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Monday, July 10, 2006

For the poll hungry

Just to review, here’s Insider Advantage’s latest numbers on the Democratic governor’s race:

— Mark Taylor stands at 49 percent, up two points from a week ago. — Cathy Cox remains at 41 percent, with no change from a week ago. She and Taylor are splitting the female vote down the middle, which could spell trouble for her.

That also has implications in the Republican race for lieutenant governor:

— Casey Cagle was at 27 percent, and has moved up to 37 percent. If you need to ask why, check out the TV ad below. Here’s something to note: Cagle’s latest ad has been out 18 hours as of this writing. A full news cycle has passed with no response from the other side.

— Ralph Reed has moved up as well, from 32 to 37 percent, for a dead heat with Cagle. You have to wonder whether this race hinges on suburban women who have decided give up on the Cox-Taylor race, and will stick with a Republican ballot.

Insider Advantage also has new numbers out on the Republican races for secretary of state and commissioner of agriculture.

In the Republican SOS race: It’s Karen Handel 38 percent, Bill Stephens 26 percent, Charlie Bailey 11 percent, and Eric Martin 1 percent. Undecideds rank third at 24 percent. Stephens has shot up to second place since last week.

In the Republican ag race: Gary Black and Brian Kemp are neck-and-neck with 28 and 29 percent, respectively. Others lag far behind…..

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The sights and sounds of the Reed-Cagle race

In the Republican race for lieutenant governor, Casey Cagle has crossed into Point of No Return Land. There’s no shaking hands and wishing best of luck after a TV ad like this. Obviously, it was coordinated to go off today, after the Sunday night debate on GPTV.

Meanwhile, Ralph Reed has brought Zell Miller into the race to speak well of him. Says Zell: “He’s a man of character, integrity and conservative principles….I know him and I trust him, and I wanted you to know, so can you.” Listen to the entire sound clip here.

Miller also made a church appearance with Reed up in Forsyth County over the Fourth of July weekend.

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