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DEL.ICIO.USBreaking down the seeds
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
NOTE: At this moment there are 23 conferences that will receive only one bid to the NCAA Tournament. We project that the remaining 42 spots in the field will be distributed as follows.
ACC (8)
In: Boston College, Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Maryland, North Carolina, Virginia, Virginia Tech.
Bubble: Georgia Tech (16-8, RPI 56).
Comment: After four straight losses Duke (18-7, RPI 18) has dropped to a No. 7 seed and is falling fast. The ACC has eight teams in the RPI Top 35.
BIG EAST (6)
In: Georgetown, Marquette, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Villanova, West Virginia.
Bubble: None.
Comment: West Virginia (18-5, RPI 39) did itself a world of good by knocking off UCLA, which was No. 1 in the RPI. The Mountaineers still need to beat somebody decent on the road. They’ll get a chance tonight against Georgetown (18-5, RPI 26).
BIG TEN (5)
In: Indiana, Illinois, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin
Bubble: Purdue (16-9, RPI 41)
Comment: Some folks already have Purdue in the field. If the Boilermakers, who took Ohio State to the wire last Saturday, came at home Wednesday against Indiana, we might put them in as well.
BIG 12 (5)
In: Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas A&M. Bubble: Texas Tech (15-10, RPI 45)
Comment: With an RPI of 54, some folks think Texas (17-7) may not belong in the field. Beating Oklahoma State (18-5, RPI 20) tonight in Austin would probably put and end to that argument.
MISSOURI VALLEY (3)
In: Creighton, Missouri State, Southern Illinois.
Bubble: Bradley (16-10, RPI 48).
Comment: Southern Illinois (20-5, RPI) proved itself to be the class of the league by beating Creighton on Saturday. We have the Salukis as a No. 4 seed but they could move up by beating Missouri State (18-7, RPI 32) on the road Tuesday night.
MOUNTAIN WEST (3)
In: Air Force, BYU, UNLV.
Bubble: None.
Comment: Slow week in the MWC. Next week the leaders start to face off. BYU (18-6, RPI 23) has won six straight.
PAC-10 (6)
In: Arizona, Oregon, Southern Cal, Stanford, UCLA, Washington State.
Bubble: None.
Comment: UCLA (20-3, RPI 1) drops to a No. 2 seed after losing to West Virginia. The Bruins have lost three of their last four road games. Southern Cal (18-7, RPI 47) has a big game at Arizona (17-7, RPI 6) Thursday night.
SEC (6)
In: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Bubble: Georgia (13-9, RPI 43).
Comment: Despite Alabama’s loss to Ole Miss and Arkansas’s loss to LSU, both teams remain in the RPI top 40. Alabama (18-6, RPI 30) has a tough patch coming up with road games at Florida (Wednesday) and Tennessee (Feb. 21) plus a home game with Kentucky on Saturday. That could open the door for Georgia.
BARNHART’S TOP 65 BY SEEDS FOR MONDAY, FEB. 12
1-Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Texas A&M
2-UCLA, Ohio State, Pittsburgh, Kansas
3-Kentucky, Washington State, Memphis, Marquette
4-Southern Illinois, Virginia, Oregon, Boston College
5-Butler, Indiana, Air Force, Oklahoma State
6-Villanova, Virginia Tech, Southern Cal, Stanford
7-Nevada, Gonzaga, Duke, Florida State
8-BYU, Arizona, UNLV, Tennessee
9-Creighton, Texas, Vanderbilt, Notre Dame
10-Missouri State, Maryland, Georgetown, Kansas State
11-Clemson, Alabama, Arkansas, Michigan State
12-VCU, Illinois, UMass, West Virginia
13-Holy Cross, Davidson, Winthrop, Long Beach State
14-TAMU-CC, Akron, Vermont, Oral Roberts
15-South Alabama, Penn, Marist, Austin Peay,
16-Delaware State, East Tenn. State, Weber State, Jackson State, Central Conn
Play-in game: Jackson State vs. Central Connecticut
Permalink | Comments (21) | Post your comment | Categories: Tony Barnhart's daily picks
Comments
By Col Reb
February 12, 2007 01:56 PM | Link to this
Tony You hommer where is Ole Miss?? Last i looked we were first in the west. We might not be “in” yet, i think we need to win at least 20 but to have UGa on the bubble over us the hottest team in the sec is a JOKE.
By C Davis
February 12, 2007 01:56 PM | Link to this
Get it right Tony ! Appalachian State will win the Southern Conference - Beat Davidson AT Davidson - Wins over Vanderbilt and Virginia - Not just a football school this year !
By Matt
February 12, 2007 02:20 PM | Link to this
UGA is 14-9…nice reporting Barnhart
By Atlanta Gator
February 12, 2007 02:27 PM | Link to this
Col. Reb——Tony’s not so much a UGA homer as he is making a respectable judgment call. UGA has played 11 teams that are or were ranked in the top 25, and bested 4 of them. Ole Miss has played 8 teams that are or were ranked in the top 25, and beat 2 of them. UGA is 6-5 in the SEC; Ole Miss is 5-5. UGA plays in the harder SEC division this year, and has a stronger RPI. Marginal edge to the Dawgs for an NCAA bid, but they need to improve their overall 14-9 win-loss record to get to the magic 18 or 19 wins.
Ole Miss just needs to win games, but the 6 teams in the SEC West are so evenly matched this year (a 2-win difference between current 1st and 6th-place teams) that it may be tough for the 3rd and 4th team in the West to get an NCAA bid. First-round SEC tournament wins would obviously help both teams’ chances.
No need to complain about Tony’s predictions——we’ll know for sure in 3 weeks.
By GT
February 12, 2007 02:37 PM | Link to this
Florida is coming on like a freight train and has anybody looked at Memphis? What is the best team above the Mason Dixon line or for that fact below it? The fact is the reason it is hard to tell above is because there are very few if any and the reason it is so hard below is because there are too many good ones to figure. I think the Southern Conference has more able teams than what I’m seeing up north and they only get one team entry.
By Tony
February 12, 2007 02:44 PM | Link to this
LOL - UGA on the bubble…gimmie a break. You’re as retarded about basketball as you are about football…
By randy
February 12, 2007 02:45 PM | Link to this
dogs will make the big dance. they will be on a mission because of mercer going down!
By RamblinRed
February 12, 2007 02:55 PM | Link to this
Actually Tony is correct about UGA’s record.
One of UGA’s wins is over Valdosta ST - which is not a Div 1A school. Only Div 1A wins count toward NCAA Tourney inclusion so from an NCAA Selection Committee standpoint UGA is 13-9 and when they get the sheet on UGA Valdosta St will not be on it - nor any stats associated with it. Nor is the Valdosta St game included in UGA’s RPI calculation.
I think UGA and GT are both in the same boat with 6 to play - go 4-2 or end up in the NIT.
By GTA
February 12, 2007 03:28 PM | Link to this
If Tech can get a couple of wins on the road and win out at home, they’ll be a lock. But even if they win all their home games (including UNC), if they can’t win on the road, no one will give them a second look.
By anonymous
February 12, 2007 03:37 PM | Link to this
GT, you give new meaning to RAMBLING Wreck … and your point is?
By Aggies
February 12, 2007 04:14 PM | Link to this
Never seen Texas A&M seeded in the top brakcets
By The Tide Rolls
February 12, 2007 04:38 PM | Link to this
Ronald Steele has been saving his knee and ankle for the home stretch. The Tide makes a run heading into the SEC and NCAA tourney and takes two of the last three (Kentucky, Tenn, Florida).
And in doing so slams the door on both GA and Ole Miss. Neither deserve to be at the dance.
By gdawg
February 12, 2007 04:43 PM | Link to this
Florida sucks and the AJC is a liberal rag!
By colreb
February 12, 2007 05:25 PM | Link to this
Was the tide rolling on sat? You have one of the worst coaches in the sec. You will never do anything with that joke on the bench. rtr NOT
By bamabrave
February 12, 2007 08:45 PM | Link to this
I agree totally with gdawg. Also,where is colred from…ole p**? We’ll see who wins the division. It won’t be the p**. Gottfried is not the greatest coach, but we will make some noise this year at THE BIG DANCE!
THE TIDE IS RISING AGAIN!!!!!!!!!
By 2D
February 13, 2007 07:24 AM | Link to this
Tony… Can you or someone else please tell me how OKSt is any better off than Georgia Tech?
Based on the graphic I saw last night:
They have an unbeaten home record (14-0).
They have a one loss neutral court record (4-1).
They have not won a road game (now 0-5).
That resume looks very similar to Georgia Tech, just with fewer “road” games. Yet they have a much higher RPI and are “locks” for the tourney.
Please, explain this!!!!!
By robashito
February 13, 2007 11:12 AM | Link to this
Duke as a 7 seed….. we’ll see that going downard as the weeks play out.
By GT80
February 13, 2007 11:44 AM | Link to this
Everyone needs to forget about who is in the Top 25. The fact that no team from the ACC other than Carolina and Duke were in it until this week shows that the voters don’t really pay attention to what is really happening. The RPI is a litte more on top of things. But Tony B knows not basketball. His AJC bosses make him do this because he can’t write about SEC football 12 months out of the year.
By JJ
February 13, 2007 12:55 PM | Link to this
Tony,
Where do I begin? Would have thought you learned something in your Selection Committee meeting last week, but obviously not.
First off, Clemson would probably would be no worse than a 7 seed today. You’re way off there. Your 11 seed seems to indicate that they might be on the cusp of bubbledom. They aren’t even close.
In the SEC, not only is UGA nowhere near bubble status, but they would get in ahead of Vandy, Arkansas or Alabama. And, Ole Miss IS firmly on the bubble.
Michigan State? I don’t even think you can call them a bubble team at this point.
Georgetown as a 10 seed? How about a 4.
The Big 12 may be where you put forth the worst effort. Not only is Oklahoma State not a 5 seed, they don’t even deserve a berth.
By jcdawg
February 13, 2007 02:05 PM | Link to this
sec conference record should be the deciding factor for Ga. If Ga goes 8-8 in the conference…they could still get in provided that there are not 6 other teams that are 8-8 or better.
I am assuming that they take 6 from the sec and that none of the weaker teams will win the sec tournament.
If Ga gets surpassed by a team with a worse sec record…that will upset me and probably many of you too.
By Ryan Duckworth
February 18, 2007 05:47 PM | Link to this
I am a texas fan but man,texas tech is on fire! they beat A&M Twice and kansas they are a number i seed!