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Saturday, March 10, 2007
Jackets will be nervous on Sunday
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
After Tony’s update, log your own opinion in our daily blog.
WHO’S IN
• Illinois (23-10, RPI 31): Illini locked up a bid by beating Indiana in Big Ten semifinals.
• George Washington/Rhode Island winner: Will be the Atlantic 10 champ. Xavier (24-8, RPI 33), which lost to Rhode Island in the semifinals, still gets an at-large from the Atlantic-10
• Utah State/New Mexico State winner: Will be the WAC champ. Nevada (27-4, RPI 24), which was upset by Utah State, will still get an at-large
• Arkansas (20-12, RPI 37): Hogs played their way in by beating South Carolina (82-52) and Vanderbilt (72-71) in SEC Tournament. Win over Mississippi State Saturday would make them a lock.
WHO’S OUT
• Florida State (20-12, RPI 42): Ugly loss to North Carolina (73-58) in ACC semifinals plus upsets in A-10 and WAC knock the Seminoles out for the second straight year.
• Missouri State (22-10, RPI 35): The Bears have a neutral site win over Wisconsin and two wins over Bradley but that’s it.
• Syracuse (22-10, RPI 51): This one will come as a shock on Sunday but the Orange will be one of the last teams out.
• Air Force (22-8, RPI 32): The Falcons played horribly down the stretch and took an early exit from the Mountain West Tournament against Wyoming.
WHO WILL BE NERVOUS ON SUNDAY
• Clemson (21-10, RPI 46): Will become the first team to start 17-0 and not make the NCAA Tournament.
• Drexel (22-8, RPI 38): The Dragons are in right now but could be out come on Sunday.
• Georgia Tech (20-11, RPI 52): Loss to Wake Forest Thursday night didn’t help but Yellow Jackets should still get in.
• Old Dominion (24-8, RPI 40): Monarchs had won 12 straight before losing to George Mason in Colonial Tournament.
• Kansas State (22-10, RPI 56): Beating Kansas in Saturday’s Big 12 Tournament would put Wildcats in.
• Michigan (21-12, RPI 55): Wolverines get left out of the Big Dance again.
• West Virginia (21-9, RPI 59): Long shot at best for Mountaineers despite win over UCLA.
TOP 65 BY CONFERENCE
We project that 19 of the 31 conferences will receive only one bid. The other 46 spots in the NCAA Field will be divided among the 12 remaining conferences as follows:
ACC (7): Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech, Maryland, North Carolina, Virginia, Virginia Tech.
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, George Washington/Rhode Island winner
Big East (6): Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Marquette, Villanova.
Big Ten (6): Indiana, Illinois, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin.
Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech.
Colonial (3): Drexel, Old Dominion, VCU*
Horizon (2): Wright State*, Butler.
Missouri Valley (2): Creighton* Southern Illinois.
Mountain West (2): BYU, UNLV
PAC-10 (5): Arizona, Oregon, Southern Cal, UCLA, Washington State.
SEC (5): Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt.
WAC (2): Nevada, Utah State/New Mexico State winner
ALREADY IN (26)
By the end of play Saturday night, these 26 teams will have automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament.
A-Sun: Belmont (23-9)
America East: Vermont/Albany winner
Atlantic 10: George Washington/Rhode Island winner
Big East: Georgetown/Pittsburgh winner
Big Sky: Weber State (20-11)
Big South: Winthrop (28-4)
Big West: Long Beach State/Cal Poly winner
Colonial: VCU (27-6)
Conference USA: Memphis/Houston winner
Horizon: Wright State (23-9)
Ivy: Penn (21-8 ) MAC: Akron/Miami (Ohio winner)
Metro Atlantic: Niagara (22-11)
MEAC: Delaware State/FAMU winner
Mid-Continent: Oral Roberts (23-10)
Missouri Valley: Creighton (22-10)
Mountain West: BYU (25-7)/UNLV (27-6) winner
Northeast: Central Conn. St. (22-11)
Ohio Valley: Eastern Kentucky (21-11)
Pac 10: Oregon/Southern Cal winner
Patriot: Holy Cross
Southern: Davidson (29-4)
Sun Belt: North Texas (23-10)
SWAC: Miss. Valley/Jackson State winner
WAC: Utah State/New Mexico State winner
West Coast: Gonzaga (23-10)
THESE TEAMS GET THEIR TICKET PUNCHED ON SUNDAY
ACC: North Carolina/Boston College winner vs. N.C. State/Va. Tech winner
Big Ten: Ohio State/Purdue winner vs. Illinois/Wisconsin winner
Big 12: Kansas State/Kansas winner vs. Texas/Oklahoma State winner
SEC: Mississippi State/Arkansas winner vs. Ole Miss/Florida winner
Southland: Texas A&M CC/Northwestern State winner
TOP 65 BY REGIONS
EAST REGIONAL, EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J.
1: North Carolina (ACC champ)
2: Georgetown (Big East champ)
3: Texas (Big 12 at-large)
4: Creighton (Missouri Valley champs)
5: Virginia Tech (ACC at-large)
6: Tennessee (SEC at-large)
7: Arizona (Pac-10 at-large)
8: BYU (Mountain West at-large)
9: Illinois (Big Ten at-large)
10: George Washington/Rhode Island winner (A-10 champs)
11: Old Dominion (Colonial at-large)
12: Davidson* (Southern champ)
13: Holy Cross* (Patriot champ)
14: Vermont/Albany winner (America East)
15: Oral Roberts* (Mid-Continent champs)
16: Niagara* (Metro Atlantic Champ)
SOUTH REGIONAL, SAN ANTONIO
1: Florida (SEC champ)
2: Kansas (Big 12 champ)
3: Washington State (Pac-10 at-large)
4: Louisville (Big East at-large)
5: Maryland (ACC at-large)
6: UNLV (Mountain West champ)
7: Notre Dame (Big East at-large)
8: Indiana (Big Ten at-large)
9: Xavier (A-10 at-large)
10: Oregon (Pac-10 at large)
11: Utah State/New Mexico State (WAC champ)
12: Winthrop* (Big South champ)
13: Drexel (Colonial at-large)
14: TAMU-CC/Northwestern State (Southland champ)
15: Delaware State/FAMU winner (MEAC champ)
16: North Texas* (Sun Belt champ)
MIDWEST REGIONAL, ST. LOUIS
1: Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
2: Texas A&M (Big 12 at-large)
3: Pittsburgh (Big East at-large)
4: Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley at-large)
5: Butler (Horizon at-large)
6: Boston College (ACC at-large)
7: Michigan State (Big Ten at-large)
8: Southern Cal (Pac-10 champ)
9: Virginia (ACC at-large)
10: Kentucky (SEC at-large)
11: Purdue (Big Ten at-large)
12: VCU* (Colonial champ)
13: Arkansas (SEC at-large)
14: Miami (Ohio)/Akron winner (Mid-America champ)
15: Eastern Kentucky* (Ohio Valley champ)
16: Mississippi Valley (SWAC) vs. Weber State* (Big Sky champ)(Play in game)
WEST REGIONAL, SAN JOSE
1: UCLA (PAC-10 at-large)
2: Wisconsin (Big Ten at-large)
3: Memphis (Conference USA champ)
4: Marquette (Big East at-large)
5: Vanderbilt (SEC at-large)
6: Nevada (WAC champ)
7: Duke (ACC at-large)
8: Georgia Tech (ACC at-large)
9: Texas Tech (Big 12 at-large)
10: Villanova (Big East at-large)
11: Wright State* (Horizon champ)
12: Gonzaga* (West Coast champ)
13: Long Beach State/Cal Poly winner (Big West champ)
14: Penn* (Ivy League champs)
15: Belmont* (Atlantic Sun champ)
16: Central Connecticut* (Northeast champ)
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