FLOWERY BRANCH -- The Falcons have a 54 percent chance of making the playoffs and need to win four of the remaining four games to virtually clinch a playoff berth, according to www.makeNFLplayoffs.com.

The Saints, who are tied for first place with the Falcons, have a 38 percent chance of making the playoffs.

In the NFC, eight teams control their own destiny with the Cardinals, Eagles and Packers only needing 3 wins in the final 4 games to clinch a playoff spot. The 49ers comes close to controlling its own destiny with a 99.7% chance of earning a playoff berth with four wins in their final four games.

Tampa Bay has a less than 0.000005 chance of making the playoffs. The Redskins and Giants were eliminated after Week 13.

In the AFC,  eight teams control their own destiny with the Broncos only needing 2 wins to clinch a playoff spot. The Patriots have the best shot at the top seed due to their head to head win vs. the Broncos. Even 6-6 Houston comes close to controlling its own destiny with a 98.5% chance of earning a playoff berth with four wins in their final four games.

The Jets, Titans and Jaguars were eliminated after Week 12. The Raiders were eliminated after Week 11.

                                  ----Win-Division----  -Wildcard

                         TOTAL    1st Round  1st Round  1st Round     Make     Record to

    AFC Team Name       W--L--T      BYE        HOME       ROAD     Playoffs    Clinch

--------------------   -- -- --   ---------  ---------  ---------   --------   ---------

                                  ----Win-Division----  -Wildcard

              TOTAL    1st Round  1st Round  1st Round     Make     Record to

NFC Team Name       W--L--T      BYE        HOME       ROAD     Playoffs    Clinch

--------------------   -- -- --   ---------  ---------  ---------   --------   ---------

-1st-Round-BYE -Host-Wildcard- -Road-Wildcard-  Make

Team Name         Champ    2nd     3rd     4th     5th     6th   Playoffs

--------------------   ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------  -------

Atlanta Falcons   0.00000 0.00001 0.00059 0.53985 0.00000 0.00001  0.54046

AtlFal  Record     Make                      1st Round

Final  4 Games   Playoffs                Playoff Opponent     Probability

--------------   --------              --------------------   -----------

4-0         1.00000                     MISS PLAYOFFS     0.45954

3-1         0.93762                 Arizona Cardinals     0.12412

2-2         0.59298                  Seattle Seahawks     0.11589

1-3         0.08574                    Dallas Cowboys     0.09864

0-4         0.00000                 Green Bay Packers     0.06314

Detroit Lions     0.05778

San Francisco 49ers     0.05740

Philadelphia Eagles     0.02168

Saint Louis Rams     0.00109

Chicago Bears     0.00054

Minnesota Vikings     0.00018

BYE     0.00001

New Orleans Saints     0.00000

NEXT UP: The Falcons (5-7) play at the Green Bay Packers (9-3) at 8:30 p.m. Monday at historic Lambeau Field.

FALCONS FAN MAILBAG: We take your questions from 11:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. on Friday.

ICYMI: In case you missed it

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NOTEBOOK: Jackson ends 35-game rushing drought

QUOTEBOARD: What the Falcons had to say  . . . 

SIDEBAR: Cards Peterson can't back up talk as Jones dominates

SIDEBAR: Moore announces his return in a big way