The race to the White House could not be any more unclear. With young voters unhappy with their options and the narrow gap in national and state polls, this debate could shift the tide for President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump.

According to ABC’s polling analysis team, 538, debates matter a whole lot more in closely divided presidential battles than you might think: “On average, polls have moved by 2.4 points in the two weeks after the first presidential debate of each cycle.”

And with Trump and Biden neck-and-neck, 2.4 points could make all the difference. Read the full analysis here.

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A vote sign helps voters find the voting machines at the River-Green subdivision in Canton during the special election for the state senate seat in Cherokee on Tuesday, August 26, 2025 to complete former state Sen. Brandon Beach’s term, which runs through January 2027. (Miguel Martinez/ AJC)

Credit: Miguel Martinez-Jimenez

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The city of Atlanta opened Azalea Fresh Market downtown to help residents find affordable groceries. (Natrice Miller/AJC)