Sports
Maxwell playoff projections after Week 8
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2016 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.
Class AAAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 4 - AAAAAAA | 155,526 | 844,474 | 96,683 | 2,275 | 15 | 302,272 | 697,728 | 10,883 | 478,147 | 1.09 |
| 6 - AAAAAAA | 297,112 | 702,888 | 57,708 | 1,415 | 9 | 533,374 | 466,626 | 4,158 | 226,974 | 3.41 |
| 8 - AAAAAAA | 321,382 | 678,618 | 121,783 | 2,600 | 15 | 648,157 | 351,843 | 7,392 | 153,994 | 5.49 |
| 7 - AAAAAAA | 429,288 | 570,712 | 51,382 | 1,211 | 5 | 815,048 | 184,952 | 1,962 | 66,526 | 14.03 |
| 1 - AAAAAAA | 553,789 | 446,211 | 68,400 | 1,638 | 6 | 840,252 | 159,748 | 3,974 | 47,132 | 20.22 |
| 3 - AAAAAAA | 737,247 | 262,753 | 18,022 | 295 | 1 | 897,794 | 102,206 | 628 | 26,593 | 36.60 |
| 5 - AAAAAAA | 969,095 | 30,905 | 258 | 1 | - | 995,546 | 4,454 | 2 | 384 | 2,603.17 |
| 2 - AAAAAAA | 960,607 | 39,393 | 327 | - | - | 996,560 | 3,440 | 4 | 250 | 3,999.00 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roswell | 4 - AAAAAAA | 6-0 | 98.31 | 999,990 | 907,309 | 842,419 | 688,231 | 475,492 | 1.10 |
| Mill Creek | 6 - AAAAAAA | 7-0 | 93.88 | 1,000,000 | 821,123 | 685,464 | 458,668 | 225,534 | 3.43 |
| Grayson | 8 - AAAAAAA | 5-1 | 91.29 | 999,995 | 871,008 | 651,204 | 332,518 | 149,965 | 5.67 |
| Norcross | 7 - AAAAAAA | 6-0 | 86.10 | 1,000,000 | 688,275 | 534,244 | 172,509 | 64,954 | 14.40 |
| Colquitt County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 85.19 | 996,795 | 650,183 | 329,082 | 122,404 | 39,349 | 24.41 |
| McEachern | 3 - AAAAAAA | 5-1 | 83.16 | 999,471 | 697,964 | 223,795 | 93,501 | 25,654 | 37.98 |
| Lowndes | 1 - AAAAAAA | 6-1 | 77.82 | 994,551 | 404,222 | 162,070 | 37,681 | 7,458 | 133.08 |
| Archer | 8 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 75.22 | 975,320 | 366,854 | 124,953 | 23,756 | 3,813 | 261.26 |
| Lassiter | 4 - AAAAAAA | 5-1 | 74.12 | 987,717 | 189,176 | 79,436 | 18,834 | 2,591 | 384.95 |
| North Gwinnett | 6 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 71.81 | 993,059 | 141,342 | 46,178 | 9,141 | 1,207 | 827.50 |
| Parkview | 7 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 71.99 | 997,398 | 259,710 | 50,387 | 8,962 | 1,065 | 937.97 |
| North Cobb | 3 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 69.91 | 991,148 | 268,095 | 37,130 | 7,047 | 798 | 1,252.13 |
| Brookwood | 7 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 69.16 | 994,433 | 216,993 | 38,068 | 5,414 | 506 | 1,975.28 |
| West Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 5-1 | 66.59 | 989,251 | 214,110 | 20,230 | 3,386 | 331 | 3,020.15 |
| Tift County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 67.66 | 913,445 | 188,618 | 24,032 | 3,558 | 324 | 3,085.42 |
| Westlake | 2 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 65.84 | 994,896 | 163,958 | 28,456 | 2,616 | 202 | 4,949.50 |
| Mountain View | 6 - AAAAAAA | 6-1 | 65.71 | 937,938 | 100,306 | 17,804 | 1,816 | 147 | 6,801.72 |
| South Gwinnett | 8 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 66.87 | 890,570 | 73,487 | 15,090 | 1,789 | 140 | 7,141.86 |
| North Paulding | 3 - AAAAAAA | 5-1 | 65.50 | 959,575 | 109,982 | 13,928 | 1,719 | 116 | 8,619.69 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 64.38 | 926,757 | 75,085 | 12,563 | 1,159 | 86 | 11,626.91 |
| Newton | 8 - AAAAAAA | 4-2-1 | 63.55 | 974,575 | 69,637 | 11,663 | 1,169 | 76 | 13,156.89 |
| East Coweta | 2 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 62.15 | 990,364 | 74,057 | 10,422 | 796 | 47 | 21,275.60 |
| South Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 62.43 | 964,788 | 99,027 | 7,571 | 861 | 46 | 21,738.13 |
| Cherokee | 4 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 62.50 | 777,020 | 63,212 | 9,434 | 740 | 37 | 27,026.03 |
| Hillgrove | 3 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 62.90 | 792,334 | 56,908 | 6,080 | 566 | 25 | 39,999.00 |
| Woodstock | 4 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 61.61 | 656,299 | 47,729 | 6,189 | 456 | 16 | 62,499.00 |
| Walton | 4 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 60.79 | 583,302 | 39,648 | 4,496 | 284 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Lambert | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 57.88 | 827,447 | 35,578 | 2,220 | 168 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Camden County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 57.20 | 343,020 | 23,744 | 1,071 | 79 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Etowah | 4 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 57.99 | 400,561 | 19,242 | 1,474 | 66 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Central Gwinnett | 7 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 51.53 | 971,784 | 27,216 | 609 | 29 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Newnan | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 50.79 | 824,019 | 3,910 | 318 | 13 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Milton | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 54.82 | 700,126 | 15,108 | 865 | 32 | - | - |
| Wheeler | 2 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 52.36 | 914,039 | 6,786 | 523 | 19 | - | - |
| North Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 51.18 | 604,148 | 5,792 | 277 | 9 | - | - |
| Shiloh | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-5 | 51.83 | 236,158 | 1,304 | 103 | 3 | - | - |
| Marietta | 3 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 51.21 | 303,615 | 2,644 | 138 | 1 | - | - |
| Collins Hill | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 45.51 | 147,357 | 489 | 10 | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Atlanta) | 7 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 36.45 | 56,830 | 85 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Pebblebrook | 2 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 37.16 | 273,103 | 63 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Kennesaw Mountain | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 37.88 | 28,873 | 12 | - | - | - | - |
| Forsyth Central | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 34.25 | 59,716 | 8 | - | - | - | - |
| Rockdale County | 8 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 33.63 | 12,579 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Campbell | 2 - AAAAAAA | 0-6 | 20.70 | 11,207 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Duluth | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 22.03 | 3,829 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Meadowcreek | 7 - AAAAAAA | 1-6 | 10.84 | 348 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Discovery | 6 - AAAAAAA | 1-6 | 22.03 | 185 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Berkmar | 7 - AAAAAAA | 0-7 | -1.36 | 65 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 1 - AAAAAA | 46,547 | 953,453 | 700,024 | 277,555 | 41,616 | 148,522 | 851,478 | 341,446 | 692,259 | 0.44 |
| 6 - AAAAAA | 434,787 | 565,213 | 91,615 | 3,830 | 45 | 738,094 | 261,906 | 8,594 | 111,165 | 8.00 |
| 5 - AAAAAA | 510,368 | 489,632 | 106,754 | 9,796 | 305 | 770,322 | 229,678 | 10,837 | 87,667 | 10.41 |
| 4 - AAAAAA | 648,913 | 351,087 | 21,147 | 272 | 1 | 823,014 | 176,986 | 448 | 75,411 | 12.26 |
| 2 - AAAAAA | 730,021 | 269,979 | 14,735 | 133 | - | 899,994 | 100,006 | 241 | 30,847 | 31.42 |
| 8 - AAAAAA | 927,589 | 72,411 | 1,216 | 4 | - | 985,489 | 14,511 | 15 | 2,215 | 450.47 |
| 7 - AAAAAA | 971,862 | 28,138 | 285 | 1 | - | 996,177 | 3,823 | 2 | 436 | 2,292.58 |
| 3 - AAAAAA | 999,249 | 751 | - | - | - | 999,971 | 29 | - | - | - |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valdosta | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 84.03 | 981,865 | 838,114 | 724,036 | 533,657 | 377,563 | 1.65 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 78.45 | 954,564 | 724,528 | 549,660 | 325,705 | 161,412 | 5.20 |
| Lee County | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 78.21 | 933,094 | 691,328 | 508,091 | 282,912 | 141,278 | 6.08 |
| Harrison | 6 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 75.68 | 998,464 | 756,463 | 459,852 | 217,358 | 98,887 | 9.11 |
| Tucker | 4 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 75.34 | 999,991 | 669,603 | 341,546 | 173,922 | 75,105 | 12.31 |
| Mays | 5 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 75.41 | 987,526 | 474,232 | 285,536 | 143,365 | 62,325 | 15.04 |
| Glynn Academy | 2 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 70.11 | 999,477 | 688,305 | 255,230 | 96,967 | 30,583 | 31.70 |
| Hughes | 5 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 68.47 | 992,198 | 286,765 | 145,802 | 48,724 | 13,954 | 70.66 |
| Dalton | 6 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 66.55 | 995,518 | 437,450 | 151,032 | 44,147 | 10,900 | 90.74 |
| Houston County | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 67.42 | 646,215 | 299,025 | 128,928 | 37,268 | 9,534 | 103.89 |
| Alexander | 5 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 66.80 | 922,566 | 247,418 | 112,370 | 34,295 | 8,629 | 114.89 |
| Northgate | 5 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 63.31 | 943,698 | 136,711 | 59,246 | 13,565 | 2,691 | 370.61 |
| Coffee | 1 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 63.04 | 484,262 | 176,621 | 61,935 | 13,382 | 2,472 | 403.53 |
| Lanier | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 60.41 | 993,842 | 338,392 | 58,029 | 12,899 | 2,089 | 477.70 |
| Allatoona | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 60.61 | 825,994 | 228,510 | 42,381 | 8,367 | 1,348 | 740.84 |
| Centennial | 7 - AAAAAA | 5-2 | 56.31 | 995,324 | 34,086 | 11,827 | 1,716 | 220 | 4,544.45 |
| Johns Creek | 7 - AAAAAA | 5-2 | 56.24 | 981,552 | 36,259 | 10,099 | 1,416 | 178 | 5,616.98 |
| Stephenson | 4 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 53.39 | 968,868 | 164,432 | 15,000 | 1,792 | 159 | 6,288.31 |
| Effingham County | 2 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 53.51 | 962,393 | 138,503 | 15,208 | 1,819 | 154 | 6,492.51 |
| Lovejoy | 4 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 53.12 | 999,996 | 95,218 | 14,636 | 1,647 | 145 | 6,895.55 |
| Dacula | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 52.44 | 949,154 | 111,251 | 10,620 | 1,212 | 101 | 9,899.99 |
| Brunswick | 2 - AAAAAA | 3-2 | 52.34 | 950,401 | 106,004 | 10,810 | 1,185 | 97 | 10,308.28 |
| Creekside | 5 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 58.72 | 101,436 | 8,168 | 2,802 | 455 | 57 | 17,542.86 |
| Alpharetta | 7 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 53.51 | 919,683 | 21,889 | 4,648 | 562 | 32 | 31,249.00 |
| Gainesville | 8 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 50.03 | 890,096 | 57,025 | 4,629 | 404 | 25 | 39,999.00 |
| Creekview | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 51.43 | 223,363 | 30,220 | 2,288 | 243 | 18 | 55,554.56 |
| Richmond Hill | 2 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 47.50 | 938,258 | 53,657 | 3,599 | 276 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Douglas County | 5 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 54.79 | 51,551 | 2,567 | 730 | 111 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Sequoyah | 6 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 48.37 | 664,413 | 61,343 | 3,766 | 283 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Cambridge | 7 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 49.31 | 971,091 | 12,365 | 1,847 | 131 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Sprayberry | 6 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 47.51 | 287,585 | 24,140 | 1,385 | 102 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Drew | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 44.19 | 720,958 | 26,712 | 1,196 | 70 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Heritage (Conyers) | 3 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 42.49 | 972,357 | 5,074 | 420 | 19 | - | - |
| Evans | 3 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 41.71 | 965,035 | 4,161 | 312 | 10 | - | - |
| Winder-Barrow | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 39.72 | 716,377 | 6,829 | 275 | 9 | - | - |
| Mundy's Mill | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 40.31 | 242,387 | 3,470 | 125 | 3 | - | - |
| Habersham Central | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 36.64 | 439,749 | 2,134 | 76 | 2 | - | - |
| Grovetown | 3 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 31.74 | 851,447 | 404 | 13 | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Evans) | 3 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 26.99 | 479,910 | 90 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee | 7 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 35.57 | 58,468 | 48 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Jonesboro | 4 - AAAAAA | 0-6 | 31.80 | 26,421 | 80 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 29.39 | 29,506 | 87 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Bradwell Institute | 2 - AAAAAA | 2-2-1 | 25.75 | 149,471 | 86 | 1 | - | - | - |
| M.L. King | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 33.98 | 11,873 | 64 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Greenbrier | 3 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 25.82 | 466,883 | 63 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Pope | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 36.99 | 52,563 | 48 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Alcovy | 3 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 23.45 | 264,368 | 23 | - | - | - | - |
| River Ridge | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 29.26 | 2,854 | 13 | - | - | - | - |
| Northview | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 33.01 | 20,696 | 11 | - | - | - | - |
| South Cobb | 6 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 29.12 | 1,809 | 6 | - | - | - | - |
| Apalachee | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-4-1 | 21.85 | 10,782 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| Tri-Cities | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-6 | 35.97 | 950 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Dunwoody | 7 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 24.93 | 620 | - | - | - | - | - |
| South Paulding | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-6 | 34.48 | 69 | - | - | - | - | - |
| New Manchester | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-7 | 31.13 | 6 | - | - | - | - | - |
| North Atlanta | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 24.79 | 3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Osborne | 6 - AAAAAA | 0-7 | 6.52 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Forest Park | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-7 | 4.57 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 8 - AAAAA | 233,922 | 766,078 | 60,182 | 528 | 1 | 338,927 | 661,073 | 6,964 | 507,816 | 0.97 |
| 4 - AAAAA | 125,341 | 874,659 | 351,152 | 20,600 | 323 | 450,500 | 549,500 | 50,357 | 251,042 | 2.98 |
| 7 - AAAAA | 258,430 | 741,570 | 253,846 | 31,768 | 699 | 568,420 | 431,580 | 41,874 | 177,219 | 4.64 |
| 2 - AAAAA | 707,714 | 292,286 | 819 | - | - | 866,197 | 133,803 | - | 35,746 | 26.98 |
| 6 - AAAAA | 705,762 | 294,238 | 11,290 | 20 | - | 936,922 | 63,078 | 255 | 18,542 | 52.93 |
| 1 - AAAAA | 888,448 | 111,552 | 4,157 | 55 | - | 968,098 | 31,902 | 96 | 6,213 | 159.95 |
| 3 - AAAAA | 890,617 | 109,383 | 3,631 | 28 | - | 982,519 | 17,481 | 31 | 2,218 | 449.86 |
| 5 - AAAAA | 929,524 | 70,476 | 655 | - | - | 987,994 | 12,006 | - | 1,204 | 829.56 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | 8 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 83.11 | 999,995 | 906,756 | 770,786 | 656,941 | 506,695 | 0.97 |
| Stockbridge | 4 - AAAAA | 6-0 | 74.90 | 999,970 | 844,351 | 746,048 | 446,975 | 210,730 | 3.75 |
| Kell | 7 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 72.19 | 999,972 | 858,915 | 566,417 | 315,133 | 122,250 | 7.18 |
| Rome | 7 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 68.37 | 997,605 | 739,454 | 208,610 | 104,102 | 42,447 | 22.56 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) | 4 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 65.72 | 991,277 | 581,963 | 409,973 | 130,357 | 36,271 | 26.57 |
| Ware County | 2 - AAAAA | 2-3 | 66.75 | 999,994 | 643,285 | 292,726 | 133,795 | 35,746 | 26.98 |
| Grady | 6 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 63.95 | 999,891 | 425,554 | 270,650 | 58,047 | 18,095 | 54.26 |
| Carrollton | 7 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 61.91 | 972,232 | 645,820 | 244,990 | 53,656 | 12,497 | 79.02 |
| Thomas County Central | 1 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 61.42 | 993,003 | 303,966 | 71,175 | 25,488 | 5,587 | 177.99 |
| Jones County | 4 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 59.72 | 927,473 | 161,571 | 69,570 | 18,992 | 3,641 | 273.65 |
| Griffin | 3 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 56.41 | 960,804 | 298,765 | 74,237 | 13,911 | 1,964 | 508.16 |
| Arabia Mountain | 5 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 53.02 | 998,645 | 365,683 | 67,029 | 11,800 | 1,197 | 834.42 |
| Loganville | 8 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 54.37 | 990,678 | 194,495 | 48,462 | 10,427 | 1,090 | 916.43 |
| Bainbridge | 1 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 53.17 | 951,337 | 163,872 | 29,962 | 5,364 | 572 | 1,747.25 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | 6 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 51.26 | 996,809 | 83,999 | 33,724 | 5,240 | 442 | 2,261.44 |
| Locust Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 54.09 | 527,407 | 70,140 | 17,085 | 3,010 | 350 | 2,856.14 |
| Riverdale | 3 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 48.95 | 963,675 | 132,616 | 19,060 | 2,078 | 151 | 6,621.52 |
| Starr's Mill | 3 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 46.97 | 904,931 | 122,292 | 15,621 | 1,209 | 92 | 10,868.57 |
| Warner Robins | 1 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 46.64 | 782,827 | 86,007 | 9,683 | 866 | 46 | 21,738.13 |
| Dutchtown | 4 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 49.83 | 241,422 | 17,457 | 3,000 | 416 | 42 | 23,808.52 |
| Clarke Central | 8 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 44.65 | 952,706 | 37,828 | 7,334 | 662 | 31 | 32,257.06 |
| East Paulding | 7 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 46.32 | 114,368 | 17,984 | 1,841 | 208 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Whitewater | 3 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 44.03 | 693,371 | 40,178 | 3,569 | 281 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Villa Rica | 7 - AAAAA | 4-3 | 41.03 | 492,900 | 44,694 | 2,992 | 191 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Ola | 4 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 44.55 | 281,254 | 10,291 | 1,001 | 100 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Southwest DeKalb | 5 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 40.88 | 972,682 | 54,072 | 3,928 | 204 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Veterans | 1 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 41.85 | 695,609 | 42,360 | 3,304 | 192 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Cass | 7 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 41.31 | 280,298 | 27,061 | 1,911 | 92 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Banneker | 6 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 36.43 | 859,700 | 9,322 | 829 | 30 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Harris County | 1 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 39.67 | 577,224 | 25,707 | 1,640 | 88 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Fayette County | 3 - AAAAA | 3-2-1 | 39.64 | 350,032 | 8,816 | 545 | 33 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Riverwood | 6 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 37.33 | 726,756 | 4,192 | 333 | 16 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Paulding County | 7 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 41.66 | 93,916 | 9,661 | 662 | 48 | - | - |
| Hiram | 7 - AAAAA | 4-3 | 42.93 | 48,709 | 5,630 | 463 | 24 | - | - |
| Eagle's Landing | 4 - AAAAA | 2-5 | 39.91 | 31,107 | 667 | 57 | 7 | - | - |
| Wayne County | 2 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 34.83 | 965,145 | 3,368 | 275 | 6 | - | - |
| Flowery Branch | 8 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 31.95 | 649,020 | 2,255 | 165 | 5 | - | - |
| Lithonia | 5 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 31.41 | 779,988 | 4,247 | 141 | 2 | - | - |
| Statesboro | 2 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 27.06 | 871,750 | 737 | 57 | 1 | - | - |
| South Effingham | 2 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 26.54 | 851,342 | 716 | 46 | 1 | - | - |
| Walnut Grove | 8 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 28.70 | 259,004 | 363 | 23 | 1 | - | - |
| Cedar Shoals | 8 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 30.01 | 148,586 | 223 | 17 | 1 | - | - |
| Miller Grove | 5 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 25.15 | 586,959 | 725 | 17 | - | - | - |
| Columbia | 5 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 25.65 | 522,966 | 715 | 16 | - | - | - |
| North Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 27.35 | 401,573 | 433 | 13 | - | - | - |
| McIntosh | 3 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 32.39 | 126,716 | 740 | 11 | - | - | - |
| New Hampstead | 2 - AAAAA | 1-4-1 | 13.22 | 311,769 | 32 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Chamblee | 5 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 16.20 | 138,760 | 20 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Maynard Jackson | 6 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 21.33 | 12,097 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Decatur | 6 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 19.90 | 1,800 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lithia Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 12.93 | 1,374 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Morrow | 3 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 11.61 | 471 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Union Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 1-4-1 | 24.77 | 86 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Gainesville) | 8 - AAAAA | 0-7 | -4.72 | 11 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hampton | 4 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 18.90 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Woodland (Cartersville) | 7 - AAAAA | 0-7 | 14.33 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clarkston | 5 - AAAAA | 0-7 | -22.78 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cross Keys | 5 - AAAAA | 1-2 | -31.64 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 5 - AAAA | 155,431 | 844,569 | 291,396 | 39,351 | 1,696 | 217,190 | 782,810 | 61,204 | 638,230 | 0.57 |
| 3 - AAAA | 324,471 | 675,529 | 23,503 | 46 | - | 441,601 | 558,399 | 2,500 | 195,406 | 4.12 |
| 4 - AAAA | 688,881 | 311,119 | 28,346 | 267 | 1 | 768,481 | 231,519 | 4,845 | 107,309 | 8.32 |
| 8 - AAAA | 501,039 | 498,961 | 87,987 | 2,797 | 20 | 865,880 | 134,120 | 2,020 | 22,616 | 43.22 |
| 7 - AAAA | 580,851 | 419,149 | 50,951 | 335 | - | 914,805 | 85,195 | 1,602 | 17,402 | 56.46 |
| 2 - AAAA | 656,474 | 343,526 | 33,691 | 649 | 1 | 944,739 | 55,261 | 486 | 9,274 | 106.83 |
| 1 - AAAA | 713,200 | 286,800 | 16,396 | 66 | - | 931,371 | 68,629 | 93 | 8,966 | 110.53 |
| 6 - AAAA | 957,464 | 42,536 | 314 | 1 | - | 988,685 | 11,315 | 2 | 797 | 1,253.71 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartersville | 5 - AAAA | 7-0 | 83.82 | 999,949 | 937,066 | 791,081 | 745,489 | 621,567 | 0.61 |
| Thomson | 3 - AAAA | 6-0 | 72.39 | 999,998 | 766,352 | 660,874 | 549,660 | 194,111 | 4.15 |
| Woodward Academy | 4 - AAAA | 6-1 | 70.77 | 999,974 | 846,505 | 257,559 | 209,837 | 104,643 | 8.56 |
| Jefferson | 8 - AAAA | 5-1 | 59.52 | 995,601 | 620,246 | 346,765 | 95,975 | 17,672 | 55.59 |
| Sandy Creek | 5 - AAAA | 4-2 | 60.55 | 869,926 | 375,727 | 233,497 | 66,079 | 13,352 | 73.90 |
| Blessed Trinity | 7 - AAAA | 5-2 | 58.07 | 999,195 | 432,153 | 260,545 | 47,267 | 10,217 | 96.88 |
| Cairo | 1 - AAAA | 5-1 | 56.30 | 998,393 | 472,614 | 261,264 | 65,951 | 8,784 | 112.84 |
| Mary Persons | 2 - AAAA | 5-2 | 56.18 | 994,535 | 511,551 | 259,089 | 37,378 | 7,654 | 129.65 |
| Marist | 7 - AAAA | 4-2 | 56.92 | 998,862 | 354,115 | 203,580 | 38,799 | 7,161 | 138.65 |
| Stephens County | 8 - AAAA | 5-1 | 53.74 | 943,929 | 392,901 | 153,028 | 27,079 | 3,662 | 272.07 |
| Eastside | 4 - AAAA | 5-1-1 | 52.54 | 999,524 | 387,032 | 73,266 | 26,030 | 2,644 | 377.21 |
| Cedartown | 5 - AAAA | 5-2 | 52.46 | 910,110 | 174,881 | 80,157 | 15,855 | 1,725 | 578.71 |
| Troup | 5 - AAAA | 5-1 | 51.77 | 927,192 | 155,270 | 67,811 | 16,416 | 1,573 | 634.73 |
| Burke County | 3 - AAAA | 5-1 | 51.77 | 998,797 | 98,704 | 37,568 | 11,229 | 1,295 | 771.20 |
| Oconee County | 8 - AAAA | 5-1 | 50.59 | 882,571 | 249,511 | 69,403 | 10,678 | 1,167 | 855.90 |
| West Laurens | 2 - AAAA | 5-2 | 49.36 | 937,318 | 234,416 | 67,551 | 9,205 | 898 | 1,112.59 |
| Ridgeland | 6 - AAAA | 5-0 | 48.97 | 999,401 | 227,995 | 35,545 | 10,955 | 787 | 1,269.65 |
| Spalding | 2 - AAAA | 3-4 | 49.55 | 904,972 | 189,828 | 44,840 | 8,699 | 708 | 1,411.43 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 3-3 | 44.78 | 780,260 | 68,065 | 19,271 | 1,617 | 121 | 8,263.46 |
| St. Pius X | 8 - AAAA | 0-6 | 44.89 | 658,376 | 98,990 | 15,427 | 1,905 | 98 | 10,203.08 |
| Westover | 1 - AAAA | 4-2 | 41.13 | 822,365 | 71,704 | 16,211 | 834 | 52 | 19,229.77 |
| West Hall | 7 - AAAA | 5-2 | 41.42 | 949,852 | 26,630 | 6,288 | 730 | 24 | 41,665.67 |
| Salem | 4 - AAAA | 4-2 | 38.38 | 932,469 | 47,374 | 5,740 | 441 | 20 | 49,999.00 |
| Madison County | 8 - AAAA | 5-1 | 41.38 | 496,286 | 46,242 | 5,140 | 503 | 17 | 58,822.53 |
| Upson-Lee | 2 - AAAA | 3-3 | 39.95 | 720,454 | 46,932 | 5,771 | 433 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| LaGrange | 5 - AAAA | 2-5 | 42.15 | 170,457 | 13,112 | 3,074 | 132 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Northwest Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 4-3 | 39.58 | 977,674 | 36,709 | 4,545 | 245 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Pickens | 6 - AAAA | 3-3 | 35.80 | 967,855 | 25,709 | 2,418 | 108 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Northside (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 4-2 | 35.65 | 512,935 | 11,280 | 1,651 | 77 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Chapel Hill | 5 - AAAA | 2-3-1 | 39.99 | 120,967 | 7,182 | 1,394 | 43 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Americus-Sumter | 1 - AAAA | 2-4 | 39.12 | 418,941 | 15,980 | 3,069 | 152 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Hardaway | 1 - AAAA | 3-2 | 38.33 | 431,489 | 9,646 | 1,770 | 90 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Luella | 4 - AAAA | 3-4 | 37.15 | 603,477 | 19,924 | 3,050 | 54 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Perry | 2 - AAAA | 3-3 | 34.83 | 403,129 | 8,785 | 616 | 32 | - | - |
| Baldwin | 3 - AAAA | 3-3 | 28.47 | 888,590 | 7,822 | 611 | 10 | - | - |
| Heritage (Ringgold) | 6 - AAAA | 5-2 | 27.81 | 971,986 | 6,737 | 341 | 9 | - | - |
| North Clayton | 4 - AAAA | 3-3 | 26.14 | 412,627 | 2,427 | 114 | 2 | - | - |
| Columbus | 1 - AAAA | 2-4 | 30.51 | 26,667 | 258 | 26 | 1 | - | - |
| Chestatee | 7 - AAAA | 3-4 | 24.80 | 564,906 | 355 | 16 | 1 | - | - |
| Richmond Academy | 3 - AAAA | 2-3 | 17.89 | 610,177 | 609 | 19 | - | - | - |
| White County | 7 - AAAA | 1-6 | 22.88 | 487,185 | 205 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Cross Creek | 3 - AAAA | 4-3 | 14.81 | 498,029 | 258 | 5 | - | - | - |
| North Oconee | 8 - AAAA | 0-6 | 18.31 | 23,237 | 52 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Henry County | 4 - AAAA | 0-6 | 15.96 | 37,180 | 29 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Howard | 2 - AAAA | 1-6 | 22.05 | 39,592 | 57 | - | - | - | - |
| Southeast Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 4-3 | 13.72 | 65,676 | 36 | - | - | - | - |
| Druid Hills | 4 - AAAA | 2-5 | 16.98 | 14,749 | 11 | - | - | - | - |
| Shaw | 1 - AAAA | 1-5 | 24.25 | 8,950 | 9 | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5 - AAAA | 0-7 | 21.82 | 1,399 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| LaFayette | 6 - AAAA | 2-5 | 5.98 | 12,105 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Gilmer | 6 - AAAA | 0-6 | 9.32 | 5,303 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hephzibah | 3 - AAAA | 0-7 | -14.97 | 4,409 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 7 - AAA | 242,478 | 757,522 | 46,343 | 262 | - | 399,068 | 600,932 | 3,568 | 493,751 | 1.03 |
| 5 - AAA | 108,091 | 891,909 | 530,572 | 146,148 | 9,455 | 341,592 | 658,408 | 129,705 | 336,987 | 1.97 |
| 4 - AAA | 572,360 | 427,640 | 57,413 | 1,805 | 13 | 834,314 | 165,686 | 3,131 | 66,398 | 14.06 |
| 1 - AAA | 580,518 | 419,482 | 41,790 | 1,362 | 14 | 807,024 | 192,976 | 1,843 | 48,591 | 19.58 |
| 6 - AAA | 657,273 | 342,727 | 21,189 | 327 | 1 | 830,020 | 169,980 | 490 | 43,048 | 22.23 |
| 2 - AAA | 782,959 | 217,041 | 15,417 | 349 | 2 | 938,390 | 61,610 | 580 | 10,470 | 94.51 |
| 8 - AAA | 948,646 | 51,354 | 536 | 1 | - | 992,235 | 7,765 | 7 | 549 | 1,820.49 |
| 3 - AAA | 980,724 | 19,276 | 49 | - | - | 996,682 | 3,318 | 1 | 206 | 4,853.37 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 7 - AAA | 6-1 | 71.80 | 999,997 | 816,132 | 770,726 | 598,059 | 493,169 | 1.03 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 5 - AAA | 4-2 | 64.04 | 999,883 | 850,159 | 653,448 | 347,072 | 209,588 | 3.77 |
| Pace Academy | 5 - AAA | 4-2 | 57.40 | 997,619 | 621,271 | 425,527 | 221,683 | 70,744 | 13.14 |
| Peach County | 4 - AAA | 5-1 | 57.65 | 999,107 | 758,449 | 364,128 | 140,956 | 62,578 | 14.98 |
| Crisp County | 1 - AAA | 6-0 | 55.01 | 996,738 | 446,641 | 348,414 | 172,390 | 45,600 | 20.93 |
| Calhoun | 6 - AAA | 5-2 | 54.80 | 991,273 | 656,317 | 315,532 | 163,065 | 42,345 | 22.62 |
| Cedar Grove | 5 - AAA | 4-2 | 54.44 | 980,641 | 568,214 | 361,050 | 166,381 | 41,425 | 23.14 |
| Lovett | 5 - AAA | 4-2 | 53.21 | 909,330 | 205,185 | 137,687 | 52,939 | 15,229 | 64.66 |
| Liberty County | 2 - AAA | 4-1 | 48.00 | 990,514 | 513,331 | 121,807 | 37,330 | 7,359 | 134.89 |
| Jackson | 4 - AAA | 5-2 | 45.23 | 983,784 | 343,103 | 90,505 | 23,542 | 3,499 | 284.80 |
| Pierce County | 2 - AAA | 3-2 | 43.73 | 975,761 | 352,967 | 70,379 | 16,874 | 2,260 | 441.48 |
| Worth County | 1 - AAA | 4-3 | 43.78 | 946,590 | 136,967 | 60,470 | 13,303 | 1,971 | 506.36 |
| Cook | 1 - AAA | 3-4 | 41.68 | 923,605 | 106,552 | 39,380 | 7,260 | 880 | 1,135.36 |
| Appling County | 2 - AAA | 3-1 | 41.21 | 934,812 | 226,268 | 39,150 | 7,907 | 848 | 1,178.25 |
| Sonoraville | 6 - AAA | 5-2 | 40.15 | 903,544 | 222,424 | 34,335 | 6,087 | 642 | 1,556.63 |
| Dawson County | 7 - AAA | 4-1 | 41.31 | 980,543 | 64,009 | 28,716 | 5,962 | 556 | 1,797.56 |
| Hart County | 8 - AAA | 1-4-1 | 38.20 | 997,611 | 241,152 | 35,694 | 6,033 | 434 | 2,303.15 |
| Jenkins | 3 - AAA | 4-1 | 36.88 | 999,800 | 75,769 | 17,102 | 3,214 | 203 | 4,925.11 |
| Pike County | 4 - AAA | 4-2 | 36.23 | 883,118 | 133,006 | 16,007 | 2,187 | 160 | 6,249.00 |
| Monroe | 1 - AAA | 2-3 | 36.75 | 823,003 | 56,353 | 14,020 | 1,843 | 140 | 7,141.86 |
| Westside (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 3-4 | 37.70 | 654,946 | 111,689 | 12,722 | 1,782 | 134 | 7,461.69 |
| Morgan County | 8 - AAA | 4-2 | 34.97 | 989,598 | 147,209 | 14,163 | 1,635 | 108 | 9,258.26 |
| Adairsville | 6 - AAA | 2-4 | 31.57 | 723,169 | 81,674 | 7,134 | 714 | 37 | 27,026.03 |
| Central (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 5-2 | 33.96 | 420,460 | 45,672 | 3,495 | 350 | 27 | 37,036.04 |
| Bremen | 6 - AAA | 3-3 | 31.25 | 692,368 | 72,655 | 6,239 | 575 | 24 | 41,665.67 |
| North Hall | 7 - AAA | 5-2 | 33.86 | 763,904 | 21,262 | 3,643 | 410 | 22 | 45,453.55 |
| Franklin County | 8 - AAA | 2-5 | 27.96 | 925,239 | 37,994 | 1,929 | 104 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Union County | 7 - AAA | 5-2 | 27.86 | 660,429 | 6,346 | 768 | 52 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Southeast Bulloch | 3 - AAA | 2-3 | 30.20 | 998,685 | 15,116 | 2,165 | 104 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Brantley County | 2 - AAA | 3-1 | 26.94 | 487,961 | 12,945 | 772 | 45 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Redan | 5 - AAA | 2-4 | 31.53 | 107,930 | 1,526 | 368 | 38 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Tattnall County | 2 - AAA | 3-2 | 26.29 | 557,112 | 13,639 | 696 | 33 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Dougherty | 1 - AAA | 2-4 | 25.10 | 310,064 | 4,313 | 365 | 23 | - | - |
| North Murray | 6 - AAA | 4-2 | 25.66 | 333,813 | 15,650 | 746 | 22 | - | - |
| Lumpkin County | 7 - AAA | 3-3 | 24.23 | 534,721 | 2,966 | 271 | 16 | - | - |
| Ringgold | 6 - AAA | 3-4 | 22.03 | 207,621 | 6,221 | 199 | 5 | - | - |
| Murray County | 6 - AAA | 4-3 | 19.06 | 138,548 | 2,718 | 60 | 2 | - | - |
| Savannah | 3 - AAA | 4-1 | 16.27 | 971,638 | 974 | 56 | 1 | - | - |
| Long County | 2 - AAA | 1-1-2 | 12.08 | 53,840 | 109 | 4 | 1 | - | - |
| East Hall | 7 - AAA | 2-5 | 19.86 | 34,255 | 88 | 4 | 1 | - | - |
| Jackson County | 8 - AAA | 2-5 | 17.12 | 782,893 | 3,671 | 100 | - | - | - |
| Rutland | 4 - AAA | 2-5 | 19.96 | 55,295 | 760 | 15 | - | - | - |
| Monroe Area | 8 - AAA | 2-5 | 12.02 | 165,078 | 300 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Windsor Forest | 3 - AAA | 3-2 | 8.22 | 864,227 | 129 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Fannin County | 7 - AAA | 2-4 | 12.84 | 26,151 | 21 | 1 | - | - | - |
| East Jackson | 8 - AAA | 2-4 | 4.91 | 139,581 | 57 | - | - | - | - |
| Kendrick | 4 - AAA | 0-6 | 15.31 | 3,290 | 15 | - | - | - | - |
| Haralson County | 6 - AAA | 1-5 | 2.85 | 7,844 | 5 | - | - | - | - |
| Towers | 5 - AAA | 1-5 | 13.20 | 4,095 | 4 | - | - | - | - |
| Islands | 3 - AAA | 1-4 | -1.69 | 134,063 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Beach | 3 - AAA | 1-5 | 1.63 | 23,040 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Savannah) | 3 - AAA | 0-4 | -8.88 | 8,246 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 6 - AAA | 1-6 | -14.08 | 1,603 | - | - | - | - | - |
| McNair | 5 - AAA | 3-3 | 6.92 | 491 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Groves | 3 - AAA | 1-5 | -3.69 | 301 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Coahulla Creek | 6 - AAA | 0-6 | -23.34 | 217 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stone Mountain | 5 - AAA | 1-5 | -1.49 | 11 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 2 - AA | 159,245 | 840,755 | 134,808 | 4,500 | 23 | 317,782 | 682,218 | 22,640 | 529,651 | 0.89 |
| 1 - AA | 353,529 | 646,471 | 136,281 | 8,468 | 158 | 477,868 | 522,132 | 30,080 | 225,551 | 3.43 |
| 5 - AA | 322,079 | 677,921 | 128,693 | 2,143 | 5 | 742,750 | 257,250 | 3,829 | 128,917 | 6.76 |
| 8 - AA | 619,768 | 380,232 | 11,332 | 19 | - | 702,626 | 297,374 | 777 | 85,896 | 10.64 |
| 4 - AA | 579,573 | 420,427 | 55,930 | 96 | - | 915,560 | 84,440 | 810 | 19,850 | 49.38 |
| 7 - AA | 847,668 | 152,332 | 6,190 | 81 | - | 957,060 | 42,940 | 196 | 5,653 | 175.90 |
| 3 - AA | 768,231 | 231,769 | 7,228 | 43 | - | 961,687 | 38,313 | 39 | 3,456 | 288.35 |
| 6 - AA | 848,793 | 151,207 | 2,883 | 6 | - | 983,043 | 16,957 | 5 | 1,026 | 973.66 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | 2 - AA | 6-0 | 71.36 | 1,000,000 | 943,266 | 821,081 | 668,813 | 526,311 | 0.90 |
| Fitzgerald | 1 - AA | 5-1 | 63.42 | 999,770 | 834,935 | 529,949 | 439,183 | 195,133 | 4.12 |
| Callaway | 5 - AA | 6-0 | 60.86 | 999,833 | 821,155 | 665,654 | 243,234 | 127,818 | 6.82 |
| Rabun County | 8 - AA | 5-0 | 57.67 | 999,990 | 733,950 | 367,191 | 290,498 | 85,120 | 10.75 |
| Brooks County | 1 - AA | 5-1 | 54.14 | 996,493 | 603,559 | 203,092 | 106,114 | 29,721 | 32.65 |
| Jefferson County | 4 - AA | 7-0 | 50.57 | 999,990 | 794,342 | 342,858 | 69,930 | 18,808 | 52.17 |
| Model | 7 - AA | 5-1 | 44.42 | 996,803 | 205,876 | 90,328 | 28,307 | 3,159 | 315.56 |
| Washington County | 3 - AA | 4-2 | 42.87 | 990,341 | 299,720 | 162,737 | 30,090 | 3,018 | 330.35 |
| Vidalia | 2 - AA | 4-2 | 43.23 | 991,474 | 282,179 | 103,057 | 29,193 | 2,963 | 336.50 |
| Pepperell | 7 - AA | 4-1 | 45.87 | 999,696 | 291,718 | 43,664 | 12,980 | 2,415 | 413.08 |
| Screven County | 4 - AA | 5-1 | 37.75 | 999,718 | 371,364 | 131,700 | 14,917 | 1,032 | 967.99 |
| Hapeville Charter | 6 - AA | 3-3 | 37.80 | 965,566 | 310,004 | 119,105 | 14,952 | 952 | 1,049.42 |
| Elbert County | 8 - AA | 5-1-1 | 40.05 | 999,348 | 110,264 | 23,874 | 7,648 | 776 | 1,287.66 |
| Thomasville | 1 - AA | 2-3 | 39.99 | 934,089 | 159,307 | 51,573 | 6,643 | 688 | 1,452.49 |
| Lamar County | 5 - AA | 3-3 | 37.79 | 959,116 | 158,544 | 60,296 | 7,706 | 502 | 1,991.03 |
| Toombs County | 2 - AA | 5-1 | 35.81 | 989,185 | 176,047 | 53,485 | 6,766 | 375 | 2,665.67 |
| Heard County | 5 - AA | 5-1 | 37.06 | 974,733 | 141,573 | 51,126 | 6,350 | 370 | 2,701.70 |
| Spencer | 5 - AA | 4-2 | 36.41 | 923,786 | 103,496 | 31,687 | 3,789 | 227 | 4,404.29 |
| Dodge County | 3 - AA | 3-4 | 36.41 | 956,279 | 66,012 | 17,356 | 2,581 | 156 | 6,409.26 |
| Dublin | 3 - AA | 6-1 | 34.86 | 954,051 | 86,268 | 27,108 | 2,669 | 144 | 6,943.44 |
| Southwest | 3 - AA | 3-3 | 34.35 | 966,075 | 98,983 | 31,833 | 3,012 | 138 | 7,245.38 |
| Rockmart | 7 - AA | 5-1 | 31.72 | 989,069 | 83,464 | 23,442 | 1,823 | 79 | 12,657.23 |
| Douglass | 6 - AA | 4-2 | 30.48 | 840,297 | 78,210 | 14,988 | 1,036 | 42 | 23,808.52 |
| K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 6 - AA | 5-1 | 28.09 | 866,821 | 64,798 | 10,659 | 566 | 17 | 58,822.53 |
| B.E.S.T. Academy | 6 - AA | 2-5 | 27.22 | 793,463 | 59,061 | 8,661 | 389 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Laney | 4 - AA | 1-5 | 29.74 | 970,688 | 23,055 | 1,890 | 403 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Berrien | 1 - AA | 3-3 | 25.76 | 951,215 | 34,693 | 6,525 | 268 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Washington | 6 - AA | 2-5 | 21.13 | 385,752 | 7,787 | 590 | 13 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Bryan County | 2 - AA | 2-3 | 24.79 | 642,392 | 23,211 | 1,780 | 57 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Swainsboro | 2 - AA | 1-5 | 23.22 | 169,259 | 5,786 | 550 | 28 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Chattooga | 7 - AA | 3-3 | 23.96 | 800,566 | 8,378 | 1,157 | 26 | - | - |
| Therrell | 6 - AA | 3-4 | 21.95 | 124,217 | 1,336 | 90 | 5 | - | - |
| Early County | 1 - AA | 0-6-1 | 21.92 | 78,257 | 1,586 | 237 | 4 | - | - |
| Banks County | 8 - AA | 2-4 | 13.62 | 872,974 | 6,334 | 259 | 2 | - | - |
| Putnam County | 8 - AA | 1-6 | 12.58 | 645,543 | 4,038 | 183 | 2 | - | - |
| Bacon County | 2 - AA | 1-4 | 19.84 | 169,286 | 2,900 | 129 | 1 | - | - |
| Monticello | 8 - AA | 1-5 | 10.84 | 353,760 | 1,568 | 77 | 1 | - | - |
| South Atlanta | 6 - AA | 2-6 | 15.73 | 23,884 | 59 | 2 | 1 | - | - |
| Dade County | 7 - AA | 2-4 | 12.06 | 157,644 | 181 | 9 | - | - | - |
| Northeast | 3 - AA | 1-6 | 16.62 | 109,813 | 238 | 8 | - | - | - |
| Coosa | 7 - AA | 2-4 | 10.29 | 54,381 | 72 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Josey | 4 - AA | 3-3 | 9.46 | 417,281 | 119 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Metter | 2 - AA | 1-4 | 14.07 | 7,181 | 38 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Jeff Davis | 2 - AA | 1-4 | 12.33 | 31,223 | 147 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Albany | 1 - AA | 0-6 | 8.58 | 40,176 | 70 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Butler | 4 - AA | 2-4 | 5.98 | 180,390 | 26 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Temple | 5 - AA | 5-1 | 11.52 | 81,142 | 88 | - | - | - | - |
| Jordan | 5 - AA | 0-6 | 11.41 | 61,390 | 82 | - | - | - | - |
| Social Circle | 8 - AA | 2-5 | -1.77 | 126,655 | 59 | - | - | - | - |
| Harlem | 4 - AA | 2-5 | 6.57 | 196,914 | 27 | - | - | - | - |
| Glenn Hills | 4 - AA | 2-4 | 5.09 | 228,165 | 24 | - | - | - | - |
| East Laurens | 3 - AA | 1-5 | 8.64 | 19,666 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Oglethorpe County | 8 - AA | 0-6 | -11.32 | 1,730 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Westside (Augusta) | 4 - AA | 1-5 | -5.01 | 6,854 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Bleckley County | 3 - AA | 1-6 | 2.70 | 3,775 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Armuchee | 7 - AA | 1-5 | -5.99 | 1,837 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gordon Central | 7 - AA | 0-6 | -17.55 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Public
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macon County | 4 - A | 4-2 | 52.19 | 999,542 | 723,211 | 529,510 | 379,180 | 246,822 | 3.05 |
| Manchester | 4 - A | 7-0 | 51.11 | 999,995 | 715,993 | 497,714 | 344,299 | 211,313 | 3.73 |
| Clinch County | 2 - A | 5-1 | 49.43 | 1,000,000 | 808,547 | 612,122 | 364,511 | 207,573 | 3.82 |
| Twiggs County | 7 - A | 5-1 | 46.99 | 999,900 | 684,625 | 417,480 | 240,345 | 115,175 | 7.68 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | 6 - A | 6-0 | 45.22 | 999,947 | 680,813 | 390,238 | 204,430 | 88,881 | 10.25 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3 - A | 7-0 | 41.75 | 999,971 | 593,867 | 283,177 | 124,059 | 43,734 | 21.87 |
| McIntosh County Academy | 3 - A | 4-1 | 39.12 | 999,994 | 580,938 | 260,865 | 90,355 | 26,960 | 36.09 |
| Irwin County | 2 - A | 3-3 | 39.97 | 997,146 | 454,299 | 218,939 | 76,051 | 24,261 | 40.22 |
| Bowdon | 6 - A | 5-2 | 37.47 | 994,155 | 335,890 | 142,524 | 43,387 | 11,542 | 85.64 |
| Lincoln County | 7 - A | 4-1-1 | 35.03 | 988,252 | 332,311 | 112,698 | 30,830 | 6,825 | 145.52 |
| Randolph-Clay | 1 - A | 6-0 | 30.83 | 1,000,000 | 457,154 | 160,676 | 30,872 | 4,869 | 204.38 |
| Turner County | 2 - A | 4-2 | 34.31 | 932,303 | 224,825 | 75,612 | 19,915 | 4,159 | 239.44 |
| Dooly County | 4 - A | 3-3 | 35.77 | 574,523 | 114,006 | 40,117 | 11,600 | 2,719 | 366.78 |
| Commerce | 8 - A | 4-2 | 30.06 | 999,375 | 309,385 | 79,331 | 14,645 | 2,193 | 455.00 |
| Mitchell County | 1 - A | 5-1 | 26.18 | 999,996 | 307,065 | 57,066 | 8,276 | 893 | 1,118.82 |
| Taylor County | 4 - A | 5-1 | 29.40 | 843,245 | 100,922 | 25,095 | 4,525 | 672 | 1,487.10 |
| Greene County | 7 - A | 4-2 | 28.37 | 891,353 | 125,014 | 28,679 | 4,700 | 570 | 1,753.39 |
| Marion County | 4 - A | 5-2 | 29.83 | 739,621 | 84,693 | 19,761 | 3,860 | 551 | 1,813.88 |
| Pelham | 1 - A | 5-1 | 20.49 | 999,999 | 140,867 | 18,911 | 1,595 | 98 | 10,203.08 |
| Trion | 6 - A | 4-2 | 24.65 | 553,980 | 42,390 | 7,545 | 839 | 71 | 14,083.51 |
| Telfair County | 2 - A | 2-3 | 21.65 | 508,141 | 29,675 | 4,763 | 418 | 34 | 29,410.76 |
| Gordon Lee | 6 - A | 4-3 | 22.22 | 643,700 | 31,164 | 4,698 | 428 | 27 | 37,036.04 |
| Warren County | 7 - A | 3-3 | 22.15 | 325,352 | 18,081 | 2,634 | 229 | 24 | 41,665.67 |
| Washington-Wilkes | 7 - A | 1-5 | 28.04 | 7,065 | 2,034 | 353 | 83 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Terrell County | 1 - A | 4-3 | 17.03 | 962,992 | 31,682 | 3,470 | 195 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Miller County | 1 - A | 4-2 | 14.77 | 929,694 | 25,630 | 2,176 | 135 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Seminole County | 1 - A | 3-2-1 | 15.31 | 739,468 | 19,742 | 1,510 | 79 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Charlton County | 2 - A | 1-4 | 25.11 | 51,208 | 3,796 | 637 | 73 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Hancock Central | 7 - A | 3-3 | 18.87 | 118,282 | 3,878 | 412 | 26 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Atkinson County | 2 - A | 2-4 | 18.39 | 70,405 | 2,411 | 249 | 17 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Jenkins County | 3 - A | 4-2 | 13.25 | 729,955 | 10,957 | 787 | 35 | - | - |
| Johnson County | 3 - A | 4-3 | 11.60 | 303,871 | 3,229 | 180 | 6 | - | - |
| Wheeler County | 3 - A | 5-2 | 10.55 | 18,319 | 298 | 27 | 1 | - | - |
| Crawford County | 4 - A | 3-2 | 14.43 | 14,008 | 280 | 24 | 1 | - | - |
| Treutlen | 3 - A | 3-4 | 7.44 | 18,688 | 125 | 12 | - | - | - |
| Hawkinsville | 4 - A | 3-3 | 13.22 | 6,855 | 110 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Towns County | 8 - A | 2-4 | 1.59 | 33,719 | 84 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee County | 1 - A | 1-5 | 2.28 | 3,986 | 8 | - | - | - | - |
| Calhoun County | 1 - A | 1-5 | -9.15 | 962 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Lanier County | 2 - A | 1-5 | 1.08 | 14 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wilcox County | 2 - A | 1-5 | 3.97 | 9 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Baconton Charter | 1 - A | 1-5 | -15.56 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stewart County | 1 - A | 1-5 | -21.56 | 3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Claxton | 3 - A | 0-5 | -1.99 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wilkinson County | 7 - A | 0-6 | 7.62 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Schley County | 4 - A | 2-4 | 7.38 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Montgomery County | 3 - A | 1-6 | 0.72 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Portal | 3 - A | 0-5 | -3.15 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Talbotton) | 4 - A | 1-5 | -6.33 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Greenville | 4 - A | 0-7 | -10.01 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fulton Leadership Academy | 5 - A | 0-7 | -31.36 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Private
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5 - A | 7-0 | 60.74 | 1,000,000 | 931,703 | 812,841 | 684,655 | 560,358 | 0.78 |
| Wesleyan | 5 - A | 6-1 | 50.92 | 1,000,000 | 826,955 | 575,095 | 317,025 | 147,016 | 5.80 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8 - A | 7-0 | 46.21 | 1,000,000 | 771,008 | 485,489 | 252,785 | 76,661 | 12.04 |
| Landmark Christian | 5 - A | 7-0 | 45.76 | 1,000,000 | 738,071 | 393,471 | 170,172 | 58,363 | 16.13 |
| Calvary Day | 3 - A | 5-0 | 45.38 | 1,000,000 | 596,323 | 313,462 | 129,255 | 42,872 | 22.33 |
| Fellowship Christian | 6 - A | 6-0 | 43.29 | 1,000,000 | 631,095 | 292,302 | 106,192 | 31,387 | 30.86 |
| Darlington | 6 - A | 5-2 | 43.34 | 1,000,000 | 593,765 | 239,308 | 92,827 | 27,392 | 35.51 |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6 - A | 5-1 | 43.15 | 1,000,000 | 595,889 | 241,121 | 93,104 | 26,582 | 36.62 |
| Tattnall Square | 7 - A | 6-0 | 41.36 | 999,999 | 356,517 | 156,247 | 51,388 | 12,836 | 76.91 |
| Stratford Academy | 7 - A | 4-2 | 38.26 | 1,000,000 | 289,009 | 102,625 | 27,805 | 5,725 | 173.67 |
| Aquinas | 7 - A | 4-2 | 36.73 | 998,122 | 229,222 | 77,363 | 19,282 | 3,450 | 288.86 |
| First Presbyterian | 7 - A | 5-1 | 34.89 | 999,989 | 210,170 | 59,363 | 12,892 | 2,041 | 488.96 |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6 - A | 4-2 | 34.64 | 999,999 | 221,322 | 60,893 | 12,687 | 1,996 | 500.00 |
| Athens Academy | 8 - A | 6-0 | 31.71 | 1,000,000 | 384,789 | 83,127 | 14,819 | 1,713 | 582.77 |
| Savannah Christian | 3 - A | 3-2 | 31.76 | 999,968 | 114,453 | 28,825 | 5,111 | 643 | 1,554.21 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6 - A | 5-1 | 31.74 | 999,973 | 102,936 | 25,647 | 4,267 | 513 | 1,948.32 |
| George Walton Academy | 8 - A | 5-1 | 26.94 | 1,000,000 | 152,387 | 22,075 | 2,624 | 234 | 4,272.50 |
| Athens Christian | 8 - A | 3-3 | 25.85 | 999,998 | 158,664 | 22,039 | 2,451 | 183 | 5,463.48 |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5 - A | 2-5 | 23.46 | 923,749 | 28,211 | 3,334 | 302 | 22 | 45,453.55 |
| Holy Innocents | 5 - A | 3-4 | 23.22 | 902,259 | 28,386 | 2,802 | 225 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Brookstone | 4 - A | 3-3 | 19.73 | 400,109 | 7,825 | 557 | 40 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Savannah Country Day | 3 - A | 4-1 | 17.82 | 996,621 | 13,321 | 1,023 | 53 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 5 - A | 4-3 | 15.53 | 999,106 | 7,930 | 510 | 26 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Hebron Christian Academy | 8 - A | 4-2 | 13.66 | 997,176 | 7,770 | 405 | 9 | - | - |
| Mount de Sales | 7 - A | 2-4 | 15.33 | 129,496 | 1,188 | 53 | 3 | - | - |
| Strong Rock Christian | 5 - A | 3-4 | 8.31 | 306,148 | 787 | 15 | 1 | - | - |
| Walker | 6 - A | 1-6 | 10.98 | 37,671 | 154 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Lakeview Academy | 8 - A | 1-5 | -2.16 | 211,674 | 78 | 2 | - | - | - |
| King's Ridge Christian | 6 - A | 2-4 | 6.17 | 22,262 | 41 | - | - | - | - |
| Whitefield Academy | 6 - A | 2-4 | 0.01 | 72,924 | 30 | - | - | - | - |
| Riverside Military Academy | 8 - A | 1-5 | -5.55 | 277 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Providence Christian | 8 - A | 1-5 | -15.86 | 1,162 | - | - | - | - | - |
| St. Francis | 6 - A | 1-5 | -5.16 | 1,076 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Christian Heritage | 6 - A | 0-6 | 3.28 | 239 | - | - | - | - | - |
| North Cobb Christian | 6 - A | 0-6 | -8.14 | 3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pacelli | 4 - A | 1-6 | -1.76 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
