Below are the teams that are the most “better than expected” this season, according to the Maxwell Ratings. Maxwell compared his preseason ratings to postseason ratings. For example, Lee County is 22.33 points better than expected this season. The preseason rankings were based on teams’ historical performance, with 2013 counting the most heavily.
Class AAAAAA
+22.33 - Lee County (8-3)
+15.20 - Westlake (9-2)
+13.73 - Colquitt County (15-0)
+13.58 - Dacula (10-2)
+12.99 - Newton (7-4)
+11.84 - Milton (11-2)
+10.97 - Archer (11-4)
+10.67 - Central Gwinnett (7-5)
+10.64 - Kennesaw Mountain (4-6)
+9.98 - Cherokee (7-4)
+9.66 - Roswell (8-4)
+9.44 - Tift County (7-4)
+8.16 - Etowah (11-3)
+6.91 - Mountain View (3-7)
+6.84 - Grayson (10-2)
+5.58 - Rockdale County (5-6)
+5.55 - Douglas County (5-6)
+4.83 - Northview (7-4)
+2.33 - Shiloh (3-7)
+0.92 - Woodstock (6-4)
Class AAAAA
+23.18 - Cambridge (7-3)
+17.66 - North Springs (2-8)
+14.52 - Hiram (6-4)
+14.51 - Winder-Barrow (6-5)
+14.22 - Jones County (10-3)
+13.85 - Paulding County (5-5)
+13.58 - New Manchester (6-5)
+12.95 - Sprayberry (6-4)
+12.94 - Lanier (10-1)
+12.30 - Mays (12-3)
+11.54 - Forsyth Central (6-4)
+11.30 - Houston County (10-3)
+11.27 - Allatoona (13-1)
+10.63 - Alexander (8-3)
+10.06 - Drew (7-4)
+8.48 - Cross Creek (1-9)
+8.15 - Richmond Academy (4-5-1)
+7.45 – Woodland, Stockbridge (7-3)
+6.47 - Dalton (9-3)
+6.12 - Greenbrier (2-8)
Class AAAA
+22.76 - Howard (3-6-1)
+19.07 - Heritage, Ringgold (5-5)
+17.51 - Walnut Grove (6-4)
+15.71 - West Laurens (9-4)
+14.50 - Fayette County (4-7)
+10.26 - Worth County (6-4)
+10.22 - Spalding (6-4)
+10.17 - Mount Zion, Jonesboro (2-8)
+9.50 - Cartersville (12-2)
+9.05 - Madison County (5-5)
+8.96 - Pickens (8-3)
+6.12 - North Oconee (9-4)
+5.74 - Stephens County (8-4)
+5.65 - Southeast Whitfield (6-5)
+4.84 - Columbia (7-4)
+4.54 - Upson-Lee (7-3)
+3.58 - Mary Persons (9-3)
+3.52 - Henry County (4-6)
+3.52 - Woodward Academy (11-3)
+3.14 - Baldwin (7-5)
Class AAA
+17.98 - Oconee County (8-4)
+16.69 - Brantley County (5-5)
+15.60 - Dodge County (9-3)
+15.27 - Westminster (12-2)
+15.09 - Adairsville (10-2)
+14.63 - Blessed Trinity (13-1)
+13.36 - Murray County (2-8)
+12.14 - Central, Carrollton (11-1)
+10.27 - Banks County (5-5)
+10.2 - Central, Macon (5-6)
+9.15 - Hart County (11-2)
+8.73 - Jefferson (12-1)
+8.68 - Jordan (3-7)
+8.57 - Jackson (7-4)
+8.06 - Pierce County (10-3)
+7.88 - Sonoraville (6-5)
+7.70 - West Hall (9-2)
+7.12 - Jackson, Atlanta (7-4)
+6.97 - Calhoun (15-0)
+5.98 - Elbert County (9-4)
Class AA
+18.33 - KIPP Atlanta Collegiate (1-9)
+17.92 - Vidalia (12-1)
+17.25 - Crawford County (6-4)
+16.29 - Macon County (9-3)
+15.91 - Hapeville (4-6)
+13.95 - Benedictine (13-2)
+13.88 - Union County (9-2)
+12.40 - Berrien (4-7)
+11.14 - Groves (6-4)
+10.80 - Pace Academy (7-6)
+10.64 - Monticello (4-7)
+10.36 - Rabun County (9-3)
+9.32 - Greene County (5-6)
+9.14 - Chattahoochee County (6-5)
+8.32 - Model (9-3)
+7.67 - Bacon County (6-5)
+7.59 - Greater Atlanta Christian (14-1)
+6.85 - Coosa (8-4)
+6.70 - Pelham (4-6)
+5.13 - Jeff Davis (4-6)
Class A
+30.96 - Mount Paran Christian (14-0)
+26.30 - St. Francis (7-4)
+26.08 - Atkinson County (6-5)
+23.87 - Mount Zion, Carroll (8-4)
+23.48 - North Cobb Christian (5-5)
+22.35 - Pacelli (7-4)
+21.42 - Hawkinsville (13-1)
+20.63 - Schley County (6-4)
+19.21 - Central, Talbotton (2-8)
+18.79 - Calhoun County (8-4)
+18.27 - Hebron Christian (5-5)
+15.65 - Jenkins County (7-4)
+14.98 - Greenville (5-6)
+12.34 - Pinecrest Academy (7-4)
+11.38 - Irwin County (11-2-1)
+11.20 - Savannah Christian (10-2)
+10.72 - Warren County (2-8)
+10.31 - Marion County (12-1)
+8.62 - Strong Rock Christian (4-6)
+7.62 - Telfair County (6-4)
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