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Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Comeback kids? One, anyway.

“Comeback kids,” the morning paper calls John McCain and Hillary Clinton for their New Hampshire wins. Interestingly, one of the comeback kids — McCain — won among the independents, moderates and liberals who voted in the Republican primary, while the other won by turning out the party vote.

Hillary won among Democratic women, the elderly and lower-income voters. Barack Obama won among the 60 percent of independents who chose the Democratic primary, while McCain won among those who voted Republican. (The findings are from exit polls done by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for the Associated Press and the networks.)

Among the half of Republican voters who call themselves conservative, Romney won. He also won among the “shares my values” Republicans. That bodes well for Romney.

New Hampshire is likely to be McCain’s high-water mark, though he should do well in Michigan, too, where independents may be drawn to the GOP primary, to be held next Tuesday. Michigan, in fact, will likely tell us little, since the Republican primary will draw Democrats as well as independents.“It’s not really a Republican Primary,” explained U.S. Rep. Peter Hoekstra (R-MI). “It’s really a primary that’s open to all voters in the state” including Democrats.

You do have to hand it to Hillary in New Hampshire, though. She was down 10-zip after Iowa and on her first possession, she scored a touchdown, slowing the Obama momentum.

New Hampshire was a satisfying day for McCain, buying him some time and money. For Hillary, though, it was a most impressive show.

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