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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Florida down. Giuliani, too?

John McCain takes Florida but for Rudy Giuliani, the former New York mayor who staked out a high-risk strategy of sitting out the early primaries, Florida may be the start — on the end — of the line.

For McCain, it was a breakthrough win— a win in a Republicans-only primary.

“I expect to win it,” Giuliani said in Ft. Meyers Tuesday. But all recent polls had suggested otherwise. And on Tuesday evening, he was in third place, at 15 percent, fighting it out with with Mike Huckabee, well behind both McCain and Mitt Romney, “Wednesday morning, we’ll make a decision,” said earlier. “The winner of Florida will win the nomination; we’re going to win Florida.” Speculation Tuesday afternoon was that he’d drop out Thursday and throw his support to McCain.

McCain should get a boost from an impressive win in Florida, It’s a winner-take-all with 57 delegates at stake. Romney entered the contest with 59, to 36 for McCain, 40 for Huckabee and one for Giuliani. Super Tuesday on Feb. 5 has 21 GOP contests, with 1,023 delegates up for grabs. Getting the nomination takes 1,191.

Wednesday is decision day for Giuliani. After that, it’s a Romney-McCain race.

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