Inside the Georgia governor election 2018
See how the race for Georgia governor is shaping up.
Monitor the latest polls, expert predictions and funding reports in the race between Democrat Stacey Abrams and Republican Brian Kemp.
Polls
The polls show a tight race as every survey has the race within the margin of error. Not every poll offers Libertarian candidate Ted Metz as a choice.
| Pollster | Date | Stacey Abrams | Brian Kemp | Ted Metz | Undecided | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson | 11/2 | 47.3 | 49.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| AJC/Channel 2 | 11/1 | 46.9 | 46.7 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| Opinion Savvy | 10/31 | 48.1 | 47.2 | 2 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Opinion Savvy | 10/23 | 47.7 | 48.4 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| NBC/Marist | 10/24 | 45 | 46 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Reuters | 10/17 | 46 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Reuters | 10/17 | 46 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| AJC/Channel 2 | 10/9 | 46.3 | 47.7 | 2.3 | 4 | 1.4 |
| SurveyUSA | 10/8 | 45 | 47 | - | 6 | 2 |
| Public Policy | 10/6 | 46 | 46 | - | 7 | Tied |
| Landmark Communications | 10/1 | 46 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| NBC/Survey Monkey | 9/9-9/24 | 43 | 43 | - | 14 | Tied |
| AJC/Channel 2 | 8/26-9/4 | 45 | 45 | 2 | 8 | Tied |
| Gravis | 7/27-29 | 46 | 44 | - | 10 | 2 |
| Survey USA - WXIA-TV | 7/15-19 | 44 | 46 | - | 10 | 2 |
Predictions
Most experts had the race rated solid or likely Republican in the summer. But the confidence has dipped with almost all of them calling it a toss up. However no one is predicting an Abrams win.
| Cook Political Report | Five Thirty Eight | Fox News | Inside Elections | Politico | Real Clear Politics | Sabato's Crystal Ball |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toss up | Toss up | Toss up | Tilt Republican | Toss up | Toss up | Toss up |
Money race
The race has shattered the fundraising record for a Georgia governor election. The candidates are close to even on the money trail, although Abrams did report raising more money. Kemp has the edge in cash on hand. * These figures are based campaign finance reports from November, which are the most recent available.
About the Author
Isaac Sabetai is an audience specialist with the state and federal politics team. He builds data visualizations and other projects that help explain what Georgia lawmakers are doing and how the state is or isn't changing.
