Political Insider

AJC poll: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are deadlocked in Georgia

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton shake hands after the first presidential debate. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton shake hands after the first presidential debate. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Oct 21, 2016

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are deadlocked in Georgia with less than three weeks until Election Day, according to a new Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll.

The poll released Friday shows Trump leading Clinton 44-42 among likely Georgia voters, which is within the poll's margin of error. Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 9 percent in the poll, and another 4 percent had not yet made up their minds.

It is the latest in a string of recent polls that show a tightening race in Georgia, which has voted for the GOP presidential nominee since 1996. An AJC poll released in August showed Clinton had a 4-point lead over Trump in Georgia.

Both candidates remain deeply unpopular in Georgia. About six in 10 voters had negative views of both Trump and Clinton. And a significant portion of voters - a third of Clinton's supporters and almost half of Trump's backers - said they see their pick for president more as a vote against their opponent.

Nearly 60 percent of voters view the Republican's treatment of women as a legitimate issue in the presidential race after Trump's

videotape. By contrast, less than a third of voters see Bill Clinton's treatment of women as a legitimate factor in the contest.

The New York businessman's claims of a "rigged" election have not gained much traction in Georgia. Nearly 80 percent of voters say they are confident their vote for president will be accurately counted. And only 10 percent of Georgians say they will not accept the outcome of the election if the candidate they support loses.

Among the other key findings from the survey released Friday morning:

Trump trails Clinton in both national polls and must-win battleground states, and Clinton has looked to broaden her electoral map by stepping up its efforts in reliably conservative states like Arizona. That red-state strategy has largely bypassed Georgia and its 16 electoral votes, though a pro-Clinton super PAC poured at least $1 million in an ad blitz this week in Georgia and local Democrats hold out hope she could make a late push in the state.

This exclusive Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of 1003 registered voters statewide was conducted by Abt SRBI of New York between Oct. 17-20. The poll included 839 likely voters. The margin of error for the registered voter sample is 3.9 percentage points. For the likely voter sample it is 4.26 percentage points.

The survey used both traditional land-line and cell phones. The data are weighted based on mode (cell only, land-line only and mixed), region (metro vs. non-metro), gender, age, race, education and ethnicity (Hispanic vs. non-Hispanic). Some totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.

More results from our most recent poll: 

About the Author

Greg Bluestein is the Atlanta Journal Constitution's chief political reporter. He is also an author, TV analyst and co-host of the Politically Georgia podcast.

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