Conservative Super PAC Ending Spending Action Fund commissioned a poll that shows Gov. Nathan Deal and Senate hopeful David Perdue ahead of their Democratic counterparts -- but still just short of the 50 percent needed to win outright on Tuesday.

The auto-dial poll toplines, from GOP-leaning Vox Populi:

For Governor:

Republican Gov. Nathan Deal -- 49 percent

Democrat Jason Carter -- 42 percent

Libertarian Andrew Hunt -- 3 percent

For Senate

Republican David Perdue -- 48 percent

Democrat Michelle Nunn -- 43 percent

Libertarian Amanda Swafford -- 3 percent

The poll's sample is 29 percent African-American, 57 percent female. It has both Deal and Perdue winning among women, contrary to most polling.

Meanwhile, as our AJC colleague Aaron Gould Sheinin reports from the Bill Clinton rally in Atlanta today, Democrats feel good about their position.

“The enthusiasm and energy are with us,” Georgia Democratic Party Chairman DuBose Porter told reporters.

Earlier, outside as everyone awaited security screening, Atlanta City Councilman Kwanza Hall described himself as “cautiously optimistic.” For Nunn and Carter to win, Democrats must “do more than normal, be better than an average year.”

The numbers are promising, Hall said, but so much will come down to Tuesday.

Back to Porter. He said he’s enthusiastic about both of his top candidates. But polls, which in the past 10 days have gone from Carter and Nunn tied or leading, have seen Deal and Perdue assume leads or make up ground. The timing would appear tied to when Porter and the Democratic Party released that controversial flyer about the mess in Ferguson, Mo.

Did that mail piece backfire? Porter was asked.

Not at all, he said. Instead, he said the polls shifted some after Republicans dropped a bunch of cash into negative advertising.

“Besides, the polls are back where they were,” he said.