President Joe Biden may have narrowly won Georgia’s 16 electoral votes four years ago, but recent polling has shown former President Donald Trump with a slight but consistent lead this year in the state.

An Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely Georgia voters released Tuesday showed Trump leading Biden 43% to 38%, just outside the margin of error of 3.1 percentage points. Independent contender Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is not yet on the Georgia ballot but is expected to qualify, is at 9%. Another 8% are undecided.

See more details from the AJC poll here.

Here are some other highlights:

  • Young Georgia voters are not happy with their presidential choices
  • Doubts about election fairness persist, especially among conservatives
  • Sixty-eight percent of likely Georgia voters believe the country is generally headed in the wrong direction
  • Inflation and the cost of living, followed by jobs and the economy, will have the biggest influence on how Georgians vote this year, respondents said

Dive into the interactive poll results + crosstabs.

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Sen. Jon Ossoff waves to a crowd of supporters during his Rally For Our Republic event on Saturday, July 12, 2025, inside the Kehoe Iron Works building at Trustees Garden in Savannah, Ga. (Sarah Peacock for the AJC)

Credit: Sarah Peacock for the AJC

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Prosecutor Skandalakis has previously suggested that pursuing criminal charges against President Donald Trump may not be feasible until after he leaves office in 2029. (Craig Hudson/Politico/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

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