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Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Projecting the BCS bowls

The first BCS standings don’t come out until Oct. 14. But let’s go ahead and get the argument started today. Here, gentle readers, are the projected BCS Bowl matchups for the 2007 season.

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP, JAN. 7, NEW ORLEANS

Matchup: Southern Cal vs. West Virginia

How it happens: No. 1 Southern Cal rolls through its schedule without breaking a sweat. West Virginia gets a scare from Louisville at home but finishes 12-0. West Virginia gets pushed in the BCS Standings by once-beaten LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, and Michigan but holds on to play in the big game.

ORANGE BOWL, JAN. 3, MIAMI

Matchup: Florida State vs. Oklahoma

How it happens: Florida State wins the ACC championship game over Georgia Tech. Oklahoma finishes 11-1 with its only loss to Texas on Oct. 6.

FIESTA BOWL, JAN. 2, GLENDALE, ARIZ.

Matchup: Texas vs. Wisconsin

How it happens: Texas wins the Big 12 championship but a stumble at Texas A&M on Nov. 23 keeps the Longhorns out of the BCS championship game. Wisconsin finishes 11-1 for the second consecutive season and this time the Badgers get a BCS at-large.

ROSE BOWL, JAN. 1, PASADENA

Matchup: Michigan vs. California

How it happens: Michigan wins the Big Ten despite losing to Ohio State on Nov. 17. California loses twice-to Tennessee on Sept. 1 and to Southern Cal on Nov. 10. Still, the Bears get the at-large Rose Bowl bid at 10-2 because they were squeezed out by Texas in 2004.

SUGAR BOWL, JAN. 1, NEW ORLEANS

Matchup: LSU vs. Louisville.

How it happens: LSU loses at Alabama on Nov. 3, which keeps the Tigers out of the BCS championship game. LSU beats Florida for the SEC championship to finish 12-1. Louisville goes 11-1 with a loss at West Virginia.

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