Home > Thinking Right > Archives > 2008 > September > 26 > Entry

Find the commander-in-chief

Barack Obama task tonight is simple: Convince people that he’s somebody they want in the White House in a world filled with terrorists threatening their lives and bad loans threatening their jobs and financial security.

What should by now be a wipeout for the Democrat is essentially tied. The latest Zogby poll has John McCain up 2 percentage points, 46-44, in a survey conducted Tuesday through Thursday of this week. On the books, this election shouldn’t be close. And yet McCain moved from three points down to two points up in a week of lousy news. Independents prefer McCain, 43 to 34.

Obama can’t close the deal. This problem first surfaced in the Democratic primaries. To this day, he hasn’t put Hillary Clinton away. The Democratic establishment, the super-delegates, did it for him, but they were caught up in the narrative and were, furthermore, fearful of alienating a key constituency.

At the end of tonight’s debate, Independents ought to be nodding their heads saying, yes, this guy Obama does have the right stuff; he does have the character and the decisiveness and the judgment to lead America through perilous times. People don’t sense that. Tonight is Obama’s best shot.

He will win this debate not on some clever line effectively delivered. He wins if after the debate people come to see him as commander-in-chief. He loses if they don’t. It’s close-the-deal time on that question.

For McCain, he wins by reinforcing existing perceptions that he is commander-in-chief material. He should remind people how threatening the world is, making it clear that this is no time for a rookie in the Oval Office. McCain loses if he does or says anything that makes age an issue.

It’s clear that the Obama campaign wanted to have this debate on national security issues first. It’s the subject area he’s most likely to flub. If he does, he’ll have two more debates to recover.

I’m not looking for flubs, though. I’m looking for something in his presence or his presentation that will make voters comfortable with the idea that he could be their commander-in chief.

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Comments

By Richard

September 26, 2008 7:36 PM | Link to this

Where to begin.

Most polls have Obama up by three to four points; an average of all polls—left and right leaning alight—has Obama up by three points. Given the lead, I don’t know that this is a show stopper for Obama.

Perhaps what you say is more true for McCain—running around the country, first suspending his campaign in a bid for the appearance of leadership, then inserting himself into delicate negotiations, then flip-flopping and deciding he will participate in a debate after all. To my mind, that looks a bit more like desperation.

By jmoss

September 26, 2008 7:49 PM | Link to this

As a Republican, even I know that Barach can’t run away with this election since most white people are finding it difficult to vote for a Black man as president. Let’s stop playing games. I’ve lost so much respect for McCain and my party during this election…It’s sad.

By brian crowe

September 26, 2008 8:01 PM | Link to this

Mr.Wooten, do you have an opinion on this bailout or are you waiting for your party to tell you which one to have? If the latter is the case, which memo will you mimeograph, the one from House Republicans or the one from the White House “Republican?”

By TDone

September 26, 2008 8:20 PM | Link to this

To Mr. Crowe, under the rules of the House, the Democrats could pass this legislation without any votes from Republicans. So where does the problem lay?

By jmoss

September 26, 2008 8:35 PM | Link to this

Mr. Wooten, 1. More so than Obama, you have to question whether McCain has been presidential. He wanted to delay the debate that he supposedly has an advantage because of his great foreign policy experience to go focus on the economy; which he has admitted repeatedly that he knows very little about. And, he wasn’t involved in the negotiations to begin with.

  • The biggest flub has already been made when he sent our country into war in Iraq for no reason while Osama bin laden runs free in Afghanistan. 4000 soldiers lost their lives and 100000 civilians died and Osama bin laden is still free.Is this leadership????
  • If so, please explain.

    By Hillbilly Deluxe

    September 26, 2008 8:51 PM | Link to this

    Unless there is a major gaffe by one of the candidates, Obama supporters with think he comes out ahead and McCain supporters will think he comes out ahead. They’re both preaching to the converted.

    By Ray

    September 26, 2008 8:52 PM | Link to this

    And then Diane Sawyer leans forward, looks the Annointed One in the eye and asks him how it was to live in a world where all of the black people were bleaching their skins to look like white people. “How did you feel about that?”, says Diane, eyes focused on Mr. Wonderful. You could have almost heard the swoon, the adoration and the funny feeling running up her leg. Then Charlie Gibson asks Palin, “Do you really feel that with your inexperience that you are qualified to be a heartbeat away from the presidency”? We are tired of this sh**. Those of us who feel that the media is trying to elect our president are sick and tired of their pandering, their obvious bias and their abandonment of their role in our lives, that of giving the electorate what they need to make a rational decision about their future. This rag you call a newspaper is complicit in this scheme to ram untruths, fairy tales and one sided opinions down the throats of thinking Americans and you call it journalism. it is far from that. It is out and out liberal bias and nothing more. Where is your pride, your sense of responsibility and your professionalism? I can only guess.

    By Tell It Like It Is

    September 26, 2008 8:52 PM | Link to this

    We could save around $680 billion annually and some more American lives by getting our troops out of Iraq. Obama is for it and McCain is against it. Since the surge has reduced the violence, then we should be able to start withdrawing the troops. We still have to deal with Afkhandistan and Pakistan. Just like Russia, we will not win this war either. We will eventually realize this and face the reality of dealing China, Russia and North Korea also. If we keep the path we are on, the draft must be reinstated as it was for me during the 60’s. Foreign policy is just as important as the economic policy. They are linked at the hip.

    By William

    September 26, 2008 9:38 PM | Link to this

    As a black American, I have voted for Democrats all my life and I have never regretted it. But as I have grown up I have realized that this is a greater country than I ever imagined.

    I remember the Savings and Loan crisis of the 1980s and how all the politicians blamed the other party and claimed it was the end of the world. But we survived and the economy came out strong.

    And while things have been tougher lately, I note that Americans are living great lives and I think we will survive this financial mess just fine.

    I have read that North Korea may be starting its nuclear program again and that Iran is trying to get nuclear weapons. If these people, who not only hate us, but want to destroy us, have nuclear weapons, they will use them to hold our country hostage. IF these people nuke a US city or two, there will be no bail-out that can save our economy. An attack in September 2001 crippled our economy for months. I can’s imagine what would happen to us if a whole city were blown up.

    As badly as I want to see a black man become President, I just don’t think the time is right for this black man, Obama. He is weak and just don’t seem to understand what is at stake.

    By stephen

    September 26, 2008 10:45 PM | Link to this

    If after the last 8 years, you are still proud to vote Republican, rest assured you will always vote Republican. I can only think you are very forgiving or easily satisfied.

    By Independent Thinker

    September 27, 2008 12:09 PM | Link to this

    ONe thing last night was said by Senator Obama that assisted in my understanding why the president of Iran could talk so arrogant in NY last week . He made the point that Iran and Iraq are arch enemies, and by us(America) gauging in war with Iraq, we did their work for them (weakening Iraq’s army). Which gives them the opportunity to focus on nuclear weapons. We clearly made an error in gauging in war with them and taking our focus off of our real problems which is hunting the one who was responsible for 9/11. Bin laden knew he would not be able to defeat our troops but he aim at hitting us were it hurts the most-IN OUR POCKETS. When will our leaders learn that being hot headed and robust is not always the answer. We have to be smart enough to out think our enemies and this current administration and MCCain proves this is not our strong suite.

    By Lila S.

    September 27, 2008 3:13 PM | Link to this

    LOL, here are todays’ poll numbers-Obama is up ACROSS the board!

    Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread Gallup Tracking 09/24 - 09/26 Obama +5 Rasmussen Tracking 09/24 - 09/26 Obama +6 Hotline/FD Tracking 09/24 - 09/26 Obama +5

    The deal is getting closer and closer to being done. Keep pulling the one poll out of ten to make yourself feel better, but there’s no question that the fat lady is warming up, and about to sing “Nananana, good-bye!” to Sen. McCain

    By Antoine R.

    September 27, 2008 4:59 PM | Link to this

    Does nobody care that the debates exclude independent candidates? Does anybody care to know why? We call America a democracy, but we don’t let everyone have a say.

    True, most independents have VERY little support, but being included in the debates could change this. And who knows, maybe then we could tell if there are in fact any differences between the candidates.

    By rayreyns

    September 27, 2008 9:14 PM | Link to this

    McCain is a weak man. he is full of the bravado that has sunk this country the last 8 years. fake man. weak man. castrated man. just like bush. pathetic, outrageous liar that is representing the rich to get richer. how could anyone with an income of less than 250,000 a year support McCain? he is perhaps smoother than obama but in my eyes he represents the castrated fake man that is all bluster and no balls, no heart, no sensitivity…i don’t trust him to lead effectively in any way. he is too old, too full of himself. he disrespects the common man of America..do not be fooled working man. he is a fake.

    By Stone

    September 27, 2008 10:20 PM | Link to this

    Rayreyns you are the “castrated fake”, you are the coward sitting back throwing anonymous barbs at a man who has served this country most of his life. Disagree with his politics if you like, point out how his opponent will do a better job, but don’t for a second think that you are any where near the man McCain is, or Biden, or Obama or any other Sen, even Kennedy. Why must people degenerate someone else just because they share a different point of view and want someone else to win? You show your insecurity and immaturity by posting such nonsence and should be ashamed of yourself. Coward!

    By WashingtonState

    September 27, 2008 11:13 PM | Link to this

    Incredible the lengths to which Conservatives will go to avoid taking responsibility for their philosophy and actions. We now have two examples of global economic meltdowns caused by the so called “free market” system: The depression and George Bush’s administration. In the face of this, conservatives have the audacity to blame a Democrat who got a Republican congress to approve a good idea. The fact that that idea was then allowed to spawn a whole industry of unregulated greed is irrelevant to conservatives. The fact that, in the rush to cash in on every possible angle, banks, stock brokers, and every other national financial institution leveraged themselves to the hilt is immaterial to conservatives. The fact that Bush’s unqualified appointees failed to exercise any degree of control or regulation on this unbridled greed is not relevant to conservatives. Any sensible person would have realized that after Cheney’s trip out west to “investigate” predatory practices on the part of the energy industry, we were doomed to 8 years of hell. Any sentient being would have known that after Cheney gave a clean bill of health to Enron and other companies engaged in monopolistic manipulation of energy prices, we were in for a rough ride. There should be no surprise about the current economic meltdown under Republican stewardship. The real question is what to do about it. For a start, we can all vote Democrat and forget these two time losers who would destroy our country in the name of an antiquated philosophy which has been proven to be disastrous.

    By WashingtonState

    September 27, 2008 11:29 PM | Link to this

    As a sidenote, how many Republicans know that the original offshore drilling ban was engineered by Jeb Bush and George Bush in an attempt to appease the real estate lobby in Florida. These folks had contributed millions to Jeb Bush’s campaign for governor and their payoff was that Jeb got George to agree not to drill off the Gulf Coast of Florida. After all, it would be hard to sell beach front with a view of oil rigs or tar on the beach. The Destin Tracts were declared off limits to exploration. St. Joe’s ( a timber company turned real estate developer who contributed mega bucks to Jebb) was very happy and so was Jeff Bush. Anybody smell a little double standard here?

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