Sports
Maxwell playoff projections after Week 3
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2016 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.
Class AAAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Regions
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 8 - AAAAAAA | 188,096 | 811,904 | 334,899 | 33,469 | 597 | 455,847 | 544,153 | 71,859 | 332,351 | 2.01 |
| 6 - AAAAAAA | 357,747 | 642,253 | 115,015 | 6,325 | 83 | 572,687 | 427,313 | 13,606 | 261,506 | 2.82 |
| 4 - AAAAAAA | 404,794 | 595,206 | 52,232 | 1,269 | 9 | 570,942 | 429,058 | 2,285 | 224,101 | 3.46 |
| 3 - AAAAAAA | 611,505 | 388,495 | 41,728 | 1,258 | 10 | 791,534 | 208,466 | 1,875 | 97,603 | 9.25 |
| 1 - AAAAAAA | 539,042 | 460,958 | 87,211 | 5,709 | 81 | 800,684 | 199,316 | 6,109 | 67,239 | 13.87 |
| 7 - AAAAAAA | 714,721 | 285,279 | 29,072 | 1,114 | 14 | 921,159 | 78,841 | 944 | 15,528 | 63.40 |
| 2 - AAAAAAA | 923,454 | 76,546 | 1,647 | 9 | - | 987,626 | 12,374 | 18 | 1,393 | 716.88 |
| 5 - AAAAAAA | 972,662 | 27,338 | 265 | 1 | - | 996,221 | 3,779 | 4 | 279 | 3,583.23 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 93.83 | 999,959 | 847,392 | 697,944 | 429,579 | 278,696 | 2.59 |
| Mill Creek | 6 - AAAAAAA | 3-0 | 93.99 | 999,965 | 791,408 | 599,076 | 396,411 | 253,684 | 2.94 |
| Roswell | 4 - AAAAAAA | 2-0 | 92.21 | 999,923 | 706,252 | 586,571 | 421,689 | 223,011 | 3.48 |
| McEachern | 3 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 88.66 | 999,733 | 735,759 | 358,495 | 197,354 | 96,197 | 9.40 |
| Colquitt County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 0-3 | 85.42 | 976,480 | 656,572 | 320,975 | 142,660 | 55,809 | 16.92 |
| Archer | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 83.61 | 992,934 | 501,176 | 330,526 | 142,049 | 44,796 | 21.32 |
| Norcross | 7 - AAAAAAA | 2-0 | 77.36 | 999,067 | 421,767 | 156,276 | 44,766 | 9,811 | 100.93 |
| South Gwinnett | 8 - AAAAAAA | 3-0 | 77.17 | 989,496 | 285,281 | 147,711 | 43,900 | 8,822 | 112.35 |
| Lowndes | 1 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 76.10 | 930,166 | 374,182 | 119,325 | 33,802 | 6,645 | 149.49 |
| North Gwinnett | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 75.71 | 984,693 | 190,731 | 89,774 | 26,266 | 4,862 | 204.68 |
| Brookwood | 7 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 74.46 | 997,748 | 329,915 | 95,573 | 22,988 | 4,199 | 237.15 |
| Camden County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 0-2 | 74.68 | 861,812 | 305,179 | 84,184 | 22,967 | 4,030 | 247.14 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 6 - AAAAAAA | 1-2 | 74.16 | 961,384 | 162,673 | 71,387 | 18,009 | 2,953 | 337.64 |
| Parkview | 7 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 70.72 | 994,194 | 234,925 | 49,109 | 9,812 | 1,319 | 757.15 |
| Westlake | 2 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 69.93 | 988,111 | 123,322 | 41,996 | 7,186 | 844 | 1,183.83 |
| Lassiter | 4 - AAAAAAA | 3-0 | 69.75 | 953,481 | 110,386 | 34,149 | 6,116 | 761 | 1,313.06 |
| Tift County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 3-0 | 69.37 | 812,312 | 163,033 | 29,475 | 5,996 | 755 | 1,323.50 |
| Hillgrove | 3 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 69.66 | 950,551 | 159,539 | 31,883 | 6,209 | 706 | 1,415.43 |
| East Coweta | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-0 | 68.52 | 989,599 | 100,000 | 30,673 | 4,738 | 528 | 1,892.94 |
| North Cobb | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 68.54 | 959,309 | 143,399 | 25,949 | 4,649 | 504 | 1,983.13 |
| Etowah | 4 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 66.84 | 865,138 | 70,681 | 18,895 | 2,637 | 266 | 3,758.40 |
| Central Gwinnett | 7 - AAAAAAA | 0-3 | 64.40 | 969,227 | 126,153 | 14,520 | 2,219 | 199 | 5,024.13 |
| North Paulding | 3 - AAAAAAA | 3-0 | 66.21 | 917,417 | 94,618 | 15,088 | 2,126 | 195 | 5,127.21 |
| Milton | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 65.71 | 970,061 | 94,740 | 12,534 | 2,044 | 175 | 5,713.29 |
| South Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 64.48 | 959,868 | 76,124 | 9,603 | 1,276 | 90 | 11,110.11 |
| Walton | 4 - AAAAAAA | 1-2 | 63.25 | 700,626 | 38,791 | 8,194 | 857 | 60 | 16,665.67 |
| Newton | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-0-1 | 62.18 | 594,756 | 18,158 | 3,269 | 363 | 31 | 32,257.06 |
| Newnan | 2 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 60.86 | 915,489 | 26,016 | 4,432 | 404 | 19 | 52,630.58 |
| Lambert | 5 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 60.08 | 900,268 | 35,197 | 3,359 | 301 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Shiloh | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-2 | 59.81 | 461,505 | 9,482 | 1,419 | 121 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Mountain View | 6 - AAAAAAA | 3-0 | 59.32 | 637,228 | 14,258 | 2,198 | 148 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| West Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 57.99 | 851,433 | 23,473 | 2,066 | 162 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Collins Hill | 6 - AAAAAAA | 0-3 | 58.62 | 462,792 | 8,501 | 1,240 | 85 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Wheeler | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 55.97 | 803,005 | 8,735 | 1,067 | 64 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Woodstock | 4 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 54.16 | 294,356 | 4,343 | 447 | 26 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Cherokee | 4 - AAAAAAA | 1-2 | 54.68 | 268,991 | 4,320 | 462 | 18 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Marietta | 3 - AAAAAAA | 0-2 | 51.11 | 214,609 | 1,756 | 78 | 3 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| North Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 46.38 | 301,662 | 1,065 | 42 | - | - | - |
| Pebblebrook | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-0 | 46.42 | 339,209 | 564 | 35 | - | - | - |
| Kennesaw Mountain | 3 - AAAAAAA | 0-2 | 41.55 | 40,845 | 57 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Forsyth Central | 5 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 37.11 | 79,991 | 44 | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Atlanta) | 7 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 31.93 | 38,123 | 21 | - | - | - | - |
| Duluth | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-1 | 35.47 | 26,732 | 7 | - | - | - | - |
| Rockdale County | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-1 | 32.50 | 27,436 | 4 | - | - | - | - |
| Meadowcreek | 7 - AAAAAAA | 0-2 | 23.04 | 5,154 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Campbell | 2 - AAAAAAA | 0-2 | 26.84 | 9,173 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Berkmar | 7 - AAAAAAA | 0-3 | 22.34 | 3,503 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Discovery | 6 - AAAAAAA | 0-3 | 20.77 | 486 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Regions
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 1 - AAAAAA | 122,434 | 877,566 | 528,824 | 174,693 | 23,180 | 260,605 | 739,395 | 201,660 | 556,136 | 0.80 |
| 5 - AAAAAA | 437,071 | 562,929 | 153,929 | 19,167 | 874 | 697,875 | 302,125 | 22,716 | 131,511 | 6.60 |
| 8 - AAAAAA | 659,319 | 340,681 | 30,113 | 558 | 3 | 796,689 | 203,311 | 2,083 | 105,557 | 8.47 |
| 4 - AAAAAA | 592,681 | 407,319 | 52,020 | 1,593 | 11 | 788,066 | 211,934 | 3,576 | 97,133 | 9.30 |
| 6 - AAAAAA | 549,739 | 450,261 | 84,601 | 6,416 | 156 | 806,532 | 193,468 | 8,416 | 70,833 | 13.12 |
| 2 - AAAAAA | 770,860 | 229,140 | 8,764 | 63 | - | 900,892 | 99,108 | 195 | 36,142 | 26.67 |
| 7 - AAAAAA | 955,053 | 44,947 | 459 | 1 | - | 988,079 | 11,921 | 6 | 2,685 | 371.44 |
| 3 - AAAAAA | 998,267 | 1,733 | 1 | - | - | 999,914 | 86 | - | 3 | 333,332.33 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valdosta | 1 - AAAAAA | 3-0 | 83.63 | 976,083 | 793,352 | 625,150 | 484,940 | 367,714 | 1.72 |
| Dacula | 8 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 76.32 | 999,622 | 617,995 | 312,959 | 191,803 | 102,938 | 8.71 |
| Tucker | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 75.03 | 997,956 | 639,032 | 356,007 | 192,020 | 92,375 | 9.83 |
| Lee County | 1 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 74.67 | 853,110 | 537,125 | 340,185 | 180,063 | 82,863 | 11.07 |
| Mays | 5 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 73.99 | 899,296 | 414,458 | 253,138 | 128,714 | 59,130 | 15.91 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 1 - AAAAAA | 3-0 | 72.76 | 807,319 | 468,795 | 277,468 | 131,533 | 53,772 | 17.60 |
| Hughes | 5 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 72.60 | 884,397 | 373,045 | 217,223 | 101,973 | 43,057 | 22.23 |
| Harrison | 6 - AAAAAA | 3-0 | 71.21 | 974,392 | 489,044 | 227,677 | 95,014 | 37,459 | 25.70 |
| Houston County | 1 - AAAAAA | 3-0 | 71.38 | 742,576 | 400,697 | 225,679 | 96,755 | 37,122 | 25.94 |
| Glynn Academy | 2 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 70.92 | 999,657 | 490,834 | 216,904 | 96,329 | 35,774 | 26.95 |
| Dalton | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 68.63 | 952,767 | 388,753 | 154,952 | 56,487 | 18,968 | 51.72 |
| Coffee | 1 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 67.95 | 620,912 | 282,063 | 135,781 | 47,764 | 14,665 | 67.19 |
| Allatoona | 6 - AAAAAA | 0-3 | 67.39 | 922,835 | 331,721 | 121,186 | 41,618 | 12,704 | 77.72 |
| Creekside | 5 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 68.36 | 707,641 | 207,618 | 100,989 | 37,462 | 12,262 | 80.55 |
| Alexander | 5 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 67.67 | 705,228 | 196,227 | 92,257 | 32,395 | 10,059 | 98.41 |
| Northgate | 5 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 66.77 | 614,914 | 155,536 | 69,916 | 23,729 | 6,911 | 143.70 |
| Alpharetta | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 63.82 | 992,337 | 102,451 | 39,472 | 11,323 | 2,626 | 379.81 |
| Stephenson | 4 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 61.86 | 937,915 | 217,273 | 53,617 | 12,568 | 2,624 | 380.10 |
| Lanier | 8 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 62.08 | 989,716 | 167,298 | 41,623 | 10,720 | 2,183 | 457.09 |
| Lovejoy | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-2 | 60.99 | 964,819 | 209,693 | 48,735 | 10,686 | 2,119 | 470.92 |
| Creekview | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 61.21 | 829,027 | 157,591 | 36,622 | 8,671 | 1,690 | 590.72 |
| Gainesville | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 57.55 | 936,958 | 84,401 | 15,840 | 2,823 | 433 | 2,308.47 |
| Brunswick | 2 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 56.49 | 981,728 | 94,495 | 15,209 | 2,411 | 319 | 3,133.80 |
| Douglas County | 5 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 57.04 | 145,767 | 12,732 | 3,133 | 548 | 88 | 11,362.64 |
| Centennial | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 53.45 | 890,965 | 19,526 | 3,664 | 445 | 45 | 22,221.22 |
| Effingham County | 2 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 51.71 | 954,128 | 44,260 | 4,972 | 507 | 44 | 22,726.27 |
| Mundy's Mill | 4 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 50.76 | 427,616 | 17,024 | 1,711 | 179 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| Sprayberry | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 50.40 | 245,070 | 10,329 | 972 | 93 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Cambridge | 7 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 49.42 | 736,720 | 8,745 | 1,220 | 95 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Richmond Hill | 2 - AAAAAA | 1-0 | 45.40 | 900,611 | 13,856 | 879 | 56 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Johns Creek | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 48.59 | 722,734 | 7,472 | 935 | 58 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| South Paulding | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 51.17 | 38,558 | 1,459 | 243 | 20 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Evans | 3 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 47.13 | 943,081 | 7,868 | 946 | 48 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Winder-Barrow | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 45.12 | 797,369 | 12,315 | 912 | 48 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Drew | 4 - AAAAAA | 0-3 | 45.95 | 287,608 | 6,141 | 422 | 26 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| M.L. King | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 45.97 | 291,356 | 6,085 | 432 | 31 | - | - |
| Lakeside (Evans) | 3 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 45.40 | 921,145 | 5,677 | 575 | 28 | - | - |
| Heritage (Conyers) | 3 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 41.24 | 815,191 | 2,259 | 157 | 7 | - | - |
| Northview | 7 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 42.20 | 321,182 | 1,098 | 84 | 6 | - | - |
| Alcovy | 3 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 36.45 | 614,054 | 634 | 28 | 2 | - | - |
| Grovetown | 3 - AAAAAA | 1-2 | 36.43 | 583,666 | 628 | 27 | 1 | - | - |
| Sequoyah | 6 - AAAAAA | 0-3 | 41.93 | 49,954 | 532 | 19 | 1 | - | - |
| Habersham Central | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 35.08 | 262,408 | 706 | 19 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 37.90 | 172,697 | 306 | 18 | - | - | - |
| Jonesboro | 4 - AAAAAA | 0-3 | 40.40 | 42,526 | 315 | 16 | - | - | - |
| Pope | 7 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 37.04 | 143,950 | 176 | 14 | - | - | - |
| South Cobb | 6 - AAAAAA | 1-2 | 38.63 | 23,662 | 125 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 33.70 | 50,204 | 111 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Bradwell Institute | 2 - AAAAAA | 0-1 | 26.78 | 163,876 | 69 | 2 | - | - | - |
| New Manchester | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 42.31 | 2,904 | 27 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Greenbrier | 3 - AAAAAA | 2-0 | 24.13 | 122,863 | 14 | - | - | - | - |
| Tri-Cities | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-2 | 40.11 | 1,295 | 11 | - | - | - | - |
| River Ridge | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-1 | 28.52 | 2,293 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| North Atlanta | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 27.31 | 12,660 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Apalachee | 8 - AAAAAA | 0-1-1 | 19.26 | 13,927 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dunwoody | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-1 | 25.33 | 6,755 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Osborne | 6 - AAAAAA | 0-3 | 20.54 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Forest Park | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-2 | 5.92 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Regions
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 8 - AAAAA | 190,809 | 809,191 | 35,261 | 355 | 1 | 275,367 | 724,633 | 1,262 | 580,904 | 0.72 |
| 4 - AAAAA | 243,791 | 756,209 | 233,133 | 13,398 | 207 | 534,527 | 465,473 | 23,702 | 194,800 | 4.13 |
| 7 - AAAAA | 378,388 | 621,612 | 187,890 | 24,420 | 1,100 | 691,725 | 308,275 | 20,622 | 97,967 | 9.21 |
| 2 - AAAAA | 524,614 | 475,386 | 12,518 | 64 | - | 726,497 | 273,503 | 167 | 90,296 | 10.07 |
| 3 - AAAAA | 737,613 | 262,387 | 18,550 | 258 | 1 | 940,714 | 59,286 | 352 | 14,272 | 69.07 |
| 6 - AAAAA | 710,217 | 289,783 | 26,271 | 460 | - | 935,921 | 64,079 | 773 | 12,149 | 81.31 |
| 1 - AAAAA | 841,413 | 158,587 | 8,481 | 173 | 1 | 951,625 | 48,375 | 379 | 8,676 | 114.26 |
| 5 - AAAAA | 936,821 | 63,179 | 1,114 | 3 | - | 990,892 | 9,108 | 11 | 936 | 1,067.38 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | 8 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 84.49 | 999,982 | 917,377 | 821,485 | 723,687 | 580,776 | 0.72 |
| Stockbridge | 4 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 74.93 | 996,835 | 807,749 | 670,196 | 408,917 | 176,997 | 4.65 |
| Ware County | 2 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 71.64 | 999,978 | 696,243 | 474,904 | 272,432 | 90,232 | 10.08 |
| Kell | 7 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 69.10 | 955,342 | 693,922 | 322,257 | 157,114 | 52,945 | 17.89 |
| Carrollton | 7 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 66.81 | 934,634 | 627,133 | 259,386 | 110,049 | 33,054 | 29.25 |
| Jones County | 4 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 63.26 | 936,637 | 416,395 | 239,584 | 64,275 | 15,681 | 62.77 |
| Griffin | 3 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 63.10 | 985,242 | 450,263 | 217,658 | 49,682 | 13,137 | 75.12 |
| Rome | 7 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 61.70 | 785,185 | 406,831 | 140,032 | 39,241 | 8,580 | 115.55 |
| Grady | 6 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 60.90 | 998,705 | 344,718 | 176,280 | 38,945 | 8,145 | 121.77 |
| Bainbridge | 1 - AAAAA | 0-1 | 60.35 | 978,585 | 323,792 | 77,419 | 26,413 | 5,146 | 193.33 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | 6 - AAAAA | 2-1 | 57.99 | 997,820 | 270,307 | 121,767 | 23,502 | 3,844 | 259.15 |
| Thomas County Central | 1 - AAAAA | 3-0 | 58.81 | 968,705 | 282,966 | 66,921 | 20,265 | 3,411 | 292.17 |
| East Paulding | 7 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 58.04 | 613,120 | 250,735 | 73,151 | 15,934 | 2,599 | 383.76 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) | 4 - AAAAA | 2-1 | 55.57 | 741,754 | 131,653 | 49,031 | 8,900 | 1,256 | 795.18 |
| Starr's Mill | 3 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 54.44 | 893,559 | 187,068 | 46,336 | 7,923 | 998 | 1,001.00 |
| Locust Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 54.30 | 715,234 | 112,790 | 38,390 | 6,419 | 813 | 1,229.01 |
| Hiram | 7 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 54.56 | 410,611 | 128,114 | 30,541 | 5,335 | 681 | 1,467.43 |
| Southwest DeKalb | 5 - AAAAA | 2-1 | 53.09 | 988,735 | 149,401 | 33,865 | 5,132 | 512 | 1,952.13 |
| Arabia Mountain | 5 - AAAAA | 3-0 | 52.33 | 986,223 | 132,776 | 28,736 | 3,896 | 421 | 2,374.30 |
| Riverwood | 6 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 48.31 | 972,545 | 80,300 | 18,402 | 2,402 | 160 | 6,249.00 |
| Whitewater | 3 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 48.83 | 773,662 | 75,608 | 11,770 | 1,499 | 108 | 9,258.26 |
| Paulding County | 7 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 50.77 | 226,659 | 49,054 | 9,096 | 1,190 | 108 | 9,258.26 |
| Clarke Central | 8 - AAAAA | 1-2 | 47.72 | 844,682 | 51,618 | 11,292 | 1,320 | 76 | 13,156.89 |
| Warner Robins | 1 - AAAAA | 0-3 | 48.11 | 715,899 | 65,958 | 10,966 | 1,074 | 73 | 13,697.63 |
| Wayne County | 2 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 47.72 | 986,961 | 41,746 | 9,349 | 1,053 | 59 | 16,948.15 |
| Dutchtown | 4 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 49.21 | 224,180 | 16,573 | 3,810 | 529 | 47 | 21,275.60 |
| Veterans | 1 - AAAAA | 1-2 | 46.28 | 717,891 | 52,936 | 7,605 | 678 | 32 | 31,249.00 |
| Flowery Branch | 8 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 45.13 | 761,695 | 32,307 | 5,968 | 477 | 32 | 31,249.00 |
| Riverdale | 3 - AAAAA | 2-1 | 45.69 | 535,708 | 31,047 | 3,287 | 352 | 20 | 49,999.00 |
| Loganville | 8 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 43.87 | 711,282 | 25,082 | 4,338 | 323 | 16 | 62,499.00 |
| Harris County | 1 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 44.26 | 618,920 | 33,722 | 4,331 | 324 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| McIntosh | 3 - AAAAA | 3-0 | 43.52 | 493,421 | 20,010 | 1,704 | 148 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Eagle's Landing | 4 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 44.77 | 190,780 | 8,393 | 1,373 | 101 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Cedar Shoals | 8 - AAAAA | 2-0 | 40.37 | 618,837 | 12,707 | 1,722 | 88 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| South Effingham | 2 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 39.51 | 949,179 | 12,659 | 1,709 | 81 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Fayette County | 3 - AAAAA | 1-0-1 | 40.00 | 317,537 | 7,194 | 439 | 34 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Statesboro | 2 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 40.36 | 954,679 | 14,665 | 2,007 | 104 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Columbia | 5 - AAAAA | 1-2 | 38.80 | 765,054 | 10,613 | 679 | 41 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Ola | 4 - AAAAA | 2-1 | 40.84 | 193,149 | 4,870 | 567 | 34 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Miller Grove | 5 - AAAAA | 2-1 | 39.54 | 836,602 | 13,690 | 971 | 48 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Cass | 7 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 42.79 | 41,988 | 3,507 | 349 | 20 | - | - |
| Villa Rica | 7 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 41.79 | 32,454 | 2,379 | 211 | 14 | - | - |
| Decatur | 6 - AAAAA | 1-2 | 32.09 | 515,097 | 1,430 | 55 | 3 | - | - |
| Lithonia | 5 - AAAAA | 0-3 | 30.95 | 382,833 | 1,267 | 45 | 2 | - | - |
| Maynard Jackson | 6 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 24.90 | 200,549 | 159 | 8 | - | - | - |
| Walnut Grove | 8 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 25.43 | 62,713 | 103 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Banneker | 6 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 23.85 | 139,445 | 76 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Lithia Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 23.23 | 147,343 | 61 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Chamblee | 5 - AAAAA | 0-3 | 16.24 | 40,553 | 14 | - | - | - | - |
| New Hampstead | 2 - AAAAA | 1-2 | 13.91 | 109,203 | 11 | - | - | - | - |
| North Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 15.55 | 28,496 | 4 | - | - | - | - |
| Union Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 0-2-1 | 27.21 | 1,412 | 4 | - | - | - | - |
| Morrow | 3 - AAAAA | 1-2 | 12.45 | 871 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Gainesville) | 8 - AAAAA | 0-3 | 5.18 | 809 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hampton | 4 - AAAAA | 1-1 | 14.15 | 19 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Woodland (Cartersville) | 7 - AAAAA | 0-2 | 15.31 | 7 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clarkston | 5 - AAAAA | 0-3 | -9.43 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cross Keys | 5 - AAAAA | 0-1 | -26.40 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Regions
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 5 - AAAA | 76,551 | 923,449 | 521,390 | 10,174 | 45 | 157,123 | 842,877 | 320,256 | 739,862 | 0.35 |
| 7 - AAAA | 208,576 | 791,424 | 276,917 | 384 | - | 657,525 | 342,475 | 25,617 | 141,053 | 6.09 |
| 4 - AAAA | 767,728 | 232,272 | 15,910 | 212 | 1 | 882,611 | 117,389 | 900 | 38,430 | 25.02 |
| 3 - AAAA | 748,833 | 251,167 | 14,699 | 111 | - | 867,570 | 132,430 | 1,470 | 37,096 | 25.96 |
| 8 - AAAA | 497,072 | 502,928 | 90,898 | 3,952 | 50 | 844,374 | 155,626 | 3,857 | 36,326 | 26.53 |
| 2 - AAAA | 791,686 | 208,314 | 14,945 | 340 | 2 | 960,852 | 39,148 | 244 | 5,545 | 179.34 |
| 1 - AAAA | 884,455 | 115,545 | 3,337 | 9 | - | 984,871 | 15,129 | 37 | 1,521 | 656.46 |
| 6 - AAAA | 978,610 | 21,390 | 140 | - | - | 997,457 | 2,543 | 2 | 167 | 5,987.02 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartersville | 5 - AAAA | 2-0 | 84.24 | 999,968 | 902,481 | 811,903 | 695,687 | 550,560 | 0.82 |
| Sandy Creek | 5 - AAAA | 1-1 | 75.23 | 999,409 | 747,071 | 627,276 | 466,306 | 189,245 | 4.28 |
| Blessed Trinity | 7 - AAAA | 2-0 | 72.12 | 999,964 | 847,960 | 673,119 | 262,293 | 117,430 | 7.52 |
| Woodward Academy | 4 - AAAA | 1-1 | 68.25 | 999,328 | 696,285 | 195,515 | 107,546 | 37,374 | 25.76 |
| Thomson | 3 - AAAA | 3-0 | 67.91 | 999,945 | 269,591 | 201,961 | 115,926 | 33,880 | 28.52 |
| St. Pius X | 8 - AAAA | 0-2 | 64.66 | 992,543 | 678,972 | 322,834 | 98,181 | 24,753 | 39.40 |
| Marist | 7 - AAAA | 1-1 | 63.49 | 999,377 | 648,403 | 394,417 | 105,730 | 23,621 | 41.34 |
| Jefferson | 8 - AAAA | 2-1 | 61.37 | 977,771 | 567,932 | 211,670 | 51,778 | 10,638 | 93.00 |
| Mary Persons | 2 - AAAA | 2-1 | 58.49 | 969,183 | 393,841 | 119,415 | 23,854 | 4,051 | 245.85 |
| Burke County | 3 - AAAA | 3-0 | 58.76 | 998,628 | 118,490 | 59,838 | 17,788 | 3,210 | 310.53 |
| Eastside | 4 - AAAA | 2-0-1 | 53.70 | 984,635 | 296,566 | 43,563 | 10,058 | 1,014 | 985.19 |
| Oconee County | 8 - AAAA | 2-0 | 53.20 | 910,963 | 283,753 | 52,084 | 8,219 | 870 | 1,148.43 |
| Spalding | 2 - AAAA | 1-1 | 53.48 | 911,161 | 239,833 | 48,998 | 7,867 | 857 | 1,165.86 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 1-2 | 53.01 | 954,500 | 164,292 | 59,167 | 7,822 | 782 | 1,277.77 |
| Cairo | 1 - AAAA | 1-1 | 52.59 | 948,206 | 152,412 | 53,942 | 7,042 | 726 | 1,376.41 |
| West Laurens | 2 - AAAA | 1-1 | 51.08 | 860,565 | 174,446 | 27,647 | 4,056 | 320 | 3,124.00 |
| Upson-Lee | 2 - AAAA | 2-0 | 50.41 | 866,482 | 165,922 | 26,879 | 3,564 | 314 | 3,183.71 |
| Northwest Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 2-1 | 47.75 | 994,623 | 126,711 | 11,085 | 1,559 | 114 | 8,770.93 |
| Stephens County | 8 - AAAA | 1-1 | 46.38 | 756,332 | 121,208 | 10,919 | 1,291 | 64 | 15,624.00 |
| LaGrange | 5 - AAAA | 1-2 | 46.54 | 739,150 | 51,255 | 12,532 | 1,014 | 56 | 17,856.14 |
| Ridgeland | 6 - AAAA | 2-0 | 45.38 | 989,844 | 87,215 | 6,744 | 745 | 44 | 22,726.27 |
| Salem | 4 - AAAA | 2-0 | 44.86 | 817,058 | 68,097 | 7,849 | 646 | 42 | 23,808.52 |
| Pickens | 6 - AAAA | 1-1 | 42.13 | 978,162 | 51,899 | 3,663 | 239 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Baldwin | 3 - AAAA | 2-0 | 40.46 | 949,396 | 24,462 | 3,889 | 183 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Hardaway | 1 - AAAA | 2-0 | 41.83 | 615,479 | 15,104 | 2,700 | 157 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Westover | 1 - AAAA | 1-1 | 41.75 | 578,751 | 13,311 | 2,359 | 125 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Perry | 2 - AAAA | 1-0 | 39.45 | 332,203 | 12,788 | 649 | 50 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| West Hall | 7 - AAAA | 2-1 | 37.62 | 901,715 | 9,092 | 1,165 | 69 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Troup | 5 - AAAA | 2-1 | 38.89 | 308,340 | 6,858 | 1,005 | 43 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Madison County | 8 - AAAA | 1-1 | 35.83 | 253,091 | 9,548 | 287 | 13 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Northside (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 1-1 | 35.45 | 230,647 | 1,521 | 156 | 7 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Chapel Hill | 5 - AAAA | 1-0-1 | 39.33 | 397,949 | 9,244 | 1,311 | 63 | - | - |
| Luella | 4 - AAAA | 1-2 | 37.11 | 426,047 | 9,343 | 736 | 20 | - | - |
| North Clayton | 4 - AAAA | 2-1 | 36.33 | 511,395 | 10,702 | 682 | 16 | - | - |
| Cedartown | 5 - AAAA | 2-1 | 37.22 | 367,987 | 5,944 | 745 | 13 | - | - |
| Shaw | 1 - AAAA | 1-1 | 37.61 | 308,928 | 2,910 | 364 | 8 | - | - |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5 - AAAA | 0-3 | 35.84 | 187,197 | 2,431 | 285 | 7 | - | - |
| Americus-Sumter | 1 - AAAA | 1-1 | 35.08 | 212,119 | 1,242 | 139 | 5 | - | - |
| Richmond Academy | 3 - AAAA | 1-0 | 29.44 | 777,863 | 4,474 | 287 | 3 | - | - |
| Henry County | 4 - AAAA | 0-2 | 29.47 | 151,980 | 931 | 33 | 3 | - | - |
| Heritage (Ringgold) | 6 - AAAA | 2-1 | 24.24 | 527,355 | 1,082 | 30 | 2 | - | - |
| North Oconee | 8 - AAAA | 0-2 | 30.10 | 109,300 | 1,767 | 32 | 1 | - | - |
| Howard | 2 - AAAA | 0-3 | 28.51 | 60,406 | 329 | 10 | 1 | - | - |
| Columbus | 1 - AAAA | 1-1 | 33.87 | 151,370 | 676 | 63 | - | - | - |
| Chestatee | 7 - AAAA | 1-2 | 24.67 | 528,981 | 249 | 15 | - | - | - |
| Druid Hills | 4 - AAAA | 1-1 | 27.74 | 109,557 | 499 | 14 | - | - | - |
| White County | 7 - AAAA | 0-2 | 25.45 | 569,963 | 316 | 10 | - | - | - |
| Gilmer | 6 - AAAA | 0-3 | 19.64 | 240,990 | 208 | 8 | - | - | - |
| Cross Creek | 3 - AAAA | 2-1 | 18.34 | 259,691 | 211 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Southeast Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 2-1 | 17.12 | 196,507 | 111 | 2 | - | - | - |
| LaFayette | 6 - AAAA | 1-2 | 11.17 | 72,519 | 12 | - | - | - | - |
| Hephzibah | 3 - AAAA | 0-3 | -3.81 | 14,477 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Regions
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 7 - AAA | 338,345 | 661,655 | 48,502 | 698 | 3 | 449,705 | 550,295 | 3,374 | 427,178 | 1.34 |
| 5 - AAA | 118,224 | 881,776 | 522,596 | 156,516 | 15,135 | 361,419 | 638,581 | 135,132 | 333,614 | 2.00 |
| 6 - AAA | 492,200 | 507,800 | 27,967 | 292 | 1 | 665,342 | 334,658 | 631 | 150,691 | 5.64 |
| 4 - AAA | 665,938 | 334,062 | 26,995 | 679 | 5 | 900,049 | 99,951 | 844 | 32,294 | 29.97 |
| 2 - AAA | 754,436 | 245,564 | 21,620 | 652 | 6 | 917,753 | 82,247 | 1,251 | 20,940 | 46.76 |
| 8 - AAA | 764,419 | 235,581 | 6,343 | 23 | - | 919,695 | 80,305 | 53 | 20,785 | 47.11 |
| 1 - AAA | 742,591 | 257,409 | 25,757 | 1,062 | 15 | 931,938 | 68,062 | 968 | 14,062 | 70.11 |
| 3 - AAA | 978,826 | 21,174 | 115 | - | - | 996,352 | 3,648 | - | 436 | 2,292.58 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 7 - AAA | 2-0 | 72.38 | 999,964 | 737,114 | 669,987 | 546,360 | 426,237 | 1.35 |
| Calhoun | 6 - AAA | 1-2 | 63.15 | 996,664 | 803,136 | 509,939 | 332,938 | 150,491 | 5.64 |
| Lovett | 5 - AAA | 2-1 | 62.25 | 978,464 | 644,762 | 457,900 | 242,092 | 115,761 | 7.64 |
| Cedar Grove | 5 - AAA | 1-1 | 60.17 | 972,570 | 599,179 | 395,105 | 190,782 | 79,576 | 11.57 |
| Pace Academy | 5 - AAA | 2-0 | 60.16 | 973,281 | 599,205 | 394,860 | 189,652 | 79,140 | 11.64 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 5 - AAA | 1-2 | 59.14 | 956,436 | 501,958 | 327,642 | 151,137 | 59,134 | 15.91 |
| Peach County | 4 - AAA | 1-1 | 55.28 | 995,616 | 626,800 | 277,875 | 87,086 | 30,457 | 31.83 |
| Hart County | 8 - AAA | 0-1-1 | 53.69 | 999,248 | 579,552 | 231,459 | 79,627 | 20,740 | 47.22 |
| Liberty County | 2 - AAA | 2-0 | 52.91 | 992,826 | 513,736 | 144,227 | 53,270 | 15,296 | 64.38 |
| Monroe | 1 - AAA | 1-0 | 50.82 | 987,760 | 242,230 | 121,239 | 35,080 | 8,235 | 120.43 |
| Pierce County | 2 - AAA | 2-0 | 48.74 | 983,546 | 359,069 | 86,038 | 23,662 | 4,813 | 206.77 |
| Crisp County | 1 - AAA | 3-0 | 47.60 | 977,787 | 180,942 | 76,711 | 18,212 | 3,460 | 288.02 |
| Cook | 1 - AAA | 0-3 | 44.64 | 953,398 | 134,158 | 47,063 | 8,864 | 1,350 | 739.74 |
| Worth County | 1 - AAA | 1-2 | 43.66 | 944,249 | 120,297 | 39,204 | 6,874 | 1,017 | 982.28 |
| Westside (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 1-2 | 43.26 | 921,973 | 186,779 | 36,155 | 6,207 | 894 | 1,117.57 |
| Appling County | 2 - AAA | 0-1 | 43.60 | 933,187 | 178,642 | 34,763 | 6,430 | 825 | 1,211.12 |
| North Hall | 7 - AAA | 2-0 | 45.32 | 941,457 | 85,207 | 28,940 | 5,776 | 793 | 1,260.03 |
| Jackson | 4 - AAA | 1-2 | 43.08 | 918,075 | 181,381 | 34,530 | 5,821 | 785 | 1,272.89 |
| Jenkins | 3 - AAA | 2-0 | 42.68 | 999,435 | 80,361 | 18,633 | 3,503 | 425 | 2,351.94 |
| Central (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 2-0 | 38.98 | 822,182 | 105,202 | 13,041 | 1,674 | 158 | 6,328.11 |
| Dawson County | 7 - AAA | 2-0 | 40.53 | 851,319 | 40,789 | 9,904 | 1,396 | 138 | 7,245.38 |
| Sonoraville | 6 - AAA | 1-1 | 37.54 | 738,837 | 103,403 | 10,821 | 1,291 | 119 | 8,402.36 |
| Ringgold | 6 - AAA | 2-1 | 35.81 | 652,779 | 88,167 | 9,754 | 745 | 64 | 15,624.00 |
| Morgan County | 8 - AAA | 1-1 | 34.51 | 909,861 | 88,479 | 7,221 | 577 | 39 | 25,640.03 |
| Southeast Bulloch | 3 - AAA | 0-1 | 32.37 | 992,289 | 16,267 | 2,618 | 144 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Union County | 7 - AAA | 2-0 | 33.09 | 552,696 | 8,565 | 1,458 | 111 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| North Murray | 6 - AAA | 2-0 | 31.60 | 519,910 | 37,086 | 2,900 | 148 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Adairsville | 6 - AAA | 0-3 | 32.14 | 579,149 | 36,203 | 2,405 | 161 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Franklin County | 8 - AAA | 1-1 | 29.93 | 804,352 | 37,225 | 2,215 | 115 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Tattnall County | 2 - AAA | 1-1 | 29.48 | 505,047 | 19,824 | 1,439 | 74 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Brantley County | 2 - AAA | 1-1 | 29.26 | 469,884 | 18,488 | 1,366 | 62 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Redan | 5 - AAA | 1-2 | 34.36 | 112,419 | 3,034 | 512 | 50 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Monroe Area | 8 - AAA | 1-1 | 25.48 | 621,964 | 12,765 | 550 | 18 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Lumpkin County | 7 - AAA | 1-0 | 29.72 | 434,452 | 3,878 | 512 | 26 | - | - |
| Jackson County | 8 - AAA | 1-2 | 25.25 | 596,202 | 11,174 | 503 | 21 | - | - |
| Bremen | 6 - AAA | 0-2 | 24.46 | 325,316 | 5,677 | 222 | 6 | - | - |
| Rutland | 4 - AAA | 1-1 | 25.06 | 146,189 | 2,940 | 87 | 4 | - | - |
| Pike County | 4 - AAA | 1-1 | 22.22 | 102,834 | 1,246 | 28 | 2 | - | - |
| Kendrick | 4 - AAA | 0-3 | 21.65 | 93,131 | 1,088 | 27 | 1 | - | - |
| Savannah | 3 - AAA | 1-1 | 15.30 | 761,505 | 409 | 17 | 1 | - | - |
| East Hall | 7 - AAA | 0-2 | 22.62 | 121,565 | 315 | 34 | - | - | - |
| Dougherty | 1 - AAA | 0-1 | 20.69 | 136,806 | 708 | 27 | - | - | - |
| Fannin County | 7 - AAA | 1-1 | 22.51 | 98,547 | 230 | 22 | - | - | - |
| Murray County | 6 - AAA | 2-0 | 18.44 | 179,453 | 1,356 | 17 | - | - | - |
| Beach | 3 - AAA | 0-2 | 14.49 | 667,223 | 308 | 16 | - | - | - |
| Long County | 2 - AAA | 1-0 | 15.33 | 115,510 | 536 | 9 | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Savannah) | 3 - AAA | 0-1 | 9.53 | 465,438 | 79 | 4 | - | - | - |
| McNair | 5 - AAA | 2-0 | 18.12 | 6,080 | 5 | 1 | - | - | - |
| East Jackson | 8 - AAA | 1-1 | 7.59 | 68,373 | 45 | - | - | - | - |
| Haralson County | 6 - AAA | 0-2 | 2.33 | 5,498 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Groves | 3 - AAA | 0-2 | -4.16 | 46,069 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Windsor Forest | 3 - AAA | 0-1 | -4.15 | 39,828 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Islands | 3 - AAA | 0-3 | -5.27 | 28,213 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Coahulla Creek | 6 - AAA | 0-3 | -9.24 | 1,565 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 6 - AAA | 0-2 | -12.23 | 829 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stone Mountain | 5 - AAA | 1-2 | 7.94 | 439 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Towers | 5 - AAA | 0-3 | 6.39 | 311 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Regions
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 2 - AA | 190,199 | 809,801 | 211,133 | 4,722 | 25 | 255,268 | 744,732 | 92,816 | 625,891 | 0.60 |
| 1 - AA | 303,274 | 696,726 | 196,308 | 16,713 | 405 | 447,542 | 552,458 | 59,233 | 241,055 | 3.15 |
| 5 - AA | 396,714 | 603,286 | 145,634 | 5,842 | 30 | 802,401 | 197,599 | 5,176 | 57,599 | 16.36 |
| 4 - AA | 464,990 | 535,010 | 90,385 | 623 | - | 870,165 | 129,835 | 1,444 | 37,941 | 25.36 |
| 8 - AA | 798,968 | 201,032 | 9,144 | 29 | - | 886,991 | 113,009 | 1,488 | 22,500 | 43.44 |
| 3 - AA | 673,675 | 326,325 | 21,874 | 146 | - | 916,556 | 83,444 | 283 | 13,241 | 74.52 |
| 7 - AA | 947,079 | 52,921 | 727 | 3 | - | 986,255 | 13,745 | 18 | 1,583 | 630.71 |
| 6 - AA | 929,794 | 70,206 | 953 | - | - | 995,280 | 4,720 | - | 190 | 5,262.16 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | 2 - AA | 2-0 | 76.84 | 999,991 | 918,662 | 783,545 | 703,401 | 599,844 | 0.67 |
| Fitzgerald | 1 - AA | 1-0 | 65.55 | 999,518 | 823,909 | 489,546 | 382,487 | 164,019 | 5.10 |
| Brooks County | 1 - AA | 2-0 | 61.07 | 998,466 | 736,588 | 333,685 | 219,707 | 76,322 | 12.10 |
| Callaway | 5 - AA | 2-0 | 58.46 | 998,919 | 673,423 | 470,209 | 149,091 | 51,818 | 18.30 |
| Jefferson County | 4 - AA | 2-0 | 55.93 | 999,953 | 829,582 | 477,622 | 114,541 | 36,801 | 26.17 |
| Vidalia | 2 - AA | 2-0 | 55.47 | 997,368 | 525,659 | 222,157 | 133,266 | 26,032 | 37.41 |
| Dodge County | 3 - AA | 1-1 | 51.64 | 993,997 | 400,154 | 262,640 | 72,990 | 12,241 | 80.69 |
| Elbert County | 8 - AA | 2-0-1 | 53.62 | 999,844 | 290,878 | 106,813 | 58,842 | 11,705 | 84.43 |
| Rabun County | 8 - AA | 1-0 | 53.34 | 999,810 | 283,659 | 102,318 | 55,641 | 10,795 | 91.64 |
| Lamar County | 5 - AA | 2-0 | 45.91 | 982,147 | 281,505 | 137,227 | 26,789 | 3,024 | 329.69 |
| Heard County | 5 - AA | 3-0 | 45.58 | 980,763 | 269,520 | 129,650 | 24,778 | 2,639 | 377.93 |
| Model | 7 - AA | 2-0 | 46.73 | 996,191 | 161,023 | 31,707 | 9,841 | 1,280 | 780.25 |
| Laney | 4 - AA | 0-3 | 40.44 | 995,498 | 354,744 | 104,447 | 12,650 | 916 | 1,090.70 |
| Dublin | 3 - AA | 3-0 | 43.14 | 968,627 | 153,041 | 63,092 | 8,492 | 848 | 1,178.25 |
| Thomasville | 1 - AA | 0-2 | 40.52 | 909,224 | 121,376 | 44,635 | 4,997 | 373 | 2,679.97 |
| Early County | 1 - AA | 0-1-1 | 40.11 | 903,383 | 114,868 | 42,056 | 4,495 | 341 | 2,931.55 |
| Pepperell | 7 - AA | 1-0 | 41.33 | 983,615 | 83,560 | 19,493 | 3,844 | 302 | 3,310.26 |
| Screven County | 4 - AA | 1-1 | 36.70 | 988,375 | 197,693 | 43,947 | 4,088 | 224 | 4,463.29 |
| Washington County | 3 - AA | 0-2 | 39.38 | 925,503 | 75,684 | 21,242 | 2,153 | 149 | 6,710.41 |
| Hapeville Charter | 6 - AA | 1-1 | 35.58 | 922,250 | 194,106 | 41,311 | 3,292 | 143 | 6,992.01 |
| Spencer | 5 - AA | 1-1 | 38.34 | 901,441 | 76,391 | 17,703 | 2,117 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
| B.E.S.T. Academy | 6 - AA | 0-3 | 31.96 | 833,255 | 98,419 | 15,565 | 894 | 34 | 29,410.76 |
| Bryan County | 2 - AA | 1-0 | 30.43 | 572,325 | 56,254 | 7,979 | 395 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Douglass | 6 - AA | 1-1 | 29.15 | 774,592 | 56,967 | 6,993 | 282 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Bacon County | 2 - AA | 0-1 | 28.89 | 501,174 | 39,623 | 5,049 | 235 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Therrell | 6 - AA | 1-2 | 27.47 | 642,747 | 33,338 | 3,479 | 113 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Southwest | 3 - AA | 1-1 | 30.67 | 683,165 | 10,710 | 1,319 | 92 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Swainsboro | 2 - AA | 0-2 | 27.35 | 364,378 | 23,295 | 2,591 | 88 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Washington | 6 - AA | 0-2 | 27.73 | 657,279 | 35,387 | 3,780 | 138 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Chattooga | 7 - AA | 1-1 | 25.83 | 706,841 | 8,109 | 1,439 | 57 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Metter | 2 - AA | 0-1 | 28.67 | 458,502 | 34,944 | 4,306 | 163 | - | - |
| Rockmart | 7 - AA | 2-1 | 23.66 | 600,525 | 4,714 | 728 | 19 | - | - |
| Banks County | 8 - AA | 1-2 | 19.10 | 759,929 | 14,950 | 752 | 12 | - | - |
| Berrien | 1 - AA | 1-1 | 22.15 | 163,587 | 1,487 | 227 | 5 | - | - |
| Dade County | 7 - AA | 1-2 | 20.31 | 415,316 | 1,840 | 220 | 2 | - | - |
| Putnam County | 8 - AA | 0-3 | 14.30 | 555,413 | 5,561 | 183 | 1 | - | - |
| Monticello | 8 - AA | 0-2 | 13.02 | 481,802 | 3,847 | 129 | 1 | - | - |
| K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 6 - AA | 2-1 | 16.14 | 137,123 | 696 | 33 | 1 | - | - |
| Coosa | 7 - AA | 1-1 | 17.48 | 285,572 | 702 | 63 | - | - | - |
| Toombs County | 2 - AA | 1-1 | 16.79 | 80,859 | 972 | 45 | - | - | - |
| Bleckley County | 3 - AA | 1-2 | 21.85 | 234,255 | 671 | 32 | - | - | - |
| Northeast | 3 - AA | 0-2 | 21.53 | 175,613 | 498 | 21 | - | - | - |
| Social Circle | 8 - AA | 1-2 | 4.62 | 155,117 | 283 | 10 | - | - | - |
| Jeff Davis | 2 - AA | 0-1 | 12.73 | 25,403 | 166 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Jordan | 5 - AA | 0-2 | 15.83 | 76,333 | 160 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Westside (Augusta) | 4 - AA | 1-1 | 10.15 | 267,308 | 75 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Albany | 1 - AA | 0-3 | 8.49 | 25,822 | 15 | 1 | - | - | - |
| South Atlanta | 6 - AA | 0-3 | 12.78 | 32,754 | 68 | - | - | - | - |
| Temple | 5 - AA | 2-0 | 10.75 | 60,397 | 49 | - | - | - | - |
| Butler | 4 - AA | 0-2 | 9.14 | 222,984 | 45 | - | - | - | - |
| Harlem | 4 - AA | 1-1 | 8.71 | 204,600 | 41 | - | - | - | - |
| Oglethorpe County | 8 - AA | 0-1 | 0.05 | 48,085 | 40 | - | - | - | - |
| Josey | 4 - AA | 1-1 | 8.77 | 208,151 | 33 | - | - | - | - |
| Glenn Hills | 4 - AA | 1-1 | 5.65 | 113,131 | 13 | - | - | - | - |
| East Laurens | 3 - AA | 1-2 | 9.86 | 18,840 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| Armuchee | 7 - AA | 1-1 | 0.74 | 11,763 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gordon Central | 7 - AA | 0-2 | -14.76 | 177 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Public
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinch County | 2 - A | 2-1 | 48.68 | 999,335 | 778,120 | 548,233 | 359,919 | 228,164 | 3.38 |
| Macon County | 4 - A | 1-0 | 48.23 | 892,713 | 648,992 | 450,722 | 292,126 | 178,299 | 4.61 |
| Irwin County | 2 - A | 1-1 | 46.30 | 991,377 | 690,495 | 438,765 | 259,533 | 144,318 | 5.93 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3 - A | 3-0 | 44.81 | 999,969 | 720,316 | 433,805 | 239,714 | 121,674 | 7.22 |
| Manchester | 4 - A | 3-0 | 43.24 | 998,577 | 566,036 | 323,561 | 164,407 | 76,524 | 12.07 |
| Commerce | 8 - A | 2-0 | 41.68 | 999,997 | 663,700 | 341,087 | 159,598 | 67,055 | 13.91 |
| Lincoln County | 7 - A | 2-0 | 41.43 | 998,639 | 614,561 | 317,019 | 146,015 | 60,267 | 15.59 |
| Marion County | 4 - A | 2-0 | 42.50 | 911,280 | 447,796 | 247,867 | 121,857 | 54,469 | 17.36 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | 6 - A | 2-0 | 37.68 | 969,238 | 402,857 | 172,586 | 63,750 | 21,219 | 46.13 |
| Trion | 6 - A | 2-0 | 37.17 | 956,493 | 367,386 | 154,099 | 55,391 | 17,455 | 56.29 |
| Seminole County | 1 - A | 1-0-1 | 32.63 | 999,027 | 456,734 | 154,767 | 39,616 | 8,864 | 111.82 |
| McIntosh County Academy | 3 - A | 1-1 | 33.65 | 924,442 | 250,254 | 86,347 | 24,751 | 6,148 | 161.65 |
| Bowdon | 6 - A | 1-1 | 34.48 | 737,713 | 201,746 | 73,072 | 22,246 | 5,764 | 172.49 |
| Charlton County | 2 - A | 0-1 | 33.99 | 684,995 | 191,326 | 68,221 | 19,888 | 5,061 | 196.59 |
| Turner County | 2 - A | 1-2 | 31.64 | 379,302 | 75,546 | 22,850 | 5,732 | 1,182 | 845.02 |
| Greene County | 7 - A | 2-0 | 28.92 | 746,960 | 113,729 | 29,080 | 5,964 | 997 | 1,002.01 |
| Hawkinsville | 4 - A | 2-0 | 28.58 | 483,783 | 67,402 | 17,078 | 3,374 | 576 | 1,735.11 |
| Johnson County | 3 - A | 3-0 | 25.63 | 868,596 | 93,255 | 19,149 | 2,976 | 415 | 2,408.64 |
| Gordon Lee | 6 - A | 2-0 | 26.42 | 640,806 | 69,617 | 15,344 | 2,574 | 344 | 2,905.98 |
| Telfair County | 2 - A | 1-0 | 25.46 | 663,497 | 77,924 | 15,529 | 2,437 | 341 | 2,931.55 |
| Washington-Wilkes | 7 - A | 0-2 | 28.86 | 188,676 | 29,245 | 7,497 | 1,549 | 263 | 3,801.28 |
| Mitchell County | 1 - A | 2-0 | 21.77 | 966,601 | 140,422 | 21,354 | 2,387 | 226 | 4,423.78 |
| Taylor County | 4 - A | 2-0 | 24.07 | 590,394 | 48,675 | 9,012 | 1,245 | 146 | 6,848.32 |
| Wilkinson County | 7 - A | 0-2 | 24.37 | 179,155 | 16,541 | 3,063 | 460 | 60 | 16,665.67 |
| Pelham | 1 - A | 2-1 | 19.01 | 941,425 | 74,830 | 9,362 | 841 | 54 | 18,517.52 |
| Miller County | 1 - A | 1-0 | 17.60 | 958,176 | 82,658 | 8,872 | 724 | 42 | 23,808.52 |
| Hancock Central | 7 - A | 1-1 | 21.60 | 244,289 | 14,660 | 2,325 | 241 | 22 | 45,453.55 |
| Atkinson County | 2 - A | 1-1 | 20.91 | 222,172 | 12,417 | 1,820 | 182 | 16 | 62,499.00 |
| Dooly County | 4 - A | 0-3 | 26.62 | 22,987 | 2,593 | 617 | 101 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Terrell County | 1 - A | 1-2 | 14.92 | 792,891 | 26,933 | 2,376 | 143 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Jenkins County | 3 - A | 2-0 | 14.34 | 634,553 | 14,499 | 1,220 | 64 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Chattahoochee County | 1 - A | 0-1 | 12.02 | 349,200 | 7,097 | 476 | 20 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Randolph-Clay | 1 - A | 2-0 | 12.92 | 744,362 | 21,137 | 1,604 | 72 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Twiggs County | 7 - A | 1-1 | 19.59 | 68,603 | 3,539 | 475 | 40 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Warren County | 7 - A | 2-0 | 17.14 | 92,243 | 3,064 | 346 | 26 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Treutlen | 3 - A | 2-1 | 16.69 | 68,618 | 2,591 | 263 | 26 | - | - |
| Crawford County | 4 - A | 1-0 | 16.17 | 37,170 | 1,188 | 136 | 11 | - | - |
| Wilcox County | 2 - A | 0-2 | 10.55 | 736 | 19 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Towns County | 8 - A | 1-1 | 0.28 | 46,939 | 93 | - | - | - | - |
| Baconton Charter | 1 - A | 1-1 | -9.50 | 1,635 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Portal | 3 - A | 0-2 | 7.52 | 665 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Lanier County | 2 - A | 0-2 | 2.95 | 542 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Wheeler County | 3 - A | 1-1 | 0.71 | 518 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Claxton | 3 - A | 0-2 | 4.16 | 75 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Calhoun County | 1 - A | 0-2 | -10.31 | 614 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Greenville | 4 - A | 0-3 | 9.80 | 17 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Schley County | 4 - A | 1-1 | 4.03 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Montgomery County | 3 - A | 0-2 | -4.91 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Talbotton) | 4 - A | 0-1 | -7.65 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fulton Leadership Academy | 5 - A | 0-3 | -22.28 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stewart County | 1 - A | 0-2 | -28.62 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Private
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5 - A | 2-0 | 61.87 | 1,000,000 | 928,201 | 822,687 | 682,844 | 533,894 | 0.87 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8 - A | 3-0 | 54.53 | 1,000,000 | 865,467 | 682,425 | 470,566 | 223,802 | 3.47 |
| Wesleyan | 5 - A | 2-0 | 49.38 | 999,998 | 786,188 | 502,855 | 221,771 | 88,228 | 10.33 |
| Aquinas | 7 - A | 1-1 | 47.47 | 999,263 | 657,211 | 375,743 | 166,290 | 55,671 | 16.96 |
| Landmark Christian | 5 - A | 2-0 | 45.04 | 1,000,000 | 698,596 | 337,075 | 131,345 | 37,982 | 25.33 |
| Calvary Day | 3 - A | 2-0 | 42.18 | 999,926 | 501,162 | 214,116 | 69,393 | 16,662 | 59.02 |
| Darlington | 6 - A | 1-1 | 39.62 | 988,130 | 350,911 | 140,748 | 39,457 | 7,719 | 128.55 |
| First Presbyterian | 7 - A | 2-0 | 38.43 | 999,483 | 464,258 | 155,284 | 41,034 | 7,418 | 133.81 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6 - A | 2-0 | 38.65 | 996,223 | 345,102 | 127,134 | 34,207 | 6,306 | 157.58 |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6 - A | 2-1 | 38.60 | 999,877 | 373,707 | 123,421 | 34,265 | 6,304 | 157.63 |
| Savannah Christian | 3 - A | 1-1 | 37.82 | 997,622 | 342,588 | 113,579 | 28,707 | 5,062 | 196.55 |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6 - A | 1-1 | 36.36 | 998,703 | 288,100 | 87,707 | 20,089 | 3,077 | 323.99 |
| Stratford Academy | 7 - A | 1-1 | 36.46 | 984,479 | 253,975 | 82,991 | 19,088 | 3,001 | 332.22 |
| Fellowship Christian | 6 - A | 2-0 | 35.55 | 999,800 | 357,380 | 98,926 | 21,427 | 2,997 | 332.67 |
| Athens Christian | 8 - A | 1-1 | 31.67 | 999,634 | 263,836 | 54,121 | 9,140 | 977 | 1,022.54 |
| Athens Academy | 8 - A | 2-0 | 30.37 | 999,688 | 244,175 | 45,720 | 6,900 | 647 | 1,544.60 |
| Holy Innocents | 5 - A | 1-2 | 27.87 | 892,192 | 60,059 | 11,253 | 1,391 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
| Brookstone | 4 - A | 1-1 | 27.29 | 541,194 | 38,313 | 5,772 | 669 | 54 | 18,517.52 |
| Christian Heritage | 6 - A | 0-1 | 24.95 | 723,427 | 35,434 | 4,973 | 495 | 34 | 29,410.76 |
| George Walton Academy | 8 - A | 2-0 | 21.78 | 998,155 | 66,383 | 6,561 | 479 | 27 | 37,036.04 |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5 - A | 1-1 | 22.60 | 779,371 | 26,929 | 3,199 | 258 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Tattnall Square | 7 - A | 1-0 | 20.17 | 734,561 | 18,088 | 1,658 | 107 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Savannah Country Day | 3 - A | 1-1 | 16.96 | 551,659 | 8,116 | 540 | 27 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Mount de Sales | 7 - A | 1-1 | 15.78 | 210,212 | 2,729 | 147 | 6 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Hebron Christian Academy | 8 - A | 1-1 | 15.55 | 907,549 | 10,250 | 679 | 24 | - | - |
| Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 5 - A | 2-0 | 14.75 | 965,400 | 10,055 | 608 | 19 | - | - |
| St. Francis | 6 - A | 1-1 | 10.61 | 245,923 | 1,361 | 40 | 2 | - | - |
| Strong Rock Christian | 5 - A | 2-0 | 8.85 | 316,721 | 1,068 | 30 | - | - | - |
| Walker | 6 - A | 0-2 | 11.85 | 35,799 | 230 | 7 | - | - | - |
| King's Ridge Christian | 6 - A | 1-1 | 4.49 | 8,271 | 20 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Riverside Military Academy | 8 - A | 1-1 | 2.37 | 53,621 | 55 | - | - | - | - |
| Whitefield Academy | 6 - A | 0-2 | 5.94 | 9,447 | 30 | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeview Academy | 8 - A | 0-2 | -3.55 | 40,833 | 11 | - | - | - | - |
| Pacelli | 4 - A | 0-2 | 6.66 | 5,524 | 11 | - | - | - | - |
| Providence Christian | 8 - A | 1-1 | -11.81 | 17,120 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| North Cobb Christian | 6 - A | 0-2 | -1.33 | 195 | - | - | - | - | - |
