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Thursday, November 16, 2006

Logic? These upsets defy all that

Podcast

Darryl Maxie

Upsets are the hardest games to pick. It just doesn’t feel right when you go against the team that you know should win the game, that if form holds will win the game, the better team.

But they are just as inevitable in the Georgia High School Association postseason as they are in the NCAA Tournament.

There are 40 fourth-seeded teams in the playoffs. Last year, nine upset region champions in the first round.

That was an aberration — the usual number is three. There were three in 2004, including a 4-6 Westover beating 9-1 Cairo, and three each in 2001, 2002 and 2003.

With the crazy way that Class AAAAA has unfolded, the number of first-round upsets — if in such a topsy-turvy year they can even be termed such a thing — will be elevated, though the largest class should contribute only one.

I see five, spanning four classes, and will even be foolish enough to specify them:

1. Houston County, winning at Newnan: Fourth seeds from Region 1-AAAAA are seldom typical fourth-seed caliber. The Bears are no exception. After emerging from a bruising region dogfight that went down to the final weekend, they can hammer you with Eric O’Neal. They’re part of the reason why a certain two-time defending champion isn’t around for the proceedings.

2. Clarke Central, winning at Pebblebrook: The Gladiators aren’t as good as Pebblebrook, which is part of the requirement for an upset. I didn’t think they would be as good as Cedar Shoals the second time around, but even an archrival, bent on revenge and playing at home, didn’t stop the Glads from sweeping the Jaguars. So they are as good a candidate as any to defy the odds and stick around for at least the second round.

3. Brantley County, winning at Jefferson County: Before explaining this one, allow me to go off on a tangent. Cook went into Dublin last year as a second seed in a season where the Fighting Irish were looking nigh-invincible. They had allowed fewer points (10) than games played (11). And then the Hornets stung them for a 20-14 victory. Cook revisits the scene of the crime, with the evidence fresh in the Irish’s minds. The chances of lightning striking even more forcefully — from the fourth seed position instead of the second — have to be considered even more remote. That’s the only reason I don’t venture out on that twig and call for a second upset. As for the other top seeds in Class AA who aren’t Jefferson County — Charlton County, Buford, Washington-Wilkes, Fitzgerald, Calhoun and Heard County — they all look less likely to be knocked off so early. I’m tempted to say it can’t happen, but why so blantantly fly in the face of my original premise? Jefferson County losing is sufficiently shocking.

4. Cass, winning at North Hall: Ask Carrollton and Cartersville — two of the best teams in Class AAA — what they think of the Colonels. Cass gave each as much as they could handle before falling short. The Caskos make Cass go — that’s son Ricky and coach Rick. The Colonels come from a traditionally strong region — it wasn’t that long ago that LaGrange was part of that equation.

5. Southwest DeKalb, winning at Rome: Buck Godfrey is hardly a stranger to the playoffs. The Panthers have missed the postseason only once in his 24 years at the school, and you don’t last that long without weathering a few storms and squirreling away a few tricks up your sleeve. Many of the players on Southwest DeKalb’s roster were around the last time they went in as a fourth seed and lasted longer than the brackets suggested they should. That was last year, when the Panthers shut down an unbeaten Tucker.

Only Class A, where the disparities between haves and have nots are magnified, is spared a first-round major upset. The picks look crazy. But that’s the point: Upsets always do.

Winner / Loser

Class AAAAA

Brookwood / South Cobb

Camden County / Redan

Campbell / Central Gwinnett

Coffee / Hiram

Collins Hill / Roswell

Grayson / North Cobb

Houston County / Newnan

M.L. King / Bradwell Institute

Norcross / Walton

North Gwinnett / Chattahoochee

Parkview / Etowah

Peachtree Ridge / Wheeler

Stephenson / Groves

Tift County / East Coweta

Warner Robins / Mundy’s Mill

Windsor Forest / Union Grove

Class AAAA

Baldwin / Americus-Sumter

Brunswick / Whitewater

Clarke Central / Pebblebrook

Creekside / Glynn Academy

Dacula / Sequoyah

East Paulding / Madison County

Griffin / Bainbridge

Habersham Cent. / Cherokee

Marist / Ridgeland

Mays / N.W. Whitfield

Northside-W.R. / Lee County

Southwest DeKalb / Rome

Statesboro / Westlake

St. Pius / Dalton

Thomas Co. Cent. / Westside-Macon

Ware County / Starr’s Mill

Class AAA

Cairo / Perry

Carrollton / Gainesville

Cartersville / Chestatee

Cass / North Hall

Flowery Branch / Sandy Creek

Grady / Apalachee

Hart County / Dunwoody

Jackson / Worth County

LaGrange / Liberty County

McNair / Franklin County

Monroe / Northeast-Macon

Peach County/ Crisp County

Shaw / South Effingham

Stephens County / Carver-Atlanta

Thomson / Carver-Columbus

Washington Co. / Troup

Class AA

Buford / Rockmart

Calhoun / Wesleyan

Charlton County / Screven County

Dublin / Cook

Early County / Toombs County

Fitzgerald / Bleckley County

GAC / Chattooga

Greene County / Macon County

Heard County / Morgan County

Jefferson County / Brantley County

Laney / McIntosh Co. Acad.

Lovett / Pepperell

Manchester / Fannin County

Swainsboro / Sav. Christian

Dodge County / Thomasville

Wash.-Wilkes / Callaway

Class A

Athens Academy / Fellowship Christ.

Bremen / Wilkinson County

Brookstone / Atkinson County

Clinch County / Taylor County

Commerce / Whitefield Acad.

ECI / Hawkinsville

ELCA / Jefferson

Gordon Lee / Hancock Central

Johnson County / Portal

Landmark Christ. / Social Circle

Lincoln County / Trion

Pacelli Catholic / Terrell County

Sav. Country Day / Wilcox County

Seminole County / Chattahoochee Co.

Turner County / Bryan County

Warren County / Bowdon

Permalink | Comments (46) | Categories: 2006, Darryl Maxie

No complaints from Boddie, but…

Curtis Bunn

Justin Boddie’s season and career are over - North Atlanta did not make the playoffs - but the Warriors quarterback left a mark as a star player with too little acknowledgment.

While North Atlanta was going 5-5, Boddie was throwing 23 touchdown passes and running for nine. He presented a double threat when he dropped back, virtues of many of the top quarterbacks in the state.

Not much recognition came his way, but he still attracted the eyes of a dozen colleges who have offered scholarships.

In December and January, Boddie will make his five visits and make a decision. He’ll travel to Central Florida, Cincinnati, East Carolina, Tulane and Indiana.

He’ll choose among them, although Middle Tennessee, Army, Navy and the Air Force also want him.

The 6-foot-2, 190-pound Boddie is excited about his future, but he does wonder what might have been had he received the exposure of, say, Eric Berry of Creekside.

“Every week I would do something big, but no one would notice,” he said. “What I do just didn’t get out.”

A starter since the 10th grade, Boddie was “explosive” as a quarterback with an arm to make all the throws and legs to elude the rush. He actually enjoys running more than passing, he said.

Even with that, Boddie likely will play defensive back in college, a testament to his athleticism. He played sparingly on defense this year and had two interceptions and a number of bone-jarring hits.

“I like the contact on defense,” he said. “I like to hit.”

He tries not to struggle playing the “what if” game.

“It’s not frustrating, but I do feel if I had gotten more publicity during the season I would have gotten more offers from bigger programs,” he said.

He made clear that was not a complaint.

“No, I’m not complaining,” he said, “because I’m grateful for the schools that want me. I had a great career and it didn’t go completely unnoticed. High school football was fun. Now I’m going on.”

Permalink | Comments (3) | Categories: Curtis Bunn

 

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