High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 9

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 16, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA7-0101.101,000,0005.17955,306841,410749,998626,1030.60
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA5-289.42999,9994.31891,707680,418548,523196,2724.09
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA7-084.43999,9983.17618,231425,807126,48551,12918.56
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA6-281.281,000,0003.17894,166178,19794,08032,99729.31
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA6-180.44990,8712.86620,971244,370122,11224,67539.53
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA7-077.84999,9592.84517,521297,76579,11015,51563.45
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA3-477.75998,8462.88542,202302,56776,61415,17664.89
Walton4 - AAAAAAA7-079.68999,9852.48455,705230,38451,40815,11465.16
Archer8 - AAAAAAA5-278.52999,8292.54378,449196,69932,5869,832100.71
Milton5 - AAAAAAA5-272.15999,9943.03720,686289,47759,0936,780146.49
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA5-272.79911,2861.82257,08685,73219,9112,411413.77
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA4-373.67896,4131.78134,77034,68710,5771,765565.57
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA5-267.83999,6121.73159,94522,0547,1445411,847.43
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA6-167.451,000,0001.88126,10136,1696,3595221,914.71
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-168.01938,3291.50135,32833,2314,9624312,319.19
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA6-166.38992,4561.50100,98533,2263,6353043,288.47
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA5-365.42999,9571.75151,52836,7124,3222643,786.88
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA6-164.77833,6221.3870,1039,0691,5119810,203.08
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-360.47994,2321.5659,3763,1903092737,036.04
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA6-162.05417,6820.6325,7003,0563522049,999.00
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA5-257.34978,5281.2629,8863,8462341099,999.00
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA3-457.98998,2711.4256,3516,8544379111,110.11
Newton8 - AAAAAAA3-454.71991,1641.3929,173875733333,332.33
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA2-555.00978,0041.1716,6021,722872499,999.00
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA4-350.28954,0701.054,80329820--
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-553.52983,2921.2014,31758616--
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA1-652.26953,3101.065,30739110--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA6-147.70725,4930.786,7872079--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-450.52974,0061.037,2692278--
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA3-550.72815,2600.842,5891756--
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA3-443.76881,3640.935,5591895--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-449.32687,9590.742,4072113--
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA5-250.07381,9100.411,8151831--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA3-542.51278,2850.287886---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA5-234.17461,9710.46953---
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA4-347.2010,6300.01642---
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA2-544.4778,2340.08562---
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-437.06444,4010.451561---
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-636.64140,2030.14321---
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-433.69116,1100.12151---
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA2-530.2094,1630.1043----
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-635.6823,3010.0210----
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA2-527.0933,4900.039----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA3-430.8421,6860.021----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-629.7021,8150.02-----
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-824.27100.00-----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-716.70-------
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-6-15.61-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County886,185102,4669,179-2,170-
1 - AAAAAAALowndes80,345590,045239,151-81,3309,129
1 - AAAAAAATift County24,685197,871424,084-264,64688,714
1 - AAAAAAACamden County8,785109,618327,586-492,34061,671
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake910,26077,1099,0743,1627388
2 - AAAAAAANewnan76,759311,254342,739223,318-45,930
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta8,641395,294363,959185,416-46,690
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook3,754208,982214,850260,373-312,041
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler5507,15266,404307,649155618,090
2 - AAAAAAACampbell362092,97420,082-976,699
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta481,057486,26825,2266,281141,154
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove504,278369,13688,91226,31511,31841
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern97441,983537,804270,88244,770103,587
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding6,26671,441255,867479,31220,736166,378
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb7,42430,99787,415211,56180,285582,318
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain11754,7765,64929989,370
4 - AAAAAAAWalton796,252189,28914,2691522315
4 - AAAAAAARoswell192,960738,79151,7778,8071217,544
4 - AAAAAAACherokee10,75825,953780,279157,016-25,994
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah1145,277112,107657,865-184,740
4 - AAAAAAALassiter-18539,613100,405-859,797
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock195051,95575,755-921,766
5 - AAAAAAAMilton997,7921,91123655-6
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth954677,672280,16035,446-5,768
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth345304,089592,72286,136-16,708
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central5245,92230,223425,302-538,029
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth37510,30765,854367,865-555,599
5 - AAAAAAALambert109930,80585,196-883,890
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett999,98713----
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek8612,786275,112112,051-43
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View4234,218375,111369,195-21,472
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill1152,982348,414476,607-21,996
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery--57321,242-978,185
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-179020,895-978,314
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge---10-999,990
7 - AAAAAAAParkview858,427137,8692,928737372
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood138,444639,902219,1932,461--
7 - AAAAAAANorcross2,071219,049613,184163,967-1,729
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek1,0582,980162,889556,5562,010274,507
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett-2001,806276,279-721,715
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson997,0201,2411,500238-1
8 - AAAAAAAArcher382993,6074,2431,5889171
8 - AAAAAAANewton2,408837955,82132,098-8,836
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett1903,8275,791871,556-118,636
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh-11613,44880,599-905,837
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County-37219,19713,921-966,510

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA7-081.54999,8675.15964,178800,703748,748649,6990.54
Creekview6 - AAAAAA7-068.38999,9973.44886,242262,756207,553112,5847.88
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA5-365.111,000,0003.49746,444486,850299,63175,31412.28
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA4-463.65988,1973.22700,357436,750218,40152,07918.20
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA5-263.86969,9723.01632,650364,701195,74048,79019.50
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA6-160.62992,9972.68550,650285,75199,74822,66243.13
Coffee1 - AAAAAA6-257.21878,8002.17444,540255,82932,88510,05398.47
Harrison6 - AAAAAA7-156.18999,4612.31434,205207,25634,7777,910125.42
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA3-454.18995,7382.32245,263114,81539,0374,971200.17
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA7-153.381,000,0002.27277,49698,22232,4373,870257.40
Tucker4 - AAAAAA5-252.391,000,0001.80284,506129,48017,7173,044327.52
Dacula8 - AAAAAA5-252.12996,0452.15288,537101,02620,8842,653375.93
Centennial7 - AAAAAA5-251.17999,9821.62198,52778,66510,4651,567637.16
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA6-150.381,000,0001.60210,86783,76411,0331,444691.52
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA6-151.091,000,0001.57180,81070,3909,7131,386720.50
Lanier8 - AAAAAA5-247.74998,0391.91196,59363,3866,4947231,382.13
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA5-247.95993,0111.3191,01623,8793,9653342,993.01
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA3-445.94996,8901.95126,54335,5402,8813303,029.30
Creekside5 - AAAAAA4-346.15946,6411.67105,22923,0263,0392863,495.50
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-442.38940,3961.7486,31719,6601,4448711,493.25
Mays5 - AAAAAA3-444.44795,6731.2167,80316,9369288411,903.76
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA5-340.59985,0931.7179,90013,9589475617,856.14
Northgate5 - AAAAAA4-341.48686,7741.0034,0244,9843552343,477.26
Dalton6 - AAAAAA5-347.2332,8350.055,7711,9791111952,630.58
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA5-339.161,000,0001.0920,5943,3433161190,908.09
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA4-235.66981,5621.3633,0814,4311814249,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA3-434.45974,8291.3025,8513,0951134249,999.00
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA4-337.08754,8070.9513,4631,277773333,332.33
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-538.45473,5610.609,6991,166912499,999.00
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-538.76133,1360.1711,1801,956542499,999.00
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-533.2281,8830.122,32421062499,999.00
Hughes5 - AAAAAA3-539.21370,8240.4812,5351,6841021999,999.00
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-337.34959,0290.984,746295411999,999.00
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-432.36686,7890.805,868451171999,999.00
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-537.314,7380.012404831999,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA1-632.14829,4240.998,29281426--
Alexander5 - AAAAAA3-436.48150,3360.193,66843325--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA1-629.20707,8450.813,6462686--
Pope7 - AAAAAA3-533.28426,7360.442,640553--
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA2-533.2149,7520.06717602--
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-527.80369,8770.41846451--
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA2-527.67136,4630.15514341--
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-527.57365,1260.37876171--
Northview7 - AAAAAA4-327.78215,1450.2252781--
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-726.2690,7590.102144---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-628.145,9170.016----
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-522.9934,2970.035----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA2-621.944670.00-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA1-616.141590.00-----
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA1-621.441310.00-----
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-729.64-------
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA3-425.54-------
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA1-724.85-------
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-722.16-------
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-721.62-------
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-816.28-------
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-613.95-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-8-2.79-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County887,93398,5978,4184,919133
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)12,785376,071564,17435,16711,803
1 - AAAAAAValdosta99,233522,812377,741214-
1 - AAAAAACoffee22,38037,380839,038121,200
1 - AAAAAAHouston County4714012,287120,662866,864
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy773,789169,11129,92422,9144,262
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill38,071397,210367,270194,3393,110
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute152,737363,652346,69877,30959,604
2 - AAAAAABrunswick52,91010,86268,106918,117
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County35,39867,117245,246637,33214,907
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown423,038330,333168,69552,76325,171
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier35,872116,639242,199313,135292,155
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)480,862336,520123,80140,37918,438
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy5111,969129,469228,388630,123
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)2,39019,87227,76186,440863,537
3 - AAAAAAEvans57,787184,667308,075278,895170,576
4 - AAAAAATucker564,451412,86722,682--
4 - AAAAAAStephenson416,722441,970141,099209-
4 - AAAAAALovejoy18,827145,163836,010--
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill---959,02940,971
4 - AAAAAADrew--20934,088965,703
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King---131999,869
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)---467999,533
4 - AAAAAAMorrow---5,917994,083
4 - AAAAAAForest Park---159999,841
5 - AAAAAADouglas County784,413212,5512,399637-
5 - AAAAAAMays-105,421433,604256,648204,327
5 - AAAAAANorthgate637217,079172,286296,772313,226
5 - AAAAAACreekside211,981408,996245,64280,02253,359
5 - AAAAAAAlexander2,96921,40544,80481,158849,664
5 - AAAAAAHughes-20,91787,530262,377629,176
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding-13,63113,73522,386950,248
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAACreekview935,85044,74417,3102,0933
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona23,341643,879263,70139,05130,028
6 - AAAAAASequoyah3,236273,044458,072258,6457,003
6 - AAAAAAHarrison37,57338,333258,181665,374539
6 - AAAAAADalton--2,37830,457967,165
6 - AAAAAASprayberry--3584,380995,262
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAACentennial490,051407,308101,87674718
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek414,306316,736268,89365-
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta95,604274,082577,77945,5466,989
7 - AAAAAACambridge-223,013342,111634,874
7 - AAAAAAPope-53,649423,082573,264
7 - AAAAAANorthview391,86724,790188,449784,855
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAADunwoody----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAADacula611,686289,83078,94315,5863,955
8 - AAAAAALanier371,919550,52568,0337,5621,961
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central9,38661,128388,321295,972245,193
8 - AAAAAAApalachee6,80265,240277,315337,432313,211
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow20130,169171,663271,528526,439
8 - AAAAAAGainesville63,10815,72571,920909,241

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA8-086.651,000,0005.04980,281831,592660,884567,0560.76
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA7-177.011,000,0003.97827,488752,887265,168179,7024.56
Buford8 - AAAAA6-271.291,000,0003.81787,658545,276384,64596,8479.33
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA7-073.111,000,0003.33850,893318,236184,35376,26012.11
Jones County4 - AAAAA6-167.42999,9773.13666,883410,565202,46640,00324.00
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA7-064.83999,2352.77589,537277,075118,53819,86449.34
Wayne County2 - AAAAA8-060.881,000,0002.45327,485136,53943,4286,121162.37
Kell7 - AAAAA5-260.46992,9282.37318,858116,79441,8415,007198.72
Ware County2 - AAAAA5-259.70999,5482.34272,177118,90829,2174,069244.76
Carrollton7 - AAAAA6-256.99985,5812.26438,067105,42118,4601,951511.56
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA7-052.48999,9192.37437,020119,40121,5901,215822.05
Veterans1 - AAAAA7-154.66986,8831.37129,64945,7658,3996281,591.36
Banneker6 - AAAAA6-152.231,000,0001.88341,92749,9052,8294312,319.19
East Paulding7 - AAAAA3-450.37862,3641.78270,83154,5897,2713622,761.43
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-251.47879,6911.1070,95716,5912,7531546,492.51
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA3-450.49934,1441.2070,29920,7142,8041466,848.32
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA5-344.081,000,0001.8489,54128,0062,6276116,392.44
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA5-346.96999,9671.92208,79620,2081,1296016,665.67
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA3-448.57689,1380.7614,5885,3282002147,618.05
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA5-345.67964,4811.8045,4024,9413481662,499.00
Riverwood6 - AAAAA5-240.63996,8321.2966,3347,8254859111,110.11
Loganville8 - AAAAA3-538.26924,3251.3046,8793,4671627142,856.14
Griffin3 - AAAAA5-343.26999,8151.4935,1502,018894249,999.00
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-640.63942,3641.3828,1872,8941682499,999.00
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA4-335.16999,7821.3337,6101,783522499,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA4-233.16988,2981.269,621868191999,999.00
Hiram7 - AAAAA4-339.4320,2330.032,22117271999,999.00
Riverdale3 - AAAAA6-136.11993,0651.2712,4851,17538--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA4-333.74778,0160.803,5322239--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA4-338.10127,9760.168,2033536--
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA3-431.49989,4521.042,8371206--
Harris County1 - AAAAA2-636.68199,2820.211,969556--
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-533.02808,7360.851,971443--
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA3-436.21172,0310.1855481---
Union Grove4 - AAAAA4-336.88139,5640.1443476---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA2-628.19105,6450.121,04553---
Lithonia5 - AAAAA5-224.55920,0781.001,86432---
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA4-331.1510,9180.012859---
South Effingham2 - AAAAA2-621.0169,7900.08885---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-621.38594,8930.611574---
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-621.23470,5310.481032---
Decatur6 - AAAAA2-424.67222,9820.2379----
McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-519.46149,5710.1541----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-415.745,5820.0110----
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-718.6130,6480.033----
North Springs6 - AAAAA2-421.0310,2380.011----
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-712.6018,1650.02-----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-7-2.1214,7970.01-----
Grady6 - AAAAA1-612.092,4130.00-----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-50.05670.00-----
Ola4 - AAAAA1-630.39540.00-----
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-630.7510.00-----
Cass7 - AAAAA1-724.11-------
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-724.01-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-8-31.29-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-8-72.39-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins920,79074,0094,382819-
1 - AAAAABainbridge44,533498,854284,177106,58065,856
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central895273,288263,271342,237120,309
1 - AAAAAVeterans33,782141,799432,481378,82113,117
1 - AAAAAHarris County-12,05015,689171,543800,718
2 - AAAAAWayne County566,988402,95421,9098,149-
2 - AAAAAWare County427,853548,99321,5561,146452
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead5,15933,526360,727588,88611,702
2 - AAAAAStatesboro-13,714588,916339,73457,636
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham-8136,89262,085930,210
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill873,815116,11410,071--
3 - AAAAAGriffin11,199579,682399,2649,670185
3 - AAAAARiverdale114,986303,275560,94313,8616,935
3 - AAAAAJonesboro--13,529795,207191,264
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh-9299,781138,861850,429
3 - AAAAAWhitewater--6,41224,236969,352
3 - AAAAAFayette County---18,165981,835
4 - AAAAADutchtown711,483201,39776,32210,798-
4 - AAAAAStockbridge191,106316,929482,9238,277765
4 - AAAAAJones County97,411481,116420,0881,36223
4 - AAAAALocust Grove-35013,189675,599310,862
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)-2087,455164,368827,969
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove--19139,545860,436
4 - AAAAAOla--450999,946
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing---1999,999
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb850,359135,57512,2071,77881
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain132,140664,081197,3556,206218
5 - AAAAALithonia17,501192,342483,633226,60279,922
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove-6,541219,406368,946405,107
5 - AAAAAColumbia-1,40286,910382,219529,469
5 - AAAAAChamblee-5948914,249985,203
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker951,16138,04910,77317-
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)28,10238,239726,260196,85110,548
6 - AAAAARiverwood20,735822,021102,24951,8273,168
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson297,91186,956593,147221,984
6 - AAAAADecatur-3,70972,523146,750777,018
6 - AAAAANorth Springs-711,2078,960989,762
6 - AAAAAGrady--322,381997,587
6 - AAAAALithia Springs---67999,933
7 - AAAAARome999,99541--
7 - AAAAACarrollton5147,330289,188549,05814,419
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding-107,448577,256177,660137,636
7 - AAAAAKell-744,227116,953131,7487,072
7 - AAAAAHiram-87512,8316,527979,767
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica-1062,050125,820872,024
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)-101,7219,187989,082
7 - AAAAACass----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAPaulding County----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford971,98827,422590--
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals507774,617112,92976,42835,519
8 - AAAAAClarke Central27,50572,915748,233151,31433
8 - AAAAALoganville-124,926135,089664,31075,675
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove-118184105,343894,355
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-22,9752,605994,418

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA7-079.371,000,0004.63886,442787,467571,793385,3911.59
Troup5 - AAAA7-075.69999,9834.22833,311760,738425,148230,1053.35
Mary Persons2 - AAAA7-073.93999,9014.03935,041616,661351,738161,1305.21
Cartersville5 - AAAA8-072.851,000,0003.93786,125697,438340,665150,4865.65
St. Pius X8 - AAAA7-168.79999,9992.77538,491238,337110,04936,72426.23
Marist7 - AAAA7-164.321,000,0002.54377,060183,80865,50316,00861.47
Eastside4 - AAAA7-057.62999,9982.74653,727115,16333,2875,746173.03
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA6-159.76998,0392.05194,85891,24022,1143,967251.08
Burke County3 - AAAA6-256.801,000,0002.36515,79798,99320,3763,046327.30
Ridgeland6 - AAAA5-256.591,000,0001.96138,36790,70217,1692,645377.07
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA4-358.48922,0911.6595,00746,75211,5692,033490.88
Cairo1 - AAAA5-249.33999,9962.51494,19271,3498,1056931,442.00
Pickens6 - AAAA8-051.361,000,0001.6366,65635,7764,4794672,140.33
Howard2 - AAAA5-250.34972,5461.91295,91940,0344,9714482,231.14
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA4-350.50938,4801.72244,01029,9723,6303382,957.58
West Laurens2 - AAAA5-250.05784,2011.34180,09019,8902,3642274,404.29
Baldwin3 - AAAA3-547.421,000,0001.69192,13816,8651,8511387,245.38
Cedartown5 - AAAA4-350.70578,3000.7922,8737,0139691158,694.65
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA4-346.32999,9041.95218,24517,7631,3148511,763.71
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA5-251.52491,2560.6320,7805,8867978411,903.76
Oconee County8 - AAAA5-348.52982,0541.2620,9857,3878506515,383.62
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA6-243.48964,3421.2471,7845,6013752539,999.00
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA6-143.16997,4761.7466,8465,1934001758,822.53
Stephens County8 - AAAA4-342.58899,1840.967,1921,9551148124,999.00
North Oconee8 - AAAA6-241.91992,0101.077,4682,0191266166,665.67
Thomson3 - AAAA2-539.52934,4531.0732,0031,816921999,999.00
Perry2 - AAAA4-341.98186,7890.2517,170885381999,999.00
Salem4 - AAAA4-332.01990,0331.2613,897345121999,999.00
Columbus1 - AAAA4-338.05964,2991.3550,1851,99976--
Spalding2 - AAAA3-436.95118,0830.155,62219511--
White County7 - AAAA2-535.05692,9010.772,4894037--
West Hall7 - AAAA2-631.28234,9280.25410513--
Westover1 - AAAA3-331.37635,5370.716,5731122--
Hampton4 - AAAA3-425.01601,4230.653,164512--
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA4-332.07990,9181.021,259621--
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA3-430.41318,1050.342,27249---
Denmark7 - AAAA4-429.6071,8710.089612---
Henry County4 - AAAA2-519.99403,9660.428457---
Madison County8 - AAAA2-526.09126,7530.13335---
Hardaway1 - AAAA3-328.1762,0330.073644---
LaFayette6 - AAAA4-416.85120,2500.1281---
LaGrange5 - AAAA1-632.533,9990.0071---
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA3-526.3022,5150.0282----
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA3-519.20790,8420.8080----
Cross Creek3 - AAAA3-315.07101,2050.1031----
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA2-631.084,3710.002----
Luella4 - AAAA2-515.493,7500.002----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA3-48.4397,9530.101----
North Clayton4 - AAAA1-68.889190.001----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-67.792,2610.00-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-7-17.90370.00-----
Shaw1 - AAAA3-418.80340.00-----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-5-1.7170.00-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-66.1450.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo993,8986,03528354
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)5,687809,343146,47135,9752,524
1 - AAAAColumbus15160,462668,910134,91235,701
1 - AAAAWestover-17,350142,262475,925364,463
1 - AAAAHardaway--14,05147,982937,967
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter4006,81025,695285,200681,895
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)--2,58319,932977,485
1 - AAAAShaw---34999,966
1 - AAAADougherty---5999,995
2 - AAAAMary Persons922,94969,6295,9941,32999
2 - AAAAHoward56,467519,073310,16886,83827,454
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee2,638318,080362,877254,88561,520
2 - AAAAWest Laurens17,91381,472279,285405,531215,799
2 - AAAAPerry3257916,385169,793813,211
2 - AAAASpalding111,16725,29181,624881,917
3 - AAAABurke County677,939289,56331,4661,032-
3 - AAAABaldwin318,011672,3889,103498-
3 - AAAAThomson4,04433,127341,920555,36265,547
3 - AAAARichmond Academy-2,839606,948354,55535,658
3 - AAAACross Creek62,08310,56388,553898,795
4 - AAAAEastside999,1693873161262
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy713834,104164,51757096
4 - AAAASalem117165,085816,3878,4449,967
4 - AAAAHampton-14011,035590,248398,577
4 - AAAAHenry County11326,740397,093596,034
4 - AAAALuella-1199142,717996,250
4 - AAAADruid Hills---7999,993
4 - AAAANorth Clayton-3391795999,081
5 - AAAATroup541,491442,57614,5611,35517
5 - AAAACartersville455,386512,74123,8897,984-
5 - AAAASandy Creek-13,429681,623227,03977,909
5 - AAAACedartown3,12314,352209,795351,030421,700
5 - AAAAChapel Hill-16,90269,964404,390508,744
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)--1144,257995,629
5 - AAAALaGrange--543,945996,001
6 - AAAARidgeland605,677394,258641-
6 - AAAAPickens394,323605,677---
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield--751,520239,3989,082
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)-1228,660562,181209,158
6 - AAAALaFayette--100120,150879,750
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield-6419,65678,233902,047
6 - AAAAGilmer---37999,963
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity842,907126,20230,588303-
7 - AAAAMarist121,841566,254311,905--
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch35,252307,481629,61525,6911,961
7 - AAAAWest Hall--16,863218,065765,072
7 - AAAAWhite County-631,487691,351307,099
7 - AAAADenmark--9,54262,329928,129
7 - AAAAChestatee---2,261997,739
8 - AAAASt. Pius X984,19513,3952,2641451
8 - AAAAOconee County567687,261226,83267,39417,946
8 - AAAANorth Oconee196217,020428,108346,6867,990
8 - AAAAStephens County14,85277,165333,271473,896100,816
8 - AAAAMadison County1905,1599,525111,879873,247

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA7-171.831,000,0004.50907,641683,319554,609361,2931.77
Calhoun6 - AAA7-069.971,000,0004.37823,045730,779526,671296,0872.38
Peach County4 - AAA5-264.05999,9673.77847,219565,368260,387112,0177.93
Monroe Area8 - AAA8-063.031,000,0003.48708,147586,521218,18394,2649.61
Benedictine3 - AAA6-162.881,000,0003.34813,763284,849183,80778,10211.80
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA6-257.551,000,0003.01646,740283,38791,38725,87037.65
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA4-356.92999,8312.27200,855124,78645,86412,56678.58
Crisp County1 - AAA4-352.92999,7172.66640,986135,33141,7208,767113.06
Liberty County2 - AAA4-147.28999,4182.51481,041120,70115,7842,246444.24
Dawson County7 - AAA6-148.59999,9922.18177,32394,78113,1732,205452.51
North Hall7 - AAA6-148.23999,9252.14156,78077,72711,0521,715582.09
Pace Academy5 - AAA5-350.03999,9861.70152,14849,2509,6011,602623.22
Jefferson8 - AAA7-147.781,000,0001.75169,31167,4838,9971,317758.30
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA5-245.16999,9992.19235,37740,6116,7357971,253.71
Pierce County2 - AAA7-043.51999,9852.23339,05762,6576,3016781,473.93
Appling County2 - AAA3-339.78996,9181.94211,47729,1572,0961705,881.35
Jackson4 - AAA4-340.32999,9771.74201,56128,1911,7781536,534.95
Lovett5 - AAA3-541.68977,8271.2344,66417,6221,1881208,332.33
Pike County4 - AAA6-135.46997,1491.52103,2108,7663731662,499.00
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA7-032.821,000,0001.4034,5522,5781361099,999.00
Cook1 - AAA2-530.50962,8011.3157,3343,956934249,999.00
Morgan County8 - AAA3-528.88989,4011.031,73412551999,999.00
North Murray6 - AAA5-329.59968,4001.075,63174018--
Haralson County6 - AAA6-126.28998,8171.093,67728913--
Jenkins3 - AAA6-227.301,000,0001.1717,57933510--
Hart County8 - AAA2-529.73903,1160.941,68513010--
Ringgold6 - AAA3-425.73630,2780.662,6741553--
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA5-224.45849,1310.911,9941333--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA3-420.51632,3030.696,8051692--
Islands3 - AAA2-516.01369,4540.391,824391--
Monroe1 - AAA3-416.18709,7820.751,84832---
Adairsville6 - AAA3-520.86248,8900.2564911---
Tattnall County2 - AAA1-615.45896,0510.929308---
Sonoraville6 - AAA3-419.09275,8610.283127---
Central (Macon)4 - AAA2-628.573,0720.00632---
Franklin County8 - AAA2-519.3798,4370.10322---
Fannin County7 - AAA3-48.12691,5070.69292---
Worth County1 - AAA1-610.26327,9150.342411---
Brantley County2 - AAA1-69.4771,2440.0728----
Jackson County8 - AAA2-518.7817,6990.0218----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA3-45.10287,5140.2910----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-5-3.6214,3820.013----
Redan5 - AAA0-67.2923,0420.022----
Long County2 - AAA0-7-4.5038,3590.041----
East Hall7 - AAA2-66.4921,2560.02-----
Beach3 - AAA1-54.893190.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA1-6-15.811220.00-----
Towers5 - AAA0-7-7.74960.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-7-13.75360.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-6-13.97130.00-----
Rutland4 - AAA0-8-18.9980.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-6-1.5530.00-----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-8-11.64-------
Groves3 - AAA1-7-13.37-------
Murray County6 - AAA0-8-17.80-------
Savannah3 - AAA0-7-18.88-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County918,24377,9643,295-215283
1 - AAACook72,253714,331176,217--37,199
1 - AAAMonroe6,945160,390542,447--290,218
1 - AAAWorth County2,55947,315278,041--672,085
2 - AAALiberty County466,219329,763200,3593,05423582
2 - AAAPierce County325,102358,054293,37423,451415
2 - AAAAppling County207,967305,765425,16856,0701,9483,082
2 - AAATattnall County7126,06176,155813,123-103,949
2 - AAABrantley County-3514,76466,129-928,756
2 - AAALong County-618038,173-961,641
3 - AAABenedictine951,94745,5922,461---
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch40,025932,25327,7211--
3 - AAAJenkins8,02822,155969,817---
3 - AAAWindsor Forest---616,54215,761367,697
3 - AAAIslands---368,993461630,546
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)--114,267114985,618
3 - AAABeach---197122999,681
3 - AAASavannah-----1,000,000
3 - AAAGroves-----1,000,000
4 - AAAPeach County860,434126,99711,3421,0979733
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)121,368746,227114,26718,137-1
4 - AAAPike County1,518111,925354,938528,6571112,851
4 - AAAJackson16,68014,851519,435449,011-23
4 - AAACentral (Macon)--173,055-996,928
4 - AAAKendrick--135-999,964
4 - AAARutland---8-999,992
5 - AAACedar Grove967,22031,1991,581---
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)13824,540137,14837,424706169
5 - AAAPace Academy32,76778,625775,155113,3687114
5 - AAALovett-65,63186,053826,1251822,173
5 - AAARedan-55722,980-976,958
5 - AAATowers--690-999,904
5 - AAAStone Mountain---13-999,987
6 - AAACalhoun992,1877,76845---
6 - AAAHaralson County5,852432,939220,837163,365175,8241,183
6 - AAANorth Murray-263,367383,391249,81871,82431,600
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe1,961277,622239,586270,21959,743150,869
6 - AAARinggold-15,81898,596218,250297,614369,722
6 - AAASonoraville-2,48657,50793,084122,784724,139
6 - AAAAdairsville--385,264243,588751,110
6 - AAACoahulla Creek----3999,997
6 - AAAMurray County-----1,000,000
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian999,935632---
7 - AAADawson County2546,951445,9017,109298
7 - AAANorth Hall28452,800541,7255,23513775
7 - AAAFannin County351617,207684,104-308,493
7 - AAALumpkin County-253,028284,461-712,486
7 - AAAEast Hall--2,13719,09128978,744
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-----1,000,000
8 - AAAMonroe Area806,899192,949152---
8 - AAAJefferson193,101806,899----
8 - AAAMorgan County--474,749514,6361610,599
8 - AAAHart County--517,284385,68414896,884
8 - AAAFranklin County-1527,81090,261214901,563
8 - AAAJackson County--19,3018,397982,301
8 - AAAEast Jackson--4118-999,878

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Callaway5 - AA7-162.791,000,0004.15864,288584,444442,765275,2952.63
Rockmart7 - AA7-060.461,000,0003.83801,951547,006324,254179,9454.56
Hapeville Charter6 - AA6-160.011,000,0003.54687,592457,500259,343141,1296.09
Dublin3 - AA7-158.481,000,0003.41763,440355,327223,073113,1957.83
Washington County3 - AA6-056.97998,0732.99629,747275,867146,86167,88113.73
Rabun County8 - AA6-152.761,000,0003.19711,902402,173134,86448,17719.76
Brooks County1 - AA5-254.14991,7932.86535,488261,83699,14439,19524.51
Fitzgerald1 - AA6-253.78999,9862.88538,916268,83697,62937,90125.38
Dodge County3 - AA6-155.69998,5032.61501,215202,19385,94237,84125.43
Bremen5 - AA6-155.39999,3062.54351,910184,63980,31934,06328.36
Vidalia2 - AA7-049.20999,3192.21318,814153,85640,90411,44786.36
Thomasville1 - AA4-449.38856,0301.78196,78954,44619,0765,377184.98
Swainsboro2 - AA5-246.27999,7741.78191,99472,16615,7053,633274.25
Heard County5 - AA5-243.54996,5751.78123,54531,1606,7951,269787.02
Jefferson County4 - AA6-243.551,000,0001.71135,38127,8185,9421,102906.44
Douglass6 - AA6-142.39999,9951.95126,28228,9666,3221,037963.32
Early County1 - AA5-143.11773,5181.38110,76225,4444,7128361,195.17
Union County8 - AA7-037.841,000,0001.54103,44722,7092,6103213,114.26
Washington6 - AA6-237.33995,0841.83141,07926,5642,6252923,423.66
Berrien1 - AA5-235.80378,6730.5417,5912,1272292343,477.26
Hephzibah4 - AA6-232.50999,9631.2317,3521,3601751283,332.33
Elbert County8 - AA4-333.32981,3611.109,257960811099,999.00
Chattooga7 - AA5-230.72999,8641.3334,9984,0442399111,110.11
Pepperell7 - AA4-328.15999,8651.2621,7612,107963333,332.33
Harlem4 - AA5-330.42999,9791.1115,9092,6191312499,999.00
Northeast3 - AA3-429.44973,3071.1113,7491,855872499,999.00
Spencer5 - AA1-625.34978,8371.0717,3701,199341999,999.00
Metter2 - AA5-226.62622,7240.653,206140141999,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA4-325.13936,3290.983,694213101999,999.00
Toombs County2 - AA5-327.03992,9081.056,37529415--
Butler4 - AA4-324.27380,7420.40955241--
Jeff Davis2 - AA5-220.89283,4300.29555121--
Southwest3 - AA2-530.0911,3920.01186261--
Bleckley County3 - AA2-528.1914,0390.02162151--
Screven County4 - AA4-324.04586,6620.611,33238---
Monticello8 - AA3-414.01732,8620.744138---
Coosa7 - AA2-515.49626,2940.632791---
Therrell6 - AA2-516.5953,0070.061455---
Bacon County2 - AA1-716.3996,1420.10752---
Lamar County5 - AA3-413.3711,4260.0130----
Banks County8 - AA3-47.06198,6370.2022----
Model7 - AA2-57.02293,0560.29201---
Putnam County8 - AA2-57.1387,0400.098----
Laney4 - AA3-413.3925,1120.037----
Gordon Central7 - AA2-51.6280,2690.082----
McNair6 - AA2-57.1110,3840.012----
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-612.733,9620.002----
Temple5 - AA1-7-5.624,8810.001----
Jordan5 - AA2-6-4.398,9750.01-----
Glenn Hills4 - AA1-65.097,5420.01-----
Bryan County2 - AA1-62.985,7030.01-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-53.924,6860.00-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-56.961,2390.00-----
Dade County7 - AA1-6-2.406490.00-----
Social Circle8 - AA4-3-5.611000.00-----
Armuchee7 - AA1-6-9.2330.00-----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-6-2.68-------
Josey4 - AA0-7-10.39-------
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-7-25.01-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AABrooks County507,704384,66983,81515,6058,207
1 - AAFitzgerald443,348466,83382,6777,12814
1 - AAThomasville8828,865504,994322,083143,970
1 - AAEarly County47,657101,313235,519389,029226,482
1 - AABerrien1,20318,32092,995266,155621,327
2 - AAVidalia637,351349,02511,0451,898681
2 - AASwainsboro358,123545,48493,0943,073226
2 - AAToombs County4,51691,173746,966150,2537,092
2 - AAMetter78,43126,915587,371377,276
2 - AAJeff Davis35,879121,929155,619716,570
2 - AABacon County-85196,083903,858
2 - AABryan County---5,703994,297
3 - AADublin662,854311,96014,95510,231-
3 - AAWashington County312,801340,035310,11435,1231,927
3 - AADodge County22,784344,203623,9187,5981,497
3 - AANortheast1,5613,80245,481922,46326,693
3 - AASouthwest--2,1419,251988,608
3 - AABleckley County--3,36010,679985,961
3 - AAEast Laurens--314,655995,314
4 - AAJefferson County998,96078284174-
4 - AAHephzibah1,039997,3831,22731437
4 - AAHarlem-1,575995,7542,65021
4 - AAScreven County12602,614583,787413,338
4 - AAButler--155380,587619,258
4 - AALaney--16624,946974,888
4 - AAGlenn Hills---7,542992,458
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)----1,000,000
4 - AAJosey----1,000,000
5 - AACallaway897,21482,64120,145--
5 - AABremen48,950710,667222,94316,746694
5 - AAHeard County53,836202,176717,85522,7083,425
5 - AASpencer-3,99836,353938,48621,163
5 - AALamar County-5182,7048,204988,574
5 - AAJordan---8,975991,025
5 - AATemple---4,881995,119
6 - AAHapeville Charter968,67928,4872,834--
6 - AADouglass1,086809,553161,93327,4235
6 - AAWashington30,235150,544793,93820,3674,916
6 - AASouth Atlanta-11,41626,821898,09263,671
6 - AATherrell--14,46938,538946,993
6 - AAMcNair---10,384989,616
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy---3,962996,038
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate--51,234998,761
7 - AARockmart999,8989462-
7 - AAChattooga57538,901460,227679136
7 - AAPepperell45460,984538,130706135
7 - AACoosa-71,041625,246373,706
7 - AAModel-1231292,824706,944
7 - AAGordon Central---80,269919,731
7 - AADade County-13365271999,351
7 - AAArmuchee---3999,997
8 - AARabun County840,806159,1931--
8 - AAUnion County159,194840,79115--
8 - AAElbert County-13858,349122,99918,639
8 - AAMonticello-399,691633,168267,138
8 - AABanks County--28,158170,479801,363
8 - AAPutnam County--13,78673,254912,960
8 - AASocial Circle---100999,900
8 - AAOglethorpe County----1,000,000

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A7-065.211,000,000984,867935,328783,499698,2480.43
Clinch County2 - A6-154.631,000,000950,196790,250315,728178,0884.62
Commerce8 - A7-044.381,000,000860,365462,290276,54646,25720.62
Marion County4 - A8-044.341,000,000803,888424,053181,94036,32726.53
Pelham1 - A7-038.691,000,000808,143451,380194,04919,69849.77
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A7-137.221,000,000730,983253,64694,2049,393105.46
Charlton County2 - A5-236.091,000,000628,963147,85848,6324,955200.82
Schley County4 - A6-135.381,000,000425,029160,53541,4273,993249.44
Mitchell County1 - A5-129.391,000,000602,735154,41435,1541,670597.80
Emanuel County Institute3 - A4-329.63999,840250,05265,3149,7366531,530.39
Dooly County4 - A3-328.10848,939110,59724,4923,5311785,616.98
Wilcox County2 - A4-326.56990,943111,52623,8373,6521526,577.95
Greene County7 - A5-223.751,000,000166,97930,0243,1001267,935.51
Turner County2 - A4-326.08997,92894,65120,8593,1059810,203.08
Claxton3 - A5-222.931,000,00091,62115,5261,8446216,128.03
Trion6 - A5-323.86999,94351,74010,6441,4114721,275.60
Telfair County2 - A3-423.43672,84157,4657,6398812245,453.55
Montgomery County3 - A5-220.52962,97662,2238,2097051758,822.53
Hancock Central7 - A4-318.91936,82328,5323,6342721099,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A3-419.15745,95836,1703,8172633333,332.33
Chattahoochee County1 - A5-314.661,000,00082,6733,2661821999,999.00
Jenkins County3 - A4-415.00667,85924,2251,415821999,999.00
Lincoln County7 - A2-511.08234,5593,989254141999,999.00
Washington-Wilkes7 - A3-514.60263,6627,13453722--
Miller County1 - A3-36.95993,24416,73152417--
Seminole County1 - A4-23.74999,3394,2791252--
Warren County7 - A4-38.04246,2192,8351121--
Manchester4 - A4-321.166,247570121--
Terrell County1 - A1-5-5.44334,2975453---
Johnson County3 - A4-39.908,9431592---
Towns County8 - A2-5-1.784,652151---
Gordon Lee6 - A2-57.267,15299----
Calhoun County1 - A1-5-11.7374,22121----
Baconton Charter1 - A2-4-15.703,314-----
Lanier County2 - A0-7-5.1878-----
Stewart County1 - A2-4-28.9415-----
Wilkinson County7 - A1-6-3.275-----
Macon County4 - A3-420.862-----
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-6-38.761-----
Taylor County4 - A3-49.46------
Bowdon6 - A0-75.09------
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-71.72------
Portal3 - A1-6-0.57------
Hawkinsville4 - A2-5-2.53------
Greenville4 - A2-5-2.94------
Wheeler County3 - A1-5-10.08------
Treutlen3 - A2-5-13.51------
Crawford County4 - A2-4-16.37------
Twiggs County7 - A0-8-28.46------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-7-31.22------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham750,238998,3211,679-
1 - AMitchell County248,925922,53377,467-
1 - AChattahoochee County-160,683839,317-
1 - AMiller County-12,463980,7816,756
1 - ASeminole County8371,452997,887661
1 - ATerrell County--334,297665,703
1 - ACalhoun County--74,221925,779
1 - ABaconton Charter--3,314996,686
1 - AStewart County--15999,985
1 - ARandolph-Clay--1999,999
2 - AIrwin County999,2631,000,000--
2 - AClinch County655999,559441-
2 - ACharlton County81636,338363,662-
2 - ATurner County-290997,6382,072
2 - AWilcox County195990,8489,057
2 - AAtkinson County-2745,956254,042
2 - ATelfair County--672,841327,159
2 - ALanier County--78999,922
3 - AEmanuel County Institute179,123179,125820,715160
3 - AClaxton11,48711,942988,058-
3 - AJenkins County--667,859332,141
3 - AMontgomery County29,53929,539933,43737,024
3 - AJohnson County--8,943991,057
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
4 - AMarion County689,654749,466250,534-
4 - ASchley County310,346310,346689,654-
4 - ADooly County--848,939151,061
4 - AManchester--6,247993,753
4 - AMacon County--2999,998
4 - AGreenville---1,000,000
4 - ATaylor County---1,000,000
4 - AHawkinsville---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)399,981870,649129,351-
6 - ATrion--999,94357
6 - AGordon Lee--7,152992,848
6 - ABowdon---1,000,000
7 - AGreene County157,928163,867836,133-
7 - AHancock Central--936,82363,177
7 - ALincoln County--234,559765,441
7 - AWashington-Wilkes--263,662736,338
7 - AWarren County--246,219753,781
7 - AWilkinson County--5999,995
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce180,461953,33046,670-
8 - ATowns County--4,652995,348

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Athens Academy8 - A7-057.401,000,000944,048814,223658,175437,4961.29
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A6-155.301,000,000935,281795,537626,875352,9661.83
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A6-149.491,000,000831,184447,429239,799101,7878.82
Savannah Christian3 - A6-142.671,000,000787,682463,217143,76039,43924.36
George Walton Academy8 - A6-142.831,000,000540,708255,12881,17423,14442.21
Fellowship Christian6 - A7-040.291,000,000704,711345,51192,48621,73245.02
Aquinas7 - A7-034.841,000,000626,202234,87743,7036,764146.84
Darlington6 - A6-134.781,000,000583,135185,24435,0285,547179.28
Calvary Day3 - A6-135.101,000,000481,804105,77826,1944,345229.15
Mount Paran Christian6 - A5-236.26999,860198,57384,45519,2553,482286.19
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A5-229.841,000,000292,06354,5458,6368561,167.22
Wesleyan5 - A3-430.83999,996199,53139,7706,6417481,335.90
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A4-331.40999,945114,56435,6205,3776161,622.38
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A5-228.191,000,000176,94839,2914,4293882,576.32
Christian Heritage6 - A5-226.841,000,000127,47820,5242,4232144,671.90
Brookstone4 - A5-227.63999,22993,05222,2991,9071915,234.60
Whitefield Academy6 - A5-225.55999,99465,57814,4851,2321049,614.38
North Cobb Christian6 - A6-124.991,000,00087,51814,5501,3019610,415.67
Tattnall Square7 - A5-319.46984,97887,28411,9605733132,257.06
Mount de Sales7 - A6-121.801,000,00046,5327,2594692343,477.26
Savannah Country Day3 - A6-121.701,000,00032,3504,8053782245,453.55
Holy Innocents5 - A3-419.29960,27224,8222,8241489111,110.11
Stratford Academy7 - A2-515.25686,6058,74632122--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A4-312.15579,3994,5371717--
Pinecrest Academy6 - A3-412.43393,5223,050834--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A3-411.40266,1831,695574--
First Presbyterian7 - A2-56.9130,86842019---
St. Francis6 - A3-411.4955,83837313---
Athens Christian8 - A2-56.2520,884723---
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-58.7612,059511---
Landmark Christian5 - A2-51.349,82481---
Providence Christian8 - A3-4-2.77530-----
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-7-11.2014-----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-6-3.24------
Pacelli4 - A4-4-3.52------
Georgia Military College7 - A3-5-8.29------
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-7-10.46------
Walker6 - A0-7-10.81------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian728,726964,83635,164-
3 - ACalvary Day44,236559,606440,394-
3 - ASavannah Country Day6,88917,271982,729-
4 - ABrookstone--999,229771
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian975,499999,661339-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)-352,944647,056-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian24,03245,121954,879-
5 - AWesleyan46160,954939,0424
5 - AHoly Innocents--960,27239,728
5 - AStrong Rock Christian88266,175733,817
5 - ALandmark Christian--9,824990,176
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy--14999,986
6 - AFellowship Christian510,739850,921149,079-
6 - ADarlington10,269838,283161,717-
6 - AMount Paran Christian63,01163,011936,849140
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian68363,799936,201-
6 - AWhitefield Academy14,04914,049985,9456
6 - AChristian Heritage1,26840,064959,936-
6 - APinecrest Academy--393,522606,478
6 - ASt. Francis--55,838944,162
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian--12,059987,941
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian---1,000,000
6 - AWalker---1,000,000
7 - AAquinas596,648923,70676,294-
7 - AMount de Sales-15999,985-
7 - ATattnall Square241,855241,855743,12315,022
7 - AStratford Academy--686,605313,395
7 - AFirst Presbyterian3,5693,56927,299969,132
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy818,086999,9919-
8 - APrince Avenue Christian-717,238282,762-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy-241,645758,355-
8 - AHebron Christian Academy1,3921,392998,55355
8 - ARiverside Military Academy6161579,338420,601
8 - AAthens Christian--20,884979,116
8 - AProvidence Christian--530999,470
8 - ALakeview Academy---1,000,000
1 - APataula Charter---1,000,000
7 - AACE Charter---1,000,000
7 - AGlascock County---1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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