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DEL.ICIO.USA politician, a reporter, and a poll walk into a bar….
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Strategic Vision, David Johnson’s Atlanta-based agency, put out a statewide poll Wednesday aimed at the July 18 primary. Johnson’s is a Republican-oriented public relations firm. As usual, we can’t endorse the results. Our only comment: In some cases, the “undecideds” strike us as a tad low.
Here’s the original source.
According to Strategic Vision, the three-day poll is “based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted June 23-25, 2006. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.”
Do you approve or disapprove or disapprove of Governor Sonny Perdue’s job overall performance?
Approve 57%
Disapprove 31%
Undecided 12%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Saxby Chambliss’ overall job performance?
Approve 50%
Disapprove 39%
Undecided 11%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Johnny Isakson’s overall job performance?
Approve 53%
Disapprove 32%
Undecided 15%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s overall job performance?
Approve 45%
Disapprove 46%
Undecided 9%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the economy?
Approve 43%
Disapprove 50%
Undecided 7%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 47%
Disapprove 47%
Undecided 6%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 49%
Disapprove 42%
Undecided 9%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the immigration issue?
Approve 40%
Disapprove 51%
Undecided 9%
Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans only)
Yes 31%
No 54%
Undecided 15%
Do you think Georgia is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 51%
Wrong 41%
Undecided 8%
Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn the Roe v. Wade decision that makes abortions legal in the United States?
Yes 55%
No 35%
Undecided 10%
Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 74%
No 14%
Undecided 12%
Do you favor an immediate withdrawal United States military forces from Iraq, within the six months?
Yes 36%
No 54%
Undecided 10%
Do you favor granting amnesty to illegal immigrants currently in the United States?
Yes 7%
No 76%
Undecided 17%
Do you favor constructing a wall along the southern border of the United States to stop illegal immigration?
Yes 86%
No 6%
Undecided 8%
Do you favor a state constitutional ban on same-sex marriages?
Yes 64%
No 29%
Undecided 7%
Do you approve or disapprove of Lieutenant Governor Mark Taylor’s job performance?
Approve 54%
Disapprove 34%
Undecided 12%
Do you approve or disapprove of Secretary of State Cathy Cox’s job performance?
Approve 52%
Disapprove 38%
Undecided 10%
If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote for, Secretary of State Cathy Cox or Lieutenant Governor Mark Taylor? (Democrats only)
Mark Taylor 46%
Cathy Cox 42%
Undecided 12%
If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you, Sonny Perdue, the Republican or Mark Taylor, the Democrat?
Sonny Perdue 50%
Mark Taylor 44%
Undecided 6%
If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote, Sonny Perdue, the Republican or Cathy Cox, the Democrat?
Sonny Perdue 53%
Cathy Cox 40%
Undecided 7%
If the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor was held today, whom would you vote for Greg Hecht, Griffin Lotson, Jim Martin, Steen Miles, or Rufus Terrill? (Democrats only)
Jim Martin 29%
Greg Hecht 24%
Steen Miles 20%
Griffin Lotson 4%
Rufus Terrill 2% Undecided 21%
If the Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor was held today, whom would you vote for Ralph Reed or Casey Cagle? (Republicans only)
Ralph Reed 44%
Casey Cagle 41%
Undecided 15%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ralph Reed, a Republican candidate for Lieutenant Governor? (Republicans only)
Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 47%
Undecided 15%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Casey Cagle, a Republican candidate for Lieutenant Governor? (Republicans only)
Favorable 43%
Unfavorable 20%
Undecided 37%
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Comments
Commenting is now closed for this entry.
By Tony
June 28, 2006 02:12 PM | Link to this
Let the spin begin…..Bush is not looking good in GA. Ralphie’s numbers look awful. Can’t wait to hear the spin from Debbie & Co. I’m sure somehow these numbers will be shot up and blamed on the AJC.
By Debbie
June 28, 2006 02:20 PM | Link to this
The poll numbers will reverse after the ads hit. Reed is still ahead.
The thing is people don’t know who Cagle is and Reed’s ads can help define him. Cagle has never faced scrutiny before. Cagle is about to have his anal exam made public I am sure. If the Reed campaign knows the dirt everyone else does, they would be crazy not to use it.
By Tony
June 28, 2006 02:26 PM | Link to this
So fecal matter is all Ralph has to run on? Figures. He’s up to his eyebrows in it through his own lies.
So by your own admission Debbie, Ralph plans on defining Cagle. Sounds like Ralph’s stooping to negative attacks rather than his own virtues. That also figures since Ralph has no virtues to run on.
So GA can be prepared for more negative attacks by Ralph. The running theory in politics is that the one who’s not looking good has to try to destroy his opponent in negativity. Debbie has just relayed Ralph’s strategy thus telling us Ralph knows he is in trouble.
And Debbie, you’re using fuzzy math. How can Ralph be ahead with a tie in this poll and dismal negatives against him?
By Van
June 28, 2006 02:49 PM | Link to this
it would be interesting to see the geographic areas this poll covered. How many respondence were inside the perimeter? I would expect to see different numbers inside and outside I-285. Maybe the split was even, just do not know.
By Tony
June 28, 2006 03:02 PM | Link to this
Van are you implying that more of a certain area of the state would support country club gated community millionaire Ralph?
By Tony
June 28, 2006 03:11 PM | Link to this
Van are you implying that more of a certain area of the state would support country club gated community millionaire Ralph?
By Debbie
June 28, 2006 03:13 PM | Link to this
I don’t know what the Reed campaign is planning on doing but they would be crazy not to attack Cagle with his ethical shortcomings. Since the voters don’t know Cagle, they would be defining Cagle.
Politics 101
It would be interesting to see if that is likely voters or just voters.
Reed will pull away after the ads start hitting and it will not be close. Reed by 15%
By Tony
June 28, 2006 03:46 PM | Link to this
So again Debbie I’ll ask you does Ralph have nothing more constructive to run on than attacking his opponent and trying to malign him? Sounds pretty pathetic to me. You’d think since he’s done all of these ‘wonderful’ things for people that he’d run on his achievements. It’s a sad day when you have to make yourself out to be the lesser of two evils. “I’m no angel but that Cagle guy is worse than me!”
By Van
June 28, 2006 04:07 PM | Link to this
Tony,
Ask those questions in a mid-town diner then ask those same questions in a Loganville McDonalds. Do you really think the responses would be the same?
Basic polling 101, they will try to target a zip code that fits their ideal polling group.
Polls are usually meaningless, since a smart poll taker can craft a poll to say anything. The hard part is crafting a fair one.
By GodHatesTrash
June 28, 2006 04:27 PM | Link to this
@ Van
Polling a Loganville McDonalds would be like polling a hog wallow, all those fat Bubbas and Bubbettes.
By truerblue
June 28, 2006 06:01 PM | Link to this
If this poll is at all accurate does it mean that Mark Taylor has lost that HUGE lead he claimed to have had a couple of weeks ago? Maybe taking hearsay from a man who claimed to have attended a Lions Club meeting 13 years ago then using what the man said to attack his opponent turned people off. Maybe accusing his opponent of being soft on crimes against children turned people off. Maybe finding out that he gets an allowance from his Father and has never has owned his own home turned people off. OR-maybe calling himself the BIG GUY and average Georgians “little guys” turned people off. Maybe the fact that he lied about his weight and lied about working out with a personal trainer in Sunday’s AJC turned people off. Who knows which of these turned people off—too many to choose from. Maybe he should have shown up at the Ga Press and Ga Municipal meetings to keep his edge. This is getting really exciting!
By Tony
June 28, 2006 06:10 PM | Link to this
So again…I will speak slower….
I know responses are different in different geographies. I was asking where you were going with that. As for this particular poll, I don’t see any bias in any of it. So trying to stack this a certain way doesn’t appear to be the motive of this polling company. There is bad news across the board. I don’t see any particular faction or group who gets the beating in this one or the favoritism.
By Zathras
June 28, 2006 10:42 PM | Link to this
The questions that jump out at me are 12 and 14. Maybe 12 was influenced by coverage of the arrests in Florida last week, or maybe Johnson just polled very pessimistic people. But 14 (on illegal immigration)….wow. I’m not saying there are any profiles in courage in Georgia’s Congressional delegation, but you’d have to have one to go against numbers like that.
By UGA 72
June 29, 2006 12:48 AM | Link to this
Gee, you would think the Grand old Coward Sonny was unopposed in the primary. Why even the Communist Party of GA, what, oh excuse me, the Republican Party of GA is running ads with Candidates money that are running against Sonny.
Amazing that the AJC hasn’t covered that story, Republican’s poop on Candidates running against Incumbents.
The incredible stupid party by ignoring people who paid money to run as Republicans must think their incumbent Candidates are safe, because after the way they treated the non mentioned, not listed Candidates, surely they don’t think the supporters of those candidates will vote Republican?
Sonny will win his Primary, and he likely would have anyway, but what about those 20%-40% of the voters who vote for Ray McBerry, or even more disgraceful ignoring of John Konop running against the man every lobbiest in Washington says always has his hand out, Rep. Tom “Let those Illegals Stay” Price?
By Chief
June 29, 2006 06:58 AM | Link to this
Let the GOP politicians’, a reporter, and a poll stay in a bar….
For Ga SOS - Trust experience.
Election Day: Voter Walter Ray.
By james
June 29, 2006 09:51 AM | Link to this
why would the Insider give ANY print or weight to a Strategic Vision poll, even with the caveat. Strategic Vision is a partisan joke!
By hkl
June 29, 2006 06:10 PM | Link to this
UGA 72 quote, “Sonny will win his Primary, and he likely would have anyway, but what about those 20%-40% of the voters who vote for Ray McBerry…”. UGA 72, are you serious? 20%-40% of the voters voting for McBerry? Give me a break…..
By Mud in your eye
July 1, 2006 08:30 PM | Link to this
Cagle is terrible environmentally and just kind of creepy. They say Reed will bring Perdue down with him, that’s why I’m voting for him. Purdue and his possee haven’t done a thing postive in 4 years except keep the gays/Shirley Franklin from running Druid Hills Country Club. Reed is nauseating when he continues to talk about all his kin who were in the military, (the military service I may be interested in is his, not his Daddy’s). He also says he was raised in Georgia. I don’t call coming to Toccoa at 15 to be raised in Georgia. That is the problem with Georgia, too many Yankees running things, but on the other hand Southerners are often so uninspired, I can see how it happened.