We’ve all heard and repeated the adage — it’s not about how you start, it’s how you finish.
And for all that fans and media make out of preseason polls, rankings, and projections, they generally matter very little in the grand scheme of a season. The final polls of a season are what teams can hang their hats on.
According to a new report from Greg Guglielmo of FiveThirtyEight, Florida and LSU have been among the highest fallers from the preseason AP poll to the last AP poll of the season.
Since 1997, Florida is tied for the FBS lead in biggest percentage drop from preseason ranking to final one, with the Gators on average finishing 70 percent worse in the poll than they started.
At a 65 percent decline in poll performance, LSU is tied for second among most overrated teams. Following closely is Tennessee, at 60 percent worse. Here’s a look at the entire chart:
Guglielmo does acknowledge a caveat that’s working against the Gators and Tigers.
“But that doesn’t mean all of those teams should be judged the same way,” he says. “Florida, Florida State, Ohio State, LSU and Texas have generally started from high preseason perches; they own five of the seven best average preseason rankings from 1997 to 2016. When you’re consistently ranked near the top, there’s a lot more room to go down than there is to go up.”
During this time frame, both Florida and LSU have won SEC championships and national championships. But it appears that in the years in between, they have not lived up to preseason AP poll expectations.
The post Florida and LSU among most overrated teams by AP poll start and finish appeared first on SEC Country.
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