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High-water for McCain

New Hampshire entertains, but Hillary lives to rebound another day against Barack Obama and John McCain hits his high-water mark. But neither Democrats nor Republicans had any knock-outs. Hillary’s far from finished.

For McCain, it’s hard to see where he goes from here. He should do well in Michigan, but is not likely to be a factor in South Carolina, where Independents are less of a factor than they were in New Hampshire. There a large number of independents are free-floaters who enjoy the power they exercise in voting in the primary that strikes them as most interesting — McCain in the Republican primary, Obama among Democrats.

In South Carolina the field will encounter the real Republican base. It’s a big one for Clinton and Obama, too, since blacks make up about half the Democratic base. That looks like Obama and Mike Huckabee territory. Too few evangelical Christians in New Hampshire for Huckabee.

New Hampshire really, though, sets up Super Tuesday, when Georgia and 21 other states vote on Feb. 5. The issue Republicans must decide that day is which candidate can defeat Obama.

Romney said Tuesday that Iowa and New Hampshire demonstrate that people think Washington’s broken and want change, which means sending new leaders. He described Obama as a “senator killer,” who knocked off Hillary, Chris Dodd and Joe Biden. “If you want someone who can beat Barack Obama, it’s going to have to be a governor, it’s going to have to be somebody who has a track record of bringing change,” he said on Fox & Friends.

Such arguments, and particularly Romney’s new use of the word “change,” don’t actually help him with the base. Those who oppose him now do so not because they think he’s not the strongest potential Republican candidate against Obama or Hillary, but that he’s somehow inauthentic, unlike Huckabee. Picking up new buzzwords within hours of their apparent success in the other party contributes to that perception.

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Comments

By Luckoduh

January 8, 2008 8:43 PM | Link to this

Well, well, look at this.

The libs are rejecting the black man and choosing the hate instead.

I guess Obama should have chosen the Republican path, he could have joined Condi and Colin in the history books.

But no, he’s a pinko, and pinkos are not that smart, they want the “wife” of some failed ArKKKansas redneck.

Good for them.

By getalife

January 8, 2008 9:20 PM | Link to this

The Obama wave has crashed.

Clinton wins New Hampshire!

By Politics Aside

January 8, 2008 9:42 PM | Link to this

Jim Wooten, your morning Hillary wake watch was nonsense, so I’m supposed to believe you know anything about what might happen in any other state’s Caucus? Go soak your head.

What a dope, honestly.

By Dave

January 8, 2008 10:16 PM | Link to this

“Blog with Cynthia Tucker” I’d rather “kiss a pig.”

By @@

January 8, 2008 10:37 PM | Link to this

You’re right Jim. There’s nothing fresh about borrowing from the dems recycling bin. If Republican candidates insist on using it they might wanna say it like this:

“You’re gonna get the change you want—George Bush and Dick Cheney aren’t up for re-election.”

That’s the only change that’s a sure thing. The change the democrats are promising isn’t.

G’Nite Jim.

By getalife

January 8, 2008 11:24 PM | Link to this

Well, I guess the CDS will be unhinged tomorrow on these blogs.

Clinton/Obama!

By WFC

January 9, 2008 6:58 AM | Link to this

I like John McCain but he simply doesn’t get the fact that the American people simply won’t support endless war.

By RealRep

January 9, 2008 7:16 AM | Link to this

Mike congratulates Senator McCain, the only other real Republican in the race.

One must question, however, his ability to handle the war on terror. Clearly, it is more complex than the 1999 South Carolina primary.

A vote for Giuliani is a vote for Hillary.

Huckabee ‘08

By jbmlaw

January 9, 2008 8:06 AM | Link to this

Good morning all. I really want to like all of the Republican candidates, but each appears to me to be damaged goods. Mitt Romney is the smartest man to run for president since Jefferson, potentially the richest public servant since Rockefeller or maybe Mellon but all of his is self-made, yet the term pandering is the first that comes to mind. My guy Fred has laid out the most comprehensive programs, earning notice for same from the WSJ, Sowell, and Limbaugh, yet he does not electrify the populace – he is the Perry Como of our rock stars. John McCain is an authentic war hero and undoubted conviction in his beliefs, but like Bush pere he is not trusted by the conservative base, and for good reason, (http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110011103 ). Rudy has solid administrative skills proven under fire, but a messy public and personal life that leaves a bad taste. Mike Huckabee is inauthentic, but he panders more effectively than Romney; one suspects he has no clue about economic issues, and even less on foreign risks. I cannot wait for Feb 5, so we can close ranks around one.

By Redneck Convert

January 9, 2008 8:13 AM | Link to this

Well, I thought we was rid of that woman, but I guess people in NH done what people do. They went into that voting booth and come to realize they couldn’t vote for one of Those People. So they voted for this Hillary woman. And it didn’t help none that a bunch of uppity women ganged up and voted for her. They should of been home baking cookies and ironing shirts. You might of knowed what would happen when we give them the vote back then. A good man shouldn’t let hisself be led by a woman. Except at home, of course, where nobody else knows about it.

I’m just flabbergasted the people up there didn’t vote big for the Rev. Huckabee. I guess the people there is just a bunch of heathens that don’t understand how important it is to let the preachers run the country. I’m glad the Rev. Falwell ain’t alive today to see this sad turn of things. He would of run a bunch of revivals to try to convert the NH heathens. Leastwise, this Mormon didn’t win. We need a good Christian in the White House and he ain’t one.

Anyway, no one down here in the South will vote for McCain. He’s in favor of letting the illegals take our jobs and giving them amnesty and he even voted against My President’s tax cuts. He’s just immoral, is what he is. He will get what’s coming to him in SC and other godly Southren states that believe in the Lord and follow the Path of Righteousness.

So for a while there it looked like the godly Republicans would have it pretty easy next fall. They was certain the librul Democrats would vote for one of Those People, this Hussein guy. Now it looks like they will take a uppity woman. Well, I got news for them. When we get in that voting booth next November and see that we got to choose between a woman and a godly man, we know who we’ll vote for.

Anyhow, I’m all flummoxed about the elections. I don’t like nobody the Republicans are putting up except for the Rev. Huckabee. And even he is too librul on things like letting prisoners off the hook and raising taxes. And he talks like a librul sometimes when he talks about helping the middle class and all. But its for sure I won’t vote for no librul Democrat. I guess I’ll have to wait awhile to see how things pan out.

Have a good day everybody.

By Camus

January 9, 2008 8:25 AM | Link to this

Jim opines: “Hillary’s far from finished.”

Hmmm, she takes 39% in a primary where she was ten points down and written off for dead just a day ago. Pretty bold punditry there, Jim. Guess that’s why you make the big bucks.

Unlike the esteemed jbm, who looks around his stable and sees only the halt and lame, the Dems have three solid horses who can take this prize. Hil and Barack have been fast out of the gate, but Edwards holds a steady third and refuses to fade. This one may end up turning on which horse can run best in the mud, though if the weather stays clear, we may enjoy a classic race to the wire.

See, anybody can play this game, and without a hint of sunstance. Where do I go to pick up my David Broder Secret Decoder Ring and Pundit’s License?

By Redneck Fan

January 9, 2008 9:18 AM | Link to this

Redneck Convert is brilliant. Love reading him. The truth and irony of his writings must make the repubs red faced, with anger and embarrassment, everyday.

Keep up the good work, you Rredneck!

By Curious Observer

January 9, 2008 9:29 AM | Link to this

Donald Segretti, Nixon’s dirty tricks specialist, lives again! A 3:15 a.m. robo-call featured excerpts from various Hillary speeches, slightly speeded up to give her voice a cartoonish quality. It’s an even better dirty trick than Segretti’s Democratic bumper-sticker-across-the-windshield and his called-in cancellations of various Democratic events at restaurants.

Hey, Georgia Republicans, it’s not as though a national Democratic candidate is going to be swept into office in this state. You can at least wait until we know who the Democratic nominee is going to be.

At least the call helped to reveal how desperately fearful some conservatives are of a changeover in the White House, given the “halt and the lame” horses in the Republican stable.

By Glenn

January 10, 2008 9:25 AM | Link to this

Morninmarkins,

LBJ here. No. The ghost of Eleanor. No, wait. Oh never mind.

jbm, dig your run-down of the candidates, but you gotta admit that your accolade to Romney is a big fat bullseye on your post. I’ve got nothing against the guy, and am even prepared to accept his flip-flops, for example, as genuine changes of heart, but the smartest to run since Jefferson? Good Lawd. That’s a parlor game just made for funnin’ with.

Romney is indeed, like his father, a smart polymath and supremely well educated at that (for what that’s worth), but then again he also won’t own up to how a body can’t be a Christian and not recognize the divinity of the Old Naz. Now that’s got to give even the most aggressive atheist — let’s say Michael Nudow — pause. Too dumb? Too much Kool-Ade? Too devious? Too ashamed of his own religious tradition? Which is it?

Then there’s your fellow “ambulance chaser”, the innovative corporate attorney Abraham Lincoln. He didn’t like Jefferson — thought him a patrician planter and agrarian sentimentalist — and indeed Jefferson was a sham democrat in a lot of ways, but Lincoln was smart enough to mine Jefferson and to pay him due respect. Both men were supremely “prudent” in different ways, though Jefferson could barely handle the first Barbary War whereas for Lincoln that would have been a morning’s stretching exercise. In any event, the bar for Lincoln is Romney, not Jefferson himself, as Jefferson is Romney’s bar alone.

Then there’s Theodore Rex, since Washington the nation’s most popular president. Another stellar pedigree, another polymath. A born leader. If you can get past his adolescent trees, a surprisingly deep forest of the intellect. Even a rather good stylist, though not to the Jefferson or Lincoln standard. Amongst his many other accomplishments is this often hidden one: he was progenitor of the New Deal, which his distant cousin — and all-time biggest secret fan — cribbed whole. TR’s biggest blind spot was of course his jingoism, a flaw not evidently shared by Mitt Romney, but it may be significant in your IQ testing of former presidents that TR came to rue his unexamined militancy, and to admit his mistaken jingoism publicly, and for no reason other than a commitment to honesty.

Also, when you take away Sorenson and the joke writers and lifelong private tutor-emanuenses and the Addison’s and the Satyriasis and the laziness, JFK was still one very quick, beautifully balanced spinning intellectual top wedded to good taste (a duly underrated quality except by the American Pragmatist School, of which JFK was a professed member.) Dude simply knew his stuff and wore it well.

Much as Romney does, come to think of it care of you.

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