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Saturday, July 1, 2006

Reed leads Insider Advantage poll

No sign yet voters care much about lite gov race

Ralph Reed holds a five-point lead in the Republican lieutenant governor’s race, with a lot of voters still sitting on the sidelines, according to an Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion poll released at the end of the week.

The June 26-27 poll of 500 likely Republican primary voters has it this way:

Casey Cagle: 27%

Ralph Reed: 32%

Undecided: 41%

With margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percent. That makes it a pretty close race.

“Those who are shocked at the large undecided percentage in this survey should understand that these two candidates have only been up on broadcast television for under a week. As we’ve noted in the past, Reed may be well known in political circles, but the average voter has little if just a hazy idea of who he is and what office he is seeking. And Sen. Cagle suffers from the same anemic name identification,â€? writes Insider Advantage CEO Matt Towery.

It would appear this high-profile race, which has attracted intense interest from politicos around the country, has yet to turn on the people who’ll decide it. And, Towery writes, that helps Reed.

“Understand that, in the last week of a race, most who claim to be undecided tend either not to vote, or vote at basically the same ratio as the last polls indicate. Reed’s goal will be to keep the undecided level well above the 10-to-15 point margin in the last week,â€? he writes.

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