ajc.com > Metro

It's a new era. Political Insider has become a blog, with updates anytime there's something new to talk about. Click here to go to the latest entry, and don't forget to bookmark the new address when you get there.

Shades of John Donne: Bush's numbers in Georgia dissolve like sugar in a troubled sea.

Published on: 03/20/06

It's time for Republicans in Georgia to sweat.

That's the message contained in a poll aired Monday night by WAGA-TV, conducted by Atlanta-based Insider Advantage.

EMAIL THIS
PRINT THIS
MOST POPULAR
About the columnists:
Tom Baxter
Jim Galloway

Have a news tip? E-mail Tom Baxter or call him at 404-526-5943. Galloway can be e-mailed or reached at 404-526-5520.

Related:
Recent Political Insider columns.

Contrary to month after month of assurances that this state remains an island of confidence in President Bush, and that Gov. Sonny Perdue is invulnerable, the survey indicates that neither is the case.

Iraq, immigration, federal spending have generated an anti-Washington fervor that threatens to trickle down to the bottom of the Republican ballot, according to the poll. (Four percent margin of error, 500 interviews, between March 14-17.)

Among the highlights:

-- Only 46 percent of Georgians approve of the way Bush is doing his job. And 48 percent disapprove.

-- In one version of a November gubernatorial match-up, Perdue gets 48 percent of the vote. Democrat Cathy Cox, the current secretary of state, gets 40 percent. A Zogby poll for the AJC in December gave Perdue a 53-37 lead over Cox.

-- In the alternative version of the November race, Perdue gets 50 percent of the vote. Democrat Mark Taylor, now lieutenant governor, scores 34 percent. The Zogby poll gave Perdue a 56-31 advantage.

-- In a head-to-head primary match-up (the margin of error increases to 6 percent), Cox leads Taylor 42 to 31 percent. (The Zogby poll did not match Cox vs. Taylor.)

So according to the labor guy, June 30, 2007, could bring on a frenzied search for Spanish-speaking road-workers, peach-pickers and home-builders.

State Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond, a Democrat who's up for re-election, says he supports Republican efforts in this year's Legislature to clamp down on illegal immigration.

He'll discuss the GOP bill, S.B. 529, in a House subcommittee meeting today. Thurmond intends to point out that the measure only applies to those immigrants "newly hired" after July 1, 2007.

That means illegal immigrants employed before that date won't be covered by the restrictions, the labor commissioner deduces. "We may have inadvertently created an amnesty clause," Thurmond said -- which could, he said, encourage businesses to go on a hiring binge during the next 15 months or so.

That breeze you just felt was a combined sigh of relief from four white Democrats running for governor and lieutenant governor.

Denise Majette, the former congresswoman and ex-candidate for U.S. Senate, intends to announce a new set of political ambitions this morning at the state Capitol.

Remember she's got a track record as a contrarian, but we hear that she's got a race for state school superintent on her mind.

Help from Mississippi, the land of stiff-lipped Katrina survivors and those halls where the little ball drops into that spinning wheel

The invitation to Monday's event says, in big bold letters: "Ralph Reed election year kickoff."

But it's really a $100-a-head fund-raiser in Buckhead — and thus closed to the press. Which means we had to do some footwork and catch hold of Reed's headliner, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, when he was in town last week.

"Ralph's an old friend of mine. When I was chairman of the [national GOP] and he was executive director of the Christian Coalition, he was a great ally," said Barbour, in town to hawk the rebirth of his state to developers.

"Ralph's word was always good. One of the things I always admired about Ralph — if Ralph agreed to do something, and then found out later he couldn't do it, he'd pick up the phone and call you," the Mississippi governor said. "He'd say, 'My people won't go along with what I thought we could get done.' "

Barbour is Reed's best-case scenario: A successful Washington insider and lobbyist — his clients were Delta, Lockheed, Big Tobacco and more — who kept clear of the sleaze and transmogrified himself into a successful politician.

Barbour's congressional and White House contacts proved essential in the months following Katrina — a point that Reed is likely to emphasize today.

In this particular visit to Georgia, Barbour may be threading an interesting needle. Ten days ago, at the Southern Republican Leadership Council in Memphis, Barbour singled out for praise Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) — he of presidential ambition.

"He really helped us on the Katrina aid package, which I'm grateful for," Barbour said.

McCain's Indian Affairs committee, of course, has unearthed some of the most damaging evidence linking Reed to that fallen Washington angel, Jack Abramoff.

More than that, when it comes to economic development, Barbour is an unabashed supporter of Mississippi's gambling industry. Still, in Memphis recently, the governor also heaped praise on evangelicals.

"Faith-based groups have been the backbone of our recovery," Barbour said.

Crosstabs at high noon: On the count of three, gentlemen. And please don?t let your shots wander outside the margin of error

A serious skirmish may be breaking out between two Republican pollsters in Georgia. In a posting on his Insider Advantage Web site, former GOP lawmaker Matt Towery wrote the following:

"To the pollster who seems to release polls on virtually everything ... we've figured out you have neither the resources nor the finances to poll so many races in the South."

Towery refused to say who he was talking about, but the description only fits Strategic Vision, a firm that issues regular thermometer readings in Georgia and elsewhere.

"If it's directed at us, it's very humorous," said David Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision. Johnson said he thought the comments could be traced to the fact that the two pollsters are bumping heads in Florida.

Johnson also said he'd be happy to share cross tabs and his methodology with us.

Popeyes just put the boxes back under the lamp, and went about its business.

Last week, Republicans kindly scheduled "Crossover Day" for the same day as the Democrats' annual Jefferson-Jackson Day fund-raiser. State Democratic Party chairman Bobby Kahn said Republicans may have done the loyal opposition a favor.

"We saved about $10,000 on chicken dinners," he said. For the curious, the cheapest dinners at these banquets -- all that Democrats can afford these days -- run to $35 a plate.

Why U.S. Rep. Tom Price (R-Roswell) is struggling for campaign contributions: It's well known that rich people make the worst tippers

In Washington, The Hill newspaper recently reported that Georgia's 6th congressional district -- north DeKalb, east Cobb, north Fulton and Cherokee counties -- is one of the 10 wealthiest in the nation.

It ranks No. 4.

Another tidbit: Last week, business in the U.S. House ground to a halt when it was discovered that a blown fuse had trapped 11 members of Congress in a single elevator. Among them were U.S. Rep. Lynn Westmoreland of Sharpsburg, who is being called a hero for his faithful application of stick deodorant.

Search AJC Archives

Search staff-written and other selected articles.
Advanced search

from 1985 to present     from 1868 - 1939
  

Kudzu.com services

Find the right people for the job:

Keyword     Business Name

Powered by Kudzu

AJCPets » The community for Atlanta pet lovers