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Tuesday, February 27, 2007

Tony Barnhart’s daily picks


March Madness in Atlanta:
Check out the AJC’s new Final Four guide


After Tony’s update, log your own opinion in our daily blog.

WHO’S IN

• Syracuse (21-8, RPI 49): The Orange beat Georgetown (22-6, RPI 17) Monday night for their fifth straight win. Syracuse has three wins in the top 28 (Georgetown, Villanova, Marquette).

WHO’S OUT

• Illinois (21-9, RPI 31): The Illini are 3-5 on the road and 3-8 against the Top 50. Its best win on the road was at Northwestern (RPI 165).

WHO SHOULD WORRY

• Alabama (19-9, RPI 42): Looks like point guard Ronald Steele won’t go Wednesday night when the Crimson Tide hosts Ole Miss. A loss will likely knock Alabama out of the field.

WHO NEEDS A WIN

• Florida (25-4, RPI 7): Yes, Florida. After losing two of their last three games (both losses were on the road) the Gators’ No. 1 seed is in danger of slipping away. A win tonight at Tennessee would help but the Vols have not lost at home (15-0) all season.

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

We project that 22 of the 31 conferences will receive only one bid to the NCAA Tournament. The remaining 43 spots in the field will be distributed as follows:

• ACC (7) Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech, Maryland, North Carolina (champion), Virginia, Virginia Tech.

Tournament: March 8-11, Tampa.

• (7): Georgetown (champion), Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Marquette, Syracuse, Villanova.

Tournament: March 7-10, New York.

• Big Ten (5): Indiana, Michigan State, Ohio State (champion), Purdue, Wisconsin.

Tournament: March 8-11, Chicago.

• Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M (champion), Texas Tech.

Tournament: March 8-11, Oklahoma City.

• Colonial (3): Old Dominion, Drexel, VCU (champion).

Tournament: Friday-March 5, Richmond.

• Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Missouri State, Southern Illinois (champion).

Tournament: Thursday-Sunday, St. Louis.

• Mountain West (3): Air Force (champion), BYU, UNLV.

Tournament: March 6, 8-10, Las Vegas.

• Pac-10 (6): Arizona, Oregon, Southern Cal, Stanford, UCLA (champion), Washington State.

Tournament: March 7-10, Los Angeles.

• SEC (5): Alabama, Florida (champion), Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt.

Tournament: March 8-11, Atlanta.

ONE-BID LEAGUES WITH PROJECTED CHAMPS

(Conference tournament in parentheses)

• AMERICA EAST: Vermont (March 2-4, 10)

• ATLANTIC 10: Xavier (March 7-10)

• ATLANTIC SUN: East Tennessee State (Thursday-Saturday)

• BIG SKY: Weber State (Saturday, March 6-7)

• BIG SOUTH: Winthrop (Today, Thursday, Saturday)

• BIG WEST: Long Beach (March 7-10)

• CONFERENCE-USA: Memphis (March 7-10)

• HORIZON: Butler (Today, Friday, Saturday, March 6)

• IVY: Penn (No Tournament)

• METRO ATLANTIC: Marist (Friday-March 5)

• MID-AMERICAN: Toledo (March 7-10)

• MID-CONTINENT: Oral Roberts (Saturday-March 6)

• MEAC: Delaware State (March 6-10)

• NORTHEAST: Central Connecticut (Thursday, March 4, March 7)

• OHIO VALLEY: Austin Peay (Tuesday, Friday, Saturday)

• PATRIOT: Holy Cross (Wednesday, Sunday, March 9)

• SOUTHERN: Davidson (Wednesday-Saturday)

• SOUTHLAND: Sam Houston (March 8-9, 11)

• SUN BELT: South Alabama (Wednesday, March 4-6)

• SWAC: Jackson State (March 7-10)

• WAC: Nevada (March 6, 8-10)

• WEST COAST: Gonzaga (Friday-March 5)

How do you see it?

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