AJC > Sports Thrashers > Blog > Archives > 2006 > September > 22

Friday, September 22, 2006

First impressions

I’ve been working on the playoff beard all summer, and I think by the end of April it should really be coming in nice. That I’m 37 and still can’t grow a decent beard doesn’t bother me nearly as much as the fact that I’m a 37-year-old hockey fan who can’t grow a decent beard come playoff time.

Thank God the Thrashers haven’t called my bluff yet. Maybe this season. Then again …

I hate to start off on a negative vibe, but as I take an objective look at this Thrashers team, my first reaction is that I don’t like it nearly as much as I liked last year’s Thrashers team. And last year’s Thrashers team didn’t make the playoffs. Why should this year’s? I know, I know … believe me, I know that last season was something of an aberration because of the Lehtonen injury. If Lehtonen misses only 20 games instead of 40, that team makes the playoffs and, quite possibly, does some damage. The way that team was playing down the stretch, there wasn’t a team in the East that wanted anything to do with the Thrashers in the first round.

But that was last year’s team. I think the loss of Marc Savard and, to a lesser degree, Peter Bondra really puts the offense back a step or two. And, unfortunately, Don Waddell didn’t do all that much to replace their production. I don’t know if he could have, salary cap and all. But I don’t think you can put a happy face on replacing Savard’s 90-some points with Steve Rucchin’s 30-some points. At least I can’t.

As for the defense, maybe it’s improved, maybe it isn’t. I see a long list of names for a shorter list of openings, so at least there is more depth. But it still strikes me as a long list of second-line names. There’s some skill there, there’s some hard hitters … but there still isn’t that anchor-type defenseman, who’s going to give you 30 rock-solid, dependable minutes. I know it’s unrealistic to say that we should just ‘go out and get’ a Nick Lidstrom or a Chris Pronger; those type of players don’t grow on trees. But that unfortunate reality doesn’t absolve the team for the fact that they don’t have one of those type of players. They just don’t. And that’s just how it is. So I’ll try to make lemonade with the guys we’ve got. My prediction is that while the defense will be better and while the defense will hit a little harder … the defense still is going to have its issues.

So without writing the sequel to “War and Peace” here in my first blog entry, let me just quickly hit on some other first impressions that we can get into a little deeper as the season goes on:

  • First off, and I mentioned it already, but this team will miss Marc Savard more than you think. I’m well aware of his short-comings, but the fact remains that his is a plucky, cocky, creative center who made things happen. The Thrashers got him for nothing and he blossomed here after checkered stops in New York and Calgary. As much as I respect Steve Rucchin, he’s not going to get us out of our seats in the same way Savvy could.

  • Overall, we’re pretty weak down the middle. At this point, do we even know who’s going to center for Ilya on the top line? This is a huge question mark because it takes a player with panache (a Marc Savard type). You can’t really put Holik or Rucchin up there because they don’t have the wheels to keep up with Ilya. I guess you can look at Kapanen or Slater, but now you have really green players trying to keep up with an unpredictable superstar.

  • Scott Mellanby is another player I respect a lot, and I was really excited when he joined the team two years ago. But, leadership qualities aside, he did not have a lot to offer on the ice most of the season. I can’t help but wonder if Waddell secretly hoped Mellanby would retire, freeing up a winger spot and some cap money. But I’ll give him his day in court and will be optimistic.

  • Can you count on Slava Kozlov to contribute as much as he did last year? I hope so, but I wouldn’t count on it. He had a marvelous season last year, but there’s no guarantee.

  • I LOVE our goalie situation. Lehtonen is the next Brodeur, the way he controls a game. He doesn’t just make saves like many goalies, he dictates play. If he stays healthy, there’s no ceiling on this team. Johan Hedberg is quality on the bench and can play the long stretches our other backups couldn’t in the past, and Fred Brathwaite as a third-stringer is a steal. I’ve always been a huge Brathwaite fan. He’s good people, too. That said: This team has a black cloud over its crease. It’s the Spinal Tap drummer syndrome. Every goalie that’s ever strapped on the pads here has met an untimely and often gruesome demise. We’ve had good goalies. Don Waddell has always gone out and signed the best goalie available at the time: Rhodes, Nurminen, Dafoe, Shields, Dunham … pick ‘em. You can’t really blame Waddell for the goalie misfortunes. The goalie thing has been a joke here, so when I say I LOVE our goalie situation, what I mean is I LOVE our goalie situation until Kari Lehtonen slips on a banana peel and Johan Hedberg falls into the beluga tank at the Ga. Aquarium and Fred Brathwaite develops an inexplicable fear of vucanized rubber.

    And you know it’s gonna happen, too.

    That’s enough for now. I’ll be back.

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