAAAA	Discovery	2	63	1,211	14,272	6	984,446
6 - AAAAAAA	Duluth	-	7	204	3,682	-	996,107
7 - AAAAAAA	Parkview	784,633	184,929	24,982	5,200	19	237
7 - AAAAAAA	Norcross	166,142	500,786	237,572	85,806	-	9,694
7 - AAAAAAA	Brookwood	35,734	213,761	431,979	262,368	-	56,158
7 - AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	13,271	95,749	279,282	494,327	-	117,371
7 - AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	220	4,774	26,069	149,976	-	818,961
7 - AAAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	1	74	1,460	-	998,465
7 - AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	42	863	-	999,095
8 - AAAAAAA	Grayson	643,213	327,576	26,069	2,752	351	39
8 - AAAAAAA	Archer	344,701	561,110	79,786	11,385	2,105	913
8 - AAAAAAA	Newton	7,359	57,113	395,701	296,218	78,840	164,769
8 - AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	2,880	31,438	269,620	315,720	70,118	310,224
8 - AAAAAAA	Shiloh	1,787	20,613	185,500	273,585	158,411	360,104
8 - AAAAAAA	Rockdale County	60	2,150	43,324	100,340	96,140	757,986

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	5-0	85.08	996,229	4.98	957,974	793,234	686,511	561,257	0.78
Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	4-1	73.11	936,581	3.60	810,812	529,480	303,024	110,422	8.06
Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	4-0	74.81	999,512	3.22	740,923	314,252	217,977	106,440	8.39
Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	5-0	71.13	904,171	3.29	755,798	465,826	220,540	72,697	12.76
Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	3-1	68.63	992,717	3.03	661,651	387,672	135,247	43,848	21.81
Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	4-0	66.94	996,900	2.86	612,502	335,697	107,446	30,685	31.59
Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-1	67.55	998,919	2.76	495,255	207,274	104,112	27,499	35.36
Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	5-0	66.18	975,650	2.60	535,617	274,020	85,527	22,894	42.68
Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	4-0	63.33	987,871	1.95	315,180	93,344	35,272	7,463	132.99
Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-2	62.34	605,280	1.76	397,862	166,926	36,366	7,422	133.73
Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-1	61.31	557,739	1.58	351,922	140,182	28,479	5,331	186.58
Mays	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	56.40	953,410	1.96	193,743	62,902	10,350	1,334	748.63
Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	2-2	55.57	982,204	1.99	204,330	60,672	10,328	1,087	918.96
South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	52.67	951,371	1.79	135,834	34,301	4,052	368	2,716.39
Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	52.73	855,499	1.57	108,622	26,843	3,313	339	2,948.85
Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	53.00	978,709	1.66	85,580	18,772	3,336	315	3,173.60
Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	3-2	55.17	481,460	0.63	49,746	6,372	1,481	182	5,493.51
Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	49.12	947,801	1.44	48,018	8,219	1,012	72	13,887.89
Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	3-1	48.34	796,883	1.23	55,062	9,670	800	56	17,856.14
Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	48.17	893,831	1.45	67,321	10,212	858	55	18,180.82
Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	49.58	574,696	0.92	36,673	6,551	654	54	18,517.52
Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	1-2	48.64	890,921	1.47	71,478	10,823	957	51	19,606.84
Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	51.80	378,452	0.48	30,291	3,737	598	49	20,407.16
Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	46.61	736,982	0.86	31,825	5,043	321	17	58,822.53
Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	3-1	44.47	812,565	1.16	34,221	4,580	237	11	90,908.09
Evans	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	43.73	907,724	1.02	25,911	3,484	178	8	124,999.00
Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-3	45.54	339,721	0.50	12,787	1,611	121	8	124,999.00
Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-3	44.78	652,085	0.74	21,924	3,146	170	7	142,856.14
Pope	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	43.58	717,568	0.94	20,300	2,576	138	7	142,856.14
M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	3-0	42.70	731,641	1.00	22,794	2,486	119	6	166,665.67
Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	1-2	45.18	296,657	0.43	9,909	1,231	88	5	199,999.00
Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	47.07	171,033	0.20	7,254	573	62	4	249,999.00
Northview	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	40.59	706,379	0.88	12,322	1,226	54	2	499,999.00
Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	39.59	371,730	0.45	5,435	493	25	2	499,999.00
Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	40.87	640,170	0.86	16,040	1,539	62	1	999,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	3-0	40.34	801,690	0.86	11,093	1,073	42	1	999,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	38.81	751,399	0.79	7,603	655	30	1	999,999.00
Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	41.73	473,936	0.52	9,862	1,122	39	-	-
Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	39.37	772,098	0.82	8,817	814	33	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	1-2	38.99	576,159	0.74	10,592	881	29	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	1-3	36.58	378,496	0.45	3,486	187	8	-	-
Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	2-3	35.47	252,319	0.29	1,682	93	2	-	-
Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	33.56	149,614	0.16	813	57	1	-	-
Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	1-3	32.75	407,642	0.42	1,001	53	1	-	-
Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-3	30.99	359,447	0.37	709	28	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	32.34	117,339	0.13	471	28	-	-	-
North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	2-1	31.68	78,909	0.09	276	14	-	-	-
Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	34.08	48,103	0.05	262	10	-	-	-
New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-3	33.03	12,124	0.01	54	6	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-3	30.71	33,462	0.04	100	5	-	-	-
Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	0-4	35.70	15,670	0.02	111	3	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	2-3	33.91	36,211	0.04	131	2	-	-	-
South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	32.40	2,520	0.00	11	-	-	-	-
Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-3	23.60	9,663	0.01	6	-	-	-	-
River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	26.29	1,268	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-3	25.18	852	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-4	12.28	18	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	-6.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AAAAAA	Valdosta	699,831	217,082	60,669	18,647	3,771
1 - AAAAAA	Lee County	151,692	367,813	285,231	131,845	63,419
1 - AAAAAA	Coffee	116,974	274,689	331,258	181,250	95,829
1 - AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	17,591	73,225	169,601	344,863	394,720
1 - AAAAAA	Houston County	13,912	67,191	153,241	323,395	442,261
2 - AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	819,193	148,108	24,447	7,171	1,081
2 - AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	86,076	339,843	290,017	174,985	109,079
2 - AAAAAA	Brunswick	66,897	317,635	322,903	186,396	106,169
2 - AAAAAA	Effingham County	17,721	109,661	195,590	317,198	359,830
2 - AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	10,113	84,753	167,043	314,250	423,841
3 - AAAAAA	Evans	388,993	245,024	169,292	104,415	92,276
3 - AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	204,175	221,344	207,233	168,938	198,310
3 - AAAAAA	Grovetown	172,615	203,892	209,616	185,975	227,902
3 - AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	166,861	193,887	202,205	188,446	248,601
3 - AAAAAA	Alcovy	38,557	74,147	113,003	181,935	592,358
3 - AAAAAA	Greenbrier	28,799	61,706	98,651	170,291	640,553
4 - AAAAAA	Tucker	639,931	213,760	92,026	36,487	17,796
4 - AAAAAA	Lovejoy	126,988	245,963	241,091	198,523	187,435
4 - AAAAAA	Stephenson	123,423	250,838	233,302	189,320	203,117
4 - AAAAAA	M.L. King	86,795	198,057	233,908	212,881	268,359
4 - AAAAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	15,997	59,972	118,609	183,918	621,504
4 - AAAAAA	Morrow	6,828	29,455	71,163	144,873	747,681
4 - AAAAAA	Drew	32	315	1,724	7,592	990,337
4 - AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	6	1,639	8,175	26,391	963,789
4 - AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	1	2	15	999,982
5 - AAAAAA	Mays	417,659	272,805	174,630	88,316	46,590
5 - AAAAAA	South Paulding	317,504	312,950	225,332	95,585	48,629
5 - AAAAAA	Creekside	209,581	241,877	231,235	172,806	144,501
5 - AAAAAA	Douglas County	33,840	90,225	178,688	271,943	425,304
5 - AAAAAA	Hughes	11,666	47,829	101,689	178,537	660,279
5 - AAAAAA	Alexander	9,635	33,407	83,244	170,371	703,343
5 - AAAAAA	Northgate	102	678	3,287	11,603	984,330
5 - AAAAAA	New Manchester	9	208	1,742	10,165	987,876
5 - AAAAAA	Tri-Cities	4	21	153	674	999,148
6 - AAAAAA	Allatoona	390,161	329,627	235,282	37,647	7,283
6 - AAAAAA	Dalton	339,308	347,471	287,858	22,263	3,100
6 - AAAAAA	Harrison	267,254	298,419	315,010	94,967	24,350
6 - AAAAAA	Sequoyah	2,630	14,210	65,781	295,831	621,548
6 - AAAAAA	Sprayberry	599	4,437	23,392	142,605	828,967
6 - AAAAAA	Creekview	48	5,836	72,609	402,967	518,540
6 - AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	50	2,470	997,480
6 - AAAAAA	River Ridge	-	-	18	1,250	998,732
6 - AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7 - AAAAAA	Johns Creek	544,054	266,535	118,872	49,248	21,291
7 - AAAAAA	Alpharetta	326,762	388,194	162,186	70,659	52,199
7 - AAAAAA	Northview	62,129	144,301	248,333	251,616	293,621
7 - AAAAAA	Pope	48,713	129,401	283,805	255,649	282,432
7 - AAAAAA	Cambridge	15,322	52,929	118,814	184,665	628,270
7 - AAAAAA	Dunwoody	1,869	8,852	28,996	77,622	882,661
7 - AAAAAA	Centennial	702	3,144	10,284	33,973	951,897
7 - AAAAAA	North Atlanta	389	5,249	21,630	51,641	921,091
7 - AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	60	1,395	7,080	24,927	966,538
8 - AAAAAA	Dacula	746,338	227,805	22,244	3,125	488
8 - AAAAAA	Lanier	232,238	579,102	143,807	32,724	12,129
8 - AAAAAA	Gainesville	10,937	91,166	340,497	294,382	263,018
8 - AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	7,397	60,511	278,036	306,141	347,915
8 - AAAAAA	Habersham Central	2,836	35,971	172,543	262,586	526,064
8 - AAAAAA	Apalachee	254	5,445	42,873	101,042	850,386

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Buford	8 - AAAAA	4-0	82.68	999,994	4.48	851,209	650,272	547,338	434,492	1.30
Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	3-1	75.82	996,512	3.42	683,004	366,214	262,233	151,806	5.59
Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	4-0	70.61	998,531	3.36	633,965	420,263	235,412	88,492	10.30
Jones County	4 - AAAAA	5-0	71.27	993,338	3.10	599,012	419,252	202,987	86,816	10.52
Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	5-0	70.26	997,304	3.09	602,637	420,649	191,419	76,729	12.03
Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	4-0	68.07	988,734	2.65	479,389	292,466	117,985	41,795	22.93
Rome	7 - AAAAA	2-2	68.91	995,185	2.74	476,119	177,100	83,292	35,610	27.08
Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	4-0	66.54	963,485	2.61	462,118	219,810	101,332	29,249	33.19
Kell	7 - AAAAA	3-1	64.19	985,684	2.79	535,878	246,750	67,969	20,193	48.52
Ware County	2 - AAAAA	2-2	62.48	964,091	1.80	252,484	97,557	34,980	7,775	127.62
Veterans	1 - AAAAA	4-1	60.98	890,788	2.07	341,823	127,241	38,012	7,520	131.98
Griffin	3 - AAAAA	4-0	60.93	996,168	2.07	313,092	127,286	26,964	6,664	149.06
Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	3-2	57.83	997,086	2.26	309,178	87,857	25,336	3,715	268.18
Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	2-1	59.62	931,679	1.52	172,992	61,022	16,493	3,003	332.00
Ola	4 - AAAAA	4-1	58.34	869,319	1.51	185,246	48,641	13,055	2,051	486.57
Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-0	58.19	908,228	1.40	143,779	48,589	11,600	1,968	507.13
Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	4-0	53.91	718,287	1.28	149,930	36,967	5,955	676	1,478.29
South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	4-0	54.05	812,032	1.08	77,085	22,537	3,819	472	2,117.64
Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	3-1	49.65	983,936	1.74	111,682	24,104	3,487	252	3,967.25
Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	3-1	49.44	993,085	1.74	101,445	24,844	2,405	212	4,715.98
Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	4-1	47.00	998,415	1.62	126,963	19,812	2,285	133	7,517.80
Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	2-2	48.83	934,317	1.25	79,577	14,198	1,685	115	8,694.65
Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	4-0	47.38	988,033	1.65	77,444	16,665	1,300	106	9,432.96
Harris County	1 - AAAAA	2-2	48.81	430,928	0.65	50,207	8,621	942	75	13,332.33
East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	0-3	45.85	329,705	0.55	38,993	5,159	502	30	33,332.33
Hiram	7 - AAAAA	1-2	44.81	481,739	0.80	52,645	6,494	490	22	45,453.55
Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	2-2	44.76	834,058	0.99	29,940	4,009	349	15	66,665.67
New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	2-2	45.51	383,970	0.43	10,850	2,108	177	8	124,999.00
Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	44.12	95,799	0.12	3,793	280	30	3	333,332.33
Banneker	6 - AAAAA	1-3	38.98	817,522	0.95	10,619	847	49	2	499,999.00
Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	3-1	39.95	656,756	0.72	8,376	696	44	1	999,999.00
Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	2-2	40.36	67,394	0.10	4,252	366	21	-	-
Loganville	8 - AAAAA	0-4	34.70	811,655	0.99	6,998	507	16	-	-
Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-1	36.00	111,983	0.16	3,942	219	10	-	-
Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-3	37.28	29,726	0.04	1,243	78	6	-	-
Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-4	43.62	20,166	0.02	763	54	6	-	-
Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-1	31.03	925,377	0.98	3,484	150	3	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	2-2	33.39	530,630	0.57	1,698	83	3	-	-
Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-4	33.14	302,958	0.31	881	43	3	-	-
Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	0-5	29.77	904,337	0.95	2,354	102	2	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-4	37.75	34,429	0.04	500	20	2	-	-
Decatur	6 - AAAAA	3-1	30.47	513,994	0.55	1,035	35	1	-	-
Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-2	31.37	236,916	0.24	457	16	1	-	-
Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-3	25.76	812,159	0.83	715	13	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-4	20.74	174,474	0.19	106	2	-	-	-
Grady	6 - AAAAA	2-2	23.33	143,170	0.15	53	2	-	-	-
Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-4	16.03	337,789	0.34	27	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	1-3	22.26	38,827	0.04	15	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-4	28.37	911	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	3-2	11.08	32,855	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-3	-0.42	21,923	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-3	16.71	12,887	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-3	4.95	679	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-3	20.02	53	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5 - AAAAA	0-5	-23.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA	0-5	-71.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AAAAA	Warner Robins	646,484	256,639	73,872	19,517	3,488
1 - AAAAA	Bainbridge	229,154	390,543	246,491	97,297	36,515
1 - AAAAA	Veterans	96,962	231,319	348,101	214,406	109,212
1 - AAAAA	Thomas County Central	21,095	84,225	224,590	388,377	281,713
1 - AAAAA	Harris County	6,305	37,274	106,946	280,403	569,072
2 - AAAAA	Ware County	411,821	279,108	174,414	98,748	35,909
2 - AAAAA	Wayne County	258,620	273,288	237,160	162,611	68,321
2 - AAAAA	Statesboro	209,874	241,416	255,966	200,972	91,772
2 - AAAAA	South Effingham	105,682	166,871	244,571	294,908	187,968
2 - AAAAA	New Hampstead	14,003	39,317	87,889	242,761	616,030
3 - AAAAA	Griffin	717,239	207,138	57,085	14,706	3,832
3 - AAAAA	Starr's Mill	171,421	384,007	254,499	124,390	65,683
3 - AAAAA	Jonesboro	74,295	235,279	309,743	214,741	165,942
3 - AAAAA	Riverdale	29,817	120,384	218,165	288,390	343,244
3 - AAAAA	Whitewater	4,469	30,873	87,067	180,549	697,042
3 - AAAAA	Fayette County	2,657	20,676	65,026	148,557	763,084
3 - AAAAA	McIntosh	102	1,643	8,415	28,667	961,173
4 - AAAAA	Dutchtown	403,147	339,758	225,545	28,854	2,696
4 - AAAAA	Jones County	347,298	316,045	246,260	83,735	6,662
4 - AAAAA	Stockbridge	237,446	289,588	326,225	135,475	11,266
4 - AAAAA	Ola	12,061	53,580	189,467	614,211	130,681
4 - AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	24	200	2,087	32,118	965,571
4 - AAAAA	Locust Grove	23	334	2,035	17,774	979,834
4 - AAAAA	Union Grove	1	495	8,356	86,947	904,201
4 - AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	25	886	999,089
5 - AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	770,399	176,901	39,136	11,979	1,585
5 - AAAAA	Lithonia	103,983	337,466	298,282	185,646	74,623
5 - AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	83,525	286,926	312,554	221,332	95,663
5 - AAAAA	Columbia	38,386	166,785	267,810	339,178	187,841
5 - AAAAA	Miller Grove	3,687	31,479	78,595	224,028	662,211
5 - AAAAA	Chamblee	20	443	3,623	17,837	978,077
5 - AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5 - AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	487,517	360,430	118,756	26,382	6,915
6 - AAAAA	Riverwood	457,325	402,603	98,888	29,217	11,967
6 - AAAAA	Banneker	32,914	126,454	405,810	252,344	182,478
6 - AAAAA	Decatur	14,329	54,189	157,724	287,752	486,006
6 - AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	6,683	48,530	179,206	296,211	469,370
6 - AAAAA	Grady	1,197	7,478	37,112	97,383	856,830
6 - AAAAA	North Springs	35	312	2,426	10,114	987,113
6 - AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	4	78	597	999,321
7 - AAAAA	Carrollton	729,453	117,256	139,748	12,074	1,469
7 - AAAAA	Kell	201,853	102,830	604,576	76,425	14,316
7 - AAAAA	Rome	65,389	760,498	144,483	24,815	4,815
7 - AAAAA	Hiram	1,978	12,127	69,797	397,837	518,261
7 - AAAAA	East Paulding	1,189	5,014	20,182	303,320	670,295
7 - AAAAA	Paulding County	74	1,022	7,884	58,414	932,606
7 - AAAAA	Cass	64	1,088	11,093	99,738	888,017
7 - AAAAA	Villa Rica	-	165	2,236	27,325	970,274
7 - AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	-	1	52	999,947
8 - AAAAA	Buford	919,895	75,377	4,453	269	6
8 - AAAAA	Clarke Central	65,051	616,416	274,358	41,261	2,914
8 - AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	14,204	277,207	549,550	142,975	16,064
8 - AAAAA	Loganville	835	29,388	153,787	627,645	188,345
8 - AAAAA	Walnut Grove	15	1,523	15,821	157,115	825,526
8 - AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	89	2,031	30,735	967,145

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Cartersville	5 - AAAA	4-0	83.21	999,808	4.41	883,494	713,026	504,089	371,424	1.69
Marist	7 - AAAA	4-0	80.57	999,422	4.35	841,230	784,776	504,621	323,948	2.09
Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	3-1	75.42	997,550	3.74	718,952	639,019	403,495	165,290	5.05
Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	4-0	73.12	1,000,000	3.35	850,499	339,579	165,016	77,302	11.94
Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	3-0	63.86	969,742	2.01	299,397	218,139	69,951	12,929	76.35
Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	4-0	64.04	965,669	1.89	267,355	186,104	68,709	12,899	76.53
Burke County	3 - AAAA	3-1	61.10	999,507	2.37	266,965	182,254	59,272	8,847	112.03
Troup	5 - AAAA	3-1	62.54	942,494	1.67	210,483	140,455	47,460	7,987	124.20
Oconee County	8 - AAAA	4-1	58.91	989,027	2.62	550,341	136,284	43,235	5,731	173.49
Cairo	1 - AAAA	3-1	58.70	996,495	2.18	181,293	109,349	36,778	4,564	218.11
West Laurens	2 - AAAA	3-1	55.81	935,058	2.26	467,983	94,796	19,848	2,201	453.34
Howard	2 - AAAA	4-1	55.42	917,682	2.16	435,822	88,196	18,311	1,961	508.94
Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-2	56.12	998,435	1.96	131,906	67,245	14,700	1,624	614.76
St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	2-3	52.41	947,937	2.09	311,195	48,199	8,595	736	1,357.70
Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	2-3	52.17	853,564	1.79	315,954	52,847	9,012	723	1,382.13
Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	3-1	55.12	794,731	1.01	59,267	30,454	5,771	600	1,665.67
North Oconee	8 - AAAA	5-0	50.64	922,930	1.94	255,682	35,181	5,424	427	2,340.92
Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	2-3	49.83	779,437	1.45	217,419	31,635	4,605	282	3,545.10
Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	3-1	49.25	955,809	1.52	46,279	16,440	2,313	147	6,801.72
Eastside	4 - AAAA	2-2	46.56	993,541	1.61	204,033	28,259	3,358	139	7,193.24
Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	0-3	44.29	989,107	1.58	128,185	14,941	1,574	66	15,150.52
Westover	1 - AAAA	4-0	46.91	918,503	1.34	29,257	8,948	1,001	57	17,542.86
Denmark	7 - AAAA	3-0	49.79	690,631	0.78	22,692	7,147	981	52	19,229.77
Baldwin	3 - AAAA	0-5	45.97	986,704	1.44	27,992	7,998	709	32	31,249.00
Perry	2 - AAAA	2-2	43.29	440,615	0.64	53,854	4,652	419	14	71,427.57
Madison County	8 - AAAA	3-2	39.93	630,096	1.00	58,296	3,998	263	8	124,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	3-1	37.83	951,369	1.23	39,095	2,301	121	2	499,999.00
Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-4	38.30	510,010	0.78	38,419	2,308	119	2	499,999.00
Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-1	36.12	935,892	1.15	27,131	1,266	59	2	499,999.00
Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	2-2	38.46	579,093	0.69	4,314	840	38	1	999,999.00
Hampton	4 - AAAA	2-2	31.67	925,114	1.04	14,550	469	23	1	999,999.00
White County	7 - AAAA	3-1	42.44	323,908	0.34	2,935	471	22	1	999,999.00
Hardaway	1 - AAAA	2-2	38.30	287,905	0.33	1,800	349	16	1	999,999.00
Pickens	6 - AAAA	2-2	36.13	937,688	1.16	27,282	1,276	63	-	-
Cedartown	5 - AAAA	1-3	41.54	157,326	0.16	1,357	303	13	-	-
Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-2	35.90	186,316	0.21	805	139	7	-	-
Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	2-2	30.94	828,417	0.91	1,313	109	4	-	-
LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-1	39.88	97,182	0.10	644	134	3	-	-
Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-4	32.02	73,644	0.08	1,606	59	1	-	-
Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-1	30.85	69,675	0.07	111	18	1	-	-
Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	2-2	35.07	42,790	0.04	121	17	-	-	-
Salem	4 - AAAA	0-4	23.64	418,569	0.44	1,365	11	-	-	-
McDonough	4 - AAAA	1-3	21.62	355,491	0.37	812	4	-	-	-
Luella	4 - AAAA	1-3	17.90	237,459	0.24	275	2	-	-	-
LaFayette	6 - AAAA	2-2	17.67	168,271	0.17	173	1	-	-	-
North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-4	12.54	67,826	0.07	27	1	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-4	25.20	6,082	0.01	3	1	-	-	-
Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-3	17.45	186,937	0.19	30	-	-	-	-
Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-3	23.47	13,336	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-4	2.96	10,718	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Gilmer	6 - AAAA	2-2	1.66	6,955	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-4	19.34	5,411	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-2	1.77	2,000	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-4	17.32	122	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AAAA	Cairo	670,566	231,683	76,751	17,495	3,505
1 - AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	189,485	376,563	281,840	107,921	44,191
1 - AAAA	Westover	118,311	292,520	342,576	165,096	81,497
1 - AAAA	Americus-Sumter	19,385	75,929	171,964	311,815	420,907
1 - AAAA	Columbus	1,684	8,862	37,015	138,755	813,684
1 - AAAA	Shaw	419	3,740	15,513	50,003	930,325
1 - AAAA	Hardaway	150	10,677	73,767	203,311	712,095
1 - AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	-	26	562	5,494	993,918
1 - AAAA	Dougherty	-	-	12	110	999,878
2 - AAAA	West Laurens	356,662	267,875	192,306	118,215	64,942
2 - AAAA	Howard	297,983	265,347	212,595	141,757	82,318
2 - AAAA	Mary Persons	197,553	226,822	235,380	193,809	146,436
2 - AAAA	Upson-Lee	118,165	170,995	228,654	261,623	220,563
2 - AAAA	Perry	28,443	64,281	115,765	232,126	559,385
2 - AAAA	Spalding	1,194	4,680	15,300	52,470	926,356
3 - AAAA	Burke County	621,122	290,183	77,820	10,382	493
3 - AAAA	Thomson	302,220	468,936	202,356	24,923	1,565
3 - AAAA	Baldwin	72,568	221,429	569,781	122,926	13,296
3 - AAAA	Richmond Academy	4,015	18,183	137,126	669,093	171,583
3 - AAAA	Cross Creek	75	1,269	12,917	172,676	813,063
4 - AAAA	Woodward Academy	938,992	59,589	1,375	44	-
4 - AAAA	Eastside	56,838	745,271	163,490	27,942	6,459
4 - AAAA	Hampton	3,921	158,964	601,938	160,291	74,886
4 - AAAA	Salem	176	13,746	56,498	348,149	581,431
4 - AAAA	Luella	63	6,955	60,432	170,009	762,541
4 - AAAA	North Clayton	-	145	13,137	54,544	932,174
4 - AAAA	Druid Hills	-	6	263	1,731	998,000
4 - AAAA	Henry County	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5 - AAAA	Cartersville	847,602	129,066	19,464	3,676	192
5 - AAAA	Sandy Creek	77,846	418,109	326,563	143,151	34,331
5 - AAAA	Troup	61,294	327,019	354,259	199,922	57,506
5 - AAAA	Chapel Hill	12,896	114,782	245,337	421,716	205,269
5 - AAAA	Cedartown	249	6,745	30,537	119,795	842,674
5 - AAAA	LaGrange	88	3,321	17,260	76,513	902,818
5 - AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	25	958	6,580	35,227	957,210
6 - AAAA	Ridgeland	499,917	273,700	141,033	74,457	10,893
6 - AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	211,700	265,843	260,302	213,524	48,631
6 - AAAA	Pickens	143,266	226,775	286,438	281,209	62,312
6 - AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	143,197	223,983	282,350	286,362	64,108
6 - AAAA	LaFayette	1,904	9,488	28,183	128,696	831,729
6 - AAAA	Gilmer	9	74	669	6,203	993,045
6 - AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	7	137	1,025	9,549	989,282
7 - AAAA	Marist	618,013	297,935	74,878	8,596	578
7 - AAAA	Blessed Trinity	319,471	495,937	162,073	20,069	2,450
7 - AAAA	Flowery Branch	58,774	181,882	573,466	155,620	30,258
7 - AAAA	Denmark	3,358	19,822	146,377	521,074	309,369
7 - AAAA	White County	383	4,401	42,152	276,972	676,092
7 - AAAA	Chestatee	1	16	861	12,458	986,664
7 - AAAA	West Hall	-	7	193	5,211	994,589
8 - AAAA	Oconee County	529,382	288,335	129,625	41,685	10,973
8 - AAAA	St. Pius X	241,305	312,098	272,044	122,490	52,063
8 - AAAA	North Oconee	191,932	278,799	296,864	155,335	77,070
8 - AAAA	Madison County	22,245	67,654	170,256	369,941	369,904
8 - AAAA	Stephens County	15,136	53,114	131,211	310,549	489,990

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	2-2	74.28	999,963	4.26	876,684	595,154	469,039	345,118	1.90
Peach County	4 - AAA	3-1	73.65	999,997	4.14	887,701	554,877	422,102	304,617	2.28
Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	3-1	67.40	1,000,000	3.23	652,691	511,627	208,823	121,058	7.26
Lovett	5 - AAA	3-1	62.10	999,717	2.85	534,573	322,809	163,594	51,253	18.51
Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	1-3	61.59	998,071	2.77	508,214	307,230	148,733	44,736	21.35
Crisp County	1 - AAA	3-2	59.07	999,369	2.85	472,937	288,419	134,387	32,984	29.32
Benedictine	3 - AAA	1-2	58.78	999,482	2.65	363,262	217,730	103,528	25,495	38.22
Jefferson	8 - AAA	2-1	58.58	999,154	2.80	538,990	239,464	95,453	24,389	40.00
Pierce County	2 - AAA	4-0	58.10	999,874	2.70	549,681	225,199	71,226	20,138	48.66
Appling County	2 - AAA	4-0	53.35	999,389	2.23	383,329	119,201	33,291	6,039	164.59
Liberty County	2 - AAA	2-0	53.33	998,435	2.25	388,464	121,354	32,365	5,880	169.07
Pace Academy	5 - AAA	2-1	54.18	990,949	1.84	243,593	110,043	28,774	5,577	178.31
Hart County	8 - AAA	4-0	53.12	998,789	2.25	335,458	104,869	27,466	5,039	197.45
North Murray	6 - AAA	3-1	48.66	999,594	2.02	277,286	66,441	17,793	1,893	527.26
Calhoun	6 - AAA	3-1	52.96	999,452	1.81	132,064	31,707	8,851	1,891	527.82
Jenkins	3 - AAA	3-1	50.07	995,006	2.06	158,816	51,646	11,847	1,751	570.10
Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-2	47.41	986,062	1.54	153,153	30,783	6,761	602	1,660.13
Jackson	4 - AAA	2-2	46.83	982,914	1.50	138,546	27,010	5,738	531	1,882.24
Monroe Area	8 - AAA	3-1	46.59	969,061	1.67	140,505	27,027	4,387	491	2,035.66
Dawson County	7 - AAA	3-1	45.75	993,111	1.25	56,477	16,366	2,804	265	3,772.58
Islands	3 - AAA	4-0	42.92	999,347	1.87	83,070	16,912	1,575	166	6,023.10
Morgan County	8 - AAA	3-1	40.77	904,395	1.29	57,402	6,964	764	55	18,180.82
North Hall	7 - AAA	2-2	40.81	972,864	1.10	23,300	4,802	615	29	34,481.76
Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-2	32.85	695,437	0.81	6,630	591	33	2	499,999.00
Sonoraville	6 - AAA	1-2	28.39	601,163	0.65	3,079	129	2	1	999,999.00
Haralson County	6 - AAA	3-0	30.80	848,141	0.95	7,420	373	11	-	-
Monroe	1 - AAA	2-3	30.02	758,713	0.91	5,445	379	10	-	-
Brantley County	2 - AAA	2-1	29.87	790,120	0.83	3,868	151	9	-	-
Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-2	28.97	553,139	0.60	2,713	150	6	-	-
Fannin County	7 - AAA	3-1	26.42	691,838	0.71	1,208	47	4	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	2-2	24.94	480,718	0.51	1,477	49	3	-	-
Cook	1 - AAA	0-5	28.55	728,190	0.85	4,097	228	2	-	-
Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	0-4	26.91	519,795	0.55	2,704	93	2	-	-
Pike County	4 - AAA	2-2	25.61	455,880	0.48	1,897	72	1	-	-
Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	1-2	22.84	105,746	0.11	197	6	1	-	-
Worth County	1 - AAA	2-3	23.33	514,478	0.57	1,017	36	-	-	-
Beach	3 - AAA	1-2	24.60	323,948	0.35	729	28	-	-	-
Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-2	25.27	170,896	0.19	797	23	-	-	-
East Hall	7 - AAA	1-3	19.49	272,608	0.27	158	3	-	-	-
East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-1	16.36	55,443	0.06	40	3	-	-	-
Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-4	18.13	178,816	0.18	74	2	-	-	-
Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-4	21.46	97,819	0.10	119	1	-	-	-
Franklin County	8 - AAA	0-3	18.45	38,481	0.04	64	1	-	-	-
Long County	2 - AAA	1-3	11.78	70,264	0.07	6	1	-	-	-
Redan	5 - AAA	2-2	16.95	17,559	0.02	20	-	-	-	-
Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	1-3	13.61	113,080	0.11	18	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4 - AAA	1-3	11.47	46,513	0.05	14	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6 - AAA	3-1	13.09	20,384	0.02	5	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-3	8.73	38,571	0.04	3	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-3	4.35	14,328	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-2	6.07	6,417	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	1-3	10.80	5,111	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3 - AAA	0-4	5.09	916	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	5 - AAA	1-3	-1.53	389	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-3	1.74	100	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3 - AAA	0-3	-10.04	4	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	At large	Out
1 - AAA	Crisp County	931,418	63,181	4,273	-	497	631
1 - AAA	Monroe	30,623	391,205	336,647	-	238	241,287
1 - AAA	Cook	28,243	354,666	345,280	-	1	271,810
1 - AAA	Worth County	9,716	190,948	313,800	-	14	485,522
2 - AAA	Pierce County	480,528	314,572	186,772	17,142	860	126
2 - AAA	Liberty County	282,088	340,618	329,199	44,950	1,580	1,565
2 - AAA	Appling County	234,305	332,031	387,103	43,570	2,380	611
2 - AAA	Brantley County	2,995	11,718	85,303	658,070	32,034	209,880
2 - AAA	Tattnall County	71	906	8,882	168,949	8	821,184
2 - AAA	Long County	13	155	2,741	67,319	36	929,736
3 - AAA	Benedictine	673,686	245,342	69,216	10,674	564	518
3 - AAA	Jenkins	231,412	442,640	255,208	58,754	6,992	4,994
3 - AAA	Islands	90,458	296,787	578,637	30,985	2,480	653
3 - AAA	Southeast Bulloch	4,016	11,152	64,913	557,418	57,938	304,563
3 - AAA	Beach	347	2,745	18,390	277,363	25,103	676,052
3 - AAA	Windsor Forest	81	1,332	13,328	59,300	31,705	894,254
3 - AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	2	248	4,850	1,317	993,583
3 - AAA	Savannah	-	-	60	652	204	999,084
3 - AAA	Groves	-	-	-	4	-	999,996
4 - AAA	Peach County	919,766	73,297	6,517	408	9	3
4 - AAA	Westside (Macon)	43,610	462,991	404,267	73,538	1,656	13,938
4 - AAA	Jackson	35,739	430,803	434,849	80,841	682	17,086
4 - AAA	Central (Macon)	538	17,447	79,871	421,939	-	480,205
4 - AAA	Pike County	346	15,138	70,147	367,109	3,140	544,120
4 - AAA	Rutland	1	293	3,692	42,525	2	953,487
4 - AAA	Kendrick	-	31	657	13,640	-	985,672
5 - AAA	Cedar Grove	664,663	237,412	71,197	26,570	121	37
5 - AAA	Lovett	163,386	334,028	303,820	195,814	2,669	283
5 - AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	132,980	308,071	346,009	209,695	1,316	1,929
5 - AAA	Pace Academy	38,970	120,424	278,436	546,893	6,226	9,051
5 - AAA	Redan	1	57	432	15,733	1,336	982,441
5 - AAA	Stone Mountain	-	7	105	4,908	91	994,889
5 - AAA	Towers	-	1	1	387	-	999,611
6 - AAA	North Murray	911,007	49,202	29,292	8,092	2,001	406
6 - AAA	Calhoun	61,806	815,972	104,378	14,496	2,800	548
6 - AAA	Haralson County	18,317	79,460	395,998	235,507	118,859	151,859
6 - AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	3,478	22,890	160,147	224,120	70,083	519,282
6 - AAA	Sonoraville	2,974	14,250	190,189	224,465	169,285	398,837
6 - AAA	Adairsville	2,406	17,281	102,945	245,549	184,958	446,861
6 - AAA	Murray County	8	63	1,707	7,002	11,604	979,616
6 - AAA	Ringgold	4	882	15,337	40,712	40,884	902,181
6 - AAA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	7	57	36	999,900
7 - AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	883,819	104,432	10,873	845	31	-
7 - AAA	Dawson County	82,874	528,108	322,099	56,711	3,319	6,889
7 - AAA	North Hall	31,548	329,405	477,956	131,161	2,794	27,136
7 - AAA	Fannin County	1,591	30,280	133,317	453,898	72,752	308,162
7 - AAA	East Hall	147	6,118	39,384	226,363	596	727,392
7 - AAA	Cherokee Bluff	18	1,390	12,527	96,565	2,580	886,920
7 - AAA	Lumpkin County	3	267	3,844	34,457	-	961,429
8 - AAA	Jefferson	550,001	299,320	114,286	33,572	1,975	846
8 - AAA	Hart County	298,687	364,562	228,431	96,566	10,543	1,211
8 - AAA	Monroe Area	115,191	224,664	361,727	245,506	21,973	30,939
8 - AAA	Morgan County	35,585	106,269	264,497	445,277	52,767	95,605
8 - AAA	Jackson County	477	4,338	23,661	122,016	20,404	829,104
8 - AAA	Franklin County	45	567	4,754	32,962	153	961,519
8 - AAA	East Jackson	14	280	2,644	24,101	28,404	944,557

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Callaway	5 - AA	3-1	67.06	999,914	4.18	770,511	682,117	465,033	277,912	2.60
Rabun County	8 - AA	4-0	64.82	999,993	4.04	866,248	645,117	356,673	191,946	4.21
Dublin	3 - AA	3-0	66.29	997,343	3.71	750,763	526,421	331,864	191,473	4.22
Rockmart	7 - AA	4-0	62.93	999,995	3.52	710,936	490,378	243,242	118,660	7.43
Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	2-1	62.07	999,979	3.64	875,251	445,458	235,101	107,841	8.27
Swainsboro	2 - AA	3-1	57.99	996,736	3.11	686,632	325,400	127,252	45,759	20.85
Fitzgerald	1 - AA	4-1	57.71	994,297	2.58	494,549	229,229	87,465	31,060	31.20
Washington County	3 - AA	3-1	54.85	950,617	2.06	274,508	141,515	49,688	14,421	68.34
Brooks County	1 - AA	1-3	54.76	987,254	2.18	339,119	147,107	47,528	13,918	70.85
Jefferson County	4 - AA	2-2	46.25	996,968	2.08	327,586	58,134	12,441	1,835	543.96
Dodge County	3 - AA	1-3	46.91	773,576	1.22	105,777	32,288	6,154	1,001	998.00
Thomasville	1 - AA	1-3	46.32	932,508	1.42	104,446	33,188	6,445	980	1,019.41
Douglass	6 - AA	4-0	41.89	998,123	1.96	299,161	37,337	5,550	596	1,676.85
Vidalia	2 - AA	3-1	43.27	878,907	1.63	156,438	30,103	4,515	519	1,925.78
Union County	8 - AA	4-0	41.68	996,545	1.95	232,703	35,613	4,846	500	1,999.00
Bleckley County	3 - AA	3-1	44.25	687,666	1.00	70,708	17,891	2,791	354	2,823.86
Pepperell	7 - AA	3-1	41.68	995,895	1.79	135,183	23,913	2,926	328	3,047.78
Bremen	5 - AA	1-2	41.83	924,701	1.57	97,033	21,753	3,085	306	3,266.97
Elbert County	8 - AA	2-2	39.29	986,404	1.73	177,132	20,593	2,364	219	4,565.21
Hephzibah	4 - AA	3-0	38.18	990,804	1.59	106,792	11,398	1,295	113	8,848.56
Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-0	38.45	744,722	1.20	80,652	9,821	1,010	88	11,362.64
Toombs County	2 - AA	3-0	37.16	696,044	1.08	63,308	6,856	625	53	18,866.92
Screven County	4 - AA	3-1	35.96	944,913	1.29	46,988	5,437	419	31	32,257.06
Chattooga	7 - AA	2-2	35.14	994,778	1.49	51,951	5,851	466	24	41,665.67
Northeast	3 - AA	2-2	38.16	326,919	0.41	16,768	2,496	228	19	52,630.58
Early County	1 - AA	3-2	36.21	668,518	0.77	18,151	2,748	242	14	71,427.57
Metter	2 - AA	3-1	35.48	638,788	0.95	48,321	4,389	333	12	83,332.33
Southwest	3 - AA	2-2	36.65	263,426	0.32	11,047	1,448	108	8	124,999.00
Spencer	5 - AA	2-2	32.68	630,686	0.80	15,594	1,633	100	4	249,999.00
Heard County	5 - AA	0-4	30.13	519,343	0.62	8,156	673	39	3	333,332.33
Lamar County	5 - AA	4-0	32.86	689,192	0.88	18,283	1,897	107	2	499,999.00
South Atlanta	6 - AA	3-1	25.47	802,066	0.92	11,950	443	14	1	999,999.00
Berrien	1 - AA	2-2	31.04	417,423	0.45	4,993	439	25	-	-
Harlem	4 - AA	2-2	26.70	853,272	0.97	11,649	545	17	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-3	24.20	623,653	0.68	5,165	234	4	-	-
Temple	5 - AA	3-1	24.23	234,324	0.26	1,147	56	2	-	-
Washington	6 - AA	0-4	21.61	272,088	0.28	986	24	1	-	-
Coosa	7 - AA	0-4	17.01	561,108	0.57	263	15	1	-	-
Therrell	6 - AA	1-3	18.12	271,623	0.28	796	13	1	-	-
Banks County	8 - AA	2-2	15.68	454,981	0.47	871	13	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-2	15.43	127,560	0.13	276	4	-	-	-
Monticello	8 - AA	0-4	14.69	297,336	0.30	397	3	-	-	-
Bacon County	2 - AA	0-4	17.81	43,807	0.05	204	3	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4 - AA	1-2	16.80	48,761	0.05	128	3	-	-	-
Putnam County	8 - AA	1-3	12.97	260,485	0.27	298	2	-	-	-
Model	7 - AA	1-3	12.59	383,619	0.39	113	1	-	-	-
Butler	4 - AA	0-4	11.14	28,308	0.03	35	-	-	-	-
Laney	4 - AA	1-3	14.22	9,115	0.01	19	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-3	9.73	32,117	0.03	14	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	7 - AA	0-4	-1.24	26,520	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7 - AA	0-4	-0.35	27,260	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Dade County	7 - AA	0-4	0.11	10,825	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Social Circle	8 - AA	1-2	-3.80	2,720	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	5 - AA	0-4	1.13	1,840	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	1-3	-10.37	1,536	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	2 - AA	0-3	1.33	996	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Laurens	3 - AA	1-3	5.14	453	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6 - AA	0-4	-6.33	351	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4 - AA	0-3	-5.30	299	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AA	Fitzgerald	547,822	306,064	110,843	29,568	5,703
1 - AA	Brooks County	330,015	397,523	203,615	56,101	12,746
1 - AA	Thomasville	101,917	222,105	421,007	187,479	67,492
1 - AA	Early County	16,435	55,304	182,637	414,142	331,482
1 - AA	Berrien	3,811	19,004	81,898	312,710	582,577
2 - AA	Swainsboro	777,306	167,313	39,015	13,102	3,264
2 - AA	Vidalia	106,104	336,830	262,361	173,612	121,093
2 - AA	Jeff Davis	51,499	192,359	248,300	252,564	255,278
2 - AA	Toombs County	35,042	166,002	232,077	262,923	303,956
2 - AA	Metter	29,920	135,451	208,189	265,228	361,212
2 - AA	Bacon County	129	2,038	9,950	31,690	956,193
2 - AA	Bryan County	-	7	108	881	999,004
3 - AA	Dublin	749,784	193,119	43,724	10,716	2,657
3 - AA	Washington County	173,356	455,246	228,312	93,703	49,383
3 - AA	Dodge County	44,938	166,436	303,623	258,579	226,424
3 - AA	Bleckley County	24,975	128,187	251,896	282,608	312,334
3 - AA	Northeast	4,316	32,870	97,359	192,374	673,081
3 - AA	Southwest	2,631	24,140	75,067	161,588	736,574
3 - AA	East Laurens	-	2	19	432	999,547
4 - AA	Jefferson County	619,770	249,069	101,080	27,049	3,032
4 - AA	Hephzibah	292,544	511,336	140,616	46,308	9,196
4 - AA	Screven County	62,348	142,292	478,868	261,405	55,087
4 - AA	Harlem	24,736	91,372	252,074	485,090	146,728
4 - AA	Westside (Augusta)	341	3,553	14,750	108,916	872,440
4 - AA	Glenn Hills	239	2,160	8,035	38,327	951,239
4 - AA	Laney	22	154	982	7,957	990,885
4 - AA	Butler	-	63	3,586	24,659	971,692
4 - AA	Josey	-	1	9	289	999,701
5 - AA	Callaway	922,130	71,965	4,987	832	86
5 - AA	Bremen	57,370	515,659	241,720	109,952	75,299
5 - AA	Lamar County	8,750	155,140	269,337	255,965	310,808
5 - AA	Spencer	7,323	136,584	232,573	254,206	369,314
5 - AA	Heard County	3,760	94,359	178,413	242,811	480,657
5 - AA	Temple	666	26,268	72,772	134,618	765,676
5 - AA	Jordan	1	25	198	1,616	998,160
6 - AA	Hapeville Charter	885,949	108,935	4,745	350	21
6 - AA	Douglass	108,440	767,765	111,195	10,723	1,877
6 - AA	South Atlanta	4,386	99,592	428,175	269,913	197,934
6 - AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	1,207	9,766	294,981	317,699	376,347
6 - AA	Therrell	15	13,046	92,769	165,793	728,377
6 - AA	Washington	2	395	62,294	209,397	727,912
6 - AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	1	501	5,782	25,833	967,883
6 - AA	McNair	-	-	59	292	999,649
7 - AA	Rockmart	894,157	94,827	10,615	396	5
7 - AA	Pepperell	72,166	559,271	330,416	34,042	4,105
7 - AA	Chattooga	33,355	336,761	582,685	41,977	5,222
7 - AA	Coosa	196	3,674	28,280	528,958	438,892
7 - AA	Model	126	5,393	44,727	333,373	616,381
7 - AA	Gordon Central	-	18	1,246	25,996	972,740
7 - AA	Armuchee	-	29	1,382	25,109	973,480
7 - AA	Dade County	-	27	649	10,149	989,175
8 - AA	Rabun County	884,461	102,559	12,658	315	7
8 - AA	Union County	72,101	528,430	363,804	32,210	3,455
8 - AA	Elbert County	43,167	356,873	515,562	70,802	13,596
8 - AA	Banks County	202	7,683	52,749	394,347	545,019
8 - AA	Monticello	61	984	26,256	270,035	702,664
8 - AA	Putnam County	8	3,466	28,849	228,162	739,515
8 - AA	Social Circle	-	5	116	2,599	997,280
8 - AA	Oglethorpe County	-	-	6	1,530	998,464

Class A - Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	3-1	64.52	1,000,000	930,662	807,889	671,318	533,022	0.88
Athens Academy	8 - A	3-0	57.57	1,000,000	829,429	588,813	395,502	204,369	3.89
Wesleyan	5 - A	4-0	52.40	1,000,000	797,121	521,241	252,442	99,250	9.08
Holy Innocents	5 - A	4-0	49.41	999,999	744,976	407,334	189,709	59,527	15.80
Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	3-1	48.95	999,965	548,040	297,325	128,711	39,010	24.63
Darlington	6 - A	4-0	45.45	1,000,000	640,430	306,943	112,619	26,321	36.99
Fellowship Christian	6 - A	4-0	42.29	999,972	463,921	177,935	52,366	9,868	100.34
Savannah Christian	3 - A	1-2	41.33	936,771	354,908	153,754	41,326	7,114	139.57
Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	2-0	41.29	993,275	350,278	126,105	33,838	6,073	163.66
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	4-0	39.53	1,000,000	380,662	122,509	31,107	4,836	205.78
Aquinas	7 - A	4-0	36.73	999,985	429,388	120,027	24,993	3,059	325.90
North Cobb Christian	6 - A	4-0	37.02	999,907	277,558	78,266	16,339	2,056	485.38
Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	1-2	38.00	986,850	190,690	57,579	12,465	1,693	589.67
Calvary Day	3 - A	2-1	35.99	984,138	214,213	62,216	11,674	1,333	749.19
Christian Heritage	6 - A	4-0	35.51	999,898	230,377	58,331	10,766	1,235	808.72
George Walton Academy	8 - A	3-1	34.35	986,418	110,850	25,005	4,116	428	2,335.45
Savannah Country Day	3 - A	3-0	31.84	994,297	129,998	26,663	3,590	265	3,772.58
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	2-2	32.73	991,409	90,323	18,305	2,612	255	3,920.57
Mount de Sales	7 - A	3-0	29.64	961,107	111,017	19,908	2,383	165	6,059.61
Whitefield Academy	6 - A	3-1	29.19	952,673	56,408	9,218	1,006	69	14,491.75
Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-3	25.81	724,917	38,671	5,141	484	23	43,477.26
Brookstone	4 - A	2-1	26.77	564,416	30,897	4,952	385	19	52,630.58
Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	2-1	22.03	854,692	12,138	1,173	66	4	249,999.00
Tattnall Square	7 - A	1-2	22.58	590,526	16,901	1,664	105	3	333,332.33
First Presbyterian	7 - A	1-3	21.81	326,887	9,665	930	49	3	333,332.33
St. Francis	6 - A	2-1	20.88	616,161	7,541	585	25	-	-
Walker	6 - A	1-2	17.72	401,979	2,683	182	4	-	-
Athens Christian	8 - A	2-2	14.24	57,888	181	5	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	1-3	9.64	28,027	44	2	-	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	0-4	11.41	8,231	14	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-2	4.05	12,312	6	-	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5 - A	1-3	2.25	15,630	6	-	-	-	-
Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-3	4.40	4,265	3	-	-	-	-
Pacelli	4 - A	3-1	3.06	963	1	-	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-2	-0.46	28	-	-	-	-	-
Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-4	-0.57	6,363	-	-	-	-	-
Providence Christian	8 - A	1-3	-2.00	51	-	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-2	-14.89	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

			Seed
Region	Team	Rgn Champ	1 to 8	9 to 24	Out
1 - A	Pelham	707,253	999,109	891	-
1 - A	Mitchell County	287,962	955,456	44,544	-
1 - A	Seminole County	2,694	181,114	815,670	3,216
1 - A	Terrell County	2,069	362,192	636,670	1,138
1 - A	Chattahoochee County	14	16,239	942,127	41,634
1 - A	Miller County	8	4,885	803,565	191,550
1 - A	Calhoun County	-	6	92,136	907,858
1 - A	Baconton Charter	-	-	6,254	993,746
1 - A	Stewart County	-	-	2	999,998
1 - A	Randolph-Clay	-	-	-	1,000,000
2 - A	Irwin County	986,604	999,998	2	-
2 - A	Clinch County	9,281	999,317	683	-
2 - A	Turner County	2,374	490,524	508,739	737
2 - A	Wilcox County	1,569	403,327	590,894	5,779
2 - A	Telfair County	82	10,348	829,077	160,575
2 - A	Atkinson County	64	7,197	669,629	323,174
2 - A	Charlton County	26	5,008	671,289	323,703
2 - A	Lanier County	-	-	4,885	995,115
3 - A	Emanuel County Institute	298,550	300,750	653,841	45,409
3 - A	Johnson County	26,627	26,661	530,004	443,335
3 - A	Claxton	18,247	30,088	793,835	176,077
3 - A	McIntosh County Academy	9,332	13,921	479,768	506,311
3 - A	Montgomery County	7,661	7,706	329,918	662,376
3 - A	Jenkins County	3,059	3,059	81,479	915,462
3 - A	Treutlen	57	57	3,367	996,576
3 - A	Portal	-	-	-	1,000,000
3 - A	Wheeler County	-	-	-	1,000,000
4 - A	Marion County	447,183	456,552	537,447	6,001
4 - A	Manchester	210,558	211,075	668,960	119,965
4 - A	Taylor County	114,966	114,981	530,193	354,826
4 - A	Schley County	74,112	74,112	167,310	758,578
4 - A	Macon County	58,745	58,745	90,219	851,036
4 - A	Dooly County	31,664	31,664	38,481	929,855
4 - A	Greenville	89	89	3,388	996,523
4 - A	Hawkinsville	4	4	-	999,996
4 - A	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	20	999,980
4 - A	Crawford County	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - A	Bowdon	32,199	600,825	397,392	1,783
6 - A	Trion	1,314	42,414	811,011	146,575
6 - A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	257	865	283,586	715,549
6 - A	Gordon Lee	6	628	245,081	754,291
7 - A	Washington-Wilkes	40,071	57,411	836,752	105,837
7 - A	Lincoln County	29,350	139,781	843,958	16,261
7 - A	Hancock Central	1,528	1,693	186,570	811,737
7 - A	Greene County	1,364	1,406	133,631	864,963
7 - A	Wilkinson County	289	289	13,970	985,741
7 - A	Warren County	133	142	115,601	884,257
7 - A	Twiggs County	-	-	-	1,000,000
8 - A	Commerce	149,230	390,362	607,157	2,481
8 - A	Towns County	-	-	4	999,996

Class A - Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion
Irwin County	2 - A	3-0	70.05	1,000,000	983,041	957,004	732,408	660,547	0.51
Clinch County	2 - A	3-1	63.00	1,000,000	966,392	902,063	376,605	268,936	2.72
Pelham	1 - A	4-0	45.91	1,000,000	846,216	577,768	364,324	40,198	23.88
Commerce	8 - A	3-1	41.99	997,519	592,541	242,589	115,134	9,803	101.01
Mitchell County	1 - A	3-1	37.93	1,000,000	708,927	283,053	109,821	6,234	159.41
Marion County	4 - A	3-1	38.81	993,999	510,329	248,473	94,483	5,738	173.28
Turner County	2 - A	3-1	35.16	999,263	495,989	128,097	42,379	1,999	499.25
Bowdon	6 - A	3-0	34.63	998,217	519,964	139,506	43,769	1,950	511.82
Wilcox County	2 - A	4-0	35.38	994,221	456,175	118,759	38,462	1,839	542.77
Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	1-3	33.66	954,591	329,336	101,278	23,254	1,041	959.61
Manchester	4 - A	2-1	32.74	880,035	238,993	76,943	19,513	683	1,463.13
Lincoln County	7 - A	2-2	30.38	983,739	247,482	45,273	10,071	344	2,905.98
Telfair County	2 - A	2-2	30.31	839,425	124,639	30,004	6,705	196	5,101.04
Taylor County	4 - A	2-1	29.17	645,174	128,903	31,022	5,920	163	6,133.97
Trion	6 - A	3-1	27.57	853,425	114,656	21,029	3,865	99	10,100.01
Charlton County	2 - A	1-3	27.96	676,297	80,652	15,909	2,982	77	12,986.01
Claxton	3 - A	3-1	25.62	823,923	84,223	15,455	2,355	37	27,026.03
Schley County	4 - A	2-2	26.68	241,422	52,308	10,092	1,634	32	31,249.00
Macon County	4 - A	1-2	25.91	148,964	34,787	6,759	966	18	55,554.56
Atkinson County	2 - A	2-2	23.35	676,826	49,798	6,761	860	18	55,554.56
Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	2-2	23.77	894,163	82,549	12,851	1,655	17	58,822.53
Terrell County	1 - A	2-2	17.51	998,862	122,926	7,668	720	7	142,856.14
McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	1-2	23.50	493,689	39,951	5,678	694	7	142,856.14
Johnson County	3 - A	2-1	21.05	556,665	35,475	4,230	381	7	142,856.14
Dooly County	4 - A	0-3	23.64	70,145	15,792	2,519	344	6	166,665.67
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-3	22.66	284,451	20,220	2,273	271	3	333,332.33
Seminole County	1 - A	3-1	13.73	996,784	54,159	2,918	185	1	999,999.00
Chattahoochee County	1 - A	1-3	14.57	958,366	24,214	1,670	99	-	-
Montgomery County	3 - A	2-2	15.84	337,624	10,517	743	51	-	-
Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-2	15.61	245,709	6,443	459	32	-	-
Miller County	1 - A	1-3	12.25	808,450	12,557	714	31	-	-
Hancock Central	7 - A	2-2	12.64	188,263	3,287	167	14	-	-
Greene County	7 - A	0-3	13.08	135,037	2,703	147	11	-	-
Jenkins County	3 - A	1-3	12.81	84,538	2,254	92	2	-	-
Warren County	7 - A	2-2	9.19	115,743	1,320	29	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-4	6.30	14,259	144	4	-	-	-
Lanier County	2 - A	1-3	2.09	4,885	20	1	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1 - A	1-3	-4.73	92,142	80	-	-	-	-
Greenville	4 - A	1-2	4.04	3,477	23	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	3 - A	3-1	0.74	3,424	13	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1 - A	1-3	-9.18	6,254	2	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-2	-12.18	20	-	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4 - A	0-4	1.18	4	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8 - A	0-4	-9.12	4	-	-	-	-	-
Stewart County	1 - A	1-3	-27.45	2	-	-	-	-	-
Portal	3 - A	0-4	-7.47	-	-	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	4 - A	1-2	-14.49	-	-	-	-	-	-
Wheeler County	3 - A	1-3	-16.97	-	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7 - A	0-4	-18.20	-	-	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-3	-37.13	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

			Seed
Region	Team	Rgn Champ	1 to 8	9 to 24	Out
3 - A	Savannah Christian	385,848	385,853	550,918	63,229
3 - A	Calvary Day	172,129	189,644	794,494	15,862
3 - A	Savannah Country Day	78,490	101,020	893,277	5,703
4 - A	Brookstone	62,656	62,656	501,760	435,584
4 - A	Pacelli	23	23	940	999,037
5 - A	Holy Innocents	452,436	847,583	152,416	1
5 - A	Eagle's Landing Christian	325,593	996,561	3,439	-
5 - A	Wesleyan	194,503	963,899	36,101	-
5 - A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	26,460	469,028	530,972	-
5 - A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	1,006	1,779	989,630	8,591
5 - A	Landmark Christian	2	2	15,628	984,370
5 - A	Strong Rock Christian	-	-	28,027	971,973
5 - A	Our Lady of Mercy	-	-	6,363	993,637
6 - A	Darlington	361,382	798,095	201,905	-
6 - A	Fellowship Christian	261,517	442,087	557,885	28
6 - A	Mount Paran Christian	188,111	218,905	774,370	6,725
6 - A	North Cobb Christian	89,571	268,658	731,249	93
6 - A	Christian Heritage	50,867	212,141	787,757	102
6 - A	Whitefield Academy	13,414	16,593	936,080	47,327
6 - A	St. Francis	1,313	1,370	614,791	383,839
6 - A	Walker	49	49	401,930	598,021
6 - A	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	12,312	987,688
6 - A	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	-	8,231	991,769
6 - A	Pinecrest Academy	-	-	4,265	995,735
7 - A	Aquinas	597,309	670,286	329,699	15
7 - A	Mount de Sales	182,544	182,687	778,420	38,893
7 - A	Stratford Academy	76,941	76,941	647,976	275,083
7 - A	Tattnall Square	39,226	39,226	551,300	409,474
7 - A	First Presbyterian	31,245	31,245	295,642	673,113
7 - A	Georgia Military College	-	-	-	1,000,000
8 - A	Athens Academy	578,279	696,742	303,258	-
8 - A	Prince Avenue Christian	196,457	249,205	750,760	35
8 - A	Hebron Christian Academy	65,217	66,654	920,196	13,150
8 - A	George Walton Academy	9,147	9,374	977,044	13,582
8 - A	Riverside Military Academy	1,639	1,663	853,029	145,308
8 - A	Athens Christian	30	30	57,858	942,112
8 - A	Lakeview Academy	1	1	27	999,972
8 - A	Providence Christian	-	-	51	999,949

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA

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Class AA

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Class A - Private

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