Home > March to Atlanta: Hoop Head > Archives > 2007 > February > 15 > Entry
DEL.ICIO.USTony Barnhart’s daily picks
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Following Tony’s update, log your own opinion in our daily blog.
RISING
• Arizona (17-7, RPI 6) could nail down a very good seed with a win tonight against UCLA (20-3, RPI 1) in Tucson. The Wildcats finish the regular season with three road games (Arizona State, California, Stanford).
• Purdue (16-9, RPI 42) could play its way into the field with a win at home tonight against Indiana (17-6, RPI 14).
• Old Dominion (20-7, RPI) is not in the field yet, but the Monarchs of the Colonial have won eight straight and have a big Bracket Buster game at Toledo on Saturday.
• Virginia Tech (17-7, RPI 19) has two wins over North Carolina and seven in the Top 50. The Hokies have two tough road games left at N.C. State (Sunday) and Virginia (March 1).
FALLING
• Boston College (18-7, RPI 26) drops from a No. 3 to a No. 4 seed after losing at home to Duke Wednesday night. Southern Illinois (21-5, RPI 9) moves on to the No. 3 line.
• Marquette (20-6, RPI 27) didn’t actually fall but is in danger of losing its No. 3 seed after a loss at DePaul (72-67) Wednesday night.
• Clemson (19-6, RPI 28) continues to fall after losing at Wake Forest 67-65 Wednesday night. The Tigers are now 2-6 since their 17-0 start but will get in the field because of five wins against the Top 50.
• Arkansas (15-10, RPI 47) is still in the field but it may not be for long. The Razorbacks had a bad loss at Mississippi State (84-60) Wednesday night. The Hogs still have to play Tennessee and Vanderbilt down the stretch.
TONY’S TOP 65
1: Florida (SEC champ)
2: Wisconsin (Big Ten camp)
3: UCLA (Pac-10 champ)
4: Ohio State (at-large)
5: North Carolina (ACC champ)
6: Kansas (at-large)
7: Pittsburgh (Big East champ)
8: Texas A&M (Big 12 champ)
9: Washington State (at-large)
10: Memphis (C-USA champ)
11: Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley champ)
12: Marquette (at-large)
13: Boston College (at-large)
14: Kentucky (at-large)
15: Virginia (at-large)
16: Virginia Tech (at-large)
17: Butler (Horizon champ)
18: Indiana (at-large)
19: Air Force (Mountain West champ)
20: Oklahoma State (at-large)
21: Villanova (at-large)
22: Oregon (at-large)
23: Southern Cal (at-large)
24: Stanford (at-large)
25: Nevada (WAC champ)
26: Arizona (at-large)
27: Duke (at-large)
28: Tennessee (at-large)
29: BYU (at-large)
30: Georgetown (at-large)
31: Creighton (at-large)
32: Texas (at-large)
33: UNLV (at-large)
34: Florida State (at-large)
35: Vanderbilt (at-large)
36: Gonzaga (West Coast champ)
37: Missouri State (at-large)
38: Maryland (at-large)
39: Georgia Tech (at-large)
40: Texas Tech (at-large)
41: Xavier (A-10 champ)
42: Alabama (at-large)
43: Clemson (at-large)
44: Michigan State (at-large)
45: VCU (Colonial champ)
46: Arkansas (at-large)
46: Illinois (at-large)
48: West Virginia (at-large)
49: Holy Cross (Patriot champ)
50: Davidson (Southern champ)
51: Winthrop (Big South champ)
52: Long Beach State (Big West champ)
53: TAMU-CC (Southland champ)
54: Akron (MAC champ)
55: Vermont (America East champ)
56: Oral Roberts ((Mid-Continent champ)
57: South Alabama (Sun Belt champs)
58: Penn (Ivy League champs)
59: Marist (Metro Atlantic champs)
60: Austin Peay (Ohio Valley champs)
61: Delaware State (MEAC champs)
62: East Tenn. St. (Atlantic Sun champs)
63: Weber State (Big Sky champ)
64: Jackson State (SWAC champ)
65: Central Conn. (Northeast champs)
CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
• ACC (9): Boston College, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Virginia, Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Maryland.
• Big East (5): Pittsburgh, Georgetown, Marquette, West Virginia, Villanova.
• Big Ten (5): Wisconsin, Ohio State, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan State.
• Texas A&M, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech.
• Missouri Valley (3): Southern Illinois, Creighton, Missouri State.
• Mountain West (3): Air Force, UNLV, BYU.
• Pac-10 (6): UCLA, Washington State, Southern Cal, Oregon, Arizona, Stanford.
• SEC (6): Florida, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas.
(23 conferences with one bid only.)
• What do you think of Tony’s view of who’s rising and who’s falling?
• And how does his overall field differ from yours?
Permalink | Comments (22) | Post your comment | Categories: Tony Barnhart's daily picks
Comments
By Jordan
February 15, 2007 11:29 AM | Link to this
Tony-
I am a student at Georgia Tech. Do you really think Tech will finish 8-8 or better in conference and to make the tournament? 7-9 will not do it in my opinion. With Duke, BC, and UNC left I don’t know if we can get to 8-8.
By KC
February 15, 2007 11:40 AM | Link to this
Marquette #12 and Georgetown #30? Hmmm, better brush up on your Big East standings.
By John
February 15, 2007 12:18 PM | Link to this
Naturally a big fan of the ACC but the selection committee has been very anti-ACC the last few years. They will NEVER select 9-ACC teams. We are lucky to get in 6. Teams with losing conference records will NOT get in from the ACC. Looking at that, right now, shows only 6 would get in. And GT, unfortunately, would not. If we lose to Duke and go 5-7 in the conference, it will be very difficult to get that back to 0.500 or better.
By Agrees with John
February 15, 2007 12:30 PM | Link to this
Hopefully this year the committee will actually read the results of the ACC/BigTen Challenge.
By sid
February 15, 2007 01:58 PM | Link to this
Tony, Why are you so stuck on arkansas and alabama being in? Alabama is in a tailspin, and should be judged as a bubble team at best. And Arkansas loses by 28 to Miss St. UGA beat ARkansas on their home court, beat a good Kentucky team, beat Gonzaga, and got ripped off against Bama. Why no love for the dawgs
By GT80
February 15, 2007 02:47 PM | Link to this
sid, KC, everybody, Tony’s moniker on the sports page is Mr. College Football. That should tell you what his credibility is with this topic.
By RamblinRed
February 15, 2007 02:58 PM | Link to this
I will give Mr. Barnhart some credit in that since he went through the NCAA mock Selection Committee he likely has some sense of what is going on.
As to the SEC and ACC respectively. Here are my opinion on the current bubble teams in each. Given the reports from the mock committee it sounds like what is really important is how teams are playing late, how many quality wins they have (and who and where they are) and head to head record against other bubble teams.
Given those qualifications I would rank the ACC and SEC bubble teams ACC 1. MD, 2. GT, 3. Clemson, 4. FSU
SEC 1. AL, 2. Ole Miss, 3. UGA, 4. Ark
I have 5 ACC teams and 4 SEC teams being in assuming they don’t lose out and I think 2 bubble teams from each conference would make it today. For the ACC I put GT above Clemson because GT has more and more impressive quality wins and they split the season series. In the SEC i put Ole Miss above UGA right now because Ole Miss is first in the West and UGA lost Mercer and will have to prove they can win without him. The game between UGA and ole Miss could be pivotal.
Then again, over the next couple of weeks most of the teams will either play themselves in or play themselves out of the tourney.
RamblinRed
By JustMe
February 15, 2007 03:40 PM | Link to this
I agree that the NCAA committee has been very anti-ACC over recent years. However, they will absolutely HAVE to give the ACC teams their due this year.
How would they ever be able to justify not sending a team to the dance with such a high RPI, wins over top 50 teams, solid record, etc, regardless of their conference? If the committee again snubs the ACC, we should consider boycotting the tourney all together!
By VTdawg
February 15, 2007 04:00 PM | Link to this
Are you that stupid? We beat Virginia by 27 and you have us ranked one spot below them? WTF
By Darius Crenshaw
February 15, 2007 04:07 PM | Link to this
“they will absolutely HAVE to give the ACC teams their due this year”
Give the ACC teams their due for what? Being mediocre?
By Col Reb
February 15, 2007 04:19 PM | Link to this
The Dawgs and the hogs will need to FEAR the BEARD! No way the REBS lose at home the rest of the year (uga and allbarn)
By RattlerGator
February 15, 2007 04:42 PM | Link to this
Tony:
Still waiting for these RPI numbers to be addressed
SEC — http://www.kenpom.com/conf.php?y=2007&c=SEC
ACC — http://www.kenpom.com/conf.php?y=2007&c=ACC
By Titus
February 15, 2007 09:02 PM | Link to this
Rattler, you didn’t address your loss to a lower level ACC team. Here’s another “poll”
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/bkc0607.htm
The fact it, there are some 8 ACC teams in the RPI top 40. Put that in your pipe and smoke it and don’t give this forum any Johnny come lately UF moxie.
By Darius Crenshaw
February 15, 2007 09:50 PM | Link to this
Dear Mr. Almost Competitive Conference,
The RPI is simply one piece of the selection puzzle and recent selection history says that it is one of the first to get thrown out the window. However, the ACC has the 7th “best” out of conference SOS according to the RPI. So, they have that going for them.
As far as the UF loss @ FSU, it is a rivalry game and it is almost always a close game. Nevermind that Corey Brewer was out with mono.
By Bartbomb
February 16, 2007 05:14 AM | Link to this
Enjoy your basketball, girls. ACC wussy sports.com. Arguing about basketball is as wrong as two boys getting it on in church.
By Titus
February 16, 2007 06:24 AM | Link to this
Yea, but we’ll always look down our noses at the likes of dolts like you
By wes
February 16, 2007 09:06 AM | Link to this
Tony,
You got FSU at #34, but GT at #39.
How’d you come up with that one?
Tech beat them … TWICE!!
By Don Ellis
February 16, 2007 11:10 AM | Link to this
TONY BARNHART…..YOU SHOULD BE FIRED FROM YOUR JOB AT THE AJC….YOU HAVE ARKANSAS IN THE DANCE WITH A 4-7 CONFERENCE RECORD TO DATE. WHAT MAKES YOU THINK THEY BELONG IN THE DANCE????? THEY JUST GOT BEAT BY MISS. ST. BY 24!!!!!! THEY ARE 15-10…DO YOU REALLY THINK THEY WILL WIN OUT????
YOU MUST BE A HOME TOWN HOG OR SOMETHING….BUT THAT PICK RANKS UP THERE WITH THE LIONS KEEPING MATT MILLEN….THEY HAVE LOST TO THE 2 TEAMS AT THE BOTTOM OF EACH STANDINGS IN THE WEST AND THE EAST IN THE SEC.
THEY LOST TO S.C. AND LSU…WHAT KIND OF PICK IS THAT???? DO YOU REALLY THINK THEY WILL WIN THE SEC TOURNY???
By UGAG SUX
February 16, 2007 11:18 AM | Link to this
Lets see. Uga beats Wake but loses @ GT and Clemson. Fla loses @ Fsu and Ky loses to UNC. Vandy beats GT and Clemson beats SC. I believe the ACC leads the SEC this year. Darius must be an inbred idiot and FARTbomb cuts the ACC down because they are better in Womens Bball than Tenn and the rest. Poor fans from the Sorry Excuse Conference. Respect the players and the game you moron.
By Darius Crenshaw
February 16, 2007 12:24 PM | Link to this
LOL @ the fool knocking the SEC. Last time I checked, the the reigning National Champion in BB and Football resides in the SEC and the ACC has not even gotten a whiff of either.
By James Adams
February 16, 2007 12:40 PM | Link to this
Wow! RattlerGator, thanks for posting those numbers. How can the ACC get 9 teams in, and the SEC only 6 with those numbers? Also, if the season ends today, Arkansas is out and Ole Miss is in. No disrespect for Tony here. He has never shown bias and he has always shown to be very knowledgable. ACC fans amuse me.
Most Final Four appearances since 1994: Acc:12 SEC:10 (tied with the Big 10) This doesnt take into account cakewalk home games given to Duke and UNC. ACC teams dont get screwed with bad draws like Miss St. and UGA did in 2002. #3 Seed Miss St. playing #6(!!!) seed Texas in Austin. #3 seed UGA playing #11(!!!!!!!) seed Southern Ill. in Chicago.
Most NCAA Basketball Champs since 1994: SEC:4 Acc:3 Yeah, the acc is FAAAAR superior.
THIS is dominance.
Most BCS Champions since 98: SEC:3 record in BCS Champ. games: 3-0 UGA record against acc in football since 1991: 22-4
By Mike
February 16, 2007 12:44 PM | Link to this
Tony, you ned to check the SEC standings more often. Arkansas will likely be 4 and 8 after Sat. and Alabama will probably be 5 and 7. UGA has a good chance of being 7 and 5 after Saturday. Don’t overdo this anti- homer thing.