Sports

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 2

By Loren Maxwell
Aug 30, 2017

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
8 - AAAAAAA 157,979 842,021 195,698 6,735 63 287,372 712,628 44,221 529,602 0.89
1 - AAAAAAA 153,778 846,222 361,002 14,765 148 474,513 525,487 63,794 253,894 2.94
6 - AAAAAAA 369,315 630,685 48,288 1,027 6 609,778 390,222 1,554 159,780 5.26
3 - AAAAAAA 619,061 380,939 46,298 1,378 10 879,024 120,976 1,919 33,954 28.45
7 - AAAAAAA 722,929 277,071 25,017 618 4 934,711 65,289 686 11,661 84.76
4 - AAAAAAA 821,802 178,198 10,474 179 1 950,099 49,901 376 8,500 116.65
5 - AAAAAAA 896,786 103,214 3,211 26 - 980,609 19,391 25 2,379 419.34
2 - AAAAAAA 973,442 26,558 141 - - 996,470 3,530 1 230 4,346.83

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Grayson 8 - AAAAAAA 1-0 100.40 999,999 4.88 889,057 825,962 683,956 515,717 0.94
Colquitt County 1 - AAAAAAA 2-0 92.95 999,940 4.12 823,278 708,191 404,265 196,022 4.10
Mill Creek 6 - AAAAAAA 2-0 91.93 999,938 3.84 708,589 622,182 384,385 159,146 5.28
Lowndes 1 - AAAAAAA 2-0 85.73 997,557 3.34 666,948 476,595 180,137 57,463 16.40
McEachern 3 - AAAAAAA 0-1 84.31 998,345 2.70 418,450 295,430 94,769 29,713 32.66
Archer 8 - AAAAAAA 2-0 80.31 996,391 2.33 331,959 190,786 69,981 13,700 71.99
Norcross 7 - AAAAAAA 1-1 78.23 999,612 2.41 495,151 167,303 39,912 8,132 121.97
Roswell 4 - AAAAAAA 0-1 77.42 985,959 2.34 486,678 107,676 34,891 6,687 148.54
North Cobb 3 - AAAAAAA 2-0 75.98 989,408 2.07 262,922 104,195 24,636 4,030 247.14
Parkview 7 - AAAAAAA 2-0 75.04 999,087 2.08 365,781 102,227 21,602 3,204 311.11
South Forsyth 5 - AAAAAAA 2-0 73.67 997,987 2.12 332,674 77,106 16,198 2,143 465.64
Walton 4 - AAAAAAA 2-0 72.44 970,084 1.90 300,550 56,877 12,489 1,627 613.63
North Gwinnett 6 - AAAAAAA 1-1 68.54 894,379 1.59 131,427 29,874 4,568 443 2,256.34
Tift County 1 - AAAAAAA 2-0 67.09 767,403 1.52 193,880 25,043 3,458 313 3,193.89
Central Gwinnett 7 - AAAAAAA 2-0 67.19 994,881 1.39 101,825 20,556 2,892 222 4,503.50
Westlake 2 - AAAAAAA 0-1 66.48 996,591 1.69 187,292 22,907 3,278 220 4,544.45
West Forsyth 5 - AAAAAAA 2-0 66.10 973,214 1.57 121,560 19,230 2,334 189 5,290.01
Etowah 4 - AAAAAAA 1-1 66.63 836,382 1.27 105,798 16,349 2,191 156 6,409.26
Newton 8 - AAAAAAA 2-0 65.99 940,141 1.39 121,885 17,897 2,064 142 7,041.25
North Paulding 3 - AAAAAAA 2-0 65.77 831,202 1.30 122,956 15,288 2,056 141 7,091.20
Brookwood 7 - AAAAAAA 0-2 65.19 990,243 1.28 67,430 12,626 1,569 103 9,707.74
Camden County 1 - AAAAAAA 1-1 64.54 604,330 1.12 119,322 12,308 1,421 96 10,415.67
Mountain View 6 - AAAAAAA 2-0 63.63 749,483 1.16 71,671 9,679 1,002 72 13,887.89
Collins Hill 6 - AAAAAAA 1-1 63.62 738,180 1.14 69,447 9,121 931 60 16,665.67
Peachtree Ridge 6 - AAAAAAA 0-2 63.68 722,150 1.12 67,555 9,150 890 59 16,948.15
Hillgrove 3 - AAAAAAA 0-1 63.80 740,503 1.09 87,641 8,855 1,002 56 17,856.14
Milton 5 - AAAAAAA 1-1 63.16 937,176 1.35 65,773 9,133 846 44 22,726.27
South Gwinnett 8 - AAAAAAA 1-1 63.53 885,016 1.21 83,084 9,820 847 43 23,254.81
Lassiter 4 - AAAAAAA 2-0 63.26 738,319 1.00 52,491 6,887 652 29 34,481.76
Marietta 3 - AAAAAAA 1-0 61.14 687,527 0.96 61,653 4,855 432 14 71,427.57
East Coweta 2 - AAAAAAA 0-1 58.38 975,758 1.25 46,902 3,105 230 8 124,999.00
Lambert 5 - AAAAAAA 0-1 54.97 726,024 0.84 8,714 873 38 3 333,332.33
Wheeler 2 - AAAAAAA 1-1 52.55 916,217 1.02 11,115 570 20 2 499,999.00
Woodstock 4 - AAAAAAA 0-1 57.37 413,718 0.49 10,104 980 52 1 999,999.00
Newnan 2 - AAAAAAA 0-2 47.70 803,382 0.84 2,926 118 3 - -
Cherokee 4 - AAAAAAA 0-2 51.78 166,626 0.18 1,302 84 2 - -
Shiloh 8 - AAAAAAA 0-2 48.31 205,650 0.22 1,834 51 1 - -
North Forsyth 5 - AAAAAAA 1-1 49.02 415,034 0.45 2,030 108 - - -
Kennesaw Mountain 3 - AAAAAAA 1-0 43.90 49,814 0.05 293 3 - - -
Pebblebrook 2 - AAAAAAA 0-1 33.91 172,792 0.17 27 - - - -
Campbell 2 - AAAAAAA 1-1 32.91 137,918 0.14 17 - - - -
Rockdale County 8 - AAAAAAA 1-1 29.49 8,158 0.01 5 - - - -
Forsyth Central 5 - AAAAAAA 0-1 32.34 27,719 0.03 4 - - - -
Lakeside (Atlanta) 7 - AAAAAAA 0-2 23.16 9,839 0.01 - - - - -
Meadowcreek 7 - AAAAAAA 1-0 22.46 9,302 0.01 - - - - -
Discovery 6 - AAAAAAA 0-2 21.31 533 0.00 - - - - -
Duluth 6 - AAAAAAA 1-1 13.53 76 0.00 - - - - -
Berkmar 7 - AAAAAAA 0-2 -8.80 13 0.00 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 At Large Out
1 - AAAAAAA Colquitt County 666,255 295,987 31,301 - 6,397 60
1 - AAAAAAA Lowndes 307,729 562,478 104,062 - 23,288 2,443
1 - AAAAAAA Tift County 15,939 86,351 493,530 - 171,583 232,597
1 - AAAAAAA Camden County 10,077 55,184 371,107 - 167,962 395,670
2 - AAAAAAA Westlake 627,695 258,847 84,617 25,359 73 3,409
2 - AAAAAAA East Coweta 238,640 386,790 243,792 105,188 1,348 24,242
2 - AAAAAAA Wheeler 95,281 224,897 354,325 240,980 734 83,783
2 - AAAAAAA Newnan 36,885 116,197 258,246 391,566 488 196,618
2 - AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 932 7,728 33,423 130,704 5 827,208
2 - AAAAAAA Campbell 567 5,541 25,597 106,203 10 862,082
3 - AAAAAAA McEachern 660,863 252,123 63,812 18,636 2,911 1,655
3 - AAAAAAA North Cobb 252,896 431,075 200,733 79,881 24,823 10,592
3 - AAAAAAA North Paulding 43,381 143,182 297,784 277,627 69,228 168,798
3 - AAAAAAA Hillgrove 28,013 103,757 248,394 305,363 54,976 259,497
3 - AAAAAAA Marietta 14,764 68,723 180,532 287,860 135,648 312,473
3 - AAAAAAA Kennesaw Mountain 83 1,140 8,745 30,633 9,213 950,186
4 - AAAAAAA Roswell 546,761 270,739 118,484 45,458 4,517 14,041
4 - AAAAAAA Walton 276,854 341,352 219,467 106,427 25,984 29,916
4 - AAAAAAA Etowah 107,326 206,154 291,687 222,821 8,394 163,618
4 - AAAAAAA Lassiter 53,159 123,795 223,342 293,150 44,873 261,681
4 - AAAAAAA Woodstock 13,316 45,216 107,029 223,054 25,103 586,282
4 - AAAAAAA Cherokee 2,584 12,744 39,991 109,090 2,217 833,374
5 - AAAAAAA South Forsyth 588,405 267,383 104,498 32,674 5,027 2,013
5 - AAAAAAA West Forsyth 228,296 341,583 266,745 120,268 16,322 26,786
5 - AAAAAAA Milton 146,282 268,339 330,541 180,447 11,567 62,824
5 - AAAAAAA Lambert 30,222 91,497 208,526 386,654 9,125 273,976
5 - AAAAAAA North Forsyth 6,761 30,763 85,857 257,342 34,311 584,966
5 - AAAAAAA Forsyth Central 34 435 3,833 22,615 802 972,281
6 - AAAAAAA Mill Creek 886,374 98,798 11,001 3,374 391 62
6 - AAAAAAA North Gwinnett 53,914 357,764 272,758 183,209 26,734 105,621
6 - AAAAAAA Mountain View 20,625 182,593 239,800 269,568 36,897 250,517
6 - AAAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 20,008 177,521 237,586 273,218 13,817 277,850
6 - AAAAAAA Collins Hill 19,079 183,322 238,759 270,137 26,883 261,820
6 - AAAAAAA Discovery - 2 80 434 17 999,467
6 - AAAAAAA Duluth - - 16 60 - 999,924
7 - AAAAAAA Norcross 496,823 304,495 132,356 65,788 150 388
7 - AAAAAAA Parkview 328,624 361,848 200,476 107,884 255 913
7 - AAAAAAA Central Gwinnett 101,874 187,401 347,175 356,996 1,435 5,119
7 - AAAAAAA Brookwood 72,678 146,208 319,534 451,714 109 9,757
7 - AAAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 1 21 245 9,452 120 990,161
7 - AAAAAAA Meadowcreek - 27 214 8,153 908 990,698
7 - AAAAAAA Berkmar - - - 13 - 999,987
8 - AAAAAAA Grayson 881,526 111,304 6,271 875 23 1
8 - AAAAAAA Archer 104,324 663,980 180,723 44,800 2,564 3,609
8 - AAAAAAA Newton 8,862 129,738 429,301 346,180 26,060 59,859
8 - AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 5,198 89,757 346,244 437,645 6,172 114,984
8 - AAAAAAA Shiloh 90 5,196 36,508 163,333 523 794,350
8 - AAAAAAA Rockdale County - 25 953 7,167 13 991,842

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
1 - AAAAAA 137,281 862,719 463,180 106,046 8,101 350,461 649,539 144,173 419,957 1.38
4 - AAAAAA 306,246 693,754 211,910 21,516 546 501,555 498,445 43,642 329,262 2.04
5 - AAAAAA 467,854 532,146 131,310 14,030 531 729,744 270,256 17,968 109,945 8.10
6 - AAAAAA 559,094 440,906 80,775 6,051 155 793,734 206,266 8,544 79,887 11.52
2 - AAAAAA 744,421 255,579 10,287 84 - 871,919 128,081 259 54,743 17.27
8 - AAAAAA 894,701 105,299 3,786 49 - 975,116 24,884 75 4,996 199.16
7 - AAAAAA 951,787 48,213 591 2 - 992,255 7,745 5 1,204 829.56
3 - AAAAAA 997,574 2,426 1 - - 999,882 118 - 6 166,665.67

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Tucker 4 - AAAAAA 2-0 79.63 999,422 4.04 729,238 595,537 426,022 297,024 2.37
Valdosta 1 - AAAAAA 1-1 77.35 978,699 3.77 727,116 564,698 367,776 225,665 3.43
Lee County 1 - AAAAAA 2-0 74.22 954,997 3.24 620,624 448,164 253,326 129,355 6.73
Glynn Academy 2 - AAAAAA 1-1 71.69 999,232 2.40 367,798 245,535 125,546 54,416 17.38
Allatoona 6 - AAAAAA 1-1 70.60 967,966 2.60 548,524 259,950 125,791 53,437 17.71
Mays 5 - AAAAAA 0-1 70.05 940,033 2.54 544,698 246,903 116,857 48,616 19.57
Coffee 1 - AAAAAA 2-0 69.90 895,334 2.45 428,012 269,841 119,620 48,325 19.69
Hughes 5 - AAAAAA 2-0 69.34 930,141 2.43 517,305 226,632 103,005 40,779 23.52
Lovejoy 4 - AAAAAA 2-0 66.22 988,236 2.61 369,725 198,737 77,515 23,164 42.17
Harrison 6 - AAAAAA 1-1 66.54 920,745 2.04 395,079 147,223 56,735 18,885 51.95
Northgate 5 - AAAAAA 1-0 66.11 860,065 1.94 382,129 139,471 52,121 16,981 57.89
Northside (Warner Robins) 1 - AAAAAA 1-1 66.08 803,392 1.79 264,941 142,236 50,132 16,099 61.12
Stephenson 4 - AAAAAA 0-2 62.67 957,790 2.30 270,679 123,356 37,816 9,021 109.85
Dalton 6 - AAAAAA 0-1 62.84 834,292 1.56 262,486 78,549 23,587 6,088 163.26
Dacula 8 - AAAAAA 0-1 60.63 990,518 2.23 306,817 71,105 19,862 4,443 224.07
Alexander 5 - AAAAAA 0-1 61.31 669,392 1.21 193,303 52,474 14,170 3,288 303.14
Alpharetta 7 - AAAAAA 1-1 55.99 978,661 1.86 177,459 38,801 6,875 1,138 877.73
Sequoyah 6 - AAAAAA 2-0 58.02 620,702 0.96 118,580 26,207 5,753 1,039 961.46
Houston County 1 - AAAAAA 0-2 56.99 367,578 0.57 45,770 15,108 2,858 513 1,948.32
Creekview 6 - AAAAAA 1-0 56.19 521,480 0.76 80,648 15,436 2,895 433 2,308.47
Lanier 8 - AAAAAA 1-1 53.41 948,229 1.76 142,069 21,657 3,354 401 2,492.77
Effingham County 2 - AAAAAA 0-2 54.43 944,989 1.17 48,543 13,915 2,221 276 3,622.19
Creekside 5 - AAAAAA 0-1 55.39 321,826 0.47 48,392 8,716 1,517 211 4,738.34
Gainesville 8 - AAAAAA 1-1 49.85 899,909 1.50 84,655 10,255 1,182 98 10,203.08
Douglas County 5 - AAAAAA 1-0 53.25 214,929 0.29 24,727 3,678 542 68 14,704.88
Winder-Barrow 8 - AAAAAA 2-0 47.66 848,800 1.33 57,954 5,994 559 54 18,517.52
Brunswick 2 - AAAAAA 0-1 48.82 856,143 0.97 25,203 4,809 468 47 21,275.60
Centennial 7 - AAAAAA 0-1 48.34 853,111 1.28 54,320 6,107 584 44 22,726.27
Drew 4 - AAAAAA 1-1 47.51 483,734 0.87 35,717 6,265 499 44 22,726.27
Cambridge 7 - AAAAAA 0-1 46.24 773,070 1.09 34,972 3,250 257 17 58,822.53
Jonesboro 4 - AAAAAA 1-1 45.08 372,660 0.65 21,446 3,048 203 9 111,110.11
Heritage (Conyers) 3 - AAAAAA 1-0 41.47 970,877 1.21 14,952 1,694 84 5 199,999.00
Sprayberry 6 - AAAAAA 1-0 46.90 124,603 0.15 5,660 522 49 5 199,999.00
Richmond Hill 2 - AAAAAA 1-0 43.88 695,077 0.75 9,706 1,352 90 4 249,999.00
Johns Creek 7 - AAAAAA 0-2 40.57 463,822 0.58 7,923 405 23 4 249,999.00
Evans 3 - AAAAAA 0-1 38.81 946,913 1.11 8,070 673 34 1 999,999.00
South Paulding 5 - AAAAAA 0-1 44.68 33,817 0.04 1,140 77 6 1 999,999.00
New Manchester 5 - AAAAAA 1-0 44.16 29,730 0.03 955 68 6 1 999,999.00
North Atlanta 7 - AAAAAA 1-0 36.25 221,031 0.26 1,711 64 4 1 999,999.00
Mundy's Mill 4 - AAAAAA 0-2 41.78 181,359 0.29 6,891 781 32 - -
Bradwell Institute 2 - AAAAAA 1-0 40.10 504,559 0.53 3,770 340 15 - -
Northview 7 - AAAAAA 0-1 37.79 298,302 0.35 2,994 105 5 - -
Habersham Central 8 - AAAAAA 1-0 35.87 302,615 0.37 2,892 124 2 - -
Chattahoochee 7 - AAAAAA 1-1 36.38 223,129 0.26 1,609 49 2 - -
Lakeside (Evans) 3 - AAAAAA 0-2 31.31 773,468 0.81 1,141 50 - - -
Pope 7 - AAAAAA 0-1 34.73 157,366 0.18 900 23 - - -
Grovetown 3 - AAAAAA 0-2 27.88 624,994 0.64 369 8 - - -
M.L. King 4 - AAAAAA 0-2 28.67 14,812 0.02 82 3 - - -
Greenbrier 3 - AAAAAA 1-0 26.19 539,252 0.55 194 2 - - -
Dunwoody 7 - AAAAAA 1-0 28.28 31,508 0.03 48 2 - - -
River Ridge 6 - AAAAAA 2-0 34.12 6,123 0.01 35 1 - - -
South Cobb 6 - AAAAAA 1-1 32.78 4,089 0.00 13 - - - -
Alcovy 3 - AAAAAA 1-1 16.86 144,496 0.15 7 - - - -
Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4 - AAAAAA 0-2 25.36 1,987 0.00 6 - - - -
Apalachee 8 - AAAAAA 0-1 16.13 9,929 0.01 3 - - - -
Tri-Cities 5 - AAAAAA 0-1 25.48 67 0.00 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAA Valdosta 462,226 287,254 154,126 75,093 21,301
1 - AAAAAA Lee County 298,541 312,540 221,333 122,583 45,003
1 - AAAAAA Coffee 154,865 227,460 292,002 221,007 104,666
1 - AAAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 74,813 139,400 249,887 339,292 196,608
1 - AAAAAA Houston County 9,555 33,346 82,652 242,025 632,422
2 - AAAAAA Glynn Academy 823,073 148,824 21,795 5,540 768
2 - AAAAAA Effingham County 112,846 444,096 269,349 118,698 55,011
2 - AAAAAA Brunswick 42,996 235,017 340,381 237,749 143,857
2 - AAAAAA Richmond Hill 14,949 114,605 229,203 336,320 304,923
2 - AAAAAA Bradwell Institute 6,136 57,458 139,272 301,693 495,441
3 - AAAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 481,376 292,302 139,401 57,798 29,123
3 - AAAAAA Evans 340,003 323,942 191,273 91,695 53,087
3 - AAAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 95,314 178,158 267,338 232,658 226,532
3 - AAAAAA Grovetown 48,963 111,710 199,866 264,455 375,006
3 - AAAAAA Greenbrier 31,743 82,592 166,167 258,750 460,748
3 - AAAAAA Alcovy 2,601 11,296 35,955 94,644 855,504
4 - AAAAAA Tucker 750,244 198,067 46,263 4,848 578
4 - AAAAAA Lovejoy 161,337 452,185 314,782 59,932 11,764
4 - AAAAAA Stephenson 84,413 308,947 440,088 124,342 42,210
4 - AAAAAA Drew 2,595 23,776 100,609 356,754 516,266
4 - AAAAAA Jonesboro 1,278 15,342 72,732 283,308 627,340
4 - AAAAAA Mundy's Mill 132 1,600 24,229 155,398 818,641
4 - AAAAAA M.L. King 1 73 1,164 13,574 985,188
4 - AAAAAA Mount Zion (Jonesboro) - 10 133 1,844 998,013
4 - AAAAAA Forest Park - - - - 1,000,000
5 - AAAAAA Mays 367,449 278,868 189,952 103,764 59,967
5 - AAAAAA Hughes 335,537 280,195 200,839 113,570 69,859
5 - AAAAAA Northgate 196,916 238,238 247,548 177,363 139,935
5 - AAAAAA Alexander 75,287 133,073 200,595 260,437 330,608
5 - AAAAAA Creekside 16,536 42,855 89,996 172,439 678,174
5 - AAAAAA Douglas County 7,633 23,526 57,638 126,132 785,071
5 - AAAAAA South Paulding 351 1,794 7,163 24,509 966,183
5 - AAAAAA New Manchester 291 1,451 6,264 21,724 970,270
5 - AAAAAA Tri-Cities - - 5 62 999,933
6 - AAAAAA Allatoona 489,482 268,137 144,233 66,114 32,034
6 - AAAAAA Harrison 272,487 301,741 219,988 126,529 79,255
6 - AAAAAA Dalton 146,874 222,459 263,889 201,070 165,708
6 - AAAAAA Sequoyah 53,826 114,282 187,293 265,301 379,298
6 - AAAAAA Creekview 34,963 83,138 152,632 250,747 478,520
6 - AAAAAA Sprayberry 2,348 10,003 30,473 81,779 875,397
6 - AAAAAA River Ridge 15 150 936 5,022 993,877
6 - AAAAAA South Cobb 5 90 556 3,438 995,911
6 - AAAAAA Osborne - - - - 1,000,000
7 - AAAAAA Alpharetta 617,318 232,084 92,796 36,463 21,339
7 - AAAAAA Centennial 191,957 304,641 224,442 132,071 146,889
7 - AAAAAA Cambridge 126,060 238,065 244,045 164,900 226,930
7 - AAAAAA Johns Creek 30,920 92,191 151,292 189,419 536,178
7 - AAAAAA Northview 13,442 48,133 95,125 141,602 701,698
7 - AAAAAA Chattahoochee 7,940 31,853 69,057 114,279 776,871
7 - AAAAAA North Atlanta 7,570 31,111 68,087 114,263 778,969
7 - AAAAAA Pope 4,484 19,678 47,224 85,980 842,634
7 - AAAAAA Dunwoody 309 2,244 7,932 21,023 968,492
8 - AAAAAA Dacula 563,890 266,381 111,097 49,150 9,482
8 - AAAAAA Lanier 225,252 315,132 252,438 155,407 51,771
8 - AAAAAA Gainesville 121,758 223,986 298,681 255,484 100,091
8 - AAAAAA Winder-Barrow 83,839 170,155 272,434 322,372 151,200
8 - AAAAAA Habersham Central 5,245 24,214 64,087 209,069 697,385
8 - AAAAAA Apalachee 16 132 1,263 8,518 990,071

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
8 - AAAAA 284,711 715,289 17,961 69 - 415,897 584,103 445 468,629 1.13
7 - AAAAA 59,122 940,878 646,240 200,691 3,517 304,626 695,374 127,540 319,244 2.13
4 - AAAAA 447,447 552,553 127,646 9,419 209 650,724 349,276 24,716 170,514 4.86
1 - AAAAA 727,089 272,911 21,505 333 1 913,909 86,091 499 17,184 57.19
2 - AAAAA 825,711 174,289 1,699 1 - 932,562 67,438 17 12,469 79.20
3 - AAAAA 769,479 230,521 15,656 118 - 944,690 55,310 520 11,426 86.52
6 - AAAAA 958,888 41,112 276 1 - 993,675 6,325 1 410 2,438.02
5 - AAAAA 973,093 26,907 196 - - 997,656 2,344 1 124 8,063.52

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford 8 - AAAAA 2-0 84.48 1,000,000 4.65 928,914 721,872 583,629 468,598 1.13
Rome 7 - AAAAA 1-0 75.27 996,139 4.12 910,481 723,806 360,350 181,803 4.50
Stockbridge 4 - AAAAA 1-0 76.49 997,551 3.57 846,563 377,513 255,145 142,923 6.00
Kell 7 - AAAAA 0-1 69.95 983,863 3.54 811,435 546,322 247,091 77,047 11.98
Carrollton 7 - AAAAA 1-0 68.79 978,401 3.38 778,324 498,815 212,278 60,161 15.62
Jones County 4 - AAAAA 2-0 66.74 967,826 2.68 558,976 227,942 102,765 25,704 37.90
Warner Robins 1 - AAAAA 2-0 64.38 994,928 2.78 547,918 210,925 74,432 15,756 62.47
Ware County 2 - AAAAA 0-1 63.71 999,865 2.45 383,029 169,273 66,718 12,422 79.50
Griffin 3 - AAAAA 1-0 62.91 997,417 2.26 419,954 144,433 33,913 7,839 126.57
Starr's Mill 3 - AAAAA 1-0 60.08 994,203 2.00 320,804 96,378 21,355 3,563 279.66
Woodland (Stockbridge) 4 - AAAAA 1-1 57.66 801,790 1.50 209,137 55,575 12,060 1,523 655.60
Bainbridge 1 - AAAAA 0-1 55.95 961,994 2.04 262,874 56,711 9,137 1,176 849.34
Carver (Atlanta) 6 - AAAAA 2-0 51.31 990,122 2.01 156,458 35,138 5,975 394 2,537.07
Dutchtown 4 - AAAAA 1-0 53.63 689,152 1.11 114,540 23,403 3,584 339 2,948.85
Thomas County Central 1 - AAAAA 1-1 51.24 903,794 1.61 130,052 20,168 2,414 215 4,650.16
Villa Rica 7 - AAAAA 2-0 50.62 467,103 0.63 56,718 11,860 1,711 118 8,473.58
East Paulding 7 - AAAAA 0-1 50.21 425,319 0.57 50,308 10,235 1,466 115 8,694.65
Arabia Mountain 5 - AAAAA 2-0 47.09 984,773 1.80 75,789 15,309 1,428 80 12,499.00
Wayne County 2 - AAAAA 1-0 47.76 988,654 1.47 58,031 6,543 732 47 21,275.60
Southwest DeKalb 5 - AAAAA 1-1 45.51 977,369 1.73 60,833 10,698 875 43 23,254.81
Veterans 1 - AAAAA 1-1 46.60 792,760 1.19 54,557 6,632 596 37 27,026.03
Clarke Central 8 - AAAAA 1-1 45.71 927,457 1.09 53,071 8,252 762 27 37,036.04
Whitewater 3 - AAAAA 1-0 46.32 882,707 1.06 35,349 5,020 536 24 41,665.67
Locust Grove 4 - AAAAA 0-1 48.41 307,621 0.42 26,938 3,962 341 24 41,665.67
Riverwood 6 - AAAAA 0-1 41.89 890,334 1.44 33,648 3,861 229 10 99,999.00
Grady 6 - AAAAA 0-2 39.28 816,784 1.24 20,905 2,048 110 5 199,999.00
Flowery Branch 8 - AAAAA 1-0 40.00 797,994 0.86 18,416 1,879 94 4 249,999.00
Eagle's Landing 4 - AAAAA 0-1 45.69 196,549 0.25 11,510 1,332 94 1 999,999.00
Columbia 5 - AAAAA 2-0 36.06 847,893 1.19 12,534 905 38 1 999,999.00
Maynard Jackson 6 - AAAAA 1-0 30.82 381,444 0.48 2,525 114 4 1 999,999.00
Loganville 8 - AAAAA 0-1 38.66 744,906 0.80 13,313 1,216 63 - -
McIntosh 3 - AAAAA 2-0 38.74 608,422 0.65 6,206 393 21 - -
Paulding County 7 - AAAAA 0-2 40.32 80,350 0.09 2,242 214 15 - -
Harris County 1 - AAAAA 1-1 37.04 346,524 0.42 4,993 315 11 - -
Fayette County 3 - AAAAA 0-1 33.64 334,481 0.35 1,318 67 5 - -
Banneker 6 - AAAAA 1-0 31.59 435,860 0.56 3,116 163 4 - -
South Effingham 2 - AAAAA 0-2 31.08 781,317 0.85 3,416 117 3 - -
Ola 4 - AAAAA 1-1 41.26 37,150 0.04 1,138 100 3 - -
Miller Grove 5 - AAAAA 2-0 30.08 619,865 0.76 3,808 142 2 - -
Hiram 7 - AAAAA 0-1 37.98 48,565 0.05 938 66 2 - -
Lithonia 5 - AAAAA 0-2 27.79 487,439 0.58 2,087 48 2 - -
North Springs 6 - AAAAA 1-0 28.60 271,580 0.33 1,195 44 2 - -
Statesboro 2 - AAAAA 0-1 27.74 646,764 0.68 1,419 35 2 - -
Decatur 6 - AAAAA 1-1 26.84 195,609 0.23 622 19 2 - -
Cass 7 - AAAAA 0-1 34.45 20,083 0.02 224 10 1 - -
Cedar Shoals 8 - AAAAA 1-0 30.65 355,190 0.36 1,667 86 - - -
New Hampstead 2 - AAAAA 1-1 26.47 583,400 0.61 988 22 - - -
Walnut Grove 8 - AAAAA 0-1 26.11 174,134 0.18 371 13 - - -
Riverdale 3 - AAAAA 0-2 29.24 165,161 0.17 276 5 - - -
Chamblee 5 - AAAAA 1-1 15.81 82,661 0.09 52 1 - - -
Union Grove 4 - AAAAA 0-2 29.21 2,355 0.00 14 - - - -
Lithia Springs 6 - AAAAA 0-1 16.40 18,267 0.02 6 - - - -
Morrow 3 - AAAAA 2-0 17.84 17,609 0.02 - - - - -
Johnson (Gainesville) 8 - AAAAA 0-2 -4.21 319 0.00 - - - - -
Woodland (Cartersville) 7 - AAAAA 0-1 18.88 177 0.00 - - - - -
Hampton 4 - AAAAA 0-1 10.43 6 0.00 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAA Warner Robins 630,529 252,148 82,559 29,692 5,072
1 - AAAAA Bainbridge 216,375 370,907 252,397 122,315 38,006
1 - AAAAA Thomas County Central 104,657 229,518 338,030 231,589 96,206
1 - AAAAA Veterans 44,116 122,728 253,505 372,411 207,240
1 - AAAAA Harris County 4,323 24,699 73,509 243,993 653,476
2 - AAAAA Ware County 831,225 157,258 9,936 1,446 135
2 - AAAAA Wayne County 154,310 650,442 151,953 31,949 11,346
2 - AAAAA South Effingham 7,996 96,384 377,754 299,183 218,683
2 - AAAAA Statesboro 3,769 52,418 251,002 339,575 353,236
2 - AAAAA New Hampstead 2,700 43,498 209,355 327,847 416,600
3 - AAAAA Griffin 547,278 354,508 81,770 13,861 2,583
3 - AAAAA Starr's Mill 399,613 443,211 126,297 25,082 5,797
3 - AAAAA Whitewater 43,203 143,743 467,391 228,370 117,293
3 - AAAAA McIntosh 7,751 40,278 194,491 365,902 391,578
3 - AAAAA Fayette County 1,731 13,650 90,359 228,741 665,519
3 - AAAAA Riverdale 421 4,510 37,436 122,794 834,839
3 - AAAAA Morrow 3 100 2,256 15,250 982,391
4 - AAAAA Stockbridge 708,061 227,413 51,168 10,909 2,449
4 - AAAAA Jones County 223,389 463,029 205,395 76,013 32,174
4 - AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 45,101 172,370 338,212 246,107 198,210
4 - AAAAA Dutchtown 18,504 95,803 249,823 325,022 310,848
4 - AAAAA Locust Grove 3,465 27,161 93,147 183,848 692,379
4 - AAAAA Eagle's Landing 1,378 12,865 54,886 127,420 803,451
4 - AAAAA Ola 102 1,348 7,179 28,521 962,850
4 - AAAAA Union Grove - 11 190 2,154 997,645
4 - AAAAA Hampton - - - 6 999,994
5 - AAAAA Arabia Mountain 481,030 324,451 134,676 44,616 15,227
5 - AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 389,694 361,005 167,600 59,070 22,631
5 - AAAAA Columbia 89,148 185,681 342,879 230,185 152,107
5 - AAAAA Miller Grove 25,498 75,619 196,299 322,449 380,135
5 - AAAAA Lithonia 14,177 50,066 141,101 282,095 512,561
5 - AAAAA Chamblee 453 3,178 17,445 61,585 917,339
5 - AAAAA Clarkston - - - - 1,000,000
5 - AAAAA Cross Keys - - - - 1,000,000
6 - AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 671,241 219,549 76,086 23,246 9,878
6 - AAAAA Riverwood 178,695 342,047 240,506 129,086 109,666
6 - AAAAA Grady 108,367 252,623 279,789 176,005 183,216
6 - AAAAA Banneker 17,236 70,223 138,667 209,734 564,140
6 - AAAAA Maynard Jackson 13,815 58,233 120,729 188,667 618,556
6 - AAAAA North Springs 6,820 34,790 83,031 146,939 728,420
6 - AAAAA Decatur 3,764 21,776 57,423 112,646 804,391
6 - AAAAA Lithia Springs 62 759 3,769 13,677 981,733
7 - AAAAA Rome 527,826 294,890 149,622 23,801 3,861
7 - AAAAA Kell 255,401 348,101 311,658 68,703 16,137
7 - AAAAA Carrollton 208,723 317,510 367,477 84,691 21,599
7 - AAAAA Villa Rica 4,207 19,988 82,172 360,736 532,897
7 - AAAAA East Paulding 3,701 17,943 75,277 328,398 574,681
7 - AAAAA Paulding County 101 999 8,292 70,958 919,650
7 - AAAAA Hiram 33 456 4,155 43,921 951,435
7 - AAAAA Cass 8 113 1,341 18,621 979,917
7 - AAAAA Woodland (Cartersville) - - 6 171 999,823
8 - AAAAA Buford 979,516 19,975 433 76 -
8 - AAAAA Clarke Central 12,520 501,441 278,070 135,426 72,543
8 - AAAAA Flowery Branch 4,425 234,537 299,925 259,107 202,006
8 - AAAAA Loganville 3,081 185,185 271,316 285,324 255,094
8 - AAAAA Cedar Shoals 378 44,033 103,351 207,428 644,810
8 - AAAAA Walnut Grove 80 14,828 46,886 112,340 825,866
8 - AAAAA Johnson (Gainesville) - 1 19 299 999,681

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
5 - AAAA 93,644 906,356 395,653 23,753 274 142,481 857,519 185,526 756,890 0.32
4 - AAAA 329,846 670,154 70,714 48 - 628,700 371,300 1,178 109,855 8.10
7 - AAAA 637,095 362,905 35,637 263 - 807,184 192,816 6,640 53,625 17.65
3 - AAAA 650,164 349,836 24,116 140 - 843,937 156,063 1,781 33,404 28.94
8 - AAAA 581,703 418,297 56,658 252 - 875,743 124,257 986 25,299 38.53
2 - AAAA 522,697 477,303 33,626 529 2 916,617 83,383 344 19,048 51.50
6 - AAAA 860,353 139,647 2,547 4 - 987,381 12,619 8 1,375 726.27
1 - AAAA 969,015 30,985 288 1 - 994,420 5,580 - 504 1,983.13

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville 5 - AAAA 2-0 87.53 999,974 5.26 901,753 862,531 804,761 697,874 0.43
Woodward Academy 4 - AAAA 1-0 71.95 999,989 4.01 880,308 666,043 368,323 109,589 8.13
Sandy Creek 5 - AAAA 1-0 70.38 996,182 3.21 583,398 407,113 235,001 58,802 16.01
Blessed Trinity 7 - AAAA 2-0 68.75 999,872 2.68 352,095 244,283 130,624 36,616 26.31
Thomson 3 - AAAA 2-0 66.18 999,988 3.29 843,501 305,937 141,371 31,393 30.85
Jefferson 8 - AAAA 2-0 64.87 998,355 3.15 744,524 340,691 113,638 24,138 40.43
Mary Persons 2 - AAAA 1-1 62.09 995,507 3.04 624,284 417,490 74,869 18,370 53.44
Marist 7 - AAAA 1-0 64.84 999,568 2.34 235,363 148,618 68,706 17,006 57.80
Burke County 3 - AAAA 2-0 53.45 999,250 2.50 553,290 63,986 16,383 2,009 496.76
Ridgeland 6 - AAAA 2-0 53.05 997,760 2.02 296,267 114,261 11,052 1,288 775.40
St. Pius X 8 - AAAA 0-1 51.94 959,004 1.93 294,938 100,429 9,589 1,020 979.39
Cairo 1 - AAAA 0-1 50.88 970,460 1.86 247,167 20,719 5,197 492 2,031.52
Spalding 2 - AAAA 0-1 49.90 925,558 1.84 193,689 51,512 5,039 415 2,408.64
Eastside 4 - AAAA 1-1 46.36 992,544 2.00 223,439 73,924 4,127 264 3,786.88
Upson-Lee 2 - AAAA 1-0 48.11 893,146 1.68 156,622 31,469 2,882 214 4,671.90
Stephens County 8 - AAAA 1-0 46.71 882,417 1.34 113,549 29,971 1,909 136 7,351.94
Troup 5 - AAAA 2-0 46.73 585,529 0.97 85,580 19,603 1,180 79 12,657.23
Cedartown 5 - AAAA 2-0 46.73 599,298 1.00 87,528 19,967 1,228 76 13,156.89
Pickens 6 - AAAA 1-0 44.87 983,190 1.36 76,105 15,325 898 60 16,665.67
Chapel Hill 5 - AAAA 1-0 45.66 531,161 0.86 70,024 15,075 841 56 17,856.14
West Laurens 2 - AAAA 0-1 44.19 794,280 1.34 95,712 10,548 915 49 20,407.16
Northwest Whitfield 6 - AAAA 2-0 44.04 979,981 1.31 63,616 12,154 667 27 37,036.04
Americus-Sumter 1 - AAAA 0-1 37.36 525,488 0.66 17,643 1,862 65 5 199,999.00
Northside (Columbus) 1 - AAAA 1-0 38.20 575,667 0.74 21,808 2,350 86 4 249,999.00
Oconee County 8 - AAAA 0-1 39.37 650,662 0.77 18,816 3,160 86 3 333,332.33
West Hall 7 - AAAA 1-1 36.57 882,253 1.06 31,417 4,120 93 2 499,999.00
Baldwin 3 - AAAA 2-0 34.18 967,373 1.27 39,205 4,141 90 2 499,999.00
North Oconee 8 - AAAA 1-0 36.18 461,422 0.52 7,166 958 21 2 499,999.00
Luella 4 - AAAA 0-2 32.18 701,220 0.79 13,329 323 18 2 499,999.00
LaGrange 5 - AAAA 0-2 36.82 145,012 0.19 6,770 896 17 2 499,999.00
Carver (Columbus) 1 - AAAA 0-2 38.73 615,488 0.80 25,317 2,731 117 1 999,999.00
Hardaway 1 - AAAA 1-1 37.35 522,749 0.66 17,547 1,843 64 1 999,999.00
White County 7 - AAAA 2-0 34.18 825,541 0.95 18,897 1,768 33 1 999,999.00
Central (Carrollton) 5 - AAAA 1-1 36.77 142,844 0.19 6,633 854 17 1 999,999.00
Columbus 1 - AAAA 1-0 33.05 280,055 0.33 4,772 443 15 1 999,999.00
Westover 1 - AAAA 1-1 35.95 436,410 0.53 11,652 1,301 36 - -
Perry 2 - AAAA 1-0 35.15 328,309 0.44 13,575 441 22 - -
Heritage (Ringgold) 6 - AAAA 2-0 34.39 877,505 0.93 4,731 460 10 - -
North Clayton 4 - AAAA 1-1 29.57 606,138 0.68 8,504 354 6 - -
Salem 4 - AAAA 0-1 28.77 550,589 0.61 6,713 271 4 - -
Shaw 1 - AAAA 0-1 26.64 73,683 0.08 447 24 - - -
Richmond Academy 3 - AAAA 1-0 18.17 620,333 0.64 609 22 - - -
Chestatee 7 - AAAA 1-1 22.47 292,766 0.30 785 19 - - -
Cross Creek 3 - AAAA 1-1 14.63 409,050 0.42 205 7 - - -
Howard 2 - AAAA 1-1 24.89 63,200 0.07 534 2 - - -
Henry County 4 - AAAA 0-1 16.58 96,150 0.10 98 1 - - -
Madison County 8 - AAAA 0-1 21.66 48,140 0.05 34 - - - -
Druid Hills 4 - AAAA 0-2 13.94 53,370 0.05 30 - - - -
Southeast Whitfield 6 - AAAA 2-0 17.50 127,185 0.13 10 - - - -
LaFayette 6 - AAAA 1-1 8.68 25,714 0.03 1 - - - -
Gilmer 6 - AAAA 0-2 3.53 8,665 0.01 - - - - -
Hephzibah 3 - AAAA 0-2 -14.03 4,006 0.00 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAA Cairo 665,185 190,634 77,334 37,307 29,540
1 - AAAA Carver (Columbus) 85,760 185,196 180,992 163,540 384,512
1 - AAAA Northside (Columbus) 73,199 165,064 172,970 164,434 424,333
1 - AAAA Americus-Sumter 59,835 142,592 160,501 162,560 474,512
1 - AAAA Hardaway 57,667 141,632 160,543 162,907 477,251
1 - AAAA Westover 39,324 107,554 137,245 152,287 563,590
1 - AAAA Columbus 17,154 57,337 88,566 116,998 719,945
1 - AAAA Shaw 1,876 9,991 21,849 39,967 926,317
2 - AAAA Mary Persons 693,135 216,430 64,165 21,777 4,493
2 - AAAA Spalding 150,538 331,310 277,116 166,594 74,442
2 - AAAA Upson-Lee 101,716 260,383 306,869 224,178 106,854
2 - AAAA West Laurens 48,895 156,938 259,679 328,768 205,720
2 - AAAA Perry 5,488 32,368 80,082 210,371 671,691
2 - AAAA Howard 228 2,571 12,089 48,312 936,800
3 - AAAA Thomson 782,054 205,366 12,096 472 12
3 - AAAA Burke County 208,763 686,578 98,332 5,577 750
3 - AAAA Baldwin 8,848 98,451 715,752 144,322 32,627
3 - AAAA Richmond Academy 249 6,411 112,476 501,197 379,667
3 - AAAA Cross Creek 86 3,193 61,058 344,713 590,950
3 - AAAA Hephzibah - 1 286 3,719 995,994
4 - AAAA Woodward Academy 931,053 66,378 2,339 219 11
4 - AAAA Eastside 63,933 789,448 117,652 21,511 7,456
4 - AAAA Luella 1,834 18,012 373,997 307,377 298,780
4 - AAAA North Clayton 1,750 64,885 251,069 288,434 393,862
4 - AAAA Salem 1,404 57,473 215,266 276,446 449,411
4 - AAAA Henry County 17 2,696 26,501 66,936 903,850
4 - AAAA Druid Hills 9 1,108 13,176 39,077 946,630
5 - AAAA Cartersville 859,201 136,446 4,069 258 26
5 - AAAA Sandy Creek 137,111 754,798 90,863 13,410 3,818
5 - AAAA Troup 1,386 37,420 277,462 269,261 414,471
5 - AAAA Cedartown 1,284 36,763 292,371 268,880 400,702
5 - AAAA Chapel Hill 937 28,676 241,034 260,514 468,839
5 - AAAA Central (Carrollton) 42 3,004 46,783 93,015 857,156
5 - AAAA LaGrange 39 2,893 47,418 94,662 854,988
6 - AAAA Ridgeland 583,377 269,044 109,702 35,637 2,240
6 - AAAA Pickens 202,518 331,810 305,382 143,480 16,810
6 - AAAA Northwest Whitfield 181,271 305,494 333,835 159,381 20,019
6 - AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 32,520 90,314 233,373 521,298 122,495
6 - AAAA Southeast Whitfield 294 3,093 15,161 108,637 872,815
6 - AAAA LaFayette 17 208 2,072 23,417 974,286
6 - AAAA Gilmer 3 37 475 8,150 991,335
7 - AAAA Blessed Trinity 611,051 367,749 19,354 1,718 128
7 - AAAA Marist 382,830 571,500 41,243 3,995 432
7 - AAAA West Hall 3,821 34,791 494,323 349,318 117,747
7 - AAAA White County 2,207 23,248 376,153 423,933 174,459
7 - AAAA Chestatee 91 2,712 68,927 221,036 707,234
8 - AAAA Jefferson 746,610 198,834 43,026 9,885 1,645
8 - AAAA St. Pius X 165,159 429,552 262,858 101,435 40,996
8 - AAAA Stephens County 68,012 244,486 359,247 210,672 117,583
8 - AAAA Oconee County 14,254 80,905 200,439 355,064 349,338
8 - AAAA North Oconee 5,899 44,943 125,130 285,450 538,578
8 - AAAA Madison County 66 1,280 9,300 37,494 951,860

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
7 - AAA 228,837 771,163 53,516 529 1 430,684 569,316 3,418 362,384 1.76
5 - AAA 136,692 863,308 361,357 64,369 4,026 399,743 600,257 50,499 303,344 2.30
6 - AAA 306,503 693,497 44,069 610 1 597,697 402,303 717 187,835 4.32
4 - AAA 284,879 715,121 75,323 1,573 5 694,796 305,204 2,515 138,084 6.24
1 - AAA 774,928 225,072 15,878 420 4 946,524 53,476 221 7,563 131.22
3 - AAA 966,682 33,318 256 - - 995,470 4,530 1 396 2,524.25
2 - AAA 952,827 47,173 603 3 - 994,790 5,210 2 285 3,507.77
8 - AAA 971,430 28,570 234 - - 997,669 2,331 - 109 9,173.31

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Greater Atlanta Christian 7 - AAA 2-0 73.20 999,995 4.51 811,681 774,140 565,539 361,912 1.76
Cedar Grove 5 - AAA 2-0 70.96 999,414 4.26 808,733 736,369 496,091 272,303 2.67
Calhoun 6 - AAA 2-0 68.33 998,528 3.88 777,360 701,023 398,623 187,564 4.33
Peach County 4 - AAA 1-0 66.30 999,928 4.06 925,328 709,854 297,965 137,566 6.27
Westminster (Atlanta) 5 - AAA 0-2 56.37 976,597 2.40 416,786 224,033 69,568 15,663 62.84
Lovett 5 - AAA 0-2 53.89 960,451 2.16 371,558 175,492 46,600 8,731 113.53
Crisp County 1 - AAA 2-0 51.77 995,018 2.74 664,324 155,527 42,671 6,808 145.89
Pace Academy 5 - AAA 0-1 52.76 951,807 2.06 346,904 156,702 38,475 6,647 149.44
Monroe 1 - AAA 1-0 43.04 960,418 2.03 338,425 43,853 6,459 525 1,903.76
Dawson County 7 - AAA 1-0 42.30 975,391 1.88 100,647 43,419 6,694 457 2,187.18
Jenkins 3 - AAA 2-0 42.31 999,019 2.15 376,057 30,526 4,392 393 2,543.53
Jackson 4 - AAA 0-2 40.80 942,195 2.12 369,117 48,634 6,189 359 2,784.52
Liberty County 2 - AAA 0-1 40.74 972,983 1.75 226,675 29,605 3,749 233 4,290.85
Sonoraville 6 - AAA 1-0 41.83 865,170 1.11 69,608 19,428 2,512 170 5,881.35
Westside (Macon) 4 - AAA 1-1 38.53 910,399 1.89 280,964 30,413 3,395 154 6,492.51
Cook 1 - AAA 0-2 39.70 924,053 1.75 228,614 24,849 2,798 150 6,665.67
Worth County 1 - AAA 0-2 37.63 891,712 1.58 177,387 16,972 1,762 80 12,499.00
Morgan County 8 - AAA 1-0 37.89 986,740 1.74 96,470 17,166 1,513 72 13,887.89
Adairsville 6 - AAA 1-1 39.24 828,523 1.00 45,900 11,045 1,243 67 14,924.37
Appling County 2 - AAA 0-0 36.23 925,823 1.41 117,365 9,986 879 34 29,410.76
Monroe Area 8 - AAA 1-0 34.89 971,385 1.56 55,592 9,795 729 34 29,410.76
Bremen 6 - AAA 1-0 36.88 774,073 0.89 28,136 6,336 629 33 30,302.03
Pierce County 2 - AAA 0-1 34.51 892,741 1.29 92,158 6,770 509 17 58,822.53
Union County 7 - AAA 1-0 32.91 834,019 1.30 31,501 6,292 459 15 66,665.67
Central (Macon) 4 - AAA 0-1 29.28 578,304 0.88 55,193 2,291 136 5 199,999.00
Southeast Bulloch 3 - AAA 0-1 28.47 962,513 1.34 63,169 2,782 134 3 333,332.33
Jackson County 8 - AAA 2-0 27.92 880,716 1.14 12,384 1,666 81 3 333,332.33
Brantley County 2 - AAA 0-2 26.92 631,287 0.76 23,335 919 50 1 999,999.00
North Murray 6 - AAA 1-0 26.44 230,856 0.25 2,887 157 7 1 999,999.00
East Hall 7 - AAA 1-1 27.31 615,344 0.85 11,957 1,195 39 - -
Pike County 4 - AAA 0-1 26.45 420,602 0.59 26,529 813 34 - -
Tattnall County 2 - AAA 1-1 25.19 527,009 0.61 14,870 499 25 - -
Redan 5 - AAA 1-1 29.64 98,509 0.11 3,020 460 22 - -
Dougherty 1 - AAA 0-2 21.55 228,799 0.28 6,308 172 7 - -
Ringgold 6 - AAA 0-2 27.18 241,147 0.26 3,419 189 6 - -
Savannah 3 - AAA 0-1 18.28 737,546 0.81 6,990 172 5 - -
Hart County 8 - AAA 0-1 19.46 568,529 0.62 979 86 5 - -
North Hall 7 - AAA 0-2 20.84 273,287 0.34 2,060 114 3 - -
Franklin County 8 - AAA 0-2 19.11 560,047 0.61 998 93 3 - -
Beach 3 - AAA 1-0 16.65 658,419 0.71 4,266 73 - - -
Lumpkin County 7 - AAA 0-1 17.40 145,254 0.17 644 25 - - -
Fannin County 7 - AAA 1-0 17.66 156,710 0.18 690 23 - - -
Islands 3 - AAA 1-1 12.15 409,175 0.43 1,014 18 - - -
Kendrick 4 - AAA 0-2 16.07 77,728 0.09 844 10 - - -
Rutland 4 - AAA 0-1 15.69 70,844 0.08 781 7 - - -
Towers 5 - AAA 1-1 18.68 11,050 0.01 57 4 - - -
Windsor Forest 3 - AAA 1-0 7.87 210,940 0.22 195 3 - - -
Long County 2 - AAA 0-1 9.62 50,157 0.05 91 - - - -
Murray County 6 - AAA 1-0 11.88 55,344 0.06 26 - - - -
McNair 5 - AAA 1-0 11.40 2,126 0.00 3 - - - -
Groves 3 - AAA 0-1 -5.62 11,812 0.01 1 - - - -
East Jackson 8 - AAA 0-2 0.65 32,583 0.03 - - - - -
Johnson (Savannah) 3 - AAA 0-1 -5.99 10,576 0.01 - - - - -
Haralson County 6 - AAA 0-1 3.93 5,196 0.01 - - - - -
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6 - AAA 0-2 -12.08 890 0.00 - - - - -
Coahulla Creek 6 - AAA 0-2 -18.22 273 0.00 - - - - -
Stone Mountain 5 - AAA 0-2 -1.43 46 0.00 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAA Crisp County 601,706 257,396 95,025 40,891 4,982
1 - AAA Monroe 198,935 318,948 268,878 173,657 39,582
1 - AAA Cook 118,008 231,357 306,590 268,098 75,947
1 - AAA Worth County 79,665 180,075 292,342 339,630 108,288
1 - AAA Dougherty 1,686 12,224 37,165 177,724 771,201
2 - AAA Liberty County 485,670 274,579 146,858 65,876 27,017
2 - AAA Appling County 250,277 292,961 245,445 137,140 74,177
2 - AAA Pierce County 190,815 258,594 271,231 172,101 107,259
2 - AAA Brantley County 44,336 98,478 181,938 306,535 368,713
2 - AAA Tattnall County 28,535 73,221 145,060 280,193 472,991
2 - AAA Long County 367 2,167 9,468 38,155 949,843
3 - AAA Jenkins 794,483 172,948 26,618 4,970 981
3 - AAA Southeast Bulloch 161,806 511,413 209,341 79,953 37,487
3 - AAA Savannah 23,085 147,010 307,022 260,429 262,454
3 - AAA Beach 15,154 107,601 253,998 281,666 341,581
3 - AAA Islands 4,378 45,325 135,996 223,476 590,825
3 - AAA Windsor Forest 1,085 15,329 63,114 131,412 789,060
3 - AAA Groves 7 204 2,065 9,536 988,188
3 - AAA Johnson (Savannah) 2 170 1,846 8,558 989,424
4 - AAA Peach County 918,750 73,963 6,368 847 72
4 - AAA Jackson 44,983 462,432 308,044 126,736 57,805
4 - AAA Westside (Macon) 31,120 338,289 366,140 174,850 89,601
4 - AAA Central (Macon) 3,579 75,012 172,643 327,070 421,696
4 - AAA Pike County 1,503 44,418 116,393 258,288 579,398
4 - AAA Kendrick 36 3,117 15,945 58,630 922,272
4 - AAA Rutland 29 2,769 14,467 53,579 929,156
5 - AAA Cedar Grove 741,426 193,319 46,870 17,799 586
5 - AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 115,368 331,343 304,795 225,091 23,403
5 - AAA Lovett 76,584 250,652 321,624 311,591 39,549
5 - AAA Pace Academy 66,466 221,805 313,862 349,674 48,193
5 - AAA Redan 154 2,794 11,863 83,698 901,491
5 - AAA Towers 2 78 895 10,075 988,950
5 - AAA McNair - 9 90 2,027 997,874
5 - AAA Stone Mountain - - 1 45 999,954
6 - AAA Calhoun 902,495 61,718 28,698 5,617 1,472
6 - AAA Sonoraville 43,094 273,037 267,930 281,109 134,830
6 - AAA Adairsville 32,305 232,378 278,252 285,588 171,477
6 - AAA Bremen 17,848 160,897 232,306 363,022 225,927
6 - AAA Ringgold 2,391 139,737 77,054 21,965 758,853
6 - AAA North Murray 1,815 123,135 80,435 25,471 769,144
6 - AAA Murray County 49 8,905 34,402 11,988 944,656
6 - AAA Haralson County 3 159 533 4,501 994,804
6 - AAA Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe - 27 301 562 999,110
6 - AAA Coahulla Creek - 7 89 177 999,727
7 - AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 960,004 38,669 1,216 106 5
7 - AAA Dawson County 32,777 647,079 228,005 67,530 24,609
7 - AAA Union County 5,635 204,227 388,806 235,351 165,981
7 - AAA East Hall 1,315 76,678 221,711 315,640 384,656
7 - AAA North Hall 182 18,520 80,218 174,367 726,713
7 - AAA Fannin County 47 7,590 41,411 107,662 843,290
7 - AAA Lumpkin County 40 7,237 38,633 99,344 854,746
8 - AAA Morgan County 508,647 302,959 131,160 43,974 13,260
8 - AAA Monroe Area 337,637 360,847 197,925 74,976 28,615
8 - AAA Jackson County 115,374 213,215 343,907 208,220 119,284
8 - AAA Hart County 19,240 61,566 162,504 325,219 431,471
8 - AAA Franklin County 19,021 60,690 159,049 321,287 439,953
8 - AAA East Jackson 81 723 5,455 26,324 967,417

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.

Teams in Semifinals Teams in Finals
Region Eliminated 1+ 2+ 3+ 4 Eliminated 1+ 2 Champion Odds
2 - AA 75,446 924,554 65,645 1,472 9 132,121 867,879 9,207 806,110 0.24
1 - AA 114,268 885,732 506,722 119,108 304 388,102 611,898 38,490 123,753 7.08
8 - AA 600,700 399,300 2,246 3 - 778,011 221,989 8 27,130 35.86
5 - AA 529,528 470,472 64,886 1,408 2 892,395 107,605 1,062 26,453 36.80
6 - AA 886,650 113,350 4,157 46 - 956,383 43,617 54 10,363 95.50
4 - AA 872,350 127,650 2,924 9 - 957,079 42,921 123 3,396 293.46
3 - AA 846,090 153,910 5,922 56 - 968,221 31,779 43 1,803 553.63
7 - AA 855,706 144,294 5,747 64 - 976,709 23,291 34 992 1,007.06

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Avg Depth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine 2 - AA 1-0 82.63 999,999 5.57 970,901 932,978 866,025 805,631 0.24
Thomasville 1 - AA 2-0 60.16 999,105 3.52 765,167 564,888 248,110 53,206 17.79
Fitzgerald 1 - AA 1-1 59.95 999,088 3.51 758,793 558,879 251,714 51,435 18.44
Rabun County 8 - AA 1-0 56.18 999,975 3.27 731,216 399,087 221,858 27,125 35.87
Callaway 5 - AA 1-0 57.26 999,555 3.27 805,332 426,960 88,970 25,546 38.15
Brooks County 1 - AA 1-0 55.05 996,840 2.98 617,245 387,909 150,553 19,112 51.32
Hapeville Charter 6 - AA 1-1 54.02 999,344 2.75 711,506 89,927 40,647 10,279 96.29
Jefferson County 4 - AA 2-0 47.86 999,676 2.00 161,757 66,201 22,395 1,801 554.25
Screven County 4 - AA 1-0 47.47 999,611 1.98 155,595 62,076 20,539 1,591 627.54
Dodge County 3 - AA 1-0 45.53 969,005 2.05 185,112 95,904 22,889 1,388 719.46
Spencer 5 - AA 1-0 42.33 977,461 2.05 330,974 77,642 15,012 763 1,309.62
Rockmart 7 - AA 1-1 41.98 976,758 2.18 328,836 68,995 12,456 589 1,696.79
Swainsboro 2 - AA 2-0 41.91 916,755 1.20 79,033 28,644 5,849 283 3,532.57
Pepperell 7 - AA 0-1 39.70 956,950 1.96 247,358 40,973 5,992 254 3,936.01
Washington County 3 - AA 0-1 40.11 896,847 1.54 80,012 28,821 4,305 218 4,586.16
Vidalia 2 - AA 0-1 41.35 906,326 1.17 72,298 25,351 4,884 188 5,318.15
Southwest 3 - AA 1-0 39.39 880,699 1.47 70,001 23,951 3,395 160 6,249.00
Heard County 5 - AA 1-1 38.14 947,676 1.67 184,307 30,680 4,568 142 7,041.25
Chattooga 7 - AA 0-1 38.20 944,466 1.83 206,496 29,586 3,844 121 8,263.46
Douglass 6 - AA 0-1 35.47 920,297 1.39 107,843 13,015 1,647 48 20,832.33
Dublin 3 - AA 1-1 36.44 793,470 1.20 39,412 10,715 1,205 37 27,026.03
Model 7 - AA 0-1 34.16 869,203 1.43 107,189 10,492 1,032 28 35,713.29
B.E.S.T. Academy 6 - AA 1-1 34.03 892,488 1.28 87,550 9,890 1,034 26 38,460.54
Washington 6 - AA 1-0 31.16 814,658 1.07 51,883 4,675 343 10 99,999.00
Bacon County 2 - AA 1-0 34.06 673,003 0.75 18,651 4,221 309 8 124,999.00
Elbert County 8 - AA 1-1 29.34 962,730 1.30 47,016 2,086 129 5 199,999.00
Laney 4 - AA 0-2 29.47 962,435 1.23 15,730 2,292 110 4 249,999.00
Lamar County 5 - AA 0-1 28.38 727,449 0.91 31,345 1,460 117 2 499,999.00
Northeast 3 - AA 1-0 27.44 328,529 0.40 3,697 468 27 - -
Toombs County 2 - AA 2-0 27.69 316,672 0.33 3,141 445 19 - -
Early County 1 - AA 0-1 25.19 579,076 0.59 1,316 142 8 - -
Putnam County 8 - AA 2-0 18.50 732,214 0.82 6,448 176 5 - -
Banks County 8 - AA 0-2 18.74 739,970 0.84 6,758 169 5 - -
Berrien 1 - AA 1-1 22.84 425,891 0.43 617 50 3 - -
Coosa 7 - AA 1-0 19.29 185,193 0.21 2,040 54 1 - -
Bleckley County 3 - AA 1-1 21.39 120,506 0.13 469 30 1 - -
Monticello 8 - AA 0-1 12.85 439,300 0.47 1,535 31 - - -
Metter 2 - AA 0-1 20.63 86,514 0.09 270 23 - - -
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate 6 - AA 0-1 16.37 131,871 0.14 697 22 - - -
Jeff Davis 2 - AA 1-0 20.55 88,615 0.09 250 21 - - -
Jordan 5 - AA 1-1 17.40 191,589 0.21 1,338 16 - - -
Therrell 6 - AA 0-2 16.50 139,407 0.15 701 14 - - -
South Atlanta 6 - AA 0-2 15.05 101,935 0.11 433 12 - - -
Butler 4 - AA 1-1 12.28 433,430 0.46 317 11 - - -
Temple 5 - AA 1-0 16.00 156,270 0.17 875 8 - - -
Dade County 7 - AA 1-1 13.63 65,048 0.07 243 5 - - -
Josey 4 - AA 1-0 9.38 286,344 0.30 126 3 - - -
Harlem 4 - AA 1-0 7.81 221,001 0.23 69 2 - - -
Social Circle 8 - AA 1-1 4.37 120,268 0.12 81 - - - -
Bryan County 2 - AA 0-1 12.04 12,116 0.01 9 - - - -
Glenn Hills 4 - AA 1-0 2.58 86,350 0.09 8 - - - -
East Laurens 3 - AA 0-2 10.30 10,944 0.01 4 - - - -
Westside (Augusta) 4 - AA 0-1 -6.26 11,153 0.01 - - - - -
Oglethorpe County 8 - AA 0-0 -10.46 5,543 0.01 - - - - -
Armuchee 7 - AA 1-1 -1.36 2,372 0.00 - - - - -
Gordon Central 7 - AA 0-2 -18.11 10 0.00 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AA Thomasville 409,538 340,228 237,049 12,290 895
1 - AA Fitzgerald 381,324 348,873 255,676 13,215 912
1 - AA Brooks County 208,323 306,157 451,341 31,019 3,160
1 - AA Early County 540 2,827 34,371 541,338 420,924
1 - AA Berrien 275 1,915 21,563 402,138 574,109
2 - AA Benedictine 980,834 18,667 448 50 1
2 - AA Swainsboro 9,318 427,270 315,146 165,021 83,245
2 - AA Vidalia 8,130 384,350 333,137 180,709 93,674
2 - AA Bacon County 1,476 127,060 221,749 322,718 326,997
2 - AA Toombs County 216 33,206 88,077 195,173 683,328
2 - AA Metter 13 4,540 19,650 62,311 913,486
2 - AA Jeff Davis 13 4,692 20,005 63,905 911,385
2 - AA Bryan County - 215 1,788 10,113 987,884
3 - AA Dodge County 476,546 265,835 150,925 75,699 30,995
3 - AA Washington County 214,054 257,903 244,911 179,979 103,153
3 - AA Southwest 186,014 247,272 251,620 195,793 119,301
3 - AA Dublin 107,636 179,204 239,156 267,474 206,530
3 - AA Northeast 13,471 40,079 84,507 190,472 671,471
3 - AA Bleckley County 2,223 9,397 27,104 81,782 879,494
3 - AA East Laurens 56 310 1,777 8,801 989,056
4 - AA Jefferson County 488,532 428,618 78,434 4,092 324
4 - AA Screven County 479,406 431,547 84,219 4,439 389
4 - AA Laney 31,442 130,872 669,812 130,309 37,565
4 - AA Butler 402 5,003 78,565 349,460 566,570
4 - AA Josey 132 2,325 46,021 237,866 713,656
4 - AA Harlem 79 1,390 32,916 186,616 778,999
4 - AA Glenn Hills 7 237 9,384 76,722 913,650
4 - AA Westside (Augusta) - 8 649 10,496 988,847
5 - AA Callaway 780,671 178,659 34,564 5,661 445
5 - AA Spencer 138,845 450,606 296,757 91,253 22,539
5 - AA Heard County 70,523 291,795 410,784 174,574 52,324
5 - AA Lamar County 9,294 66,935 197,855 453,365 272,551
5 - AA Jordan 420 6,828 33,021 151,320 808,411
5 - AA Temple 247 5,177 27,019 123,827 843,730
6 - AA Hapeville Charter 830,988 137,074 25,257 6,025 656
6 - AA Douglass 77,215 355,391 297,746 189,945 79,703
6 - AA B.E.S.T. Academy 58,509 291,650 311,972 230,357 107,512
6 - AA Washington 32,009 191,533 277,522 313,594 185,342
6 - AA Therrell 524 9,540 32,924 96,419 860,593
6 - AA KIPP Atlanta Collegiate 476 8,784 31,370 91,241 868,129
6 - AA South Atlanta 279 6,028 23,209 72,419 898,065
7 - AA Rockmart 395,454 283,080 190,230 107,994 23,242
7 - AA Pepperell 271,560 278,582 244,399 162,409 43,050
7 - AA Chattooga 224,118 255,899 264,117 200,332 55,534
7 - AA Model 105,604 167,784 256,105 339,710 130,797
7 - AA Coosa 2,794 12,106 34,783 135,510 814,807
7 - AA Dade County 468 2,526 10,189 51,865 934,952
7 - AA Armuchee 2 23 176 2,171 997,628
7 - AA Gordon Central - - 1 9 999,990
8 - AA Rabun County 938,942 57,911 2,714 408 25
8 - AA Elbert County 47,824 595,605 235,157 84,144 37,270
8 - AA Banks County 6,429 151,486 297,952 284,103 260,030
8 - AA Putnam County 5,467 139,367 289,816 297,564 267,786
8 - AA Monticello 1,258 49,331 141,200 247,511 560,700
8 - AA Social Circle 80 6,239 32,435 81,514 879,732
8 - AA Oglethorpe County - 61 726 4,756 994,457

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Macon County 4 - A 1-0 54.19 987,303 803,916 649,414 485,165 344,383 1.90
Clinch County 2 - A 2-0 52.59 999,999 828,855 647,039 455,986 298,719 2.35
Manchester 4 - A 2-0 46.42 976,125 562,802 362,889 198,808 91,935 9.88
Irwin County 2 - A 1-1 44.93 995,669 599,283 354,122 180,491 76,078 12.14
Commerce 8 - A 1-0 42.12 999,977 652,445 336,268 151,587 53,227 17.79
Turner County 2 - A 2-0 41.18 999,110 550,436 272,464 113,836 37,492 25.67
Mount Zion (Carroll) 6 - A 1-0 39.87 994,207 470,978 221,050 87,581 26,509 36.72
Emanuel County Institute 3 - A 1-1 37.13 996,879 421,313 170,058 59,356 14,709 66.99
Charlton County 2 - A 1-0 37.11 990,161 403,068 163,704 54,321 13,632 72.36
McIntosh County Academy 3 - A 1-1 36.92 982,555 333,919 137,917 46,695 11,368 86.97
Washington-Wilkes 7 - A 1-0 36.57 961,005 340,295 135,023 43,626 10,455 94.65
Lincoln County 7 - A 1-0 35.63 977,060 341,196 127,792 38,975 8,753 113.25
Telfair County 2 - A 1-0 31.97 972,851 240,122 72,343 16,992 2,920 341.47
Dooly County 4 - A 0-2 34.66 499,318 107,719 38,272 10,845 2,352 424.17
Taylor County 4 - A 1-0 32.87 739,992 137,843 44,361 11,236 2,078 480.23
Trion 6 - A 1-0 30.86 943,755 188,624 53,648 11,769 1,886 529.22
Mitchell County 1 - A 1-0 27.75 999,654 300,477 75,531 13,152 1,557 641.26
Pelham 1 - A 1-1 26.43 996,592 218,719 50,510 7,901 846 1,181.03
Miller County 1 - A 1-0 24.28 999,132 220,852 41,751 5,514 461 2,168.20
Bowdon 6 - A 0-1 27.45 567,484 60,107 13,526 2,290 280 3,570.43
Marion County 4 - A 2-0 27.28 486,909 49,123 10,550 1,724 221 4,523.89
Greene County 7 - A 0-1 24.76 471,950 36,362 6,785 916 83 12,047.19
Johnson County 3 - A 1-0 21.09 842,022 49,949 7,209 722 39 25,640.03
Seminole County 1 - A 1-0 17.00 913,981 43,086 4,652 324 11 90,908.09
Twiggs County 7 - A 0-1 18.09 327,427 9,921 1,076 84 5 199,999.00
Terrell County 1 - A 0-2 13.14 836,844 14,957 1,193 68 1 999,999.00
Chattahoochee County 1 - A 0-1 10.02 735,967 7,980 477 21 - -
Wilkinson County 7 - A 0-1 15.65 95,903 1,979 187 11 - -
Gordon Lee 6 - A 0-1 12.23 91,845 1,082 76 1 - -
Wheeler County 3 - A 2-0 14.22 10,879 431 32 1 - -
Jenkins County 3 - A 1-1 6.29 86,357 361 19 1 - -
Atkinson County 2 - A 0-2 9.72 14,247 104 5 1 - -
Towns County 8 - A 1-0 3.99 228,629 680 18 - - -
Wilcox County 2 - A 0-1 9.19 50,115 339 12 - - -
Treutlen 3 - A 1-1 9.26 28,677 259 12 - - -
Randolph-Clay 1 - A 0-1 0.76 147,316 225 10 - - -
Crawford County 4 - A 1-0 13.12 721 15 3 - - -
Hancock Central 7 - A 0-2 10.37 7,610 59 1 - - -
Montgomery County 3 - A 0-0 6.04 6,920 49 1 - - -
Warren County 7 - A 0-1 7.38 7,824 40 - - - -
Hawkinsville 4 - A 0-1 10.45 1,845 15 - - - -
Calhoun County 1 - A 0-1 -8.01 20,915 6 - - - -
Lanier County 2 - A 0-1 1.59 3,199 6 - - - -
Portal 3 - A 0-1 1.28 2,227 3 - - - -
Claxton 3 - A 0-1 -2.63 536 - - - - -
Baconton Charter 1 - A 1-1 -16.95 156 - - - - -
Greenville 4 - A 0-1 -2.61 80 - - - - -
Schley County 4 - A 1-1 7.98 51 - - - - -
Stewart County 1 - A 0-1 -21.52 18 - - - - -
Central (Talbotton) 4 - A 0-2 -10.92 2 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team Reg Chmp Seed 1 - 8 Seed 9 - 24 Out
1 - A Mitchell County 383,795 752,253 247,401 346
1 - A Pelham 301,484 479,016 517,576 3,408
1 - A Miller County 253,907 654,706 344,426 868
1 - A Seminole County 47,797 110,155 803,826 86,019
1 - A Chattahoochee County 6,694 17,283 718,684 264,033
1 - A Terrell County 6,113 22,110 814,734 163,156
1 - A Randolph-Clay 209 257 147,059 852,684
1 - A Calhoun County 1 1 20,914 979,085
1 - A Baconton Charter - - 156 999,844
1 - A Stewart County - - 18 999,982
2 - A Clinch County 594,480 945,885 54,114 1
2 - A Irwin County 225,441 407,775 587,894 4,331
2 - A Turner County 113,158 510,676 488,434 890
2 - A Charlton County 51,219 348,320 641,841 9,839
2 - A Telfair County 15,687 194,413 778,438 27,149
2 - A Wilcox County 10 19 50,096 949,885
2 - A Atkinson County 5 5 14,242 985,753
2 - A Lanier County - - 3,199 996,801
3 - A Emanuel County Institute 337,237 414,602 582,277 3,121
3 - A McIntosh County Academy 168,340 190,129 792,426 17,445
3 - A Johnson County 15,865 39,412 802,610 157,978
3 - A Wheeler County 2,370 2,370 8,509 989,121
3 - A Treutlen 481 482 28,195 971,323
3 - A Jenkins County 157 168 86,189 913,643
3 - A Montgomery County 151 151 6,769 993,080
3 - A Portal 3 3 2,224 997,773
3 - A Claxton - - 536 999,464
4 - A Macon County 668,399 690,285 297,018 12,697
4 - A Manchester 300,372 301,382 674,743 23,875
4 - A Taylor County 17,023 17,079 722,913 260,008
4 - A Marion County 8,622 8,624 478,285 513,091
4 - A Dooly County 5,077 5,176 494,142 500,682
4 - A Crawford County 54 54 667 999,279
4 - A Hawkinsville 16 16 1,829 998,155
4 - A Schley County 3 3 48 999,949
4 - A Greenville - - 80 999,920
4 - A Central (Talbotton) - - 2 999,998
6 - A Mount Zion (Carroll) 114,939 340,790 653,417 5,793
6 - A Trion 15,519 101,424 842,331 56,245
6 - A Bowdon 6,115 8,513 558,971 432,516
6 - A Gordon Lee 29 39 91,806 908,155
7 - A Washington-Wilkes 93,228 240,588 720,417 38,995
7 - A Lincoln County 74,016 277,756 699,304 22,940
7 - A Greene County 4,549 6,173 465,777 528,050
7 - A Twiggs County 463 1,239 326,188 672,573
7 - A Wilkinson County 202 238 95,665 904,097
7 - A Hancock Central 17 17 7,593 992,390
7 - A Warren County 8 8 7,816 992,176
8 - A Commerce 159,205 910,255 89,722 23
8 - A Towns County - 150 228,479 771,371

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian 5 - A 2-0 65.93 1,000,000 957,065 883,156 760,297 620,793 0.61
Prince Avenue Christian 8 - A 2-0 55.42 1,000,000 886,962 704,613 459,487 176,314 4.67
Wesleyan 5 - A 2-0 51.70 1,000,000 839,847 568,085 223,707 82,209 11.16
Mount Paran Christian 6 - A 2-0 49.87 999,998 799,066 469,086 215,277 60,140 15.63
Calvary Day 3 - A 2-0 43.89 999,938 616,776 262,213 73,474 15,189 64.84
Tattnall Square 7 - A 1-0 44.23 999,189 531,241 231,604 66,939 14,578 67.60
Darlington 6 - A 1-0 42.39 999,860 566,850 194,566 57,679 10,368 95.45
Aquinas 7 - A 1-1 41.90 999,113 454,432 164,951 42,244 7,641 129.87
Stratford Academy 7 - A 1-0 40.78 998,898 430,143 142,346 35,437 5,926 167.75
Athens Academy 8 - A 1-0 36.15 999,989 460,823 100,047 19,773 2,125 469.59
Pinecrest Academy 6 - A 0-1 36.35 996,582 273,306 65,622 13,041 1,491 669.69
Fellowship Christian 6 - A 1-1 35.92 991,676 179,679 47,680 8,869 1,036 964.25
Mount Pisgah Christian 6 - A 1-1 35.32 996,737 196,640 49,080 8,603 978 1,021.49
First Presbyterian 7 - A 1-0 34.50 995,570 205,337 46,205 7,532 776 1,287.66
Athens Christian 8 - A 1-0 30.21 999,695 234,391 31,248 4,033 248 4,031.26
George Walton Academy 8 - A 1-0 28.02 999,206 168,328 19,477 2,098 121 8,263.46
Landmark Christian 5 - A 0-2 27.33 921,762 52,212 7,660 733 32 31,249.00
Holy Innocents 5 - A 1-1 24.43 938,037 36,929 4,202 303 16 62,499.00
Savannah Christian 3 - A 0-2 24.96 780,768 35,967 3,929 301 15 66,665.67
Our Lady of Mercy 5 - A 1-1 18.68 970,095 18,974 1,319 65 2 499,999.00
Hebron Christian Academy 8 - A 1-0 17.94 976,853 20,058 1,167 52 1 999,999.00
Walker 6 - A 0-1 17.23 516,968 7,334 350 15 1 999,999.00
Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5 - A 1-0 17.06 870,350 12,474 738 28 - -
Savannah Country Day 3 - A 0-1 17.61 668,968 9,829 502 13 - -
Lakeview Academy 8 - A 1-0 10.73 872,026 3,883 121 - - -
Brookstone 4 - A 1-1 15.09 38,863 505 14 - - -
Christian Heritage 6 - A 0-1 6.62 150,723 383 10 - - -
Mount de Sales 7 - A 1-1 8.91 77,025 259 5 - - -
Riverside Military Academy 8 - A 0-1 3.21 88,145 114 4 - - -
Whitefield Academy 6 - A 0-1 2.54 62,085 76 - - - -
King's Ridge Christian 6 - A 1-0 7.33 20,335 59 - - - -
St. Francis 6 - A 0-1 1.13 19,325 27 - - - -
North Cobb Christian 6 - A 1-0 -1.17 22,638 16 - - - -
Strong Rock Christian 5 - A 1-1 -0.92 26,565 15 - - - -
Providence Christian 8 - A 0-1 -13.93 2,011 - - - - -
Pacelli 4 - A 0-2 -11.60 7 - - - - -

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team Reg Chmp Seed 1 - 8 Seed 9 - 24 Out
3 - A Calvary Day 460,021 619,194 380,744 62
3 - A Savannah Christian 13,402 13,762 767,006 219,232
3 - A Savannah Country Day 1,973 2,143 666,825 331,032
4 - A Brookstone 434 434 38,429 961,137
4 - A Pacelli - - 7 999,993
5 - A Eagle's Landing Christian 818,377 999,987 13 -
5 - A Wesleyan 178,145 985,303 14,697 -
5 - A Landmark Christian 2,226 6,543 915,219 78,238
5 - A Holy Innocents 1,008 7,936 930,101 61,963
5 - A Our Lady of Mercy 161 13,987 956,108 29,905
5 - A Mount Vernon Presbyterian 83 8,362 861,988 129,650
5 - A Strong Rock Christian - - 26,565 973,435
6 - A Mount Paran Christian 586,232 871,871 128,127 2
6 - A Darlington 192,563 572,319 427,541 140
6 - A Pinecrest Academy 45,131 197,182 799,400 3,418
6 - A Mount Pisgah Christian 33,707 88,805 907,932 3,263
6 - A Fellowship Christian 5,663 33,224 958,452 8,324
6 - A Walker 100 202 516,766 483,032
6 - A Christian Heritage 2 6 150,717 849,277
6 - A King's Ridge Christian - - 20,335 979,665
6 - A Whitefield Academy - 1 62,084 937,915
6 - A St. Francis - - 19,325 980,675
6 - A North Cobb Christian - - 22,638 977,362
7 - A Tattnall Square 344,075 428,415 570,774 811
7 - A Aquinas 244,416 353,455 645,658 887
7 - A Stratford Academy 187,353 350,699 648,199 1,102
7 - A First Presbyterian 51,655 124,569 871,001 4,430
7 - A Mount de Sales 18 18 77,007 922,975
8 - A Prince Avenue Christian 767,742 998,045 1,955 -
8 - A Athens Academy 52,444 659,821 340,168 11
8 - A Athens Christian 13,340 366,326 633,369 305
8 - A George Walton Academy 7,028 266,624 732,582 794
8 - A Hebron Christian Academy 225 27,878 948,975 23,147
8 - A Lakeview Academy 16 2,888 869,138 127,974
8 - A Riverside Military Academy - 1 88,144 911,855
8 - A Providence Christian - - 2,011 997,989

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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