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Wednesday, March 7, 2007
Tony Barnhart’s daily picks
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
After Tony’s update, log your own opinion in our daily blog.
WHO’S IN
• Belmont (A-Sun), Winthrop (Big South), VCU (Colonial), Penn (Ivy), Niagara (MAAC), Creighton (Missouri Valley), Eastern Kentucky (Ohio Valley), Davidson (Southern), Gonzaga (West Coast), Wright State (Horizon), Oral Roberts (Mid-Continent), North Texas (Sun Belt).
WHO’S OUT
• Arkansas (18-12, RPI 49): Wright State (23-9, RPI 72) earned the automatic bid from the Horizon by upsetting Butler (25-6, RPI 31) in Tuesday night’s championship game. Butler, which has wins over NCAA-bound Notre Dame, Indiana, Tennessee, Purdue, Wright State, and Gonzaga will get an at-large bid. Arkansas could play its way back into the field with a good performance in the SEC Tournament.
WHO GETS IN WEDNESDAY
• Big Sky Championship: Weber State (16-11, RPI 151) vs. Northern Arizona (16-11, RPI 148): Winner gets automatic bid. No at-large bids.
• Northeast Championship: Central Connecticut State (21-11, RPI 153) vs. Sacred Heart (18-13, RPI 149): Winner gets automatic bid. No at-large bids.
IN, BUT NERVOUS
• Clemson (20-10, RPI 34): Tigers can’t lose to Florida State in first round of ACC Tournament.
• Drexel (22-8, RPI 39): Best road record (13-5) in the field but lost in Colonial semifinals.
• Missouri State (21-10, RPI 38): If Missouri Valley only gets two bids, Bears could be odd man out.
• Old Dominion (24-8, RPI 40): Monarchs had won 12 straight before losing to George Mason in Colonial semifinals.
• Purdue (20-10, RPI 46): Boilermakers have wins over Michigan State, Indiana, and Virginia. Can’t slip up against Iowa.
• Syracuse (21-9, RPI 51): Orange cannot lose to Connecticut today in first round of Big East tournament.
• Southern Cal (21-10, RPI 53): Trojans should beat Stanford in first round of Pac-10 Tournament.
WHO GETS IN WEDNESDAY
• Big Sky Championship: Weber State (16-11, RPI 151) vs. Northern Arizona (16-11, RPI 148): Winner gets automatic bid. No at-large bids.
• Northeast Championship: Central Connecticut State (21-11, RPI 153) vs. Sacred Heart (18-13, RPI 149): Winner gets automatic bid. No at-large bids.
RIGHT ON THE BUBBLE
These guys can see the glass slipper, but right now it doesn’t fit:
• Alabama (20-10, RPI 45)
• Arkansas (18-12, RPI 49)
• Bradley (20-12, RPI 44)
• Florida State (19-11, RPI 47)
• Illinois (21-10, RPI 35)
• Kansas State (21-10, RPI 60)
• Michigan (20-11, RPI 52)
• San Diego State (19-9, RPI 54)
• Stanford (18-11, RPI 56)
• UMass (23-7, RPI 55)
• West Virginia (20-8, RPI 57)
TOP 65 BY REGIONS
*=Already earned automatic bid. Other conference winners are projected.
• EAST REGIONAL, EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J.
1: Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
2: Georgetown (Big East champ)
3: Tennessee (SEC at-large)
4: Texas (Big 12 at-large)
5: Arizona (Pac: 10 at-large)
6: Virginia Tech (ACC at-large)
7: Creighton* (Missouri Valley champ)
8: Boston College (ACC at-large)
9: Syracuse (Big East champ)
10: BYU (Mountain West at-large)
11: Old Dominion (Colonial at-large)
12: Davidson* (Southern champ)
13: Holy Cross/Bucknell winner (Patriot)
14: Vermont/Albany winner (America East)
15: Oral Roberts* (Mid-Continent champs)
16: Niagara* (Metro Atlantic Champ)
• SOUTH REGIONAL, SAN ANTONIO
1: Florida (SEC champ)
2: Texas A&M (Big 12 at-large)
3: Maryland (ACC at-large)
4: Washington State (Pac: 10 at-large)
5: Louisville (Big East at-large)
6: UNLV (Mountain West champ)
7: Notre Dame (Big East at-large)
8: Indiana (Big Ten at-large)
9: Xavier (A: 10 champ)
10: Oregon (Pac-10 at-large)
11: Winthrop* (Big South champ)
12: Clemson (ACC at-large)
13: Drexel (Colonial at-large)
14: TAMU: CC (Southland champ)
15: Delaware State (MEAC champ)
16: North Texas* (Sun Belt champ)
• MIDWEST REGIONAL, ST. LOUIS
1: Kansas (Big 12 champ)
2: North Carolina (ACC champ)
3: Pittsburgh (Big East at-large)
4: Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley at-large)
5: Virginia (ACC at-large)
6: Butler (Horizon at-large)
7: Michigan State (Big Ten at-large)
8: Kentucky (SEC at-large)
9: Air Force (Mountain West at-large)
10: Southern Cal (Pac: 10 at-large)
11: VCU* (Colonial champ)
12: Purdue (Big Ten at-large)
13: Missouri State (Missouri Valley at-large)
14: Toledo (Mid-America champ)
15: Eastern Kentucky* (Ohio Valley champ)
16: Mississippi Valley (SWAC) vs. Weber State/Northern Arizona winner (Big Sky) (Play-in game)
• WEST REGIONAL, SAN JOSE
1: UCLA (PAC: 10 champ)
2: Wisconsin (Big Ten at-large)
3: Memphis (Conference USA champ)
4: Marquette (Big East at-large)
5: Duke (ACC at-large)
6: Villanova (Big East at-large)
7: Vanderbilt (SEC at-large)
8: Nevada (WAC champ)
9: Texas Tech (Big 12 at-large)
10: Georgia Tech (ACC at-large)
11: Wright State* (Horizon champ)
12: Gonzaga* (West Coast champ)
13: Long Beach State (Big West champ)
14: Penn* (Ivy League champs)
15: Belmont* (Atlantic Sun champ)
16: Central Connecticut/Sacred Heart winner (Northeast champ)
TOP 65 BY CONFERENCE
We project that 21 of the 31 conferences will receive only one bid. The other 44 spots in the NCAA field will be divided among the 10 remaining conferences as follows:
• ACC (8) Boston College, Clemson, Duke, Georgia Tech, Maryland, North Carolina, Virginia, Virginia Tech.
Tournament: March 8-11, Tampa.
• Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Marquette, Syracuse, Villanova.
Tournament: March 7-10, New York.
• Big Ten (5): Indiana, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin. Tournament: March 8-11, Chicago
• Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech.
Tournament: March 8-11, Oklahoma City.
• Colonial (3): Drexel, Old Dominion, VCU*
Tournament: VCU beat George Mason for championship.
• Horizon (2): Wright State*, Butler.
Tournament: Wright State beat Butler for championship.
• Missouri Valley (3): Creighton*, Missouri State, Southern Illinois.
Tournament: Creighton beat Southern Illinois for championship.
• Mountain West (3): Air Force, BYU, UNLV
Tournament: March 8-10, Las Vegas.
• PAC: 10 (5): Arizona, Oregon, Southern Cal, UCLA, Washington State.
Tournament: March 7-10, Los Angeles.
• SEC (4): Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt.
Tournament: March 8-11, Atlanta.
• How do you see it?
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