High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 8

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Oct 9, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA7-0100.021,000,0005.03943,536802,253694,605600,0470.67
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA4-285.42999,9553.54709,663480,017278,30095,8879.43
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA5-284.451,000,0003.24846,642230,055130,32862,57214.98
Archer8 - AAAAAAA5-183.42999,9123.24625,603396,452191,41360,21815.61
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA6-084.05999,9872.93510,956333,745108,46948,24819.73
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA6-081.08999,5713.19602,310421,643184,91744,91121.27
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA6-180.58988,5392.86590,282274,277142,03431,54130.70
Walton4 - AAAAAAA6-082.19999,8972.66524,998272,51478,11130,60731.67
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA4-277.06959,9792.25303,066114,18830,5297,261136.72
Milton5 - AAAAAAA4-272.82999,7072.63494,974177,76550,5636,571151.18
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA5-272.95904,7741.75234,31582,46622,5743,023329.80
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA2-471.87969,4182.04207,00268,94915,9942,277438.17
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA4-370.24998,9061.93245,82576,73217,1691,751570.10
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-170.90991,2981.72194,62059,48313,5151,449689.13
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA5-169.61995,3271.88167,15351,79212,1251,232810.69
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA4-268.32996,8961.69140,57129,4559,1668201,218.51
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA5-168.05991,2761.51113,23438,8036,9186501,537.46
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-265.39997,4381.90189,98136,4986,0114662,144.92
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA6-066.26778,8311.3587,33117,5583,0502424,131.23
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA2-463.58992,0631.5399,43418,8782,5761526,577.95
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA5-260.64993,4151.2941,7906,5517243925,640.03
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA5-162.09386,1420.5824,4123,0404582147,618.05
Newton8 - AAAAAAA3-457.92992,1491.3225,9631,268866166,665.67
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA2-456.27973,5481.1418,5841,7591535199,999.00
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA5-156.40756,9730.8710,4561,115923333,332.33
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA3-353.15886,2471.016,942493271999,999.00
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-554.75930,1861.049,19660429--
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA3-453.69795,2040.845,52243224--
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA2-448.07786,6840.868,10938514--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-351.13741,7840.814,16829312--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA3-449.33714,3100.743,5541274--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA6-148.75628,7280.663,9501224--
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-650.10562,3640.612,1701733--
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA2-448.87337,0220.351,217492--
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-342.01511,3300.52427211--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA3-446.96387,3110.401,48835---
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA4-247.2015,8640.021294---
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-538.2457,2540.06303---
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-539.89162,8460.16752---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA2-430.69159,6620.16801---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA5-136.92416,7800.42164----
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-437.61144,6340.1555----
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA2-531.2761,6490.0622----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-530.4324,8040.021----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA2-428.596,1030.01-----
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-733.673,2260.00-----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-618.8270.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-5-9.66-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County870,538114,05711,961-3,444-
1 - AAAAAAALowndes87,199558,998245,378-96,96411,461
1 - AAAAAAACamden County15,529150,419365,418-459,9328,702
1 - AAAAAAATift County26,734176,526377,243-324,27195,226
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake756,947179,21745,44915,28123,104
2 - AAAAAAANewnan118,824380,334235,949151,140-113,753
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler57,330143,830295,802258,4951,516243,027
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook59,963165,348227,071289,402-258,216
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta6,469127,616182,120246,159-437,636
2 - AAAAAAACampbell4673,65513,60939,523-942,746
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove737,470168,43560,87426,1336,659429
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta138,294265,946374,645190,4924130,582
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern69,627436,014294,790143,03116,51740,021
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb48,764110,551209,236368,32741,953221,169
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding5,76318,56357,744259,51244,560613,858
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain824912,71112,50575984,136
4 - AAAAAAAWalton818,976164,88214,0461,878115103
4 - AAAAAAARoswell166,938689,854117,89916,1454408,724
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah7,55194,493197,035496,125-204,796
4 - AAAAAAACherokee5,15220,679480,317208,162-285,690
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock1,34624,852148,703162,121-662,978
4 - AAAAAAALassiter375,24042,000115,569-837,154
5 - AAAAAAAMilton690,498298,6399,0921,40375293
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth303,498543,908136,80113,231-2,562
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth4,324136,162600,828188,872-69,814
5 - AAAAAAALambert6575,714123,182381,777-488,670
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central89512,93199,650303,304-583,220
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth1282,64630,447111,413-855,366
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett981,49817,7127873--
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek1,789655,565255,97385,579-1,094
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View124220,407428,300344,58226,585
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill16,588106,211314,069536,680-26,452
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-10470123,999-975,196
6 - AAAAAAADuluth111705,931-993,897
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge---3,226-996,774
7 - AAAAAAAParkview839,845153,9524,3311,7758413
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood153,903532,460286,54222,42114,673
7 - AAAAAAANorcross4,385302,282586,60198,795-7,937
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek1,0756,20898,335519,7723,338371,272
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett7925,09824,189357,232-612,689
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)--25-999,993
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson578,116394,34625,9851,507145
8 - AAAAAAAArcher419,915575,6063,3491,0321088
8 - AAAAAAANewton1,56626,563924,40939,611-7,851
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett3933,05115,274767,966-213,316
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County1041823,422135,812-840,338
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh-167,56154,072-938,351

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA6-079.89999,0424.98933,805787,664698,567589,1080.70
Creekview6 - AAAAAA6-067.33999,8673.42819,647316,971220,114104,4958.57
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA4-366.29984,3283.47739,859488,704289,90396,1359.40
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA4-363.45998,4933.10671,014411,287171,91651,91118.26
Coffee1 - AAAAAA6-163.52944,9412.85619,645388,845133,96246,27220.61
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA4-263.10968,9732.67506,489262,302125,50136,60726.32
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA6-159.09999,8462.68450,413213,76188,23019,32450.75
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA5-160.30969,5292.36435,024194,97266,54516,98057.89
Harrison6 - AAAAAA6-158.50994,6062.29419,889173,49944,23011,58385.33
Dacula8 - AAAAAA5-255.52997,7142.24342,830122,54134,4016,344156.63
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-454.97981,3792.24226,14399,49230,1815,317187.08
Tucker4 - AAAAAA5-254.30999,8351.69243,433110,49421,0384,199237.15
Centennial7 - AAAAAA4-253.51999,7021.68212,71477,01314,1912,657375.36
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA3-351.70989,1182.10163,92057,63513,7011,976505.07
Mays5 - AAAAAA3-353.28945,5181.83172,82541,3839,3501,936515.53
Lanier8 - AAAAAA5-251.09998,3351.95231,07769,61011,2391,643607.64
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA5-150.63999,5761.42145,64249,8638,1391,234809.37
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA5-151.15999,4801.46132,10139,4096,9471,033967.05
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA4-251.13991,6361.39107,89028,6215,9447591,316.52
Creekside5 - AAAAAA3-346.35651,1590.9954,71110,1641,3511377,298.27
Northgate5 - AAAAAA4-345.22690,0571.0349,8658,4998581019,899.99
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-442.60953,8881.7381,47615,4281,2189610,415.67
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-442.59667,9931.2058,56310,1448094820,832.33
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA4-341.11995,8241.0923,0913,5923692245,453.55
Dalton6 - AAAAAA4-349.2038,5790.066,1701,7971471662,499.00
Hughes5 - AAAAAA2-542.29280,2850.3611,1921,5991131566,665.67
Alexander5 - AAAAAA3-342.48391,4110.5317,7282,4182241283,332.33
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-240.81983,3101.0412,6641,3561761283,332.33
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA2-436.23915,8471.2223,5312,5611718124,999.00
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA4-338.89407,6220.6821,5302,5001727142,856.14
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-539.36451,2640.536,899671604249,999.00
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA4-338.45771,6120.9211,8271,091802499,999.00
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-539.7273,1960.095,704959362499,999.00
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA1-532.96841,7261.0410,873885342499,999.00
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-433.29628,3930.756,190569271999,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA2-434.19569,0000.696,392633261999,999.00
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-440.6628,4290.041,40320751999,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA3-230.58729,4800.855,29435310--
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-433.47662,9630.744,3482607--
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-628.86315,5540.351,211724--
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA1-536.7741,7000.05722582--
Pope7 - AAAAAA2-533.77262,9640.271,469432--
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-431.49427,8920.441,53242---
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-729.26118,1120.1326712---
Northview7 - AAAAAA4-330.76204,6730.2163110---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA3-330.32113,6520.1233710---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA1-528.604,4240.00131---
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-523.0911,5390.015----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA2-524.554,3420.002----
Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-629.181,1440.00-----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-626.29240.00-----
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-631.74170.00-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-611.8660.00-----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-517.5410.00-----
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-627.87-------
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA1-627.80-------
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-719.72-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-7-0.07-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County692,274219,02161,74825,999958
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)187,539432,749288,78075,26015,672
1 - AAAAAAValdosta83,472262,219348,777304,0251,507
1 - AAAAAACoffee36,66084,901296,587526,79355,059
1 - AAAAAAHouston County551,1104,10867,923926,804
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy502,705288,101132,65757,91618,621
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill377,643424,357151,09336,02510,882
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute96,122200,865415,481241,42046,112
2 - AAAAAABrunswick14,76858,809231,885362,531332,007
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County8,76227,86868,884302,108592,378
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown427,632239,542157,25691,41784,153
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier268,124232,580195,795145,227158,274
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)140,286179,974201,640207,580270,520
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy67,329163,902191,582205,580371,607
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)71,076128,929168,873200,122431,000
3 - AAAAAAEvans25,55355,07384,854150,074684,446
4 - AAAAAATucker619,280361,73917,2601,556165
4 - AAAAAAStephenson363,847399,159166,76569,805424
4 - AAAAAALovejoy16,777185,075705,24088,7324,176
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill9653,984109,933819,29716,690
4 - AAAAAADrew-122311,315988,461
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King-3824,339995,576
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)-394973,806995,658
4 - AAAAAAMorrow---1,144998,856
4 - AAAAAAForest Park---6999,994
5 - AAAAAADouglas County938,57049,16511,257854154
5 - AAAAAAMays15,388569,515256,277104,33854,482
5 - AAAAAANorthgate586191,721301,277196,473309,943
5 - AAAAAACreekside36,018124,036225,119265,986348,841
5 - AAAAAAAlexander9,43853,259109,114219,600608,589
5 - AAAAAAHughes-7,53184,114188,640719,715
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding-4,77312,84124,086958,300
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities--123999,976
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAACreekview896,58769,92628,8294,525133
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona38,482625,983250,33154,17731,027
6 - AAAAAASequoyah6,458250,321415,857296,89330,471
6 - AAAAAAHarrison58,45153,628299,002583,5255,394
6 - AAAAAADalton--2,15436,425961,421
6 - AAAAAASprayberry221423,82724,438971,571
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb---17999,983
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAACentennial580,126322,40595,6851,486298
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek321,273304,255351,74522,207520
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta98,471365,521478,17649,4688,364
7 - AAAAAACambridge225,72145,648376,501572,108
7 - AAAAAAPope-63,270259,688737,036
7 - AAAAAANorthview1082,07424,557177,934795,327
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta-18919112,715886,348
7 - AAAAAADunwoody---1999,999
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAADacula623,509297,28966,36210,5542,286
8 - AAAAAALanier364,737571,97556,1665,4571,665
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central7,25652,894416,002295,460228,388
8 - AAAAAAApalachee4,39051,734269,303337,536337,037
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow10222,112171,710257,340548,736
8 - AAAAAAGainesville63,99620,45793,653881,888

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA7-084.101,000,0004.76970,846755,686584,215453,2441.21
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA6-176.58999,9583.86788,103704,293282,434172,1324.81
Buford8 - AAAAA5-274.84999,9843.97812,060583,264424,926156,2485.40
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA7-075.41999,9963.49850,407384,798229,968113,5657.81
Jones County4 - AAAAA6-169.55999,9773.12664,620405,033187,52550,35918.86
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA7-067.75999,2292.86615,966299,336127,59530,96131.30
Carrollton7 - AAAAA6-162.95977,0502.31281,922109,40640,2966,577151.05
Wayne County2 - AAAAA7-061.86999,4372.41316,807131,39035,1616,124162.29
Ware County2 - AAAAA4-261.61998,6172.38296,153132,98130,7225,801171.38
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA6-054.89999,7892.47500,469136,37122,6051,961508.94
Kell7 - AAAAA4-256.02755,2461.64289,05257,1166,2288481,178.25
East Paulding7 - AAAAA2-452.29942,3902.03341,74868,5408,0815311,882.24
Veterans1 - AAAAA6-154.55863,8311.1181,27725,9513,6593602,776.78
Banneker6 - AAAAA5-151.20999,6361.84305,03048,1443,0753432,914.45
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-153.81880,4161.1679,16925,5683,2263003,332.33
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA4-348.37999,9131.89109,46644,0164,5742254,443.44
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA3-452.09940,0771.2068,23822,3532,6301945,153.64
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA3-451.14693,6130.8124,64510,9705326714,924.37
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA4-347.58904,8081.64180,86019,1358936116,392.44
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA4-346.94968,4601.8155,2285,6724033528,570.43
Griffin3 - AAAAA4-347.74996,0721.6556,5673,8983332737,036.04
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA3-341.01996,4231.54103,5148,0452941566,665.67
Hiram7 - AAAAA4-245.64276,6680.4546,8504,2021521099,999.00
Loganville8 - AAAAA3-439.20918,0641.2744,7752,998944249,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA4-238.68990,6701.3014,3411,756483333,332.33
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-541.28918,7901.2619,8312,7651242499,999.00
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA3-338.58976,1961.1838,3692,8411011999,999.00
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-437.94905,8901.004,671586121999,999.00
Harris County1 - AAAAA2-539.62315,7180.333,06920761999,999.00
Riverwood6 - AAAAA4-238.50917,5171.0417,8111,36357--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA3-337.16791,1360.833,59323315--
Riverdale3 - AAAAA5-135.08932,5791.064,7854579--
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA3-439.42193,7830.201,2202693--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA3-337.5531,5970.042,1801203--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA4-224.78875,5200.941,432271--
Union Grove4 - AAAAA3-338.10113,3220.12544103---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA2-529.56200,5740.242,63662---
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA4-335.3817,0490.0290130---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-522.09604,0860.631916---
Decatur6 - AAAAA2-327.09250,9250.262874---
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-521.81469,1930.482133---
South Effingham2 - AAAAA2-523.8292,4860.10781---
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-722.5466,6300.07221---
McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-421.5591,6200.0921----
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-423.9143,1980.0419----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-315.328,1100.0114----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-63.3854,9890.06-----
Grady6 - AAAAA1-519.2620,8620.02-----
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-614.937,2960.01-----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-46.915300.00-----
Ola4 - AAAAA1-633.46790.00-----
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-634.0810.00-----
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-627.93-------
Cass7 - AAAAA1-626.37-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-7-25.64-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-8-70.15-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins862,031120,40113,6133,91342
1 - AAAAABainbridge52,510440,672343,041103,85459,923
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central58,141310,333250,178261,764119,584
1 - AAAAAVeterans27,202102,245330,687403,697136,169
1 - AAAAAHarris County11626,34962,481226,772684,282
2 - AAAAAWayne County541,662394,59450,30112,880563
2 - AAAAAWare County432,767486,12967,15212,5691,383
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead13,68661,815445,918469,2519,330
2 - AAAAAStatesboro11,83456,056429,616421,28481,210
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham511,4067,01384,016907,514
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill943,62448,0577,59963387
3 - AAAAAGriffin14,067815,880155,98610,1393,928
3 - AAAAARiverdale41,998122,947387,815379,81967,421
3 - AAAAAJonesboro109,847428,883467,15094,110
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh3003,22611,83076,264908,380
3 - AAAAAWhitewater-67,49259,132933,370
3 - AAAAAFayette County1373956,863992,704
4 - AAAAADutchtown693,865213,97880,29311,8604
4 - AAAAAStockbridge207,020322,143461,3608,706771
4 - AAAAAJones County99,115463,181435,9641,71723
4 - AAAAALocust Grove-42914,359678,825306,387
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)-2698,007185,507806,217
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove--14113,308886,678
4 - AAAAAOla--376999,921
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing---1999,999
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb802,133181,27814,3831,995211
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain183,641667,645128,56616,5713,577
5 - AAAAALithonia11,097116,836492,728254,859124,480
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove1,51110,099238,716353,760395,914
5 - AAAAAColumbia1,61823,378112,339331,858530,807
5 - AAAAAChamblee-76413,26840,957945,011
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker833,765150,59213,1172,162364
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)148,630489,270267,19171,10523,804
6 - AAAAARiverwood14,109294,557368,593240,25882,483
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson14247,116281,021462,857208,864
6 - AAAAADecatur3,27617,61158,478171,560749,075
6 - AAAAANorth Springs637447,28435,107956,802
6 - AAAAAGrady151084,29116,448979,138
6 - AAAAALithia Springs-225503999,470
7 - AAAAARome999,22176118--
7 - AAAAACarrollton186796,22290,86789,77522,950
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding-30,476785,475126,43957,610
7 - AAAAAKell-153,35379,018522,875244,754
7 - AAAAAHiram59219,16929,971226,936723,332
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica1169,33422,246968,403
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)-35,31711,729982,951
7 - AAAAACass----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAPaulding County----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford973,08525,22673693716
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals1,366762,610133,71970,76531,540
8 - AAAAAClarke Central18,06962,755659,932164,05295,192
8 - AAAAALoganville7,299134,574148,261627,93081,936
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove18114,70454,272131,417799,426
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-1313,0804,899991,890

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA6-084.45999,9994.87896,447815,554664,700497,1591.01
Troup5 - AAAA6-075.61999,8954.06829,857749,330355,222159,9585.25
Mary Persons2 - AAAA7-075.68999,9003.92922,491567,666331,830135,3646.39
Cartersville5 - AAAA7-074.30996,2843.77749,236662,933301,672122,2197.18
St. Pius X8 - AAAA6-172.71999,9852.88551,581275,148144,58048,09519.79
Marist7 - AAAA6-167.78999,6612.67414,602203,97483,76120,34248.16
Eastside4 - AAAA6-060.65999,9882.79701,153107,00237,8387,134139.17
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA4-260.31937,4891.78137,54478,61915,9042,771359.88
Ridgeland6 - AAAA4-257.73999,9892.15195,649124,64818,2032,654375.79
Burke County3 - AAAA5-256.72999,8492.17422,96576,22912,8441,554642.50
Cairo1 - AAAA5-252.121,000,0002.54507,73498,7479,4458241,212.59
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA6-055.18985,4041.84107,56949,8756,6126361,571.33
Howard2 - AAAA5-252.23967,9241.91282,04042,1454,4643722,687.17
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA4-352.04928,8211.73235,77330,3013,0422613,830.42
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA3-350.18997,8232.09304,80033,0972,8581955,127.21
West Laurens2 - AAAA5-251.70784,4511.40190,03021,1792,1611666,023.10
Cedartown5 - AAAA4-352.41574,9840.7925,2528,4889768312,047.19
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA4-254.07481,7160.6219,7415,4548197413,512.51
Oconee County8 - AAAA4-348.62952,5261.1418,7996,5555564024,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA2-545.59985,6171.43110,1478,4645302049,999.00
Thomson3 - AAAA2-445.55972,7771.3491,3287,1174991952,630.58
Pickens6 - AAAA7-044.01997,9071.3322,1816,7443291662,499.00
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA6-145.80991,3671.7665,6545,2594791566,665.67
Stephens County8 - AAAA4-245.21937,6561.0613,1153,5691931376,922.08
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA6-144.02947,5981.1651,4423,8152169111,110.11
Columbus1 - AAAA3-339.51917,8161.2251,8612,237792499,999.00
West Hall7 - AAAA2-538.11847,9541.006,6191,182282499,999.00
Perry2 - AAAA4-343.66177,9770.2518,9991,131531999,999.00
Salem4 - AAAA4-234.38974,6811.2518,61351481999,999.00
Westover1 - AAAA3-334.04480,5130.545,67610341999,999.00
North Oconee8 - AAAA6-141.57990,8521.077,9571,78968--
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA4-237.08993,3061.083,30947812--
Spalding2 - AAAA3-439.99140,9270.199,17343812--
Hardaway1 - AAAA3-330.63239,2770.262,100362--
White County7 - AAAA1-529.72106,6090.11167191--
Hampton4 - AAAA3-327.94735,2600.804,36875---
Denmark7 - AAAA4-333.7658,0310.0724725---
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA2-432.49239,8930.262,13024---
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA3-430.40127,8940.141,13221---
Madison County8 - AAAA2-527.44118,9810.126911---
Henry County4 - AAAA1-519.31199,4290.212201---
Luella4 - AAAA2-421.1989,0290.091431---
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA2-519.73664,2780.67331---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA2-532.746,8030.0181---
LaGrange5 - AAAA1-533.952,8290.0051---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA3-316.2194,1590.0922----
LaFayette6 - AAAA4-318.20198,2990.208----
Shaw1 - AAAA3-321.563,2160.006----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA3-413.78145,7940.155----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-44.192,6110.00-----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-611.632,3420.00-----
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-610.191,1790.00-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-6-15.554270.00-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-69.34240.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo995,4054,5622211-
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)4,188912,13548,54626,4988,633
1 - AAAAColumbus138,637744,830134,34882,184
1 - AAAAWestover236,25863,502380,751519,487
1 - AAAAHardaway-57570,746167,956760,723
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter4047,69424,012207,783760,107
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)-7647,50180,317872,106
1 - AAAAShaw-638402,313996,784
1 - AAAADougherty--123999,976
2 - AAAAMary Persons922,36670,3216,0031,210100
2 - AAAAHoward57,397527,435297,44385,64932,076
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee2,581306,831362,970256,43971,179
2 - AAAAWest Laurens17,61980,306285,718400,808215,549
2 - AAAAPerry3555516,727160,660822,023
2 - AAAASpalding214,55231,13995,234859,073
3 - AAAABurke County578,758273,621104,10043,370151
3 - AAAABaldwin213,432355,993317,73798,45514,383
3 - AAAAThomson161,531262,707267,005281,53427,223
3 - AAAARichmond Academy46,249106,077303,937491,33552,402
3 - AAAACross Creek301,6027,22185,306905,841
4 - AAAAEastside956,54133,1119,1531,18312
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy22,877788,445160,34926,1522,177
4 - AAAASalem18,239154,249742,11960,07425,319
4 - AAAAHampton2,34220,58749,013663,318264,740
4 - AAAAHenry County1462,893196,489800,571
4 - AAAALuella-3,54936,37449,106910,971
4 - AAAADruid Hills---2,611997,389
4 - AAAANorth Clayton-13991,067998,821
5 - AAAATroup523,307440,32732,5923,669105
5 - AAAACartersville457,634393,309118,20027,1413,716
5 - AAAASandy Creek15,284125,698581,947214,56062,511
5 - AAAACedartown3,75628,057192,856350,315425,016
5 - AAAAChapel Hill1912,57272,579396,546518,284
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)-371,7565,010993,197
5 - AAAALaGrange--702,759997,171
6 - AAAARidgeland812,716176,55210,59412711
6 - AAAAPickens175,567544,970269,0918,2792,093
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield11,709275,969580,907124,7216,694
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)-2,178112,261549,839335,722
6 - AAAALaFayette62468,457189,590801,701
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield28518,686127,021854,206
6 - AAAAGilmer--4423999,573
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity856,463131,61611,883371
7 - AAAAMarist126,832708,083163,5681,178339
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch16,704158,576672,051138,07314,596
7 - AAAAWest Hall-533137,859709,562152,046
7 - AAAAWhite County-61,055105,548893,391
7 - AAAADenmark11,18613,58343,261941,969
7 - AAAAChestatee--12,341997,658
8 - AAAASt. Pius X954,05541,7353,49570015
8 - AAAAOconee County4,659459,933311,147176,78747,474
8 - AAAANorth Oconee14,993195,073345,122435,6649,148
8 - AAAAStephens County26,121297,624330,000283,91162,344
8 - AAAAMadison County1725,63510,236102,938881,019

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Calhoun6 - AAA6-070.681,000,0004.08735,498635,257441,007269,6542.71
Cedar Grove5 - AAA6-170.831,000,0003.97781,387528,821422,172262,9602.80
Benedictine3 - AAA5-167.101,000,0003.79843,040443,882342,725173,2064.77
Peach County4 - AAA4-265.52999,9863.73833,141531,160253,323123,7837.08
Monroe Area8 - AAA7-061.201,000,0002.94545,076417,186146,46153,83617.57
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA5-261.301,000,0003.21701,879342,778128,42050,02918.99
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA4-260.61999,9692.63387,863197,066101,61534,23828.21
Crisp County1 - AAA4-355.71999,7232.78685,294161,07452,05814,24369.21
Dawson County7 - AAA6-152.401,000,0002.47307,377178,87133,1886,585150.86
Liberty County2 - AAA4-149.44999,7002.54483,974149,07723,0913,684270.44
Jefferson8 - AAA6-150.52999,8671.78170,40477,64412,8202,165460.89
Pace Academy5 - AAA4-350.31999,0501.57122,26453,8508,2311,440693.44
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA5-247.54999,9452.19227,17349,1599,7511,329751.45
North Hall7 - AAA5-146.52999,3812.08146,31849,7327,2839011,108.88
Lovett5 - AAA3-448.40992,1851.4890,95137,7755,1437721,294.34
Pierce County2 - AAA6-044.61999,5712.16305,18862,7056,6527141,399.56
Jackson4 - AAA3-342.47991,2371.79217,99939,3113,1092703,702.70
Appling County2 - AAA3-340.66994,2541.85177,11525,7861,9741407,141.86
Pike County4 - AAA5-137.50844,9871.2681,8068,6435002638,460.54
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA6-036.091,000,0001.4541,4043,4142521283,332.33
Cook1 - AAA2-532.42957,3621.2956,3224,7761638124,999.00
Jenkins3 - AAA4-231.18996,3631.2123,861570272499,999.00
Central (Macon)4 - AAA2-530.81245,4590.286,20319771999,999.00
North Murray6 - AAA4-325.46916,6991.002,54916361999,999.00
Windsor Forest3 - AAA2-423.87740,2370.819,67340451999,999.00
Hart County8 - AAA2-431.67907,1690.952,7991818--
Morgan County8 - AAA3-430.64991,0781.032,9121556--
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA4-223.19868,4050.931,712751--
Haralson County6 - AAA5-122.27887,0950.931,415691--
Adairsville6 - AAA3-423.45463,8100.48936471--
Monroe1 - AAA3-420.15755,8840.812,82184---
Ringgold6 - AAA3-424.29575,9600.601,34058---
Islands3 - AAA2-417.34286,6660.301,20214---
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-616.42527,3300.543726---
Brantley County2 - AAA1-515.80439,0200.452633---
Sonoraville6 - AAA2-415.7190,3310.09373---
Franklin County8 - AAA1-520.8694,0650.10802---
Fannin County7 - AAA3-310.63717,4170.72511---
Jackson County8 - AAA2-520.6517,8090.02271---
Worth County1 - AAA1-612.40287,2160.30219----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA3-36.93253,5120.2511----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA2-411.7944,5630.0510----
Long County2 - AAA0-60.0043,1360.042----
East Hall7 - AAA1-612.0531,1570.035----
Beach3 - AAA1-410.3328,3300.0324----
Redan5 - AAA0-68.938,8060.013----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-4-2.443,0760.00-----
Towers5 - AAA0-7-3.488900.00-----
Savannah3 - AAA0-5-6.105670.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA1-5-11.415170.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-6-6.361860.00-----
Rutland4 - AAA0-7-10.18260.00-----
Groves3 - AAA1-6-7.2920.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-6-10.6120.00-----
Murray County6 - AAA0-7-11.59-------
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-7-12.85-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County925,64470,6743,221-184277
1 - AAACook63,233685,452208,676-142,638
1 - AAAMonroe8,693199,794547,397--244,116
1 - AAAWorth County2,43044,080240,706--712,784
2 - AAALiberty County496,531319,823177,0596,178109300
2 - AAAPierce County311,284371,669301,53214,946140429
2 - AAAAppling County191,616302,152438,56259,1622,7625,746
2 - AAATattnall County3094,57448,958473,489-472,670
2 - AAABrantley County2601,75833,153403,849-560,980
2 - AAALong County-2473642,376-956,864
3 - AAABenedictine956,88240,9092,16544--
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch36,116939,81624,0608--
3 - AAAJenkins7,00219,253948,53520,5969773,637
3 - AAAWindsor Forest--14,494690,26035,483259,763
3 - AAAIslands-131,493272,34212,818713,334
3 - AAABeach-59,06213,5325,731971,670
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)-41912,650231996,924
3 - AAASavannah---5661999,433
3 - AAAGroves---2-999,998
4 - AAAPeach County847,051137,65213,7241,44711214
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)134,003743,291108,75513,891555
4 - AAAJackson17,74516,951589,397358,0459,0998,763
4 - AAAPike County1,200101,586271,878397,71572,608155,013
4 - AAACentral (Macon)152016,191228,7452754,541
4 - AAAKendrick--55131-999,814
4 - AAARutland---26-999,974
5 - AAACedar Grove708,399259,93328,2483,420--
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)271,791596,955108,58022,26937431
5 - AAAPace Academy16,37153,611439,102489,500466950
5 - AAALovett3,43989,481423,786475,417627,815
5 - AAARedan-202768,510-991,194
5 - AAATowers--8882-999,110
5 - AAAStone Mountain---2-999,998
6 - AAACalhoun997,2432,74494--
6 - AAANorth Murray5408,985289,782124,56593,36283,301
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe1,593364,339259,898167,21275,363131,595
6 - AAAHaralson County1,159188,147219,721280,143197,925112,905
6 - AAARinggold-19,743107,692205,866242,659424,040
6 - AAAAdairsville-6,060101,938167,398188,414536,190
6 - AAASonoraville-6,39612,27235,81735,846909,669
6 - AAACoahulla Creek-3,5868,68818,99513,294955,437
6 - AAAMurray County-----1,000,000
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian999,837137251--
7 - AAADawson County76685,626309,0045,27222-
7 - AAANorth Hall20313,241660,22524,7381,157619
7 - AAAFannin County6297319,508696,8722282,583
7 - AAALumpkin County5235,185248,2981746,488
7 - AAAEast Hall--6,05324,819285968,843
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-----1,000,000
8 - AAAMonroe Area723,575263,79011,76580268-
8 - AAAJefferson271,838660,28062,2764,570903133
8 - AAAMorgan County1,12860,988438,749490,20768,922
8 - AAAHart County3,45914,652480,521407,63190692,831
8 - AAAFranklin County-2906,35786,657761905,935
8 - AAAJackson County--3179,6317,861982,191
8 - AAAEast Jackson--15502-999,483

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA6-072.181,000,0004.73882,077762,731601,178486,3251.06
Callaway5 - AA6-162.641,000,0003.82767,324524,863393,312158,3135.32
Rockmart7 - AA7-062.581,000,0003.71800,122585,157218,953135,8166.36
Dublin3 - AA6-157.40998,3613.12680,149298,079156,98450,23318.91
Washington County3 - AA6-057.34996,7482.86605,394238,359111,62738,86324.73
Rabun County8 - AA5-153.401,000,0003.06648,175379,283137,99230,22432.09
Brooks County1 - AA5-255.74987,8432.75557,444184,68976,53226,19637.17
Thomasville1 - AA4-354.67939,6582.54451,257216,17585,14521,72745.03
Dodge County3 - AA6-155.74998,2572.47482,092135,72543,05117,50356.13
Bremen5 - AA5-154.77998,4592.19195,59897,77534,53412,10881.59
Fitzgerald1 - AA5-250.87986,7482.35365,023127,77039,7008,008123.88
Vidalia2 - AA6-048.80998,4542.08287,118124,62033,4225,363185.46
Douglass6 - AA6-147.651,000,0002.14195,22762,27721,3002,978334.80
Heard County5 - AA4-247.18996,4231.89139,75345,06910,7131,920519.83
Swainsboro2 - AA4-246.22999,5691.76190,03664,03214,4101,887528.94
Early County1 - AA5-145.38805,7641.52150,73036,3047,3051,070933.58
Jefferson County4 - AA5-244.801,000,0001.67141,80327,1613,1016811,467.43
Washington6 - AA6-241.17995,8881.97201,42751,3087,2695971,674.04
Union County8 - AA6-038.02999,9491.4477,05917,5111,9841297,750.94
Elbert County8 - AA4-235.25983,7831.1517,3483,0382601952,630.58
Chattooga7 - AA5-232.14999,8581.2935,0744,6403227142,856.14
Hephzibah4 - AA5-233.00999,6201.1816,1501,4131836166,665.67
Berrien1 - AA5-237.13279,9870.4014,7621,8591716166,665.67
Northeast3 - AA3-432.09966,8641.1622,5003,4442275199,999.00
Harlem4 - AA4-329.62947,1661.039,5051,007555199,999.00
Toombs County2 - AA5-229.37991,9701.0810,545764384249,999.00
Spencer5 - AA1-527.81964,7241.0820,2181,770722499,999.00
Pepperell7 - AA4-327.96999,8061.1815,4611,410652499,999.00
Screven County4 - AA4-229.87853,4510.949,6201,059582499,999.00
Metter2 - AA4-228.87533,6730.563,501204191999,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA4-328.40938,1100.984,4113169--
Southwest3 - AA2-432.9622,0010.037151008--
Bleckley County3 - AA2-529.1313,2090.02198281--
Jeff Davis2 - AA5-223.86268,7010.2876721---
Butler4 - AA3-323.39186,3240.1951617---
Therrell6 - AA2-519.7651,6470.062488---
Monticello8 - AA2-414.81643,0150.652706---
Coosa7 - AA2-516.16630,8290.63754---
Bacon County2 - AA1-617.60200,5030.201692---
Banks County8 - AA3-310.40301,2160.30601---
Putnam County8 - AA1-57.3958,9540.0671---
Lamar County5 - AA3-417.3116,9280.0258----
Laney4 - AA3-415.4510,0760.016----
Jordan5 - AA2-52.3616,0230.023----
Model7 - AA2-56.96278,5030.281----
Gordon Central7 - AA2-52.6490,2810.091----
Social Circle8 - AA4-2-1.0613,0820.011----
Temple5 - AA1-60.477,4430.011----
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-616.093,7350.001----
McNair6 - AA2-510.079,7700.01-----
Bryan County2 - AA1-56.447,1300.01-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-56.604,5600.00-----
Glenn Hills4 - AA1-56.273,3120.00-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-510.138500.00-----
Dade County7 - AA1-6-1.367220.00-----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-5-0.75510.00-----
Armuchee7 - AA1-6-7.3410.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-6-21.1110.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-6-7.76-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AABrooks County655,394213,34076,36942,74012,157
1 - AAFitzgerald189,542274,227340,515182,46413,252
1 - AAThomasville81,824384,166315,173158,49560,342
1 - AAEarly County69,443114,216224,966397,139194,236
1 - AABerrien3,79714,05142,977219,162720,013
2 - AAVidalia580,130329,10777,42611,7911,546
2 - AASwainsboro377,426488,651128,2805,212431
2 - AAToombs County42,425164,194658,887126,4648,030
2 - AAMetter58,37028,447496,851466,327
2 - AAJeff Davis138,621103,192156,875731,299
2 - AABacon County11,0573,741195,704799,497
2 - AABryan County--277,103992,870
3 - AADublin606,926338,40436,29216,7391,639
3 - AAWashington County340,737332,282281,48842,2413,252
3 - AADodge County49,739322,107616,4129,9991,743
3 - AANortheast2,5806,17258,911899,20133,136
3 - AASouthwest181,0353,89717,051977,999
3 - AABleckley County--2,95310,256986,791
3 - AAEast Laurens--474,513995,440
4 - AAJefferson County978,54517,0514,119285-
4 - AAHephzibah3,761944,34150,3861,132380
4 - AAHarlem13,494459,082484,58952,834
4 - AAScreven County17,69335,110442,663357,985146,549
4 - AAButler-143,404142,919813,676
4 - AALaney-33359,738989,924
4 - AAGlenn Hills--103,302996,688
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)--150999,949
4 - AAJosey----1,000,000
5 - AACallaway852,506117,18427,3772,933-
5 - AABremen53,430614,537302,86927,6231,541
5 - AAHeard County93,321262,528619,53421,0403,577
5 - AASpencer7434,96946,126912,88635,276
5 - AALamar County-7823,50612,640983,072
5 - AAJordan--57415,449983,977
5 - AATemple--147,429992,557
6 - AAHapeville Charter986,75812,1361,106--
6 - AADouglass219867,216113,52619,039-
6 - AAWashington13,023110,942852,45919,4644,112
6 - AASouth Atlanta-9,70618,476909,92861,890
6 - AATherrell--14,43337,214948,353
6 - AAMcNair---9,770990,230
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy---3,735996,265
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate---850999,150
7 - AARockmart999,9465211-
7 - AAChattooga23575,786423,448601142
7 - AAPepperell31424,129574,795851194
7 - AACoosa-31,163629,663369,171
7 - AAModel--231278,272721,497
7 - AAGordon Central---90,281909,719
7 - AADade County-30362330999,278
7 - AAArmuchee---1999,999
8 - AARabun County811,213161,84426,89647-
8 - AAUnion County150,893770,74975,3282,97951
8 - AAElbert County37,87863,456773,841108,60816,217
8 - AAMonticello-9277,197565,726356,985
8 - AABanks County163,85639,525257,819698,784
8 - AAPutnam County-17,19051,763941,046
8 - AASocial Circle-22313,057986,918
8 - AAOglethorpe County---1999,999

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A6-062.611,000,000979,781913,317735,446636,4500.57
Clinch County2 - A5-154.111,000,000938,830790,149325,143201,6953.96
Commerce8 - A6-046.231,000,000844,178473,354307,15872,15412.86
Marion County4 - A7-044.331,000,000801,494465,340239,62551,44218.44
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A6-136.951,000,000619,824225,02383,2309,96399.37
Charlton County2 - A4-237.051,000,000596,150202,77572,0628,855111.93
Pelham1 - A6-034.471,000,000704,152293,88896,1018,466117.12
Mitchell County1 - A5-131.591,000,000633,349209,85658,0263,958251.65
Schley County4 - A5-134.75999,537378,626137,43038,1393,928253.58
Emanuel County Institute3 - A4-332.29999,279334,07695,10317,6441,792557.04
Dooly County4 - A3-329.80773,047127,51331,5896,4234082,449.98
Turner County2 - A4-227.14986,678117,87826,4094,3191985,049.51
Wilcox County2 - A4-226.10973,898113,84323,2053,6051705,881.35
Greene County7 - A4-223.91993,506131,84522,7622,6631158,694.65
Claxton3 - A5-124.15999,997107,96820,2742,7431109,089.91
Manchester4 - A4-226.67323,79842,6957,7911,3018511,763.71
Trion6 - A5-224.04999,76973,18814,7761,9197213,887.89
Atkinson County2 - A3-323.90895,35873,98613,0601,5766515,383.62
Chattahoochee County1 - A5-216.941,000,000169,98612,4011,0462147,618.05
Hancock Central7 - A4-220.03920,14542,7545,8385301662,499.00
Jenkins County3 - A4-320.52767,73941,4214,8654571283,332.33
Montgomery County3 - A4-218.94670,03834,3623,6612618124,999.00
Telfair County2 - A2-421.51251,07218,4921,9471846166,665.67
Lincoln County7 - A2-416.16447,53415,7501,3701065199,999.00
Macon County4 - A3-324.5433,3418,7001,4011684249,999.00
Washington-Wilkes7 - A2-516.92250,79710,016946691999,999.00
Miller County1 - A3-38.90999,49826,518990371999,999.00
Warren County7 - A4-311.10231,6994,49121112--
Seminole County1 - A4-26.00999,3096,3512416--
Johnson County3 - A3-313.2723,856780161--
Terrell County1 - A1-5-3.14357,6288097---
Gordon Lee6 - A2-58.358,8491315---
Calhoun County1 - A1-5-9.4585,35738----
Towns County8 - A2-5-1.011,5077----
Greenville4 - A2-45.785817----
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-67.863255----
Bowdon6 - A0-67.542763----
Baconton Charter1 - A2-4-13.454,9612----
Portal3 - A1-53.025481----
Lanier County2 - A0-6-3.8149-----
Stewart County1 - A2-4-26.4215-----
Wilkinson County7 - A0-61.675-----
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-6-36.294-----
Taylor County4 - A2-410.53------
Hawkinsville4 - A2-44.97------
Wheeler County3 - A1-5-8.04------
Treutlen3 - A2-5-10.59------
Crawford County4 - A2-4-14.85------
Twiggs County7 - A0-7-25.11------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-6-26.68------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham547,906983,71916,281-
1 - AMitchell County439,880947,83652,164-
1 - AChattahoochee County10,792491,062508,938-
1 - AMiller County-55,738943,760502
1 - ASeminole County1,4225,360993,949691
1 - ATerrell County--357,628642,372
1 - ACalhoun County--85,357914,643
1 - ABaconton Charter--4,961995,039
1 - AStewart County--15999,985
1 - ARandolph-Clay--4999,996
2 - AIrwin County996,9361,000,000--
2 - AClinch County1,749998,2071,793-
2 - ACharlton County211578,889421,111-
2 - ATurner County6002,373984,30513,322
2 - AWilcox County5037,501966,39726,102
2 - AAtkinson County11,789893,569104,642
2 - ATelfair County--251,072748,928
2 - ALanier County--49999,951
3 - AEmanuel County Institute261,495261,509737,770721
3 - AClaxton17,91927,331972,6663
3 - AJenkins County1,2321,232766,507232,261
3 - AMontgomery County9,8429,842660,196329,962
3 - AJohnson County--23,856976,144
3 - APortal--548999,452
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy11324999,675
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
4 - AMarion County716,200782,444217,556-
4 - ASchley County270,331270,331729,206463
4 - ADooly County241241772,806226,953
4 - AManchester--323,798676,202
4 - AMacon County13,22813,22820,113966,659
4 - AGreenville--581999,419
4 - ATaylor County---1,000,000
4 - AHawkinsville---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)252,375607,373392,627-
6 - ATrion107217999,552231
6 - AGordon Lee--8,849991,151
6 - ABowdon--276999,724
7 - AGreene County103,745113,434880,0726,494
7 - AHancock Central11,44011,485908,66079,855
7 - ALincoln County--447,534552,466
7 - AWashington-Wilkes120120250,677749,203
7 - AWarren County4040231,659768,301
7 - AWilkinson County--5999,995
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce166,426828,698171,302-
8 - ATowns County--1,507998,493

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Athens Academy8 - A6-057.951,000,000934,931805,190639,016401,8151.49
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A6-157.281,000,000933,671813,345651,568387,7641.58
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A6-151.151,000,000844,016480,096252,411108,6708.20
Savannah Christian3 - A5-142.781,000,000754,996413,975117,79929,93532.41
Fellowship Christian6 - A6-042.801,000,000718,775382,908109,53227,95434.77
George Walton Academy8 - A6-143.401,000,000525,081241,27771,41119,59950.02
Aquinas7 - A6-036.941,000,000616,868234,73546,5367,609130.42
Mount Paran Christian6 - A4-239.54999,951235,742111,17828,4185,796171.53
Darlington6 - A5-135.061,000,000506,808138,00725,6893,742266.24
Calvary Day3 - A5-135.931,000,000421,26495,93721,1173,403292.86
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A5-232.081,000,000333,73567,72610,7921,189840.04
Wesleyan5 - A3-432.67999,992211,22543,7307,4999731,026.75
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A5-230.581,000,000207,98346,0135,6925711,750.31
Mount de Sales7 - A6-027.381,000,000243,34340,9974,0743233,094.98
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A4-230.56999,94080,55821,0432,8452933,411.97
Whitefield Academy6 - A5-228.27999,98865,81015,5071,7051307,691.31
Christian Heritage6 - A4-226.05999,98790,14713,0791,2798511,763.71
North Cobb Christian6 - A6-025.071,000,00098,80113,2561,1357014,284.71
Brookstone4 - A4-225.91945,29854,0128,2076323826,314.79
Savannah Country Day3 - A5-124.18999,99239,1676,1135162934,481.76
Holy Innocents5 - A3-421.09965,83625,1173,0531397142,856.14
Tattnall Square7 - A4-318.16692,34324,6702,233964249,999.00
Pinecrest Academy6 - A3-319.59913,19118,8751,842851999,999.00
Stratford Academy7 - A1-517.28379,8656,16423410--
First Presbyterian7 - A2-412.44181,8252,7911512--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A3-413.40292,7742,2991051--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A3-310.67486,1362,547531--
Athens Christian8 - A2-410.4593,8624469---
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-511.1813,548681---
St. Francis6 - A2-49.4018,85076----
Landmark Christian5 - A2-52.6916,25814----
Providence Christian8 - A2-4-3.08338-----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-5-1.7214-----
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-6-6.227-----
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-7-9.895-----
Georgia Military College7 - A3-4-4.66------
Walker6 - A0-6-6.42------
Pacelli4 - A3-4-8.51------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian673,357961,88138,119-
3 - ACalvary Day29,327399,887600,113-
3 - ASavannah Country Day6,82717,704982,2888
4 - ABrookstone--945,29854,702
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian974,090999,711289-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)-384,398615,602-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian25,42858,139941,861-
5 - AWesleyan46361,341938,6518
5 - AHoly Innocents--965,83634,164
5 - AStrong Rock Christian1919292,755707,226
5 - ALandmark Christian--16,258983,742
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy--5999,995
6 - AFellowship Christian580,742835,771164,229-
6 - ADarlington52,431672,381327,619-
6 - AMount Paran Christian77,99377,993921,95849
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian13,626115,144884,856-
6 - AWhitefield Academy21,74821,748978,24012
6 - AChristian Heritage97832,463967,52413
6 - APinecrest Academy--913,19186,809
6 - ASt. Francis--18,850981,150
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian--13,548986,452
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--14999,986
6 - AWalker---1,000,000
7 - AAquinas563,718881,945118,055-
7 - AMount de Sales253,668415,952584,048-
7 - ATattnall Square56,91256,912635,431307,657
7 - AStratford Academy--379,865620,135
7 - AFirst Presbyterian10,35710,357171,468818,175
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy824,535999,98812-
8 - APrince Avenue Christian88756,866243,134-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy2229,027770,973-
8 - AHebron Christian Academy8,90010,324989,61660
8 - ARiverside Military Academy4545486,091513,864
8 - AAthens Christian4493,858906,138
8 - AProvidence Christian--338999,662
8 - ALakeview Academy--7999,993
1 - APataula Charter---1,000,000
7 - AACE Charter---1,000,000
7 - AGlascock County---1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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