High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 8

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 16, 2019

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2019 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA7-098.78999,9994.90914,004816,745690,735527,1680.90
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA6-192.44999,9974.08777,233652,035515,526240,0703.17
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA6-185.501,000,0003.66884,935583,383189,31681,81211.22
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA6-084.00999,8633.12710,619418,077138,19850,56118.78
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA5-182.98999,9003.14827,132250,853133,69343,86821.80
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA5-178.15999,9942.47255,813158,63483,91317,00057.82
Archer8 - AAAAAAA4-276.29997,3882.68681,333154,91264,05312,52978.81
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA5-176.80999,1492.19391,261206,80050,51010,04898.52
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA5-272.67999,1332.26475,715172,56937,4504,997199.12
Milton5 - AAAAAAA3-371.42999,8642.52342,150192,86337,0294,483222.06
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-073.26991,1821.75226,353120,30722,9143,377295.12
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA5-173.60992,4291.55167,03184,68119,4652,998332.56
Newton8 - AAAAAAA5-266.43983,9061.63245,13458,4356,9405781,729.10
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA4-262.26992,0211.38144,40319,3172,0531277,873.02
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-260.58994,6861.7986,53818,5181,2697812,819.51
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA3-359.69995,3071.77123,7849,2101,4265717,542.86
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA6-159.58869,6481.0977,58510,7997515119,606.84
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA4-360.07998,4101.2795,5999,2579094820,832.33
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA5-162.32856,0330.9632,7855,9245063330,302.03
Walton4 - AAAAAAA3-357.48954,7711.6796,95911,8747262737,036.04
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA3-257.43890,4771.5184,1388,9636092049,999.00
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA4-355.06991,4041.7092,92310,1925561471,427.57
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA1-556.90962,1371.5462,4084,8383041190,908.09
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA5-159.44620,4260.6714,6112,5761851190,908.09
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-458.81242,8790.299,5142,4381551099,999.00
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-557.80996,6311.6028,2044,0132549111,110.11
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA5-255.69935,4401.5264,8605,8823298124,999.00
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-454.31971,5821.3920,1942,075865199,999.00
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA4-252.49981,4371.4337,9332,1841012499,999.00
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA3-349.25997,2431.3010,87877319--
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA3-352.47331,5880.366,75350417--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-341.35687,3480.815,2411392--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA2-539.69807,5220.861,140711--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-243.06910,4171.011,63283---
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA2-438.59354,8080.401,71347---
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-540.28212,4360.251,03719---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-242.6895,4610.103619---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA3-229.9285,7160.09111---
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-530.1433,5300.0437----
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-428.46198,6050.2036----
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-623.0119,1170.025----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-531.7510,1360.014----
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA1-635.882660.001----
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-621.0538,3050.04-----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-518.391,2200.00-----
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-624.631840.00-----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-7-2.6250.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA3-33.58-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAALowndes677,773287,98431,765-2,4771
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County301,817592,80698,061-7,3133
1 - AAAAAAACamden County19,343110,263682,321-179,2558,818
1 - AAAAAAATift County1,0678,947187,853-45,012757,121
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake675,833206,26687,62725,57384,693
2 - AAAAAAANewnan205,774301,973344,994128,55214418,563
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta95,928417,511335,521113,175237,863
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook19,13659,614171,203437,395-312,652
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler3,29614,33858,143279,031-645,192
2 - AAAAAAACampbell332982,51216,274-980,883
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern663,792258,18560,90314,8892,094137
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta276,154429,666243,31043,4076,612851
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove48,718260,673462,701163,86556,4727,571
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb6,81634,834113,307355,587109,882379,574
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding4,52016,641119,735422,113293,024143,967
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain-144139-999,816
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah397,967249,725181,722161,962288,596
4 - AAAAAAAWalton261,669295,304240,500157,2148445,229
4 - AAAAAAARoswell192,699169,639222,220305,90217109,523
4 - AAAAAAACherokee145,611272,556313,192186,15217,92964,560
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock1,91911,96037,792160,765-787,564
4 - AAAAAAALassiter1358164,57428,005-966,470
5 - AAAAAAAMilton815,648173,4118,1672,6308136
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth169,544496,457252,20275,9235605,314
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth9,46562,876232,210605,864289,583
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth5,301265,711489,722210,848-28,418
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central391,45614,20570,016-914,284
5 - AAAAAAALambert3893,49434,719-961,695
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett972,25327,23649714--
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill27,030194,493372,785397,2304837,979
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek371648,027258,58191,474680867
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View346130,162367,880499,999231,590
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-822479,807-989,864
6 - AAAAAAADuluth--101,210-998,780
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge---266-999,734
7 - AAAAAAAParkview962,37429,2757,795550-6
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood20,724264,785557,679154,055-2,757
7 - AAAAAAANorcross15,588697,588272,84110,614-3,369
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett1,2656,689155,165644,403-192,478
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek491,6636,520190,373-801,395
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)---5-999,995
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson615,765322,70956,6164,211599100
8 - AAAAAAAArcher358,189539,44777,58017,8684,3042,612
8 - AAAAAAANewton22,13476,144576,557288,13420,93716,094
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh3,04853,056264,369473,85275,323130,352
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett8358,18220,393199,393102,785668,412
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County294624,48516,54273,943904,539

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA6-186.68999,7415.16968,195858,831721,908621,7780.61
Harrison6 - AAAAAA7-073.84999,9974.02909,736749,111259,382137,3806.28
Coffee1 - AAAAAA6-171.53984,2713.81830,525579,406355,61899,0309.10
Dacula8 - AAAAAA6-071.26999,8513.07770,349246,776135,41452,79117.94
Lee County1 - AAAAAA5-168.00921,6113.22728,182441,498196,52545,02121.21
Dalton6 - AAAAAA6-163.34997,6362.68575,536256,901102,07916,12761.01
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA4-262.66997,7092.55533,895224,46187,04113,15375.03
Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-359.65674,6701.87417,464136,05430,7444,295231.83
Lanier8 - AAAAAA6-058.35997,2751.87312,32675,14324,0752,863348.28
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-356.83991,2282.15267,04862,90619,0111,916520.92
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA5-156.73999,9961.96144,60260,55020,1331,892527.54
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA5-154.23999,1692.13243,06168,29212,7871,047954.11
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-455.69419,7071.05215,78048,4537,1347991,250.56
Mays5 - AAAAAA5-153.73984,0031.99202,53951,5758,9367461,339.48
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA5-152.42963,3691.90186,93950,7669,2356121,632.99
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA3-350.12980,7141.82137,89218,1923,2781855,404.41
Creekside5 - AAAAAA4-248.89834,8321.4183,76014,5601,7031009,999.00
Creekview6 - AAAAAA4-252.05744,3120.9364,2194,5786828012,499.00
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-447.19900,4101.4455,41010,1607884820,832.33
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA4-247.28995,6551.5133,1906,3508674621,738.13
Alexander5 - AAAAAA4-247.08679,3511.0136,8565,1725112441,665.67
Tucker4 - AAAAAA4-344.55811,3171.2140,8906,0395291855,554.56
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA5-144.29912,7001.3644,9776,0394621376,922.08
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA3-443.90954,1791.0834,1785,0474081190,908.09
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA4-344.78497,1990.6611,5651,6641799111,110.11
Evans3 - AAAAAA3-240.51965,4791.0927,2072,1881005199,999.00
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-440.77788,3540.8616,0291,9121193333,332.33
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA4-237.22771,2910.9113,101780322499,999.00
Morrow4 - AAAAAA3-439.27423,3930.557,554628272499,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA3-336.84686,3400.725,281404222499,999.00
Pope7 - AAAAAA4-339.73746,0680.9118,4491,378551999,999.00
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA3-343.52186,4840.216,113328351999,999.00
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA4-340.14546,3650.7011,77880451--
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-336.71910,6861.1514,3251,11844--
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-434.90872,9570.927,16243119--
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA3-438.27341,7120.425,38131717--
Northview7 - AAAAAA4-335.39458,0960.534,76929915--
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA3-342.5370,8120.082,10312113--
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA3-334.47793,3880.835,26832611--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA4-134.29638,1640.662,9132087--
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-534.98216,9620.272,6051613--
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA2-433.63183,4780.19601611--
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA2-426.6476,8630.081007---
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-431.6313,4550.01824---
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA3-434.861,1310.00101---
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA2-427.2212,9760.0124----
Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-635.535,2860.0120----
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA2-525.782,6780.006----
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-617.4343,6720.043----
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA2-526.112,2630.002----
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-619.543720.00-----
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-615.482000.00-----
Northgate5 - AAAAAA1-630.381590.00-----
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-515.95130.00-----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-617.7410.00-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-66.60-------
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-625.25-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-7-6.40-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAAValdosta788,378179,70928,5343,120259
1 - AAAAAACoffee144,276436,668302,461100,86615,729
1 - AAAAAALee County64,024292,089382,957182,54178,389
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)1,90315,87888,225313,701580,293
1 - AAAAAAHouston County1,41975,656197,823399,772325,330
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy539,624318,794101,45031,3608,772
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill387,575473,00690,59629,53719,286
2 - AAAAAABrunswick38,735103,772497,332260,57199,590
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute29,91079,174251,492550,11089,314
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County4,15625,25459,130128,422783,038
3 - AAAAAAEvans487,726248,590143,47985,68434,521
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy224,296251,724222,110174,827127,043
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)163,889198,279212,093219,127206,612
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown80,898145,531212,443247,468313,660
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)42,576153,455200,427241,706361,836
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier6152,4219,44831,188956,328
4 - AAAAAAStephenson624,623173,319116,46748,96036,631
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King174,609304,272329,178104,64187,300
4 - AAAAAATucker148,624282,797154,307225,589188,683
4 - AAAAAALovejoy24,48659,935181,652280,292453,635
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)14,26044,17090,459192,823658,288
4 - AAAAAAMorrow13,398135,506127,936146,553576,607
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill---1,131998,869
4 - AAAAAADrew-1111999,987
4 - AAAAAAForest Park----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding495,116335,987140,44227,624831
5 - AAAAAAMays345,245321,547219,04298,16915,997
5 - AAAAAACreekside138,410211,539270,155214,728165,168
5 - AAAAAAAlexander21,023110,229228,951319,148320,649
5 - AAAAAADouglas County20620,698141,410334,885502,801
5 - AAAAAAHughes---5,286994,714
5 - AAAAAANorthgate---159999,841
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities---1999,999
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAHarrison997,1011,5051,0053863
6 - AAAAAADalton1,604548,247425,54622,2392,364
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona1,261447,912530,79417,7422,291
6 - AAAAAASequoyah2615113,60757,028929,188
6 - AAAAAACreekview83509,312734,642255,688
6 - AAAAAASprayberry-1,83519,736164,913813,516
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge---2,678997,322
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb---372999,628
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek765,209234,027698624
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta234,685683,98362,93114,0564,345
7 - AAAAAANorthview10052,549146,575258,872541,904
7 - AAAAAAPope316,146381,496348,423253,932
7 - AAAAAACambridge21541,15412,145986,545
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta113,111406,550351,629228,709
7 - AAAAAADunwoody-3057412,372987,024
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee--202,243997,737
7 - AAAAAACentennial--2198999,800
8 - AAAAAADacula787,426202,0419,3271,057149
8 - AAAAAALanier201,994601,857158,67734,7472,725
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow8,53169,232309,366401,225211,646
8 - AAAAAAGainesville2,015125,045496,930330,18945,821
8 - AAAAAAApalachee271,28313,50462,049923,137
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central754212,196170,733816,522

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford8 - AAAAA7-080.741,000,0004.59902,972667,690580,362447,1161.24
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA6-175.02999,7723.52747,006363,788276,993169,8304.89
Jones County4 - AAAAA7-071.07999,7393.99822,579688,603427,177167,6944.96
Carrollton7 - AAAAA7-069.03999,4183.50701,803479,300251,74790,94710.00
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA6-165.83999,2132.88595,454414,883101,28641,84622.90
Ware County2 - AAAAA3-364.89986,3512.55488,010240,358104,48329,34833.07
Rome7 - AAAAA5-263.72995,9812.56407,311135,47250,30616,55559.40
Kell7 - AAAAA5-160.13995,8452.74547,060239,22654,68712,78577.22
Veterans1 - AAAAA6-158.94976,5172.22304,482113,16636,6996,664149.06
Griffin3 - AAAAA6-156.34997,6262.11358,411113,48023,9213,828260.23
Wayne County2 - AAAAA5-157.34972,4711.76226,02087,07919,2113,568279.27
South Effingham2 - AAAAA6-157.14973,6901.74220,42484,01218,8913,385294.42
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA5-255.95894,5091.84288,61182,29718,3522,814354.37
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA6-153.69944,0791.53196,15956,1849,9371,329751.45
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA4-349.79987,1491.93148,08538,3486,6845361,864.67
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA4-349.09985,2871.65162,75541,7263,5444242,357.49
Ola4 - AAAAA5-253.29462,8750.6852,17910,5002,4543103,224.81
Hiram7 - AAAAA4-247.01993,6501.85197,74831,8023,2222354,254.32
Union Grove4 - AAAAA4-252.25590,9740.8242,0877,9561,7552194,565.21
Statesboro2 - AAAAA3-349.54665,7150.8350,82516,8672,1571935,180.35
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA5-145.01998,3341.44102,92715,1691,5179710,308.28
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA5-143.83992,0411.6372,49617,0391,0777014,284.71
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-144.61601,8080.8753,5628,3795774522,221.22
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA4-343.58967,8761.5662,99412,7036724124,389.24
Riverwood6 - AAAAA6-041.78996,8021.5554,39410,5646173925,640.03
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-444.58653,3640.7925,0983,4153872343,477.26
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-445.40401,7730.4616,9234,4974352147,618.05
Harris County1 - AAAAA4-343.87527,3940.7543,0116,5033871952,630.58
Columbia5 - AAAAA2-438.44995,9781.2135,2043,6541551099,999.00
Riverdale3 - AAAAA5-140.61771,1480.9020,0572,1951647142,856.14
Loganville8 - AAAAA2-535.17956,1671.4433,3972,1071032499,999.00
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA4-233.08871,4291.0611,17961526--
Whitewater3 - AAAAA1-636.35561,7360.602,5151929--
Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-338.5410,2390.02683595--
Banneker6 - AAAAA2-429.65450,3280.481,365471--
Decatur6 - AAAAA4-227.87610,4920.672,35163---
Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-326.27873,2950.8981632---
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-524.42936,5400.9683623---
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA2-534.172,6950.00524---
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-530.937740.00172---
Cass7 - AAAAA3-430.694,0850.01701---
Grady6 - AAAAA2-420.5977,8360.0834----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-310.2886,9600.0919----
McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-421.9825,1970.037----
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-612.33181,4750.186----
Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-422.045,6420.014----
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-625.084110.002----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-5-5.0514,3780.01-----
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-76.561,8480.00-----
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-510.749130.00-----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA1-51.831590.00-----
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-632.55140.00-----
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-635.7880.00-----
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-611.19-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-7-27.17-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-8-76.96-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins781,946183,54730,2304,049228
1 - AAAAAVeterans168,519586,234163,45158,31323,483
1 - AAAAABainbridge42,036119,358505,896227,219105,491
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central6,45059,808158,603376,947398,192
1 - AAAAAHarris County1,04951,053141,820333,472472,606
2 - AAAAAWare County558,920257,249120,68449,49813,649
2 - AAAAAWayne County208,893343,902337,06682,61027,529
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham208,340325,111303,545136,69426,310
2 - AAAAAStatesboro18,12144,874154,356448,364334,285
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead5,72628,86484,349282,834598,227
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill616,917142,720145,60880,04214,713
3 - AAAAAGriffin321,007581,02381,85613,7402,374
3 - AAAAARiverdale53,365143,257273,706300,820228,852
3 - AAAAAJonesboro7,952119,501273,790252,121346,636
3 - AAAAAWhitewater52012,416219,359329,441438,264
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh2189734,93419,072974,803
3 - AAAAAFayette County211107474,764994,358
4 - AAAAAJones County948,57033,0646,49511,610261
4 - AAAAAStockbridge30,830137,441172,743603,06555,921
4 - AAAAADutchtown20,514821,653149,4057,641787
4 - AAAAAOla782,723246,881213,193537,125
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing8582752,354997,305
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove-5,061424,172161,741409,026
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)--29382999,589
4 - AAAAALocust Grove---14999,986
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb622,421295,13663,82016,9571,666
5 - AAAAAColumbia334,466541,344105,05215,1164,022
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain30,724109,571382,075414,17063,460
5 - AAAAALithonia11,98547,983408,133405,194126,705
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove4035,89038,956136,226818,525
5 - AAAAAChamblee1761,96412,337985,622
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)527,490362,87881,09820,5757,959
6 - AAAAARiverwood428,872402,790145,66219,4783,198
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson34,109152,588441,143243,589128,571
6 - AAAAADecatur9,13753,504220,894326,957389,508
6 - AAAAABanneker36925,70293,230331,027549,672
6 - AAAAAGrady232,53717,90757,369922,164
6 - AAAAANorth Springs--58855999,087
6 - AAAAALithia Springs-18150999,841
7 - AAAAACarrollton755,593108,667111,46223,696582
7 - AAAAAKell188,131103,985520,374183,3554,155
7 - AAAAARome43,224740,822151,98659,9494,019
7 - AAAAAHiram13,04346,188215,299719,1206,350
7 - AAAAAPaulding County93385569,336989,761
7 - AAAAACass--3233,762995,915
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica---774999,226
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding---8999,992
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford959,02640,331643--
8 - AAAAAClarke Central32,188335,875608,90410,18212,851
8 - AAAAALoganville8,786535,878213,206198,29743,833
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals-87,421173,855706,60032,124
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-4953,15783,308913,040
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove--2351,613998,152

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Marist7 - AAAA7-073.51999,8344.02784,209663,173428,951286,8582.49
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA6-071.051,000,0003.91897,212543,767328,057198,6654.03
Cartersville5 - AAAA7-070.78999,0853.30652,169447,325285,656159,8785.25
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA6-068.95999,5213.11601,341412,325248,704121,6307.22
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA5-168.11995,9033.22622,353486,793264,884120,4877.30
Burke County3 - AAAA6-160.67999,9982.66329,634256,782119,34533,79328.59
West Laurens2 - AAAA6-160.82998,6503.13757,074284,73289,77030,90431.36
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA6-060.42997,9541.91272,607165,84060,36917,01757.76
Oconee County8 - AAAA6-156.77999,0492.86604,660215,18670,68915,35264.14
Troup5 - AAAA4-256.04918,0961.37136,69373,86620,9034,251234.24
Denmark7 - AAAA5-155.44910,9231.31126,18750,75213,9642,924341.00
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA6-150.94997,0682.15185,32681,18719,2612,534393.63
Cairo1 - AAAA5-250.92992,8741.92126,16044,9907,0101,223816.66
Mary Persons2 - AAAA4-347.76990,8822.05335,00955,8119,7071,072931.84
Howard2 - AAAA4-248.52858,0691.72276,76448,5209,5681,056945.97
North Oconee8 - AAAA7-048.23992,9742.18271,80350,6318,5089711,028.87
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA3-351.85554,1640.6942,04116,2992,5975001,999.00
Eastside4 - AAAA3-343.43999,0001.75268,60929,3244,2242923,423.66
St. Pius X8 - AAAA3-444.29931,7821.77130,20815,1721,7091466,848.32
Thomson3 - AAAA2-444.75997,1461.6053,07811,4561,4661327,574.76
Perry2 - AAAA3-341.73909,2201.42146,32614,4681,6611128,927.57
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA5-139.12999,7111.80196,92515,7161,7741109,089.91
Cedartown5 - AAAA3-444.45475,3770.5313,7523,4693373330,302.03
Westover1 - AAAA5-140.93914,1201.2522,2163,3273112539,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA2-539.34993,8821.3822,5653,3332511952,630.58
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-539.67203,9220.2412,7051,003825199,999.00
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA3-334.33753,4970.894,876679404249,999.00
Madison County8 - AAAA3-432.11588,9760.8533,8041,303682499,999.00
Ridgeland6 - AAAA2-433.97956,0311.2518,277872512499,999.00
Stephens County8 - AAAA1-530.16487,2190.6820,193653291999,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA5-229.29991,8051.1918,784632291999,999.00
White County7 - AAAA3-336.6595,0310.108154931999,999.00
Hardaway1 - AAAA3-333.12239,1000.281,3071179--
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA3-327.39907,3370.991,8811045--
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-438.1552,2970.06537805--
Pickens6 - AAAA4-324.64739,9380.804,3491072--
Shaw1 - AAAA4-230.17100,2160.11240441--
McDonough4 - AAAA3-322.25862,0740.914,08463---
Hampton4 - AAAA3-320.80651,2180.682,11527---
Spalding2 - AAAA1-625.1739,2570.0431612---
LaFayette6 - AAAA3-418.14295,2930.314538---
North Clayton4 - AAAA1-514.62285,4880.292061---
Luella4 - AAAA1-514.07160,6830.161041---
LaGrange5 - AAAA2-432.371,4600.0061---
Salem4 - AAAA1-512.2340,3870.0418----
Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-56.33101,6370.106----
Gilmer6 - AAAA3-32.4417,2190.021----
Dougherty1 - AAAA1-518.261,3120.001----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-4-1.041,1500.001----
Columbus1 - AAAA1-523.421,7900.00-----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-622.812750.00-----
West Hall7 - AAAA0-78.05800.00-----
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-79.42230.00-----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-7-8.2430.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)837,42897,22355,1667,2512,932
1 - AAAACairo119,494776,92884,17912,2737,126
1 - AAAAWestover32,32754,932541,336285,52585,880
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter10,07666,401195,384481,636246,503
1 - AAAAShaw6754,4556,08489,002899,784
1 - AAAAHardaway-60117,566121,474760,900
1 - AAAAColumbus---1,790998,210
1 - AAAADougherty-12851,026998,688
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)---23999,977
2 - AAAAWest Laurens798,023169,44823,6657,5141,350
2 - AAAAMary Persons146,285334,811311,878197,9089,118
2 - AAAAPerry43,367167,901304,255393,69790,780
2 - AAAAHoward12,149321,681316,750207,489141,931
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee1765,85337,856160,037796,078
2 - AAAASpalding-3065,59633,355960,743
3 - AAAABurke County830,585141,08924,4223,9022
3 - AAAAThomson109,550485,570333,99368,0332,854
3 - AAAABaldwin57,054346,658542,08548,0856,118
3 - AAAARichmond Academy2,81026,10094,738783,68992,663
3 - AAAACross Creek15834,76296,291898,363
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy999,708274162-
4 - AAAAHampton23241,344338,529271,113348,782
4 - AAAAEastside56867,374121,6899,8811,000
4 - AAAAMcDonough490,940454,818316,312137,926
4 - AAAANorth Clayton-1339,597245,878714,512
4 - AAAALuella-1143,659117,013839,317
4 - AAAASalem-421,22539,120959,613
4 - AAAADruid Hills-2467681998,850
5 - AAAACartersville528,906376,15080,57713,452915
5 - AAAASandy Creek461,471514,77120,6392,640479
5 - AAAATroup8,72882,826651,602174,94081,904
5 - AAAACedartown85313,849144,710315,965524,623
5 - AAAAChapel Hill2811,70990,182452,245445,836
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)1469412,20339,386947,703
5 - AAAALaGrange-1871,372998,540
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield788,639139,56649,19622,310289
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)148,189118,799632,79892,0198,195
6 - AAAARidgeland35,161622,931181,798116,14143,969
6 - AAAAPickens27,96896,431103,476512,063260,062
6 - AAAAGilmer334323,08613,668982,781
6 - AAAALaFayette1021,84129,644243,798704,707
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield--21999,997
7 - AAAAMarist578,206284,119101,23836,271166
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity310,891448,797190,70145,5144,097
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch89,119193,269429,359286,2072,046
7 - AAAADenmark21,78173,055275,250540,83789,077
7 - AAAAWhite County37603,42690,842904,969
7 - AAAAChestatee--26249999,725
7 - AAAAWest Hall---80999,920
8 - AAAAOconee County715,810247,51228,7217,006951
8 - AAAANorth Oconee255,284458,064238,68440,9427,026
8 - AAAASt. Pius X20,431245,017491,587174,74768,218
8 - AAAAStephens County5,61836,067117,778327,756512,781
8 - AAAAMadison County2,85713,340123,230449,549411,024

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA5-272.62999,9994.30877,994594,166470,174379,0591.64
Peach County4 - AAA5-169.061,000,0003.94904,696469,144339,664244,2213.09
Pierce County2 - AAA6-063.46999,9993.62784,980520,274228,205122,7677.15
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA6-160.101,000,0003.14750,708412,540117,71363,65814.71
Jefferson8 - AAA5-157.02999,9943.03561,741312,541167,58043,25422.12
Crisp County1 - AAA4-356.40999,6682.96569,231297,754158,15238,75124.81
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA3-356.45999,7402.78490,482266,568132,52732,36129.90
Lovett5 - AAA5-255.00999,8162.47409,819208,79786,56319,71149.73
Jenkins3 - AAA6-154.231,000,0002.57339,963180,83779,11517,10157.48
Liberty County2 - AAA4-053.29999,9302.56459,561195,38167,96214,56167.68
Benedictine3 - AAA4-252.22998,2262.38268,539122,10646,4969,018109.89
North Murray6 - AAA6-150.14999,9982.35388,786144,56350,7947,716128.60
Appling County2 - AAA5-148.74999,7952.12313,960100,61827,2953,935253.13
Hart County8 - AAA5-149.01999,7351.92178,20151,8069,5971,921519.56
Pace Academy5 - AAA4-244.54999,4771.46146,76432,4273,7725511,813.88
Calhoun6 - AAA5-146.52999,9521.6888,64116,1192,5995191,925.78
Jackson4 - AAA4-242.92998,9401.57149,71728,9325,6314692,131.20
Morgan County8 - AAA6-140.31999,8741.5666,75710,6781,3921198,402.36
Islands3 - AAA6-142.78526,0480.7135,8657,4501,4001168,619.69
Dawson County7 - AAA5-241.17980,5491.2243,2019,2171,5981019,899.99
Monroe Area8 - AAA5-238.01980,1311.3150,1136,7138054323,254.81
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA4-337.38979,8121.1627,4743,9084693033,332.33
North Hall7 - AAA3-336.70982,9921.1117,9682,7033061283,332.33
Haralson County6 - AAA6-033.73999,9841.2720,7452,0101035199,999.00
Fannin County7 - AAA5-131.81993,9501.069,417927581999,999.00
Monroe1 - AAA3-425.89777,3871.0813,13563012--
Sonoraville6 - AAA3-325.28812,1410.862,6391607--
Adairsville6 - AAA3-425.02797,0240.842,4391344--
Beach3 - AAA2-222.46910,9201.209,4733353--
Cook1 - AAA1-623.30707,8540.927,3392883--
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-421.55491,1990.634,2471241--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA1-623.55542,3780.561,35458---
Worth County1 - AAA2-518.49515,4930.612,14548---
Windsor Forest3 - AAA2-421.62137,7430.1545414---
Pike County4 - AAA3-318.69436,4410.4552411---
Brantley County2 - AAA3-319.03626,6320.6460910---
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-512.9434,7610.04713---
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA2-520.6465,4090.07623---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA2-416.15111,6960.11671---
Stone Mountain5 - AAA1-512.952,6520.0051---
Jackson County8 - AAA2-520.033,3350.0021---
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-610.70210,7800.2127----
East Jackson8 - AAA3-314.3051,4420.0523----
Redan5 - AAA2-413.5054,0350.0519----
Long County2 - AAA1-58.92165,8500.1714----
Franklin County8 - AAA0-513.8029,2430.0314----
Rutland4 - AAA2-59.8448,0150.0511----
East Hall7 - AAA1-614.5314,7880.013----
Murray County6 - AAA4-38.4810,3440.011----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-54.252,7290.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-60.394390.00-----
Towers5 - AAA1-6-7.974000.00-----
Savannah3 - AAA1-5-1.492100.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-5-3.80510.00-----
Ringgold6 - AAA0-72.11-------
Groves3 - AAA0-6-12.76-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County943,27252,9103,087-399332
1 - AAAMonroe27,767421,192328,425-3222,613
1 - AAACook21,155333,601353,098--292,146
1 - AAAWorth County7,806192,297315,390--484,507
2 - AAAPierce County681,344244,96673,240434151
2 - AAALiberty County227,486461,988298,52311,69024370
2 - AAAAppling County91,123291,165590,72826,080699205
2 - AAABrantley County341,76431,019591,7872,028373,368
2 - AAALong County8591,620164,1621834,150
2 - AAATattnall County5584,870205,847-789,220
3 - AAAJenkins565,210419,47215,28038--
3 - AAABenedictine430,643527,19632,5666,5481,2731,774
3 - AAABeach4,11340,934587,845275,4182,61089,080
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch3412,189303,218150,54825,210508,801
3 - AAAIslands-19430,914462,68332,257473,952
3 - AAAWindsor Forest--13,57690,02234,145862,257
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)-1516,57914,5563,611965,239
3 - AAASavannah--221871999,790
3 - AAAGroves-----1,000,000
4 - AAAPeach County930,61764,7134,4741933-
4 - AAAJackson64,045904,32126,8433,702291,060
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)5,32717,952855,46196,6964,37620,188
4 - AAAPike County1112,87377,536344,4041,617563,559
4 - AAACentral (Macon)-13735,577506,664-457,622
4 - AAARutland-18947,925-951,985
4 - AAAKendrick-320416-999,561
5 - AAACedar Grove872,138118,1976,4043,25371
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)114,586498,819354,19230,6711,472260
5 - AAAPace Academy7,20225,792200,017764,8221,644523
5 - AAALovett6,074357,139438,707195,0752,821184
5 - AAARedan-501443,72150,120945,965
5 - AAAStone Mountain-35352,06153997,348
5 - AAATowers--13972999,600
6 - AAANorth Murray911,02071,20814,7163,000542
6 - AAAHaralson County65,350241,456689,7193,26619316
6 - AAACalhoun23,611686,758285,4983,91017548
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe181562,33075,28233,910888,304
6 - AAASonoraville14126,574402,542402,612187,859
6 - AAAAdairsville--886510,790285,348202,976
6 - AAAMurray County-102771,2038,854989,656
6 - AAACoahulla Creek---744999,949
6 - AAARinggold-----1,000,000
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian973,67824,1262,130651-
7 - AAAFannin County21,915156,202309,114499,2637,4566,050
7 - AAADawson County3,929513,977301,482149,02912,13219,451
7 - AAANorth Hall476305,562381,964293,6691,32117,008
7 - AAACherokee Bluff21294,34241,58119,355934,591
7 - AAAEast Hall--67913,957152985,212
7 - AAALumpkin County-42892,436-997,271
8 - AAAJefferson846,152110,47432,73410,4721626
8 - AAAMorgan County84,763313,304511,89386,8353,079126
8 - AAAHart County46,518524,430282,761141,4444,582265
8 - AAAMonroe Area22,56751,542170,703726,8738,44619,869
8 - AAAEast Jackson-2178165,52544,884948,558
8 - AAAFranklin County-331,09228,10216970,757
8 - AAAJackson County--17492,585996,665

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rockmart7 - AA6-063.19999,9994.08836,700645,961411,489225,4733.44
Rabun County8 - AA6-062.641,000,0004.18887,114712,773382,084214,1183.67
Callaway5 - AA6-161.011,000,0004.15812,193742,431403,851195,0554.13
Dublin3 - AA6-063.06999,8693.80854,151507,056314,965178,7944.59
Hapeville Charter6 - AA5-160.981,000,0003.81930,149475,865272,567138,5376.22
Swainsboro2 - AA5-152.63998,8462.85593,814214,63782,67023,82640.97
Fitzgerald1 - AA6-150.42999,7982.25399,669146,23838,65310,01198.89
Bleckley County3 - AA5-247.55998,7331.88155,24685,29320,6014,169238.87
Union County8 - AA6-044.28999,9942.30358,22098,72319,1802,842350.86
Washington County3 - AA4-246.12812,5241.48171,16150,94310,6431,953511.03
Brooks County1 - AA3-444.99981,7791.53107,88043,3658,5801,414706.21
Dodge County3 - AA3-443.37955,0831.58139,52839,9936,5839421,060.57
Jefferson County4 - AA5-238.91999,9682.18413,14258,9558,3527671,302.78
Bremen5 - AA3-342.42965,6701.82141,27326,3984,2246091,641.04
Thomasville1 - AA3-441.34990,1611.55126,58829,9024,3725561,797.56
Vidalia2 - AA5-138.85978,8021.87135,75128,1863,2813422,922.98
Douglass6 - AA6-136.931,000,0001.85258,72829,0543,2542653,772.58
Pepperell7 - AA5-136.30999,9971.69126,30016,4691,4381307,691.31
Metter2 - AA4-234.62936,3311.6074,88711,0399097014,284.71
Elbert County8 - AA3-332.57971,0191.49143,26910,8627594422,726.27
Heard County5 - AA2-432.40990,6801.4153,0566,2674432835,713.29
Northeast3 - AA3-436.04214,4930.2921,6932,7762081662,499.00
South Atlanta6 - AA5-228.95999,9951.3262,5173,4092007142,856.14
Toombs County2 - AA5-129.30569,4670.8242,8722,6291396166,665.67
Early County1 - AA4-230.38842,4900.9311,6411,343896166,665.67
Lamar County5 - AA6-129.05827,8421.0321,0261,478756166,665.67
Screven County4 - AA5-128.43951,0171.2033,2982,2791384249,999.00
Harlem4 - AA4-328.12997,3001.3315,7241,256624249,999.00
Chattooga7 - AA3-327.27994,4841.2720,2721,265554249,999.00
Jeff Davis2 - AA6-128.89516,3830.7336,4422,0361112499,999.00
Hephzibah4 - AA4-225.57954,2801.129,80283321--
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA2-519.27588,4750.601,7911162--
Southwest3 - AA2-427.4019,1270.02519382--
Therrell6 - AA2-517.79331,5780.3473853---
Temple5 - AA4-321.77166,9490.1855430---
Banks County8 - AA3-311.82450,9810.4675411---
Spencer5 - AA2-421.9748,6710.0520810---
Model7 - AA2-410.47499,6500.511267---
Berrien1 - AA2-514.98185,7720.191546---
Washington6 - AA2-515.6179,9460.081096---
Putnam County8 - AA2-410.95455,4110.466825---
Monticello8 - AA0-69.20120,7320.121262---
Coosa7 - AA1-58.41336,9880.34491---
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-311.6845,7750.05381---
Butler4 - AA1-57.6038,5560.0424----
Gordon Central7 - AA1-54.93168,5860.1713----
Laney4 - AA2-511.397,6750.017----
Glenn Hills4 - AA2-45.045,4290.011----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-4-8.751,8600.001----
Jordan5 - AA0-7-2.061880.00-----
Dade County7 - AA0-6-9.001850.00-----
Bacon County2 - AA0-70.881690.00-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-51.561710.00-----
Armuchee7 - AA0-6-9.911110.00-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-51.2640.00-----
Social Circle8 - AA2-4-17.3530.00-----
Bryan County2 - AA0-6-5.3320.00-----
McNair6 - AA0-7-19.6520.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-6-12.61-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAFitzgerald595,948250,147118,80434,899202
1 - AAThomasville284,789477,699164,61863,0559,839
1 - AABrooks County90,911192,411507,892190,56518,221
1 - AAEarly County28,29577,177195,426541,592157,510
1 - AABerrien572,56613,260169,889814,228
2 - AASwainsboro823,869140,04826,5148,4151,154
2 - AAVidalia135,459459,617292,28691,44021,198
2 - AAMetter23,844331,360422,051159,07663,669
2 - AAToombs County9,80546,228126,860386,574430,533
2 - AAJeff Davis7,02322,746132,238354,376483,617
2 - AABacon County-151117999,831
2 - AABryan County---2999,998
3 - AADublin949,62837,80211,3991,040131
3 - AAWashington County41,386110,397339,748320,993187,476
3 - AABleckley County7,069611,827273,311106,5261,267
3 - AADodge County1,788238,658337,558377,07944,917
3 - AANortheast991,12933,986179,279785,507
3 - AASouthwest301863,98814,923980,873
3 - AAEast Laurens-110160999,829
4 - AAJefferson County880,976112,9584,9821,05232
4 - AAScreven County107,883164,698210,353468,08348,983
4 - AAHarlem11,095676,054242,36767,7842,700
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)4095414,96529,816954,225
4 - AAHephzibah645,308526,119382,84745,720
4 - AAButler-2887037,658961,444
4 - AALaney--3137,362992,325
4 - AAGlenn Hills--315,398994,571
4 - AAJosey----1,000,000
5 - AACallaway970,38825,4214,17813-
5 - AAHeard County21,425230,204435,205303,8469,320
5 - AABremen8,135620,458244,62892,44934,330
5 - AALamar County51117,932293,121416,738172,158
5 - AASpencer11695,12843,373951,329
5 - AATemple-5,81617,740143,393833,051
5 - AAJordan---188999,812
6 - AAHapeville Charter999,816173101-
6 - AADouglass126697,554302,209111-
6 - AASouth Atlanta58302,263697,0666085
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy-10639587,826411,525
6 - AATherrell--70331,508668,422
6 - AAWashington--379,943920,054
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate--31999,996
6 - AAMcNair---2999,998
7 - AARockmart956,87542,886191471
7 - AAPepperell42,855681,940274,4197833
7 - AAChattooga183274,450636,96182,8905,516
7 - AAModel8770982,248416,606500,350
7 - AACoosa-81,823335,157663,012
7 - AAGordon Central-74,336164,243831,414
7 - AADade County--12173999,815
7 - AAArmuchee--10101999,889
8 - AARabun County840,391149,00910,5946-
8 - AAUnion County156,092828,17114,6571,0746
8 - AAElbert County3,50817,358814,081136,07228,981
8 - AABanks County95,45065,905379,617549,019
8 - AAPutnam County-1274,657380,742544,589
8 - AAMonticello--20,104100,628879,268
8 - AAOglethorpe County--21,858998,140
8 - AASocial Circle---3999,997

Class A Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A5-064.391,000,000987,055940,409750,812687,1970.46
Clinch County2 - A5-155.041,000,000943,175836,288287,140207,5973.82
Pelham1 - A6-041.541,000,000861,493564,250357,95947,46020.07
Commerce8 - A5-140.89999,999689,589244,875117,51918,34453.51
Bowdon6 - A6-038.441,000,000769,181331,400147,50016,83458.40
Wilcox County2 - A5-135.721,000,000635,076223,342100,5618,456117.26
Mitchell County1 - A5-132.161,000,000654,378236,43579,6784,922202.17
Manchester4 - A5-132.27994,296565,688220,37267,9054,444224.02
Lincoln County7 - A4-231.25999,990376,69197,04130,3931,937515.26
Marion County4 - A5-231.791,000,000260,17876,50719,0121,346741.94
Turner County2 - A5-126.601,000,000307,33664,24315,4456241,601.56
Johnson County3 - A5-126.14999,172230,14461,13011,1564642,154.17
Schley County4 - A4-224.08751,734160,39033,8055,5661725,812.95
McIntosh County Academy3 - A2-423.68879,13078,50914,6772,5717114,083.51
Emanuel County Institute3 - A3-421.62975,50052,5249,5791,4263727,026.03
Telfair County2 - A2-422.13826,53850,0279,2311,3653727,026.03
Trion6 - A5-220.71999,97767,16011,1061,4662441,665.67
Washington-Wilkes7 - A3-419.66990,45635,4666,2618471376,922.08
Claxton3 - A4-219.11774,94643,3595,3516331376,922.08
Terrell County1 - A4-215.421,000,000146,4528,3547467142,856.14
Montgomery County3 - A4-212.54532,58012,573811531999,999.00
Chattahoochee County1 - A4-311.56999,99741,3942,720139--
Macon County4 - A3-314.4224,4334,60948638--
Charlton County2 - A1-513.53229,6385,78143432--
Warren County7 - A4-39.24476,0506,19431913--
Lanier County2 - A2-410.13215,0523,6051068--
Atkinson County2 - A2-411.5191,1041,563975--
Hancock Central7 - A3-39.55143,2992,035805--
Gordon Lee6 - A2-512.3851,1861,073582--
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-612.9431,266789302--
Dooly County4 - A2-417.472,860303212--
Seminole County1 - A3-3-0.90992,3691,827501--
Miller County1 - A2-52.88858,1782,69677---
Taylor County4 - A3-312.6863,2171,62855---
Jenkins County3 - A2-54.945,92740----
Calhoun County1 - A1-5-14.1187,81812----
Wilkinson County7 - A0-6-0.171,7093----
Greene County7 - A1-5-1.725683----
Greenville4 - A2-42.244321----
Baconton Charter1 - A2-4-18.05578-----
Stewart County1 - A1-5-37.461-----
Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-5-16.71------
Crawford County4 - A1-5-16.06------
Hawkinsville4 - A1-5-3.84------
Portal3 - A0-6-10.68------
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-6-46.10------
Towns County8 - A0-7-22.46------
Treutlen3 - A3-40.87------
Twiggs County7 - A0-7-17.64------
Wheeler County3 - A1-5-23.90------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham756,293999,704296-
1 - AMitchell County241,430929,21670,784-
1 - ATerrell County2,275455,001544,999-
1 - ASeminole County2214992,1557,631
1 - AChattahoochee County-19,103980,8943
1 - AMiller County--858,178141,822
1 - ACalhoun County--87,818912,182
1 - ABaconton Charter--578999,422
1 - AStewart County--1999,999
1 - ARandolph-Clay---1,000,000
2 - AIrwin County981,257999,9982-
2 - AWilcox County12,954621,727378,273-
2 - AClinch County4,398999,900100-
2 - ATurner County1,390296,623703,377-
2 - ALanier County11215,051784,948
2 - ATelfair County-3826,535173,462
2 - ACharlton County-1229,637770,362
2 - AAtkinson County--91,104908,896
3 - AJohnson County209,625209,625789,547828
3 - AEmanuel County Institute7,3107,310968,19024,500
3 - AMontgomery County5,8705,871526,709467,420
3 - AClaxton1,5842,129772,817225,054
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy109109879,021120,870
3 - AJenkins County--5,927994,073
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
4 - AManchester716,756716,756277,5405,704
4 - ASchley County244,092244,092507,642248,266
4 - AMacon County16,24616,2468,187975,567
4 - AMarion County7,2757,283992,717-
4 - ADooly County5675672,293997,140
4 - ATaylor County--63,217936,783
4 - AGreenville--432999,568
4 - AHawkinsville---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - ABowdon121,359961,30938,691-
6 - ATrion151,222998,75523
6 - AGordon Lee--51,186948,814
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)--31,266968,734
7 - ALincoln County2,19339,229960,76110
7 - AHancock Central316316142,983856,701
7 - AWarren County11476,049523,950
7 - AWashington-Wilkes--990,4569,544
7 - AWilkinson County--1,709998,291
7 - AGreene County--568999,432
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce99,105466,444533,5551
8 - ATowns County---1,000,000

Class A Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Holy Innocents5 - A7-066.481,000,000962,211881,632683,453447,3601.24
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A6-166.591,000,000957,575836,036582,303376,3741.66
Athens Academy8 - A6-058.191,000,000919,544616,253368,406130,3356.67
Wesleyan5 - A5-247.871,000,000773,610309,322100,08517,05957.62
Darlington6 - A6-043.961,000,000714,989283,64680,1209,860100.42
Fellowship Christian6 - A6-043.901,000,000625,476214,59856,6317,272136.51
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A5-243.571,000,000345,405160,97732,4854,246234.52
Savannah Christian3 - A3-240.44994,055422,023192,17729,0623,015330.67
Aquinas7 - A6-037.561,000,000548,689153,89824,9571,846540.71
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A6-136.601,000,000274,53664,35810,1047251,378.31
Hebron Christian8 - A4-236.86999,955126,64238,0705,7084832,069.39
Christian Heritage6 - A5-135.481,000,000236,19448,9047,3274622,163.50
Whitefield Academy6 - A6-134.811,000,000191,65441,9174,9973173,153.57
Savannah Country Day3 - A6-032.691,000,000246,57045,6264,9602274,404.29
Calvary Day3 - A4-231.801,000,000172,23130,4272,8571496,710.41
North Cobb Christian6 - A5-131.791,000,000121,30324,0862,3661119,008.01
Mount de Sales7 - A6-030.49998,612170,25833,6192,5681049,614.38
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A3-429.15999,13742,8657,1175912441,665.67
George Walton Academy8 - A5-229.51990,63356,3278,9776452147,618.05
Stratford Academy7 - A2-423.15872,81122,0312,2611106166,665.67
Mount Paran Christian6 - A3-225.30822,29123,3792,3181254249,999.00
St. Francis6 - A3-322.51895,50516,9861,49872--
Brookstone4 - A4-222.43482,39612,2931,08038--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A4-218.97937,3657,98659818--
First Presbyterian7 - A3-319.00384,4996,52849011--
Walker6 - A3-314.05266,9431,057571--
Tattnall Square7 - A3-313.90283,8751,55056---
Athens Christian8 - A2-49.9425,006542---
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-59.896,44918----
Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-54.1736,97215----
Landmark Christian5 - A2-5-0.633,4911----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-5-5.885-----
Pacelli4 - A4-34.13------
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-6-2.96------
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-5-4.73------
Providence Christian8 - A1-5-10.63------
Georgia Military College7 - A2-5-18.88------
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-7-21.24------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian549,463549,463444,5925,945
3 - ASavannah Country Day168,849273,704726,296-
3 - ACalvary Day57,190109,628890,372-
4 - ABrookstone15,06415,064467,332517,604
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AHoly Innocents988,004999,92773-
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian11,687999,9982-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)309199,881800,119-
5 - AWesleyan-895,796104,204-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian--999,137863
5 - AStrong Rock Christian--36,972963,028
5 - ALandmark Christian--3,491996,509
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy---1,000,000
6 - AFellowship Christian392,077628,948371,052-
6 - ADarlington374,913910,22389,777-
6 - AWhitefield Academy79,53896,806903,194-
6 - AChristian Heritage19,314164,108835,892-
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian12,78442,998957,002-
6 - ASt. Francis--895,505104,495
6 - AMount Paran Christian--822,291177,709
6 - AWalker--266,943733,057
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian--6,449993,551
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--5999,995
6 - APinecrest Academy---1,000,000
7 - AAquinas682,964781,832218,168-
7 - AMount de Sales287,849287,849710,7631,388
7 - AFirst Presbyterian16,89816,898367,601615,501
7 - AStratford Academy7,2187,218865,593127,189
7 - ATattnall Square2,5612,561281,314716,125
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy859,504974,01725,983-
8 - AHebron Christian40,70041,542958,41345
8 - ARiverside Military Academy528528936,83762,635
8 - APrince Avenue Christian149997999,003-
8 - AAthens Christian141424,992974,994
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy--990,6339,367
8 - AProvidence Christian---1,000,000
8 - ALakeview Academy---1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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