AJC > Sports Thrashers > Blog > Archives > 2007 > November

November 2007

Since I Was Up Anyway…

I hadn’t planned on writing anything about Thursday’s 4-2 loss to Toronto. It was disappointing and I really didn’t know what to say. So I flipped off the tube, flipped off the lights, “flipped off” the whole situation and went upstairs to go to bed. I was just about to sleep when…CRASH!

Seems as though the little gray kitten decided to climb one of the Christmas trees, the one in the living room…the one the boys decorate every year. There were ornaments and tree parts all over the hardwoods and area rug, broken glass bulbs scattered. The culprit perched atop the sofa admiring her work. The time…12:24.

So anyway, it’s now cleaned up and I’m awake…

Where to start? How about that first “goal”, huh? GAWD-ALMIGHTY! I don’t know if Antropov’s stick actually touched the puck or not as it was rolling off the top of the net, but the fact that he lifted it up and over the goal and swiped at it means the stick was indeed over the cross bar, (the determining height)…so I guess the goal judges in Toronto figured that wood never contacted rubber. OK, so stuff like that happens.

The problem is that the next three the Leafs scored were due to some very sloppy play in our zone. Seconds prior to the first intermission, the Pop-a-Zhit pairing got caught leaning toward the same attacker leaving Alexander Steen all alone. Then in the second period, Todd White allowed Mats Sundin to sashay and do-see-do around him on his way to a backhanded tally, (this would be known as “The Re-Charminization” effect). The final goal coming on a 3 on 2 breakaway that might as well been a 3 on 0.

It’s fitting that the two Atlanta goals scored were from Kovy and Enstrom as they have been the most consistent forward and defender on the team respectively. Kovalchuk’s goal at 16:20 in the second snapped an Atlanta goal-less drought of 166 minute and 32 minutes. I had heard that if the Thrasher didn’t score last night, Gov. Sonny Perdue was going to hold a prayer rally at Philips this weekend much like the one he conducted to petition the Great Thunder Maker for rain last week.

After the game, Don Waddell indicated that he may look to have Kari Lehtonen return earlier then he planned from his rehab stint in Chicago. Sure, Kari did look good in his one start the other night, but I think Don’s feeling the heat because after three straight lack-luster defeats he knows he is three more away from six in a row and he is looking over his shoulder afraid that the GM will…. oh, wait, never mind.

So, it’s off to the New York area for two games against the Islanders and Devils, two teams the Thrasher find themselves trailing by 5 and 4 points. It’s time to snap out of this funk.

It’s also time for me to go to bed. Now, where is that cat?

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Thrashers First Quarter Report Card

The Thrashers prepare to rake some Leafs at Philips tonight after a four-day reprieve from the schedule. They will host a Toronto team that is 2-5-3 in its last ten games and whose GM and coach’s tenure may be circling the drain. The Toronto sports media is reportedly traveling en-mass with the team awaiting the loss that will bring forth their demise. If tonight’s game proves to be just such a defeat for Toronto, the Thrashers could start getting the label of “Coach Killer” given the firing of Glen Hanlon after Atlanta’s 5-1 win over the Capitals last week.

The team will also be moving into the second quarter of the season, so it’s report card time for the Thrashers…

OFFENSE

The Good: Ilya Kovalchuk. His 19 goals lead the NHL and he has played all year justifying the “A” on his jersey. He has been nothing short of dynamic. Marian Hossa got off to a sluggish start but has improved in November, currently with 9 goals and 10 assists in the 20 games he has played. Todd White and Eric Perrin have stepped it up as well after slow starts.

The Un-Good: The Thrashers 2.56 goals per game ranks 20th in the league, (tied with San Jose), and their 25.7 shots per game is 24th best. They have been shut out a league high five times and have been held to two goals or less in 10 of their 23 games. Their power play is 19th best in the NHL at 16.0%, (tied with Columbus). Bobby Holik has looked slow and Jim Slater is still seeking his first goal.

The Summary: In November the team has a 3.09 goals for average, so it’s getting better. But there is still much room for improvement. This grade would be a lot worse if not for #17.

The Grade: C-

DEFENSE

The Good: Tobias Enstrom leads the team with 23:17 TOI as well as his +6 rating. He has thrown in 2 goals and 11 assists as well. We were all looking for big things out of the kid, but what he is delivering is HUGE! Overall Nic Havelid and Garnet Exelby have been solid of late.

The Un-Good: The 3.39 GA/G is only better then Toronto’s and only the Flyers give up more then the Thrashers 32.2 SA/G. Penalty killing is a league worst 72.6%. Too many times the defense has looked flat-footed and slow. Alexi Zhitnik’s -10 speaks for it’s self and Steve McCarthy was really fighting it with a -13 hanging around his neck before he was sat down.

The Summary: The team defense was awful in October. And even though it seems to have stabilized some once the pairings were given time to gel together, this aspect of the Thrashers still has a ways to go. They have to cut down the shots on net.

The Grade: D

GOALKEEPING

The Good: Rookie Ondrej Pavelec gave the team a much-needed boost winning his first three starts. His .905 SV% is still the better of the three net minders. Johan Hedberg is 8-5 with a 2.96 GAA, both lead the trio.

The Un-Good: Kari Lehtonen’s injury trouble reared its ugly head again. Before going down he was 0-4 with a 4.49 GAA and .879 SV%. His rehab assignment started well and he could be ready in a soon as a week.

The Summary: Moose is a great #2 guy to have around, but Kari needs to return strong and take over. Pavelec gave us a great effort but for this season it’s up to Kari and Moose. Given the number of shots they face it’s amazing the GAA isn’t even higher then it is.

The Grade: C+

ROOKIES

The Good: Actually, The Very Good. Enstrom by far stand out, but Bryan Little, (3g, 5a, +2), Darren Haydar, (1g, 5a, +3), and Mark Popovic have played very well also. When called upon Opie was more then adequate. This area has been the most pleasant surprise of the season with the possible exception of Kovy’s play.

The Un-Good: Brett Sterling’s 3 points in 12 games was a disappointment.

The Summary: Outside of Kovy’s play, the play of our youngsters has been the brightest part of the first 21 games. The future sure looks good in Blueland, that the present looks good as well is a bonus.

The Grade: A

Overall grade: C

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Thrasher-Math 101

(Thrasher-Math 101 class at Blueland University. Prof. Rawhide takes the lectern)

OK, class…settle down… Class? …CLASS? …SHUT UP!

(Ahem)…Thank you.

Now, Russian, CM, MattH and TonyC, put down those hockey sticks and take your seats. Puckjunque, please take off the goalie mask while in class and Buzilla, the apple on my desk will win you no favors seeing that you took it out of Christy’s lunchbox. BaldHeadedThrasherFan, if you don’t mind, please don’t sit next to the window… the glare…thank you, there’s an empty seat next to Kracker in the back. Brendan, sorry, no karaoke tonight, but the silk button-down disco shirt is very nice anyway. And Manley, the tank…next time park it in the back…and not on the azaleas.

First off, I am having ThrasherRyan pass out everyone’s graded papers on the “G>U+U = 2 points” formula. I have to say that I am very impressed with everyone’s high marks. Also, I want to point out Sara’s extra credit work on Recent Draft Picks that I have posted on the bulletin board. Great work, indeed.

OK, today we are discussing certain mathematic formulas that help us gauge the progress of our Atlanta Thrashers. In review, we have discussed the theory that 95 or 96 points would be required for a return to the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Given a six-month season, that breaks down to roughly 16 points needed per month as an average, (discounting the last two games in the month of April).

Bob, I notice you are not taking notes. Did you fail to come to class with an appropriate lead-based writing utensil? Please get one from Jennifer.

Now, as we know, the team got off to a less then par start earning only 8 points in the month of October. However, November has been much more productive as the Thrashers have gone 7-4-0 for 14 points going into Thursday’s game against Toronto. Combined with last month’s points that brings the total to 22 points and an overall average now of 11 per month. Winning Thursday would bring that average to 12.

Am I going to fast for you, Ranallo? No? Good.

Continuing, that brings us to December. This is a very important month seeing as Atlanta will be playing 16 games, the most in any month this season. (For our student from Livonia, Michigan, that means that there are 32 possible points to gain, and I’m glad to see you remembered to wear your hockey helmet to class). So, in order for the Thrashers to get their average up to the 16 points per month level, they will need to earn 24 of those 32 points. (This assumes gaining 2 points vs. the Leafs, if not, that number increases to 26). The official mathematical terminology for gaining such a high percentage of those available points is “a very tall order”. But anything over 16 helps the process.

(Sigh), Rstroz and Brian, I see you sneaking in the back there. Tardy again? Once more and you’ll wind up in Dean Waddell’s office, young men.

Moving along to our next lesson… the Points Earned per Game formula. This is quite simple. If you take the total amount of points gained and divide it by the total amount of games played the resulting quotient is the PEG. This is important because if the Thrashers are to gain the required 96 points to make the playoffs, then they have to have a PEG rating of at least 1.171, (96 divided by 82 games = 1.171). Currently, they have 22 points in 23 games for a PEG rating of .956. While this is up from October’s .667 PEG, you can plainly see that improvement in this area is still needed. That being said, the upward trend is promising.

Now for the class participation part of today’s lesson….

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Warning: Contains Un-Good Language

%$#@!…Just %$#@!

For three weeks or so, the Thrashers were cruising. They were scoring, performing thrilling comebacks, rising in the standings, skating hard and passing well, playing good defense. They were playing great hockey. Then…well, %$#@!

Not just %$#@!, but $%@#! too. I would say &@#&#!, but I promised my wife I’d never to use that word in the house ever again!

Now, in case your wondering, I am NOT whining. I’m cursing. There’s a difference. Whining is just annoying and obnoxious. Cursing, well you can make a point with it. Whining is “Oh, the team just stinks. Don can’t coach or run a front office”. Cursing is, “%$#@!-it”! It’s simple, to the point and concise.

Whining presents a problem, expresses doubt that it can be overcome and, more times then not, assigns blame, (normally in a high-pitched, grating voice). My cursing however stems from the premise that the team is good enough to do well but for some inexplicable reason looked like the %$#@! Disney’s Key-Stone Cops On Ice twice in a 24-hour span.

Friday night’s loss, after four straight wins, could be explained away as just that, a loss after a nice win streak. The Devils took advantage of their chances, limited ours and relied on their great goalie the few times he needed to come up big. They won, we lost, it is what it is, it happens, right?

%$#&!-NO!

Saturday’s stink bomb on the heals of the previous night’s resembled the stench of early October. Packed with half-hearted skating, lack-luster offense, poor team defense, soft goals, powerless power plays, etc.

@#$&%!!!

See, this team is good enough to go up against a goalie with a 3.47 GAA and a .891 SV% and recover from being shut out the night before. This team is too good to go 130:12 without a goal, (last score coming at 9:48 in the third Wednesday in Washington). It might not be the class of the NHL just yet, but is sure isn’t this @#$&%-ing bad. … It just isn’t that @#$&%-ing weak on defense. It’s not that @#$&%-ing soft on offense. It’s just @#$&%-ing NOT!

There, now I feel a little bit better. Now you try it…go ahead. (That is unless, of course, you didn’t spend the whole game saying it as well as other colorful metaphors). It has a certain soothing effect to it. Go on, you know you wanna. Remember, it’s not whining if you keep your voice at a low pitch and you scowl.

See there? Good.

Anyway, I have to go to church now.

I think I might just be a while.

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Devils and Penguins and Whiners, (Oh, My)

After reading some of the comments following Friday night’s game against New Jersey I had to rub my eyes, scratch my head and review what I THOUGHT was true regarding the Thrashers recent play. Had Atlanta lost four in a row coming into the game against the Devils? No, those were wins. Had they lost 7 of the previous 8 before they took to the ice at Philips? Ah, no…quite the opposite. Losing streaks lately? Nope…not one time since Don Waddell took the reigns behind the bench have the Thrashers lost more than one consecutive game, (think what you will about him but them there’s the facts). Had our team been out scored 34-23 in the month of November going into Friday’s game? Negative.

So, good, my mind hasn’t degraded as much with my aging as I had thought, (whew)!

The way I saw the game Friday night was that Atlanta got sucked into a classic New Jersey Devils type of game. Put Marty Brodeur in the goal, get a lead by hook or by crook, close off the middle and … s l o w … everything down. They took their lead on a less-then-highlight-type goal by Rod Pelley in the second period, added to it a 5-3 power play goal and then limited the Thrashers chances to almost nothing. Kovy had a point blank shot stymied by Brodeur just after New Jersey’s second goal and Pascal Dupuis’ breakaway attempt with nine minutes left in the third met the same fate via the left skate of Marty the Magnificent. New Jersey’s defense didn’t force him to make too many saves, (22 in fact), but when he was called upon, he came through for them.

Hard loss? Absolutely, especially in front of a sellout crowd that was stoked to cheer on the Boys of Blueland that night. But the disappointment experienced in that game is not the norm of late…rather it is the exception. So, let me prepare everyone for a dose of reality; there are 4 months left in the season and, brace yourselves, there is the great likelihood that Atlanta will indeed lose at least a couple more games along the way. One loss after four straight wins does not equate to falling skies. Let the team lose three or four in a row or seven out of ten before commencing with the whaling and gnashing of teeth about the players or Don Waddell.

Fortunately for the Thrashers, the schedule has afforded them a chance at redemption tonight in Pittsburgh. Ah, Scarlett O’Hara was indeed correct, “Tomorrow is another day”.

Tonight’s game pits two of the NHL’s biggest stars on the ice, Ilya Kovalchuk and Sidney Crosby. Kovy enters the match with 19 goals, (leads the league), and 33 points while the Penguins’ top scorer has 11 goals and 20 assists. Not to be ignored is Evgeni Malkin’s 9 goals and 20 helpers.

Atlanta catches the Pens as Pittsburgh is slumping a bit, (3-6-1 in their past 10). However, they are fresh off a shootout win in Ottawa. The Thrashers are also playing to remain in the thick of the conference playoff standings as their 22 points tie them with Tampa, New Jersey and the Islanders for 8th place. Two of those two teams, the Lightning and Devils, square off tonight down in Tampa. Also, with Florida’s win last night, Atlanta has fallen into third place and need a win to leap back over the Panthers for second in the division standings.

Lastly, there is this All Star balloting issue being highlighted in tonight’s match up. When the NHL released the vote count, Crosby led the east tally with 94,118. Kovalchuk sits at seventh among forwards with 26,628. Folks, the leading goal scorer in the league to-date needs to start. So…get out there and vote!!!!

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Thrashers Administer Capital Punishment

Ilya Kovalchuk continues to dish out punishment to opposing defenses. Wednesday night it was Washington’s turn to be used, abused and kicked to the curb as the Russian Rocket tallied 2 goals and two assists in Atlanta’s 5-1 smack down of the Capitals. He now has 19 goals and 33 points on the season.

Things started out slowly as the Thrasher were out shot by the Caps 8-1 at one point and then fell behind 1-0. But then it was all Kovy and Co. as the Boys of Blueland were on Washington goalie Olaf Kolzig like my boys will be on a turkey drumstick in about 15 hours from now. Atlanta built a two-goal lead going into the second intermission. The two extra goals in the third period were just gravy on the top.

Not to be over-looked is the efforts of To-BEE-us Enstrom who finished the night with 3 assists and 23:34 TOI. Niclas Havelid and Eric Perrin joined in with a goal and assist each while the Captain notched his second goal of the year. Pascal Dupuis had an assist while Marian Hossa continued his great play of late with two helpers of his own. Johan Hedberg looked solid, stopping 31 of 32 shots the Capitals launched towards him.

The win capped off an unbelievable 8 game run through our Southeast division foes with the Thrashers winning 7 of them. They picked up 14 points while giving back only 5 to the opponents. Atlanta has won four straight for the first time this season and 11 of it’s last 15. The victory in D.C. also lifted the team to a winning record for the first time all season. Tell the truth, if I would have told you on October 17 that the Thrashers would have be above .500 before you sat down to Thanksgiving dinner, you would have looked at me like I was from Neptune.

But you see, Fzxcrstyupju, (Neptonian for “my friends”), not only is it true, but Atlanta is now tied for second in the division only 5 points shy of Carolina and locked in a 4 way tie with Tampa Bay, Boston and the Islanders for 6th place in the conference.

We will gather with full bellies Friday at Philips to bedevil New Jersey and I’ll have a new post after Saturday’s game in Pittsburgh. Hopefully to discuss 4 more points in the standings.

So, on this winning Thanksgiving-eve, I wish all of you the happiest of holiday feasts. This is especially true for you Manley and all those who serve with you in Iraq, Afghanistan and all over the globe. May you all receive blessings from the Almighty and return home not only safely, but victorious.

Happy Thanksgiving, Blueland.

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We Had Them Right Where We Wanted Them

I can see it now. The next time we play the Tampa Bay Lightning, during the pre-game discussion John Tortorella is going to tell his guys, “Hey, whatever you do, don’t get a 2 or 3 goal lead on these guys. That’s right where they want us”!

And who would blame him. The last time the two teams matched up, the Thrashers erased a 4-1 deficit by scoring 5 unanswered goals. This time Atlanta did it by scoring 2 goals in the last 5:18 to send the game into overtime, where they then beat them. It’s almost like they are just toying with them. There is a certain evil, twisted, demented quality about that type of a team that I just love!

The Boys of Blueland started showing this quality in Ottawa at the beginning of the month when they got behind 5-0 and pulled to within a goal of the Senators. The very next game is when they completed the “sting” against the Bolts for the first time. Last week, they “played” the Panthers much the same way when Marion Hossa scored to tie the game with less then 3 seconds left on the clock. Ilya Kovalchuk then finished them off 25 seconds into the overtime session, (Very humane thing to do, finishing off wounded prey so they don’t suffer long).

Last night after a very strong first period, the Thrashers allowed a one-goal lead slip away. The goal coming when Pascal Dupruis beat, I mean literally BEAT, Brad Lukowich to the puck and fed a nifty pass to Brad Larson who tallied his first goal of the season. But Tampa Bay’s Jan Hlavac and Vinny Lecavalier scored second period goals just 38 seconds apart to put Atlanta in a 2-1 hole. (It ended a nice run of 98:59 Johan Hedberg had gone without allowing a goal). Half way through the third it was 3-1.

Right where we wanted them.

The hustle of Slava Kozlov earned a 5-3 power play at 13:57 of the third, then he and Marion Hossa assisted on a goal by Bryan Little. Hossa later teamed up with Niclas Havelid setting up Kovy’s game tying goal at 17:37, his NHL leading 17th of the season. The pass from Hossa found its way past two Tampa defenders who were sprawled out on the ice like pretty little snow angels.

Enter Todd White in the extra frame. He took a pass from Kovalchuk on the left side during a 4-3 power play and motored his way to the net for the game winner. Tobias Enstrom had the secondary assist and played an amazing 27:18 on the ice. It was White’s second such goal in the past three overtime games. He has gone from being called Charmin, (because he was “soft”), to be referred to as Bounty-The Quicker-Pucker-Upper due to his improved play. Maybe we can now start calling him Dow Scrubbing Bubbles. Because in overtime, he works hard so you don’t have toooooooooooooooooooooooooo.

(Sorry)…

Anyway, the win brings our team to 10-10 on the year and 6-1 on the 8 game swing through the Southeast division, picking up 12 points and only giving back 5. It ties us with Boston for 9th place in the conference, just one point behind 8th place Toronto. The Thrashers are third in the division, seven behind Carolina and two in back of the Lightning. The victory also brings Atlanta to 6-2 for the month of November and assures the team of a non-losing record for the month.

The Lightning came into the game on a roll winning five in a row. They had built a two-goal lead on the Thrashers with less then half a period to go. But they left Blueland with their win streak snapped and their heads shaking.

They’ve only themselves to blame. They walked right into our trap.

Suckers!

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To-BEE-us And Tampa Bay

Very quickly before I opine, this will be a busy week with 4 games and T-Day as well. I will try to keep up and provide a forum for discussion after each game. Now then…

The All Star Case for Enstrom

There was some clamor last week regarding Thrasher rookie defender Tobias Enstrom and the All Star Game ballot. To be honest, if there is one blue liner on this club deserving of such consideration it is the young Swede. Let’s consider some of his contributions thus far.

To-BEE-us has played in every game for the team and has arguably been the biggest success of the group of rookies that landed positions on the team. His +/- ratio of +7 ties him for the top spot on the team with Niclas Havelid, (not bad considering the team is up-side-down in GF vs. GA). His Time On Ice average of 22:58 is tops for the Thrashers. Added to that are his 2 goals and 7 assists. Unfortunately there are no real stats for positioning, back checking and hustle, if there were he would be right up toward the top of all of them. Personally, I cannot think of a sub-par game from him thus far. It seems like every game we just wind him up, toss him out on the ice and watch him perform at a level we might have hope of him 2 years from now.

Now, compare Enstrom with the following:

22:45 TOI, -4, 3 goals and 6 assists. Those stats belong to the Penguins Ryan Whitney. Numbers like -6, 24:12, with 3 goals and 6 assists belong to Bryan McCabe of Toronto. Both of these players are on the ballot.

All Star voting in any sport is never an exact science and making the case for a defender on a team that is dead last in GAA and shots per game isn’t exactly an easy sell, (though one could also point out that it makes his efforts stand out all that much more). But, seeing that this is our year in the spotlight, we might as well use it to illuminate one of our brightest players that otherwise might go unnoticed.

So, here is the link to make your All Star selections. Oh, and don’t forget Kovy, Hoss and Kozzy while your there. Vote early and vote often.

Blueland Braces for Bolts

The Tampa Bay Lightning enters into Blueland Monday night to take on the Thrashers. The Bolts have won five straight and have not allowed more then two goals in that stretch. They currently sit in second place in the division and sixth in the conference with 21 points. They are tops in the NHL with a 3.41 GFA and have 108 assists, (fourth best in the league). However, they are 22nd in team defense giving up 2.99 goals a game.

You will remember the last meeting with Tampa Bay. It ended the 7 game road trip with a brilliant 6-4 come from behind win in which Atlanta scored the last 5 goals of the game and Kovy notched his second consecutive hat trick. The Thrashers are 5-1 since that time and have been playing their best hockey in many a moon.

Tampa owns a 2-1 season-series edge on the Bruisers of Blueland and, outside of the last period and a half of that game on November 3rd, has looked like the more powerful team of the two. But of course, two of those match-ups were during that span of games that we don’t discuss here anymore.

So, given the two teams ability to score, we should look for a 5-4 game.

Of course, now that I’ve gone on record saying that, it’ll be 2-1, right?

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Moose Stands On Head In Carolina

Sounds like a National Enquirer headline, does it not? But it’s true. I swear it is. You see, Johan “Moose” Hedberg turned back 31 shots and hand delivered the Thrashers their first shutout victory of the season, a 3-0 win over the division leading Hurricanes. Some of those saves where things of beauty. Interestingly enough, Moose had entered Friday’s game in Carolina with a .889 SV% and a league low 3.59 GAA. While his overall numbers are not that impressive on the season, (or for that matter the team’s overall goalkeeping numbers), of late those stats are improving all around. In three of the past four games Atlanta has given up 2 goals or less.

So, apparently, moose can stand on their heads. Just ask some of the players wearing red jerseys last night. They are believers. Now, about that incident in Roswell, New Mexico…

Combined with the stellar goaltending of late is another positive trend, the play of one Mr. Marion Hossa. In his past four games he has 6 goals and 3 helpers. The combination of White, Hossa and Kovy has been nothing short of electric. On the second goal the “Player Formerly Known as Charmin” turned his defender into a snow-angel then passed the biscuit to Hoss as he sliced through the slot. Very nice! Hey Don, or Brad…or whomever is going to be coach next week, I think I speak for the entire Blueland Blog-o-sphere when I say, “Please keep them on the ice together”.

Honestly, that game could have been 6-0 with all the quality chances. Hossa was on target 6 times and Pascal “You Me And” Dupuis went postal just prior to the second break. The whole offense just looked good.

Defensively, it looks as though the pairings are starting to click. Exelby back in the line-up with Klee logged some very solid minutes and Toe-BEE-us Enstrom with Havelid continue to communicate well. Popovic with Zhitnik did well, (could we call that the Pop-a-Zhit pairing)?

So, all in all a lot of very good things from Raleigh last night and not anything really un-good. Oh yeah, we were out shot again.

And now, some quick shots from the hip:

Friday’s win puts the Thrashers at 5-1-0 with two games left in the current southeast run.

The Thrashers are 9-4 since….ya know what? I’m not even going to mention those first six games anymore.

We awake this morning, sipping upon our morning brew, to find the Thrashers two points below the playoff cut-off line.

What’s this? Over the past 10 games the only team in the Southeast Division with a winning record hails from Blueland.

Chris Thorburn played a solid game, logging 8:00 TOI and a shot on goal. But more importantly, he handled his TV interview during the second intermission very nicely indeed, and that is VERY important.

Anyone else cringe when Sports South displayed Hedberg’s goaltending as the Perfection Play of the Game with about two and a half minutes left to go? Do they not understand the delicacies and protocol of Shutout Karma?

Enstrom was the Time On Ice leader. Funny, as I was typing that it felt as though I was experiencing a bit of deja-vous.

Monday night Tampa Bay is in town for a nationally televised game on Vs. That’s HD folks so get to the solons, shave close and clip those nose hairs.

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HHoF, Carolina and Apple Carts

Ron, Scott, Al and Mark

If you will allow me to step away from my regular Thrashers Blog gig for a moment, I would like to pay homage to the four NHL players who were inducted into the Hockey Hall of Fame in Toronto earlier this week, (along with executive Jim Gregory). One could write pages upon pages on each one these great players but I’ll try to keep it to a minimum:

Ron Francis: He emulated class on the ice as much as anyone. Winner of two cups in Pittsburgh and captained a Carolina team to the finals in ’02. He finished with 1,249 assists, (2nd to Gretzky).

Scott Stevens: The player who defined “two way defender” more then anyone else. His 1,635 career games are the most ever by a defenseman. He lifted the cup 3 times and was an All Star 13 times in his 23-year stint in the NHL.

Al McInnis: The Nova Scotia native who played 23 years with St. Luis and Calgary. He won not only a championship with Calgary in ’89 but also the Conn Smythe Trophy that year as well. His slap shot was howitzer-esque. He trails only Ray Borque and Paul Coffey in scoring by defenders.

Mark Messier: Part of that unbelievable Edmonton team of the 1980s with Wayne Gretzky, Paul Coffey, Grant Fuhr and Jari Kurri. He won 6 cups overall, appeared in 15 All Star games and finished with 1,887 regular-season points, (second only to The Great One).

Combined they won 12 Stanley Cup Championships and account for countless memories and stories by hockey fans too great in number to count. Though their playing styles differed and their paths divergent, they landed in the same spot on the same night, the Hockey Hall of Fame.

Those four would be a nice start to any all-time fantasy team, eh?

Going to Carolina

The Thrashers enter Friday night’s game in Carolina 9 points behind the Southeast Division leaders. Now I have looked at this from all angles and scenarios, crunched the numbers with a calculator, slide rule and #2 pencil. I have endless printouts of spreadsheets, researched the files and data banks of the NHL, scoured advanced math books ad nauseam and I have come to the following conclusion:

Winning and being 7 points out of first is much better then losing and being 11 points off the lead.

Where else are you going to get this type of in-depth analysis?

Furthermore, (oops, sorry…I used one of the un-good words), any points will guarantee that Atlanta gains a majority of the 16 points available during this 8 game stint against division foes. A win will mean that when we amass in Blueland on Monday the Thrashers will be able to pull to .500 on the season with a victory on that night. Not bad considering the start to the season. And a successful game against the Hurricanes will give the Thrashers a winning record in our division and the two points would continue our assent up the conference standings as well.

So, any way you slice it, dice it, chop, mince or puree` it, these are two big, fat hairy points out there.

Upset the Apple Cart - NOT!

As Craig Custance reported, Don Waddell has made it clear that a new coach will not come from outside of the organization. I don’t think this will come a shock to anyone seeing how the Thrashers have played 12 games since Bob Hartley was released a month ago, going 8-4.

Given the fact that the team has played well during that time and bringing in someone new, possibly with a new style and philosophy might “upset the apple cart”, the general manager has ended any speculation of it. He also indicated that his future is not behind the bench. So I would speculate that we should soon hear that Brad McCrimmon is being placed into the head coaching position, possibly this weekend is my opinion.

Another possible reason for this decision is that the team will still pay Bob Hartley’s contract for this season and next, if I understand it correctly. Promoting McCrimmon relieves the added cost of bringing in someone else.

When Coach Hartley was released I commented that I would opine as to if it was the right thing to do or not once we learned who would take his place. Given the way the team has played over the past month with McCrimmon leading the practices as well as serving in some capacities as the head coach, and the fact that there is no smoother coaching transition imaginable, I would welcome the news.

At least it makes logical sense.

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Rawhide’s Believe It Or Not

Today we explore strange and unusual stats as well as other bizarre items related to the Atlanta Thrashers and the NHL in the first edition of RAWHIDE’S BELIEVE IT OR NOT! (Cue strange, eerie music)…

The Thrashers are 4-0 when Todd White scores a goal, (including last night’s win). May those among us who would be without an ounce of soft tissue cast the first roll of Charmin. (I’m looking at you Rstroz).

The Thrashers are now 4-0 in overtime so far this season. Two shootout wins on the road and two overtime goals at home. If they are not careful, they might actually become known as a “clutch” team.

Marion Hossa’s 11 short handed goals in the last three seasons leads the NHL. So, when he is slumping, take a penalty, right?

Steve McCarthy spent 12:20 in the ice Tuesday night and DID NOT lower his +/- rating. This is progress.

Eric Perrin has an assist on all three SHGs this year. Did you see the way he fought for that puck in the corner Saturday night and delivered it to Hoss?? I’d say that on the PK, Eric “Lee and” Perrin is nothing short of A1. (Sorry).

The Thrashers actually out-shot an opponent for the very first time this season 33-21 Tuesday night. It was the 18th game of the year. And there was much rejoicing in Blueland.

The +/- leaders of the team is Toe-BEE-us Enstrom and Niclas Havelid at +4. Tobi also leads the team in TOI at 22:48. I’d say the kid is doing OK-Mighty Fine.

Atlanta is now 5-1 in games not televised locally. Should we consider it a “bad thing” that all but two will be on the tube between now and New Years?

The Thrashers are 6-2 in games since I took the bold and courageous step of washing the jersey. All I can say is…WHEW! Glad that worked out.

Puckjunque is 7-2 with her pre-game prayers. OK, PJ…the governor held a prayer rally for rain yesterday. Can you conjure up something to petition the Great Thunder Maker in the Sky for some precipitation in these parts?

This column has been free of bloggers from Livonia, Michigan for over a month.

There are no NHL players to be found on Dancing With The Stars. The wimp-ification of America has not found it’s way to the ice just yet. God be praised.

Tuesday’s loss dropped the Panthers to 7-11-1. Given that and the fact that the Heat are 1-6, the Dolphins are 0-9 and the Marlins just came off a loosing year, it will come as no surprise if we see south Florida sports fans boarding rafts and heading to Cuba.

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Umm, Don…You Have a Dilemma

di·lem·ma (dĭ-lĕm’a) n.

  1. A situation that requires a choice between options that are or seem equally unfavorable or mutually exclusive.
  2. Usage Problem. A problem that seems to defy a satisfactory solution.
  3. Logic. An argument that presents two alternatives, each of which has the same consequence.

A dilemma (Greek “double proposition”) is a problem offering two solutions or possibilities, neither of which is either fully acceptable or fully unacceptable. The two options are often described as the horns of a dilemma, not a comfortable situation to sit upon. The dilemma is sometimes used as a rhetoricall device, in the form “you must accept either A, or B”; here A and B would be propositions each leading to some further conclusion. Applied in this way, it may be a fallacy, a false dichotomy.

Either way you define it, Don Waddell has dilemma. Specifically, in the goal of the Atlanta Thrashers team that he currently general manages and coaches. You see, on October 18th as the Thrashers were on their way to the first win of the season against the Rangers, Kari Lehtonen, their proclaimed number one starting goalie, left the game in the first period. It was his reoccurring groin problem and he was going to have to sit down until sometime in December. The team called up young net-minder Ondrej Pavelec from the Chicago Wolves to back up the 34 year-old veteran Johan Hedberg, a solid and reliable man to put between the pipes in a pinch. Simple enough, right?

Well, here is where it gets un-simple. Hedberg plays well enough in a support role. He helped to stabilize the team as it began the seven game road trip. When he had an off game in Ottawa, the rookie stepped in and played well. Well enough to earn a start in Tampa. He promptly goes on to win his first three career starts and has looked like the better of the three since that time. Even in last night’s loss, where he faced 39 shots, the only goal he allowed that looked “weak” to me was the third one, (Brind’Amour’s 2nd one that slid through the pads). The others? One off Klee’s skate, a power play goal in which the Hurricane’s captain was left alone in front of the net, three defenders pulled to one player on their fourth goal allowing Stillman to flip in a rebound, and the last one where three defenders failed to clear the puck from the crease.

So now, here is where Don’s dilemma comes in. Do you stick with the plan and, when Kari is healthy enough to play in a few weeks, send Opie back to the farm or do you opt to keep him around and do something with Moose or your “number one” goalkeeper?

At least he doesn’t have to jump off that bridge today. If so, how could you send the kid back to Chi-town with him sporting a winning record, a 2.71 GAA and a .917 SV%? Comparatively, Hedberg is 4-4 with a 3.77 GAA and .885 SV%. Lehtonen is 0-4, 4.48 and .879. Those numbers show Opie as your best option in the net. But then, if you keep him on the team, who goes away via re-assignment or by trade?

Does Don package one for a strong center or defenseman? If so, whom would he use as the bait to land such a deal? Opie? Shea-RIGHT! And face a complete revolt in Blueland? I don’t think so. How about Kari? Sounds logical, but who is going to even consider what is perceived as a glass-groined goalie much less offer up what we need in such a deal? Moose? Ok, I’m sure there is a need for a solid #2 guy out there, even a team or two in need of an adequate starter. But then, if you keep Opie and Kari, who starts and who sits? And do you really want to lose a goalie that is so respected and trusted in a back-up role?

Now, there are some would say that this is a good dilemma to have. Too much goaltending is akin to a baseball team having too many quality starters. No one is ever going to complain about that. But in hockey there is no bullpen to send the odd man out. So someone has to go somewhere next month.

Adding to the dilemma is that fact that right now the team is at a critical juncture. They seemed to have weathered the 0-6-0 start of the season by going 7-4-0 since. The season is still so young and the conference standings still so bunched enough that we find ourselves in the mix as far as playoffs are concerned. So, making the right choice here will keep us in the hunt. Choosing the wrong option could doom any opportunity to vie for Lord Stanley’s cup.

There is still about a month to go. Maybe if Kari is healthy enough at the beginning of the month Don tells him to take a few more weeks off, make sure he’s 100%…no, 110% ready. Still, that just delays the inevitable. Maybe by that time Opie shows he still isn’t quite ready for prime time yet thus making Waddell’s choice easy. Maybe, but I doubt it. Maybe a GM calls and makes an offer for one of them that is just too good to pass up; one that bolsters the squad and addresses the needs. Maybe, but those deals rarely just drop into one’s lap.

This is Don’s dilemma. May he choose wisely.

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More of The Good, The Un-Good and the Ugly

As the Thrashers continue their current eight-game stretch against Southeast Division foes with games in Florida and home against Carolina this weekend, it’s time for another rendition of The Good, The Un-good and The Ugly.

THE GOOD:

Very Offensive: Since the end of the second period of the Ottawa game last Thursday, the Thrashers have out scored their opponents to the tune of 12-6. For those of you from Livonia, Michigan, that would be scoring twice as many as the other team.

Putting in the Overtime: The Thrashers are 3-0 in overtime games this year. Can’t get much gooder then that.

Doing the Math: The 6 wins in the past 9 games are good indeed. How good? Well, if continued on that pace for the rest of the season it would land the Thrashers at 101 points. I’d take that.

Up ‘Chuk: Ilya Kovalchuk is absolutely unconscious! Seven goals and eight points in the past three games as well as the winning shootout goal in Montreal 4 games ago will land him in the “Good” category. But that’s only because there isn’t one for Super-wonder-splindifferous. Blueland held it’s collective breath Tuesday night when he tweaked his back on a slap shot but it looks like he is good to go against the Panthers. Good, but crossing fingers.

Opie!: Ondrej Pavelec, (or Opie as he will be called here), is 2-0-0 in career starts. In those games he has faced 64 shots, stopping 59 of ‘em. He is currently boasting a 2.49 GAA and .913 SV%. I know Todd White’s game-winner in OT earning him the games first star is justified, but let’s be honest, without OP’s net-minding Tuesday night, there would not have been an overtime.

Playing the Full 20 Minutes: The Thrashers seem to have gotten a grip on that “allowing a goal early in a period and seconds before the intermission” problem. As I stated a few days ago, it is always a good thing when TV breaks for the first commercial before we give up the first goal.

Reason for the Recent Rise?: In case you were wondering, the Thrashers are 4-1 since I broke down and washed the lucky jersey, (you are welcome), and 5-1 after pre-game prayers posted by Puckjunque, (take a bow, PJ). Hey, these stats just don’t lie.

THE UN-GOOD:

Still Being Out Shot: The Thrashers still are yet to outshoot an opponent in a game. However, it’s no longer by such E-GREE-GEOUS margins as in the earlier games. Tuesday night’s OT win saw Atlanta launch 31 SOG to Washington’s 32.

When Your #2 You Have to Try Harder: Steve McCarthy’s -12 rating still tops the team, but sitting in the No. 2 spot for this dubious honor is Alexei Zhitnik with a -9. Un-good when your logging only 16 or so minutes or so a game as has been the case the past several games.

The Revolution is Will Not Be Televised: The Thrashers are 4-0 in games not televised locally. While any winning record in a given circumstance should be considered a good thing, I chose to place it with the rest of the un-good items. Now, I know the TV suits didn’t plan it this way, but they set themselves up for just such a scenario by choosing to air only three games in a ten game span. Including Friday’s game in Florida the next three are off-air as well, so I hope the streak continues. But fans not being able to watch the team on TV as their play improves, (at least the road games), is un-good.

THE UGLY:

Kovy’s Back: Not going to dwell much on this here but just the thought of Kovalchuk having back issues, especially if it becomes reoccurring, is ugly…ugly with a capitol UGH!

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Bring Out Your Dead (CLANG)

BRING OUT YOUR DEAD…(CLANG)!

BRING OUT YOUR DEAD…(CLANG)!

I’m sure your all familiar with this scene from Monty Python’s Holy Grail. The one where the Cart Master is collecting the dead during the Black Plague and a “customer” looks to take advantage of the situation, ridding himself of an old man. Only thing is that he isn’t quite dead yet and doesn’t want to go.

“Here’s one”, says the customer. “Nine pence”, replies the Cart Master. “I’m not dead yet”, begs the old man.

If you haven’t seen this, it’s a classic. Hysterical.

“Ere, he says he’s not dead”, objects the Cart Master. “Yes he is”, responds the customer. “I’m not”, cries the old man. Cart Master, “He isn’t”? Customer, “Well, he will be soon. He’s very ill”.

Then the old man insists, “I’m getting better”!

“I’m getting better”. The Atlanta Thrashers, who began the year winless in their first six, can sympathize with the old man in the second scene of this very funny flick, lying across the shoulders of one who can’t wait to toss him on the death wagon and have him carted away. There were so many who seemed ready to bury the Thrashers after those six games. Division foes, northeastern hockey elitists, writers, and even a handful of bloggers had the team draped over their backs and ready to give ‘em the heave-ho.

The customer then goes on, “No your not! You’ll be stone dead in a moment”. The Cart Master protests, “Oh, I can’t take him like that. It’s against regulations”. Old man, “I don’t want to go on the cart”.

Apparently, the Thrashers weren’t ready to go on the cart either. But after winning their first game of the season they reverted to form by getting drilled in Tampa 6-2 to start the road trip. At that point the standard consensus was that this team had, indeed “assumed room temperature”.

Yes, some were of the mind that the Thrashers had, to paraphrase another Monty Python scene, passed on! This team is no more! It has ceased to be! It has expired and gone to meet its maker! It is stiff! Bereft of life, they rest in peace! … Pushing up the daisies! Its metabolic processes are now history! It’s off the twig! The team had kicked the bucket, its shuffled off it’s mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin’ choir invisible! This is an ex-parrot…or ex-contending team…or…oh, you get the point.

But unlike the parrot in that skit which had “kicked the oxygen habit”, the Thrasher are indeed alive. Fresh off two stunning come from behind efforts in Ottawa and Tampa, the team returned to the comfy confines of Blueland and worked a 2-1 overtime victory against the Capitols. It took another goal from Kovy, (7 in the past 3 games). But when he went down in the second the defense and goaltending took over the show from there. The Caps had taken 16 shots in the first period but managed only that same number in the last two periods, none in OT. The Thrashers launched 23 shots after the first and won the game via White’s goal on the second shot of extra time. (Rstroz then promptly fainted in section 210).

Where life was breathed into this team last week with offense, it was continued last night by way of a defensive stand, and it could not have come at a better time. They have now vaulted from the cellar to third place in the division and tied for 11th in the conference, a scant 3 points out of the 8th position.

The Thrashers are now 6-9-0, winners of 4 of it’s last 5 and 6 of it’s last 9.

Sparking life into the team is none other then the afore mentioned Ilya Kovalchuk. The Russian Rocket had tallied hat tricks in the two straight games to end the road trip and has 13 goals and 20 points on the season. The A on his jersey has come to stand for “Astounding” or “Awesome” or “Absolutely wonder-fantabulous”!

The power play no longer resembles a four corners prevent offense. It drives the puck to the net and actually gets off shots. Where the Thrashers once sat toward the bottom of the league in production with the man advantage at 9%, it now is more respectable, 14.8% going into Tuesday’s game.

The Chicago Connection continues to contribute in big ways. The goaltending has solidified, (thanks in large part to one Mr. Pavelec). The defense, while still bending, is not breaking so much. The effort is far more acceptable then in the first two weeks of the season. The “team speed” is finally starting to pay dividends. When facing a deficit the team responds more like a spring coil, bouncing back, rather then a lawn chair folding up.

So, if the NHL Cart Master is indeed rolling through the streets of the league looking for teams that have already “circled the drain” and gone “Tango Uniform” in regards to this season, then he can pass right by and roll right down the road. He might find the carcass of a bird next door at the dome, but there isn’t one to be found at Philips.

The Thrashers are indeed, “getting better”!

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He might not BE the captain, but…

Shortly after Ilya Kovalchuk scored a shorthanded goal to bring Atlanta to within two goals of the Tampa Bay Lightning, sparking an amazing come-from-behind victory, color analyst Darren Eliot said, “He might not BE the captain, but he sure IS the leader”. Truer words have not been spoken. The Atlanta forward set in motion with that goal the same type of furious comeback that fell just short two nights prior. Maybe the difference this time was that they did not wait until halfway through the third period to begin the mission. Kovy notched his second hat trick in as many games and threw in an assist for good measure as he all but single-handedly is turning this team into contenders once again.

I’m beginning to think that Superman wears Ilya Kovalchuk pajamas to bed at night.

The game began well as Tobias, (excuse me, To-BEE-us as they call him in CAH-nu-duh), Enstrom nailed a power play goal half way into the opening period to give the Thrashers a lead. For the record, I also thought it was a good sign when the first commercial break of the game came before the Thrashers gave up a goal. But that was followed by four unanswered Lightning goals that left the team down by three. To be honest, one could feel sorry for Ondrej Pavelec who was making his first ever NHL start. Two goals came as Garnet Exelby was lying on or around him and another was scored as it deflected off of Eric Perrin’s stick. (To be fair to XLB, on one of those goals he was doing all he could to help kill a penalty with no stick). Said the team’s leader about the young net minder, “ The first two [goals] they got a couple lucky bounces. They had a couple great chances, and it was just amazing. His glove is unbelievable. I tried to beat him in practice, it’s really tough”.

Oh? Fortunately, he didn’t find Johan Holmqvist quite so tough.

Kovy’s second goal tied it in the third and Pascal You-Me-And Dupuis gave the Thrashers the game winner at 17:52 on a nifty pass from Bryan Little. Ilya’s hat trick then came on an empty netter to seal the deal. Marion Hossa, (you remember him, don’t you), followed up Kovalchuck’s first goal 61 seconds later with one of his own.

The win ends the seven game trip on a winning note as the Thrashers picked up eight of the possible fourteen points. It also began the next important series of games for the Thrashers on an up tic. Including Saturday night’s game, the team will play eight straight against division foes. As important as the road trip record was, this series of games are even more critical. Doing well will bring the team right back into the thick of things as we will play Carolina, Washington and Florida all twice as well as Tampa Bay once again.

So, there is much to be happy about as we make our plans to return to Blueland Tuesday. The team has found a pride in their play not seen in many moons and the future looks brighter then it did when the team last exited the confines of the St. Pete Times Forum. It all started with #17’s brilliant individual play and now it seems to be spreading throughout the entire team. He has taken flight and right now is carrying the whole team on his back.

Now some quick shots, then I’m off to surf EBAY to see if I can find me some Kovy PJs.

Hossa Sighting: Marion Hossa was a +2 with a goal and an assist. If he is waking up, as Kozy has of late, then things are definitely on the ups.

Reverse Production: The Thrasher’s shot production per period was 9-8-5 while their goal production per period was 1-2-3.

Say Again: Yes, they scored 3 goals on just 5 shots on goal in the third. So, maybe if they take LESS shots………….???

Stay Right There Don: The Thrashers are now 5-3-0 since The Don stepped behind the bench. Continuing at that pace would land Atlanta at 95 points.

Nobody Wake Up Ilya: Kovy has 7 points in the last 2 games. If he keeps up that pace, he’ll end up with 257 points. (I was just seeing if you were paying attention).

One Un-Good Thing: The Thrashers were out shot again, this time by a 22-34 margin. Unless you count only regulation in Montreal, Atlanta has not out shot an opponent all season.

Power Increase: The Thrashers power play came to life on the road. When they began the trip, it was floundering around the bottom of the league at 9%. Now it is 23rd best at 14.8%.

Passing Out Pluses: Kovalchuk was a +3 Saturday night. The following players were all a +2, Enstrom, XLB, Havelid, Hossa, Holik, Little and Perrin. White a +1.

Who Da Man?: Enstrom normally leads games with Total Ice Time, and deservedly so. However, Saturday night it was Kovy with 26:17. Looks like The Don knows who The Man is.

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STOP THE PRESSES!!!

I got to tell you, I had this post written between the beginning of the third period and halfway though it. I was going to get this thing typed up and in the hopper then slide into the sheets by 11:00. The game, it was un-good. Up to that point, the only real highlight from the evening’s activities was the Boulton/Neil heavyweight bout that lasted longer then it took the Senators to score their first goal. To fully gain an appreciation of the dominance of the Sens over the Thrashers for the first two and a half periods, consider this. Kovalchuk’s goal, the first for the Thrashers, came at the 9:24 mark of the third. It was Atlanta’s 11th shot of the game. That would be E LE V E N shots on goal in 49 minutes and 24 seconds. Ottawa took 14 shots in the first period alone. The last place team in the conference trailed the first place team 5-0 halfway through the third. The Thrashers were D.R.T., (Dead…Right There).

Then…

The come back was on! All of a sudden, players wearing white jerseys were rushing Ray Emery harder and faster then Rosie O’Donnell does at an open buffet. It started with Kovy’s goal and three more followed in a span of eight minutes and three seconds. (For those of you from Livonia, Michigan, that’s almost a goal every two minutes). Ilya had a hat trick joined by Perrin’s tally. The last two goals coming on a 4 minute power play courtesy of Chris Neil’s ill-advised blow to the chops of Ken Klee. In a shorter amount of time then it took Zilla to buy a CZ at a pawnshop, it was a one-goal game with two and a half minutes to play.

The come-back bid fell just short as Ottawa scored an empty netter, but the team has to be feeling 100% better about themselves after this effort then they would have without the surge toward end the game.

Saturday night they will return to Tampa to play the Bolts ending the seven game road trip in the same building where it began. In between they sandwiched 3 wins in 5 games. They have within their grasp an opportunity to return home with a winning record on the trip if they are able to squeeze out a victory. Departing Tampa thirteen days ago after a less-then-stellar outing which deposited them at 1-7-0, that scenario seemed about as impossible as Brian and Bob sitting around a campfire together singing Kumbaya while toasting marshmallows and wearing “Hillary ‘08” shirts. Just wasn’t gonna happen, right?

While there are no columns for Moral Victories in the standings, tonight’s loss was a sight better then recent ones where they seemed to fold up once they got down. Hopefully Thursday’s third period play will accompany the team as they head south. If so, the Thrashers will have managed their way though the longest road trip of the year and, possibly, returned with more points then they dropped.

And that would be very nice for all of us when we…come back…to Blueland on Tuesday.

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