High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 1

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Aug 21, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA1-095.60999,9434.36880,840641,406518,565358,5481.79
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA0-093.52999,9834.16839,798604,426459,636278,7872.59
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA1-088.74999,8973.44767,972395,286246,528119,6847.36
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA1-086.67996,7353.26721,193359,865225,78088,77310.26
Walton4 - AAAAAAA1-084.64998,2973.00601,907398,149146,90357,19916.48
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA0-181.64985,4952.88528,702310,231100,57831,81730.43
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-079.37996,9172.41388,149187,62756,08015,14665.02
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA0-178.10995,3422.27393,581162,94248,30111,60385.18
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA1-077.52994,5832.22324,841143,85038,4749,284106.71
Milton5 - AAAAAAA1-076.58999,4862.23315,900134,57333,1527,347135.11
Archer8 - AAAAAAA0-176.27991,7922.27346,815133,64333,7957,186138.16
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA1-073.76913,8142.02244,62688,79418,3393,305301.57
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA1-073.59933,4782.03240,81885,89417,5933,244307.26
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA0-173.51982,7311.83210,34275,54115,2132,673373.11
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA0-171.66793,2611.42169,73351,0598,3911,295771.20
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA0-071.49949,3341.53157,79150,7758,3661,272785.16
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA1-070.18814,9411.60142,65638,1806,4328521,172.71
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-070.07993,7401.73147,88338,6656,3508521,172.71
Newton8 - AAAAAAA1-067.75962,7581.55108,29422,9203,1333642,746.25
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA1-066.43981,8191.4466,2259,4751,7442004,999.00
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA1-066.14723,4971.0369,70815,4301,5901466,848.32
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA1-066.23816,3701.0657,48311,7731,4381287,811.50
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA0-165.25623,1671.0457,14810,0821,2431178,546.01
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-063.28889,7181.2451,3858,3287136216,128.03
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA0-162.81891,8711.1236,5135,9915334323,254.81
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-162.33655,2910.7622,3613,2493192441,665.67
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-161.02953,6001.2135,7594,9673672343,477.26
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-060.57847,0271.0224,4373,2692361662,499.00
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-159.17500,2050.559,6501,055865199,999.00
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-156.13818,4820.9610,748966534249,999.00
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-154.74572,5760.626,069374181999,999.00
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA1-053.87749,5260.856,89152822--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-051.18596,3890.663,46722413--
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-047.57412,8360.441,349636--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA1-052.58487,9740.523,4921745--
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA0-148.11444,9810.481,496732--
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-147.46258,7570.27807441--
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-146.97514,0310.53988391--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA1-051.05168,5260.17745301--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-145.91477,4920.4967818---
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-046.16168,5170.1851117---
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-047.5834,5810.042394---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA1-033.6970,9700.0761---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA0-134.0717,8500.022----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-029.3111,2090.011----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA0-127.807,6120.011----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA0-122.482,5870.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA0-0-4.87120.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County715,284247,40131,255-6,00357
1 - AAAAAAALowndes252,497586,892129,967-27,3793,265
1 - AAAAAAATift County24,307116,127509,254-143,573206,739
1 - AAAAAAACamden County7,91249,580329,524-336,481276,503
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake654,080209,86483,96533,11379718,181
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta145,446280,315230,497162,015209181,518
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler96,284214,483238,523198,7961,440250,474
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook55,350138,104186,080216,062793403,611
2 - AAAAAAANewnan25,04781,730136,347201,486371555,019
2 - AAAAAAACampbell23,79375,504124,588188,528423587,164
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern529,963258,905126,45160,7109,46614,505
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb181,380251,187244,326190,03946,88286,186
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove169,967240,523250,512201,12171,35566,522
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding88,623168,605229,487263,44764,779185,059
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta29,89679,541143,189261,224109,317376,833
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain1711,2396,03523,4593,677965,419
4 - AAAAAAAWalton764,598179,91141,36911,2571,1621,703
4 - AAAAAAARoswell143,350409,711256,222121,05119,00050,666
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah55,010217,245296,022231,98916,104183,630
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock25,314114,704216,164280,86818,241344,709
4 - AAAAAAALassiter10,61067,416150,600252,10319,476499,795
4 - AAAAAAACherokee1,11811,01339,623102,73214,040831,474
5 - AAAAAAAMilton617,990295,78874,81310,040855514
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth309,279459,505189,54534,1331,2786,260
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth66,997205,882520,318154,9055,49846,400
5 - AAAAAAALambert3,15221,061108,899379,7171,202485,969
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth2,54316,88796,232361,602228522,508
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central3987710,19359,603258929,030
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett750,636217,03726,9745,069181103
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek217,868586,382154,89835,8073874,658
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View19,550114,206415,446341,0241,645108,129
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill11,56175,612346,122413,107625152,973
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge3856,73755,506195,878251741,243
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-238506,7354992,388
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-32042,380-997,413
7 - AAAAAAANorcross443,195329,372191,73630,8711,7433,083
7 - AAAAAAAParkview352,647343,643251,02444,6562,6135,417
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood196,659294,885401,40287,1832,60217,269
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett4,83219,73192,562448,2197,232427,424
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek2,66612,35462,704378,84331,407512,026
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)11557210,216405988,791
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar---12-999,988
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson846,335135,21415,1263,2476117
8 - AAAAAAAArcher115,366563,141235,46176,8529728,208
8 - AAAAAAANewton26,251201,274442,024281,31511,89437,242
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett11,93896,253283,307489,5218,699110,282
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh1073,95322,041133,4478,969831,483
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County31652,04115,61823982,150

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA1-078.19986,8223.83731,217575,121394,584257,2982.89
Coffee1 - AAAAAA1-075.03973,1913.29629,684464,584273,230148,0445.75
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA1-074.59968,5233.22616,412450,137259,180136,9976.30
Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-174.43999,8342.72472,312373,903204,923110,1288.08
Harrison6 - AAAAAA1-072.17982,2783.20696,358335,543180,95587,31010.45
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA1-072.15948,8672.78521,787357,432177,33181,37111.29
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA0-171.75996,8392.92421,838303,326158,84672,69412.76
Mays5 - AAAAAA0-169.82978,5972.84558,000256,261120,14649,72719.11
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA0-166.29934,3042.50497,467177,14068,07522,67243.11
Dalton6 - AAAAAA1-061.83835,3361.91334,33389,54425,4236,262158.69
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-060.52995,2681.92298,94577,44519,1154,394226.58
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA0-160.06948,3102.02165,73669,16817,1893,708268.69
Dacula8 - AAAAAA1-059.77992,3901.90267,58061,81315,0333,114320.13
Alexander5 - AAAAAA0-060.01796,3561.62222,29352,77613,1662,852349.63
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA1-059.16945,2771.98152,80360,22213,9002,825352.98
Lanier8 - AAAAAA1-058.66990,1661.81233,54150,16511,0262,251443.25
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA1-059.38988,1131.34109,25941,1989,7801,942513.93
Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-058.15724,8161.38169,28534,8177,6021,433696.84
Creekview6 - AAAAAA1-057.91682,1701.34189,10938,3427,9991,399713.80
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-056.93917,9741.83120,54440,9117,7811,360734.29
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA0-157.71710,9241.33159,40732,0886,8291,227814.00
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-153.54962,6901.40114,15516,4862,5203342,993.01
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA0-054.49475,7400.8390,93514,2112,2263133,193.89
Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-154.04487,8300.8172,37010,5961,6932424,131.23
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-149.14970,9071.3129,7455,5876035019,999.00
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-147.70900,8911.1436,5563,3283002049,999.00
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-049.68252,2750.3721,5972,2512341662,499.00
Houston County1 - AAAAAA0-148.72122,5970.155,0011,043796166,665.67
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA0-144.92732,7350.775,762782455199,999.00
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA0-143.32802,5430.9314,304979643333,332.33
Drew4 - AAAAAA0-142.63599,1940.623,134349162499,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA0-140.72834,7390.954,943499271999,999.00
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA0-142.47648,6410.7310,10654620--
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA0-139.56794,4180.893,57333618--
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA1-040.72542,8770.595,90331914--
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA0-142.5161,9030.082,2031218--
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-138.94191,6000.262,6741836--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA1-037.44713,2850.782,1151816--
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-040.3331,1350.04635243--
Pope7 - AAAAAA0-037.73348,9880.372,139841--
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA1-037.28322,1700.33594341--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-032.39433,1590.46451281--
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-034.09173,7010.18181101--
Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-137.1813,0750.0116451--
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA0-133.02290,9580.3179221---
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-134.47201,0950.2166817---
Northview7 - AAAAAA0-033.56160,5510.174729---
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-136.2213,8760.021639---
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-136.5214,3930.021958---
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA1-032.46135,6960.141157---
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA0-127.97253,4920.26945---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA1-032.37123,9890.132704---
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-034.244,9920.01372---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA0-128.2947,9870.0526----
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA0-117.7923,0520.029----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA0-024.4015,9010.029----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-113.545700.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-15.29-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County371,989282,051198,569134,21313,178
1 - AAAAAACoffee238,734254,382256,999223,07626,809
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)235,119252,696256,401224,30731,477
1 - AAAAAAValdosta153,574206,886275,267313,14051,133
1 - AAAAAAHouston County5843,98512,764105,264877,403
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy661,246231,31573,32830,9503,161
2 - AAAAAABrunswick140,389290,604294,341222,97651,690
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County118,421268,086304,218254,55254,723
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill78,840200,475300,295338,36482,026
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute1,1049,52027,818153,158808,400
3 - AAAAAAEvans561,811239,897116,58352,61629,093
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown174,433252,011234,093174,202165,261
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)133,142227,122236,529197,625205,582
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)92,756173,136218,837228,556286,715
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier28,61875,028125,058204,455566,841
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy9,24032,80668,900142,546746,508
4 - AAAAAATucker818,739167,33212,5801,183166
4 - AAAAAAStephenson166,504639,147145,52036,94211,887
4 - AAAAAALovejoy8,57199,009371,035254,120267,265
4 - AAAAAADrew5,08863,756252,418277,932400,806
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill72518,294113,190189,961677,830
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King2026,94353,482113,074826,299
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)1524,48340,04691,015864,304
4 - AAAAAAMorrow191,03611,65135,281952,013
4 - AAAAAAForest Park--78492999,430
5 - AAAAAAMays628,836216,15693,42240,18321,403
5 - AAAAAAAlexander132,574249,218229,762184,802203,644
5 - AAAAAANorthgate99,743200,529219,594204,950275,184
5 - AAAAAADouglas County93,807194,118218,503204,496289,076
5 - AAAAAAHughes34,43199,551152,342201,506512,170
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester10,21837,29075,354129,413747,725
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities2942,1857,38621,270968,865
5 - AAAAAACreekside817412,6939,560986,925
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding162129443,820995,008
6 - AAAAAAHarrison558,935257,272117,88548,18617,722
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona246,317332,868229,367125,75265,696
6 - AAAAAADalton118,049212,998282,629221,660164,664
6 - AAAAAACreekview53,962126,355212,762289,091317,830
6 - AAAAAASequoyah22,16466,482139,085248,009524,260
6 - AAAAAASprayberry4883,22713,39344,795938,097
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge514062,52611,410985,607
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb343922,35311,097986,124
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta684,485243,62453,67813,4814,732
7 - AAAAAACentennial256,940472,053169,82263,87537,310
7 - AAAAAACambridge29,450123,388276,966218,837351,359
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek17,62984,002213,740227,506457,123
7 - AAAAAAPope6,81838,869125,082178,219651,012
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee2,21517,17766,117115,586798,905
7 - AAAAAANorthview1,52912,14851,69595,179839,449
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta9078,31039,06975,703876,011
7 - AAAAAADunwoody274293,83111,614984,099
8 - AAAAAADacula488,413334,420128,61540,9427,610
8 - AAAAAALanier398,431383,672155,49352,5709,834
8 - AAAAAAGainesville78,753176,503386,987258,64899,109
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow31,90490,492263,735416,412197,457
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central2,47714,66061,805212,016709,042
8 - AAAAAAApalachee222533,36519,412976,948

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford8 - AAAAA1-089.381,000,0005.01903,965833,602768,866502,9380.99
Rome7 - AAAAA1-087.55999,9434.66915,688764,741637,667348,8621.87
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA1-076.32999,7813.55758,968632,098220,55968,43913.61
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA0-076.33996,2103.31815,118346,495169,68453,62217.65
Ware County2 - AAAAA1-064.76998,4252.46448,519100,52232,2114,997199.12
Carrollton7 - AAAAA0-063.76945,8702.33370,323166,80530,2644,202236.98
Jones County4 - AAAAA1-064.16918,1952.15401,237165,65328,2014,201237.04
Kell7 - AAAAA1-063.44932,9422.33391,913172,32928,9833,958251.65
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA1-063.25900,3132.00351,773137,72522,2443,050326.87
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA0-061.82996,1292.35331,712166,76920,8312,587385.55
Griffin3 - AAAAA1-058.36990,0142.07229,04491,7139,2739171,089.51
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA1-059.07977,8591.70213,73958,3938,3458181,221.49
Wayne County2 - AAAAA0-056.59985,5931.89182,54150,0725,7734792,086.68
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-052.95996,0072.12317,26373,9364,2312444,097.36
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA1-051.65994,3632.03282,85157,5442,9301576,368.43
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-054.50561,6530.8369,71221,0751,6541148,770.93
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA1-051.25979,0751.81114,96219,3811,7019810,203.08
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-052.14564,8141.11166,90031,4511,7859110,988.01
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA0-150.03970,2021.46147,82524,8621,1806116,392.44
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-049.51921,6851.4162,23315,0687926016,665.67
Banneker6 - AAAAA1-049.08965,0161.40126,83320,1339333429,410.76
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-051.47368,3150.5030,9327,9935112638,460.54
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA1-047.24803,3740.9630,9835,2132139111,110.11
Loganville8 - AAAAA1-045.05936,6761.4781,6668,7323038124,999.00
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-147.05256,8540.4347,1615,8752018124,999.00
Veterans1 - AAAAA1-046.33800,4610.9325,9404,0661647142,856.14
Riverwood6 - AAAAA1-043.59876,1971.0435,2013,8301164249,999.00
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA1-039.27848,8761.1434,2382,410503333,332.33
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA0-145.90145,4010.175,1651,015362499,999.00
Hiram7 - AAAAA0-045.62190,9200.3129,9853,2961011999,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA1-043.32835,9701.0619,5642,754981999,999.00
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA0-140.96786,5030.8815,7421,408421999,999.00
South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-039.57703,5240.838,9411,029211999,999.00
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA0-141.1681,9880.127,68856812--
Ola4 - AAAAA0-144.1797,5550.112,57746011--
Harris County1 - AAAAA0-138.42418,5250.443,3182526--
Statesboro2 - AAAAA0-034.85476,4880.532,6612502--
Riverdale3 - AAAAA1-035.92407,0250.452,6411032--
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA0-134.03291,8930.321,399472--
Columbia5 - AAAAA0-131.59702,8040.783,1211041--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA1-029.42591,3610.641,432361--
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-031.23686,6910.752,83882---
McIntosh3 - AAAAA0-131.84202,8180.2266723---
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-034.9516,7510.0265723---
Cass7 - AAAAA0-032.989,9180.0129623---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-026.24233,7040.2699519---
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-131.43190,4360.205489---
Grady6 - AAAAA0-128.69158,0680.162164---
North Springs6 - AAAAA0-128.71155,8660.161994---
Union Grove4 - AAAAA0-035.1812,3580.01684---
Decatur6 - AAAAA0-125.0971,9950.07391---
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA0-018.7916,1530.023----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-18.4328,7740.03-----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA1-0-1.971,6690.00-----
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-1-18.60-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-1-53.54-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins851,959132,46712,7302,625219
1 - AAAAABainbridge117,499578,629214,73866,99322,141
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central16,528139,493329,959317,394196,626
1 - AAAAAVeterans12,139119,704331,285337,333199,539
1 - AAAAAHarris County1,87529,707111,288275,655581,475
2 - AAAAAWare County671,665271,48945,3109,9611,575
2 - AAAAAWayne County280,306496,351163,53745,39914,407
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead29,898131,075390,384284,613164,030
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham13,94069,323263,509356,752296,476
2 - AAAAAStatesboro4,19131,762137,260303,275523,512
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill530,355329,525118,76017,4893,871
3 - AAAAAGriffin365,561401,287187,72135,4459,986
3 - AAAAAWhitewater97,333223,474445,985154,89378,315
3 - AAAAARiverdale3,41920,304100,390282,912592,975
3 - AAAAAJonesboro1,67911,96565,704212,545708,107
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh8497,07943,461151,429797,182
3 - AAAAAFayette County8046,36637,979145,287809,564
4 - AAAAAStockbridge712,725207,39261,45114,6423,790
4 - AAAAAJones County149,856351,370281,307135,66281,805
4 - AAAAADutchtown112,701304,843320,150162,61999,687
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing15,55676,976170,478298,643438,347
4 - AAAAALocust Grove7,48043,444106,517210,874631,685
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)1,0959,96435,72598,617854,599
4 - AAAAAOla5745,72322,53368,725902,445
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove132881,83910,218987,642
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain520,829385,93973,32715,9123,993
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb442,107439,33992,35320,5645,637
5 - AAAAAColumbia15,23368,040307,526312,005297,196
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove13,36161,966292,709318,655313,309
5 - AAAAALithonia8,45544,402227,584310,920408,639
5 - AAAAAChamblee153146,50121,944971,226
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)403,764303,039178,46184,93829,798
6 - AAAAABanneker367,465300,703197,30899,54034,984
6 - AAAAARiverwood145,288221,053286,027223,829123,803
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson76,880147,551246,517315,555213,497
6 - AAAAAGrady2,93511,81237,522105,799841,932
6 - AAAAANorth Springs2,80411,48036,448105,134844,134
6 - AAAAADecatur8143,91615,13252,133928,005
6 - AAAAALithia Springs504462,58513,072983,847
7 - AAAAARome900,32888,9609,75190457
7 - AAAAACarrollton48,136437,299337,834122,60154,130
7 - AAAAAKell47,565378,464364,245142,66867,058
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding3,02562,769162,063336,957435,186
7 - AAAAAPaulding County60318,30163,462174,488743,146
7 - AAAAAHiram29811,09844,139135,385809,080
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica422,73515,05364,158918,012
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)32582,22414,266983,249
7 - AAAAACass-1161,2298,573990,082
8 - AAAAABuford978,62520,84946264-
8 - AAAAAClarke Central14,441595,823274,11994,69220,925
8 - AAAAALoganville5,098256,440413,900261,23863,324
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals1,790115,690274,066457,330151,124
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove4611,19637,281185,181766,296
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-21721,495998,331

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville5 - AAAA1-087.30999,9385.25950,978891,601764,148647,2740.54
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA1-075.92999,5644.15837,699693,825461,468181,3274.51
Marist7 - AAAA0-072.21998,6873.67757,274574,724286,63494,5259.58
Mary Persons2 - AAAA1-066.07996,0123.28820,022398,78099,21928,20734.45
Burke County3 - AAAA0-164.87999,8812.80676,196156,49285,77118,49453.07
Thomson3 - AAAA0-161.00999,5922.56566,935122,25060,4438,821112.37
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA0-059.67914,3672.19337,764212,94461,1876,860144.77
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA0-157.33998,2592.26352,66666,23629,6232,926340.76
St. Pius X8 - AAAA0-158.35997,9231.90173,72386,24219,6392,562389.32
Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-154.47995,7452.05248,891141,66427,7951,985502.78
Troup5 - AAAA0-056.00842,2721.67189,860102,20023,4071,957509.99
Cairo1 - AAAA0-152.14950,2682.12324,526116,18518,4691,127886.31
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA1-053.50922,0601.72119,79451,6248,3097471,337.69
Oconee County8 - AAAA1-053.54992,5591.63110,76748,6179,5767291,370.74
West Laurens2 - AAAA1-051.31865,0101.71272,28778,98711,4657181,391.76
Eastside4 - AAAA1-053.14994,1922.00242,49232,8359,1317161,395.65
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA1-051.17650,9701.0673,99630,6534,7572743,648.64
Spalding2 - AAAA0-147.96763,3301.26148,42433,9214,0281685,951.38
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA0-146.67824,0961.43130,01927,5752,8491317,632.59
Perry2 - AAAA1-047.23741,2301.19130,70628,1633,1411287,811.50
Cedartown5 - AAAA0-148.72500,1180.7540,48914,3421,8849110,988.01
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA1-046.05794,1431.34111,11021,7772,1538711,493.25
Stephens County8 - AAAA1-045.31958,4151.2553,75417,6531,6935518,180.82
White County7 - AAAA0-043.47654,4320.9637,75911,1998702737,036.04
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-042.28596,3810.8744,9946,0734241855,554.56
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-041.82924,9581.1220,2264,9133561662,499.00
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA1-041.68929,7831.1220,6415,1884211283,332.33
Salem4 - AAAA1-040.05885,5771.2551,3275,5042857142,856.14
Howard2 - AAAA0-140.25367,6920.4621,6872,6121584249,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA0-136.45933,4251.1339,7394,5261783333,332.33
Pickens6 - AAAA1-039.69887,8011.0212,6182,6461872499,999.00
West Hall7 - AAAA0-138.08380,9670.4910,7172,3381211999,999.00
Columbus1 - AAAA1-037.71335,9100.4311,642992451999,999.00
Hampton4 - AAAA1-034.83713,3590.9022,6412,05063--
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA0-137.88266,7260.3210,8581,06750--
Hardaway1 - AAAA0-036.72281,5440.358,00060131--
Westover1 - AAAA0-134.74187,3730.233,70122111--
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA1-028.78796,1040.867,5883864--
North Oconee8 - AAAA1-030.25607,3380.621,4521524--
Madison County8 - AAAA0-128.09443,7650.45674531--
Luella4 - AAAA0-024.63199,7030.221,273511--
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-033.8145,2410.05312421--
LaGrange5 - AAAA0-134.4447,0940.0534246---
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-122.36128,8870.1457822---
Chestatee7 - AAAA0-125.2542,9270.0513910---
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-124.75241,2250.251317---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA1-017.11270,9980.282704---
Henry County4 - AAAA0-019.2674,6080.082074---
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-122.467,0750.01142---
Shaw1 - AAAA1-026.3423,2100.03981---
LaFayette6 - AAAA1-010.3720,3290.02-----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA1-08.675,4150.01-----
Denmark7 - AAAA0-07.351,3630.00-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-1-10.751590.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo505,975246,116130,26067,91749,732
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter200,515255,635215,575152,371175,904
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)169,584233,126223,710167,723205,857
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)75,383134,120181,204205,674403,619
1 - AAAAColumbus22,93958,278102,695151,998664,090
1 - AAAAHardaway16,68745,28084,374135,203718,456
1 - AAAAWestover8,56025,46255,13298,219812,627
1 - AAAAShaw3081,6425,63215,628976,790
1 - AAAADougherty493411,4185,267992,925
2 - AAAAMary Persons765,390173,58943,96813,0653,988
2 - AAAAWest Laurens117,231328,157255,757163,865134,990
2 - AAAASpalding55,333213,200264,062230,735236,670
2 - AAAAPerry48,820196,429251,520244,461258,770
2 - AAAAHoward8,32054,022108,291197,059632,308
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee4,90634,60376,402150,815733,274
3 - AAAABurke County582,670387,43927,6832,089119
3 - AAAAThomson407,991538,13148,8384,632408
3 - AAAABaldwin7,73656,069600,948268,67266,575
3 - AAAARichmond Academy1,54216,337272,634505,591203,896
3 - AAAACross Creek612,02449,897219,016729,002
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy604,226311,07069,64613,3171,741
4 - AAAAEastside341,983476,856142,18033,1735,808
4 - AAAASalem39,204140,599454,213251,561114,423
4 - AAAAHampton13,70561,598244,187393,869286,641
4 - AAAALuella5235,73848,241145,201800,297
4 - AAAANorth Clayton2873,01026,69098,900871,113
4 - AAAAHenry County711,10814,25959,170925,392
4 - AAAADruid Hills1215844,809994,585
5 - AAAACartersville933,27861,3544,51679062
5 - AAAASandy Creek39,937448,859277,711147,86085,633
5 - AAAATroup16,849275,212325,675224,536157,728
5 - AAAAChapel Hill6,655130,372216,784297,159349,030
5 - AAAACedartown3,23780,119154,750262,012499,882
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)231,93710,13033,151954,759
5 - AAAALaGrange212,14710,43434,492952,906
6 - AAAARidgeland659,839228,37976,29531,2324,255
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield128,888269,515294,904236,47670,217
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)120,194276,371293,544234,84975,042
6 - AAAAPickens88,450208,268284,949306,134112,199
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield2,60717,07547,575173,968758,775
6 - AAAALaFayette223922,72917,186979,671
6 - AAAAGilmer--4155999,841
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity606,184343,23545,8724,273436
7 - AAAAMarist370,763531,40286,7979,7251,313
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch20,44999,462575,309226,84077,940
7 - AAAAWhite County2,17119,402196,340436,519345,568
7 - AAAAWest Hall4296,30389,325284,910619,033
7 - AAAAChestatee41956,31636,412957,073
7 - AAAADenmark-1411,321998,637
8 - AAAASt. Pius X567,406314,536101,03014,9512,077
8 - AAAAOconee County330,851415,566209,25536,8877,441
8 - AAAAStephens County95,024232,797491,436139,15841,585
8 - AAAANorth Oconee4,22722,218122,025458,868392,662
8 - AAAAMadison County2,49214,88376,254350,136556,235

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine3 - AAA1-077.561,000,0004.75930,728724,060657,845444,5161.25
Calhoun6 - AAA1-073.031,000,0003.95730,072650,904390,704193,0534.18
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA1-071.461,000,0003.67780,054505,666275,390128,5166.78
Peach County4 - AAA0-068.97999,9543.58855,026436,196222,33689,10710.22
Cedar Grove5 - AAA1-068.84999,8723.25686,536308,581201,26287,91710.37
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA1-063.93999,2642.76496,412212,81899,09031,49130.76
Lovett5 - AAA0-158.77995,6052.34323,486133,79837,1418,153121.65
Jefferson8 - AAA0-155.37998,8072.50473,088316,48445,1848,090122.61
Crisp County1 - AAA1-055.02995,3912.65629,305159,51727,6374,760209.08
Liberty County2 - AAA0-051.32998,6442.66533,677219,66023,0202,998332.56
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA1-048.64983,1821.91191,86851,5566,1785881,699.68
Dawson County7 - AAA1-044.32989,7221.91173,13959,6853,5122284,384.96
Cook1 - AAA1-044.00968,3671.78214,78650,6462,9541975,075.14
Pace Academy5 - AAA0-143.58917,5031.43131,25246,2802,2901417,091.20
Pierce County2 - AAA1-042.54988,5981.95229,21740,0292,0661039,707.74
Pike County4 - AAA1-040.88915,0811.42106,15418,9008895617,856.14
North Hall7 - AAA1-039.46963,5751.5573,60615,7167243330,302.03
Monroe Area8 - AAA1-040.38934,1301.1438,0249,8084321855,554.56
Jenkins3 - AAA0-138.77962,6001.5778,7696,4283921471,427.57
Jackson4 - AAA0-136.29775,2751.0554,3535,9491588124,999.00
Adairsville6 - AAA1-035.82930,0701.2430,9024,5181493333,332.33
Morgan County8 - AAA0-136.44837,1440.9416,5902,8531113333,332.33
Monroe1 - AAA1-036.13847,9281.1745,1086,5722002499,999.00
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA0-035.26925,9481.3554,6293,8631142499,999.00
Appling County2 - AAA0-032.51875,4611.2033,9442,054582499,999.00
Hart County8 - AAA0-129.27534,9010.563,14418381999,999.00
Ringgold6 - AAA0-132.96844,3401.0518,2112,27351--
Sonoraville6 - AAA0-031.80851,0841.0314,7631,69138--
East Hall7 - AAA0-130.51792,2050.949,12188122--
North Murray6 - AAA0-030.23766,6610.889,56688918--
Savannah3 - AAA0-126.81694,5710.8211,84763211--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-028.17329,4130.387,3523157--
Jackson County8 - AAA1-029.71588,4840.623,8932217--
Redan5 - AAA0-122.9677,5830.08675531--
Worth County1 - AAA0-123.04216,6240.24933491--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-022.04437,9210.483,064128---
Brantley County2 - AAA0-023.40541,6810.602,62854---
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-123.23538,7420.592,49652---
Franklin County8 - AAA0-123.28231,2940.2449812---
Beach3 - AAA0-017.34171,8870.1856711---
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-019.18252,4080.262577---
Towers5 - AAA0-118.0135,7840.041356---
Rutland4 - AAA0-013.1224,0550.02391---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA0-111.3145,5670.05201---
Kendrick4 - AAA0-110.5113,2780.0118----
Fannin County7 - AAA1-010.9962,4860.0617----
Long County2 - AAA0-19.7173,5960.0715----
Haralson County6 - AAA1-09.5639,3230.048----
Islands3 - AAA0-07.6925,0440.037----
Murray County6 - AAA0-14.325,0460.011----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-1-6.421,5540.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA0-1-2.531,0710.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-1-0.381,0540.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-0-9.011740.00-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-0-13.13460.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-1-16.8620.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County743,595208,75440,807-2,2354,609
1 - AAACook191,567510,971248,730-17,09931,633
1 - AAAMonroe59,392250,412529,732-8,392152,072
1 - AAAWorth County5,44629,863180,731-584783,376
2 - AAALiberty County673,626259,03555,56610,0783391,356
2 - AAAPierce County261,117474,569195,86051,8725,18011,402
2 - AAAAppling County52,105182,079411,096225,4054,776124,539
2 - AAATattnall County6,59339,948162,586329,301314461,258
2 - AAABrantley County6,46642,767159,901326,4366,111458,319
2 - AAALong County931,60214,99156,9082926,404
3 - AAABenedictine978,20721,25749442--
3 - AAAJenkins14,630534,828293,527112,1527,46337,400
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch5,994316,068379,561198,57425,75174,052
3 - AAASavannah93189,884198,062344,12661,568305,429
3 - AAAWindsor Forest19929,06789,311219,166100,178562,079
3 - AAABeach398,51335,832107,67719,826828,113
3 - AAAIslands-3823,19918,0743,389974,956
3 - AAAGroves-11414514999,826
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)---442999,954
4 - AAAPeach County882,240105,39110,4361,8483946
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)82,570532,810263,23995,7508,81316,818
4 - AAAPike County24,602224,692379,646262,74523,39684,919
4 - AAAJackson9,802115,637264,215380,8144,807224,725
4 - AAACentral (Macon)78520,99877,144227,4902,996670,587
4 - AAARutland13473,54220,005160975,945
4 - AAAKendrick-1251,77811,34827986,722
5 - AAACedar Grove542,939309,045124,91322,536439128
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)316,852388,943239,36952,7551,345736
5 - AAALovett130,905270,556472,971119,5861,5874,395
5 - AAAPace Academy9,29231,002157,733698,10621,37082,497
5 - AAARedan113673,67271,8811,652922,417
5 - AAATowers1871,33234,096268964,216
5 - AAAStone Mountain--101,0404998,946
6 - AAACalhoun971,78427,0181,0021915-
6 - AAAAdairsville12,800364,105276,208197,26579,69269,930
6 - AAARinggold7,223248,265262,505244,27282,075155,660
6 - AAASonoraville4,890216,863250,112253,828125,391148,916
6 - AAANorth Murray3,301141,400199,609267,600154,751233,339
6 - AAAHaralson County17983,79213,76720,965960,677
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe11,4366,09219,46418,574954,433
6 - AAAMurray County-1156803,611640994,954
6 - AAACoahulla Creek---2-999,998
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian934,79660,8333,83552511-
7 - AAADawson County42,306550,840294,83894,2217,51710,278
7 - AAANorth Hall19,723292,935436,172204,56610,17936,425
7 - AAAEast Hall3,04986,408220,071467,41915,258207,795
7 - AAALumpkin County1238,05337,295183,62823,309747,592
7 - AAAFannin County39307,72748,1625,664937,514
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-1621,47912998,446
8 - AAAJefferson791,866161,90635,4378,7018971,193
8 - AAAMonroe Area120,513413,650260,496124,38515,08665,870
8 - AAAMorgan County60,929239,631310,287208,68517,612162,856
8 - AAAJackson County12,89080,485167,239264,80163,069411,516
8 - AAAHart County11,65582,886163,250254,42922,681465,099
8 - AAAFranklin County2,14721,43163,210138,0256,481768,706
8 - AAAEast Jackson-11819745998,929

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA0-072.39999,9984.71883,014704,155625,926510,1140.96
Brooks County1 - AA1-062.51999,1753.60789,982431,128295,562142,8976.00
Fitzgerald1 - AA1-060.06998,5743.36716,653403,746242,91695,5059.47
Thomasville1 - AA1-058.68997,9153.20676,035370,296203,20473,07212.69
Callaway5 - AA0-057.32998,1663.09609,415337,963168,14555,61416.98
Rabun County8 - AA0-153.68999,9012.86634,017279,432110,05128,68933.86
Screven County4 - AA1-054.21999,9152.70524,420311,10974,61627,64735.17
Rockmart7 - AA1-051.48999,6832.73498,741245,76850,14015,36664.08
Heard County5 - AA1-051.90992,1122.44398,977174,56156,85414,50367.95
Dodge County3 - AA1-052.71985,0712.29322,002158,39351,87613,75971.68
Bremen5 - AA1-049.76987,1032.22332,085131,75234,7998,004123.94
Vidalia2 - AA0-048.52966,3661.86172,96067,10518,9823,705268.91
Dublin3 - AA1-047.40943,7781.79178,28463,38613,3062,661374.80
Elbert County8 - AA1-045.53999,1261.89275,32782,90915,1122,413413.42
Jefferson County4 - AA0-145.16998,5871.66183,61565,99310,1021,735575.37
Washington County3 - AA1-046.15934,5831.70150,98449,2539,0081,652604.33
Swainsboro2 - AA1-046.26940,6131.66129,89542,6199,3881,619616.67
Toombs County2 - AA1-043.70899,4981.4691,79126,2494,5656501,537.46
Pepperell7 - AA0-137.96987,6691.79143,90323,2882,6592084,806.69
Douglass6 - AA1-036.55948,3301.6092,78212,7201,5821128,927.57
Bacon County2 - AA0-134.54548,8960.6914,3682,1551661471,427.57
Southwest3 - AA0-133.99497,9940.6311,3411,7421371376,922.08
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-031.83830,4271.2042,8833,9313191190,908.09
Jeff Davis2 - AA1-033.78493,0160.6111,2341,6791221190,908.09
Bleckley County3 - AA1-034.04511,0560.6511,7521,8161456166,665.67
Union County8 - AA0-028.90958,9501.0711,981925496166,665.67
Chattooga7 - AA0-129.19910,6681.2027,2692,0021195199,999.00
Berrien1 - AA0-128.33605,2250.678,297794293333,332.33
Spencer5 - AA0-129.33501,4510.5816,5441,126582499,999.00
Coosa7 - AA0-125.64830,4180.9911,444688272499,999.00
Lamar County5 - AA0-125.97301,1010.346,11531692499,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA0-124.44394,2370.475,3382529--
Laney4 - AA0-122.77752,6300.771,8421347--
Early County1 - AA0-123.87399,1110.432,3991703--
Washington6 - AA0-123.99303,2150.353,4021533--
Metter2 - AA0-024.99130,9330.14647302--
Northeast3 - AA0-124.64124,1960.14550451--
McNair6 - AA1-020.86193,4260.221,369401--
Banks County8 - AA0-115.79597,8530.611,336251--
Therrell6 - AA1-020.78206,7570.231,47648---
Temple5 - AA0-021.13142,0060.151,28940---
Harlem4 - AA0-019.57588,2700.6075129---
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA0-119.85123,6100.1461622---
Jordan5 - AA0-117.5178,0610.083916---
Glenn Hills4 - AA0-112.98242,9710.25753---
Hephzibah4 - AA0-110.49148,8040.15302---
Putnam County8 - AA0-15.98162,5030.16681---
Dade County7 - AA0-19.91123,0870.13601---
Monticello8 - AA0-17.20208,6900.2194----
Butler4 - AA0-012.68242,9630.2467----
Armuchee7 - AA1-07.7272,9160.0725----
Bryan County2 - AA0-016.3220,6780.0225----
Model7 - AA0-17.5274,2260.0824----
Social Circle8 - AA0-01.4172,4330.0715----
East Laurens3 - AA0-17.563,3220.001----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-01.1116,0940.02-----
Josey4 - AA0-1-0.469,7660.01-----
Gordon Central7 - AA0-1-8.911,3330.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-1-18.355440.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AABrooks County455,521317,694213,36712,593825
1 - AAFitzgerald290,057345,170344,53418,8131,426
1 - AAThomasville253,489332,362386,85825,2062,085
1 - AABerrien7373,43038,412562,646394,775
1 - AAEarly County1961,34416,829380,742600,889
2 - AAVidalia432,077285,349174,45774,48333,634
2 - AASwainsboro292,014299,250235,416113,93359,387
2 - AAToombs County215,424262,172267,733154,169100,502
2 - AABacon County33,44978,528153,636283,283451,104
2 - AAJeff Davis24,98465,276135,726267,030506,984
2 - AAMetter1,9758,79329,49690,669869,067
2 - AABryan County776323,53616,433979,322
3 - AADodge County512,850282,731143,75845,73214,929
3 - AADublin247,612304,935271,521119,71056,222
3 - AAWashington County204,231297,947299,892132,51365,417
3 - AASouthwest17,46054,354128,763297,417502,006
3 - AABleckley County16,83253,868131,789308,567488,944
3 - AANortheast1,0156,14224,00093,039875,804
3 - AAEast Laurens-232773,022996,678
4 - AAScreven County707,121278,78113,16684785
4 - AAJefferson County286,919638,58365,0568,0291,413
4 - AALaney3,97047,062442,058259,540247,370
4 - AAHarlem1,64425,234264,245297,147411,730
4 - AAGlenn Hills1504,27481,286157,261757,029
4 - AAButler1423,98883,136155,697757,037
4 - AAHephzibah542,00346,094100,653851,196
4 - AAJosey-201,7887,958990,234
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)-553,17112,868983,906
5 - AACallaway532,526300,310150,05415,2761,834
5 - AAHeard County270,977356,254320,30444,5777,888
5 - AABremen193,258323,311404,48366,05112,897
5 - AASpencer2,15712,26469,453417,577498,549
5 - AALamar County8875,82136,995257,398698,899
5 - AATemple1601,55313,082127,211857,994
5 - AAJordan354875,62971,910921,939
6 - AAHapeville Charter974,53724,726688472
6 - AADouglass18,788575,335263,26890,93951,670
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy5,662283,599355,709185,457169,573
6 - AASouth Atlanta52556,076132,664204,972605,763
6 - AAWashington21314,70898,470189,824696,785
6 - AATherrell12320,55063,151122,933793,243
6 - AAMcNair11818,81459,263115,231806,574
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate346,19226,78790,597876,390
7 - AARockmart771,940191,30030,4695,974317
7 - AAPepperell177,593517,902218,27273,90212,331
7 - AAChattooga32,451177,805401,688298,72489,332
7 - AACoosa17,734106,228300,313406,143169,582
7 - AADade County1673,40324,03095,487876,913
7 - AAModel631,70012,78959,674925,774
7 - AAArmuchee521,66112,34058,863927,084
7 - AAGordon Central-1991,233998,667
8 - AARabun County710,063260,84527,3951,59899
8 - AAElbert County271,119606,680112,1689,159874
8 - AAUnion County17,810117,953659,520163,66741,050
8 - AABanks County92311,971135,898449,061402,147
8 - AAMonticello481,38834,062173,192791,310
8 - AAPutnam County3593023,194138,344837,497
8 - AASocial Circle22337,74064,458927,567
8 - AAOglethorpe County--23521999,456

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A1-051.59999,969845,512633,969447,684300,8512.32
Clinch County2 - A1-050.98999,953836,423613,990423,044273,4132.66
Manchester4 - A1-047.17977,197678,364443,274255,877132,3296.56
Commerce8 - A1-043.55999,356675,893372,437181,09675,64212.22
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-043.80999,278654,762359,136177,55475,29112.28
Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-141.01993,077545,731272,780115,21341,09123.34
Pelham1 - A1-038.041,000,000634,349303,612113,50731,63830.61
Charlton County2 - A1-038.19997,357509,970210,85875,65922,27043.90
Marion County4 - A1-036.64911,955273,519110,00735,3449,380105.61
Macon County4 - A0-136.99649,155213,18685,59028,4317,740128.20
Turner County2 - A1-034.64974,364300,890102,38729,0556,635149.72
Dooly County4 - A0-035.82635,973186,84069,90921,2675,352185.85
Trion6 - A1-033.72991,542286,96492,06124,5915,247189.59
Lincoln County7 - A0-133.18964,800235,97774,77719,0784,084243.86
Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-032.67969,599250,95975,63918,6733,808261.61
Mitchell County1 - A0-129.52999,824368,13889,73618,2382,750362.64
Telfair County2 - A0-030.58848,171145,33438,3418,1931,420703.23
Taylor County4 - A0-131.12448,74578,96321,6894,7748421,186.65
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-124.26468,01633,3115,6967267413,512.51
Claxton3 - A1-023.67572,07038,0956,1337656814,704.88
Miller County1 - A0-016.72976,40560,5035,3333592049,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A1-020.53490,36821,9242,7552601952,630.58
Bowdon6 - A0-119.52510,71718,8132,1301851376,922.08
Chattahoochee County1 - A1-014.31982,88140,6662,9611728124,999.00
Seminole County1 - A0-113.24951,71027,2251,806764249,999.00
Johnson County3 - A0-017.31183,1866,036561504249,999.00
Gordon Lee6 - A1-015.28502,25510,603865464249,999.00
Schley County4 - A0-120.5164,9183,375452282499,999.00
Greene County7 - A0-013.58266,2614,181280151999,999.00
Jenkins County3 - A0-116.10206,4985,24140520--
Wilkinson County7 - A0-014.80114,7242,25916810--
Hancock Central7 - A0-09.60113,417961493--
Wilcox County2 - A0-011.7561,746764493--
Montgomery County3 - A0-110.6784,917906562--
Towns County8 - A1-011.35111,0561,251521--
Warren County7 - A1-07.92111,039725311--
Terrell County1 - A0-10.80338,82568014---
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-0-2.47372,8584549---
Lanier County2 - A0-02.5569,3881873---
Calhoun County1 - A0-0-7.7577,92724----
Wheeler County3 - A0-05.942,24618----
Hawkinsville4 - A0-18.941,37917----
Treutlen3 - A1-03.042,5555----
Baconton Charter1 - A1-0-15.951,1441----
Greenville4 - A0-0-3.701851----
Twiggs County7 - A0-1-7.36464-----
Portal3 - A0-1-0.81371-----
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-1-9.08143-----
Stewart County1 - A0-0-26.6316-----
Crawford County4 - A0-0-7.49------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham706,572983,87616,124-
1 - AMitchell County243,942698,822301,002176
1 - AMiller County23,025171,380805,02523,595
1 - AChattahoochee County16,534128,617854,26417,119
1 - ASeminole County9,86074,005877,70548,290
1 - ARandolph-Clay31704372,154627,142
1 - ATerrell County32275338,550661,175
1 - ACalhoun County42777,900922,073
1 - ABaconton Charter--1,144998,856
1 - AStewart County--16999,984
2 - AIrwin County455,941887,982111,98731
2 - AClinch County450,810885,532114,42147
2 - ACharlton County57,008566,952430,4052,643
2 - ATurner County27,198212,773761,59125,636
2 - ATelfair County8,72256,775791,396151,829
2 - AAtkinson County3114,191486,177509,632
2 - AWilcox County103861,708938,254
2 - ALanier County-1969,369930,612
3 - AEmanuel County Institute421,552486,293506,7846,923
3 - AClaxton3,8317,261564,809427,930
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy4,9036,563461,453531,984
3 - AJohnson County4,7624,778178,408816,814
3 - AJenkins County3,2473,364203,134793,502
3 - AMontgomery County56458384,334915,083
3 - AWheeler County1161162,130997,754
3 - ATreutlen25252,530997,445
3 - APortal--371999,629
4 - AManchester551,989552,276424,92122,803
4 - AMacon County147,289147,311501,844350,845
4 - AMarion County130,663132,296779,65988,045
4 - ADooly County119,610120,954515,019364,027
4 - ATaylor County43,60543,638405,107551,255
4 - ASchley County2,7242,72562,193935,082
4 - AHawkinsville44441,335998,621
4 - AGreenville22183999,815
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)--143999,857
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)138,071608,422390,856722
6 - ATrion15,039189,192802,3508,458
6 - AGordon Lee382,516499,739497,745
6 - ABowdon2161,413509,304489,283
7 - AWashington-Wilkes63,296184,495785,10430,401
7 - ALincoln County69,802124,064840,73635,200
7 - AGreene County251738265,523733,739
7 - AWilkinson County291338114,386885,276
7 - AHancock Central68104113,313886,583
7 - AWarren County1543110,996888,961
7 - ATwiggs County--464999,536
8 - ACommerce288,926708,178291,178644
8 - ATowns County255300110,756888,944

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A1-074.861,000,000986,161942,120893,353838,1780.19
Mount Paran Christian6 - A0-050.90999,892776,948476,674205,46538,96424.66
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A1-050.72999,938756,282432,366206,60536,60226.32
Athens Academy8 - A1-049.48999,976751,635412,683189,48629,61232.77
Darlington6 - A1-046.79999,987733,561376,371137,35018,33653.54
Calvary Day3 - A0-045.85999,969693,998337,760115,64414,65367.25
Wesleyan5 - A0-144.40999,587575,555226,19873,6648,685114.14
Stratford Academy7 - A0-042.77998,617567,385234,91965,9746,811145.82
Aquinas7 - A1-040.50999,882533,548184,15948,3213,991249.56
Tattnall Square7 - A1-039.00990,503339,775112,48023,1521,881530.63
Fellowship Christian6 - A1-037.57998,993342,12590,61318,7951,283778.42
Savannah Christian3 - A0-134.77993,649224,21553,8928,5484772,095.44
Holy Innocents5 - A1-032.19990,272182,61534,0404,7762024,949.50
First Presbyterian7 - A0-032.05920,978118,29524,8573,1291427,041.25
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A1-029.41955,69299,80615,9041,7316615,150.52
Savannah Country Day3 - A0-029.13898,63771,40212,1621,2403627,776.78
Athens Christian8 - A1-028.05927,30455,1548,8368683132,257.06
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-128.84841,16151,2348,6678542147,618.05
George Walton Academy8 - A0-026.50842,01240,3725,5184601566,665.67
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A0-124.52768,83926,8563,0592156166,665.67
Whitefield Academy6 - A1-022.68812,36519,5362,0171213333,332.33
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A0-123.54690,64519,6402,1361173333,332.33
Brookstone4 - A0-021.29670,30312,0281,086571999,999.00
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-121.20607,76010,641890541999,999.00
Mount de Sales7 - A1-017.23583,0545,36135914--
Walker6 - A0-117.19364,1893,0751546--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A0-014.89230,1491,368511--
Christian Heritage6 - A1-09.25353,44674016---
St. Francis6 - A0-09.46157,25935110---
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-03.93132,3881072---
North Cobb Christian6 - A0-06.5088,9691101---
Landmark Christian5 - A1-05.3763,22968----
Riverside Military Academy8 - A0-11.7873,87233----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-01.3031,99115----
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-0-0.2610,8675----
Providence Christian8 - A1-0-6.883,597-----
Georgia Military College7 - A1-0-3.6629-----
Pacelli4 - A0-1-27.06------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ACalvary Day471,417760,220239,74931
3 - ASavannah Christian70,275192,242801,4076,351
3 - ASavannah Country Day19,30842,198856,439101,363
4 - ABrookstone4,0744,227666,076329,697
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian956,161999,90298-
5 - AWesleyan39,154577,373422,214413
5 - AHoly Innocents2,884212,861777,4119,728
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)1,38291,946863,74644,308
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian2929,196759,643231,161
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy1211,549606,211392,240
5 - AStrong Rock Christian6217229,932769,851
5 - ALandmark Christian-363,226936,771
6 - ADarlington250,264886,492113,49513
6 - AMount Paran Christian533,668740,028259,864108
6 - AFellowship Christian55,377352,818646,1751,007
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian6,1219,965831,196158,839
6 - AWhitefield Academy1,0894,338808,027187,635
6 - AWalker115173364,016635,811
6 - AChristian Heritage1122353,324646,554
6 - ASt. Francis119157,240842,741
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian-288,967911,031
6 - APinecrest Academy-110,866989,133
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--31,991968,009
7 - AAquinas278,447674,667325,215118
7 - AStratford Academy357,059613,937384,6801,383
7 - ATattnall Square179,149285,298705,2059,497
7 - AFirst Presbyterian50,88484,348836,63079,022
7 - AMount de Sales7381,239581,815416,946
7 - AGeorgia Military College--29999,971
8 - AAthens Academy330,714743,009256,96724
8 - APrince Avenue Christian365,943671,665328,27362
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy2,77615,722826,290157,988
8 - AAthens Christian3,96514,722912,58272,696
8 - AHebron Christian Academy7,3959,458681,187309,355
8 - ALakeview Academy2138132,350867,612
8 - ARiverside Military Academy5573,867926,128
8 - AProvidence Christian--3,597996,403

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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