One of the biggest questions in Georgia politics is whether voters would split their tickets and cross party lines at the top of the ticket. So far, early returns suggest a small but significant portion of voters is doing just that.

Gov. Brian Kemp was tallying about 4 percentage points higher support than Republican Senate hopeful Herschel Walker. U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock was outdoing Stacey Abrams, the Democratic candidate for governor, by about 3 points.

It’s early and millions of ballots are still to be counted. But strategists from both parties are keenly watching to see if this trend holds, as it could be the difference between a Senate runoff and an outright win.

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A Fulton County elections workers prepares absentee ballots for counting during the county's second recount of Presidential Election Day ballots at the Georgia World Congress Center, Tuesday, Nov. 25, 2020. The U.S. Department of Justice on Friday filed a federal lawsuit seeking copies of ballots and other documents from the 2020 election. (Alyssa Pointer/AJC)

Credit: Alyssa Pointer/AJC

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Students line up after school for school buses at Sequoyah Middle School in Doraville on Wednesday, Dec. 10, 2025. The school’s principal told teachers not to talk to students about ICE, and teachers and activists are pushing back. (Arvin Temkar/AJC)

Credit: arvin.temkar@ajc.com